标签: Asia

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  • Asian stocks are mixed as investors watch takeaways from Trump-Xi summit

    Asian stocks are mixed as investors watch takeaways from Trump-Xi summit

    HONG KONG – Global financial markets kicked off Thursday with uneven momentum across Asian equities, one day after major U.S. indexes notched fresh all-time records. Traders across the region were laser-focused on outcomes from the highly anticipated summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing, looking for any shifts that could reshape trade, geopolitics and global energy flows.

    The two leaders held talks at Beijing’s Great Hall of the People, covering the full scope of U.S.-China ties including the sensitive issue of Taiwan. Most market analysts entered the meeting with tempered expectations, projecting no major breakthroughs on longstanding bilateral disputes would emerge from the one-day summit.

    Early futures trading for U.S. stocks pointed to a mild upward opening when markets resume trading stateside. Across East Asia, benchmark indexes painted a mixed picture: Japan’s Nikkei 225 gained 0.3% to close at 63,448.87, after climbing to an intraday all-time high above 63,700 earlier in the session, lifted by stronger-than-expected quarterly earnings from major Japanese corporations. South Korea’s Kospi advanced 0.5% to 7,884.71, with the biggest gains coming from the country’s technology sector. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index added 0.7% to reach 26,584.88, while mainland China’s Shanghai Composite Index pulled back 0.9% to 4,204.41. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 posted a marginal dip of less than 0.1% to settle at 8,627.80, while Taiwan’s Taiex rose 0.6% and India’s Sensex climbed 0.5% by closing time.

    Beyond equities, oil prices continued their upward climb, driven by persistent uncertainty over the ongoing two-month-old war in Iran. Market participants have pinned hopes on the Trump-Xi summit to deliver diplomatic progress, after senior U.S. officials noted that Beijing maintains close economic ties with Tehran that could be leveraged to pressure Iran into reopening the critical Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint for nearly a fifth of global oil supplies.

    As of Thursday trading, Brent crude, the global benchmark for oil prices, rose 0.4% to $106.04 per barrel. That figure is far higher than the roughly $70 per barrel price seen just before the Iran conflict broke out in late February. The uptick came one day after the International Energy Agency warned that supply disruptions stemming from the Strait of Hormuz standoff are draining global crude stockpiles at a faster pace than ever recorded. U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude also gained 0.4% to trade at $101.43 per barrel.

    Investors are also monitoring developments around China’s import policies for Nvidia’s cutting-edge H200 artificial intelligence chips. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang is among a cohort of top U.S. business leaders including Tesla’s Elon Musk and Apple’s Tim Cook joining Trump on his Beijing trip, sparking speculation about potential shifts in tech trade rules.

    On Wednesday, U.S. markets closed out the session with tech stocks leading broad gains that pushed major benchmarks to new record highs. The broad S&P 500 climbed 0.6% to 7,444.25, notching another all-time closing high. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite rose 1.2% to 26,402.34, also hitting a new record, while the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a modest 0.1% dip to 49,693.20.

    In bond markets, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note edged down marginally to 4.46% from Wednesday’s 4.47%, but remains far above the 3.97% level recorded before the Iran war began. A government report released Wednesday showed U.S. wholesale prices spiked in April, driven largely by energy market volatility triggered by the Iran conflict. Also on Wednesday, the U.S. Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh, Donald Trump’s nominee, to serve as the next chair of the Federal Reserve, succeeding Jerome Powell, whom Trump repeatedly criticized for refusing to cut interest rates as quickly and deeply as the president demanded.

    In currency markets, the U.S. dollar dipped slightly to 157.85 Japanese yen, down from 157.86 yen in the previous session. The euro also saw a marginal uptick, rising to $1.1715 from $1.1711.

    Associated Press Business Writer Stan Choe contributed reporting to this article.

  • Chinese-linked ships cross Strait of Hormuz on eve of Trump-Xi meeting

    Chinese-linked ships cross Strait of Hormuz on eve of Trump-Xi meeting

    In a development that overlaps with a high-stakes diplomatic visit to China by former U.S. President Donald Trump, multiple vessels connected to China passed through the strategically critical Strait of Hormuz within a 24-hour window this week, adding a new layer of complexity to already tense global discussions around the ongoing Iran conflict. The most closely monitored of these vessels is a Chinese-owned supertanker loaded with two million barrels of Iraqi crude oil. Ship tracking data confirms the tanker completed its passage through the strait on Wednesday, before disabling its automatic identification system transponder while navigating the Gulf of Oman — a move that has drawn heightened international attention to its movements.

    The Strait of Hormuz, the world’s most important chokepoint for global oil and gas trade, has emerged as the central flashpoint in escalating tensions between Iran and the United States. In a bid to assert full territorial authority over the waterway, Iran has moved to impose transit tolls on commercial vessels passing through the strait, while the U.S. has enforced a sweeping blockade banning any vessels with ties to Iran — or ships that have paid Iran the required transit fee — from global shipping markets. Open-source intelligence analysts, working with publicly available maritime tracking data, confirmed that a total of six other Chinese-linked vessels completed their transit of the strait just one day before the supertanker’s passage. That group included five oil tankers and one vessel carrying liquefied petroleum gas. As of this reporting, there is no public confirmation confirming whether any of the Chinese-linked vessels paid the required toll to Iran, though Iranian authorities have previously publicly confirmed they accept Chinese yuan as a valid form of payment for transit fees.

    The timing of these transits coincides with Trump’s arrival in Beijing on Wednesday, kicking off a two-day official visit to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping. While negotiations over bilateral business and trade agreements between the world’s two largest economies top the official agenda, the escalating conflict over Iran and the status of the Strait of Hormuz are expected to dominate behind-the-scenes discussions. Speaking to reporters ahead of his departure for Beijing, Trump acknowledged that Iran would feature prominently in his talks with Xi, even as he downplayed the need for Chinese cooperation to reach a favorable deal for the U.S. with the Iranian government. “We have a lot of things to discuss. I wouldn’t say Iran is one of them, to be honest with you, because we have Iran very much under control,” Trump told reporters ahead of the trip.

    U.S.-China relations are already defined by broad systemic competition, with the two global powers vying for influence in areas ranging from artificial intelligence innovation to critical mineral supply chains and cross-strait relations around Taiwan. U.S. policy has failed to force Iran into submission on nuclear and regional security issues, a development that has been quietly welcomed by Beijing, but China has not remained a passive bystander to the conflict. According to exclusive reporting from Middle East Eye, the first outlet to break the story, China supplied advanced air defense systems to Iran in the aftermath of the June 2025 conflict between Iran and Israel, which concluded with U.S. military strikes on Iranian nuclear infrastructure. MEE further reported that on the eve of a planned February 2026 attack, China delivered kamikaze drones to Iranian forces. These reports were later corroborated by The New York Times, which confirmed shipments of Chinese shoulder-fired air defense systems arrived in Iran this past April. The Financial Times has also reported that Iranian forces used a sophisticated Chinese surveillance satellite to target U.S. military bases stationed across the Gulf region.

    Despite its military and logistical support for Iran, experts note that Beijing’s core strategic goal remains a negotiated resolution to the conflict that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz to full commercial traffic, a move critical to stabilizing global energy markets on which China’s economy depends. “China and the US are aligned in opposing Iran having a nuclear weapons and seeing the Strait of Hormuz reopened,” Ahmed Aboudouh, an associate fellow at Chatham House and head of the China Studies research unit at the Emirates Policy Center, told Middle East Eye.

    This aligns with recent public diplomatic moves from Beijing. Chinese state media confirmed on Wednesday that China’s top diplomat, Foreign Minister Wang Yi, urged Pakistan to expand its mediation efforts between Iran and the United States in a call with Pakistani Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar on Tuesday. Wang emphasized the need to resolve the issue of the strait’s reopening “properly”, adding that “China will continue to support Pakistan’s mediation efforts and make its own contribution toward this end,” according to China’s official state news agency Xinhua.

  • ‘Rogue state behaviour’: Israel carrying out covert influence operations in Canada, report says

    ‘Rogue state behaviour’: Israel carrying out covert influence operations in Canada, report says

    A groundbreaking new report released by Canadians for Justice and Peace in the Middle East (CJPME) has leveled serious allegations against Israel, claiming the country operates a far-reaching, deeply rooted covert influence campaign across Canada – and that the Canadian federal government has so far declined to classify these activities as foreign interference. The advocacy group has put forward a slate of urgent policy recommendations, urging Ottawa to formally name Israel as a high-priority foreign threat actor on par with nations like China and India, expel Israeli diplomatic personnel, and impose a full ban on Israeli-manufactured spyware.

    In the 187-page report, CJPME argues that while cross-national lobbying in pursuit of national interest is a standard global practice, Israeli activities in Canada cross critical ethical and legal lines due to their consistent lack of public disclosure. The report lays out five detailed, documented case studies of covert operations, all structured to reshape Canadian public opinion, bend regulatory policy, and manipulate media narratives through hidden local intermediaries. CJPME’s findings draw on corroborating reporting from respected Canadian and international outlets, including Canadian investigative newsroom The Breach, left-leaning investigative site Press Progress, The Globe and Mail, The Toronto Star, Israeli outlet Haaretz, and The New York Times.

    The first documented incident centers on undisclosed polling conducted in the weeks after the October 7, 2023, Hamas attacks on southern Israel. According to the report, Toronto-based public relations firm Aurora Strategies carried out the poll on behalf of the Israeli consulate, without disclosing the Israeli government’s funding or involvement. The poll used intentionally biased framing to skew results in support of Israel’s military campaign in Gaza, and Liberal Party insiders reportedly discussed sharing the unpublished results directly with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s office before its public release.

    A second case dates back to a 2019 Canadian Federal Court ruling that labeled “Product of Israel” labeling for goods produced in illegal Israeli settlements in the occupied West Bank as misleading to consumers. The report confirms that Israel’s Ministry of Justice quietly contracted a Toronto-based law firm to intervene in the legal proceedings, with firm staff even drafting pre-written talking points for Canadian federal officials to use on the issue. The covert effort was designed to pressure the Canadian government to appeal the ruling and preserve the labeling system that benefits Israeli settlement producers.

    Third, the report details so-called “propaganda junkets” organized by the Israeli government, which use Canadian domestic groups as unacknowledged proxies to fly Canadian politicians and other influential public figures to Israel on all-expense-paid trips. CJPME emphasizes that the lack of transparency around these trips enables hidden influence-building, noting that many unelected influential participants face no mandatory disclosure requirements comparable to elected lawmakers. The report draws a parallel to the 1985 ban on paid trips to Apartheid-era South Africa implemented by former Prime Minister Brian Mulroney, arguing that even full transparency would not erase the ethical harm of these covert trips – even as some Conservative MPs defied Mulroney’s voluntary ban decades ago.

    The fourth case focuses on a large-scale disinformation operation uncovered in 2024, run by Israel’s Ministry of Diaspora Affairs targeting Canadian audiences. According to the report, the Israeli government hired a Tel Aviv-based political marketing firm to build fake English-language websites – including one platform branded “United Citizens for Canada” – alongside hundreds of artificial intelligence-powered fake social media accounts generated using ChatGPT. These accounts spread anti-Muslim racist messaging framed as pro-Israel content, portraying Muslim communities as a threat to Western society as part of a broader Israeli strategy to suppress global pro-Palestinian advocacy beyond its borders. At the time the operation was uncovered, Canadian officials confirmed that they viewed the fake platforms as foreign interference and validated core elements of the allegations when raising concerns with Israeli authorities, but no public accountability measures have ever been implemented.

    The final case outlined is what CJPME terms a campaign of transnational repression targeting Canadian activists who publicly criticize Israeli policy. The report documents that this campaign includes coordinated surveillance, ideological profiling, and doxxing – the public release of private personal information – of Palestinian solidarity organizers in Canada. In recent months, the report notes, Israel’s Ministry of Diaspora Affairs has pushed a narrative framing all opposition to Israel’s ongoing blockade of Gaza as tied to a conspiracy organized by Hamas and the Muslim Brotherhood. Israel’s ambassador to Canada, Iddo Moed, has publicly called on the Canadian government to restrict specific civil liberties related to pro-Palestinian advocacy, which CJPME describes as open lobbying to curtail core Canadian democratic rights. To counter this surveillance effort, the report recommends a full ban on the purchase and use of Israeli spyware tools including NSO Group’s Pegasus, Cytrox’s Predator, and Paragon Solution’s Graphite, all of which have been used to track and target government critics globally.

    Beyond the spyware ban, CJPME’s full set of recommendations calls on the Canadian government to leverage its existing legal and diplomatic tools to counter foreign interference, including expelling Israel’s ambassador to Canada and other implicated diplomatic staff, and imposing targeted sanctions on all actors involved in the covert influence campaigns. “A holistic approach to countering illicit Israeli influence will require holding Israeli state officials accountable while finding ways to discourage Canadian participation in these schemes,” the report concludes.

  • After more than 25 years, former winner Australia is back in sailing’s America’s Cup

    After more than 25 years, former winner Australia is back in sailing’s America’s Cup

    After a 25-year absence from the iconic America’s Cup sailing competition, Australia is officially making a comeback, with its challenger entry for the 38th edition of the world’s oldest sailing trophy accepted by event organizers.

    Sydney’s Royal Prince Edward Yacht Club announced Thursday that its challenge submitted alongside Team Australia has been cleared for the 38th America’s Cup, scheduled to kick off next year in Naples, Italy. Australia joins a growing field of challengers gunning for a spot in the final match against defending champion Team New Zealand, including a confirmed entry from the United States.

    Team Australia has wasted no time building an elite, championship-caliber leadership squad, welcoming some of the biggest names in global sailing to key roles. Olympic gold medal-winning sailor Tom Slingsby, who currently competes in the global SailGP series for an Australian team, will step into the position of head of sailing for the syndicate. Three-time America’s Cup champion Glenn Ashby has been tapped to lead the team’s performance and design division.

    Speaking on his new appointment, Slingsby emphasized the deep personal meaning of returning Australia to the competition as an independent national contender. “The opportunity to represent Australia in the America’s Cup with an Australian team is something that genuinely means a lot to me,” he said. “It’s been a dream throughout my career to be part of bringing Australia back to the Cup in a meaningful way.”

    Leading the entire campaign as chief executive officer is Grant Simmer, a foundational member of the legendary 1983 Australia II team that pulled off one of the biggest upsets in sports history, ending the New York Yacht Club’s unbroken 132-year winning streak in the America’s Cup. For Simmer, the 2027 comeback campaign is both a full-circle moment and a thrilling new chapter. “For me, this campaign is both deeply personal and incredibly exciting,” he shared in a formal statement. “I first became involved in the America’s Cup in the early 1980s and was fortunate to be part of the team that changed the course of the Cup forever.”

    Australia’s return to the America’s Cup as a flagged contender fills a gap that has lasted more than two decades. The last official Australian challenger syndicate was Young Australia, which competed in the 2000 America’s Cup held in Auckland, New Zealand. In the years since, Australian sailors and designers have claimed America’s Cup glory as part of winning teams from the United States, Switzerland and New Zealand, but no fully Australian-led and flagged entry has competed until now.

    The path to the 38th America’s Cup final was set last October, when Team New Zealand claimed the 37th America’s Cup title in Barcelona, Spain, beating INEOS Britannia by a score of 7-2 to secure their third consecutive America’s Cup victory. Representing the Royal New Zealand Yacht Squadron, the Kiwi team will now automatically advance to the best-of-13 final match in 2027, where they will face the winner of the challenger series hosted in Naples next year.

    Next year’s competition will also bring a landmark new rule for AC75 yachts, requiring every race crew to include at least one female sailor. Tash Bryant, a world-leading Australian female sailor, called the policy a transformative milestone for gender equity in elite sailing. “The changes represent an important moment for the future of the sport,” she said. “The evolution of the boats and the competition is opening the door to broader opportunities and visibility for women in elite sailing, while also creating clearer pathways for younger generations coming through the sport.”

  • Record complaints filed over UK press smear of anti-genocide artist Misan Harriman

    Record complaints filed over UK press smear of anti-genocide artist Misan Harriman

    A coordinated smear campaign targeting high-profile British photographer and Southbank Centre chair Misan Harriman by right-wing UK news outlets has triggered an unprecedented wave of public complaints to the nation’s media regulator, shattering all previous records for public pushback against inaccurate press coverage.

    The public complaint drive, organized by media accountability platform NewsCord, crossed the 50,000-submission mark in just 48 hours after launching, and has now collected more than 80,000 signatures demanding regulatory action. This total triples the earlier all-time high of roughly 25,000 complaints submitted to the Independent Press Standards Organisation (Ipso) over Jeremy Clarkson’s 2022 defamatory column about Meghan Markle in *The Sun*, marking a historic moment for public demands for press accountability in the UK.

    The campaign against Harriman, an Oscar-nominated photographer, long-time social justice activist and prominent pro-Palestine voice, erupted after he posted two pieces of content to social media earlier this month. First, he raised a factual question after a late April stabbing attack in London’s Golders Green: why had both police and most mainstream media outlets failed to mention that the attack included a third victim, a Muslim man, when coverage uniformly focused only on the two Jewish men stabbed later the same day? Second, he shared a short video reflecting on Reform UK’s strong local election performance, which included a contextual quote from iconic Jewish-American writer Susan Sontag about human behavior and political extremism.

    Right-wing outlets distorted both posts to manufacture false accusations against Harriman. They labeled his factual observation about the unreported third victim a baseless “conspiracy theory,” despite clear evidence backing his claim: the Metropolitan Police’s official public statement about the attack only referenced two victims, and major outlets including Sky News, Channel 5 and the BBC all omitted the Muslim victim from their initial headlines. Outlets then took Sontag’s quote, pulled from Harriman’s video completely out of context, and falsely claimed he had compared Reform voters to Nazis.

    Within a single week, four major right-wing outlets – *The Telegraph*, the Daily Mail, GB News and the Daily Express – published near-identical hit pieces repeating these false claims, with Reform UK MP Robert Jenrick publicly calling for Harriman to be removed from his post as chair of the publicly funded Southbank Centre.

    The smear campaign has sparked widespread backlash across British public life. More than 250 high-profile celebrities have signed an open letter organized by the non-profit Good Law Project backing Harriman, with signatories including Gary Lineker, Louis Theroux, Annie Lennox, Greta Thunberg and Mark Ruffalo. As of press time, the open letter has gathered more than 15,000 total signatures from members of the public.

    The open letter condemns the campaign as “entirely without foundation in fact,” noting its core goal is to “traduce and marginalise Misan” and send a warning to other public figures that speaking out on contentious issues will result in targeted harassment. It adds: “We believe that safeguarding freedom of expression is essential to a healthy democracy. And that trying to silence critics of Israel by smearing them as antisemitic does not protect Britain’s Jewish community.”

    A separate cross-party group of 20 UK parliamentarians has also written to Culture Secretary Lisa Nandy to denounce the coordinated attack. The lawmakers note that outlets selectively edited Harriman’s words to “whipping up a furore to engineer an ever-growing environment of cancel culture,” adding that the campaign, led by right-wing media and backed by right-wing politicians, aims to close open debate and further marginalize minority communities. Signatories of the parliamentary letter include crossbench peer Baroness Sayeeda Warsi, Labour MPs John McDonnell and Naz Shah, and Green Party co-leaders Adrian Ramsay and Carla Denyer. The letter also raises alarms about a growing trend of pressuring public institutions to cut ties with figures engaging in legitimate political discourse, a practice that deepens social division rather than fostering cohesion.

    Nima Akram, founder of NewsCord, told Middle East Eye that the coordinated nature of the hit pieces is no accident: the outlets share a common political project focused on “weakening publicly-funded culture, attacking pro-Palestine voices, and using cultural figures as proxies for pressuring Labour into right-wing policy.” Akram stressed that Ipso has a clear responsibility to investigate the campaign, arguing that if the regulator cannot enforce its own accuracy rules against a misinformation drive of this scale, UK press regulation is effectively meaningless. If outlets are allowed to get away with defaming a Black pro-Palestine activist for asking a factually correct question and quoting a well-known writer, Akram said, it will set a dangerous precedent that creates a playbook for silencing all dissenting voices in public life.

    For his part, Harriman pushed back against the smears, saying: “We have reached the point where truth itself is being crushed by the very institutions that are supposed to uphold it. I will never whisper about the oppressed. I stand with truth, I stand by my right to use my voice to help others.” A veteran social justice advocate, Harriman serves as an ambassador for Save the Children, was nominated for Amnesty UK’s People’s Human Rights Champion award, and has long advocated against genocide in Sudan, the Democratic Republic of Congo and Gaza. He is also widely known for his photography of pro-Palestine ceasefire marches, including a viral 2024 image of a Muslim man and a Jewish man holding a joint ceasefire sign that was auctioned to raise funds for Palestinian aid.

    NewsCord is formally calling on Ipso to launch a full investigation into all four outlets involved in the smear campaign, and to require the outlets to issue public acknowledgements and corrections of their misleading reporting.

  • Chris Wood to lead New Zealand at the World Cup after an injury-troubled Premier League campaign

    Chris Wood to lead New Zealand at the World Cup after an injury-troubled Premier League campaign

    New Zealand Football has finalized its 26-player squad for the upcoming FIFA Men’s World Cup, headlined by injured Nottingham Forest striker Chris Wood, who will captain the nation’s first World Cup side in 14 years. The announcement, made Thursday by head coach Darren Bazeley in Auckland, marks a milestone for New Zealand men’s football, with two players set to break new ground for the country on soccer’s biggest global stage.

    Alongside Wood, 36-year-old defender Tommy Smith earned a surprise recall, receiving his first All Whites call-up since late 2024 despite plying his trade in England’s fifth-tier National League. Both Wood and Smith featured in New Zealand’s 2010 World Cup squad in South Africa, making them the first New Zealand men ever to qualify for two World Cup tournaments. As team captain, Wood follows in the footsteps of New Zealand World Cup skippers Steve Sumner (1982 Spain) and Ryan Nelsen (2010), carrying the nation’s hopes of a historic first knockout stage berth.
    Bazeley acknowledged that cutting the preliminary pool down to 26 roster spots was one of the hardest challenges of his preparation, noting that 40 different players featured for the All Whites across 10 international matches over the previous 15 months, with more than 50 players tracked for selection in the years leading up to the tournament.

    “Naming a World Cup squad is a true privilege — the World Cup is the pinnacle of our sport, and it’s the ultimate dream for every player who steps onto the pitch,” Bazeley said in his announcement address. “We’ve spent years building toward this moment, evaluating every contender who put themselves forward for a spot.”
    The head coach added that his technical staff settled on a group they believe gives New Zealand the best possible chance to achieve an unprecedented result: advancing out of the group stage. Ranked 85th in the FIFA rankings, New Zealand was drawn into Group G alongside three higher-ranked opponents: No. 9 Belgium, No. 20 Iran and No. 29 Egypt. The All Whites have never advanced past the group stage in their two prior World Cup appearances, a fact Bazeley says his side is hungry to change.
    “This process is never easy, and we do not take the responsibility of selecting this squad lightly,” he said. “But I am confident we have put together the strongest possible group to compete against Iran, Egypt, Belgium and whoever comes next. Now the debate is over — it’s time to head to the tournament and seize this chance to make history for New Zealand.”
    Wood, who has missed extensive club action this season with injury, delivered a pre-recorded address to the squad announcement crowd from his base in England, saying he is eager to join his teammates and compete on the world stage.
    “I can’t wait to share this moment with all of you and make history together,” Wood said. “I hope we can make the entire country proud and show the world what New Zealand football is capable of.”
    The squad blends veteran experience with exciting young emerging talent, a balance that is on clear display across the roster. At the opposite end of the experience spectrum from 36-year-old Smith, 23-year-old midfielder Lachlan Bayliss earned a spot just two months after making his international debut. Bayliss enjoyed a breakout 2023-24 season with the Newcastle Jets in Australia’s A-League, and qualifies for New Zealand through his Kiwi father despite being born and raised in Australia.
    Other key selections include Auckland FC goalkeeper Michael Woud, who won a tight battle for the third goalkeeper spot behind starters Alex Paulsen and Max Crocombe. Up front, Wood will be backed by Australia-based veteran Kosta Barbarouses, Port Vale forward Ben Waine and Silkeborg winger Callum McCowatt. On the back line, Smith joins a deep group of central defender options including Michael Boxall, Tyler Bindon, Nando Pijnaker and Finn Surman.
    The full 26-player New Zealand World Cup squad is as follows:
    Goalkeepers: Max Crocombe, Alex Paulsen, Michael Woud
    Defenders: Tyler Bindon, Michael Boxall, Liberato Cacace, Francis de Vries, Callan Elliot, Tim Payne, Nando Pijnaker, Tommy Smith, Finn Surman
    Midfielders: Lachlan Bayliss, Joe Bell, Matt Garbett, Ben Old, Alex Rufer, Sarpreet Singh, Marko Stamenic, Ryan Thomas
    Forwards: Kosta Barbarouses, Eli Just, Callum McCowatt, Jesse Randall, Ben Waine, Chris Wood

  • ​‘Our only crime is being Shia’: Pakistani workers say UAE surveillance led to deportations

    ​‘Our only crime is being Shia’: Pakistani workers say UAE surveillance led to deportations

    In early spring, the first wave of involuntary returns of Pakistani laborers from the United Arab Emirates slipped quietly across border checkpoints and into rural communities across Pakistan, with little fanfare and no advance warning. Men arrived back to their hometowns empty-handed, catching their families completely off guard. Within weeks, however, similar cases began to emerge from every corner of the country, forming a pattern that has sparked outrage and sectarian concern across South Asia and the Gulf.

    According to interviews with multiple Shia community leaders conducted by Middle East Eye, thousands of Pakistani workers – the vast majority of whom identify as Shia Muslim and had lived and worked in the UAE for decades – have been expelled from the Gulf state since mid-April in a campaign shrouded in official secrecy. None of the deportees interviewed received formal charges, advanced explanation, or access to legal appeal before being detained and placed on repatriation flights. For many of the men affected, the message is clear: their religious identity is the only explanation for their expulsion.

    “They did not tell us any reason,” explained Hussain Turi, a 45-year-old former taxi driver whose home district of Khurram, located along Pakistan’s border with Afghanistan, has received nearly 200 deported residents from the UAE in just a few months. “But we understood. Our only crime is being Shia.”

    Deportees describe a sudden, opaque process that leaves no room for pushback or clarification. Workers report being summoned to local police stations with no stated reason, held for days in overcrowded detention facilities and jails, and flown directly to Pakistan without ever being permitted to consult a lawyer, hear a formal accusation, or challenge their expulsion. Many had spent decades working low-wage jobs in construction, transportation, and service roles across the UAE, sending consistent remittances that supported entire extended families back in Pakistan.

    Similar patterns of targeted deportation of Pakistani Shia workers have been reported in Qatar earlier this year, drawing broader international attention to the issue after accounts spread across social media and international news outlets. Indian Shia organizations, including the All India Shia Personal Law Board, have also raised alarms over rising detentions and mistreatment of Indian Shia workers in multiple Gulf states, most notably the UAE and Saudi Arabia.

    Pakistan’s federal government has pushed back hard against these claims, dismissing all reporting of sect-based targeting as bad-faith propaganda. In a May 8 statement, the country’s interior ministry said that “all such reporting is malafide and part of vicious propaganda by vested interests,” adding that no country or sect-specific deportation campaign is underway, including in the UAE.

    But despite official denials, on-the-ground interviews with community leaders, deportees, and activists across multiple Pakistani provinces confirm that Shia workers have been disproportionately affected by the recent wave of expulsions. Prominent Shia cleric Allama Amin Shaheedi estimates that as many as 15,000 Pakistani Shia have either been deported or denied re-entry to the UAE in recent months, though the lack of official data and the secrecy surrounding the campaign make independent verification of the total scale impossible.

    Many deportees have requested anonymity or only agreed to speak on condition of being identified by their surname, fearing that public criticism will permanently bar them from returning to the Gulf to recover left-behind savings, businesses, vehicles, or unpaid wages. Even so, accounts collected across Pakistan are nearly identical in their description of how detentions and expulsions unfolded.

    “They approached me directly and asked for my ID. They already knew exactly who I was,” said Qaisar, a Shia man deported to Pakistan’s Chakwal District in Punjab, who described being intercepted by security officials at Dubai’s flagship Dubai Mall after being flagged via closed-circuit surveillance.

    Multiple deportees and community advocates say the campaign is rooted in a years-long systematic surveillance and profiling program targeted explicitly at Shia religious identity. The most commonly cited practice is mandatory biometric scanning of Emirates ID cards for all worshippers entering imambargahs – Shia congregation halls – a security requirement that interviewees say is almost never enforced at Sunni mosques across the UAE.

    Deportees and advocates argue that biometric data, identity records, and attendance logs collected at Shia religious sites over years have been used by UAE security agencies to map Shia religious networks and flag individuals for deportation. While no independent official evidence has confirmed this data collection practice, first-hand accounts consistently point to a coordinated system of religious tracking.

    “At the imambargahs, they ask us to scan our Emirates ID cards before entering,” said Abbas, a former employee of an architectural firm in Dubai who was deported to Lahore in late April. “People became afraid of attending because they believed their names were being recorded.”

    The dragnet has even accidentally swept up non-Shia workers who associated with Shia communities. Raziq, a Sunni laborer from Sargodha in Punjab, told MEE he was deported after being misidentified as Shia, because he regularly visited a local imambargah to access free meals he could not otherwise afford. “Despite being Sunni, I was deported for being Shia,” he said.

    Community members also allege that in recent years, UAE visa and employment permit officials have increasingly delayed, rejected, or suspended applications from Pakistanis who carry surnames traditionally associated with Shia communities, including Zaidi, Askari, Jafri, Hussain, Hasan, Turi, and Bangash. Applicants from Pakistani districts with large Shia populations, such as Khurram, Kohat, Quetta, Hunza, and Skardu, also report facing heightened, unexplained scrutiny during immigration and employment screening. Some applicants report being subjected to months-long unexplained “security checks,” while others say employers now quietly avoid hiring workers from perceived Shia backgrounds to avoid drawing scrutiny from security officials. MEE was unable to independently verify the full scale of these alleged restrictions, and UAE authorities have not issued any public comment on claims of surname-based profiling.

    Many deportees also say UAE security officials confiscated their bank cards, cash, and mobile phones before they were deported, leaving them stranded upon arrival in Pakistan with no access to their life savings or personal belongings. Others report being denied the opportunity to contact their employers, collect unpaid months of wages, or retrieve personal property before being forced onto repatriation flights.

    “Nobody accused us of a crime. Nobody showed us evidence,” said Haider Kazmi, an IT professional who had lived and worked in Dubai for a decade before his expulsion. “They looked at our faith and decided we no longer belonged there.” Kazmi added that the abrupt, unaccountable process left many deportees feeling deeply humiliated and dehumanized. “It was painful,” he said. “But as Shias, we are taught that hardship and persecution have always been part of our history.”

    Since the 2020 Abraham Accords that normalized relations between the UAE and Israel, Shia expatriates across the Gulf report a sharp deterioration in the security environment for public Shia religious practice. While Ashura commemorations and private majalis (religious council gatherings) are still permitted in some private locations, public Shia mourning rituals and religious events have come under steadily increasing surveillance, with worshippers facing detention and deportation. Human Rights Watch documented a clear rise in restrictions on Shia religious expression in the UAE as early as late 2020.

    Security analysts and community leaders agree that the recent wave of deportations is directly tied to escalating regional geopolitical tensions reshaping the Gulf, specifically the sharpened confrontation between Iran, the United States, and Israel that began on February 28. Gulf states including the UAE and Saudi Arabia have long viewed Shia communities and religious networks through the lens of potential Iranian influence, a perspective that hardened after the 1979 Iranian Revolution and intensified following the 2011 Arab uprisings. During periods of heightened regional conflict, these suspicions translate into increased scrutiny of Shia expatriate communities from Pakistan, Lebanon, Iraq, and Afghanistan.

    At the center of Gulf security concerns is the doctrine of Wilayat al-Faqih, or “Guardianship of the Islamic Jurist,” the ideological foundation of the Islamic Republic of Iran developed by Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini after the 1979 revolution. The doctrine grants Iran’s supreme leader sweeping religious and political authority, which adherents recognize as extending beyond Iran’s borders to Shia communities globally. While many Shia Muslims and senior Shia clerics around the world reject this claim of transnational authority, Gulf security establishments argue that it fosters divided loyalties that threaten the legitimacy of ruling monarchies.

    These longstanding anxieties were amplified on April 20, when the UAE’s State Security Department announced it had dismantled a clandestine network allegedly tied to Iran, claiming the investigation uncovered links to Wilayat al-Faqih ideology, reinforcing existing fears of Iranian influence among expatriate Shia communities. Regional tensions deteriorated even further after the killing of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint US-Israeli strike on Tehran on February 28, an event that sparked widespread unrest across Muslim-majority nations, including violent Shia-led protests in Pakistan that left more than 35 people dead. The subsequent succession of Khamenei’s son Mojtaba Khamenei as Iran’s new supreme leader has deepened Gulf fears that Iran’s ideological project will continue unchanged.

    For Shia communities across the Gulf, the convergence of the Abraham Accords and the post-February war on Iran has supercharged official paranoia about perceived Shia loyalties, leaving tens of thousands of working-class Pakistanis displaced, stripped of their livelihoods, and with little legal recourse to reclaim their lives in the Gulf.

  • Trump’s meeting with Xi comes with much fanfare in China, but major breakthroughs may be elusive

    Trump’s meeting with Xi comes with much fanfare in China, but major breakthroughs may be elusive

    BEIJING – When former U.S. President Donald Trump launched the most intensive segment of his official visit to China on Thursday, diplomatic observers and policymakers on both sides entered the diplomatic summit braced for more symbolic spectacle than substantive progress. Key sticking points from bilateral trade to U.S. policy toward Taiwan and the ongoing conflict in Iran have created low expectations for landmark agreements, even as the visit unfolds against a backdrop of carefully curated ceremonial pageantry.

    Trump’s arrival in the Chinese capital Wednesday evening opened with an elaborate formal welcome ceremony. His motorcade processed down central Beijing thoroughfares lined with alternating American and Chinese national flags, past towering skyscrapers illuminated with large red Chinese characters reading “Beijing Welcome.” After the procession, the U.S. president traveled to his downtown accommodation with no public engagements scheduled for the rest of the evening.

    On Thursday, Chinese leader Xi Jinping is scheduled to meet Trump for an official welcoming ceremony at the Great Hall of the People, China’s top legislative venue located on the western edge of Tiananmen Square, which also hosts major state and cultural events. Following the opening ceremony, the two leaders will hold a one-on-one bilateral working meeting, after which Trump will tour the Temple of Heaven, a 15th-century imperial religious complex once used by Ming and Qing dynasty emperors to perform annual rituals for good harvest, that carries deep symbolic meaning for traditional Chinese concepts of cosmic order. The day will conclude with a formal state banquet hosted in Trump’s honor. A working meeting over tea and lunch is scheduled for the pair on Friday.

    The White House has pushed back against low expectations, maintaining that Trump entered the trip with clear goals to secure tangible outcomes before his departure. Senior administration officials have hinted that potential trade-related announcements could come during the visit, including a expected Chinese commitment to increase purchases of American agricultural goods including soybeans and beef, as well as U.S.-manufactured commercial aircraft. The Trump administration is also pushing to formalize a new bilateral Board of Trade designed to address longstanding commercial frictions between the two global economic powers through ongoing structured dialogue.

    Yet concrete details of any potential agreements remain elusive, even as geopolitical friction over the Iran conflict adds an extra layer of complexity to talks. China’s longstanding close economic ties to Iran have put Beijing at odds with Washington’s policy goals in the region, creating a major point of tension ahead of the summit.

    Trump’s three-day Beijing trip comes as the Iran conflict continues to dominate domestic U.S. political discourse, stoking growing fears of economic weakness in the U.S. as the country enters a heated midterm election cycle. With November’s congressional elections approaching, Trump’s Republican Party is fighting to retain control of both chambers of Congress, and the economic fallout from the Iran war has emerged as a top voter concern. The U.S.-led conflict with Iran has resulted in the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global chokepoint for oil and natural gas shipments, leaving energy tankers stranded and driving sharp spikes in global energy prices that threaten to undermine global economic growth.

    The extended, structured schedule of one-on-one engagement between Trump and Xi, set against the backdrop of formal diplomatic events, will create ample opportunity for the two leaders to tackle the full slate of thorny bilateral and global issues on the agenda. Beyond Iran and trade, those topics include the longstanding dispute over Taiwan and a proposed three-way nuclear arms limitation pact between the United States, China and Russia.

    Despite the open agenda, most diplomatic analysts expect little progress beyond ceremonial pleasantries and the mutual public praise that Trump and Xi have exchanged consistently for years. Jim Lewis, a technology policy fellow at the Center for European Policy Analysis, predicted that neither side will make meaningful headway on the two most contentious foreign policy issues up for discussion. “Trump will press the Chinese to help him on Iran. They’ll be unwilling. The Chinese will press Trump to make concessions on Taiwan. We’ll see what we get out of that,” Lewis explained.

    Back in Washington, domestic political tensions over the Iran conflict deepened Wednesday, when Senate Republicans again blocked Democratic legislation aimed at ending U.S. hostilities in Iran. The vote saw a rare party break from Alaska Republican Senator Lisa Murkowski, who crossed party lines to vote with Democrats, becoming the third Senate Republican to oppose continued U.S. military engagement in the conflict.

    As the world’s largest buyer of Iranian crude oil, China’s position on Iran is a core priority for the Trump administration. Trump has publicly downplayed suggestions that he will push Xi to take stronger action to pressure Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, though senior White House officials have confirmed that the president will make that case to Xi in closed-door negotiations.

    The president has also stressed that concerns over U.S. economic fallout will not soften his demands in negotiations over Iran, even amid a fragile current ceasefire. When asked as he departed the White House whether the financial strain on ordinary American households would factor into his Iranian negotiations, Trump responded bluntly: “Not even a little bit.”

    “I don’t think about Americans’ financial situation. I think about one thing: We cannot let Iran have a nuclear weapon,” Trump said, adding that he believes “every American understands” that priority.

    The Trump administration has struggled to present a consistent public message on inflation and the Iran conflict, however. Vice President JD Vance told reporters Wednesday that Trump remained “laser focused” on tackling inflation, pushing back against the president’s own explicit comments that the U.S. economy was not a factor in resolving the war. When asked about Trump’s comments, Vance claimed, “Well, I don’t think the president said that. I think that’s a misrepresentation of what the president said.”

    Discussions over trade and Taiwan are also expected to be tense. The status of Taiwan looms large over the summit: China has long claimed the self-governing island as part of its sovereign territory, and Beijing has strongly objected to U.S. plans to sell advanced military weapons to Taipei. The Trump administration has already approved an $11 billion arms package for Taiwan, but has not yet moved forward with implementing the sale. Trump has also openly expressed greater ambivalence about U.S. commitments to Taiwan, a shift that has sparked widespread speculation about whether he could be open to rolling back American support for the island democracy.

    Taiwan is the world’s leading producer of advanced semiconductors, which are critical components for cutting-edge artificial intelligence development. Trump has sought to advance new trade deals with Taiwan that would incentivize increased chip manufacturing within the United States.

    Trump personally invited Jensen Huang, CEO of leading chipmaker Nvidia, to join him on Air Force One during a refueling stop in Alaska en route to Beijing. Huang is one of a dozen high-profile CEOs from the technology, defense, finance and agricultural sectors joining Trump’s official delegation. Other senior members of the U.S. delegation include Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, as well as Trump’s son Eric Trump and daughter-in-law Lara Trump. Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk, who previously led Trump’s initiative to cut federal staffing and shrink the size of the federal government, is also part of the delegation.

    The U.S. and China reached a bilateral trade truce last year that eased tit-for-tat threats of steep new tariffs on each other’s goods. The White House says ongoing discussions have shown mutual interest in extending the agreement, though it remains unclear whether any formal announcement of an extension will come during this visit.

    Trump has said he will press Xi to grant greater market access to U.S. firms in China, saying he will urge his Chinese counterpart to “‘open up’ China so that these brilliant people can work their magic.” He is also seeking to extend an existing agreement that allows China to continue exporting rare earth minerals to the United States, a deal that has so far prevented Beijing from restricting global rare earth supplies in response to Trump’s earlier tariff threats.

    Senior U.S. officials have also confirmed that Trump will raise the proposal for a three-way nuclear arms pact between the U.S., China and Russia that would place caps on each nation’s nuclear arsenal, an idea that Beijing has previously viewed with open skepticism.

    Associated Press writer Seung Min Kim in Washington contributed reporting to this article.

  • US news reports of gloomy Iran war intel assessments anger Trump

    US news reports of gloomy Iran war intel assessments anger Trump

    A growing rift has erupted between the Trump White House and major U.S. news outlets after independent reporting revealed that classified U.S. intelligence assessments directly contradict the administration’s public claims that Iran’s military capabilities have been completely destroyed. The confrontation has sparked fresh alarms over escalating attacks on press freedom from the Trump administration, as policymakers face growing scrutiny over the trajectory of the ongoing conflict with Iran.

    The New York Times first broke the story on Tuesday, citing declassified internal assessments compiled earlier this month that draw a sharp distinction between the Trump administration’s upbeat public narrative and the confidential briefings provided to senior policymakers. According to the report, U.S. spy agencies have confirmed that Iran has rapidly reestablished operational access to the vast majority of its key missile infrastructure, including primary launch sites, mobile deployment units, and underground storage facilities that the administration claimed had been wiped out in joint U.S.-Israeli bombardment campaigns.

    Most concerning for senior national security officials, the assessments note that 30 out of Iran’s 33 active missile sites positioned along the Strait of Hormuz — one of the world’s most critical global energy chokepoints — are now fully operational once again. The reactivation of these sites puts U.S. naval vessels and commercial oil tankers transiting the strategic waterway at direct risk, the report added.

    The Times’ reporting followed a similar exclusive published one week earlier by The Washington Post, which outlined a confidential Central Intelligence Agency analysis delivered to top administration policymakers. The CIA assessment concluded that Iran’s economy could withstand a sustained U.S. naval blockade for a minimum of three to four months before encountering crippling hardship, contradicting administration claims that the blockade would force Tehran to capitulate in short order.

    The Post’s reporting also confirmed the core findings of the later New York Times assessment, noting that the broader U.S. intelligence community has determined that Iran retains the vast majority of its ballistic missile capacity despite weeks of intensive joint bombing campaigns. Citing an unnamed senior U.S. official, the outlet reported that Iran still holds roughly 75 percent of its pre-conflict inventory of mobile missile launchers and approximately 70 percent of its original stockpile of operational missiles. The official added that Iranian forces have successfully recovered and reopened nearly all of their underground weapons storage sites, repaired damaged missiles, and even completed assembly of new missiles that were near completion when the conflict began.

    Within hours of the Times’ publication, President Donald Trump took to his Truth Social platform to lash out at the reporting. Trump, who has repeatedly claimed Iran has been left with no functional military capacity, denounced the outlets’ reporting as “virtual TREASON,” arguing that the claims of intact Iranian military capabilities are false and outrageous. “They are aiding and abetting the enemy!” Trump wrote, doubling down on his original claim that “Iran has ‘no Navy, their Air Force is gone, all Technology is gone, their ‘leaders’ are no longer with us, and the Country is an Economic Disaster.”

    Beyond the divergence between public claims and classified intelligence on Iran’s capabilities, multiple independent reports have also revealed that the Trump administration has drastically understated the damage Iranian counterstrikes have inflicted on U.S. military assets across the Persian Gulf. In a report published late last month, NBC News cited three unnamed U.S. officials, two congressional aides, and an additional source familiar with the damage assessment, which found that U.S. bases and equipment suffered far more extensive damage than the administration has publicly acknowledged. The outlet added that repair costs are expected to reach into the billions of dollars.

    A subsequent Washington Post analysis of open-source satellite imagery reinforced these findings, documenting that Iranian strikes have damaged or destroyed at least 228 structures and pieces of equipment at U.S. military installations across the Middle East since the outbreak of hostilities. Targets have included aircraft hangars, troop barracks, fuel depots, fixed-wing aircraft, and critical infrastructure including radar systems, communications networks, and air defense installations — a scale of destruction vastly larger than the U.S. government has publicly admitted.

    Foreign policy analysts have already concluded that the Trump administration’s Iran strategy has suffered a major strategic failure 10 weeks into the conflict. Writing on Wednesday, Brookings Institution foreign policy scholar Phil Gordon argued that “10 weeks in, the strategic failure is undeniable” for the administration. Gordon warned that the greatest ongoing risk stems from the president’s inability to accept a setback: “The risk now is that having missed the opportunity to declare victory after the first few weeks, Trump can’t accept defeat and humiliation so will keep looking for the next quick fix, thereby likely only making things worse.”

    Top Trump administration officials have doubled down on attacks against the press for publishing the unflattering disclosures. Pentagon Secretary Pete Hegseth has already labeled U.S. media outlets “unpatriotic” and warned reporters to “think twice” before publishing classified information that contradicts the administration’s narrative. Earlier this week, The Wall Street Journal revealed that the U.S. Department of Justice issued subpoenas to the outlet’s journalists in March seeking records tied to their Iran war coverage.

    Katie Fallow, deputy litigation director at the Knight First Amendment Institute at Columbia University, called the subpoenas the latest example of the administration’s escalating campaign against press freedom. “Time and again, the administration has shown itself willing to disregard the First Amendment and long-standing limits on the use of government power to go after news outlets that publish embarrassing or critical information about the government,” Fallow said.

  • Soybeans on Beijing agenda but US farmers should temper optimism

    Soybeans on Beijing agenda but US farmers should temper optimism

    Eight years after former and current US President Donald Trump labeled China a hostile revisionist power seeking to displace American influence in Asia in his first-term National Security Strategy, his 2025 iteration of the document marks a striking departure in tone. The harsh, confrontational labels that defined the 2017 strategy have been stripped out entirely, replaced with muted, generic language that avoids direct naming even when addressing points of friction.

    The updated strategy retains core policy priorities: it commits the US to rebalancing bilateral trade relations and lists deterrence of conflict over Taiwan as a key national security goal, but frames both goals in neutral terms. Most notably, a section targeting foreign influence in the Western Hemisphere that clearly targets Chinese infrastructure investments never mentions China by name, referring only to vague “non-hemispheric competitors” and foreign firms operating in the region.

    This shift in language corresponds to measurable softening in policy, even as the Trump administration maintains pressure on China across multiple fronts. The White House has rolled back some of the steep tariffs imposed during earlier trade wars and relaxed restrictions on sales of US high-end semiconductors to Chinese buyers—a change that has spurred sharp criticism from longstanding China hawks within Republican policy circles.
    Matt Pottinger, who served as deputy national security advisor during Trump’s first term and helped craft the administration’s original hardline China approach, used January congressional testimony to push back against the semiconductor sales, warning that the relaxed rules would accelerate China’s military modernization efforts.

    The trade war that defined Trump’s first term and returned in his second has hit American agricultural producers hardest of all, a reality that has shaped the administration’s shifting approach. During 2025’s trade escalation, China halted all purchases of American soybeans for several months in retaliation for new 100% tariffs on Chinese imports. A recent analysis from *The Economist* confirmed that the US agriculture sector has suffered greater damage from reciprocal Chinese tariffs than any other American industry.

    A tentative truce was reached last fall: China agreed to resume soybean purchases, and Trump agreed to cut existing tariffs on Chinese goods. But both sides remain skeptical that the fragile agreement will hold long-term, framing the deal as a temporary pause in hostilities rather than a permanent resolution of trade tensions.

    That makes the upcoming summit between President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping, scheduled for May 14 and 15 in Beijing, a critical test for the bilateral relationship. Soybean trade will top the agenda, but it is far from the only issue on the table. China is pushing for further cuts to remaining US tariffs and diplomatic action to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which has faced disruptive tensions. Washington’s priorities include securing more reliable access to rare earth minerals and cracking down on the flow of fentanyl precursors out of China.

    For Trump, securing a commitment for continued Chinese soybean purchases is a key political and economic priority, and analysts widely expect Xi to allow Trump to claim a diplomatic win ahead of any future electoral cycles. But even a cordial summit with a positive closing statement will not resolve the deep structural tensions between the two powers. Both sides have proven they can inflict significant economic pain on one another, and both have shown willingness to use that leverage to advance their negotiating positions.

    In the weeks leading up to the summit, China has already demonstrated its willingness to push back against US actions twice. First, Chinese regulators ordered Meta Platforms to unwind its $2 billion acquisition of domestic Chinese AI startup Manus. Second, after the US Treasury sanctioned five small Chinese refiners for purchasing Iranian crude oil, Beijing retaliated by activating its anti-sanctions blocking rules for the first time, allowing the targeted firms to sue any financial or insurance entity that complies with the US sanctions in Chinese courts.

    Lingling Wei, a veteran Wall Street Journal China correspondent with deep access to Chinese leadership circles, reports that top Chinese officials believe they have developed a framework for managing US-China relations with Trump at the helm: “The U.S. president can be exhausted and outwaited, and calibrated escalation resets the bargaining floor instead of blowing up the relationship.”

    The question remains whether Beijing is overestimating its ability to influence Trump. While Trump is invested in making the summit appear a success, he has little incentive to be seen as easily manipulated. Analysts say it would not be surprising to see a new show of force from Washington after the summit to remind Beijing of American leverage.

    For the moment, the status quo is an uneasy truce, not a permanent peace. With luck, the temporary pause will hold, allowing bilateral trade including soybean exports to continue flowing. But China has already begun long-term preparations for a future breakdown in trade, working aggressively to reduce its dependence on American soybeans. Beijing has ramped up purchases of Brazilian soybeans and invested in Brazilian infrastructure to speed export logistics, while also developing alternative fermented pig feed to reduce overall domestic soybean consumption.

    That reality leaves American soybean producers with a clear lesson, analysts say: they too must prepare for the worst. While some level of exports to China will likely continue even if the truce holds, farmers need to aggressively expand sales to other domestic and international markets to insulate themselves from future disruptions. Just as China seeks to end its reliance on American agriculture, American farmers must end their reliance on the Chinese market.