分类: politics

  • Andy Burnham to drop spy-tech firm Palantir from NHS, reports say

    Andy Burnham to drop spy-tech firm Palantir from NHS, reports say

    As Andy Burnham prepares to take office as Britain’s next prime minister and leader of the Labour Party, one of his first major policy shifts is set to target a controversial contract between the National Health Service and American technology and data surveillance firm Palantir, multiple sources confirm.

    Per reporting from The Telegraph, Burnham’s incoming administration is currently conducting a full review of the UK government’s existing artificial intelligence strategy, a process that is expected to result in Palantir being dropped from its NHS contract. The current £330 million seven-year deal between Palantir and the NHS has only been active for two years, leaving five years remaining on the original agreement if it is not terminated early.

    Palantir’s footprint across UK public institutions extends far beyond the health service. The firm already holds a £240 million contract with the UK Ministry of Defence, a £15 million agreement tied to Britain’s nuclear deterrent program, and at least 34 additional uncovered contracts across sectors including law enforcement, child social care, refugee support services and environmental regulation. Many of these agreements have been marked by a lack of public transparency around the scope of Palantir’s data access and work.

    The push to oust Palantir from the NHS comes amid growing global outrage over the firm’s documented ties to military operations in Gaza. In January 2024, Palantir publicly announced a partnership with the Israeli Ministry of Defense to deploy its technology to support so-called “war-related missions”, which include drone missile strikes targeting civilian areas in Gaza that have killed dozens of journalists and humanitarian aid workers. When confronted with accusations that Palantir’s technology enabled the deaths of Palestinian civilians in Gaza in April 2025, Palantir CEO Alex Karp responded by claiming the targets were “mostly terrorists, that’s true”.

    Francesca Albanese, the United Nations Special Rapporteur on the occupied Palestinian territories, said Karp’s comment confirms the firm has “executive-level knowledge and purpose vis-a-vis the unlawful use of force by Israel” in occupied Palestinian territories. Additional scrutiny has emerged after reports that the U.S. Pentagon is investigating whether Palantir’s AI-powered target identification system Maven was involved in a February 2025 U.S. “double-tap” missile strike on an Iranian girls’ school that killed more than 170 people, the vast majority of whom were children.

    Founded by tech billionaire Peter Thiel, a controversial figure who once famously stated “I no longer believe that freedom and democracy are compatible”, Palantir received partial funding from the Central Intelligence Agency at its launch. Thiel has also drawn fierce criticism in the UK for his previous comments attacking the National Health Service, claiming the beloved public institution “makes people sick” and framing British public support for the NHS as a case of “Stockholm syndrome”.

    Burnham’s long-standing stance on Palantir predates his expected ascension to Downing Street: during his tenure as Mayor of Greater Manchester from 2017 to 2025, the Greater Manchester Combined Authority never awarded any public contracts to the firm.

    The proposal to terminate Palantir’s NHS contract has drawn immediate pushback from the Conservative opposition. Stuart Andrew, the Conservative shadow health secretary, argued that “if Andy Burnham tears up a programme that is improving patient care, he will have to explain why he chose politics over patients.” Andrew added that the NHS should leverage the best available technology to cut waiting lists, save lives and support frontline staff, and that barring leading global firms for political reasons would undermine confidence in NHS technology partnerships. “Patients should never pay the price for Labour’s political posturing. Lives are too important to be sacrificed for Andy Burnham’s political beliefs,” Andrew said.

    Despite Conservative opposition, discontent with Palantir runs deep even within the Labour Party, and public opposition to the firm’s UK public sector contracts has grown steadily over the past year. Last month, a cross-party group of MPs issued a formal call for the incumbent government to activate the 2027 break clause in Palantir’s NHS contract and pursue either an in-house UK-built alternative or a domestic provider. The cross-party Science, Innovation and Technology Committee’s report warned that growing reliance on Palantir across the UK public sector represents an “unacceptable point of weakness” that could leave critical public services “at the mercy” of foreign actors.

    Palantir’s UK CEO Louis Mosley has pushed back against critics, accusing opponents of the contract of prioritizing “ideology over patient safety”. However, multiple NHS hospital trusts have already rejected Palantir’s technology, reporting that adopting it would cause them to “lose functionality rather than gain it”.

    With the upcoming termination of Palantir’s NHS contract expected, scrutiny is now growing over the fate of the firm’s dozens of other public sector contracts across the UK. The debate over Palantir’s UK presence already made headlines in recent months, after London Mayor Sadiq Khan blocked a proposed £50 million contract between the Metropolitan Police and Palantir in May, citing a “clear and serious breach” of public procurement rules. Khan’s office noted that the deal would have left London police locked into a long-term relationship with Palantir without demonstrating value for taxpayer money, and Khan had previously stated he had “concerns about using public money to support firms who act contrary to London’s values”. Khan later reversed his veto after Palantir launched legal action against the decision, granting the firm a 12-month pilot project that could be extended.

    This reporting was originally published by Middle East Eye, an independent outlet providing dedicated coverage of the Middle East, North Africa and surrounding regions.

  • NYT: Israel plotted to kill Iran peace negotiators to derail talks

    NYT: Israel plotted to kill Iran peace negotiators to derail talks

    Fragile diplomatic efforts to end a months-long joint US-Israeli military campaign against Iran have been thrown into turmoil by new reports revealing that senior Trump administration officials detected Israeli plans to assassinate Iran’s top negotiating leaders to sabotage any potential peace deal. Two leading US outlets, The New York Times and The Washington Post, have corroborated the claims, citing unnamed current and former American officials and on-the-record confirmation from a senior Iranian aide.

    According to the Times’ reporting published Thursday, US intelligence concerns over planned Israeli targeting of two senior Iranian figures—Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf—grew sharply amid sensitive ceasefire negotiations that launched in April. The alarm was so severe that US officials went so far as to coordinate with regional third countries to relay explicit warnings to Iran about the looming threat to the two negotiators.

    The timeline of the crisis dates back to late February, when the US and Israel launched a joint offensive campaign that has already killed dozens of high-ranking Iranian officials. By late March, both countries had temporarily removed Araghchi and Ghalibaf from their official target lists, a step that opened the door for high-level talks to end the ongoing conflict. But the Times reports that Israeli leadership remained determined to eliminate the negotiators, a finding later confirmed by independent reporting from The Washington Post.

    One dramatic April incident laid bare the severity of the threat. Ghalibaf had planned a trip to Islamabad, Pakistan, to meet with US Vice President JD Vance, and Pakistani fighter jets escorted the Iranian aircraft carrying the 70-member delegation from the Iran-Pakistan border to the capital and back after the meeting concluded. However, as the plane began its return trip to Tehran, Israeli security threats emerged. Two unnamed American officials confirmed that Iranian security intercepted intelligence indicating Israel planned to target the plane, and that two Israeli fighter jets had entered Iranian airspace through the western border near Iraq.

    Mahdi Mohammadi, a senior adviser to Ghalibaf who accompanied the delegation on the Islamabad trip, later confirmed the entire account on his public social media page. To avoid the imminent threat, the plane made an emergency landing in Mashhad, the closest major Iranian airport to the Pakistani border, and the entire delegation completed the remaining journey to Tehran over an eight-hour land trip.

    The revelations have further exposed growing rifts between US and Israeli strategic approaches to the conflict, rifts that first emerged after Israel assassinated top Iranian national security official Ali Larijani in March. Speaking to reporters in late March, former President Donald Trump himself acknowledged that Israel’s widespread assassination campaign had complicated efforts to find viable Iranian negotiating partners, noting “They’ve wiped out everybody.”

    Analysts say Israel’s efforts to derail peace talks align with long-standing strategic goals and the immediate political interests of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Trita Parsi, executive vice president of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, argued that while Israel is formally classified as a US partner, its leadership is so committed to undermining US-led diplomacy that it is willing to assassinate the very Iranian officials Washington is negotiating with.

    “I can’t recall a government as terrified of peace as the one running Israel,” Parsi wrote in response to the new reporting.

    Netanyahu has already escalated tensions in the region through his ongoing military occupation and assault on southern Lebanon, a core issue that Iran has identified as a non-negotiable point in the ongoing ceasefire talks. During a visit to occupied southern Lebanon earlier this week, Netanyahu told Israeli troops that “our insistence is that we will not leave … until the threat is removed,” a statement that further weakened trust ahead of negotiations.

    Parsi added that beyond Netanyahu’s long-stated goal of leveraging US power to bring Iran under Israeli dominance and reshape the regional balance of power in Israel’s favor, the Israeli prime minister faces urgent personal and political incentives to disrupt any peace deal. The emerging US-Iran memorandum of understanding on a ceasefire has already come at a major political cost for Netanyahu, whose chances of winning re-election in October’s national vote are now weaker than they have been in months. Once positioned as the only Israeli leader capable of maintaining a strong alliance with the Trump administration, Netanyahu now faces the prospect that a successful peace deal will leave Israel in a strategically weaker position, undermining the core justification for his leadership.

    Most critically, if Netanyahu loses the October election, he will lose his legal immunity as prime minister and faces ongoing corruption trials that could result in years of prison time.

  • Outrage after Turkish stand-up comedian arrested for ‘insulting’ Erdogan

    Outrage after Turkish stand-up comedian arrested for ‘insulting’ Erdogan

    A high-profile arrest of one of Turkey’s most popular stand-up comics has reignited fierce debate over freedom of expression in the country, after authorities took Deniz Goktas into custody on charges of insulting President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and violating Islamic religious values.

    Goktas was detained upon his arrival at Istanbul’s main airport on Thursday, just after returning from an overseas vacation, according to an official statement released by the Istanbul public prosecution service. He was formally placed under pre-trial arrest following initial processing. The charges stem directly from a 1 June stand-up set he performed in Istanbul, which was later uploaded to YouTube and has accumulated nearly 9 million views to date.

    During the widely circulated performance, Goktas wove sharp satirical commentary on Turkish politics and society, targeting not just President Erdogan, but also imprisoned main opposition Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, and two of Erdogan’s sons-in-law: former finance minister Berat Albayrak and leading defense industry figure Selcuk Bayraktar. One of Goktas’s most talked-about quips described Erdogan’s political evolution as shifting from a “shy dictator” to a leader who is now “at peace with his own identity.” He also joked that he would like to work as Erdogan’s personal therapist, noting the role would come with generous pay, extensive job security, and substantial perks, calling it a “perfect fit” for him.

    The controversial jokes that triggered the religious value charges centered on a quip about the Quran, the central religious text of Islam. Goktas framed the Quran as the fourth and final holy text in the Abrahamic tradition, saying “The first three books were good, but the translation was weak in the fourth. I think it was the best of the four books.”

    Appearing before a court on Friday for his formal arraignment, Goktas pushed back against all allegations, emphasizing he has performed the same stand-up routine since 2023 without incident, and never held any intention to insult either religious communities or the Turkish presidency. “The word ‘dictator’ is a political characterization. It is also a subject that is frequently debated in public,” Goktas told prosecutors. “I had no intention of insulting or denigrating anyone.”

    According to prosecution records, the performance drew 185 separate formal complaints from members of the public. Turkey’s Information and Communication Technologies Authority (BTK), the country’s top digital regulator, has already moved to block public access to clips of the set shared across major social media platforms.

    News of Goktas’s arrest has quickly sparked widespread condemnation from Turkish opposition politicians and human rights organizations, who frame the arrest as a deliberate attack on artistic expression and the latest in a long string of government crackdowns on public criticism of Erdogan’s administration. Murat Emir, a Member of Parliament from the main opposition Republican People’s Party (CHP), accused Turkish courts of acting in bad faith to “invent a crime to arrest someone.” “You folks gripe about comedians, but the real improv show in this country is happening in the courthouse hallways,” Emir wrote on the social platform X, formerly Twitter.

    The Turkish Human Rights Association called Goktas’s arrest a “severe blow to freedom of expression.” In an official post on X, the group stated “We demand that this judicial harassment against Goktas be immediately ended and that he be released.”

    Goktas’s case is far from an anomaly in modern Turkey: thousands of people are arrested and prosecuted annually across the country under charges of insulting the presidency, outlined in Article 299 of the Turkish penal code. Convictions under the statute can carry prison sentences of up to four years.

  • Brazil’s top presidential candidates Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro clash over US tariff proposal

    Brazil’s top presidential candidates Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro clash over US tariff proposal

    RIO DE JANEIRO — A sharp public dispute has erupted between Brazil’s sitting President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and his leading electoral rival Senator Flávio Bolsonaro over a planned 25% tariff on Brazilian goods proposed by the Trump administration, a policy that has quickly become a polarizing flashpoint just months ahead of the country’s October presidential election. Both political leaders have publicly pushed back against the proposed tariff hike, while using the ongoing trade debate to attack one another’s credibility and political positioning ahead of the vote, a reflection of how much both sides believe handling the unpopular U.S. trade measure will shape voter sentiment.

    The proposed new tariffs come amid a years-long U.S. goods trade surplus with Brazil, making the Trump administration’s protectionist move unusual on paper. The trade friction first escalated last July, when the U.S. imposed a 50% tariff on select Brazilian imports, with then-President Donald Trump framing the move as a response to what he called a political “witch hunt” targeting Flávio’s father, former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro. The elder Bolsonaro was on trial at the time for his role in the 2022 coup attempt following his election loss to Lula, and was ultimately convicted on charges related to the insurrection.

    In June of this year, the U.S. Trade Representative’s office led by Jamieson Greer released the findings of a probe launched earlier this year at Trump’s direction, which accused Brazil of a range of unfair trade practices including lax anti-corruption enforcement and discriminatory tariff policies. The proposal for a 25% across-the-board tariff on Brazilian imports reversed a brief period of warming bilateral relations that followed meetings between Lula and Trump in 2024, and has once again soured ties between the two nations. Lula has repeatedly warned the U.S. against interfering in Brazil’s upcoming electoral process.

    Flávio Bolsonaro, who is the frontrunning opposition candidate for October’s presidency, argued in a formal submission to USTR this week that increased U.S. tariff pressure has already helped boost Lula’s standing with Brazilian voters. He included polling graphs in his filing, noting that “Brazilian public polling shows that the incumbent government’s electoral position has strengthened during precisely the periods when U.S. tariff pressure has been most salient.” He added that moving forward with the proposed tariffs would hand Lula a pre-election “political victory”, and called for the implementation of any tariffs to be postponed while upholding the USTR investigation’s findings.

    Lula has rejected Flávio Bolsonaro’s framing outright, calling the senator’s submission to USTR “yet another act of treason against the fatherland.” Expanding on the attack in a post on X Thursday, Lula accused the entire Bolsonaro family of advancing sell-out policies that subordinate Brazil’s national interests to Washington. “It is unacceptable that the Bolsonaro family, with its sellout policies, seeks to submit Brazil to the interests of the United States,” he wrote. “There has never been, nor is there, any justification for a tariff hike now or later.”

    Three hours after Lula’s post, Flávio Bolsonaro fired back on the same platform, claiming that Lula is secretly the only political figure in Brazil who wants the tariff hike to go forward. The senator also announced he would travel back to the U.S. next week to ramp up lobbying against the implementation of the new tariffs. The dispute has also drawn attention to the ongoing legal troubles of the Bolsonaro family: another of the former president’s sons, Eduardo Bolsonaro, who resides in Texas, was convicted earlier this year of illegally lobbying the U.S. government to pressure Brazilian officials to drop the coup charges against his father.

    Beyond the tariff fight, the two candidates have also clashed over a recent Trump administration decision to designate two of Brazil’s largest domestic organized crime groups — First Command of the Capital (PCC) and Red Command — as official terrorist organizations. Flávio Bolsonaro has publicly supported the designation, which many independent analysts view as a clear attempt by the U.S. to influence Brazil’s upcoming election. Lula, meanwhile, has argued that the classification is legally and strategically inappropriate, noting that the groups are primarily motivated by profit from drug trafficking and organized crime rather than ideological or political change, the core criterion for terrorist designation. Earlier this week, the U.S. followed up the classification with new sanctions targeting companies and individuals linked to PCC, which U.S. officials called the “largest transnational criminal organization in the Western Hemisphere.”

    On the trade front, Lula’s administration has formally rejected all of USTR’s core grievances, including the claim that Brazil’s popular PIX instant payment system unfairly disadvantages competing private electronic payment services. Brazilian officials have countered that PIX operates under lawful, neutral regulatory frameworks that actually promote greater competition in the country’s fintech sector. The entire tariff dispute has reinvigorated Lula’s campaign narrative centered on defending Brazilian national sovereignty, a message that resonated strongly with voters during his 2022 campaign and delivered an unexpected boost to his popularity ahead of this year’s re-election bid.

  • Citizen Vigilante: Complaint written to UK regulator over anti-migrant film

    Citizen Vigilante: Complaint written to UK regulator over anti-migrant film

    A leading British non-governmental organization focused on combating Islamophobia has launched a formal regulatory complaint against X, the social media platform owned by billionaire Elon Musk, over Musk’s decision to host and promote a full-length feature film widely condemned for spreading anti-muslim and anti-migrant hate speech. The complaint, submitted by Muslim Engagement and Development (Mend), targets the controversial production *Citizen Vigilante*, directed by Uwe Boll and starring Armie Hammer – an actor who faces multiple sexual assault allegations from different women.

    The film’s plot centers on a wealthy American landlord living in an unnamed European nation, who takes up vigilante violence to target people he labels as criminals, rapists and corrupt public officials, eventually being celebrated as a folk hero by the public. Throughout most of the runtime, Hammer’s brooding protagonist repeatedly berates immigrants and working-class people for minor offenses, from evading public transit fares to falling behind on rent payments to him. In one particularly extreme sequence, the main character breaks into a Muslim family’s home and kills every member, including unarmed civilians. Dialogue in the film falsely ties the abuse of women to the teachings of the Qur’an and core Islamic values.

    Film critics have widely panned the production, with industry publication Variety’s critic Todd Gilchrist describing it as “a violent, incoherent, morally bankrupt slice of exploitation.” Other reviewers have echoed this criticism, noting that the movie relies on overused, harmful stereotypes to build a false narrative about European communities, leaning into anti-migrant tropes that have gained traction in far-right spaces internationally. Already, the film has been blocked from formal distribution in Germany, where regulators declined to issue an age rating – a move that bans it from theatrical screenings and most retail sales over evidence it incites violence against immigrant groups. Despite this ban, U.S. producers Berry Meyerowitz and Jeff Sackman acquired distribution rights through their company Quiver, and the film gained unprecedented visibility when Musk posted the entire feature for free to his personal X account, where it remained accessible for two full days.

    In the complaint filed with UK media regulator Ofcom, Mend’s Chief Executive Abdullah Saif emphasized that the film’s bigotry is specifically targeted at Muslim communities, rather than being a generic take on crime. Since Musk’s original posting, the content has continued to spread across X, including via reposts from accounts based in the United Kingdom, bringing unregulated, age-unverified hate content directly to a mass British audience. Saif wrote that the film’s core narrative “endorses, incites and valorises the killing of Muslim families.”

    Mend argues that Ofcom has clear authority to intervene under the 2023 UK Online Safety Act, which grants the regulator power to act against content that stirs up racial and religious hatred. The complaint raises particular red flags over the fact that the content was amplified not by an anonymous user evading platform moderation, but by the platform’s owner himself. This situation, Mend notes, forces urgent questions about whether X’s content safety systems operate fairly, consistently, and without granting preferential treatment to high-profile users – including the platform’s own owner.

    The risk posed by the film’s distribution is amplified by current social context, the complaint adds. Just weeks before Musk posted the film, the United Kingdom saw a wave of anti-migrant rioting across Belfast and multiple regions of Scotland. Mend also references separate research from the Centre for Countering Digital Hate, which found that Musk’s own posts about the Belfast unrest reached extremely large audiences and amplified harmful narratives that carry a clear risk of inciting real-world violence.

    Against this tense backdrop, the mass distribution of a film that celebrates the murder of Muslim people is far more than a distasteful creative choice, the organization argues: it carries a foreseeable risk of normalizing and encouraging offline hostility and violence against a clearly identifiable protected community. Mend is calling on Ofcom to open a formal investigation into whether X violated the Online Safety Act, and to compel the platform to explain whether it conducted required risk assessments for content targeting Muslim and migrant communities. The group has requested a formal response from the regulator within a 28-day window.

  • Conservative candidate Keiko Fujimori wins Peru’s presidential election in a runoff

    Conservative candidate Keiko Fujimori wins Peru’s presidential election in a runoff

    LIMA, PERU – In a closely contested election outcome finalized on Friday, conservative contender Keiko Fujimori has been officially certified as the president-elect of Peru, capping off a fourth consecutive bid for the nation’s highest office shaped overwhelmingly by voter anxiety over skyrocketing criminal activity. The 51-year-old politician, daughter of disgraced former Peruvian president Alberto Fujimori, will assume office later this month to become the country’s ninth head of state in just one decade, a statistic that underscores the persistent political volatility South America’s third-largest economy has faced in recent years.

    Peru’s national election authority formally validated the razor-thin victory Friday, bringing an end to vote tabulation processes that stretched for days after the June 7 runoff. Final official data, released in full this week after all 100 percent of ballots were counted, shows Fujimori secured 9,223,000 votes, equivalent to 50.135 percent of the total electorate. Her opponent, nationalist congressman Roberto Sánchez, followed closely with 9,173,000 votes, or 49.865 percent, leaving the margin of victory thinner than 0.3 percentage points.

    Both candidates advanced to the two-person runoff after emerging as the top two vote-getters in an April general election that fielded a total of 35 candidates. Throughout the runoff campaign, public discourse centered heavily on one pressing issue that resonated with voters across demographic groups: the rapid growth of organized crime and the associated surge in public insecurity, particularly the widespread extortion rackets run by violent criminal gangs across the country. Fujimori built her campaign platform around a hardline pledge to crack down on criminal activity with an uncompromising approach, a policy pitch that appealed to voters frustrated by the failure of previous administrations to curb rising violence.

    The incoming president’s political legacy is deeply tied to that of her late father, Alberto Fujimori, who served as Peru’s president through the 1990s. While the elder Fujimori is widely credited for defeating the violent Shining Path extremist insurgency that terrorized Peru through the 1980s and early 1990s, his administration drifted into authoritarian rule, and he was ultimately convicted in 2009 on two counts: human rights abuses committed during counterinsurgency operations, and separate corruption charges. Keiko Fujimori’s rise to the presidency marks a major milestone for the Fujimori political dynasty, which has remained a divisive but powerful force in Peruvian politics for more than 30 years.

  • Culture war killing America’s response to demographic decline

    Culture war killing America’s response to demographic decline

    In a landmark decision that reaffirms a core constitutional principle, the U.S. Supreme Court has once again ruled that the 14th Amendment guarantees automatic birthright citizenship to all individuals born on U.S. soil — including the children of undocumented immigrants and temporary visa holders, a group the second Trump administration had pushed to exclude from this long-standing legal protection.

    The ruling immediately sparked fierce and intemperate backlash from far-right commentators, illustrating just how central anti-immigration activism has become to the identity of the modern American political right. The Federalist’s Sean Davis went so far as to suggest extreme, unhinged measures including dissolving the Union and forcibly sterilizing foreign visitors to the U.S., while prominent right-wing voice Matt Walsh issued hysterical claims that the ruling had destroyed the America he grew up in — a nation that already had birthright citizenship and high levels of unauthorized immigration during his childhood.

    These over-the-top outbursts, while alarming, are characteristic of modern social media-fueled political discourse. They also lay bare the evolution of nativism on the right: what began as a policy issue has solidified into a closed, all-consuming ideological worldview that is resistant to reasoned debate, empirical data, or compromise. Today, the idea that immigration is an “invasion” designed to displace the country’s founding population has become a foundational belief for the American right, comparable in its cultural and political centrality to anti-racism for 2010s progressives and pro-Palestine activism for 2020s left-wing movements.

    Crucially, however, this hardline nativist worldview represents a clear minority position in the United States, according to consistent public opinion data. Gallup polling confirms that an overwhelming majority of Americans still believe immigration, on balance, benefits the country. This is not to say the public supports open borders: sentiment against unauthorized immigration and in favor of strengthened border security remains widespread, and voter backlash against the chaotic, unrestricted quasi-legal immigration of the first Biden administration directly contributed to Trump’s 2024 election victory. Even so, most Americans do not view unauthorized immigration as an existential invasion, and broad support for a pathway to citizenship for long-term undocumented residents remains strong — even among many non-MAGA Republicans.

    On the specific question of birthright citizenship, multiple polls echo the majority support for retaining the policy. A Quinnipiac University poll conducted ahead of the SCOTUS ruling found that 69% of registered voters believe the court should uphold the 1898 precedent reaffirming 14th Amendment birthright citizenship, with just 27% supporting reversal. Pew Research Center data does show that roughly half of Americans favor denying birthright citizenship specifically to children of undocumented immigrants, though pollsters rarely break out public opinion on children of temporary visa holders, leaving majority views on that specific subgroup unclear.

    This split in public opinion actually creates an opening for pragmatic policy change: a targeted effort to revise birthright citizenship for children of undocumented immigrants could eventually build enough public support to pass a constitutional amendment, if hardliners were willing to pursue a majoritarian, compromise-driven strategy. But that path is largely off the table for today’s MAGA movement, which has turned immigration into a maximalist culture war issue. Taking an extreme position on immigration has become a core loyalty test for the movement; willingness to compromise to achieve tangible policy gains is seen as a sign of being an outsider, rather than a committed member of the movement.

    On the Democratic side, political strategy is also being driven by reaction to MAGA, rather than coherent, long-term policy planning. On one hand, this has led even prominent left-wing voices to pivot unexpectedly after the SCOTUS ruling: progressive streamer Hasan Piker set aside his usual anti-American rhetoric to celebrate the ruling as a defeat for a fundamentally harmful change that would have upended more than a century of constitutional precedent. On the other hand, this purely reactive approach has made it nearly impossible to pass stable, sensible immigration policy. Because Trump and conservatives push for tighter restrictions, Democrats default to pushing for looser borders in response. This dynamic, the analysis argues, explains why the Biden administration took such a lax approach to border enforcement during its first term — a mistake that ultimately cleared the way for Trump’s return to the White House.

    This lack of smart, bipartisan immigration strategy comes at a critical moment for the United States, which is now facing a growing fertility crisis that mirrors demographic trends across the globe. Two decades ago, U.S. fertility rates were high enough to keep the population stable long-term. Today, U.S. fertility has fallen below the rate Japan recorded in the 1980s, putting America on the same path of rapid population aging and shrinking that has defined Japan’s economy for decades. Without increased immigration, this demographic shift will have severe economic and social consequences: over the next 25 years, the ratio of working-age Americans per retiree will drop from 3-to-1 to 2-to-1, forcing higher taxes for working-age people to fund elder care, increasing the personal care burden for adults supporting aging parents, and dragging down economic growth and living standards for younger generations. As economist Paul Krugman has noted, immigrants are disproportionately represented in the elder care workforce, making immigration a direct solution to the coming care crisis. The burden of supporting a growing retired population is also likely to push fertility rates even lower, compounding the problem over time, with rural and small-town America hit hardest by population decline.

    Immigration cannot permanently stop population aging in a low-fertility world — immigrants also age over time, and global population shrinkage will eventually reduce the global supply of immigrants. But U.S. economic strength and its long-standing global reputation as a destination for opportunity give the country a window to slow demographic decline and buy time to address the root causes of low fertility.

    To maximize the benefits of immigration, the U.S. needs to design policy that aligns with both public opinion and economic reality. Fiscal data shows that college-educated immigrants generate a net positive contribution to public finances, reducing long-term national debt, while lower-educated immigrants create a net fiscal drain in the short term — a gap that narrows when accounting for upward mobility of second-generation descendants, but still remains significant. That means a policy of prioritizing skilled legal immigration, strengthening border security, and reducing unvetted quasi-legal asylum grants matches what most American voters say they want, while delivering the greatest economic benefit to the country.

    It is legitimate to acknowledge that immigration is not just an economic issue, but a cultural one: assimilation is a two-way street, and immigrants reshape the culture of the countries they join, just as they adapt to it. For those who prioritize preserving the exact cultural character of the U.S. they grew up in, restricting immigration is a logically consistent position, and all nation-states retain the sovereign right to close their borders to preserve their cultural identity if they choose. But that position has already lost the argument in American public opinion: with 79% of the public saying immigration is good for the country overall, even with the understanding that it will bring long-term cultural change, the cultural preservation argument is a lost cause, regardless of how loudly its proponents shout and threaten.

    For Democrats, the takeaway is clear: embracing open borders purely as a reaction to MAGA nativism is a political and policy mistake. Most Americans do not support unrestricted immigration; they favor legal entry of immigrants who can contribute positively to the national economy. If Democrats continue to respond to conservative election wins by loosening border controls and ignoring unauthorized immigration, voters will continue to elect xenophobic populists in response.

    In an era of persistently low fertility, the United States desperately needs a thoughtful, pragmatic approach to immigration that puts national interest ahead of culture war posturing. It cannot afford to let a small, loud fringe of ideological activists dictate its long-term national demographic and economic policy.

  • Pope urges US to recommit to founding ideas of protecting life, human dignity on 250th anniversary

    Pope urges US to recommit to founding ideas of protecting life, human dignity on 250th anniversary

    On the eve of the United States’ 250th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence, history’s first American-born pontiff Pope Leo XIV delivered a remote address urging the nation to renew its commitment to the core founding principles of protecting life and upholding universal human dignity. Appearing via live video link from Vatican City in Rome to the nonpartisan National Constitution Center based in Philadelphia, the pope used the platform to highlight two long-held American traditions: the longstanding practice of welcoming migrants and the robust protection of religious freedom.

    The National Constitution Center, a leading institution dedicated to constitutional education and public debate, presented Pope Leo with its annual Liberty Medal this year. The award, which recognizes global figures of “courage and conviction” who advance the cause of liberty worldwide, honors the pontiff for his decades-long work advancing religious liberty, freedom of conscience, and freedom of expression across the globe — values explicitly codified in the U.S. Constitution’s First Amendment, the center noted in its citation.

    After receiving the honor, with the medal worn around his neck, Pope Leo outlined his plans for July 4 itself: a visit to the Sicilian island of Lampedusa, a site heavy with symbolic meaning amid the Trump administration’s strict new crackdown on unauthorized migration. For hundreds of thousands of people fleeing conflict, economic hardship, and extreme poverty across Africa and the Middle East, Lampedusa has long been the first point of arrival in Europe.

    Pope Leo’s public call for humane treatment of migrants has already put him at direct odds with former President Trump, who has defended restrictive border policies. The pontiff has repeatedly framed the welcome of migrants as a core Gospel mandate, rooted in the biblical instruction to “welcome the stranger.”

    In his address, the pope reflected on the origins of the United States, noting it was founded by “courageous men and women who dreamed of liberty and of a better life for themselves and for their children.” He recalled the Founding Fathers’ assertion that all people are created equal, endowed with unalienable rights to life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness. He tied this founding vision directly to America’s legacy of immigration, noting the “noble vision” of the nation’s founders turned the U.S. into a global byword for freedom by opening its doors to successive waves of newcomers, allowing immigrants and their descendants to contribute to shaping the country’s future.

    The pope also emphasized the founding ideal of the right to life, echoing longstanding Vatican teaching that opposes abortion and euthanasia by asserting every person has inherent dignity that must be protected from conception through natural death. “The moral greatness of a nation is manifested, above all, in its capacity to support, protect and cherish the lives of all, especially the most vulnerable and those whose worth is questioned,” he told the gathering.

    Pope Leo closed his remarks with a prayer, asking that the founding ideals of shared human dignity, equal rights, and fundamental freedoms remain a “guiding light” for the U.S. in the present and for generations to come. He expressed hope that the 250th anniversary of independence would serve as a moment for the nation to make a solemn recommitment to these principles that have shaped America as a nation committed to peace and prosperity, marked by generosity and nobility of heart.

    The Liberty Medal has an established roster of distinguished past recipients, including Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, the late U.S. Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, and the late civil rights icon and U.S. Representative John Lewis.

    This reporting from the Associated Press, which receives financial support for religion coverage through a collaboration with The Conversation US funded by Lilly Endowment Inc., notes that the AP holds sole editorial responsibility for the content.

  • Polish PM warns critical months ahead in face of Russian threat

    Polish PM warns critical months ahead in face of Russian threat

    Tensions along NATO’s eastern flank have spiked in recent weeks as top Polish officials warn that the coming months could bring high-risk Russian provocations, even a direct attack against the alliance member, amid Moscow’s ongoing full-scale invasion of Ukraine. In late June, Polish and Lithuanian military units conducted a joint exercise along their shared border, a move that underscores growing unity and preparedness as regional anxieties about Russian aggression rise to their highest level in months.

    Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk laid out the gravity of the situation during a press briefing Friday, acknowledging that while he does not seek to stoke public panic, shifting dynamics in the Ukraine war have created a uniquely volatile period for Eastern Europe. “I don’t mean to scare anyone but the coming months may truly be critical, also due to the changing nature of the war. These concerns are particularly palpable in the Baltic states,” Tusk told reporters, confirming that Warsaw is drawing up contingency plans for a wide range of potential scenarios.

    Tusk’s comments came in response to emerging media reports, citing declassified and shared U.S. intelligence, that claim Moscow is plotting an armed provocation inside Polish territory designed to test NATO’s collective defense commitment. According to Polish outlet Onet, sources close to Polish President Karol Nawrocki confirmed U.S. officials have issued multiple formal warnings to Warsaw about the alleged plot. The U.K.’s Telegraph further detailed the purported plans, which include possible missile or drone strikes on Polish critical infrastructure, or even the deployment of Russian ground forces into the NATO country.

    The overarching goal of any such provocation, analysts and reports suggest, would be to force Western backers of Ukraine to suspend military and economic aid to Kyiv, allowing Russia to secure a favorable position on the battlefield more than two years after launching its full-scale invasion. Neither the White House nor the U.S. State Department has issued an official response to requests for comment from the BBC on the alleged intelligence warnings.

    Tusk emphasized that Polish officials are not overreacting but are taking the threat seriously, noting that intelligence shared by allied partners has helped Warsaw map out potential risks. “Let’s not be afraid, we are preparing for various situations, but we cannot ignore them… We are aware of the threats, also thanks to information from our allies,” he said. Nawrocki is set to join fellow NATO heads of state for a critical alliance summit in Washington D.C. next week, where two key topics will dominate the agenda: increasing European defense spending in line with longstanding calls from former U.S. President Donald Trump, and cementing ongoing pledges of military aid to Ukraine.

    This is not the first time Tusk has sounded the alarm about Russian expansion toward NATO territory. In an April interview with the Financial Times, he warned that Russia could launch an attack on a NATO member state within months. His deputy, Deputy Prime Minister Radek Sikorski, doubled down on that warning in a June interview with CBS News, saying he could not rule out a Russian “false flag” operation within the next two years that would provide a pretext for an attack on the alliance.

    Regional anxiety over Russian aggression is not isolated to Poland. Baltic NATO members, which share direct borders with Russia and its exclave of Kaliningrad, have long flagged their own vulnerability to attack. In June, Latvian intelligence services publicly warned that Moscow was planning military provocations in the Baltic region or in Poland. On Thursday, Lithuania’s NATO ambassador told the country’s public service broadcaster LRT that Russia is far more likely to pursue hybrid tactics—such as unauthorized missile or drone incursions—than a full-scale conventional military attack.

    At the core of the current standoff is NATO’s foundational Article 5, which enshrines the principle of collective defense: an armed attack against any single alliance member is considered an attack against all, requiring all members to take action to defend the targeted state. Any Russian provocation inside Polish territory would therefore represent the most significant test of this core principle since the alliance’s founding, adding extra weight to next week’s summit as leaders seek to project unified resolve against Russian aggression.

  • Ndileka Mandela on anti-migrant protests: ‘Grandad wanted rule of law not mob justice’

    Ndileka Mandela on anti-migrant protests: ‘Grandad wanted rule of law not mob justice’

    As South Africa grapples with rising tensions over immigration and a wave of violent anti-migrant protests across the nation, a prominent member of the Mandela family has stepped forward to reaffirm the core values that defined the country’s iconic anti-apartheid leader. Ndileka Mandela, granddaughter of Nelson Mandela, the nation’s first post-apartheid president, has publicly pushed back against the vigilantism driving recent unrest, arguing that her grandfather would never have backed the mob justice that has swept through communities targeting foreign-born residents.

    In her statement addressing the unrest, Ndileka Mandela clarified that while the late statesman would have backed sensible, rights-respecting policy to govern immigration and protect national border integrity, he never would have condoned extrajudicial violence or collective targeting of migrant groups. Her intervention comes at a moment of deep national debate, as anti-migrant sentiment has spilled over into public disorder, stoked by economic grievances and inflammatory rhetoric that scapegoats foreign nationals for the country’s ongoing socioeconomic challenges, including high unemployment and limited access to basic services.

    By grounding her criticism of the protests in the legacy of the man who led South Africa’s transition to inclusive democracy, Ndileka Mandela has added a high-profile moral voice to calls for calm and for policymakers to address the root causes of anti-migrant tension through lawful, inclusive policy rather than violence. Her comments highlight a growing divide between those who embrace populist, exclusionary approaches to immigration and those who uphold the founding democratic principles of equal rights and the rule of law that Nelson Mandela spent his life advancing.