分类: business

  • France says G7 finance talks ‘frank, sometimes difficult’

    France says G7 finance talks ‘frank, sometimes difficult’

    Against a backdrop of escalating geopolitical tension and mounting economic instability, finance leaders from the Group of Seven major global economies wrapped up two days of talks in Paris on Tuesday, leaving French officials acknowledging that negotiations were marked by candid, at times strained, exchanges before the bloc agreed to a unified statement reaffirming commitment to multilateral collaboration.\n\nRoland Lescure, France’s finance minister, told reporters following the closed-door meetings that delegates engaged in open, unvarnished discussions to craft both immediate and long-term policy responses to pressing global economic challenges, with the core goal of safeguarding broad-based economic stability. The gathering included top finance officials from all G7 members, among them United States Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent.\n\nDespite the friction in talks, the G7’s final official communique reaffirmed the bloc’s core pledge to work together through multilateral frameworks to counter growing risks threatening the interconnected global economy. The document framed current global conditions as a series of overlapping, complex challenges that demand coordinated policy action, pointing specifically to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East as a key driver of heightened economic uncertainty.\n\nIn the communique, G7 leaders noted that the Middle Eastern conflict has amplified existing risks to both global growth and persistent inflation, with cascading disruptions hitting critical global supply chains. The statement specifically called out acute pressures on energy, food, and fertilizer supply networks — disruptions that disproportionately harm low-income and vulnerable developing economies that rely heavily on global imports.\n\nOne of the most pressing geopolitical economic issues addressed was the persistent disruption to global shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical strategic waterway that carries roughly a fifth of the world’s daily oil trade. Since the escalation of regional conflict, Iran has implemented an effective blockade that has severely restricted shipping traffic through the strait. The G7 statement called for an immediate end to the disruption, urging a “swift return to free and safe transit” for all commercial vessels.\n\nThis week’s meeting in the French capital was held as France holds the rotating G7 presidency, and it served as a key preparatory step for the group’s full head-of-state summit scheduled for June 2025. That higher-level gathering will be hosted at the Alpine lakeside resort of Evian, with French President Emmanuel Macron set to chair the proceedings, and U.S. President Donald Trump expected to attend in person.

  • Mining heirs Gina Rinehart, Angela Bennett back in court over who picks up legal tab over long-running royalties dispute

    Mining heirs Gina Rinehart, Angela Bennett back in court over who picks up legal tab over long-running royalties dispute

    Sixteen years after a bitter billion-dollar commercial conflict between Australia’s most powerful mining dynasties first erupted, legal representatives for the involved parties have headed back to a Western Australian court to resolve one last burning question: who will foot the staggering $100 million legal bill accumulated over more than a decade of litigation?

    The dispute, which first kicked off in 2010, pits Gina Rinehart’s Hancock Prospecting Pty Ltd (HPPL) against Wright Prospecting Pty Ltd (WPPL), another firm controlled by prominent mining heirs. The core of the conflict centered on contested rights to lucrative iron ore royalties and critical mining assets tied to the Hope Downs operation in Western Australia’s resource-rich Pilbara region. After years of pre-trial wrangling, the high-stakes case finally reached the WA Supreme Court for a full 53-day trial in 2023, with daily legal fees estimated at a jaw-dropping $250,000 – a rate that pushed total projected costs across the entire 16-year dispute to roughly $100 million, according to local media reports.

    Last month, Justice Jennifer Smith delivered her long-awaited landmark ruling more than two years after the close of trial proceedings. The decision handed a major partial victory to WPPL, ordering HPPL to share hundreds of millions of dollars in iron ore royalties with the rival firm. DFD Rhodes, a third entity linked to the Rhodes mining family, also secured partial success in its claim for a share of royalties. However, Rinehart retained full control over the billion-dollar mining licences for the East Angelas site, after the court dismissed competing claims over that site from WPPL and from Rinehart’s own children, John Hancock and Bianca Rinehart.

    With the core ownership and royalty questions settled, the court has now turned to the unresolved issue of cost allocation. Arguments put forward by all sides reveal deep divisions over who should bear responsibility for the massive legal expenses.

    WPPL’s legal team is pushing for HPPL to cover 75% of its total costs, arguing that WPPL won the majority of its core claims. But HPPL’s senior counsel Charles Colquhoun SC pushed back, noting that his client retained ownership of the highest-value asset in the entire dispute – the East Angelas tenements. “It can’t be denied that we won on the propriety claim and there needs to be some victory on that issue,” Colquhoun told the court. “It was the most important issue in the proceedings, certainly the most valuable issue in the proceedings.”

    The biggest point of contention now surrounds the failed claims brought by John Hancock and Bianca Rinehart, who were seeking a portion of their grandfather Lang Hancock’s mining legacy. DFD Rhodes has argued the pair should be held responsible for 15% of total costs, while WPPL is pushing for an even higher 20% allocation, arguing that the siblings’ involvement unnecessarily lengthened the proceedings and drained significant court and legal resources.

    Julie Taylor SC, representing WPPL, told the court that the siblings’ defense alone spanned 250 pages, and their closing submissions ran to 749 pages. “John and Bianca took 14 days of the hearing time for their submissions alone, all the parties had to respond to that,” she said. “A rough estimate of 20 per cent would be fair.” For their part, the siblings have argued that each party should simply absorb its own legal costs after their unsuccessful claim.

    The WA Supreme Court is now reviewing all submissions from the multiple involved parties before issuing a final ruling on cost allocation, closing the book on one of Australia’s longest-running and most expensive commercial mining disputes.

  • ASX bounces back after Monday’s ‘poleaxing’, banks and Woolworths lead gains

    ASX bounces back after Monday’s ‘poleaxing’, banks and Woolworths lead gains

    After suffering steep single-day losses on Monday, Australia’s domestic sharemarket staged a notable rebound on Wednesday, clawing back most of its earlier decline as broad-based sector growth was supported by a global drop in crude oil prices tied to easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

    Nine out of 11 tracked market sectors posted gains by the close of trading, with only the technology sector edging 0.4% lower and the materials sector holding steady amid stagnant iron ore prices. The benchmark ASX 200 index climbed 99.4 points, or 1.17%, to settle at 8604.7, while the broader All Ordinaries index rose 1.08% overall. The Australian dollar dipped slightly to around 71.3 US cents amid concurrent strengthening of the US dollar.

    Leading the session’s gains was the consumer staples sector, lifted after banking giant JPMorgan upgraded its rating on supermarket giant Woolworths. The upgrade pushed Woolworths shares up 3.7% for the day, pulling the entire sector upward alongside it. “The ASX200 has bounced back from yesterday’s poleaxing in a solid fashion, regaining a good chunk of the 105 points lost in yesterday’s demolition derby,” explained Tony Sycamore, a market analyst with international trading firm IG.

    The drop in global oil prices that supported market sentiment came after former US President Donald Trump announced he would postpone a planned military strike on Iran, a decision made at the request of major Middle Eastern oil producers Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates. Trump also confirmed that “serious negotiations are now taking place” with Iranian officials to de-escalate regional tensions, though Sycamore noted market analysts remain skeptical of a quick, lasting peace deal. “Frankly, we’re not overly convinced about the near-term prospects of a peace deal and suspect the motivation to hold fire stemmed from the weekend’s fresh drone attacks on the UAE and Saudi Arabia,” he added.

    The de-escalation of geopolitical risk calmed global bond markets and pulled crude prices lower: international benchmark Brent Crude fell 1.3% on the day, while US West Texas Intermediate futures dropped 0.9%. For Australia’s materials sector, a concurrent slip in iron ore futures erased potential gains, leaving the sector flat overall. Mining giant BHP dipped 0.1%, Fortescue Metals fell 0.3%, and rare earths producer Lynas Rare Earths dropped 4.3%.

    Notable outliers in the resources space included Perth-based Northern Minerals, whose shares surged 21.7% after the company confirmed it would comply with Treasurer Jim Chalmers’ order requiring Chinese investors to divest their stakes amid a months-long boardroom takeover conflict. Mineral Resources also posted a 2.6% gain after announcing it would restart its Western Australia-based lithium mine in response to recovering global lithium prices. Bellevue Gold added 2% after extracting the first batch of ore from its new high-grade Deacon North mine in Western Australia.
    Across the financial sector, Australia’s big four major banks all recorded gains between 1.3% and 2%, while QBE Insurance climbed 2.9% and insurance broker Steadfast rose 3.7%. Real estate stocks also recovered from Monday’s broad sell-off: industrial property giant Goodman Group gained 1.8%, shopping centre operator Scentre Group added 1.4%, and diversified developer Stockland rose 3.1%.

    In the telecommunications space, the sector as a whole climbed 2.7% to hit a six-month high. National carrier Telstra gained 2.6%, CAR Group rose 3.7%, and employment platform Seek added 3.4%. Infrastructure owner Tuas, which saw its shares crash 63% on Monday, rebounded 17.6% in Wednesday’s trading.

    In corporate news, Geelong-based carbon fibre wheel manufacturer Carbon Revolution announced that creditors had approved a restructuring deal that will allow the firm to exit voluntary administration. The company, which was originally listed on the ASX before being delisted from the NASDAQ in February, produces lightweight wheels that deliver significant efficiency gains for heavy electric vehicles, but intense competition from Chinese EV manufacturers eroded its market valuation from a peak of AU$500 million to just AU$30,000 in recent years.

  • Elon Musk just lost another lawsuit. Will he keep fighting?

    Elon Musk just lost another lawsuit. Will he keep fighting?

    Over the past year, billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk has racked up a growing list of legal setbacks across his sprawling business empire, and his recent defeat in a high-profile lawsuit against OpenAI and its chief executive Sam Altman marks the latest in this string of unfavorable court outcomes.

    Monday’s ruling against Musk adds to a timeline of losses and costly settlements that stretches back to late 2024. That December, Musk agreed to resolve long-running disputes with former Twitter executives and thousands of ex-employees of the social platform, which he rebranded as X after his 2022 acquisition. He had spent years fighting to avoid paying the severance and negotiated damages the group was owed, ultimately walking away from the conflict with a settlement.

    Just three months later, in March 2025, a judge ruled against Musk in a lawsuit brought by Twitter investors, who alleged he had misled them with public statements he made during his $44 billion takeover of the platform. That same month, another judge dismissed a separate lawsuit Musk filed against major brands that pulled advertising from X following his acquisition. Earlier this month, a judge also overturned key funding cuts enacted by the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), the cost-cutting body Musk helped create and lead in 2024, ruling that the targeted grant reductions amounted to unconstitutional viewpoint discrimination.

    With Musk’s latest loss in the high-stakes OpenAI legal battle, industry observers and legal experts are debating whether this growing streak of defeats will push the world’s wealthiest person to dial back his reputation for aggressive litigation. “No one is invincible,” explained Shubha Ghosh, a law professor and practicing attorney at Syracuse University. Still, Ghosh notes that it would likely take far more substantial consequences than the losses Musk has sustained so far to push him to abandon his combative approach to legal disputes. “In a lot of ways, he is just another businessperson asserting his rights, I don’t think he’s abusing the legal system. Whether he uses it effectively, I’m not sure,” Ghosh added.

    Beyond his well-documented tendency to reject conventional business and legal norms, Musk also possesses unmatched financial resources that allow him to absorb the costs of repeated legal defeats. With his substantial stake in SpaceX, which is widely expected to go public in the near term, Musk is on track to become the world’s first trillionaire — a net worth so large that even cumulative legal fees, fines and settlement costs are unlikely to deter him from filing future lawsuits. For example, a $1.5 million fine levied by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for Musk’s failure to properly disclose his early accumulation of Twitter stock is functionally insignificant for someone with his fortune. When a judge invalidated Musk’s multi-billion dollar Tesla pay package in late 2024, he simply reincorporated the entire electric vehicle maker in Texas and secured shareholder approval for a new, even larger compensation package.

    “I don’t see him stopping,” said Dorothy Lund, a law professor at Columbia Law School. “It seems like there is no one who has been able to put real consequences on him or his actions. He does what he wants and sometimes gets a slap on the wrist, so why would he change?”

    Shortly after Monday’s ruling in the OpenAI case, Musk made his frustration public via a post on X, arguing the decision created “a free license to loot charities if you can keep the looting quiet for a few years!” He also publicly criticized the presiding judge, calling the jurist a “terrible activist” and pledged to file an appeal of the verdict.

    Ghosh points out that Musk’s outsized personality sets him apart from most other global business leaders. For example, Musk chose to proceed with his very public, high-profile legal fight against Altman — a one-time mentee who has become Musk’s public rival — even as SpaceX prepares for its upcoming public listing. Typically, when a private company prepares for an initial public offering (IPO), its leadership enters a regulatory quiet period mandated by the SEC, during which executives avoid making public statements that could improperly influence share pricing. Most CEOs curtail all non-essential public commentary during this window, but Musk has rejected this standard practice entirely.

    Lund notes that few business leaders share Musk’s willingness to continue fighting in court and the public sphere even after repeated setbacks. “He is not afraid of public opinion, he’s not afraid of taking big swings,” Lund said. She acknowledges that this willingness to disregard risk is a valuable trait for entrepreneurs, but it does not translate seamlessly to the legal system. Lund adds that even famously aggressive corporate figures like Carl Icahn, the activist investor who inspired the iconic greedy capitalist character Gordon Gekko in *Wall Street*, do not match Musk’s level of unapologetic brazenness.

    “If and when this will blow up for him, I don’t know,” Lund said. For Lund, the only public figure with a similar approach to conflict and legal action is former President Donald Trump, who is known for impulsive public comments and frequent lawsuits against perceived opponents. “Musk is a singular individual, but negative things never seem to stick to either of them,” Lund added.

  • Aussie budget retailer Oz Goods Depot collapses into liquidation, leaves shoppers in refund limbo

    Aussie budget retailer Oz Goods Depot collapses into liquidation, leaves shoppers in refund limbo

    Australia’s budget e-commerce sector has been hit by a fresh business failure, with online discount retailer Oz Goods Depot announcing it has entered liquidation and will cease all operations immediately, leaving thousands of customers with unfulfilled orders locked out of refunds and direct support.

    The shutdown was formally confirmed in an official notice published by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) this Friday, which outlined that a shareholder general meeting held on May 15 passed a formal resolution to wind up the company. Industry insolvency expert Anthony John Warner from CRS Insolvency Services has been officially appointed to oversee the liquidation process.

    Operating as a dedicated Australian online discount retailer, Oz Goods Depot positioned itself as a one-stop shop for affordable home goods, stocking everything from garden furniture and large home appliances to pet supplies and everyday lifestyle essentials. Before its collapse, the retailer said it had fulfilled more than 25,000 orders across the country.

    In a public statement posted to the retailer’s website ahead of the formal liquidation filing, the company’s ownership team framed the decision to close as a difficult but necessary call. “After an incredible journey, Oz Goods Depot has made the difficult decision to cease trading and wind down operations,” the statement read. “We are proud to have shipped more than 25,000 orders to customers across Australia, and we sincerely thank every customer who supported us along the way.”

    As part of the formal wind-down, all unshipped and unfulfilled orders have been immediately cancelled, with no plans to complete outstanding purchases. The retailer confirmed that all business operations and customer support services have ceased, meaning customer service inboxes are no longer monitored or responded to. Instead of offering direct refunds, the company has advised affected customers to first reach out to their banks or payment providers to pursue payment reversals. Customers who cannot resolve their claims through payment providers have been told they can submit a formal debt claim to the appointed liquidator via a dedicated email contact.

    Notably, the liquidator cannot issue direct refunds to customers due to the company’s insolvent status, and submitting a claim only formalizes the recording of customer debt for the liquidation process. By Tuesday this week, all of Oz Goods Depot’s social media pages had already been taken down, cutting off another key channel for customers seeking support.

    The sudden collapse has already sparked widespread frustration from impacted buyers, who have taken to review platforms to share their experiences of lost funds and poor communication. One customer who paid for a garden shed reported receiving only a curt notification weeks after placing their order that the business was closing, with no path to a refund. Another customer said they had waited more than five weeks for a refund after being told their ordered product was out of stock, with no updates from the retailer before the shutdown announcement. Dozens of other customers have shared similar accounts of unfulfilled orders, unprocessed refunds, and a total lack of communication from the brand in the lead-up to its closure.

  • RBA sees ‘space’ to avoid fourth consecutive rate hike at June meeting

    RBA sees ‘space’ to avoid fourth consecutive rate hike at June meeting

    Newly released minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s May monetary policy board meeting have revealed policymakers see clear room to hold interest rates steady next month, breaking a streak of three consecutive rate hikes that kicked off 2026.

    At the early May gathering, a majority of 8 out of 9 board members voted in favor of a 25-basis-point hike that pushed the official cash rate to 4.25%, leaving the current benchmark at that level heading into June. The meeting’s deliberations, made public on Tuesday, center on balancing persistent above-target inflation with growing economic uncertainty triggered by the ongoing Middle East conflict.

    The minutes note that even before the conflict escalated, inflation had run far above the RBA’s 2-3% target range. However, the regional instability has delivered a sharp, unanticipated shock to the global economic outlook, driving up fuel prices and creating new near-term inflationary pressures that monetary policy is powerless to mitigate in the short term.

    “Having decided by majority to raise the cash rate target by 25 basis points, members considered what their deliberations implied for upcoming decisions … (they) agreed that the decision would give the board space to see how the conflict in the Middle East develops and Australian households and businesses respond,” the minutes read.

    Across multiple scenarios tied to the conflict’s trajectory, underlying inflation is projected to remain above the RBA’s target for an extended period. Policymakers emphasized that keeping monetary policy restrictive remains critical to preventing broader, long-lasting inflationary spillover from energy cost shocks and keeping medium- to long-term inflation expectations anchored. The RBA’s current baseline forecasts project headline inflation will return to the target range by mid-2027, with less volatile underlying inflation hitting the 2-3% band by mid-2028. That outlook, however, hinges on two key assumptions: a rapid resolution of the Middle East conflict that pulls oil prices lower, and a gradual easing of domestic capacity pressures across the Australian economy.

    Speaking at a Sydney Bloomberg forum on the same day the minutes were released, RBA Chief Economist Sarah Hunter added new context to the central bank’s outlook, noting policymakers are closely monitoring the housing market for cooling effects following changes to negative gearing and capital gains tax discounts announced in the recent federal budget. Hunter confirmed the RBA expects the pace of dwelling construction activity to slow over the forecast horizon, a trend consistent with the cumulative impact of previous rate hikes. Higher energy prices have already eroded Australian households’ real incomes, she added, a headwind that will likely weigh heavily on consumer spending in coming months. Hunter stressed that significant uncertainty remains around the inflation outlook: oil prices could stay elevated far longer than current market pricing suggests, and a wider escalation of the Middle East conflict could trigger prolonged global supply chain disruptions that push inflation even higher.

    The RBA’s cautious, wait-and-see approach has drawn criticism from some market analysts, who argue the central bank has repeatedly fallen behind the curve on tackling inflation. Marc Jocum, a strategist at Global X ETFs, argued that the RBA’s delayed response to persistent inflation has forced the stop-start pattern of rate adjustments this year, after rate cuts in 2025. Jocum noted that February inflation data and April cost pressures already made clear that broader inflationary pressure was spreading through the Australian economy months ago. “The RBA is again arriving late to the party, like a pilot announcing turbulence after passengers have already spilt their drinks on board,” he said. “The RBA no longer needs a telescope to spot the inflation iceberg, as it’s now right in front of them.” While he acknowledged the Middle East conflict was an unforeseen shock that upended projections, Jocum said the RBA’s inconsistent policymaking raises questions about the central bank’s credibility, making it harder for households and businesses to plan for future economic conditions.

    The dissenting board member who voted against the May hike shared concerns over downside demand risks, arguing that domestic capacity pressures were weaker than RBA staff projections suggested and that the risk of inflation expectations becoming unanchored was overstated.

    Major bank economists have broadly aligned with the RBA’s signal that a June pause is the most likely outcome. Commonwealth Bank forecasts the RBA will hold rates steady for the remainder of 2026, with senior CBA economist Ashwin Clarke noting the minutes confirm the central bank wants time to assess the impact of three consecutive hikes and the ongoing Middle East conflict before moving again. While CBA expects rates to remain on hold over the next year, Clarke added that risks to the rate path remain tilted to the upside.

    ANZ’s economics team also shares the view that a June rate hike is increasingly unlikely, and projects the RBA will hold the cash rate steady at 4.35% for an extended period. “The board thinks that financial conditions are tight but is uncertain on the extent of this and so is in more of a ‘wait and see’ mode with respect to developments, both with domestic activity and the Middle East conflict,” ANZ’s economists noted. Market consensus currently leans toward a pause in June, with a small share of analysts still projecting one final rate hike by November to bring inflation under control faster.

  • Asian shares trade mixed and Kospi falls nearly 4% as oil prices keep swinging

    Asian shares trade mixed and Kospi falls nearly 4% as oil prices keep swinging

    TOKYO – Geopolitical volatility stemming from the ongoing conflict between Iran and regional rivals has sent mixed results across Asian equity markets on Tuesday, as investor anxiety over potential disruptions to global energy trade roiled financial systems worldwide.

    Japan’s headline Nikkei 225 index erased early opening gains to fall 0.6% in morning trading, settling at 60,433.79. The pullback came even as government data confirmed the Japanese economy expanded for two consecutive quarters through the first three months of 2025, with consumer spending outperforming expert projections to drive the growth.

    In South Korea, the downturn was far steeper: the Kospi index dropped more than 4% in early session trading before trimming losses to 3.5% by midday, hitting 7,249.73. Top technology exporters bore the brunt of the selloff, with Samsung Electronics sliding 3.8% and memory chip manufacturer SK Hynix falling 4%, mirroring broad losses for U.S. tech stocks on Wall Street in the prior overnight session.

    Not all Asian markets ended the morning in negative territory, however. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 gained 0.9% to reach 8,582.80, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index climbed 0.5% to 25,811.28. Mainland China’s benchmark Shanghai Composite bucked the positive regional trend to slip 0.3% to 4,121.11.

    The mixed performance in Asia followed a choppy trading session on Wall Street Monday, where the S&P 500 swung between positive and negative territory throughout the day before closing down 0.1% at 7,403.05. The drop marked the benchmark index’s second losing session since it hit an all-time record high just one week prior. The Dow Jones Industrial Average outperformed to add 0.3%, closing at 49,686.12, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite dropped 0.5% to 26,090.73.

    In global energy markets, crude oil prices retreated from recent volatile spikes amid shifting signals over the conflict’s impact on trade through the Strait of Hormuz, the world’s busiest chokepoint for crude oil exports. Benchmark U.S. crude fell $1.36 to settle at $103.02 per barrel, while the global benchmark Brent crude dropped $1.99 to $110.11 per barrel.

    Oil prices have swung wildly in recent weeks as investors weigh the risk of prolonged disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, which the Iran conflict has effectively closed to commercial tankers. The disruption hits major energy importers like Japan particularly hard, as the country relies on the strait for nearly all of its crude oil imports. Before the conflict escalated, Brent crude traded at roughly $70 per barrel.

    Prices pulled back from recent peaks after former U.S. President Donald Trump announced via social media that a planned U.S. military strike on Iran had been postponed, noting that “serious negotiations” are currently underway to end the ongoing conflict.

    In the bond market, the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes climbed as high as 4.63% before retreating to 4.59%, matching its level from late Friday.

    U.S. airline giant Delta Air Lines closed nearly flat Monday after a volatile session driven by shifting oil prices. The stock got an early lift after confirmation that Berkshire Hathaway, the storied investment firm led by new chief executive after the retirement of legendary value investor Warren Buffett, had acquired more than $2.6 billion in Delta stock. Buffett built Berkshire Hathaway’s reputation for decades by picking undervalued assets during market downturns.

    Investors across global markets are now turning their attention to a packed week of corporate earnings reports. Chipmaking giant Nvidia is set to release its latest quarterly results after markets close Wednesday, and the firm has consistently beaten analyst consensus estimates in recent quarters while forecasting strong ongoing growth. Major U.S. retailers including Target, Home Depot and Walmart will also publish their quarterly earnings throughout the week.

    In foreign exchange markets, the U.S. dollar edged slightly higher to 158.96 Japanese yen, up from 158.84 yen in the prior trading session. The euro dipped slightly to $1.1643, down from $1.1657.

    AP Business Writer Stan Choe contributed reporting to this article.

  • Asian markets cautious, oil dips after Trump holds off on Iran attack

    Asian markets cautious, oil dips after Trump holds off on Iran attack

    Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continued to shape global financial trading on Tuesday, as Asian equity markets traded mixed and crude oil pulled back from recent elevated levels after former U.S. President Donald Trump announced he would delay a planned military strike on Iran to allow for diplomatic negotiations. The pullback in oil prices came amid glimmers of hope for de-escalation, but ongoing uncertainty over the Strait of Hormuz kept energy markets volatile and investor risk appetite in check.

    The regional conflict that began in late February between the U.S.-Israel bloc and opposing forces has resulted in a de facto blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, the critical chokepoint that carries roughly 20 percent of the world’s global oil exports during peacetime. In a post to his Truth Social platform Tuesday, Trump revealed that the leaders of Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates had requested he hold off the scheduled military strike to open space for negotiations. He wrote that he had granted the request, as “serious negotiations are now taking place.”

    Despite pausing offensive action, Trump stressed that U.S. military forces remain on high alert, ready to launch a full-scale large-scale assault on Iran at a moment’s notice if negotiations fail to reach an acceptable outcome. Speaking at a subsequent White House event, he framed the current diplomatic push as a “very positive development,” noting that key Arab regional allies believe a final deal is within reach that would see Iran abandon its nuclear program — a goal Tehran has long denied pursuing.

    “There seems to be a very good chance that they can work something out. If we can do that without bombing the hell out of them, I’d be very happy,” Trump told reporters, while reiterating his warning that military action remains on the table if talks collapse. This dual messaging underscored the continued fragility of security in one of the world’s most energy-rich regions.

    The prospect of a diplomatic breakthrough sent oil prices lower, though the decline provided only limited relief after weeks of extreme volatility driven by the ongoing Middle East conflict. At the time of reporting, global benchmark Brent crude hovered around $109 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate traded near $107. Official data as of 0230 GMT recorded Brent down 2.1 percent at $109.75 per barrel, while WTI bucked the broader trend to gain 1.2 percent, hitting $107.40 a barrel.

    Across Asian equity markets, performance was uneven as investors balanced cautious optimism over diplomacy with lingering anxiety over geopolitical and economic risks. Japan’s Nikkei 225 opened and closed 0.5 percent lower at 60,537.87, as broader geopolitical jitters offset a better-than-expected first-quarter GDP report that showed the Japanese economy expanding 0.5 percent, exceeding analyst forecasts of 0.4 percent growth. South Korea’s Kospi index fell more than four percent, dragged down by steep losses in the technology sector that tracked downward movement on Wall Street a day earlier. Markets in Shanghai, Taipei, and Jakarta also closed lower, while the Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong gained 0.3 percent to hit 25,740.60, and benchmarks in Sydney and Wellington also finished in positive territory.

    Safe-haven assets edged higher on Tuesday, with gold and silver posting small gains, a signal that investor caution remains elevated despite the diplomatic opening. All market eyes are now turning to Wednesday, when U.S. semiconductor giant Nvidia is set to release its quarterly earnings results. The report is widely anticipated as investors seek clarity on whether massive current investments in artificial intelligence data center infrastructure will deliver the strong returns market participants have priced in.

    Other global market moves were muted. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 0.3 percent at 49,686.12 in New York’s previous session, while London’s FTSE 100 gained 1.3 percent to close at 10,323.75. Currency markets saw minor shifts: the pound dipped to $1.3416 from $1.3422 on Monday, the euro edged up against sterling to 86.80 pence, fell slightly against the dollar to $1.1645, and the dollar gained marginally against the yen to reach 158.98 yen.

  • Japan’s economy expands at a 2.1% annual pace, boosted by consumer spending

    Japan’s economy expands at a 2.1% annual pace, boosted by consumer spending

    TOKYO – In a surprising show of economic resilience against global energy market turmoil triggered by the war in Iran, Japan’s economy expanded at an annualized rate of 2.1% in the first three months of 2024, government data released Tuesday confirms. This marks the second consecutive quarter of positive growth for the world’s third-largest economy, defying analyst forecasts that had predicted a much slower expansion amid soaring energy costs.

    Seasonally adjusted real gross domestic product (GDP), the broad measure of all goods and services produced in the country, grew 0.5% quarter-over-quarter, following a 0.2% moderate gain in the final quarter of 2023. The economy had contracted in the third quarter of last year, making back-to-back growth a welcome milestone for Japanese policymakers. The annualized figure represents what full-year growth would be if the current quarterly pace of expansion sustained across all four quarters.

    Preliminary Cabinet Office data shows that broad-based spending gains across consumer, business, and public sectors drove the stronger-than-expected results. Private consumption, which makes up a large share of Japan’s GDP, rose 0.3% from the previous quarter, equal to an annualized growth rate of 1.1%. Public demand from government spending projects and initiatives also climbed 0.3% quarter-over-quarter, providing additional support to overall economic output.

    On the trade front, the latest quarter saw exports grow 1.7% outpacing a 0.5% increase in total imports, a net positive that further lifted GDP growth.

    For resource-scarce Japan, the fallout from the Iran war has created significant headwinds, most notably in the form of skyrocketing global oil prices. Before the conflict began, Brent crude traded around $70 per barrel; current prices have surged to nearly $110 per barrel. The spike stems from effective disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for Persian Gulf oil exports bound for Asian markets including Japan. In response, Tokyo has already released portions of its national oil reserves and is actively developing alternative shipping routes to stabilize supply.

    The energy supply squeeze has already begun to ripple through domestic Japanese industries, with shortages of naphtha — a versatile oil-based product used in manufacturing everything from plastic goods to construction materials — drawing widespread media attention in recent weeks. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi has pledged to take decisive action to secure adequate supplies and sustain ongoing economic expansion, a commitment that will likely require substantial new government spending.

    Most economic analysts remain cautiously optimistic about Japan’s growth trajectory in the coming quarters. A recent report from the Japan Center for Economic Research projected that the country will continue to log moderate growth, supported by rising corporate investment in artificial intelligence and increased government defense spending.

    “The breadth of ongoing demand expansion points to a high-quality growth trajectory, which may reinforce evidence that inflationary pressures are broadening across the Japanese economy,” noted Naomi Fink, chief global strategist at Amova Asset Management.

    Rising energy costs are already pushing domestic prices higher, and the stronger-than-expected first quarter growth could push the Bank of Japan to move forward with an interest rate hike. The central bank has spent years holding interest rates near or below zero to stimulate stagnant growth and weak inflation, but shifting economic conditions have sparked expectations of a policy pivot. While Japan’s current inflation rate remains lower than that of the United States, Japanese workers have yet to see wage gains keep pace with rising living costs.

    Financial markets reacted modestly to the new GDP data on Tuesday. Tokyo’s benchmark Nikkei 225 index, which has hit repeated record highs in recent trading sessions, dipped 0.6% during morning trading following the data release.

  • A new Swatch model is introduced, and a case study in overexcited ‘drop culture’ plays out

    A new Swatch model is introduced, and a case study in overexcited ‘drop culture’ plays out

    Across major global cities, chaotic scenes unfolded this weekend over the launch of Swatch’s highly anticipated collaboration with luxury watchmaker Audemars Piguet, the Royal Pop bioceramic pocket watch. From violent crowd control measures in France to fistfights in Italy and all-night snaking lines outside retail locations in London, Singapore, and New York, the launch has become the latest flashpoint for modern “drop culture” where coveted limited-edition status symbols collide with lucrative resale market opportunities.

    At the center of the global mania is a timepiece that retails for approximately $400, but was being flipped within hours for thousands of dollars on secondary platforms. By the first business day after the launch, dozens of Royal Pop listings had already appeared on eBay, with one seller advertising an “IN HAND” unit for 3,055.58 British pounds, equal to more than $4,000, and inviting best offers from interested buyers.

    This frenzy marks a noticeable shift from the hyped product drops that defined Swatch and other major brands over the past generation, according to industry analysts. Pierre-Yves Donze, a business history professor at Osaka University Graduate School of Economics, explained that unlike earlier drops where buyers pursued collectibles out of genuine fandom, today’s rush is almost entirely driven by the prospect of quick profit.

    “It looks like people got crazy to get a Royal Pop to make money through resale, not because they are fans of the Swatch,” Donze noted. “People want money, especially. Royal Pop is not like a cool product, but a way to make easy money.”

    Swatch, which has decades of experience leveraging hype around new product launches, moved quickly to calm the frenzy. The Swiss watchmaker confirmed Monday that there is no supply shortage of the Royal Pop, pushing back against the narrative that the timepiece is extremely limited. The company noted that launch-day disruptions were only reported in roughly 20 of its 220 global stores that rolled out the new watch, attributing the issues to unexpectedly large turnout that overwhelmed shopping mall infrastructure, not limited stock.

    Social media has amplified the hype dramatically: the company reported that content tagged for the Royal Pop has accumulated more than 11 billion views across major platforms since the launch was announced. This mirrors the 2022 MoonSwatch launch, a collaboration between Swatch and its sister luxury brand Omega that sparked similar global in-store rushes amid pandemic restrictions. Swatch’s history of hype dates all the way back to the 1980s, when it revolutionized the watch industry with affordable, mass-produced, fashion-forward timepieces that broke from the tradition of expensive heirloom watches.

    This year’s launch brought far more disruption than many industry observers expected. In London, the iconic Carnaby Street and Oxford Street Swatch stores saw crowds of dozens of people block sidewalks ahead of opening Sunday, prompting local police to close all Swatch locations across London and multiple other U.K. cities. Similar disruptions were reported across Europe and North America: stores were shuttered across the Netherlands, and New York’s Times Square location developed what attendees described as a “mosh pit” vibe.

    In France, the situation escalated to require riot control measures. The French national police service confirmed that officers deployed tear gas grenades and spray to disperse unruly crowds outside multiple Swatch boutiques. At the large Westfield Parly 2 shopping mall west of Paris, television footage showed officers in riot gear and helmets stationed outside the shuttered Swatch outlet. In Lyon, officers used a tear gas grenade after the crowd ignored repeated orders to disperse from the city’s central Bellecour Square, while municipal police in Montpellier deployed tear gas spray. Swatch’s French division announced via Instagram that six stores would close for the day “because of public security considerations.”

    Unlike many modern brands that have moved hyped product drops entirely online to avoid safety and liability risks, Swatch chose to release the Royal Pop exclusively through in-store retail locations, a decision that industry critics say amplified the frenzy. The exclusive in-person model created perfect conditions for resellers to monopolize initial stock, driving up the potential profits for those who managed to secure a watch early. Reports from launch weekend noted sporadic injuries, multiple arrests, and minor property damage connected to the overcrowded crowds.

    London-based fashion and cultural critic Odunayo Ojo noted that most streetwear and sneaker brands abandoned in-person exclusive drops years ago over safety concerns. “Either Swatch ‘didn’t get the memo,’ he said, underestimated the draw to the new product or strategically hyped the drop to pump sales. Swatch already has a track record of understanding how these things go,” Ojo explained on his YouTube channel Fashion Roadman.

    By Monday, the long lines outside most Swatch locations had dissipated, with onlookers in Paris noting that most initial stock had already sold out. In a public reassurance to consumers, Swatch confirmed that the Royal Pop will remain available for purchase through retail locations for months to come, with new shipments already en route to restock stores around the world.