Two years after the fall of Bashar al-Assad’s government, a comprehensive new report from Syrian monitoring group the Sijil Centre has laid bare the full scale of Israel’s systematic military incursion and territorial expansion across southern Syria, documenting more than 1,600 violations of Syrian sovereignty between August 2024 and May 2026. The report, shared exclusively with Middle East Eye, reveals a sharp escalation of Israeli activity following the 2025 US-Israel war on Iran, with March 2026 alone seeing a record 321 military operations, 121 aerial strikes and the detention of 41 Syrian civilians.
Israel’s steady encroachment into Syria began within hours of Assad’s government collapsing on 8 December 2024, when Israeli ground forces crossed the 1974 ceasefire line in the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights to seize the UN-monitored buffer zone between the two countries. This marked the first major breach of the ceasefire line by Israeli ground forces since the 1973 Arab-Israeli War. Within 48 hours of Assad’s fall, Israeli troops had seized 350 square kilometers of Syrian territory stretching from Mount Hermon in the north to the Yarmouk Basin in southern Daraa province. Simultaneously, Israeli fighter jets carried out more than 350 air strikes across multiple Syrian provinces, destroying dozens of Syrian military aircraft, air defense systems and weapons stockpiles.
In the 21 months since that initial incursion, Israel has consolidated its control over the region through a expanding network of military infrastructure. Hamza Ghadban, director of the Sijil Centre, told Middle East Eye that Israel has already completed construction of nine permanent military bases in southern Syria, with a 10th currently under development. The international community has largely remained silent on this expansion, with no major diplomatic or political pushback to curb Israel’s territorial advances.
After two large-scale ground incursions into southern Daraa in March and April 2025 that resulted in deadly clashes between Israeli troops and local Syrian fighters, Ghadban said Israel shifted its strategy to what he terms “silent strangulation”: a sustained campaign of small-scale raids, cross-border incursions, and permanent checkpoint establishment. Israeli operations are concentrated in a 15-kilometer deep triangular zone running from Mount Hermon in the north to the Yarmouk Basin in the south, which Ghadban describes as the consistent “hotspot for Israeli activities in Syria.”
The report’s detailed geographic analysis finds that over 80% of all documented violations are concentrated in Quneitra governorate, making it the primary theater of Israeli operations, followed by Daraa and Rif Dimashq. Within Quneitra, central and northern rural areas see the highest intensity of incursions, driven by topography and population distribution, while southern Quneitra sees systematic targeting of sheep herders grazing near the ceasefire line. Satellite imagery collected between December 2024 and November 2025 confirms a continuous chain of fortified military outposts stretching the full length of Quneitra’s countryside, built on seized civilian and agricultural land. In Jubata al-Khashab, Israeli forces cleared 2,500 dunams of forest and farmland to build a fortified outpost that has since been expanded into a full military base. In al-Hamidiya, 16 civilian homes were demolished to make way for a new base completed in just 50 days, displacing 12 local families and turning the area into a key surveillance and control hub.
In Daraa province, Israeli operations are less frequent but more targeted, consisting primarily of selective artillery strikes and midnight raids on specific homes and individuals, rather than large-scale sweeps. Israeli forces have turned frontline Syrian villages into tactical entry corridors, with four dedicated “military gates” serving specific operational functions for armored vehicles, troop movements and heavy weapons convoys entering Syria. Ghadban explained that Israel’s end goal is to establish a continuous geographic security belt spanning the entire length of southern Syria, anchored on strategic high ground that allows full surveillance and fire control over all of southern Syria.
Beyond direct military incursions, the report documents a systematic campaign of environmental damage targeting agricultural and grazing lands near the buffer zone, which Ghadban labels “environmental genocide.” Since January 2026, Israeli aircraft have sprayed unidentified chemical substances across more than 65 kilometers of land along the 1974 ceasefire line. Within days of spraying, vast stretches of vegetation withered, damaging an estimated 3,500 dunams of pasture land and 1,500 dunams of woodland in southern Quneitra alone. Agriculture and livestock herding are the primary livelihoods for local communities, leaving hundreds of families directly impacted. Ghadban said the spraying is a deliberate tactic to force civilian displacement by destroying local income sources. While Syria’s Ministry of Agriculture did not find acute toxicity in tests, it did not identify the chemicals used. The tactic mirrors spraying along the Israel-Lebanon border, where the substance used was confirmed as glyphosate, a herbicide classified by the World Health Organization as probably carcinogenic to humans.
Israel is also moving forward with major long-term infrastructure projects to formalize its control over the expanded border area. In early 2026, the Israeli government announced a $1.7 billion plan to build the 500-kilometer “Eastern Border Security Barrier”, a continuous fortified line running from the southern Golan Heights to the Samar Dunes north of Eilat on Israel’s southern tip. Israel claims the project includes $80 million in contracts for demining with U.S. technology firm Ondas Holdings and its Israeli subsidiary 4M Defence, but the Sijil Centre analysis concludes demining is merely a cover for building an AI-powered “smart border” equipped with sensor networks, military drones and ground-based autonomous robots. Ghadban noted that the topographical changes and scale of equipment deployed far exceed what is required for demining, indicating the technology is intended for permanent long-term border security.
The new smart barrier is being integrated with the long-planned Sufa 53 military road running parallel to the ceasefire line in Quneitra, which Israel began constructing in 2022. Together, the two projects form a permanent fortified corridor under the command of the newly created 96th “Gilad” Division, tasked with securing the tri-border region where Israel, Syria and Jordan meet. Ghadban linked the project to Israeli plans to expand Israeli settlements in the Golan Heights: in April 2026, the Israeli cabinet approved legislation to bring an additional 3,000 Israeli settlers to the Golan by 2030, centered on expanding the main settlement of Katzrin.
Israeli officials have become increasingly open about their long-term territorial ambitions in Syria. Far-right Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, a leading settlement advocate, stated in April 2026 that Israel will formally annex the Mount Hermon strategic summit and the buffer zone at minimum, expanding Israeli borders alongside similar territorial gains in Gaza and Lebanon. Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz doubled down on this stance, declaring Israel “will not move a millimetre from Syria.”
For local Syrian communities affected by the incursions, little has changed from the era of Assad rule, the report finds. The marginalized southern border regions received almost no state support under Hafez and Bashar al-Assad, and the new post-Assad Syrian government has yet to provide any meaningful support, compensation or formal engagement with affected communities. The only exception was a brief visit by Syrian officials and small-scale infrastructure repairs after a 17-year-old boy was killed in an Israeli strike in April 2026, a step Ghadban notes “hasn’t happened at all before.” Syria’s permanent representative to the United Nations, Ibrahim Olabi, has formally raised the issue with the UN Security Council, accusing Israeli forces of terrorizing civilians, carrying out enforced disappearances, home raids and ongoing territorial encroachments in the buffer zone.









