分类: politics

  • Pete Hegseth’s desperate crusade for masculine validation

    Pete Hegseth’s desperate crusade for masculine validation

    Earlier in 2025, during a closed-door meeting with senior military leadership, then-President-elect Donald Trump posed a sharp question to his inner circle: what would be the outcome of a full-scale military conflict with Iran? While then-Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Dan Caine pushed for urgent caution, correctly forecasting that an escalated campaign would push Iran to block the critical Strait of Hormuz—through which 20% of the world’s oil supplies pass—one voice leaped to endorse immediate war: Pete Hegseth, Trump’s self-described informal “Secretary of War.”

    Trump would later recount the exchange at a public press event, noting: “Pete, I think you were the first one to speak up. And you said, ‘Let’s do it, because you can’t let them have a nuclear weapon.’”

    For millions of Americans, military service is rooted in a desire to serve country, secure economic stability, or join a shared community of purpose. But for Hegseth, a long-running Fox News host turned top Pentagon advisor, a hunger for martial glory and a quest to forge a more aggressive masculine identity have always overshadowed all other motivations.

    What many observers overlook is the throughline connecting Hegseth’s early life, his military career, and the current war he championed. After graduating from Princeton University in 2003, he deployed to both Afghanistan and Iraq—two conflicts that ultimately ended in humiliating U.S. defeat. For years after returning home, he used his media platform to defend the Pentagon’s long occupations of both nations, parroting mainstream Republican talking points that brushed aside widespread chaos and civilian death with promises that stable democratic governance was just over the horizon.

    Military analysts and veteran observers say this unyielding zeal stems not from patriotic conviction, but from a desperate search for personal validation after decades of failed foreign policy. Adam Weinstein, a Marine Corps veteran and deputy director for Middle East policy at the Quincy Institute, a nonpartisan Washington-based think tank focused on peace and diplomacy, explains that rank-and-file service members and many junior officers have long accepted the catastrophic failure of the post-9/11 wars. “There’s a deep sense of sacrifice and loss for nothing,” Weinstein says. “And that can lead to fatalistic beliefs, it can lead to Islamophobia. In its healthier form, it can lead to questioning the principles of interventionism and the US foreign policy establishment.”

    Hegseth chose a different path: he has refused any reckoning, either personal or geopolitical, with the failures of the Global War on Terror. Once open defense of the invasions became politically untenable, he shifted to a narrative that avoided any examination of his own military career and instead leaned into extreme rhetoric, increasingly laced with anti-Muslim bigotry, misogyny, and a toxic vision of hyper-masculine militarism.

    As his public profile grew, Hegseth began arguing that the Pentagon itself was weak-willed, insufficiently aggressive, and overrun by incompetent, cowardly leaders—disproportionately targeting women and racial minorities, whom he claims have been unfairly promoted over more qualified white men. His solution was blunt: the U.S. simply needed to fight harder in the Middle East until the mission was complete and what he labels “Islamic extremism” was eliminated entirely. One former colleague noted, “I never got the feeling that he wanted to abandon the Middle East.”

    ### A Childhood Quest for Masculine Validation

    Born and raised in Minnesota, Hegseth was raised in a conservative, religious household and fit the mold of an ideal all-American boy: athletic, devout, well-spoken, and conventionally attractive. But in his 2016 memoir *In the Arena: Good Citizens, a Great Republic, and How One Speech Can Reinvigorate America*, he admitted he carried a core shame: he saw himself as soft, unwilling to pick fights or confront conflict because of deep-seated fear. He hailed his father for his integrity and strong work ethic, but resented that he had not been taught the art of aggressive confrontation—something he saw as the core of true manhood.

    For Hegseth, military service was the obvious path to remedy what he saw as a fatal flaw: he believed it would instill the toughness and masculinity he craved, while also opening doors to social mobility and national prestige. He applied to both West Point, the nation’s most prestigious service academy, and Princeton University, where he competed for an ROTC scholarship, ultimately accepting Princeton’s offer and matriculating in 1999.

    Scholars have drawn a striking parallel between Hegseth’s path and that of another famous Minnesotan Princeton alumnus: novelist F. Scott Fitzgerald. Both were working-class young men who gained entry to the elite Ivy League institution, chafed at its upper-crust elitism while craving its validation, honed their writing voices on campus, and went on to serve in the U.S. Army. Both also struggled with alcohol and turbulent personal relationships, though Fitzgerald was far more reflective about his own flaws than Hegseth has ever been.

    Hegseth has long echoed that unapologetic ambition, stating in a 2015 interview: “If you want something, you go after it – you’re willing to sleep a little less, put up with more, put up with a little insanity and do things you don’t want to do.”

    Even during his time at Princeton, former professors and classmates noted Hegseth had “many faces”: in public, he loudly championed the impending Iraq War and attacked campus feminist groups, but in private settings, he could show nuance and kindness. Today, his former professors say his current public persona does not align with the young man they knew. That disconnect is no accident: his over-the-top, war-mongering posturing during the Trump era bears little relation to either his Ivy League education or his actual military service record.

    Hegseth left Iraq with a Bronze Star, but the decoration was issued “without valor”—a lower-tier award that the *Washington Post* found was “issued somewhat liberally” during the War on Terror, with many enlisted troops joking that it amounted to little more than a “participation trophy” for ambitious officers. His award citation relied on the same empty platitudes the Bush White House used to sell the disastrous invasion to the American public, claiming he had “contributed immeasurably to the success of building a free and democratic nation for the citizens of Iraq”—a claim that is widely acknowledged as fiction decades later.

    ### Building a Political Brand Around War Crime Advocacy

    After returning home, Hegseth built his political profile through work with a network of astroturf veterans’ groups backed by powerful conservative donors, most notably Concerned Veterans of America, which is funded by the billionaire Koch Brothers and advocates for full privatization of the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs. In 2014, he headlined a 10-city “Defend Freedom” national tour, featuring patriotic rock band Madison Rising and speeches from decorated service members and military families.

    It was on that tour that he connected with Karen Vaughn, a Gold Star mother whose son, a SEAL Team Six member, was killed in action in Afghanistan. Vaughn remains a close ally, saying she supports Hegseth because he prioritizes the voices of people who have experienced combat firsthand: “His friends are the people who fought these wars. They are not the people who sat around white linen tablecloths with glasses of wine discussing them.”

    Vaughn later introduced Hegseth to Eddie Gallagher, a Navy SEAL who sparked national controversy when he was accused of killing unarmed civilians and stabbing a wounded, captive teenage fighter to death. Hegseth seized on Gallagher’s case, along with two other high-profile cases of troops accused of war crimes, to shift the national conversation around acceptable rules of engagement during war. He brashly argued: “These are men who went into the most dangerous places on earth with a job to defend us and made tough calls on a moment’s notice. They’re not war criminals, they’re warriors.”

    Ultimately, Trump sided with Hegseth: he reversed Gallagher’s demotion after he was acquitted of the most serious charges, and issued full pardons to other troops convicted of war crimes. That victory cemented Hegseth’s credibility among a subset of hardline active-duty service members, and established him as the face of the modern Trumpian soldier archetype: white, male, devoutly Christian, and unapologetically aggressive.

    ### The Ideological Roots of Hegseth’s Bellicosity

    Hegseth’s worldview has been deeply shaped by his repeated trips to Israel, which he first visited in 2013. Writing for *National Review* after that trip, he praised what he called “Israel’s sense of purpose,” noting that unlike the U.S., which often hides its wars behind technocratic policy justifications, Israel frames its conflicts in religious and existential terms. “I find myself envious of the gravity and substance of the Israelis’ task,” he wrote.

    For Hegseth, Israel represented exactly the kind of unapologetic military dominance he had long sought for the U.S. in the Arab world. Repeated visits over the following decade reinvigorated both his Christian faith and his belief that aggressive, total war is morally justified. He met with far-right Israeli political leaders, toured military outposts along the northern border, and visited occupied Hebron in the West Bank, and produced a series of pro-Israel documentaries for Fox News’ streaming platform.

    It was during one of these filming trips that he first encountered the Jerusalem cross, a symbol historically associated with the medieval Crusades. He had the cross tattooed on his chest, saying he wanted “to show that my religion is front and center in my life.” Today, his body art is a public manifesto for his worldview: it also includes an American flag, an assault rifle, the phrase “Deus Vult” (Latin for “God wills it”), a Crusader motto that has been widely adopted by white supremacists and was prominently displayed at the violent 2017 white nationalist rally in Charlottesville, Virginia. He also has the word “kafir” — Arabic for “infidel” — tattooed on his right bicep.

    By 2016, Hegseth had framed U.S. national security as inextricably linked to Israel’s security, calling the Obama administration’s historic Iran Nuclear Deal a cowardly betrayal that would allow Iran to destroy both nations. During a 2016 speech in Jerusalem, he pledged that the U.S. would forever “lock arms and shields with all of you in defense of freedom and western civilization.”

    ### Driving the Current Iran Conflict

    It is this long personal and ideological history that goes a long way toward explaining the current U.S. war with Iran. As the effective top leader of the Pentagon under the second Trump administration, Hegseth is a man driven by a deep personal need to erase the humiliation of the failed post-9/11 wars he served in, which he has framed as a personal emasculation.

    Experts and former administration officials say this makes his push for war a deeply personal, ideological project, not a response to any actual imminent threat to U.S. national security. Multiple former Trump administration officials have publicly rejected the push for war, most notably Joe Kent, a former counterterrorism official who resigned his post, explicitly citing that “no imminent threat to our nation” comes from Iran. Even former Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard and former CIA Director John Ratcliffe have tacitly acknowledged that the war was not launched in response to a concrete, verifiable threat from Iran.

    Today, Hegseth has abandoned any pretense of caution or compassion. As he recently told reporters: “We are punching them while they’re down, which is exactly how it should be.”

    In practice, that has translated to a brutal joint bombing campaign with Israel that has hit civilian targets including a girls’ primary school, killing multiple children, and attacked commercial oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, causing massive oil spills that have poisoned regional marine ecosystems. Hegseth has also publicly pledged not to offer quarter to enemy combatants, a direct violation of the Geneva Conventions and international humanitarian law.

    Hegseth has explicitly injected religious ideology into the U.S. military’s ranks, echoing Israel’s framing of conflict in religious terms. He recently told CBS News: “the providence of our almighty God is there protecting those troops, and we’re committed to this mission.” When asked if he sees the conflict as a religious war, he responded: “Obviously, we’re fighting religious fanatics who seek a nuclear capability in order for some religious Armageddon.”

    He has hosted public prayer services at the Pentagon featuring hardline Christian nationalist pastors and prominent Christian contemporary musicians, and official Defense Department promotional videos have featured Bible verses superimposed over combat footage. Military watchdogs have also claimed that senior U.S. commanders have told troops that the war fulfills biblical prophecies about the end times. In recent weeks, a poster featuring Jesus Christ firing a mortar round has been spotted displayed at a U.S. military base in the Middle East, encapsulating Hegseth’s fusion of Christianity, violence, and masculine power.

    In his 2024 book *The War on Warriors*, Hegseth laid out his full vision for remaking the U.S. military in his image, arguing that the force has been “warped and woke” by efforts to expand gender integration, diluting standards to allow women into combat roles while punishing “good soldiers” for misogynistic or offensive tattoos. In Hegseth’s own words, women belong on the front lines only as ink on a man’s bicep.

    This article is republished with permission from TomDispatch, written by investigative journalist Jasper Craven, author of *God Forgives, Brothers Don’t: The Long March of Military Education and the Making of American Manhood*, and a fellow at the Veterans Healthcare Policy Institute.

  • Bolivian Congress OK’s use of troops against protesters

    Bolivian Congress OK’s use of troops against protesters

    Six months into the center-right presidency of Rodrigo Paz, the Andean nation of Bolivia remains roiled by mass anti-government demonstrations driven by deep public anger over widespread economic hardship. On Tuesday, the country’s lower congressional chamber took the controversial step of approving the repeal of a 2020 regulation designed to limit executive power to impose states of emergency and crack down on street protests, voting by a more than two-thirds majority to clear the way for Paz to deploy military forces across protest hotspots. The regulation, which required congressional pre-approval for any state of emergency and barred presidents from deploying the military for crowd control, was originally drafted by a socialist-led legislature in the wake of 2019’s deadly unrest that killed 36 people and forced longtime socialist leader Evo Morales from office. The repeal passed the Senate in an accelerated vote last week, and moved through the lower chamber in just seven days using an expedited process that bypasses standard legislative procedures. The vote leaves the government free to declare a national state of emergency, restrict core civil liberties including freedom of movement and freedom of assembly, and bring uniformed soldiers into the streets to counter ongoing demonstrations that have paralyzed the capital of La Paz. What began as a series of targeted trade union actions in early May, focused on demands for higher wages, consistent fuel access and more competent economic stewardship, has rapidly expanded into a broad national movement calling for Paz’s immediate resignation. Protesters have blocked all major entry routes to La Paz, forcing most retail businesses to close their doors over fears of escalating violence, and left the capital facing critical shortages of food, medicine and fuel. In recent weeks, Paz has taken a series of small, symbolic steps to defuse public anger ahead of the congressional vote: most notably, he announced Monday a 50% cut to his own presidential salary, which currently stands at roughly 24,000 Bolivian bolivianos (about $3,500) per month. While this salary is among the lowest for any sitting Latin American head of state, 2024 International Labor Organization data shows it is roughly eight times the monthly income of the average Bolivian worker. The move has done little to quiet the growing revolt against Paz’s policies, which the president argues are necessary to pull Bolivia out of its worst economic crisis in decades. Opposition lawmakers and human rights advocates have harshly condemned the congressional vote, warning it sets the stage for widespread human rights abuses and will only escalate tensions rather than resolve the crisis. Opposition legislator Sonia Sinani argued the repeal would do nothing but “pour gasoline on the flames” of already intense public anger, while colleague Alejandro Reyes compared the new expanded executive power to a “strait jacket” on civil society. The Paz administration, for its part, has framed the unrest as a deliberate attempt to overthrow the country’s democratic order, and has accused former president Morales—who is currently in hiding to avoid arrest on trafficking charges he strongly denies—of secretly orchestrating the current wave of protests to seize back power.

  • Attorney General Ken Paxton wins Texas Senate primary, defeating veteran congressman Cornyn

    Attorney General Ken Paxton wins Texas Senate primary, defeating veteran congressman Cornyn

    On Tuesday night, Texas Republican primary voters delivered a historic political upset: state Attorney General Ken Paxton ousted four-term incumbent Senator John Cornyn in a high-stakes runoff election that has already reshaped the national battle for control of the U.S. Senate. Though pollsters and political analysts had forecast Paxton’s win for weeks, the defeat of a 23-year congressional veteran who served 12 years in Senate Republican leadership ranks stands as one of the most shocking incumbent losses in modern GOP primary history. The brutal campaign also set a new milestone as the most expensive Senate primary contest in U.S. history.

    The results clear the way for a fiercely competitive general election matchup in November, where Paxton will face Democratic state legislator James Talarico. The outcome of this Texas race will play a decisive role in whether Democrats can recapture a majority in the U.S. Senate for the final two years of Donald Trump’s second presidential term. National Democrats have long viewed Paxton as a more vulnerable general election candidate than the broadly popular Cornyn, and they are already framing the contest as a rare opportunity to flip a long-held Republican Senate seat in a deep-red state that has not sent a Democrat to the U.S. Senate since 1994.

    Already confident of his primary success heading into Tuesday, 62-year-old Paxton began shifting his focus to the general election more than a week ago, rolling out statewide television attack ads that label Talarico a dangerous left-wing extremist out of step with Texas values. Most pre-runoff polling pointed to a tight general election in November, underscoring the competitiveness of the upcoming contest.

    Cornyn’s defeat marks the second time in the 2026 Republican primary cycle that a sitting GOP U.S. senator has been ousted by a challenger backed by Trump. Just 10 days before the Texas runoff, Louisiana incumbent Bill Cassidy failed to even advance to his state’s GOP runoff, finishing behind two Trump-endorsed challengers. It has been 46 years since at least two sitting senators from the same party lost their renomination bids in a single election cycle, a statistic that highlights the ongoing upheaval reshaping the modern Republican Party.

    While both incumbents fell to Trump-aligned challengers, the parallels between the two losses end there. Unlike Cassidy, who broke with Trump by voting to convict him during his 2021 second impeachment trial, Cornyn built a long record as a reliable party loyalist who frequently highlighted his close working relationship with the president. Though he was slow to throw his support behind Trump’s 2024 re-election bid, Cornyn consistently voted in line with GOP priorities throughout his Senate tenure.

    In the first round of primary voting held back in March, Cornyn finished a narrow lead over Paxton, taking 42.5% of the vote to Paxton’s 40.8%. Neither candidate hit the 50% vote threshold required to avoid a runoff, setting up Tuesday’s decisive contest. Immediately after the March round of voting, political observers widely speculated that Trump was on the cusp of endorsing Cornyn, who was widely respected within national Republican circles for his robust fundraising record and senior leadership experience. That endorsement never materialized, however.

    Despite facing years of lingering personal and political scandals, Paxton emerged as the clear favorite of Trump’s populist conservative base in Texas. He structured his entire primary campaign around attacking 74-year-old Cornyn as a creature of the Washington political establishment, arguing the incumbent was too moderate, too out of touch with grassroots Texas conservatives, and too entrenched in the old guard of Capitol Hill politics to represent the state’s changing GOP electorate. Even as Cornyn outspent Paxton by a staggering 9-to-1 margin in the runoff, Paxton’s grassroots support held solid.

    Last week, as it became increasingly clear that Paxton was on track for a win, Trump formally endorsed the challenger. On social media, Trump accused Cornyn of “extreme disloyalty,” claiming the senator had failed to fight aggressively enough to advance Trump’s preferred voting reform legislation. Political analysts have framed Paxton’s victory as the latest proof of the enduring power of Trump’s endorsement in GOP primaries: Trump has already notched multiple primary wins this cycle for candidates he backed, including the ousters of Cassidy and a primary defeat for anti-Trump incumbent Representative Thomas Massie in Kentucky.

    Yet the timing of Trump’s endorsement in the Texas race tells a more nuanced story: rather than leading his base to pick Paxton, the president followed the clear direction of grassroots Republican voters, who have remained hungry for firebrand populist candidates and deeply skeptical of longtime Washington insiders. While Cassidy’s defeat demonstrated that Trump can still mobilize GOP voters to oust his critics, the Texas runoff reveals that the populist impulses driving the modern Republican base are sometimes larger and more independently driven than even the former president’s influence.

  • North Korea says it tested new warheads, technology and navigation in latest launches

    North Korea says it tested new warheads, technology and navigation in latest launches

    In a move that escalates regional military tensions on the Korean Peninsula, North Korea officially announced Wednesday that its latest round of projectile launches carried out Tuesday involved a suite of advanced weapon systems — including a nuclear-capable cruise missile powered by artificial intelligence navigation, which leader Kim Jong Un has ordered deployed to front-line units positioned opposite South Korea. The disclosure comes amid Pyongyang’s sustained push to expand and modernize its nuclear and conventional military capabilities, a years-long effort that has shifted into higher gear in recent years.

    The confirmation from North Korea’s state-run Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) followed a Tuesday statement from South Korea’s Joint Chiefs of Staff, which first announced it had detected multiple projectiles launched into the peninsula’s western waters, including at least one short-range ballistic missile that traveled approximately 80 kilometers. South Korean officials did not initially identify other weapons tested in the exercise, and did not issue an immediate response to North Korea’s full disclosure of the test components.

    According to KCNA’s detailed account, Kim Jong Un personally oversaw Tuesday’s test activities, which featured three distinct types of armaments: ballistic missiles fitted with new warheads engineered for battlefield nuclear deployment, the AI-guided nuclear-capable cruise missiles, and 240-millimeter rocket artillery outfitted with cutting-edge “ultra-precision” navigation systems. The outlet added that Kim expressed full satisfaction with the test results, particularly the performance of the new cruise missile systems, which are earmarked for assignment to front-line long-range artillery units stationed along the inter-Korean border.

    Kim further ordered accelerated work to modernize and bolster North Korea’s artillery corps, with the goal of building a force that “no one can match,” KCNA reported.

    The latest tests align with a well-documented pattern of escalating military development from Pyongyang that began after 2019, when nuclear diplomacy between Kim and then-U.S. President Donald Trump collapsed without reaching a disarmament agreement. In the years since, Kim has adopted an increasingly hard-line stance toward Seoul, officially branding South Korea North Korea’s “most hostile enemy” and moving to sever decades-old established diplomatic and communication ties between the two nations. Just one week before the latest tests, during a meeting with senior military commanders, Kim outlined plans to strengthen border front-line units as part of a state objective to transform the entire inter-Korean frontier into “an impregnable fortress,” per prior KCNA reports.

    In recent years, Kim has also reshaped North Korea’s foreign policy orientation, leaning heavily into closer alignment with Moscow. Multiple open-source and Western intelligence reports confirm that North Korea has supplied thousands of troops and massive shipments of conventional weapons to Russia to support its ongoing full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Pyongyang has also sought to deepen its longstanding economic and strategic partnership with China, its primary ally and main economic lifeline, while framing itself as a core member of a growing global counter-Washington bloc.

    Despite former President Trump’s repeated public calls to restart bilateral diplomacy with Kim, Pyongyang has rejected all such overtures to date, maintaining that Washington must first drop its requirement that North Korea commit to nuclear disarmament as a precondition for any renewed negotiations.

  • Tim Picton accused Brodie Dewar to fight manslaughter charge at trial in WA Supreme Court

    Tim Picton accused Brodie Dewar to fight manslaughter charge at trial in WA Supreme Court

    A young man accused of delivering a fatal one-punch assault that killed a high-profile Australian Labor Party strategist has formally rejected a manslaughter charge and will proceed to a public trial in Western Australia’s highest court.

    Brodie Dewar, 20, entered a not guilty plea during a preliminary hearing held Tuesday at the Stirling Gardens Magistrates Court, responding directly to the magistrate’s reading of the charge with a clear “Not guilty, Your Honour.” The charge alleges Dewar unlawfully killed 36-year-old Tim Picton in an incident that unfolded on the night of December 27 last year outside a popular nightclub in Perth’s Northbridge entertainment district, under circumstances that do not meet the legal threshold for murder.

    According to court documents and official accounts, the altercation left Picton with severe head injuries. He was rushed to a local hospital immediately after the attack, where medical teams placed him in an induced coma in an effort to treat his trauma. Despite extensive medical intervention, Picton succumbed to his injuries several weeks after the incident.

    During Tuesday’s preliminary hearing, Dewar’s defense lawyer Simon Watters confirmed the defense team was prepared to move the case forward to trial in the Western Australian Supreme Court. Magistrates granted the request to commit the defendant to the higher court, scheduling Dewar’s first formal appearance in the Supreme Court for August 24.

    Before his death, Picton had built a significant reputation within Australian Labor circles, with a resume spanning multiple state branches of the party. A former president of South Australian Young Labor, he went on to work as a staffer for federal Labor Members of Parliament Amanda Rishworth and Don Farrell, and also held a role on the staff of former Victorian Premier Daniel Andrews before relocating to Western Australia. He was the younger brother of current South Australian State Development Minister Chris Picton, and political observers widely credit him with playing a pivotal behind-the-scenes role in former WA Premier Mark McGowan’s landslide election victory in 2021, a win that delivered Labor a historic majority in the state’s parliament.

  • Trump administration wants federal workers to sign NDAs

    Trump administration wants federal workers to sign NDAs

    A new controversy has erupted in U.S. federal politics after the Trump administration formally unveiled a draft proposal to mandate non-disclosure agreements (NDAs) for thousands of current and incoming federal government employees, an initiative crafted to crack down on unauthorized leaks of internal information to media outlets. The U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM), the agency that published the draft rule, argues that unapproved media leaks pose severe risks to government function: they can stifle open, honest feedback between agencies, disrupt the structured process of executive decision-making, and erode institutional trust across federal bodies.

    In justifying the new policy, OPM specifically called out two high-profile leak incidents from earlier this year. The first involved alleged disclosures to The New York Times and The Washington Post about a planned U.S. military raid targeting former Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro, which OPM claims put American service members’ lives at risk. However, this account has already been publicly disputed by New York Times executive editor Joe Kahn, who confirmed the outlet never held verified advance details of the operation, nor did it withhold a pre-written story at the Trump administration’s request. When contacted for this reporting, the Times stood by Kahn’s earlier statement, while the BBC had not received a response from The Washington Post as of publication.

    The second incident cited by OPM was a leak that exposed the personal contact information—including home addresses, phone numbers, and email addresses—of roughly 4,500 Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agents, a breach that directly put the agents and their families at personal safety risk.

    Despite the administration’s framing of the policy as a targeted security measure, the proposal has drawn fierce pushback from federal employee unions and legal experts, who warn the NDAs are far broader than existing non-disclosure requirements and threaten core First Amendment rights for government workers. Currently, standard NDAs for federal staff only apply to employees handling classified, sensitive national security material or work tied to specific proprietary research projects. The new proposal, by contrast, would open the door for requirements across nearly all federal roles.

    Everett Kelley, national president of the American Federation of Government Employees (AFGE)—the largest union representing federal workers—argued that despite the Trump administration’s claims that individual agencies can opt out of the requirement, OPM will inevitably pressure agencies to make the NDAs mandatory for all staff, and terminate any worker who refuses to sign. Kelley accused the administration of pursuing a deliberate campaign to silence career federal employees, purge long-serving public servants from government, and replace them with politically loyal appointees who will not criticize administration policy. “Federal employees do not surrender their First Amendment rights when they accept federal employment, and the public has a right to know about this administration’s abuses,” Kelley said in a statement.

    Legal scholars echo these concerns, warning the overly broad proposal will almost certainly face court challenges if finalized. Amy Schmitz, a law professor at The Ohio State University, noted that while limited NDAs for sensitive roles are standard practice, the scope of the current plan is unprecedented. Orly Lobel, a law professor and director of the Center for Employment & Labor Policy at the University of San Diego, warned that the vague, broad terms of the proposal create a “chilling in terrorem effect” that will discourage workers from speaking out even about illegal, unethical, wasteful, or incompetent government activity out of fear of legal action. Lobel added that the provisions could also restrict workers’ ability to leverage their professional expertise when they leave government service for new private-sector or public-sector roles, harming both labor mobility and market competition.

    For its part, OPM has pushed back against criticism, arguing in its draft notice that the new NDAs do not create any new substantive restrictions on employee speech or legally protected disclosures. The agency says the agreements explicitly preserve existing whistleblower protections and all other disclosure rights granted under federal law, and only serve as a formal acknowledgment by employees of their existing legal obligation to protect non-public, confidential, and proprietary government information.

    The draft proposal is currently open to a 30-day public comment period, during which organizations and members of the public can submit feedback before the rule is finalized and implemented.

  • The Iran miscalculations that we were warned about

    The Iran miscalculations that we were warned about

    There is a distinctive hush that settles over policy circles and media airwaves after the first thunder of a new war fades. It is the quiet of think tank analyses being pulled from public view, of confident cable news predictions scrubbed from on-screen banners, of bold promises that “this conflict will be different” crashing headlong into the unyielding truth that, more often than not, it never is. Three months into the open war with Iran, that silence now rings louder than the steady thud of bombing raids across the region.

    It is critical that we revisit the core promises made by the war’s champions before the first strike, because we owe it to ourselves to hold to account the assumptions that brought us to this moment. Proponents of the conflict laid out a clear, optimistic roadmap: the offensive would be surgically precise, they argued, and Iran’s already weakened regime would shatter under pressure. Years of crippling sanctions, the decimation of Hezbollah’s deterrent capabilities, and the collapse of Bashar al-Assad’s government in Damascus had left Tehran isolated and fragile, they claimed, and it would fold quickly under concentrated military force.

    Worse still, war backers insisted that the February 28 assassination of Iran’s supreme leader Ali Khamenei would spark political upheaval — if not an immediate democratic “Persian Spring”, then at minimum a cowed, compliant new leadership willing to bend to Western demands. They promised that American military resolve would keep the Strait of Hormuz, the world’s most critical energy chokepoint, open for global shipping. Gulf Arab monarchies, despite public ambivalence, would quietly back the campaign, they claimed, and a single well-timed push would spark mass uprising on the Iranian street that would finish the job of regime change for Washington.

    Today, every one of these core assumptions lies in ruins, undone by a single shared structural flaw: the dangerous conflation of a regime’s fragility with willingness to comply. These two traits are not interchangeable. A wounded nation is not a docile one. When a regime loses its founding, unifying charismatic leader, it does not automatically liberalize — as Iran’s new Interim Leadership Council has shown, it can instead harden its position, decentralize decision-making, and become far less predictable and open to negotiation than the old order ever was. War hawks mistakenly confused the absence of one single decision-maker with the total absence of cohesive decision-making, a mistake that has upended every subsequent military and political calculation.

    The second catastrophic miscalculation was the theory that Iran would limit its retaliation to preserve its own survival. War planners argued that Tehran would calibrate its response to avoid total annihilation, absorbing heavy blows while only lashing out symbolically before returning to negotiations on terms favorable to Washington and Jerusalem.

    This was always a baffling assumption to make about an adversary that spent 20 years building an entire strategic doctrine centered on proxies, long-range missiles, and maritime harassment specifically designed to make limited war impossible. This fact was included in every U.S. Central Command briefing for two decades, but when the time came to launch the offensive, planners insisted Iran would behave according to a Western definition of “rational” action, not the framework shaped by Tehran’s own ideological and strategic priorities.

    The results are impossible to ignore. Iran has now launched strikes on American military bases across Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Jordan, and Iraq. Yemen’s Houthi movement has closed the Bab el-Mandeb, another critical global shipping lane connecting the Mediterranean and Red Sea to the Indian Ocean. The Strait of Hormuz only operates intermittently, at Iran’s unilateral sufferance. This outcome was never a surprise; it was widely predicted by critics before the war ever began.

    The third miscalculation centered on the supposed regional coalition backing the campaign. The war’s architects genuinely believed the Abraham Accords had created more than a temporary, transactional set of relationships between Israel and Gulf Arab states. They assumed that the Gulf’s quiet long-standing animosity toward Tehran would translate into open, active participation in an American-led war. It has not.

    Saudi Arabia allowed the U.S. to use its airspace for strike operations, but within 48 hours, Riyadh was on the phone with Beijing seeking diplomatic mediation. Pakistan, bound by a long-standing defense pact with Saudi Arabia, has spent the past 10 weeks caught between competing interests, attempting to mediate a ceasefire it has no power to enforce while trying to protect irreconcilable strategic equities on both sides. Turkey has opted for strategic hedging, refusing to commit fully to either camp. Even the UAE, which intercepted Iranian missiles aimed at its territory, has simultaneously expanded trade corridors with Tehran’s key commercial partners. This is not a functioning coalition. It is a region scrambling desperately to avoid being dragged into a catastrophic conflict by its own American security guarantor.

    The fourth miscalculation — and the one that will be hardest for war defenders to confront — is that no one ever clearly defined what “victory” would actually look like. Tracing the official justifications for the war reveals shifting goalposts that change by the week: first, it was to degrade Iran’s nuclear program; then to restore Western deterrence in the region; then to force regime change; now it is to reassert American global primacy. These are not just different objectives — they are often incompatible with one another. When a war’s stated purposes multiply as its human and economic costs mount, it is clear that its architects had no clear idea of what they wanted to achieve before they ordered the first strike.

    This is not a minor quibble. It is the core failure of the entire enterprise. Carl von Clausewitz, the foundational theorist of modern war, wrote extensively about the danger of launching military campaigns without a clear, achievable political objective — and every word of his warning has proven correct here.

    The fifth and final miscalculation concerned American public opinion. War supporters assured themselves and the public that the absence of a large-scale U.S. ground troop commitment would keep the conflict politically manageable at home. They are now learning what U.S. policymakers learned in 1965 in Vietnam, in 1991 and again in 2003 in Iraq: wars that begin with airstrikes never end with airstrikes. They end with returning troop coffins, crippling naval blockades, global energy price shocks, and a public that eventually begins to ask the fundamental question: who even authorized this war in the first place?

    The ongoing naval blockade of Iran, the collapsed ceasefire talks in Islamabad, the growing risk of escalation across the Lebanese front: none of these outcomes were mentioned to the American public when they were sold this conflict. The current reality is nothing like the clean, quick war voters were promised.

    This commentary takes no pleasure in being proven right by disaster. The realist foreign policy tradition does not celebrate vindication that comes at the cost of regional chaos and rising human suffering. It would far prefer to have been ignored quietly, proven correct only in an unread footnote of policy analysis.

    Yet it has become a repeated pattern of Washington’s foreign policy establishment to mistake the absence of immediate cost for the total absence of cost. They confuse the quiet that precedes consequences for the absence of consequences entirely. Iran’s deliberate restraint in 2024 and 2025 was read in Washington as a sign of weakness. It should have been recognized for what it was: strategic patience.

    In time, the war’s defenders will fall back on the same excuses they always produce after failed campaigns: the core plan was sound, only the execution was flawed; the Iranians refused to behave as they were supposed to; regional allies were unreliable; the White House held back from committing enough force; the American public lacked sufficient resolve. From these excuses, they will draw the same wrong lesson: that next time, the U.S. must be more committed, more unified, and more willing to do whatever it takes to win.

    But these are the lessons you draw when you refuse to learn the actual, harder lesson that has been available to policymakers for generations: the Middle East is not a problem to be solved by outside military force. Iran is a sovereign nation with its own history, politics, and ideology, not just a target set for American bombs. The gap between what American military power can destroy and what it can build remains the central, unhealed flaw of U.S. foreign policy in the post-Cold War era.

    We were warned about these mistakes before the first strike. Today, those warnings are history. The only question that matters now is what we will do with the warnings that are still to come.

  • Dozens of countries at UN condemn Moscow’s ‘threats’ to embassies in Ukraine

    Dozens of countries at UN condemn Moscow’s ‘threats’ to embassies in Ukraine

    Fresh tensions have surged at the United Nations after nearly 50 countries signed a joint statement Tuesday condemning what they call unacceptable threats from Moscow against foreign diplomatic missions based in Ukraine’s capital Kyiv. The unprecedented rebuke comes one day after Russia issued an explicit call for Washington to evacuate its Kyiv embassy, warning of impending “systematic strikes” across the Ukrainian capital. Similar evacuation warnings were extended to other diplomatic missions operating in the city.

    Delivered to the UN assembly by Ukrainian representative Andriy Melnyk, the joint statement made clear that the signatories would not normalize Russian actions against diplomatic infrastructure. “We also condemn recent threats by Russia to diplomatic institutions and embassies in Kyiv. This is something which we cannot accept,” Melnyk told the gathered body. The list of signatories includes a broad coalition of European nations, Japan, South Korea, and other countries, with the United States notably absent from the official signatory list.

    The public condemnation follows a devastating weekend barrage of Russian drone and missile attacks across Kyiv that left four civilians dead and sparked widespread destruction to residential and public infrastructure. Among the weapons deployed in the strikes was Russia’s new Oreshnik hypersonic missile, a system Moscow confirms can travel at up to 10 times the speed of sound and is designed to carry nuclear warheads.

    The weekend Russian escalation came in direct retaliation for what Moscow claims was a Ukrainian drone attack on a vocational college and dormitory in Starobilsk, a city in the Luhansk region currently under Russian occupation. Russian officials say the alleged Ukrainian strike killed 21 people, prompting President Vladimir Putin to order a direct military response against Ukrainian targets.

    UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres used an address to the UN Security Council to voice deep alarm over the escalating violence. Guterres noted that Russia announced its systematic strike campaign in Kyiv targeting Ukrainian defense facilities, government decision-making hubs, and military command posts in response to the Starobilsk incident. “Now more than ever it is imperative to avoid any escalation of a conflict that has already exacted a devastating toll on civilians and that risks making the search for peace even more distant,” Guterres warned.

  • Trump builds giant stage at White House for birthday cage fight

    Trump builds giant stage at White House for birthday cage fight

    For more than two centuries, the White House South Lawn has stood as the backdrop for some of the most consequential moments in American political history—from Richard Nixon’s 1974 farewell departure after the Watergate scandal to the iconic 1993 Oslo Accord handshake between Israeli and Palestinian leaders. Now, the iconic green space is undergoing an unprecedented transformation: U.S. President Donald Trump is constructing a full-scale Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) cage fighting arena on the grounds, set to host a major event on his 80th birthday, June 14, which also coincides with the U.S. national holiday Flag Day.

    AFP correspondents on site documented construction crews using heavy cranes to position massive metal arches for the event’s signature eight-sided Octagon ring on Tuesday. The spectacle, branded “UFC Freedom 250” to tie into this summer’s 250th anniversary of U.S. independence, will feature a six-fight card headlined by a lightweight championship bout between top competitors Ilia Topuria and Justin Gaethje, as first announced by the UFC in March.

    In remarks earlier this month from the Oval Office, surrounded by four of the event’s scheduled fighters, Trump framed the gathering as a one-of-a-kind historic occasion. “We’re having a big fight. It’s never going to happen again, never happened before,” he said, while displaying a concept rendering of the Octagon ring set against the White House facade, flanked by spectator seating. The president, a lifelong UFC fan with longstanding ties to the promotion, outlined that 4,500 attendees will be able to watch the fights directly on the South Lawn, with an additional 100,000 people expected to view the event for free on large outdoor screens just outside the White House perimeter.

    Political observers have widely noted that the event is strategically targeted at UFC’s core demographic of young men, a key voting bloc in the 2024 U.S. presidential election that Trump has actively courted through his repeated appearances at UFC events, where he regularly receives rock-star level receptions from crowds. This is not the first dramatic alteration Trump has made to White House grounds during his tenure: he has already paved over portions of the iconic Rose Garden and demolished the entire East Wing to construct a $400 million presidential ballroom, a permanent change that drew criticism from historical preservation groups.

    The plan has sparked significant controversy from the outset, with critics raising questions over both the extravagant cost and the decision to host a commercial combat sports event on one of the nation’s most revered public historical sites. The UFC’s parent company initially confirmed in February that staging the event would cost a minimum of $60 million, though organizers project they will recover roughly half of that sum through corporate sponsorships and other revenue streams. White House officials have pushed back against claims of public funding, telling AFP that “no taxpayer money is being used” and that the entire cost is being covered directly by the UFC.

    Even some of Trump’s own allies and supporters have questioned the timing of the spectacle. With the U.S. currently engaged in active conflict with Iran that has driven sharp increases in global oil prices and elevated domestic cost of living for American households, the multi-million dollar event has drawn accusations of being out of touch with public struggles. Popular podcaster Joe Rogan, who hosted Trump for a high-profile interview ahead of the 2024 election, commented in March that holding a major fight event at the White House amid an ongoing war felt “weird.”

    UFC CEO Dana White pushed back against criticism of the event in a Time magazine interview published Tuesday, rejecting claims that the gathering is a politically motivated campaign stunt. “You can make anything political if you want to,” White said. “This is basically me spending a shit-load of money to celebrate the 250th birthday of America, with America and the rest of the world.”

    Tight security arrangements are already in place for the open-air event, coming on the heels of a string of recent security incidents targeting Trump. Just this past Saturday, the U.S. Secret Service fatally shot a gunman who opened fire near the White House grounds, and an alleged assassination attempt was foiled at the White House Correspondents Dinner held at a Washington D.C. hotel in April.

  • Russia ‘relentlessly targeting’ critical infrastructure and democracy, GCHQ says

    Russia ‘relentlessly targeting’ critical infrastructure and democracy, GCHQ says

    In a highly anticipated inaugural public address set to be delivered Wednesday at Bletchley Park, the historic wartime birthplace of the UK’s signals intelligence program, GCHQ Director Anne Keast-Butler will deliver a stark warning: the United Kingdom now stands at a “moment of consequence” facing relentless hostile activity from Russia that directly targets the nation’s critical infrastructure.

    Keast-Butler will outline the full scope of evolving threats to UK national security and lay out the whole-of-society approach she says is required to counter these risks, according to pre-released excerpts of her speech. In her remarks, she will single out Russia as the most immediate aggressive actor, accusing Moscow of deliberately targeting not only core critical infrastructure, but also UK democratic processes, global supply chains, and public confidence in national institutions.

    For years, Russia has faced repeated accusations of orchestrating a series of high-profile espionage plots on British soil, and more recently, of waging an undeclared hybrid warfare campaign against the UK and other NATO member states. The Kremlin has consistently denied all allegations of hostile activity on UK territory. Notable past incidents blamed on Russian intelligence include the 2006 assassination of former KGB officer Alexander Litvinenko, who was poisoned with radioactive polonium in a London hotel, and the 2018 attempted murder of former Russian military intelligence officer Sergei Skripal, who was targeted with the deadly nerve agent Novichok at his home in Salisbury.

    Since Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, and amid the UK’s sustained military and political support for Kyiv, accusations of Russian hybrid aggression against Western nations have grown. Keast-Butler will note that while Russian forces have struggled to make gains on the Ukrainian battlefield, Moscow has ramped up covert hostile activity against Western backers of Ukraine. A recent BBC Verify analysis has already highlighted that hundreds of Russian “shadow fleet” oil vessels have entered UK territorial waters since Prime Minister Keir Starmer threatened to intercept illicit Russian shipments earlier this year, underscoring the ongoing challenge of Russian maritime activity near UK borders.

    Beyond the immediate Russian threat, Keast-Butler will also warn that China has emerged as a global science and technology superpower, with advanced capabilities across its intelligence, cyber, and military arms. On the rapidly evolving frontier of artificial intelligence and digital innovation, she will argue that the window for the UK and its international allies to maintain their competitive technological edge is closing rapidly, describing the shifting global technology landscape as the “ground beneath our feet” shifting beneath Western powers.

    To address these overlapping threats, the GCHQ chief will frame cross-sector collaboration as the only effective path forward. She will call for deepened partnership between government intelligence bodies, the private tech industry, academic institutions, and the general public to strengthen the UK’s cyber resilience. Beyond state-sponsored threats, GCHQ devotes a large share of its operational capacity to countering transnational organized criminal networks that routinely target British businesses, particularly small and vulnerable firms, with phishing scams and devastating ransomware attacks.

    Using the framing “from boardrooms to living rooms”, Keast-Butler will urge every segment of British society to take proactive steps to improve their own cybersecurity. In her address, she will outline concrete actions: for private citizens, this means immediately replacing weak, traditional passwords with more secure passkeys, while for industry and government, it requires embedding robust security protocols into all new emerging technologies, shoring up vulnerable global supply chains, and treating cybersecurity as a far more urgent national priority than it has been to date.

    As the UK’s largest intelligence agency, GCHQ – short for Government Communications Headquarters – is one of three core UK spy bodies, alongside domestic security service MI5 and foreign intelligence service MI6. Headquartered in Cheltenham in a distinctive circular building nicknamed “the Doughnut”, GCHQ specializes in signals intelligence and national cyber defense, and receives the largest share of the UK’s national intelligence budget due to its expanding technology-focused mandate.