The global media landscape is undergoing a quiet transformation, as legacy news organizations rush to integrate interactive puzzles and casual games into their digital offerings — all chasing the subscription-driven success that The New York Times has spent years refining, and that is now poised to make the jump to network television.
分类: business
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Stocks tumble as US-Iran impasse fuels inflation fears
On Friday, international financial markets suffered widespread downturns as geopolitical gridlock in the Middle East and underwhelming outcomes from the high-stakes US-China leaders’ summit reignited investor anxiety over sustained inflation that threatens to undermine global economic expansion. The standoff over the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global energy shipments, sent crude prices jumping by as much as 3.5%, lifting benchmark Brent crude to nearly $109 per barrel by mid-afternoon GMT.
The much-anticipated summit between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping failed to deliver the concrete breakthroughs investors had hoped for, both on Middle East de-escalation and bilateral trade negotiations. While Trump claimed the two sides had struck “fantastic trade deals”, he offered no detailed specifics, only noting that Beijing had expressed interest in purchasing American oil and soybean exports, and confirmed he did not raise the contentious issue of existing tariffs during discussions. China’s top diplomatic officials later clarified that the two nations had agreed to uphold previously reached accords and set up new bilateral trade and investment working councils, but offered no new commitments to resolve ongoing tensions.
Market analysts characterized the meeting as heavy on symbolic goodwill but light on tangible policy progress. With diplomatic efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz — where commercial oil tanker traffic has slowed to a near halt following the outbreak of regional conflict — stuck in limbo, fresh uncertainty flooded through global energy and financial markets. The White House confirmed that both leaders agreed the strait must remain open for global energy trade, but investors had pushed for more concrete action to restore full shipping access, which has been blocked amid the ongoing US-Iran impasse. Trump amplified geopolitical jitters Thursday in an interview with Fox News, saying he would “not be much more patient” with Iran, leaving energy markets on edge over potential further supply disruptions.
Rising crude oil futures triggered a sharp jump in government bond yields across major developed economies, as investors demanded higher returns to compensate for growing inflation risk. In the United Kingdom, where newly inaugurated Prime Minister Keir Starmer is already facing fresh challenges to his leadership, 30-year government bond yields climbed to 5.869% — their highest level since 1998, surpassing the previous record set just three days earlier. In Japan, 30-year bond yields hit the 4% threshold for the first time since 1999.
“Bond yields have continued to march higher, and this has introduced more volatility to the wider financial markets as investors worry about the impact of increased government borrowings across the developed economies and what they mean for their economies,” explained Fawad Razaqzada, a senior market analyst at FOREX.com.
Across global equity markets, losses were broad and deep. In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 closed 2% lower, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index and China’s Shanghai Composite dropped 1.6% and 1% respectively. Major European bourses fared worse: London’s FTSE 100 closed down 1.7%, Paris’ CAC 40 fell 1.6%, and Frankfurt’s DAX 30 slid 2.1% by the end of trading. On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 both dropped 0.9% from the fresh all-time highs set Thursday, driven by a cooling in the ongoing AI-fueled tech rally that pulled the Nasdaq Composite down 1.1%. The US dollar strengthened against all major global currencies, including the British pound, euro, and Japanese yen.
“Stalled US-Iran diplomacy keeps supply fears firmly in focus,” noted Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown. “Even if resolved next month, the oil market could remain undersupplied through October, keeping inflationary pressures high and adding another headache for consumers, central banks, and, eventually, investors.”
Susannah Streeter, chief investment strategist at Wealth Park, echoed that assessment, adding: “With diplomatic efforts aimed at resolving the Middle East conflict in limbo, fresh uncertainty has flooded in.”
By 1530 GMT, key market metrics stood at: Brent North Sea Crude up 3.0% at $108.88 per barrel; West Texas Intermediate up 3.5% at $104.71 per barrel; Dow Jones at 49,636.63 (down 0.9%); S&P 500 at 7,436.28 (down 0.9%); Nasdaq Composite at 26,335.25 (down 1.1%); FTSE 100 at 10,195.37 (down 1.7%, close); CAC 40 at 7,952.55 (down 1.6%, close); DAX 30 at 23,950.55 (down 2.1%, close); Nikkei 225 at 61,409.29 (down 2.0%, close); Hang Seng Index at 25,962.73 (down 1.6%, close); Shanghai Composite at 4,135.39 (down 1.0%, close); GBP/USD at 1.3324 (down from 1.3400); EUR/USD at 1.1624 (down from 1.1673); USD/JPY at 158.68 (up from 158.33); EUR/GBP at 87.25 pence (up from 87.09 pence).
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Trump says China agreed to buy 200 Boeing planes and signaled interest in as many as 750
Speaking to reporters aboard Air Force One while returning from his bilateral summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping, former U.S. President Donald Trump made a surprise announcement Friday: U.S. aerospace giant Boeing is set to secure its first major sale to China in nearly a decade, anchored by a 200-aircraft order. Trump added that the preliminary agreement includes a Chinese reservation for up to 750 Boeing aircraft total, a deal he framed as a key win from the high-stakes Beijing meeting.
Neither the Chinese government nor Boeing has issued an official statement confirming the proposed transaction, which would mark a critical turning point for the U.S. manufacturer, for whom China was once a core pillar of long-term global growth. Boeing Chief Executive Kelly Ortberg was among the cohort of top American business leaders who traveled with Trump to China, part of a broader delegation pushing to expand U.S. goods and services access to the massive Chinese market. Trump also noted the deal would deliver secondary gains to industrial conglomerate General Electric, which he says will supply between 400 and 450 aircraft engines for the order. GE Aerospace CEO H. Lawrence Culp also joined the presidential trip, but the company has not issued any immediate comment on the reported agreement.
The Trump administration has centered Boeing as a key asset in its broader strategy to revitalize American manufacturing in recent years, a push that already delivered large commercial jet orders from Qatar and Saudi Arabia during a 2023 Middle East presidential visit. Still, the lack of formal confirmation from all involved parties has left industry analysts cautious about the actual scope of any potential agreement. Bonnie Glaser, managing director of the German Marshall Fund’s Indo-Pacific program, noted that while many observers hoped the Xi-Trump summit would produce concrete, public deal announcements, the trip ended with deep uncertainty over the actual terms of any bilateral commercial agreements.
“All we have right now is the announcement the president made to the world that China agreed to this,” Glaser told reporters during a Friday media briefing. “We really have to wait for official numbers from Boeing or the Chinese government to confirm this. This is not an isolated case—we still have no concrete details on reported agreements for soy, liquefied natural gas, and beef either.”
For Boeing, a breakthrough in China could not come at a more pivotal moment. Before the COVID-19 pandemic, roughly one in every three narrowbody aircraft Boeing delivered globally went to Chinese operators. But that business collapsed sharply as geopolitical tensions drove a steady deterioration in U.S.-China trade relations over the past several years. Even ahead of the summit, Ortberg expressed optimism that any broad trade deal reached between Trump and Xi would open a meaningful new opportunity for Boeing, noting that the administration has prioritized supporting the company’s international growth efforts.
Ortberg stepped into the CEO role in 2024, a year marked by cascading crises for the 108-year-old manufacturer. In January 2024, an Alaska Airlines-operated 737 MAX suffered a mid-flight emergency when a door plug blew off the fuselage shortly after takeoff from Portland, Oregon, triggering widespread public and regulatory scrutiny over allegations of systemic production and quality control failures at the company, which sent its financial position under growing strain. Months later, the U.S. Department of Justice reopened a criminal investigation into Boeing linked to two deadly fatal 737 MAX crashes that killed 346 people between 2018 and 2019. The case ultimately concluded with a deferred agreement that saw Boeing pay an additional $1.1 billion in fines, victim compensation, and commit to sweeping internal safety and quality overhauls.
To cap off the turbulent year, more than 30,000 machinists at Boeing’s 737 MAX assembly facility in Renton, Washington, staged an eight-week work stoppage that stretched through the fall of 2024, disrupting production lines and piling further financial pressure on the already struggling company.
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India’s Adanis agree to pay $18m to settle civil fraud case in the US
One of the world’s wealthiest individuals, Indian conglomerate leader Gautam Adani, has closed a high-stakes civil case with U.S. regulators through an $18 million joint penalty settlement with his nephew, Sagar Adani, even as federal prosecutors prepare to dismiss related criminal fraud charges in a surprising policy shift under the second Trump administration.
The civil resolution stems from a 2024 enforcement action brought by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which alleged that the Adanis paid improper bribes to Indian government officials to secure major renewable energy project contracts. The regulator also claimed the pair misled U.S.-based investors about the conglomerate’s anti-bribery compliance protocols when launching a $750 million bond offering, roughly a quarter of which — $175 million — was raised from American investors.
Under the terms of the proposed settlement, neither Gautam Adani, chairman of the sprawling Adani Group, nor his nephew are required to admit or deny the SEC’s allegations. The agreement does, however, permanently bar the two men from future violations of core U.S. securities laws that prohibit investor deception, fraudulent trading, and market manipulation. The deal still requires formal approval from a federal judge to take effect.
News of the civil settlement triggered an immediate positive reaction from global markets, with publicly traded Adani Group shares posting noticeable gains during Friday trading sessions.
The Adani Group, one of India’s largest diversified business conglomerates, maintains operations across a wide range of critical sectors, including renewable and traditional energy, port infrastructure, and airport management. The conglomerate has repeatedly rejected the SEC’s claims as unfounded since they were first filed. Gautam Adani, 63, boasts an estimated net worth of $82 billion according to Forbes, placing him among the top 10 wealthiest people globally.
In a parallel development reported Thursday by major international news outlets including The New York Times, Reuters, and Bloomberg, the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) is moving to dismiss the separate criminal fraud case against the Indian billionaire.
The DOJ’s about-face follows a high-profile strategic shift by Adani, who retained a new legal team led by prominent Washington power attorney Robert J. Giuffra Jr. Giuffra, who leads one of the most influential law firms in the United States, previously served as one of former President Donald Trump’s personal legal advisors, most recently leading Trump’s appeal of his conviction in the New York hush-money criminal case.
Per The New York Times’ reporting, Giuffra held a closed-door meeting with senior DOJ officials last month to outline his client’s objections to the criminal prosecution. During that meeting, Giuffra also reiterated a public pledge Adani made to Trump shortly after his 2024 presidential election victory: the conglomerate would invest $10 billion in U.S. infrastructure and projects, creating an estimated 15,000 American jobs, if the criminal charges were dropped.
Sources familiar with the decision told the Times that the planned dismissal aligns with a broader policy shift by the second Trump administration to deprioritize prosecution of foreign bribery cases under the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act. The BBC has reached out to both the DOJ and Adani Group for official comment on the developments, as of press time.
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India raises fuel prices as global energy crisis adds pressure on economy
NEW DELHI – In a long-awaited policy shift triggered by spiking global crude costs, India implemented a 3-rupee ($0.03) per liter increase in retail fuel prices on Friday, marking the first major pass-through of global energy market volatility to domestic consumers in one of the world’s largest emerging economies.
Following the adjustment, retail gasoline in New Delhi now costs 97.77 rupees ($1.17) per liter, while diesel, the fuel that powers most of India’s commercial and freight sectors, has climbed to 90.67 rupees ($1.09) per liter.
As a nation that relies on imports for roughly 90% of its total crude oil demand, India has faced extreme pressure on its energy budget and foreign exchange reserves amid ongoing supply disruptions tied to the Iran war and repeated closures of the critical Strait of Hormuz chokepoint. Until Friday, New Delhi had kept retail fuel prices frozen despite months of skyrocketing global energy costs, making it the last major global economy to avoid passing crude price increases on to end consumers.
The price adjustment comes just days after Prime Minister Narendra Modi launched a national call for voluntary energy austerity, framing fuel conservation and foreign exchange savings as an act of national patriotism. In his address Sunday, Modi urged Indian citizens to work from home wherever feasible, cut back on non-essential international travel, reduce gold purchases, and expand adoption of public transit and carpooling. He also called for reduced fertilizer use across the agricultural sector to further cut import costs.
Opposition political leaders have been quick to criticize the timing of both the fuel price hike and Modi’s austerity appeal, noting that retail prices were kept artificially frozen through the entirety of a key round of state elections, only moving upward once voting concluded.
The fuel price increase is just the latest in a series of policy moves to shore up India’s strained foreign exchange reserves, which have come under heavy pressure as the Indian rupee has slid to repeated record lows in recent weeks. Earlier this week, New Delhi raised import duties on gold and silver to 15% to dampen consumer demand for the precious metals, which are one of the country’s largest import categories after crude oil.
India’s national capital has already become the first subnational government to roll out formal austerity measures to cut fuel consumption. On Thursday, New Delhi’s local government announced a 90-day fuel-saving campaign that includes mandatory two-day work-from-home arrangements for all government employees whose roles can be completed remotely. Private sector companies are being encouraged to adopt the same policy voluntarily. Delhi Chief Minister Rekha Gupta said the initiative is designed to cut official fuel consumption and encourage residents to shift from private cars to public transit.
To reduce long-term dependence on imported crude, India has also accelerated its national program to blend ethanol into gasoline. Most fuel retail outlets across the country now offer E20 gasoline, which contains 20% ethanol, and the federal government has proposed expanding access to higher-blend fuels including E85 (85% ethanol) and even pure E100 ethanol for compatible vehicles.
Energy analysts have cautioned that while expanded biofuel blending can reduce India’s exposure to global energy market shocks, it carries significant trade-offs. Increased ethanol production, which is largely sourced from food crops including sugarcane in India, could put additional pressure on already overexploited groundwater reserves, divert agricultural land away from food production, and cause damage to the engines of older vehicles not designed to run on high-ethanol blends.
AP journalist Sibi Arasu in Bengaluru contributed reporting to this article.
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Asian stocks are lower after South Korea’s Kospi hits records, as Trump wraps up Beijing trip
HONG KONG – Global financial markets swung between caution and volatility on Friday, as investors tracked two high-stakes developments: ongoing tensions tied to the ongoing conflict in Iran and the final day of former U.S. President Donald Trump’s summit in Beijing with Chinese President Xi Jinping. The day’s trading saw most major Asian equity indexes pull back after early gains, even as U.S. markets had just closed out a second consecutive day of record highs.
Tokyo’s Nikkei 225, which had climbed in early morning trading, ended the session down 1.2% at 61,880.04. South Korea’s benchmark Kospi turned in the day’s steepest loss: after crossing the 8,000 threshold for the first time in history to hit an all-time peak of 8,046.78, fueled in large part by investor enthusiasm for the global artificial intelligence boom, the index erased all its gains to close 3.2% lower at 7,727.34. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index dropped 0.9% to 26,145.66, while mainland China’s Shanghai Composite bucked the downward trend to notch a modest 0.1% gain, settling at 4,183.05. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 dipped 0.1% to 8,629.70, Taiwan’s Taiex slid 0.5%, and India’s Sensex edged 0.1% higher. U.S. stock futures also ticked downward in early Asian trading, following the previous day’s record closes on Wall Street.
Friday marked the conclusion of Trump’s visit to China, where his meetings with Xi covered a range of topics from bilateral trade and expanded economic cooperation to the Taiwan issue. Investors are closely watching for updates on potential trade agreements covering key U.S. exports including soybeans, beef, and commercial aircraft. While broader market sentiment holds moderate optimism for improved U.S.-China relations, leading economic analysts are urging caution around any announced deals.
In a research note published Friday, Capital Economics China economists Leahy Fahy and Julian Evans-Pritchard noted that many of the headline projects and investment commitments announced during Trump’s 2017 visit to China never came to fruition, after bilateral tensions spiked dramatically in the years following that trip. Trump also recently noted in an interview that China could resume purchases of U.S. crude oil, more than a year after Beijing halted imports in response to hefty trade tariffs imposed by the Trump administration.
Energy markets also moved higher on Friday, as oil prices climbed in response to stalled negotiations between Washington and Tehran to end the ongoing Iran conflict, alongside fresh security incidents involving commercial shipping in the Persian Gulf region. A ship anchored off the United Arab Emirates was seized, and another cargo vessel was attacked near Oman, adding to existing supply concerns. International benchmark Brent crude rose 1.3% to trade at $107.06 per barrel, a sharp jump from the roughly $70 per barrel price point seen before the Iran conflict began in late February. U.S. benchmark crude climbed 1.4% to $102.56 per barrel.
Global energy supplies remain tight after the Strait of Hormuz — a critical chokepoint for 20% of global oil and gas trade — remains largely closed, and the U.S. has enforced a sea blockade on Iranian ports that began last month. Following Thursday’s bilateral meeting between Trump and Xi, the White House announced that both leaders had agreed the Strait of Hormuz must be kept open for international commerce.
On Thursday, U.S. equities extended their winning streak to record territory. The benchmark S&P 500 gained 0.8% to close at 7,501.24, notching an all-time high for the second straight day. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose more than 0.7% to settle at 50,063.46, marking the first time the index closed above 50,000 since the outbreak of the Iran conflict. The technology-focused Nasdaq Composite added 0.9% to close at 26,635.22.
Tech stocks led much of the gains on Wall Street: Cisco Systems shares jumped 13.4% after the networking giant reported better-than-expected quarterly results and announced plans to cut fewer than 4,000 jobs. AI chip leader Nvidia gained 4.4%, as investor optimism grew around potential updates on sales of its advanced H200 AI chips to Chinese clients, amid CEO Jensen Huang’s visit to Beijing alongside Trump.
In currency markets, the U.S. dollar edged slightly higher against the Japanese yen, rising to 158.50 yen from 158.37 yen in the previous trading session. The euro slipped modestly to $1.1651, down from $1.1669. AP Business Writer Stan Choe contributed reporting to this article.
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Hotel owners expected a World Cup boom – so far it hasn’t happened
As the 2026 FIFA World Cup draws near, visible preparations are popping up across host cities across the United States – from towering highway billboards to tournament-themed decor in downtown bars and shops stocked with branded merchandise. But behind the public fanfare, one key sector of the hospitality industry is sounding the alarm: traditional hoteliers across host cities are reporting far lower booking volumes than initially projected, leaving many independent and chain property owners underwhelmed years after they were promised a once-in-a-generation economic boom.
Deidre Mathis, owner of Houston’s Wanderstay Boutique Hotel, sits just one mile from the city’s official fan zone and a short drive from the stadium that will host World Cup matches. For the tournament period, her property is only 45% booked, compared to 70% capacity during the same window last year. She told the BBC that the industry spent years being sold on the idea that the World Cup would drive unprecedented demand, leaving hoteliers confused when bookings failed to materialize months ahead of kickoff. “We were sold this expectation the World Cup would be a big phenomenon, people have been talking about it for years,” Mathis said. “So when we looked at our calendar and saw in February, March and April that we still weren’t sold out for the tournament – and it is not just us in Houston, but it’s all over – we were left sitting here just very confused.”
Mathis points to a confluence of factors dragging down demand, starting with a tense political climate marked by increased immigration enforcement by US Immigration and Customs Enforcement under the second Trump administration, which she says has deterred international fans from planning trips. She also cites soaring cost of living pressures spurred by regional conflict tied to the US-Israel standoff in Iran, plus exorbitant match ticket prices that have put the tournament out of reach for many fans. Even former president and vocal World Cup supporter Donald Trump has acknowledged the sticker shock, saying he “wouldn’t pay it either” when asked about current pricing. Official tickets for the World Cup final at New Jersey’s MetLife Stadium top out at $32,970, with some resale listings exceeding $2 million. Mathis has called on FIFA to slash ticket prices and urged the US government to speed up visa processing for international fans to reverse the trend. “But it is just so unfortunate, and I am hoping that in the next four weeks, things can be turned around,” she said.
Data from the American Hotel and Lodging Association (AHLA), which represents more than 100,000 properties ranging from global chains to small independent bed and breakfasts, backs up these on-the-ground reports. The trade group found that 80% of hotels in host cities are seeing lower demand than expected, with the tournament failing to translate into the projected booking boom. In the organization’s survey, many hoteliers even described the tournament as a “non-event” so far, with a majority reporting bookings are running below typical summer season levels. AHLA CEO Rosanna Maietta told the BBC that regional conflict in Iran is a contributing factor, but noted that some fans may be delaying accommodation bookings until their national teams confirm their fixture locations and advancement in the tournament.
In contrast to the hotel industry’s slow start, home-sharing platform Airbnb has positioned the 2026 World Cup as the “biggest hosting event” in its company history, suggesting fans are shifting to alternative accommodation options to cut costs.
For traveling international fans, sticker shock for tickets remains the top complaint. Hamish Husband, a representative of the Association of Tartan Army Clubs who is traveling from the UK to watch Scotland compete, says he expects to spend upwards of £10,000 on his trip, even with cost cutting. He notes that despite Scotland’s rare qualification for the tournament, which has motivated diehard fans to make the trip regardless of cost, exorbitant ticket pricing remains a major point of contention. “the outrageous ticket pricing Fifa has enforced on fans,” he said. “There is no fairness in football anymore, but $1,000 for Scotland v Haiti tickets – that is scandalous.” Husband added that low- and middle-income locals in co-host Mexico would be unable to afford tickets at current prices, and praised Canadian regulators for cracking down on predatory resale pricing.
Many hoteliers are still holding out hope for a last-minute booking surge ahead of kickoff. Stephen Jenkins, general manager of Kansas City’s Fontaine Hotel, says his property’s booking numbers are roughly on par with last year, but still far lower than the boom his team anticipated when the city was selected as a host. “We are not seeing the pick-up we had anticipated,” Jenkins said, noting that his team has launched a range of World Cup-themed initiatives, including a “Culinary Cup” that serves country-specific menus matching the teams playing in Kansas City. Jenkins saw a small uptick in bookings after the official fixture list was released, and is expecting demand to spike closer to the tournament. He even compared the expected boom to Taylor Swift’s 2023 Eras Tour stop in the city, which completely sold out all hotel accommodation across Kansas City – though he acknowledged the comparison is not perfect, given the World Cup’s weeks-long schedule. So far, however, even soccer superstar Lionel Messi, who is scheduled to play in Kansas City with Argentina, has not driven the same booking surge that Swift did.
Manuel Deisen, general manager of the InterContinental Buckhead Atlanta, echoed that sentiment, telling the BBC that “the volume of enquiries and bookings we’re seeing is tracking lower to typical periods. It’s not quite what we had hoped for.” Still, Deisen said his team has observed “incredible enthusiasm” for the tournament among fans, and is also betting on a last-minute rush of bookings as kickoff approaches. The property is also planning a full slate of World Cup watch parties and fan events to draw both traveling and local guests throughout the tournament.
FIFA has pushed back against criticism of its ticketing strategy, telling the BBC that overall demand for the tournament has been “unprecedented”, with more than five million tickets sold to date. “Excitement continues to build for the largest sporting event on the planet,” a FIFA spokesperson said. The organization also defended its pricing, noting that some tickets are available for as low as $60, and higher price points are intentionally set to reduce predatory profiteering on secondary resale markets.
To support the tournament, the White House has launched a dedicated World Cup task force to streamline operations, and has waived the $15,000 visa application deposit for fans from 50 countries who can provide proof of valid match tickets, in a move to boost international attendance.
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VanEck tips ‘regime change’ ousting of big banks driving Australian sharemarket
A seismic single-day sell-off of Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) shares has sent shockwaves through Australia’s $3.3 trillion superannuation system, leaving 14 million account holders exposed to losses and prompting top global asset managers to warn that a decades-long market regime led by the nation’s big banks is coming to an end.
On Wednesday, CBA — long the crown jewel of the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) and the most widely held stock among domestic super funds — recorded the sharpest one-day drop in its entire history. The plunge erased roughly $30 billion from the lender’s market capitalization, knocking it from its decades-long position as the ASX’s most valuable company. That title now belongs to mining giant BHP Group, whose share price has surged 57% over the past 12 months amid booming global commodity prices.
Investment head Russel Chesler of global asset manager VanEck framed the sudden shift as the opening salvo of a fundamental market restructuring, noting that the structural conditions that turned big banks into a generation of Australian investors’ go-to safe bet have completely reversed all at once. For half a decade, low inflation, steadily falling interest rates, unbroken growth in housing credit and conservative loan loss provisioning drove consistent outsized returns for the major lenders. All of those tailwinds have now turned into headwinds, Chesler argued.
The sell-off was triggered in part by investor jitters over recent policy changes to capital gains tax discounts and negative gearing — reforms that hit the sector where it is most vulnerable, as CBA alone holds 26% of all Australian home mortgages. Even a better-than-expected quarterly result, which delivered a 4% rise in net profit to $2.7 billion, failed to stem the panic. In the month following the result, the entire ASX financial sector has shed 8.9% after delivering a modest 2.25% gain over the prior 12 months.
In contrast, Australia’s mining-heavy materials sector has rallied 50.2% over the past year, lifted by record copper prices, stable iron ore values, China’s restrictions on rare earth exports, and a global boom in infrastructure investment. Chesler said these factors have created long-lasting, durable tailwinds for the resources sector that are set to continue supporting gains into 2026.
The concentration risk that has built up in the big bank-dominated ASX now cuts both ways, Chesler warned. CBA alone makes up roughly 10% of the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 index, meaning a single quarterly update from the lender can move the entire benchmark by as much as 0.5 percentage points. For investors holding passive index funds heavy on bank exposure, that means they are effectively operating without a truly diversified portfolio, he added.
Independent analyst Filip Tortevski of Wealth Within went further, drawing parallels between CBA’s current price action and the run-ups to major corrections in 2008 during the Global Financial Crisis, and the 2015–2020 period that ended with the pandemic market low. Tortevski noted that since 2020, CBA’s stock has behaved less like a stable, dividend-paying blue-chip bank and more like a momentum-fueled technology stock, with an aggressive rally that has grown increasingly disconnected from its historical trading patterns.
“This may not be just another temporary sell-off,” Tortevski said. “It could be the first serious warning that CBA is entering its next major correction cycle. If history rhymes, a move back toward $95 cannot be ruled out, which would imply another potential 50 per cent decline from the recent highs.” As of 2pm Friday, CBA shares traded at $159.61, still well down from Wednesday’s pre-plunge levels.
In VanEck’s newly released 2026 Australian Equities Outlook, the New York-based firm argues that the ASX could outperform Wall Street for the remainder of the year if global geopolitical tensions ease. “If geopolitical volatility subsides and the earnings recovery continues to broaden, Australia could be one of the better risk-adjusted equity trades globally in the second half of 2026,” Chesler said. But that upside opportunity is only available to investors who look beyond the overcrowded big bank trade, he cautioned. “The next phase of the ASX rally is unlikely to lift all boats. Investors will need to be more deliberate about where they take risk.” For the 14 million Australians holding CBA shares in their retirement accounts, the question remains: was Wednesday’s historic plunge just a moment of panic, or the start of a far bigger market shakeup?
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US agrees to settle lawsuit that accused an Indian billionaire of hiding an alleged bribery scheme
Court filings made public Thursday have confirmed that the U.S. government has reached a civil settlement in a high-profile fraud lawsuit against Indian billionaire Gautam Adani and his nephew Sagar Adani, leaders of the global energy conglomerate Adani Green Energy Limited. The case, filed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in late 2024, centers on allegations that the pair misled international investors by hiding a large-scale alleged bribery scheme tied to the company’s massive Indian solar energy project. According to the SEC’s original complaint, the Adanis promised hundreds of millions of dollars in bribes to Indian government officials in exchange for lucrative public contracts that guaranteed inflated rates for energy purchased from the company. At the same time, the conglomerate raised billions of dollars in capital from Wall Street investors, who were falsely assured that the firm maintained a rigorous anti-bribery compliance framework and that senior leadership had committed to no corrupt practices. The SEC asserts these actions directly violated U.S. securities law anti-fraud provisions. Under the terms of the proposed settlement, Gautam Adani will pay $6 million in civil penalties, while Sagar Adani will pay $12 million. Critically, the agreement does not require either defendant to admit guilt to the allegations brought by the SEC. The Adani Group has repeatedly denied all claims since the lawsuit was filed, describing them as entirely baseless, and requests for comment from the Adanis’ legal teams Thursday went unanswered. Alongside the civil settlement, multiple major U.S. news outlets including The New York Times and Bloomberg reported Thursday that the criminal securities fraud and conspiracy charges brought against the pair in a New York federal court in late 2024 are expected to be dropped. Requests for confirmation from prosecutors for the Eastern District of New York have not yet been returned. The impending dismissal of criminal charges follows a sequence of events that many observers see as a clear foreshadowing of the move, starting after former President Donald Trump won a second term in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, an outcome Gautam Adani publicly praised extensively. In March 2025, Trump issued an executive order suspending enforcement of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act, the federal law that bans U.S.-linked companies from paying bribes to foreign officials to secure business deals. The move immediately led to widespread speculation in Indian business and political circles that the entire Adani prosecution would be derailed. For decades, Gautam Adani has built one of the world’s largest personal fortunes and emerged as one of India’s most powerful business figures. He got his start building a coal business in the 1990s, before expanding the Adani Group into a sprawling conglomerate with holdings across critical sectors including renewable energy, defense, and agriculture. Marketing itself under the slogan “Growth with Goodness,” the group has built one of the world’s largest renewable energy portfolios, totaling more than 20 gigawatts of installed capacity, including a massive solar power plant in the southern Indian state of Tamil Nadu. The firm has publicly committed to investing $70 billion in new clean energy projects by 2032, with a stated goal of becoming India’s largest clean energy producer by 2030. Adani’s career has long been marked by controversy, however. His well-documented close political ties to Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and the ruling national government have repeatedly drawn accusations of crony capitalism, with critics claiming he has secured unfair preferential treatment for government contracts, claims the Adani Group has consistently denied. In 2023, U.S.-based short seller Hindenburg Research released a scathing report accusing Adani and his conglomerate of “brazen stock manipulation” and systemic accounting fraud, claims the group dismissed as a malicious set of outdated, discredited, and selective misinformation. This latest U.S. legal action has already had global ripple effects on Adani’s international business: after the original indictment was announced in Brooklyn, Kenya’s president scrapped hundreds of millions of dollars in planned contracts with the Adani Group for airport modernization and energy infrastructure. Adani Green Energy was also forced to withdraw planned wind energy projects from Sri Lanka after the country moved to renegotiate contracted pricing, while a major French energy giant paused all new planned investments in Adani-led projects. Market analysts note that Adani’s decades-long rapid rise to power has been largely driven by his ability to align the Adani Group’s strategic priorities with the policy goals of the Modi government, a dynamic that has kept him at the center of Indian political and economic life even as controversy has followed his career. The impending end of the U.S. criminal case marks a major turning point in the legal saga, though questions about the conglomerate’s business practices and political ties remain unresolved.
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Honda makes its first annual loss in 70 years
Japanese automotive manufacturing giant Honda has logged its first annual operating loss in 70 years, after high-stakes investments in the global electric vehicle (EV) segment failed to deliver the projected returns the company counted on. For the 12-month period ending March 2026, the firm reported a staggering operating deficit of ¥423 billion, equal to roughly $2.68 billion or £1.99 billion, driven heavily by weaker-than-forecast consumer uptake of EVs across key markets.
In response to the disappointing results, Honda announced it will walk back several aggressive EV production targets, and shift to sourcing key components from lower-cost suppliers based in China as part of a sweeping cost-cutting strategy. The company also pinned a portion of its losses on shifting policy dynamics in the United States, one of its largest global markets. Changes implemented by the Trump administration in 2025 eliminated the $7,500 tax credit that U.S. consumers previously received for purchasing new EVs, and introduced new tariffs on imported cars and auto parts. Even after a late-year reduction that cut the tariff rate from 25% to 15%, the levies have squeezed profit margins for most major foreign automakers operating in the U.S. market, including Honda.
Founded as a motorcycle manufacturer before expanding into passenger vehicles, Honda has grown steadily since its 1957 stock market listing to become Japan’s second-largest automaker. Industry analysts note that the company’s large scale and long-standing legacy as a conventional gas-powered vehicle producer have left it poorly positioned to pivot quickly to match volatile swings in EV consumer demand.
Going forward, Honda will refocus its resources on its consistently profitable motorcycle division, its in-house financial services arm, and hybrid vehicle manufacturing, segments that have delivered steady returns for the firm in recent years. The company named North America, Japan and India as its top three priority markets for future growth, while confirming it has suspended planned EV and battery production facilities in Canada.
Honda CEO Toshihiro Mibe confirmed that the company is abandoning two of its most high-profile EV targets: the goal to make EVs 20% of all new car sales by 2030, and the broader plan to transition 100% of the company’s vehicle lineup to electric power by 2040. Looking ahead, Honda projects it will post an additional ¥512 billion in EV-related losses during the 2026-2027 fiscal year ending March 2027.
Danni Hewson, head of financial analysis at investment firm AJ Bell, called the 70-year losing milestone “bleak but not surprising.” “Like many legacy automakers it gambled on motorists making a quick move to EVs – and lost as the world shifted,” Hewson explained. She noted that a combination of political policy changes, persistent global cost of living pressures, and stiff competition from lower-cost Chinese EV manufacturers forced Honda to scale back its ambitious EV plans and absorb massive write-down costs.
Even with a recent uptick in EV demand driven by spiking gasoline prices tied to geopolitical tensions between the U.S., Israel and Iran, Hewson noted that large, established manufacturers like Honda face steep challenges adapting to rapid market shifts in real time. She warned that further volatility remains on the horizon, and that the industry could face additional unforeseen twists and turns in coming years that will test the resilience of legacy automakers still navigating the transition from conventional to electric vehicles.
