作者: admin

  • Inside the Oxford Union debate where Tommy Robinson lost to a Palestinian student from Gaza

    Inside the Oxford Union debate where Tommy Robinson lost to a Palestinian student from Gaza

    In a highly charged night of controversy that tested Britain’s long-held commitment to open debate, the Oxford Union — one of the world’s most prestigious academic debating institutions — hosted far-right anti-Islam activist Tommy Robinson for a divisive debate, culminating in a clear defeat for the motion claiming the West is justified in viewing Islam with suspicion. The event, organized by 20-year-old Oxford Union president Arwa Elrayess, a Muslim of Palestinian heritage from Gaza, drew hundreds of furious protesters who blocked access to the venue, delayed the debate by more than two hours, and left the chamber with a drastically reduced audience far below its 400-person capacity.

    Elrayess has long framed her decision to invite Robinson as a defense of free speech principles: rather than silencing extremist anti-Muslim views, she argued, they should be confronted openly through rigorous debate. This was not her first clash over free speech: just weeks earlier, she defied the UK Home Office after the government barred two American progressive commentators, Hasan Piker and Cenk Uygur, from entering the country over critical remarks they made about Israel, hosting the pair via a live stream instead. The decision to invite Robinson, a convicted criminal, drew condemnation from across the political spectrum, including from sitting and former parliamentarians, and Elrayess only survived a no-confidence vote from Union members over the controversy.

    The lead-up to the May 21, 2026 debate was marked by escalating tension, coming just one week after riots targeting ethnic minorities in Belfast that broke out hours after Robinson urged his online followers to hold demonstrations. By 5:30 p.m. on the day of the debate, roughly 60 left-wing protesters had gathered outside the Union, blocked off by police. The crowd quickly swelled to over 500, many wearing masks, who physically prevented ticket holders — including student speakers and Elrayess’ own family, who had traveled from Doha to attend — from entering the venue. Two adjacent streets were closed, and local businesses shut early in anticipation of unrest. While the crowd outside raged with chants of “refugees are welcome here” and anti-fascist slogans, the small group that managed to slip inside — including the author of this report — described an eerily calm atmosphere inside the Union grounds.

    Among those who gained entry were Robinson, fellow pro-motion speaker Laurence Fox, founder of the small right-wing Reclaim Party, and senior Conservative former cabinet minister Jacob Rees-Mogg, who spoke against the motion alongside Elrayess and multiple Muslim student debaters. Ahead of the debate starting close to 10 p.m. — two and a half hours behind schedule — informal exchanges between far-right guests and Muslim debaters remained cordial, with pro-motion podcaster Liam Tuffs even joking that he had enjoyed the event’s halal chicken catered meal.

    When the debate formally opened, Elrayess surprised attendees by announcing she would step down from chairing the event to speak for the opposition against the motion. Opening for the pro side, Union committee member Oliver Jones-Lyons argued that Islam is fundamentally irreconcilable with Western liberal democratic values, pointing to the historic jizya tax on non-Muslims in Islamic states. Muslim debater Abdullah al-Andalusi pushed back, noting that religious minorities in some Muslim-majority states receive specific legal privileges that challenge claims of universal discrimination, a distinction Jones-Lyons dismissed as segregation by another name.

    Student opposition speaker Aisha Khan opened her remarks with a sharp rebuke of Robinson, introducing him as “Stephen Yaxley-Lennon, known to his hooligans as Tommy Robinson” and noting that he would have been “quite literally cooked” without the protection of the Union’s Muslim Palestinian president and majority South Asian executive committee. She took aim at Fox too, mocking his party’s poor electoral performance: “Founder of the Reclaim Party, which at the last general election reclaimed approximately 0.02 percent of the British vote.” Khan centered her argument on the value of open scrutiny, arguing that Western critical thinking allows believers to question their own faith without fearing its collapse: “a thing that cannot survive a question probably deserves to be questioned.”

    When Robinson took the stage, the anti-Islam activist opened with a lighthearted joke about preferring to watch the England football game before praising Elrayess for upholding his right to speak. He then outlined his core claim, citing Islamic scripture and laws in Muslim-majority countries to argue that Islam promotes violence, intolerance of LGBTQ+ people, and punitive laws for extramarital sex and child marriage. Multiple opposition speakers challenged his claims: al-Andalusi pressed Robinson to produce a scripture citation supporting the death penalty for homosexuality, which Robinson failed to provide, instead pointing to high-profile cases of execution in the Middle East. Luton-based debater Michael Doward, who shares Robinson’s hometown, refuted Robinson’s misquotation of a Quranic verse on child marriage and called out his selective framing: “Tommy is desperate to make connections between crime and Islam. But when it comes to Muslims working as NHS workers, doctors, nurses, charity workers — does he ever connect good deeds to Islam?”

    The most powerful speech of the night came from Elrayess, who systematically dismantled Robinson’s reading of the Quran, pointing out that the verse he cited calling for violence against unbelievers was context-specific, referring exclusively to a 7th-century Arab tribe that had broken a peace treaty with early Muslim communities during wartime, a interpretation agreed by 1400 years of classical Quranic scholarship. She cited the Prophet Muhammad’s final sermon emphasizing universal equality regardless of race, and shared polling data showing that 85 percent of British Muslims support democracy as the best system of government — compared to just 71 percent of the general British public — and 70 percent feel fully or mostly loyal to the UK, against 50 percent of the broader population. “British Muslims are more committed to British values than the British average,” she declared, earning applause even from some attendees who had supported Robinson. She closed with a powerful defense of her decision to host the debate rooted in her faith: “Free speech and debate is not something I do despite being a Muslim, it is something I do because of it. I’m not betraying my religion, I’m practicing it. My faith has survived empires, it will survive this evening.”

    A moment of light relief came when a tipsy Laurence Fox attempted to display a controversial cartoon as a prop, only to be called out for violating Union rules by Rees-Mogg — before revealing the cartoon was a drawing of Rees-Mogg himself, drawing widespread laughter.

    When the final vote was counted, the motion “This House believes the West is right to be suspicious of Islam” was defeated 41 votes in favor to 57 against. Though the audience was small due to the protest blockade — most of the blocked students who could not enter were expected to oppose the motion, which would have produced a larger margin of defeat — the result was nonetheless clear.

    As attendees left the building late that night, protesters outside chanted angrily against the Union and the debate. The event has already sparked fierce national debate: critics argue that giving Robinson a platform at a prestigious institution legitimizes anti-Muslim bigotry and far-right extremism at a moment of rising ethnic tension in the UK. But supporters of Elrayess’ approach frame the outcome as a victory for open discourse: young Muslim leaders did not shy away from confronting hateful views, they extended the right of free speech even to those who oppose their own faith, and defeated them on the open, democratic battleground of debate. Outside the Oxford train station early the next morning, a young British Muslim man who had traveled from London to attend the debate summed up this perspective: he had been blocked from entering by protesters, he said, but he saw no reason to fear open debate about his faith — and suspects many other young British Muslims feel the same.

  • Macron’s diplomatic efforts bring Trump closer to European views

    Macron’s diplomatic efforts bring Trump closer to European views

    In what is shaping up to be one of the final defining foreign policy achievements of Emmanuel Macron’s tenure as French president, a landmark gathering at the Palace of Versailles this week has delivered two transformative breakthroughs for European diplomacy: a surprise initial peace deal to end the Iran war brokered on French soil, and a firm new commitment from U.S. President Donald Trump to ramp up support for Ukraine in its defense against Russia’s invasion. The dual wins capped a week of high-stakes diplomacy at the G7 summit, where Macron leveraged years of political experience and carefully cultivated networks to pull off agreements that align U.S. priorities more closely with European interests, months before his term is set to end next spring.

    The centerpiece of Macron’s diplomatic push was a state dinner at Versailles, originally billed as a celebration of centuries of Franco-American friendship. What attendees did not expect was an impromptu signing ceremony that turned the 17th-century royal palace into the stage for a historic end to the Iran conflict. Even senior French government officials were caught off guard by the moment. French Economy Minister Roland Lescure, who was in attendance at the dinner, confirmed to RTL radio that Trump only notified Macron of his plan to sign the initial agreement shortly before the event, leaving cabinet ministers completely unaware of what was to come. “But for us, ministers in the French government, it was a surprise,” Lescure said. When Trump put pen to paper, the room of assembled officials and guests broke into spontaneous applause, with Macron immediately declaring “Bravo” to mark the occasion.

    Macron had long framed the iconic Versailles venue as a deliberate “instrument of influence” for the summit, designed to keep Trump engaged through the full duration of the G7 gathering in Evian, a sharp contrast to 2024 when Trump left the Canada-hosted summit early before its official conclusion. For more than 300 years, French leaders have used the gilded palace to welcome and honor visiting heads of state, a tradition Trump himself acknowledged when he praised the site’s understated grandeur. Following the signing, Macron outlined the tangible benefits of the deal, saying it would not only end active hostilities in the region but also reopen the critical Strait of Hormuz, a key global oil chokepoint that has been closed during the conflict, a change that is expected to bring down global energy prices.

    While Macron did not take part in the direct negotiations between the U.S. and Iran that led to the agreement, his role in securing the historic venue for the signing carries major symbolic weight: it puts Europe back at the center of a conflict that the U.S. and Israel launched in 2025 without any prior consultation with their Western NATO allies. Even before the Versailles dinner, Macron had spent months laying groundwork for the summit, holding repeated phone calls with Trump to align positions on both Iran and Ukraine, repairing a relationship that got off to a famously awkward start nearly a decade ago with an uncomfortably prolonged handshake that made global headlines. While the two leaders have had their share of friction over the years, with Trump criticizing European NATO members for inadequate defense spending and European leaders angered by Trump’s failure to consult them on the Iran war decision, Macron’s outreach this cycle paid off.

    The second, equally consequential win for European and Ukrainian leaders was securing Trump’s commitment to a more forceful stance supporting Ukraine, a breakthrough that comes after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy faced a widely noted diplomatic setback during his March 2025 visit to the White House. On the sidelines of the G7 summit, Trump held a meeting with Zelenskyy, who shared photos of recent damage inflicted by Russian bombing on the Dormition Cathedral in Kyiv to underscore the human cost of the ongoing invasion. Later, Trump joined a three-way call with Zelenskyy and Macron from Versailles, where he reaffirmed U.S. backing for Ukraine. “America is with us on Ukraine. That is very important,” Macron said after the call.

    In their joint G7 statement, leaders from the group of seven major advanced economies formalized this new commitment, agreeing to accelerate deliveries of air defense systems and long-range weapons to Ukraine, while also ramping up economic pressure on Moscow through expanded sanctions targeting Russia’s core oil and gas sectors. European officials noted that while Macron had previously expressed caution over Trump’s shifting public positions on Russia and President Vladimir Putin, the written commitments released this week represent a far more durable agreement, as the text was personally approved by Trump. A European diplomat briefed on the closed-door talks, speaking on condition of anonymity due to the sensitivity of the discussions, confirmed the quiet bargain struck between Trump and G7 leaders: “We certainly gave him some reassurance on the Middle East,” the diplomat said. “And President Trump, for his part, delivered for us on Ukraine.”

    The official G7 communique highlighted what it called a “breakthrough” in Middle East peace efforts, and praised Trump’s “strong leadership” on the Iran deal three separate times. In addition to the Iran and Ukraine breakthroughs, Macron used the summit to push for continued international support for Lebanese sovereignty, drawing on France’s long historical ties to the country. During discussions in Evian, Trump repeatedly expressed sympathy for the people of Lebanon and voiced criticism of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, echoing European concerns over escalating regional tensions.

    For Macron, the dual diplomatic wins cap a years-long effort to position France as a key bridge between Washington and European capitals, and stand as a major late-term legacy achievement as he prepares to leave office next spring.

  • New York mayor, other leaders push to ban horse-drawn carriage rides after Indian teen’s death

    New York mayor, other leaders push to ban horse-drawn carriage rides after Indian teen’s death

    A devastating tragedy in one of New York City’s most iconic landmarks has reignited a decades-long debate over the future of Central Park’s historic horse-drawn carriage industry, after an 18-year-old tourist from India died following a runaway carriage incident. The fatal crash, which has become the first recorded human death linked to a horse carriage accident in the 150-plus-year history of the attraction, has amplified pressure from activists and city leaders to ban the service entirely, while industry representatives push for targeted safety reforms instead of a full elimination.

    The victim, Romanch Mahajan, was in New York on a celebratory family trip marking two joyous milestones: his recent high school graduation and his newly earned acceptance to a university in his home state of Rajasthan, India. The family, who had arrived in the city just days earlier and already visited top tourist spots including the Statue of Liberty and Brooklyn Bridge, opted for a classic Central Park carriage ride as a memorable stop on their itinerary. According to Romanch’s father, Deepak Mahajan, the driver dismounted near a popular fountain to take a photograph of the family, leaving the horse untethered. The animal suddenly spooked and bolted, throwing Romanch’s mother from the open carriage. In a desperate attempt to reach his mother, Romanch jumped from the moving vehicle, struck his head fatally on the pavement before the out-of-control carriage collided with a second horse-drawn vehicle and toppled over. Deepak Mahajan, his wife, and their younger son escaped with only minor injuries, but the tragedy cut short Romanch’s emerging future. “It took my son’s dream away,” Deepak Mahajan told *The New York Times*.

    Industry representatives confirmed that the carriage owner has suspended the involved driver indefinitely and plans to retire the spooked horse from service. The labor union representing carriage workers, Transport Workers Union Local 100, also voluntarily shut down all operations this week to conduct a full internal review of existing safety protocols. As of Thursday, no carriage rides were operating in the park, and there was no immediate timeline for when service would resume.

    Central Park Conservancy, the non-profit organization that manages the 843-acre public space, had already backed regulatory changes to restrict the industry in recent years, and the group is now calling for an immediate suspension of all operations until new sweeping safety safeguards can be implemented. Conservancy officials note that Mahajan’s death marks the eighth horse-related incident in the park over just 13 months, adding that crowded park roads packed with joggers, cyclists, pedestrians, and motorized scooters have made shared space with horses unsafe in the modern era. The organization also pointed to a growing national trend, noting that major U.S. cities including Chicago and San Antonio have already phased out horse-drawn tourist carriages entirely.

    Animal welfare and public safety advocates have gone a step further, calling for a permanent full ban. Edita Birnkrant, executive director of New Yorkers for Clean, Livable, and Safe Streets, said the pattern of incidents can no longer be ignored: “The record is undeniable: crashes, runaways, horse deaths, injuries, and now a devastating loss of human life.” Activists have long argued that carriage horses are forced to work excessive hours in crowded urban conditions that leave them prone to spooking, are housed in substandard stables, and that drivers routinely violate existing city safety rules.

    These claims have been consistently rejected by carriage owners and drivers, who emphasize that their animals receive proper care and that their stables meet all city regulatory requirements. Rather than eliminating the 150-year-old nostalgic attraction that draws millions of tourist dollars to the city each year, industry leaders argue the fatal crash highlights the need for targeted safety improvements, not an outright ban.

    Alexander Kemp, vice president of Transport Workers Union Local 100, said the industry was devastated by the tragedy: “We’re absolutely gutted and stunned by this tragedy.” Onur Altintas, a long-time carriage owner who operates four horses in Central Park, warned that a full ban would eliminate hundreds of jobs across New York’s horse industry, including roles for drivers, stable hands, and farriers. He pushed back on calls to end the industry over a single accident, noting that far more deadly incidents occur in other common forms of transportation regularly. Altintas also laid out a clear path to improve safety, saying 90% of accidents could be prevented by installing public hitching posts across the park at popular tourist photo stops, allowing drivers to secure their horses when they need to step away briefly — a common practice when taking passenger photos, using restrooms, or taking breaks.

    The union confirmed that a bipartisan bill has already been introduced to the New York City Council that would mandate exactly these hitching post requirements. But city leaders have already made clear they plan to move forward with a vote on a broader, long-proposed ban that would phase out the industry entirely and support workers to transition to new careers. City Council Speaker Julie Menin announced that the legislative body will hold a public hearing next month on the ban legislation, known as Ryder’s Law, which the Central Park Conservancy formally endorsed last year, reigniting public debate over the carriages. “The time to act is now,” Menin wrote on social platform X.

    Mayor Zohran Mamdani has also reaffirmed his commitment to ending the industry, saying he will work with the council, industry stakeholders, and advocates to “deliver a just transition that protects workers while ending horse-drawn carriages in Central Park once and for all.” This push to end the carriage industry is not new: former mayor Bill de Blasio famously vowed to shut down the industry “on Day One” of his tenure, but faced years of stiff opposition in the council. Mamdani’s predecessor, Eric Adams, also came out against the industry near the end of his single term.

  • South Africa builds another site to ease overcrowding and speed up deportation of Malawian nationals

    South Africa builds another site to ease overcrowding and speed up deportation of Malawian nationals

    JOHANNESBURG – Escalating tensions over undocumented migration in South Africa have pushed authorities to launch construction of a second temporary deportation center, a response to dangerous overcrowding at an existing processing facility where thousands of Malawian nationals have waited for weeks to return home.

    The development comes months after widespread anti-illegal immigration protests across Johannesburg and other major South African cities, where demonstrators demonstrated against the presence of foreign nationals, stoking deep friction between local communities and migrants. Thousands of Malawian citizens have since fled their places of residence in South Africa, citing fears of anti-migrant violence, and converged on the first deportation camp located in Durban’s Sherwood neighborhood. As of this week, an estimated 10,000 people have been camped at the site for more than seven days, with new arrivals swelling the population daily.

    Frustrations over lengthy processing delays boiled over this week, when protesting migrants at the Sherwood site clashed with police on Wednesday. Migrants threw rocks, sticks and logs at officers, who responded by firing rubber bullets and deploying stun grenades to disperse the crowd. The overcrowded conditions have already created a humanitarian emergency: according to South African officials, at least 12 women have given birth at the site since migrants began gathering there, with women and young children forced to share cramped, unsanitary space alongside thousands of men.

    Durban Mayor Cyril Xaba confirmed Thursday that the new facility is designed to act as an overflow camp to alleviate pressure on the overstretched Sherwood site. The center will operate strictly as a 14-day temporary measure, Xaba emphasized, and will not be converted into a permanent refugee or migrant settlement.

    The repatriation process has been slowed by multiple administrative and logistical hurdles. All undocumented Malawians must first appear in South African courts to confirm their irregular status before deportation can proceed. Additionally, the Malawian government has only provided a limited number of buses to transport returnees, and has issued a public appeal for donations to cover the cost of additional transport. As of Thursday, just 10 buses carrying deportees have departed Durban for Malawi since processing began.

    South Africa’s Home Affairs spokesperson Cyril Mncwabe confirmed that all migrants gathered at the camp are undocumented and residing in the country illegally. The 60 immigration officials assigned to process the crowd will need several more weeks to complete screenings for all people at the site, Mncwabe added. Police officers are currently conducting background checks to flag any migrants with pending criminal cases before deportation.

    In an update Thursday, the Malawian government reported that 560 of its citizens returned home Wednesday aboard eight buses, with another 10 buses scheduled to carry 700 additional returnees Thursday. Malawi is the third African nation in recent weeks to organize large-scale repatriation of its citizens from South Africa, amid rising anti-migrant sentiment across the country. Ghana previously arranged a flight to repatriate roughly 300 of its undocumented citizens, and all deportees are banned from re-entering South Africa for a period of five years following their return.

    Associated Press video journalist Alfonso Nqunjana contributed on-site reporting from Durban, South Africa.

  • ‘This was not easy’: Trump and Iran sign interim ceasefire deal in France

    ‘This was not easy’: Trump and Iran sign interim ceasefire deal in France

    On the sidelines of the G7 Summit near Paris, US President Donald Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian have formally signed a landmark memorandum of understanding (MoU) on Wednesday to bring an end to a regional conflict that has plunged the Middle East into crisis since late February. The White House has confirmed the digital signing of the agreement, which follows an initial preliminary accord reached Sunday that was signed by US Vice President JD Vance and Iran’s chief negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, with Trump in attendance. Trump first announced that both sides had reached a framework deal back on June 14.

    Trump carried out the signing during the summit at the Palace of Versailles, ahead of a working dinner hosted by French President Emmanuel Macron, who later shared a social media clip capturing the moment. In footage of the event, Trump acknowledged the arduous path to the agreement, noting “This was not easy.”

    The conflict that the MoU seeks to end began on February 28, when the United States and Israel launched unprovoked coordinated air strikes against Iranian targets that were widely condemned by the international community as illegal. The strikes killed long-time Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei alongside multiple senior Iranian officials, prompting widespread retaliatory action from Iran against Israel, US military bases across the Middle East, and several Gulf Arab states. Iran also moved to close the Strait of Hormuz — a critical global chokepoint through which roughly 20% of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas supplies pass — triggering a major global fuel market crisis. A fragile ceasefire has been in place across most fronts since April 8.

    Under the terms of the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, the two sides have been given a 60-day window to negotiate a full, final comprehensive peace treaty, a timeline that can be extended if both parties consent. Trump made clear the stakes if talks collapse, stating bluntly: “If it doesn’t get done in 60 days, that’s all right. We go back to bombing. I don’t want to do that, because it’s so good, but we might have to, because we’re never going to let them have a nuclear weapon.”

    While no in-person physical ceremony was held due to the digital signing, delegations from both nations are scheduled to convene in Geneva this coming Friday, though Iranian foreign ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei has confirmed that a formal bilateral meeting has not yet been finalized.

    The 14-point agreement lays out core guiding provisions that cover the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, targeted relief from US financial sanctions on Iran, and a framework for future technical negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program. Most critically, both parties have committed to an immediate and permanent end to all military operations across every front, including Lebanese territory, and have pledged not to launch new offensive military action against one another.

    Specifically, the US has committed to begin lifting its naval blockade of Iran immediately upon signing, with full removal of the blockade to be completed within 30 days. In exchange, Iran has agreed to guarantee safe passage for commercial shipping through the Persian Gulf and Sea of Oman for the full 60-day negotiating period.

    On the nuclear front, the MoU reaffirms Iran’s longstanding 50-year commitment not to pursue the development of a nuclear weapon, and establishes a process for further negotiations over the future of Iran’s existing stockpile of highly enriched uranium. Currently, Iran holds an estimated 440 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60% purity — a level that can be refined to weapons-grade material with only minimal additional processing. Under the agreement, Iran will down-blend its existing stockpiles on its own territory under the direct supervision of International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) inspectors, with broader terms for Iran’s civilian nuclear program to be finalized during the 60-day negotiation window. Baghaei emphasized that Iran will not transfer its enriched uranium stockpile to any third country, framing on-site dilution as the only acceptable path forward. He also made clear that Iran’s ballistic missile program will not be part of any upcoming talks, stating plainly: “Iran’s missiles are only for firing, not for negotiation.”

    Baghaei added that Tehran will monitor US compliance with the agreement “without any leniency”, and will suspend its own commitments if Washington fails to uphold its end of the deal. A key economic component of the MoU outlines a planned $300 billion reconstruction fund for Iran that will be developed with contributions from regional partners, with full details to be worked out during the 60-day talks. US administration officials have stressed that the agreement does not require any direct US government funding for Iran, instead relying on sanctions relief that will allow Gulf states to invest in Iranian infrastructure. The US Treasury will immediately issue new waivers allowing resumed Iranian oil exports, and the two sides will negotiate terms for the release of billions of dollars in frozen Iranian assets.

    The agreement marks a notable shift in the Trump administration’s position on Iran’s nuclear program. Speaking at a press conference in Evian, Trump appeared open to allowing Iran to retain a civilian nuclear program for energy production, noting: “It is a little hard, though, when you say that somebody wants it, other people have it, other, adjoining states have it. And you’re not letting them have it for purposes of electricity and things like that.” He also walked back months of public insistence that seizing Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile was a core war aim, saying there was “no rush” to take possession of the material, and adding that while the US wanted it “psychologically”, it was not a priority worth derailing the deal over.

    These remarks represent a sharp departure from the original justifications for the war, where both Washington and Tel Aviv cited preventing Iran from acquiring weapons-grade material as the central objective of their military campaign, dubbed Operation Epic Fury. The shift drew immediate scrutiny from policy observers.

    The summit also saw Trump make a highly public break with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, a rift that caught even US allies off guard. Speaking Tuesday, Trump criticized Israel’s prolonged campaign against Hezbollah in Lebanon, saying “too many people are being killed” and adding: “You don’t have to knock down an apartment house every time you’re looking for somebody, because there are a lot of people in those apartment houses and they are not all Hezbollah.”

    Israel was not a signatory to the MoU, and has rejected the agreement’s provisions related to Lebanon. A senior Israeli official close to Netanyahu told Reuters Thursday that Israel has “no intention” of withdrawing its troops from southern Lebanon, and is currently engaged in tense negotiations with Washington over the terms. The deal is widely viewed domestically in Israel as a major political defeat for Netanyahu. Far-right National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir stated that “Trump’s agreement does not bind us”, while centrist opposition figure Benny Gantz called it a “strategic failure”, and a lawmaker from the opposition Yesh Atid party described it as “the best thing that has happened to Iran in a generation”. A recent poll published by Israeli public broadcaster Kan found only 18% of Israeli adults support the agreement, with 55% opposed, and 70% saying they still perceive a major Iranian threat despite the months-long military campaign.

    For its part, Iran has warned that any continued Israeli military presence or offensive action in Lebanon counts as a violation of the ceasefire agreement. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi clarified that Tehran views the US and Israel as a single party to the deal, with Iran and Hezbollah forming the opposing side. The Iranian military has reported that Israel has violated the existing ceasefire in Lebanon 84 times since the framework deal was announced Sunday.

    The five-month conflict has already left a staggering humanitarian toll across the Middle East. At least 3,600 people have been killed in Iran alone, including more than 1,700 civilian casualties. In Lebanon, Israeli strikes have killed more than 3,750 people since fighting resumed in early March, and displaced over one million Lebanese from their homes. Iranian retaliatory strikes targeted Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Israel, Iraq, and Jordan, killing dozens of civilians and causing widespread damage to airports, hotels, energy infrastructure, and residential buildings across the region. Thirteen US service members were also killed in retaliatory attacks on American military bases in the region.

  • Zimbabwe vote to extend president’s term underscores the staying power of Africa’s aging leaders

    Zimbabwe vote to extend president’s term underscores the staying power of Africa’s aging leaders

    In a move that spotlights a growing, widely debated trend across the African continent, Zimbabwe’s National Assembly has passed sweeping constitutional amendments that will defer national presidential elections by two years and extend the current tenure of 83-year-old President Emmerson Mnangagwa from five years to seven. The vote, which passed by an overwhelming margin, pushes the 2028 scheduled election to 2030, adding two extra years to Mnangagwa’s time in office. The legislation also includes a controversial provision to shift presidential selection from a direct popular vote to a vote by sitting lawmakers, and it now moves to the Senate for final approval, where a majority in favor is widely expected.

    This development is far from an isolated incident. It underscores the enduring grip of aging political leadership across Africa, a region that holds the distinction of being the world’s youngest continent by population but counts seven of the globe’s 10 oldest national leaders among its ranks. Latest data from the United Nations confirms that Africa’s median population age is just 20, with more than 60% of all residents under the age of 30. Yet a 2025 Pew Research Center analysis finds that seven of the 16 world leaders older than 80-year-old former U.S. President Donald Trump are based on the African continent.

    Mnangagwa first took power in 2017, following a military-backed ouster of former long-time ruler Robert Mugabe, who left office at 93 as the world’s oldest serving head of state at the time. Today, he is part of a cohort of elderly African leaders who have held power for decades, many of whom have altered constitutional rules to extend their tenures. At 93, Cameroon’s Paul Biya is the oldest sitting head of state in the world, having held office since 1982 – a full year after Ronald Reagan first became U.S. president, with seven U.S. presidents having held office since Biya took power. Roughly 70% of Cameroon’s population is under the age of 35. In neighboring Equatorial Guinea, 84-year-old Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo has ruled for 47 years as Africa’s longest-serving leader, and has already positioned his son to succeed him as vice president. Ivory Coast’s 84-year-old Alassane Ouattara was sworn in for a fourth term in December 2025, following an election marked by low voter turnout and widespread civil unrest. Malawi voted 85-year-old Peter Mutharika, who previously held office from 2014 to 2020, back into the presidency in 2024. In Uganda, 81-year-old Yoweri Museveni – a long-time U.S. security ally who has faced repeated accusations of authoritarianism from critics – was sworn in for a seventh consecutive term in May 2025, pushing his total rule to 40 years. Like Mnangagwa, all of these leaders have amended or eliminated constitutional term limits to remain in power.

    Blessing Vava, director of the Johannesburg-based Southern Africa Coalition for Democracy and Accountability and a researcher focused on democratic governance, notes that Zimbabwe’s constitutional changes are just one example of a continental pattern. “The population in Africa is getting younger, but the average age of presidents is rising, and tenures are getting longer,” Vava explained. “Zimbabwe is not an exception. It’s the continental norm. Zimbabwe is just one data point in a much broader story of constitutional erosion for political survival.” Vava added that the disconnect between the continent’s young population and aging ruling elite creates a dangerous imbalance: “So you get 25-year-olds making up the majority of a country’s population, but 75-year-olds decide the candidate or rule. Youth are mobilized for votes and not for power.”

    The Africa Center for Strategic Studies, a U.S.-based think tank focused on the region, highlights the stark divides that define African leadership tenure today. Out of the continent’s 54 sovereign nations, roughly 20 actively enforce constitutional term limits, the organization reports. Others, however, have abolished term limits entirely, found loopholes to bypass them, or operate under military regimes that have suspended constitutional rule entirely, clearing the way for long-serving leaders to entrench their power.

    Even as the aging elite retains control in many nations, the past few years have seen the emergence of a new cohort of younger leaders across parts of the continent. In Senegal’s 2024 election, 44-year-old Bassirou Diomaye Faye won the presidency, becoming one of the youngest elected leaders in African history. Ethiopia’s Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, 49, has held office since 2018. In other cases, younger leaders have risen to power via military takeovers: 42-year-old Mahamat Idriss Deby seized control of Chad in 2021 after his father, former long-time ruler Idriss Deby, was killed while fighting rebel forces, and won a formal presidential election in 2024. In Burkina Faso, 38-year-old army captain Ibrahim Traoré took power in a 2022 coup, making him the youngest sitting leader on the continent. Military coups have also brought younger leaders to power in Mali and Guinea in recent years.

    Even with these emerging shifts, analysts maintain that the vast majority of African political systems remain dominated by long-ruling, aging elites, leaving young, democratically inclined leaders with very limited pathways to seize power through electoral processes.

  • How Trump decided to sign a deal with Iran at Versailles palace

    How Trump decided to sign a deal with Iran at Versailles palace

    In an unplanned, dramatic twist on the sidelines of the G7 summit in France, former U.S. President Donald Trump signed an initial agreement with Iran during a lavish state dinner hosted by French President Emmanuel Macron at the Palace of Versailles, catching even senior French government officials off guard. The impromptu signing unfolded as Trump prepared to wrap up his three-day visit to France, which was centered on high-stakes diplomatic negotiations at the annual Group of Seven gathering. As the U.S. leader prepared to depart for his motorcade, he casually confirmed the news to assembled reporters, saying simply, “We signed in Versailles.”

    Footage posted to the social platform X by both Macron’s team and a White House aide captured the moment: Trump sat at a dinner table signing a physical copy of the agreement, before passing the document and his signature pen to U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Seated beside Trump, Macron congratulated him with the words “Good job. Bravo,” as surrounding officials and dinner guests broke into applause.

    Details of the last-minute arrangement emerged the following day from French Finance Minister Roland Lescure, one of the dinner attendees, who confirmed that the surprise signing upended original White House plans. Initial scheduling had slated the official signing ceremony for the coming Friday in Switzerland, leaving even top French ministers unaware of the change until moments before it happened. “We literally saw Marco Rubio leave — I don’t know if he had already printed the memorandum of agreement or went to print it — and come back,” Lescure recounted. “We cleared the plates.”

    Lescure noted that the surprise move appeared to be a last-minute decision by Trump, who only informed Macron of the plan shortly before the signing, as the two leaders arrived at the dinner together. “In any case, for us, ministers of the French government, it was a surprise,” he added. A separate anonymous French official, who was not cleared to speak publicly about the closed-door event, clarified that Rubio and French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot conducted a final review of the memorandum of understanding before bringing it to Trump for his signature. The off-the-cuff signing at one of France’s most iconic royal landmarks underscores the fluid, unscripted nature of backchannel diplomacy that often takes place beyond the formal agenda of major international summits.

  • Bowen: US-Iran deal raises inescapable question of what the war was for

    Bowen: US-Iran deal raises inescapable question of what the war was for

    In the months after the U.S. and Israel launched a joint military invasion of Iran on February 28 aimed at toppling Tehran’s ruling regime, a memorandum of understanding (MOU) signed by U.S. President Donald Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian has brought an uneasy end to open hostilities – but it has also reshaped regional power dynamics, exposed major strategic miscalculations, and left the future of the Middle East hanging in the balance. The human toll of the short, brutal war is already catastrophic: thousands of lives have been lost across Iran and Lebanon, with hundreds of those fatalities counted among civilian populations caught in the crossfire. What was intended to be a swift, decisive campaign to eliminate Iran’s Islamic Republic has instead ended in a clear strategic defeat for Washington and its closest regional ally, analysts and insiders agree.

    From the start, the war grew out of a long-held goal of hardline U.S. and Israeli leaders. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu spent decades pushing successive U.S. administrations to greenlight a full-scale attack on Iran, and when Trump approved the joint operation, both men predicted an immediate collapse of the Tehran regime. In the opening strikes, Israeli warplanes targeted and killed former Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and his core inner circle, a move that U.S. and Israeli planners assumed would trigger a rapid breakdown of state institutions. Trump publicly called for Iran’s unconditional surrender, telling the Iranian people they would get a once-in-a-generation chance to overthrow their government. Netanyahu framed the attack in historic, almost religious terms, declaring: “This coalition of forces allows us to do what I have yearned to do for 40 years: smite the terror regime hip and thigh.” Neither prediction came close to matching reality.

    Unlike weak, corrupt authoritarian regimes that have crumbled after the loss of top leadership, Iran’s Islamic Republic spent nearly 50 years building state institutions designed to withstand external efforts at regime collapse. Though the regime has been criticized for widespread corruption and brutal repression, including the killing of thousands of anti-government protesters just weeks before the invasion, its foundations are rooted in decades of ideological commitment, religious identity, and a culture of national survival forged during the 1980s devastating war with Saddam Hussein’s Iraq. Khamenei’s death did not trigger a collapse; it only pushed his successors to embrace bolder, more aggressive tactics to defend the regime. Where Khamenei had long refused to risk closing the Strait of Hormuz – the strategic choke point through which roughly one-fifth of the world’s oil and natural gas supplies flow – the new leadership did not hesitate to shut down the waterway at the start of the conflict.

    That single decision changed the entire trajectory of the war. Closing the Strait immediately sent shockwaves through the global economy, raising the threat of a worldwide recession and putting enormous pressure on the U.S. to end the conflict. Far from destroying the regime, the closure gave Tehran disproportionate leverage over Washington, forcing Trump to agree to a set of sweeping concessions that have infuriated hardline Iran hawks in the U.S. and thrown relations between the U.S. and Israel into deep crisis. Under the terms of the signed MOU, the U.S. will end its counter-blockade of Iranian ports, waive sanctions to allow Iran to earn billions of dollars in new oil export revenue, and begin the process of unfreezing tens of billions of dollars in Iranian assets held in foreign accounts. In exchange, Iran will reopen the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping, and the two sides will restart suspended negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program – a return to the status quo that existed the day before the invasion, when the Strait was open and talks were already ongoing.

    The agreement also calls for an immediate end to hostilities in Lebanon, a demand that Israel has already rejected. Israeli leaders insist they need a free hand to operate in the country, a disagreement that threatens to widen the rift between the U.S. and Israel and play directly into the hands of Iranian hardliners who oppose any negotiated deal with Washington. Relations between Trump and Netanyahu have already deteriorated sharply as a result of Israel’s ongoing military operations in Lebanon, and the fallout from the war may spell the end of Netanyahu’s decades-long political career. With Israeli elections scheduled for October, he faces a major reckoning with voters over a string of catastrophic security failures stretching back to the October 7, 2023, Hamas invasion from Gaza, when Israel’s vaunted military and intelligence services failed to detect the attack in advance. His hardline rejection of diplomacy and push for full-scale war with Iran was intended to cement his reputation as Israel’s most trusted security leader; instead, it has led to a strategic defeat that has left the country more isolated than ever.

    Critics of the deal have been quick to condemn Trump’s concessions. Antony Blinken, former Secretary of State under President Joe Biden, posted on social media platform X that the only tangible “achievement” of the ceasefire is the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz – a waterway that was already open before the war began. “And we will apparently pay Iran to do so,” Blinken wrote, a line that sums up the frustration of many opposition figures who call the conflict the worst foreign policy blunder of Trump’s presidency to date. The core question that hangs over the entire debacle is unavoidable: what, exactly, was the war for? Thousands of people are dead, Iran’s economy has been shattered by months of fighting, and the global economy was brought to the brink of recession, all to return both sides to exactly the position they were in before the invasion began.

    One of the most consequential long-term shifts to come out of the war is Iran’s discovery that the Strait of Hormuz is a far more effective and cost-efficient weapon of leverage than the decades-long, billion-dollar investment it made in building a network of proxy militias across the Middle East. Iran’s so-called “axis of resistance” has survived the war, barely – the Assad regime in Syria collapsed at the end of 2024, and the rest of the network suffered severe damage from Israeli airstrikes that leaves its future effectiveness in doubt. By comparison, closing the Strait was a low-cost, high-impact move that achieved what decades of proxy warfare never could: forcing the U.S. to make major concessions to Tehran. Iran’s nuclear program, which has long been the core point of contention with the West, also played a role in provoking the war, and the regime continues to deny it is pursuing a nuclear weapon. But even with the regime’s survival, the war has caused catastrophic damage to Iran, leaving thousands dead and its economy in tatters.

    The MOU is not a final, binding peace deal – it is only a framework to resume negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program, with a 60-day negotiating window that is widely expected to be extended given the complexity of the issues involved. Mutual distrust remains deep between the two sides, and hardliners in Washington, Tehran, and Jerusalem all have reasons to undermine the talks. Iran could overplay its hand, pushing for maximalist concessions that put the economic relief it gained from the MOU at risk. But even with all the lingering risks, most independent analysts agree that the framework deal is still far better than continuing a catastrophic war that already killed thousands and pushed the global economy to the edge of recession. If the two sides can reach a final, mutually acceptable nuclear agreement and stick to its terms, the agreement could open the door to a fundamental transformation of the entire Middle East. That outcome remains a very large “if,” separated by months of difficult, high-stakes negotiations that could derail at any time, leaving the region once again on the brink of open conflict.

  • Colombia stopped energy exports to Israel – so why did South Africa and Brazil not do so?

    Colombia stopped energy exports to Israel – so why did South Africa and Brazil not do so?

    Against the backdrop of growing international outrage over Israel’s military campaign in Gaza, Colombian President Gustavo Petro has made history by implementing a complete, ironclad ban on all coal exports to Israel – a move that campaigners say proves an energy embargo on Israel is achievable with sufficient political will, while also laying bare the gap between rhetoric and action from other high-profile nations that have publicly backed Palestinian rights.

    The road to the full embargo began in 2024, when Petro first issued a decree banning Israeli-bound coal exports. But a critical loophole allowed multinational mining corporations to continue shipments to honor pre-existing contracts. By July 2025, that loophole was being actively exploited: the Maltese-flagged cargo vessel *Fortune*, loaded with coal mined by U.S. firm Drummond, departed Colombia’s Puerto Drummond bound for Israel’s Hadera port in open defiance of the spirit of the 2024 ban. Within hours of the *Fortune*’s departure, Petro ordered the Colombian navy to intercept and block all further coal supplies to Israel. On August 28, 2025, a revised, closed-loophole decree entered into force, cutting off all Colombian coal exports to Israel entirely.

    “Not a ton of coal leaves for Israel, and I take responsibility,” Petro pledged. As Colombia was Israel’s single largest supplier of coal for electricity generation, exports dropped to zero within months. By November 2025, the ban was fully enforced.

    The push for the embargo originated from grassroots pressure, not just presidential policy. Weeks after the outbreak of Israel’s military operation in Gaza in October 2023, Palestinian trade unions called on Colombia to end energy exports, a demand quickly taken up by Sintracarbon, Colombia’s largest mineworkers union. When the 2024 loophole allowed 28 Drummond ships to deliver coal to Israeli ports between October 2024 and April 2025, a broad coalition of union organizers, Indigenous groups, and BDS activists raised the alarm, forcing the government to close the regulatory gap.

    Indigenous communities in Colombia’s coal-producing regions have framed the issue as a “double genocide,” linking the extraction of coal for Israel’s military to their own long-running displacement and environmental harm. In La Guajira, the Wayuu people have spent decades fighting the Cerrejon mine, one of the world’s largest open-pit coal operations, run by Anglo-Swiss mining giant Glencore. The Global Legal Action Network (GLAN) has documented more than 336,000 cases of respiratory illness in the region directly tied to toxic mine dust, with elevated long-term risks of cancer and genetic damage. Glencore has denied wrongdoing, saying it upholds international human rights standards and runs community development programs, but the company faces ongoing legal action: in 2017, Colombia’s constitutional court ordered a halt to Cerrejon’s expansion over plans to divert a critical water source for the Wayuu, prompting Glencore to launch an international arbitration claim against the Colombian state for millions in compensation.

    Colombia’s coal sector also carries a legacy of paramilitary violence against organized labor. The country is the deadliest in the world for trade unionists, with more than 3,000 organizers murdered since the 1990s. Both Drummond and Glencore (via its subsidiary Prodeco) have been accused of financing and colluding with far-right paramilitary groups between 1996 and 2006, sharing intelligence on targeted union leaders. A 2014 report collected testimony from ex-paramilitaries, victims, and former employees supporting the allegations, which both companies have repeatedly denied, calling testimonies unreliable. In 2023, Colombia’s attorney general’s office announced it would put Drummond’s current and former chief executives on trial for conspiracy to finance paramilitarism, a charge the company continues to reject. Campaigners also note a historical link between Israeli mercenaries and Colombian paramilitaries: Yair Klein, an Israeli ex-soldier, was convicted by a Colombian court in 2001 for training AUC militias in the 1980s.

    Today, the Colombian embargo faces political uncertainty: the country will hold its second round of presidential elections in June 2026, and far-right candidate Abelardo de la Espriella, who won 43.7% of the first-round vote, has pledged to reverse the ban, restore full diplomatic ties with Israel, and open a Colombian embassy in Jerusalem. Even so, campaigners celebrate the embargo as proof that political will can cut off energy supplies that enable military operations.

    In March 2026, Colombia co-chaired a landmark meeting of 40 nations in The Hague, convened by The Hague Group, a coalition working to enforce international law amid the Gaza conflict. At the meeting, participating governments including China, Saudi Arabia, and Spain committed to ban fuel exports to Israel, implement stricter port and transit controls, and restrict the movement of arms, military supplies, and dual-use goods bound for Israel. But a closer look at trade data reveals that many signatory nations have failed to follow through on their commitments, with some even increasing energy exports to fill the gap left by Colombia.

    The most prominent example is South Africa, which co-chaired the The Hague meeting and is the lead claimant in the landmark genocide case against Israel at the International Court of Justice (ICJ). As Colombian exports fell to zero, South Africa’s coal shipments to Israel surged by 87% to fill the gap. Even before the full Colombian embargo, South Africa was Israel’s second-largest coal supplier in the first half of 2024, accounting for 60% of all Israeli coal imports. Most of this coal powers Israel’s national electricity grid, which supplies energy to Israeli Defense Force bases, weapons manufacturing facilities, surveillance infrastructure, and illegal settlements in the occupied West Bank – even as Israel restricts electricity access for Palestinian civilians in Gaza and the West Bank.

    South African activists from the BDS Coalition have called on the government to enforce a ban, pointing out that the government is legally obligated under its own constitution and the Genocide Convention to prevent trade that supports alleged international crimes. South African attorney Sirhaan Che Khan notes that the government already has the power to implement export restrictions without new parliamentary approval, using the same International Trade Administration Act powers it invoked to restrict medical supply exports during the COVID-19 pandemic. The WTO’s trade rules also include security exceptions for actions taken to uphold UN Charter obligations for peace and security – a standard Colombia has already invoked without facing legal challenge.

    Despite this, the South African government has failed to act. BDS coordinator Roshan Dadoo said activist requests for meetings with trade officials have yielded no commitments, with Trade Minister Parks Tau arguing a ban could face legal challenges under WTO rules and that political consensus is impossible in the country’s unity government, which includes the pro-Israel Democratic Alliance alongside the ANC. A government source, speaking anonymously to Middle East Eye, said businesses harmed by a ban could sue the state without new legislation, even though activists say existing law already grants the executive sufficient power. The South African Department of Trade, Industry and Competition did not respond to requests for comment by publication time, leaving a stark contradiction between the country’s bold international legal stance against Israel’s actions and its ongoing trade in energy.

    Brazil, another high-profile signatory that has publicly backed South Africa’s ICJ case and recalled its ambassador to Israel after Lula compared Israel’s actions to the Holocaust, has similarly continued supplying energy to Israel via indirect routes. In 2024, Brazil became Israel’s fourth-largest crude oil supplier, accounting for 9% of Israel’s imports. State-owned Petrobras claims it never sells crude directly to Israel, only to third-party refineries, and has no control over the final destination of refined products. But union leaders say that is a deliberate loophole.

    Leandro Lanfredi, a leader of Brazil’s National Federation of Oil Workers, told Middle East Eye that Brazilian crude is redirected to Italian refineries, which then process and ship it to Israel. In June 2025, after a combination of an Iranian drone strike on Israel’s largest refinery in Haifa (which took the facility offline for months) and scheduled maintenance at Ashdod’s refinery crashed Israeli domestic refining output to a 30-year low, demand for imported refined fuel surged. Data collected by Lanfredi shows that the share of Brazilian crude in the blend at Italy’s Saras refinery in Sardinia jumped from a historical average of 7% to 47% in June 2025, just as the refinery began exporting an estimated 45,000 tons of refined petroleum to Israel. “Of course Petrobras knows who their clients are,” Lanfredi said, noting that the Brazilian government owns more than 50% of voting shares in the state oil giant and has the regulatory power to enforce a ban, but has resisted to avoid friction with private investors. Brazil’s foreign ministry did not respond to requests for comment.

    Activists say Brazil has a clear precedent for such action: in 1985, center-right President Jose Sarney implemented a full oil and arms embargo against apartheid South Africa, proving that even moderate administrations can enforce energy embargoes for human rights. “If it was possible for him to do it, it is more than possible for President Lula,” Badra El Cheikh of the Palestine Institute for Public Diplomacy told MEE.

    The core barrier to broader action, activists say, is fear of U.S. retaliation. “I think most of all, they are afraid of the backlash that could come from Israel’s biggest partner in crime, which is the US. They’re afraid of sanctions, and afraid of anything that the US might do against their economies,” El Cheikh explained. Ana Sanchez, general coordinator of Global Energy Embargo for Palestine (GEEP), added that energy deals face far less international regulation than arms sales, which are at least constrained by the Arms Trade Treaty. Many governments also hide behind the false claim that an energy embargo targets civilians, she said, ignoring that energy powers the military machine that drives the conflict.

    For campaigners, Colombia’s successful implementation of a full embargo proves that the gap between global rhetoric on Palestinian rights and action is not inevitable – it is a choice, rooted in political priorities rather than legal or economic constraint.

  • Ebola cases increase almost 40% in a week as death toll passes 200

    Ebola cases increase almost 40% in a week as death toll passes 200

    DAKAR, SENEGAL – Just one month after the Ebola outbreak was formally detected across the Democratic Republic of Congo’s eastern region and neighboring Uganda, the death toll has surpassed 200, marking it the most severe early-stage Ebola outbreak on record, the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (Africa CDC) confirmed in a Thursday briefing.

    Dr. Wessam Mankoula, a medical epidemiologist with Africa CDC, told reporters that the outbreak has already recorded 894 confirmed cases as of this week—three times the caseload seen at the same 30-day mark during Uganda’s 2000 Ebola outbreak, which registered 224 cases at the corresponding point. The higher current count is partially explained by delayed detection: health authorities only confirmed the outbreak’s existence on May 15, weeks after community transmission was first suspected. Since last week alone, confirmed cases have jumped 38%, and the virus has already spread to 32 separate health zones across eastern Congo.

    What makes this outbreak particularly dangerous is its strain: it is caused by the rare Bundibugyo Ebola virus, for which no approved vaccines or specific antiviral treatments exist. Early testing did not screen for this less common variant, as most of Congo’s 16 previous Ebola outbreaks were linked to the Zaire strain, a more widespread variant for which effective vaccines are already available. As of this week, 74 infected patients across the affected region have recovered, and researchers are currently advancing development of experimental treatments including targeted monoclonal antibodies for Bundibugyo.

    Over 90% of all confirmed cases are concentrated in Congo’s eastern Ituri Province, with additional cases detected in North Kivu and South Kivu provinces. The virus has already crossed the international border into Uganda, where 19 confirmed cases and two deaths have been documented to date.

    Public health officials are facing steep barriers to bringing the outbreak under control, starting with critical gaps in contact tracing. Africa CDC estimates that for the 894 confirmed cases, between 17,000 and 35,000 close contacts should be monitored for symptoms. As of Thursday, only roughly 4,000 contacts—less than 15% of the projected total—have been located and are under active evaluation.

    “We are still far from controlling the situation of this outbreak,” Mankoula said, noting that long-running insecurity and geographic isolation in Ituri have hobbled tracing efforts. Decades of armed conflict in the province have displaced nearly one million people, according to the United Nations’ Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, leading to constant population movement as communities flee violence. Ituri’s dense forests, underdeveloped road infrastructure, and scattered remote villages mean accessing affected communities can take multiple days of travel. Tracing efforts are further complicated by the large population of artisanal miners working in the region’s mineral-rich interior, who move frequently between isolated mining sites with little official oversight.

    Compounding these challenges are critical gaps in funding and personnel. Of the more than $900 million in international pledges committed to the outbreak response, only $90 million has actually been disbursed to frontline response teams, Mankoula said. Africa CDC estimates it requires 540 trained response personnel to fully address the crisis, and currently has only 84 staff deployed to the affected region.

    Mankoula added that the organization is working urgently to accelerate the release of committed funds, saying: “We’re keeping our fingers crossed those new pledges will be fast tracked, and we’ll be following up with different member states and different partners about their commitment to turn those pledges into actual money released to their affected countries or partners.”