分类: politics

  • Many Cubans voted for Trump – now they’re turning on Republican immigration policies

    Many Cubans voted for Trump – now they’re turning on Republican immigration policies

    Two years into the Trump administration’s sweeping nationwide undocumented immigration crackdown, the Miami office of Cuban-born immigration attorney Ismael Labrador operates at full, unrelenting capacity. His waiting room is perpetually packed, his appointment calendar saturated with frantic family members of detained non-citizens scrambling to navigate legal channels to prevent their loved ones from being expelled from the U.S. and returned to their home countries. Though his legal practice is more commercially successful than ever, Labrador expresses profound regret over the circumstances driving that boom.

    “Right now, so many of our community members are trapped in constant fear, and we have already had relatives deported back to Cuba, a devastating outcome none of us anticipated,” Labrador shared. For decades, Cuban migrants have held uniquely privileged immigration status under the 1960s Cuban Adjustment Act, a long-standing piece of federal legislation that offered them a clear path to permanent residency. But widespread, unannounced raids across Florida carried out by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) teams have shattered that perceived safety net, leaving the Cuban American community far more exposed to removal proceedings than at any point in modern U.S. history. Labrador notes, “The simplest way to frame it is: if you do not hold a valid Green Card in this country, you could be targeted for detention at any moment.”

    Hundreds of user-shared mobile phone clips have documented these detentions unfolding in spaces once universally considered off-limits to immigration enforcement: parents being led away in cuffs outside elementary school pick-up zones, at public bus stops, during local youth sports matches, and even inside courthouse lobbies where migrants had arrived for pre-scheduled, routine immigration hearings. No piece of footage has resonated as widely as the viral clip capturing 39-year-old Ecuadorean migrant Grace Calero and her 19-year-old daughter Giulianna Carriel being taken into custody while recovering in a central Florida hospital ward. The pair had been severely injured in a traffic collision on their commute to work in Kissimmee two months prior, and were receiving medical treatment when ICE agents entered their ward to arrest them; both were deported back to Ecuador within 72 hours, with no opportunity to arrange for their affairs or challenge the order. Even Labrador’s own cousin was swept up in the enforcement dragnet, and despite the attorney’s full use of his professional expertise and legal resources, he was unable to prevent the man’s deportation to Cuba. “It is an impossible fight when you are up against the nearly unlimited federal resources allocated to these operations,” Labrador lamented.

    The White House has repeatedly defended the policy, noting that Trump ran and won the 2024 presidential election on an explicit pledge to implement mass deportation measures. A White House spokesperson told the BBC last week, “He fulfilled his promise to stop the invasion of our nation, and as a direct result of his policies, more than 3 million undocumented people have left the United States.” ICE, meanwhile, has maintained that its enforcement actions are targeted exclusively at individuals who have violated U.S. immigration law and are residing in the country without valid authorization.

    Labrador was part of the 68% of Florida’s Cuban American electorate that cast their vote for Donald Trump in 2024, a decision he now openly describes as a catastrophic, unforeseen mistake. Though Trump had never hidden his hardline immigration platform, repeatedly vowing at Florida campaign rallies that he would “launch the largest deportation program in American history on Day One” of his second term, Labrador and tens of thousands of other disenchanted Latino voters operated under the assumption that the administration would only prioritize removing migrants with documented criminal records. “We were completely blindsided by what actually unfolded,” he explained. “I voted for Trump because I wanted to get violent criminals out of this country, and I believed his claims that the Biden administration had allowed a flood of communist sympathizers to enter from Cuba. We wanted a safer United States, but we never imagined he would go after every single undocumented person regardless of their background. This is not at all what I cast my ballot for.”

    Labrador is far from the only Cuban American voter in Florida experiencing this post-election buyer’s remorse. Congresswoman Maria Elvira Salazar, who represents Florida’s 27th Congressional District, recently released a public video filmed outside the White House in which she formally distanced herself from the administration’s deportation policies, stating that the crackdown had “gone far too far.” She directly addressed President Trump in the footage, noting, “The very same Hispanic communities that helped carry you to the White House in 2024 feel completely betrayed today.” Salazar is currently locked in a fiercely competitive re-election race against Democratic challenger Eliott Rodríguez, a fellow Cuban American, and critics note that her past close ties to Trump’s immigration agenda could cost her the seat in the upcoming November midterms.

    Florida remains a solidly pro-Trump Republican stronghold for now. At a recent gathering of Cuban American small business owners in Miami, the prevailing sentiment was overwhelmingly supportive of the president. “Miami loves Trump, Cuban Americans love Trump,” said local real estate developer Juan Omar Sixto, gesturing to the crowd of fellow attendees behind him. “Everyone here agrees that any person who crossed the border illegally should be required to leave the country” — a stance he maintained even while acknowledging that he himself entered the U.S. without valid legal documentation 60 years earlier. A recent survey published by Florida International University paints a more nuanced picture, however: 76% of South Florida Cuban respondents said they disapprove of the administration’s practice of deporting Cubans with no prior criminal record, even as 68% confirmed they still plan to vote for Republican candidates in the upcoming midterm elections. Across other regions of the U.S., overall support for the Republican Party among Latino voters is dropping sharply. In the 2024 presidential election, Trump defeated Kamala Harris among Florida Latino voters by a 56.1% to 43% margin — the largest gap for any presidential candidate in the state since 1988 — but a recent NBC News/Telemundo poll of 8,000 registered Latino voters nationwide found that nearly 60% want Democrats to take control of Congress, compared to just 35% who prefer a Republican majority. Skyrocketing costs of living, including steep spikes in grocery and gasoline prices that place a heavy strain on working-class households, are a major driver of that discontent, but for many Hispanic voters, the stories of families torn apart by deportation operations have also shifted their political calculus.

    One of the most widely shared of these stories belongs to Heydi Sanchez, who fled Cuba in 2019 as the island descended into a crippling economic collapse, and crossed the U.S.-Mexico border without legal authorization. After spending nine months in a federal detention facility, she was released on an I-220B Order of Supervision, a temporary status that allowed her to remain in the U.S. but required her to attend regular check-ins with ICE agents, with a constant underlying risk of deportation. She settled in Tampa, where she worked caring for children with autism and elderly residents, and after years of costly, complicated fertility treatments, she and her U.S. citizen husband welcomed a baby daughter named Kailyn. Most I-220B holders pursue permanent status through humanitarian parole, but last year, the Trump administration revoked temporary humanitarian parole protections for roughly 300,000 Cuban migrants. Sanchez realized her status was at risk when ICE unannounced rescheduled her next mandatory check-in to an earlier date. When she arrived at the appointment, she was immediately detained, and Kailyn was taken from her arms and placed in the care of her father. Within 24 hours, Sanchez was placed on a deportation flight back to Havana in shackles, with no opportunity to file an appeal. The author met her in Cuba, where she now resides in a small one-bedroom apartment in the rural Mayabeque province outside Havana. “It felt like the sky fell down and crushed me the moment they took my baby away,” she said through tears, describing the separation from her daughter. “When we video call, she keeps saying ‘Mummy, come home.’ All I can say is ‘Honey, Mummy is away working.’ What else can I tell her? How do you explain something that cruel to a small child?” Despite public expressions of support from several U.S. politicians including Congresswoman Salazar, more than a year has passed since her deportation, and Sanchez remains trapped in Cuba with no clear path to return to the United States to reunite with her child. In a formal statement responding to inquiries about the case, ICE claimed that “the parent in this case stated they wished to be removed without their child, and left the child in the care of a safe, pre-vetted relative in the United States.”

    The Trump administration’s rollback of the long-standing special immigration privileges afforded to Cuban migrants has resulted in the expulsion of thousands of people to an island that the U.S. State Department has formally designated as a “failed state,” currently in the throes of its worst energy crisis in history, exacerbated by a months-long U.S.-imposed fuel blockade. Two years after Cuban American voters in Florida overwhelmingly cast their ballots for Donald Trump in 2024, many in the community have come to the stark realization that they hold no special protection from deportation, and face the same level of risk as every other migrant community in the country. That widespread frustration is expected to have tangible impacts on Republican electoral performance in the upcoming midterm elections.

  • Student-backed election winners demand sweeping resignations in Serbia

    Student-backed election winners demand sweeping resignations in Serbia

    Beneath the foliage of Pioneers’ Park, the green public space directly across from Serbia’s national parliament building, the newly elected representatives of the landslide Student List movement gathered for their first official press conference just days after voters ousted the long-ruling party of former president Aleksandar Vučić from power. The historic political upset, which marks one of the most sweeping overnight reboots of a European national political system in recent memory, has handed governing authority to a cohort of first-time office holders drawn from a cross-section of Serbian society: intellectuals, university professors, professional artists, competitive athletes, and no fewer than 12 practicing medical doctors and surgeons. During the outdoor press briefing, the newly sworn-in MPs issued an immediate, explicit demand for the top leadership of Serbia’s law enforcement, intelligence, and judicial branches to step down. The group called for the dismissal of all police personnel found to have committed unlawful acts during Vučić’s decade-plus tenure, specifically naming the heads of the national police force, the BIA domestic security agency, and the elite anti-terrorism unit as required to vacate their posts. The Student List leadership has openly voiced deep concern that critical documentary evidence of systemic official wrongdoing could be deliberately destroyed over the coming weeks, as the formal handover of state institutional power is scheduled to unfold gradually rather than instantaneously. The very park where the press conference was held bore stark physical traces of the old regime’s last days: as recently as days before the election, the site was a sprawling tent encampment occupied by loyalist supporters of Vučić stationed outside his office. Within hours of Vučić publicly conceding electoral defeat on Sunday night, the entire encampment was torn down, and hundreds of civilian volunteers arrived at dawn the following Monday to begin clearing debris and restoring the public green space. “This is just the first wave of spring cleaning, the new ones are coming now — we are very excited but fully prepared to put in the work,” 25-year-old volunteer Marija Milovanović told reporters as she scrubbed grime off a weathered park bench. The entire Student List movement first coalesced in late 2024, after a catastrophic structural collapse of a railway station canopy in Novi Sad, Serbia’s second-largest city, killed 16 people, triggering widespread public outrage over long-alleged systemic corruption that had been ignored for years. The movement’s founding core demand was to hold every responsible party for the deadly disaster fully accountable in a court of law, and to root out the pervasive graft that officials said had contributed to the structural failure. The group’s 1200-page, meticulously detailed governing manifesto, formally titled the Student Plan, lays out ambitious pledges to halt state asset plunder, recover embezzled public funds back to the national treasury, and direct new public investment directly into underfunded education programs and domestic economic development. The first wave of administrative changes aligned with this agenda has already begun: Manja Grčić, the long-serving Vučić loyalist director of state broadcaster RTS, has already stepped down, and new MP Mirjana Nikolić stated publicly that Serbian citizens hold an inherent right to unbiassed, truthful news coverage after years of the public media outlet operating exclusively to serve the ruling party’s political interests. The movement has also announced plans to replace Vladimir Lučić, the politically appointed head of state-owned telecommunications giant Telekom Srbija. The outgoing acting president Ana Brnabić, a longstanding Vučić ally, has pushed back sharply against the incoming administration’s early actions, accusing the Student List of pursuing “revolutionary justice rather than the rule of law” and claiming the new government intends to forcibly shut down all media outlets that hold opposing political views. Dejan Šoškić, the widely respected former central bank governor who is one of the highest-profile newly elected MPs on the Student List ticket, has emphasized that urgent, time-bound reform is non-negotiable, with core institutional changes required to be fully implemented within the first six months of the new government’s term. “In the first six months, I would like to see the media scene fully liberated, make steady progress in the fight against systemic corruption, ensure every state institution operates strictly in line with existing legal statutes, and pass a formal lustration law,” Šoškić explained. The proposed lustration policy would bar any members of the former Vučić government or ruling party apparatus who are found to have violated Serbian citizens’ fundamental rights from holding any public office for a defined period. Strahinja Subotić, a policy analyst at the Belgrade-based European Policy Centre, has cautioned that this sweeping institutional reset will be an extraordinarily complex process, as every core pillar of state authority in Serbia has been fully controlled by Vučić and his Serbian Progressive Party for more than a decade. Subotić added that the new administration will ultimately need to build collaborative bridges with institutional segments that functioned effectively even under the previous ruling party to avoid full systemic collapse. All 141 successful Student List parliamentary candidates were selected through a lengthy, rigorous, confidential nomination process run by university student groups across Serbia, who tasked the diverse cohort with delivering on the full scope of the movement’s systemic national rebuilding agenda. Radomir Saičić, a University of Belgrade professor of organic chemistry and another prominent newly elected MP, confirmed that while practical implementation mechanisms for the manifesto will be refined on an ongoing basis, the full 1200-page student-drafted plan will serve as the non-negotiable governing roadmap. “Parliament will make formal decisions, but since this entire historic change was led by the sustained efforts of Serbia’s students, we will place enormous value on their input and maintain close, continuous collaboration with them,” Saičić pledged. The incoming governing cohort faces an unprecedented set of structural challenges: nearly every MP is a first-time public office holder, the movement has no designated formal single leader, and it must navigate Serbia’s longstanding delicate balancing act on the global diplomatic stage. Serbia holds official European Union candidate status but has maintained longstanding close economic and political ties with Russia, and has refused to impose Western sanctions on Moscow following its 2022 full-scale invasion of Ukraine. The EU released an official statement quickly welcoming the Student List’s electoral victory, and pledged full support for the new government’s planned rule of law, media freedom, and anti-corruption reforms. Notably, however, EU integration occupies only a very minor position in the movement’s election manifesto, which describes the bloc solely as Serbia’s “most important economic partner.” Šoškić confirmed that the new government has no immediate plans to alter the country’s longstanding neutral foreign policy stance, noting that Serbia endured crippling UN sanctions during the Yugoslav wars of the 1990s, and the new leadership is well aware that punitive trade measures overwhelmingly harm ordinary civilian citizens rather than altering state leadership decisions. The incoming administration’s immediate priority will be fully focused on domestic institutional reform, and it faces a tight political timeline: Serbia’s next presidential election is scheduled for December, and Vučić — who is legally barred from running for a third consecutive presidential term — has already vowed that his defeated Serbian Progressive Party will regroup and mount a fierce political comeback far sooner than their opponents anticipate.

  • Biden officials who resigned over Gaza call on US presidential candidates not to hire Israel enablers

    Biden officials who resigned over Gaza call on US presidential candidates not to hire Israel enablers

    A cohort of 12 officials who voluntarily departed their posts during Joe Biden’s presidential administration has released an open letter targeting all prospective 2028 U.S. presidential hopefuls, demanding they explicitly pledge not to hire any former government staff who actively facilitated the actions in Gaza that the United Nations and leading Holocaust scholars have formally classified as genocide. The signatories, drawn primarily from the U.S. State Department, intelligence agencies, and military ranks, include both Arab American and Jewish American representatives spanning multiple federal government sectors.

    The letter frames the demand as a baseline standard of accountability, noting that the bare minimum of consequence for the widespread harm enabled by senior U.S. officials is to block those individuals from re-entering positions of public power. It explicitly states that senior officials who ignored verified facts, misled the American public, suppressed internal government dissent, and enabled U.S. material support for Israel’s actions in Gaza have no right to occupy influential roles in any future presidential administration, nor should they be granted access to any institution that allows them to shape U.S. foreign policy or train the next generation of American policy leaders.

    This public call comes amid a growing wave of public remorse from high-profile former Biden administration figures who previously served as vocal defenders of Israeli operations in Gaza, many now acknowledging the Biden White House failed to take timely action to halt unfettered civilian casualties. In June 2024, former State Department spokesperson Matthew Miller drew widespread public outrage when he stated on a Sky News podcast that he believed “without a doubt” Israel had committed war crimes, even as he stopped short of labeling the campaign a genocide, adding that Israel was failing as a democracy by refusing to hold its soldiers accountable for conduct in Gaza. Miller also confirmed that deep internal disagreements persisted across the administration for the full duration of Israel’s Gaza assault, which at its peak claimed up to 300 Palestinian lives per day in the besieged enclave.

    Two months after Miller’s remarks, former U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan faced widespread online backlash for hypocrisy, after he stated in an interview with The Bulwark that he would support congressional efforts to withhold military aid from Israel over its decision to abandon a March 2025 ceasefire agreement. This public stance stood in stark contrast to his actions while serving in the Biden White House, where he personally lobbied Democratic members of Congress to reject legislative proposals that would block arms transfers to Israel, even as pressure from U.S. allies mounted to restrict such shipments.

    Earlier in 2025, then-Vice President and subsequent 2024 Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris acknowledged “horrific conduct” by Israeli forces that left the Biden administration “fallen short of its moral obligation to human rights and international law,” admitting “We should have acted sooner and more forcefully.”

    The open letter from the former administration resignees does not target only Democratic candidates, noting that sustained criticism of the longstanding U.S.-Israel bilateral relationship has gained significant traction in conservative U.S. political circles over the past 18 months, while public opinion polling confirms that U.S. public favorability toward Israel has fallen to its lowest recorded level in history. The letter calls on all 2028 presidential contenders to formally acknowledge that the U.S. government bears complicity in what it describes as Israel’s genocide in Gaza and broader human rights abuses against Palestinian people, facilitated through billions in arms transfers, unwavering diplomatic cover, and active suppression of critical debate on the issue both domestically and internationally.

    Context for the letter’s demands stretches back to the October 7, 2023, Hamas-led attacks on southern Israel that triggered the subsequent Israeli military campaign in Gaza. Over the course of the conflict, more than 250,000 Palestinians have been killed or wounded, and the Gaza Strip has been reduced to widespread structural ruin. Despite Biden’s public comments to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu just 10 days after the October 7 attacks warning against indiscriminate carpet bombing of civilian areas, in which Netanyahu reportedly pushed back by citing U.S. wartime bombing of Berlin and the 1945 nuclear strikes on Japan to justify his campaign, the Biden administration authorized nearly $30 billion in new military aid to Israel across separate congressional bills, a level of financial and military support unmatched by any other global ally of Israel.

    Critics have repeatedly noted that the Biden administration deliberately refused to leverage this unprecedented financial and military leverage to force a ceasefire as early as May 2024. Multiple former senior administration officials have since confirmed that it was not the Biden White House, but rather the Donald Trump administration’s Middle East envoy, who pressured Netanyahu to accept a ceasefire deal that Qatari mediators had spent more than a year negotiating. That initial ceasefire was broken by Israeli forces less than two months after it took effect, and it was only in October 2025 that the Trump administration secured a formal, long-term ceasefire through backchannel diplomatic talks with Hamas. Even after that agreement was signed, Israeli forces have killed more than 1,400 Palestinians in Gaza, including 19 children in the most recent 30-day reporting period alone.

    Bishara Bahbah, a former Democratic voter who shifted his support to Donald Trump during the Biden administration and later served as a key intermediary relaying messages between Trump’s Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff and Hamas officials in Doha, told Middle East Eye this week that his recent efforts to push the White House to prioritize enforcing the Gaza ceasefire have been consistently rebuffed, describing his reaction to the snub in unvarnished, blunt terms.

  • Israeli press review: Netanyahu moved to undermine Palestinian vote on election day

    Israeli press review: Netanyahu moved to undermine Palestinian vote on election day

    A series of investigative reports from leading Israeli media outlets have laid bare unprecedented political maneuvering in the hours and days following Israel’s Tuesday general election, as competing factions jockey for power against the backdrop of record Palestinian voter turnout that reshuffled parliamentary seat distributions. A Thursday probe by prominent Israeli newspaper Haaretz revealed that sitting Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu orchestrated a coordinated, election-day social media blitz explicitly designed to delegitimize Palestinian electoral participation, laying public groundwork to potentially discredit official vote tallies. Over the 15-hour window that polling stations remained open across the country, Netanyahu posted a total of 146 items across all his official social media profiles, with fully 72 of those posts targeting Palestinian voter turnout – nearly half of his total election-day output. This targeted messaging was not confined to Netanyahu’s personal accounts: his eldest son Yair posted or shared 103 anti-Palestinian voter items on the X platform, while the prime minister’s staunchly aligned partisan outlet Channel 14 News circulated 40 similar delegitimizing posts. The coordinated right-wing campaign extended to 90 separate far-right social media accounts, which collectively distributed roughly 2,300 anti-Palestinian voter messages between Tuesday and Wednesday. Offline mobilization efforts targeting Likud party supporters also ran in parallel, including targeted phone calls, mass text messages, and shared video content amplifying the anti-Palestinian voter narrative. Two days after polls closed, multiple diplomatic and domestic advocacy efforts emerged to shape the next Israeli government’s composition. Citing unnamed U.S. administration sources, right-wing Israeli daily Israel Hayom reported that sitting U.S. President Donald Trump had sent parallel diplomatic communications to both Netanyahu and leaders of the Zionist opposition, expressing a clear preference for the formation of a broad unity government. Trump’s stated priority is assembling a cross-partisan coalition that unites Netanyahu’s Likud party and Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar faction, the two largest parties per preliminary election results, to advance his long-stated Middle East policy agenda. That agenda includes brokering normalized diplomatic agreements between Israel and several Arab states – most notably Saudi Arabia – as well as advancing a formal framework to address longstanding Palestinian political grievances. A U.S. source close to the deliberations told the newspaper that Trump plans to wait for final, certified election results before holding formal discussions with Israeli leaders about coalition formation, but is signaling his preferred policy direction now to capitalize on what he described as a narrow, time-sensitive strategic window. The source warned that if Israeli political actors fail to move quickly to form the desired broad government, the strategic opportunity would expire at the end of Trump’s presidential term in two years, leaving Israel facing far greater existential security challenges. A separate report from Israeli public broadcaster Kan 11 added that the Trump administration is explicitly pushing for far-right National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir to be excluded from any future governing coalition, as U.S. officials view his hardline positions as a major barrier to advancing policy priorities in the occupied Gaza Strip. Parallel to international diplomatic pressure, a prominent cross-societal domestic advocacy effort gained steam, as roughly 400 leading Israeli artists, actors, writers, and poets released an open letter urging the Zionist Change opposition bloc to form a historic inclusive governing partnership with the two Palestinian-led political parties that posted historic electoral gains. The Joint List and Ra’am parties saw unprecedented turnout among Palestinian citizens of Israel, catapulting them to a kingmaker position that makes their support indispensable to any effort to unseat Netanyahu’s long-running administration. The open letter, published by Israeli Channel 12 News, called on all Change bloc leaders – including Gadi Eisenkot, Naftali Bennett, Yair Lapid, Avigdor Lieberman, and Yair Golan – to set aside longstanding communal prejudices, systemic racism, and decades of political incitement to unite Jewish and Arab political factions under a single governing alliance. The letter framed the moment as a fight to preserve Israeli democracy from imminent collapse, noting that Palestinian citizens are full, integral members of Israeli society who deserve a formal seat at the governing table during this unprecedented political moment. As coalition negotiations move forward, Israeli Channel 13 News reported that President Isaac Herzog is poised to grant Gadi Eisenkot the first official mandate to form a new government, a procedural step that follows Israel’s proportional electoral rules that task the president with selecting the candidate who receives the most formal recommendations from elected Knesset factions. As of Thursday, Eisenkot’s Change bloc held 48 parliamentary seats, while the two Palestinian-led parties that have pledged to support his bid hold 19 seats, combining for a solid 67-seat majority in the 120-seat Knesset. The pro-change factions have already signaled their first legislative priority will be ousting current Knesset Speaker Amir Ohana, a senior Likud ally, to seize control of the parliamentary agenda and set the terms for ongoing coalition negotiations. Both Joint List leader Yousef Jabareen and Ra’am head Mansour Abbas have publicly confirmed their parties will support the motion to replace Ohana, reaffirming their shared commitment to voting out Netanyahu’s longstanding far-right administration.

  • More than 43 million ballots cast so far in midterms early voting surge

    More than 43 million ballots cast so far in midterms early voting surge

    With less than seven days remaining before the 2026 United States midterm elections that will determine partisan control of both chambers of Congress for the subsequent two-year legislative term, preliminary data shows more than 43 million U.S. residents have already submitted their ballots via early in-person or mail-in pathways. The widely tracked Election Lab run by University of Florida political science scholar Prof Mike McDonald reveals that daily early vote volumes have hovered between 4 million and 5 million in recent weeks, a far brisker pace than recorded in the vast majority of prior midterm cycles. To date, Texas, a pivotal battleground state that could single-handedly tip partisan control of the U.S. Senate for the remainder of Donald Trump’s presidential tenure, has posted the most dramatic above-average turnout surge nationwide. The Lone Star State has already notched roughly 1.75 million more early ballots than its total 2022 early vote count, with more than 5.8 million submissions logged as of the latest update. Demographic breakdowns from the three states that collect racial identity data during voter registration — Georgia, Florida, and North Carolina — show sharp upticks in early participation from Black and Hispanic communities, while white voter early turnout rates hold nearly identical to 2022 levels. In Texas, which does not require voters to disclose partisan affiliation or racial background on registration forms, border counties where Hispanic residents make up over 90% of the population are seeing unprecedented turnout spikes, with multiple projected to exceed their full 2022 total turnout numbers before election day even arrives. Among the subset of U.S. states that mandate voters declare a formal partisan affiliation when registering, early vote totals from Democratic voters have climbed notably compared to 2022, while Republican early voting volumes have remained largely consistent with the previous midterm cycle. The latest aggregated data from these party-registration states shows 44% of early ballots cast to date come from registered Democrats, 31.2% from registered Republicans, and the remaining 24.7% from unaffiliated independent voters, whose candidate preferences cannot be tracked via public records. The national shift toward early voting accelerated dramatically during the 2020 COVID-19 public health crisis, when dozens of states expanded no-excuse early in-person and mail-in voting access to reduce crowding at polling sites. During that 2020 presidential election cycle, over two-thirds of all ballots were cast early, with half of those submissions arriving via post. Prof McDonald’s analysis notes that modern voters are increasingly opting for in-person early voting rather than mail-in submissions, and returning their ballots far earlier in the pre-election window than in prior cycles. While no definitive empirical data exists to confirm the driving force behind this trend, experts point to widespread public concerns over U.S. Postal Service operational disruptions, as well as the higher rate of ballot disqualification linked to accidental procedural errors on mailed submissions. Early voting operations will begin winding down across the country in the coming days, as individual states enforce their pre-election cut-off deadlines ahead of official election day on Tuesday, November 3.

  • Flávio Bolsonaro calls himself ‘leader of Brazil’ after election loss

    Flávio Bolsonaro calls himself ‘leader of Brazil’ after election loss

    Days after suffering a decisive 4.4 million-vote defeat to left-wing rival Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in Brazil’s hotly contested presidential run-off, defeated far-right candidate Flávio Bolsonaro has arrived in Florida after a circuitous cross-continental journey, publishing a controversial open letter on his X social media account that has upended the country’s post-election political landscape. The son of former Brazilian president Jair Bolsonaro, who has refused to formally concede the election, first posted a deleted draft of the letter addressing “the Brazilian people and the international community as the rightful president of Brazil”, before revising the opening line to identify himself as “leader of Brazil” in the final published version. Across both iterations, Bolsonaro repeats unsubstantiated claims of widespread electoral fraud, asserting that a last-minute extension of polling hours on election day was a deliberate scheme to benefit Lula, describing the process as “an electoral fraud unfolding before my eyes”. These allegations have been thoroughly debunked by official oversight and independent analysis: Brazil’s top electoral authority confirmed the entire vote was conducted in full compliance with national laws and the constitution, noting that the polling hour extension had been formally requested by *both* the Lula and Bolsonaro campaign teams to accommodate voters still waiting in line. A joint audit by BBC Brazil and BBC Verify further found that only 34,000 total ballots were cast during the extended window, a number that is orders of magnitude smaller than the 4.4 million-vote margin that secured Lula’s victory. Bolsonaro’s sudden exit from Brazil came after more than 24 hours of public confusion over his whereabouts, as he defied a binding Supreme Court order to surrender his passports as part of an ongoing money laundering investigation. No formal charges have been filed against him in the probe, which he dismisses as a “politically-motivated witch hunt” targeting conservative opponents. He traveled first overland across the border into Argentina, then boarded a flight that made a brief refueling stop in Ecuador before landing in Florida, where he was reunited with his younger brother Eduardo, who has been in self-imposed exile in the United States since March 2025 citing claims of political persecution. The pair shared a photo on social media holding a Brazilian flag to confirm their reunion. The Trump administration has confirmed it issued visas to Flávio Bolsonaro and his accompanying family members, but has declined to specify the visa classification. Ahead of the Brazilian election, former U.S. President Donald Trump had made vague remarks describing the run-off as “very strange” but later told reporters he would not intervene in the dispute, refusing to explicitly endorse Bolsonaro’s fraud claims. Bolsonaro’s vow to lead the Brazilian opposition from U.S. soil faces significant structural hurdles: his own Liberal Party formally recognized the validity of Lula’s election win earlier this week, with party leader Rogério Marinho stating publicly on Wednesday that “there is no evidence” to back up Bolsonaro’s fraud allegations, even as some rank-and-file party members have framed the candidate’s departure as political exile. No details have been released regarding how long Bolsonaro intends to remain in the U.S., or what specific opposition organizing activities he plans to coordinate remotely from Florida.

  • President Tinubu to ‘pray for Nigeria’ during Saudi Arabia trip

    President Tinubu to ‘pray for Nigeria’ during Saudi Arabia trip

    Fresh off the official launch of his ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) party’s 2027 re-election campaign last weekend, Nigerian President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has departed for the holy Saudi Arabian city of Mecca to undertake the Umrah, the lesser Islamic pilgrimage, his office confirmed this week. The 74-year-old southern Nigerian Muslim’s trip is framed as a deliberate period of spiritual devotion and supplication for Africa’s most populous nation, according to a formal statement from presidential spokesman Bayo Onanuga. Onanuga noted that the visit will grant Tinubu dedicated time for quiet reflection, as he performs the full set of Umrah religious rites to seek divine guidance, blessings for Nigeria’s 220 million citizens, and continued peace, unity, stability and shared national progress. This marks Tinubu’s second Umrah journey in recent years: he previously completed the pilgrimage in 2022, in the lead-up to his successful APC presidential primary and general election campaign. The timing of the trip, coming just days after the high-profile campaign kickoff, has spurred unsubstantiated social media speculation that Tinubu was travelling to Saudi Arabia for undisclosed medical assessments, rumours that senior presidential media aide Olusegun Dada firmly rejected in a public post on X. Dada clarified that the pilgrimage’s core purpose is to lift up the nation in prayer, and to formally commit Tinubu’s second-term re-election bid to divine oversight as he launches what he calls “another critical political journey”. He also contextualised the trip as a longstanding, widely respected custom among Nigerian Muslim leaders before embarking on high-stakes national endeavours, a practice that resonates deeply with the Nigerian public: independent polling from the US-based Pew Research Center shows over 90% of Nigerians identify religion as a very high priority in their daily lives, placing the nation among the most religiously engaged populations globally. Nigeria’s population is almost evenly split between Muslim and Christian communities, with a small minority adhering to traditional indigenous belief systems. The upcoming 16 January 2027 general election will see Tinubu face off against two familiar major opponents: former Vice-President Atiku Abubakar and ex-Anambra State Governor Peter Obi, both of whom ran against him in the 2023 presidential contest. As official campaigning ramps up, two sets of national challenges have emerged as top voter priorities: Nigeria’s prolonged economic headwinds, and a sprawling array of interconnected security crises that include a long-running Islamist insurgency in the northeast, rampant kidnapping and looting by armed criminal gangs labelled locally as “bandits”, intercommunal land conflict, and separatist unrest in the country’s southeast. The recent online speculation around Tinubu’s health first erupted after a short clip circulated virally across Nigerian social platforms over the campaign launch weekend, appearing to show First Lady Oluremi Tinubu placing a small unidentified item into the president’s mouth during the official event, an incident that has not received any formal public comment from the presidency to date.

  • Alaska governor orders probe into Democratic campaign’s alleged links to rival candidate

    Alaska governor orders probe into Democratic campaign’s alleged links to rival candidate

    Alaska’s Republican Governor Mike Dunleavy has formally authorized a state-level probe into alleged coordinated efforts to manipulate the state’s high-stakes U.S. Senate race, acting on findings first published in a New York Times investigative report. The controversy centers on the unusual presence of two candidates bearing the name Dan Sullivan on the upcoming midterm ballot: incumbent Republican Senator Dan S. Sullivan, and Daniel J. Sullivan Jr., a retired teacher residing in a remote Alaskan fishing village.
    According to the New York Times’ account, which cites reviewed text message records and interviews with 12 individuals with direct or indirect knowledge of the arrangement, associates linked to Democratic House incumbent Mary Peltola’s Senate campaign, alongside senior staff at the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC), actively recruited the retired educator to enter the race as a purported moderate Republican. The stated goal of the effort, per the report, was to split conservative voter support and dilute the incumbent Dan Sullivan’s ballot share in one of the most competitive Senate contests in the 2026 U.S. midterm cycle, which will determine partisan control of Congress for the final two years of former President Donald Trump’s current term.
    All parties named in the allegations have categorically denied any improper conduct. Peltola’s official campaign has issued repeated statements asserting it had no contact whatsoever with the retired Dan Sullivan, and the DSCC has similarly rejected claims of involvement in any recruitment scheme. The retired teacher himself, in limited prior comments to the New York Times, confirmed he previously voted for Peltola in past elections but insisted he is running a genuine, good-faith moderate campaign with no ties to Democratic operatives.
    Prior attempts by state Republican actors to remove the retired Sullivan from the ballot were unanimously struck down by the Alaska Supreme Court earlier this year. Governor Dunleavy’s official directive, which does not explicitly name the Peltola campaign, notes that the New York Times’ reporting corroborates preliminary observations previously flagged by Alaska’s state Division of Elections. The governor has formally tasked the Alaska Department of Public Safety with leading the full investigation to assess whether any state election laws were violated, and to determine if criminal prosecution or civil legal action is merited based on collected evidence.
    Former President Donald Trump has amplified the allegations across his Truth Social platform, calling for Peltola to be entirely barred from the midterm ballot while reaffirming his full endorsement of incumbent Senator Dan Sullivan, whom he described as a dedicated public servant who consistently delivers for Alaskan constituents. The Trump administration previously filed a pre-emptive legal motion that would block certification of the Alaska Senate race results if the Trump-endorsed incumbent loses, citing voter confusion risks stemming from the two identically named candidates appearing on the ballot. The high-stakes legal and investigative battle threatens to delay the full nationwide tabulation of midterm results, with control of both chambers of Congress hanging in the balance as American voters head to polling stations nationwide on Election Day. Notably, Peltola temporarily suspended her campaign schedule earlier this week to recover from minor injuries sustained alongside her family in a recent car collision.

  • Carney to push for closer ties at Canada-EU summit in Montreal

    Carney to push for closer ties at Canada-EU summit in Montreal

    For decades, biennial summits between Canada and the 27-nation European Union proceeded as low-profile, procedural gatherings with minimal public fanfare. That long-standing pattern is set to shift entirely this week, as a high-stakes two-day bilateral summit kicks off in Montreal on Thursday, drawing unprecedented scrutiny from policymakers, industry stakeholders and geopolitical observers across the Atlantic. The gathering arrives on the heels of a landmark, unanticipated proposal last month from European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, who floated the concept of granting Canada a formal, previously untested “associate membership” status to formalize far deeper integration between the North American nation and the EU bloc. Von der Leyen’s overture followed a high-profile address by Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney to the European Parliament in Strasbourg, where he framed enhanced transatlantic alignment as a critical bulwark against escalating global geopolitical fragmentation and shared security risks. While Carney and a large contingent of EU member states have embraced the broader vision of tighter bilateral cooperation, a sharp diplomatic tussle has emerged over the proposed “associate membership” terminology. Leading the pushback is Germany, which has raised public and private objections that the label risks sidelining Ukraine and Moldova, two Eastern European nations that have spent years pursuing full EU accession, and for whom Berlin has long reserved the “associate membership” designation as a transitional framework for candidate countries. Multiple diplomatic and media outlets confirmed that Berlin and its allied member states successfully negotiated to strip all references to the “associate membership” title from the draft joint summit statement, replacing it with more ambiguous, softened language referencing a shared commitment to building an “ever closer association” between the two parties. Speaking to CTV News on Tuesday, Germany’s ambassador to Canada Matthias Lüttenberg acknowledged that many EU capitals were caught off guard by von der Leyen’s original announcement, noting that the proposed term had no established legal definition as it applied to a North American partner. He emphasized that neither side was entertaining the possibility of full Canadian EU membership, with the shared goal instead being to integrate Canada as closely as possible into EU policy and program frameworks without granting formal bloc membership. The summit’s opening day will feature a cross-continental business forum bringing together Carney, von der Leyen, and hundreds of senior industry leaders from both regions, while negotiators are set to hash out finalized bilateral agreements across four core priority areas: joint defence cooperation, critical minerals supply chain integration, cross-border academic and scientific research partnerships, and targeted trade expansion. Senior EU officials speaking on condition of anonymity earlier this week downplayed expectations for a sweeping, headline-making announcement on the formal new bilateral status at the close of the Montreal summit, noting that most of the structural details of the new partnership will be finalized through follow-up working group negotiations over the coming six to 12 months. Leaked preliminary outlines of the proposed partnership framework point to expanded cross-Atlantic student mobility programs, streamlined regulatory alignment for small and medium-sized enterprises, and targeted Canadian participation in select EU public programs, with no requirement for Ottawa to pay the large mandatory membership contributions levied on full EU member states. A senior Canadian official, granted anonymity to brief reporters ahead of the summit, noted that the ongoing dispute over naming conventions was purely symbolic, and did not undermine the shared high level of ambition for deeper bilateral alignment. The push for accelerated Canada-EU integration has gained significant momentum under Carney, who took office last year, as Ottawa navigates a protracted, volatile trade dispute with its southern neighbour and largest trading partner, the United States. Former U.S. President Donald Trump has publicly derided the concept of Canadian EU associate membership as “laughable”, and threatened to impose sweeping, severe new tariffs on European exports if he deems the arrangement to constitute a hostile act against U.S. economic interests. Canadian diplomatic representatives stressed on Wednesday that the ongoing transatlantic alignment initiative is not designed to antagonize Washington, and simply builds on years of pre-existing collaborative work between Ottawa and Brussels. The two sides have already locked in preliminary recent agreements, including a landmark deal granting Canadian defence contractors formal access to the EU’s Security and Defence Partnership procurement program, and a historic energy pact signed with Germany in May that will establish the first long-term cross-Atlantic liquefied natural gas export shipments from Canada to European markets to help reduce the bloc’s reliance on non-Western energy suppliers. Ahead of the summit, Carney told reporters that the naming debate over the new partnership status is ultimately irrelevant. “The nomenclature does not matter at all,” he stated. “What counts is the tangible, positive difference this arrangement will deliver to the daily lives of ordinary people across Canada and the European Union.”

  • US conservative activists charged with unlawful voting in election stunt

    US conservative activists charged with unlawful voting in election stunt

    Two prominent conservative political operatives, James O’Keefe and Cam Higby, have been formally hit with felony charges of unlawful voting and identity theft following an undercover stunt staged at a Minnesota polling location last August, Hennepin County prosecutors announced this week. O’Keefe, the well-known founder of right-wing activist outlets Project Veritas and the later-established O’Keefe Media Group, and 26-year-old political commentator Higby are accused of orchestrating the provocative operation in a deliberate bid to erode public trust in Minnesota’s electoral infrastructure. According to court filings, the pair disguised themselves in Islamic attire and adopted fake accents while interacting with on-duty poll staff, allegedly attempting to obtain ballots by providing the full names of already registered voters in the precinct without those individuals’ explicit consent or prior knowledge. Prosecutors from the Hennepin County Attorney’s Office confirmed that neither man completed the legally required address verification oath when approaching poll workers, emphasizing that both intentionally falsified their identities during the ballot application process. The stunt was designed to test a long-standing Minnesota electoral rule that permits registered local voters to vouch for the identity and residential status of up to eight other people, a policy crafted specifically to support newly relocated residents who may lack standard forms of voter ID. Higby, who spoke exclusively to the BBC to defend his actions, framed the operation as a public-interest effort to uncover critical gaps in the state’s voting framework that pose risks to all American voters. “I never cast a ballot, I never signed a formal voter affidavit, and I never broke any existing law,” Higby stated, arguing that state authorities are retaliating against him for exposing alleged administrative flaws by moving to permanently strip him of his own voting rights. Following the public release of the pair’s self-recorded footage, Higby posted a caption claiming that he had posed as a Muslim woman to demonstrate that Minneapolis poll staff were ready to permit him and a large group of non-citizens to cast fraudulent votes with no formal identity verification. Minnesota’s state election code explicitly prohibits any person from intentionally misrepresenting their identity when submitting a ballot application, depositing a completed ballot, or attempting to cast a vote via any electronic voting system. Steve Simon, Minnesota’s Secretary of State and top election official, issued a firm statement Wednesday condemning the activists’ actions. “Any deliberate effort to deceive or disrupt our dedicated election workers will never be tolerated,” Simon said. “Polling sites are the foundational backbone of our democratic system, and they must remain safe, peaceful spaces for all eligible voters to exercise their civic duty.” Both felony counts the two men face carry significant potential legal penalties, though no formal court appearance date has been publicly disclosed as of press time. The BBC has reached out to O’Keefe directly to request an official statement on the charges, but has not yet received a response.