分类: world

  • UN experts say grounds to believe US committed war crimes in Iran strikes

    UN experts say grounds to believe US committed war crimes in Iran strikes

    In a landmark new report submitted to the UN Human Rights Council, three independent human rights experts with the UN-mandated Independent International Fact-Finding Mission on Iran have concluded there is credible evidence to hold both the United States and Iranian authorities responsible for severe, systematic violations of international law, including war crimes and crimes against humanity.

    The core finding of the investigation centers on two deadly February 28, 2026 missile strikes carried out amid open conflict between the US, Israel and Iran that killed a total of at least 177 civilians, more than half of them children. The first strike targeted Shajareh Tayyebeh Primary School in the southern Iranian town of Minab, where local officials confirm 156 people lost their lives, including 120 schoolchildren. While the school sits adjacent to an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) naval facility that was also attacked that day, the mission’s experts confirmed the educational site was clearly identifiable as a civilian space, with no evidence to suggest it was repurposed for military use.

    Drawing on multiple lines of evidence – including open-source media reports indicating an internal preliminary US military inquiry already found American forces responsible for the strike, and the fact that only the US deploys Tomahawk missiles, the weapon system used in the attack – the experts determined there are reasonable grounds to believe the school was an intentional target, not an accidental miss or unintended collateral damage from the strike on the IRGC complex. Survivor accounts further supported this conclusion, with multiple witnesses confirming the school was hit by two separate missile strikes. The US has not issued an immediate formal response to the report’s findings, and has not yet published the full results of its own internal investigation into the Minab incident. US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth has previously stated that American forces “never target civilian targets.”

    The second strike examined by the mission hit a civilian sports complex and surrounding residential neighborhood in Lamerd, also on February 28. Local records confirm 21 civilians, including seven children, were killed when Precision Strike Missiles (PrSM) dispersed a cloud of lethal tungsten pellets over the area. As with the Minab school, the experts confirmed the sports complex was a clearly marked civilian site with no indication of military use. Again, the mission found reasonable grounds to attribute the strike to the US, noting that only the US possesses PrSM technology. The US military has previously denied carrying out any strikes in Lamerd on that date and disputed claims that PrSM missiles were used.

    Across both incidents, the panel concluded there are reasonable grounds to confirm the US committed the war crime of launching indiscriminate attacks that resulted in mass civilian death, injury and widespread destruction of civilian infrastructure.

    Beyond the US-led strikes, the report also details the Iranian government’s violent crackdown on nationwide anti-government protests that swept the country between December 2025 and January 2026. The experts found that the repression marked a staggering, unprecedented escalation of force compared to past protest crackdowns, with lethal violence deployed across all 31 of Iran’s provinces.

    Witness accounts, testimony from healthcare workers, and statements from victims’ families collected by the mission confirm that Iranian security forces positioned themselves on rooftops and other high vantage points before opening fire with assault rifles on assembled crowds. Many protesters suffered life-altering injuries, including permanent blindness, after being struck by metal shotgun pellets to the head, face and chest. As the crackdown intensified, security forces raided hospitals and other healthcare facilities, beating and arresting wounded demonstrators and detaining medical staff who provided treatment. The experts say this campaign of intimidation prevented hundreds of injured protesters from accessing life-saving medical care.

    Tens of thousands of protesters detained during the unrest have been subjected to widespread torture, prolonged solitary confinement, and systematic denial of access to legal counsel, the report confirms. The panel also found that Iranian authorities have drastically ramped up the use of the death penalty against detained protesters in the months following the unrest: at least 29 men have already been executed after rushed, expedited trials on charges linked to the protests.

    While the mission notes it could not independently verify the full death toll from the crackdown due to restrictions on access, it concluded the actual number of people killed is far higher than the Iranian government’s official count of 3,000 dead – a figure the government frames as mostly security force members and bystanders. The US-based Human Rights Activists News Agency (Hrana) has independently confirmed more than 7,000 deaths, almost all of them unarmed protesters, a number the mission says is consistent with the evidence it gathered.

    Based on the systematic, widespread nature of the violence against civilian protesters, the experts concluded Iranian authorities committed crimes against humanity, including murder, arbitrary imprisonment, severe unlawful deprivation of liberty, torture, and other inhumane acts carried out as part of a coordinated attack on the country’s civilian population. Iranian officials have not yet issued a formal response to this specific finding, but have previously rejected all claims of systematic human rights violations, and have blamed the unrest on US and Israeli interference, framing protesters as “terrorists” and “rioters.”

    In a closing statement released alongside the report on Thursday, the fact-finding mission warned that Iranian civilians are trapped between two competing forces carrying out gross violations of human rights: “Civilians in Iran are caught between gross human rights violations and crimes against humanity committed by their own government and the nation’s deadly conflict with the United States and Israel.”

  • Houthis have further tightened their grip on the Red Sea

    Houthis have further tightened their grip on the Red Sea

    In a rapid, sweeping offensive in recent days, Houthi rebels in Yemen have seized control of the key port of Mocha and multiple strategic Red Sea islands positioned near the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, a critical maritime chokepoint linking the Mediterranean Sea and the Indian Ocean. This development has sent fresh ripples through global energy and trade networks, coming on the heels of repeated disruptions to another major Gulf waterway, the Strait of Hormuz, which has elevated Bab el-Mandeb’s status as a vital alternate route for oil, liquefied natural gas, and commercial cargo moving in and out of the region.

    The strategic importance of the strait has grown dramatically for Saudi Arabia, which currently diverts as much as 64% of its crude oil exports through an overland east-west pipeline that delivers crude to the Red Sea port of Yanbu, from where tankers transit Bab el-Mandeb to global markets. Just days before the Houthi offensive, this critical Saudi pipeline suffered a drone attack that sent global oil prices soaring and caused damage that analysts estimate will take weeks to fully repair. The attack, widely attributed to an Iranian-backed militant faction operating from Iraqi territory, was the first major blow to Saudi energy infrastructure in recent weeks, with the Houthi advance marking the second.

    Mocha’s geographic location just 75 kilometers north of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait puts Houthi forces within striking distance of all maritime traffic moving through the chokepoint. Analysts warn that the group can disrupt or even halt global shipping using low-cost asymmetric tactics, including weaponized drones, anti-ship missiles, and fast attack craft, giving it effective operational control over the waterway. While commercial shipping through the Red Sea has continued largely unimpeded in the immediate aftermath of the offensive, the broader strategic shift carries profound implications for global security and the world economy.

    The Houthi push is a major escalation in Yemen’s years-long civil war, which pits the Iranian-backed Houthi movement against the Saudi-aligned Presidential Leadership Council. A fragile truce brokered in 2022 held largely intact until this year, ending a seven-year period of direct Saudi military involvement in the conflict that included air campaigns and limited ground operations. Though Iran has not been explicitly named as a direct party to the latest offensive, regional security analysts widely agree the Houthi advance would not have been possible without Iranian approval and backing. This move, experts note, places Iran and its regional allies in a position to control two of the world’s most critical maritime chokepoints – the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb – giving Tehran significant leverage to pressure the United States, the global economy, and its regional rivals.

    Global supply chains, already strained by years of disruption, are facing a new era of heightened risk. A 2025 United Nations Conference on Trade and Development report predicted shipping disruptions would remain a persistent challenge through at least 2030, with frequent rerouting of vessels becoming the new normal. The Houthi advance also underscores a clear erosion of United States influence over key global shipping routes, a shift laid bare by recent political developments: US President Donald Trump has confirmed the Houthis have called for Washington to stay out of the conflict, and he has rejected a request from Saudi Arabia’s crown prince to join cross-border strikes on Houthi targets in Yemen.

    Faced with growing risks to maritime traffic through Bab el-Mandeb, regional powers are expected to accelerate development of overland road and rail corridors to move cargo out of the region. But analysts warn these alternate land routes will take years to become fully operational, and will never be able to handle the same volume of goods as large-scale maritime shipping. In the interim, the global economy will face continued pressure from elevated energy prices and upward pressure on inflation.

    A full closure of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait could also draw European powers, which have so far avoided direct involvement in the US-Iran confrontation, into open conflict. The European Union already maintains a defensive maritime operation in the Red Sea tasked with protecting freedom of navigation, and a prolonged crisis in the region would likely force Brussels to take more direct action against the Iranian-backed Houthi movement. This would mark a major escalation of the conflict, after European leaders previously refused to join US efforts to enforce a military blockade of the Strait of Hormuz or reopen the waterway by force, a decision that drew public criticism from President Trump.

    The trajectory of the crisis in the coming weeks will depend heavily on the next moves of both Saudi Arabia and the Houthi movement. Houthi media confirms Saudi warplanes have already conducted air strikes on Mocha airport and other Houthi-held targets in recent days. If Saudi Arabia launches a full-scale bombing campaign, it will formally end the 2022 truce and open a new chapter of full-scale conflict. A key unknown remains how the Houthis will use their new strategic position: as recently as August, the group targeted a commercial cargo vessel in the Red Sea, killing six crew members. If the Houthis launch sustained attacks on commercial shipping through the strait, analysts widely expect a coordinated military response from Saudi Arabia, the European Union, and potentially the United States. The current moment marks a clear turning point, with the Houthis and their backers signaling they are prepared to sustain a long-term conflict to advance their regional goals.

  • US blocks Palestinian leader from UN meeting in New York for second year in row

    US blocks Palestinian leader from UN meeting in New York for second year in row

    Two Palestinian sources have confirmed to the BBC that the United States has refused to issue an entry visa to Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, blocking his planned in-person attendance at next week’s United Nations General Assembly gathering in New York City. This latest visa restriction follows a formal US announcement expanding existing visa sanctions on unnamed Palestinian officials, with Washington accusing the targeted individuals of failing to uphold commitments made under the Israeli-Palestinian peace process.

    Visa restrictions for Palestinian leadership were first rolled out in August 2025, when 80 Palestinian officials were blocked from accessing that year’s annual UN General Assembly meeting. In its official justification for the expanded sanctions, the US has leveled accusations against both the Palestinian Authority (PA) and the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO), claiming the bodies “glorify terrorism” and seek to “internationalize” the long-running Israeli-Palestinian conflict. This critique comes against the historical backdrop of the Oslo Peace Accords, which established the PA and secured international recognition for the PLO as the official representative of the Palestinian people – an agreement reached in exchange for the PLO’s formal recognition of Israel and commitment to renounce armed violence.

    The Palestinian Ministry of Foreign Affairs condemned the visa denial in an official statement released Thursday, framing the move as an unjustified action that directly undermines global efforts to rebuild trust between parties, advance constructive Palestinian-US relations, and cultivate the political conditions needed to implement a two-state solution and reach lasting regional peace and stability. Palestinian leadership has uniformly rejected long-standing accusations pushed by both the previous US administration and the Israeli government, emphasizing that under international law, they retain the right to pursue accountability for actions committed by the Israeli occupying force.

    Following last year’s identical visa block for Abbas, a spokesperson for the Palestinian president noted that the US decision ran in clear violation of both international law and the long-standing UN Headquarters Agreement. Under the terms of this agreement, the US – as host country for the UN headquarters – is legally required to grant unimpeded access to foreign diplomats traveling to New York for official UN business. However, the US government has repeatedly asserted its right to deny visa access on grounds of national security, countering extremism, and core foreign policy priorities. Last year, after the in-person access was blocked, Abbas addressed the full General Assembly gathering of global leaders via pre-recorded video link. This week, all 193 UN member states are scheduled to hold a vote on Thursday to approve whether Abbas will be permitted to address the 2026 assembly through the same remote format.

    Currently, an estimated 75% of the UN’s 193 member states formally recognize the State of Palestine, including major global powers such as the United Kingdom, France, Canada, and Australia. Among the five permanent members of the UN Security Council, the US remains the only country that does not extend formal recognition to an independent Palestinian state.

    The US visa decision comes at a moment of extreme humanitarian crisis in the Gaza Strip, with the United Nations repeatedly warning that conditions remain catastrophic despite a ceasefire agreement reached last October. Ongoing Israeli air strikes and ground operations continue to target populated civilian areas, causing repeated civilian casualties, widespread destruction of civilian property, and new waves of forced displacement. On Tuesday alone, Israeli air strikes killed at least five Palestinians, including two young children and a senior Hamas commander, according to local Palestinian health officials and Hamas sources. The Israeli military confirmed it targeted a Hamas commander in southern Gaza and a separate militant fighter in northern Gaza, and acknowledged that child casualties were reported in both strikes.

    In a separate incident, the UK-based medical charity Medical Aid for Palestinians reported that an Israeli drone strike killed a patient at a health clinic the organization supports in Jabalia, located in northern Gaza. A spokesperson for the Israeli military stated that the force had no record of this specific incident.

    The current round of conflict in Gaza began after the Hamas-led cross-border attack on southern Israel on October 7, 2023, which killed approximately 1,200 people and abducted 251 others as hostages. According to the Hamas-run Ministry of Health in Gaza – whose casualty data is assessed as reliable by the United Nations – more than 73,790 people have been killed in Gaza in the 23 months since the conflict began.

  • Assad regime planned US journalist’s kidnap for weeks, BBC finds

    Assad regime planned US journalist’s kidnap for weeks, BBC finds

    Twelve years after American journalist Austin Tice vanished while covering the Syrian civil war, a years-long BBC investigation has uncovered explosive new details revealing his abduction was not the opportunistic incident long assumed, but a carefully plotted operation more than a month in the making, personally approved by then-Syrian leader Bashar al-Assad.

    A former Marine Corps captain and Georgetown University law student, Tice built a reputation as a bold reporter, pushing into rebel-held territories most correspondents deemed too dangerous to deliver front-page coverage for the *Washington Post* as the Assad regime waged a brutal crackdown on critics and anyone documenting human rights abuses. He was last publicly seen in a distressing blindfolded video posted online more than a month after his August 2012 capture, and his high-profile case has drawn repeated attention from successive U.S. presidents and global media outlets.

    For decades, the prevailing narrative held that Tice was unexpectedly detained at a government checkpoint during routine travel, a random case of bad luck for a journalist working in a war zone. The new investigation, released as the third season of the BBC podcast *Where is Austin Tice? I’m Not A Monster Presents*, upends that account entirely.

    Through interviews with former members of the Assad-loyal National Defence Forces (NDF), review of internal regime discussions, and cross-referenced sourcing, the investigation traced the plot to a trusted driver Tice had relied on during his time in Syria – a man named Hamid Abu Obeid, whose identity was confirmed after more than 20 interviews across Syria. Abu Obeid, a Palestinian refugee from Gaza living in poverty in Syria, had been secretly passing information about Tice to senior NDF officials for months, the investigation found. In exchange for betraying Tice, he was promised a life-changing package of rewards: Syrian citizenship, a passport, a home, and a weapon. Only a pistol was ever delivered, his family told the BBC.

    The intelligence on Tice traveled up the ranks from Abu Obeid to Sakr Rustom, an NDF member who is the nephew of Bassam al-Hassan – one of Assad’s most trusted security chiefs and the head of the NDF. From there, the plot went directly to Assad himself, according to former NDF member Abu Ali, who spoke to the BBC on the condition of partial anonymity. “Bring him to us,” Assad told Hassan, Abu Ali claimed, and the operation was formally approved at the highest level of government.

    Rather than seize Tice immediately, the plotters continued surveilling him to map his movements and document his activities. Abu Ali told the BBC the driver noted Tice, a trained Marine, occasionally shared basic military guidance with rebel fighters on weapons handling. That behavior led the regime to incorrectly label Tice as a CIA operative – a claim the BBC found no evidence to support, and which a former senior U.S. official involved in the Tice case has explicitly denied.

    Days before the abduction, Abu Obeid even stole Tice’s backpack – containing his MacBook, satellite transmitter, and personal documents – while the journalist interviewed rebel fighters, so regime operatives could search its contents for evidence. On August 11, 2012, Tice celebrated his 31st birthday at a rebel safe house just a few miles from Assad’s presidential palace on the western edge of Damascus, tweeting what would become his final public message: “Hands down, best birthday ever.” What Tice did not know was that he would never reach his planned next stop in Lebanon; he was instead heading to a pre-arranged meeting point in the Damascus suburb of Tahouneh, where NDF operatives including Abu Ali were waiting.

    When they reached the facility gates, Abu Obeid pulled a gun on the unsuspecting journalist. Tice initially laughed, believing his trusted driver was joking, before realizing the betrayal. He even pulled out his chequebook and attempted to bribe Abu Obeid to let him go, Abu Ali recalled. Militia members then swarmed Tice, blindfolded him, and took him into custody. Hassan immediately called Assad to confirm the journalist had been captured.

    In the aftermath of the Assad regime’s collapse this year, the BBC uncovered hundreds of pages of secret Syrian intelligence files confirming for the first time definitively that the regime held Tice after his abduction. A months-long search of multiple suspected detention sites, provided by an intelligence source to the investigation, turned up no trace of the journalist. A former Syrian commander has claimed Tice was executed, but no remains have been found, and other sources have questioned that account. When the regime fell earlier this year and tens of thousands of detainees were released from government prisons, Tice was not among them.

    As for Abu Obeid, the man who facilitated the abduction, he too has disappeared. After the regime’s collapse, he received threats from a man who knew of his role in Tice’s capture, who threatened to expose his involvement to the U.S. embassy unless he cooperated to secure asylum. Abu Obeid told his wife he was going shopping, left with a small amount of money, and has not been seen since. Masked men later raided his home, seizing his laptop and other electronic devices. His family says they do not know whether he is in hiding, detained, or dead.

    Today, two families separated by a 12-year-old tragedy share the same unanswered question: where is their loved one, and will they ever get the truth? Tice’s mother Debra has spent years pressing successive U.S. presidents to continue efforts to locate and recover her son, while Abu Obeid’s wife also holds out hope for answers about the husband and father who vanished after the abduction.

  • Israel trying to ‘eliminate’ living conditions for Palestinians in occupied West Bank, says report

    Israel trying to ‘eliminate’ living conditions for Palestinians in occupied West Bank, says report

    A damning new report from prominent Israeli human rights organization B’tselem has accused the Israeli government of pursuing a deliberate, state-backed campaign to eliminate livable conditions for Palestinians residing in the Israeli-occupied West Bank. Titled *The Elimination Project*, the investigation frames ongoing violence by Israeli settlers and military forces not as isolated incidents or a temporary crisis, but as a core component of a long-running political project operating within what B’tselem terms an Israeli apartheid regime rooted in settler-colonial ideology.

    The report details a widespread intensification of harm that touches every sphere of daily Palestinian life, from basic access to employment, education, and medical care, to the ability to maintain social connections, cultivate agricultural land, and participate in cultural and community life. In its analysis, B’tselem defines “elimination” not solely as mass physical violence, but as the systematic erosion of the conditions that allow Palestinians to exist as a cohesive people with their own territory, institutions, culture, language, collective history, and political future. The campaign, the report argues, is designed to restructure the region’s geography and social order: it consolidates contiguous, permanently institutionalized Jewish control across the territory while fragmenting Palestinian communities, rendering their existence precarious and dependent on Israeli goodwill. For Palestinians in the West Bank, B’tselem outlines only three stark outcomes under this project: surrender national claims to live under permanent Jewish supremacy, leave the occupied territory entirely, or face violent military crackdown for resistance.

    The release of B’tselem’s report coincides with a rapidly shifting international landscape, as a growing coalition of Western nations have recently announced new trade restrictions or bans on goods originating from Israeli settlements in the occupied West Bank. Last week alone, 12 countries including Canada, Denmark, France, Spain, and the United Kingdom confirmed they were either implementing new bans or considering formal sanctions on settlement trade, a move that aligns with longstanding international legal consensus that Israeli settlements built on occupied Palestinian territory violate the Fourth Geneva Convention.

    Top European Union foreign policy official Kaja Kallas has thrown her weight behind an EU-wide trade ban on settlement goods, drawing a parallel between the international response to Russian occupation of Crimea and the need for a unified European stance on Israeli settlements. Speaking to *The Irish Times* on Friday, Kallas argued the EU’s credibility on global rule of law is at stake as long as member states remain divided, urging nations to adopt a unified principled position. While the total volume of EU trade with settlements is currently small, Kallas emphasized that the policy would carry significant symbolic weight. Crucially, Kallas has proposed advancing the ban as a trade measure rather than a formal foreign policy sanction, a procedural change that would only require a majority vote of EU member states to pass — avoiding the unanimous approval requirement that has stalled past action due to opposition from countries including Germany, Hungary, the Czech Republic, and Slovenia.

    In the United Kingdom, the new government’s recent sanctions announcement has already drawn criticism from more than 130 British lawyers, former judges, and legal academics. In a formal six-page letter sent to Prime Minister Andy Burnham this week, the legal experts welcomed the government’s decision to align with international partners but argued the measures announced by Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband fall far short of the UK’s legal obligations under a 2024 International Court of Justice ruling ordering states to oppose Israel’s occupation of Palestinian territory.

    Last week, the UK government formally declared Israel’s occupation of Palestinian territory illegal, with Miliband telling parliament he agrees that ethnic cleansing is currently unfolding in the West Bank. Government sources have confirmed that the UK’s new restrictions will not be limited to the West Bank, and will also cover Israeli settlements in the Golan Heights and East Jerusalem.

    Since the outbreak of the Israel-Hamas war in October 2023, at least 1,107 Palestinians have been killed by Israeli soldiers and settlers in the occupied West Bank, according to on-the-ground casualty tallies, underscoring the escalating violence documented in B’tselem’s new report.

  • Two Britons among three killed in Swiss Alps light aircraft crash

    Two Britons among three killed in Swiss Alps light aircraft crash

    A tragic small plane crash in the Swiss Alps has claimed three lives, with two British nationals among the deceased, local law enforcement confirmed this week. The single-engine Cirrus SR22T aircraft, which departed from Sion Airport located in Switzerland’s Rhône Valley, went down in high-altitude mountain terrain near the resort town of Leukerbad in the southern canton of Valais on Tuesday, just 10 minutes after takeoff.

    For reasons still undetermined, the aircraft collided with a steep mountain slope. Eyewitnesses at the scene reported seeing flames and thick smoke billow from the wreckage immediately after impact. In response to the incident, a large multi-agency emergency response was mobilized quickly: teams from the Valais Rescue Organisation, cantonal police, and local fire services were deployed to the remote crash site, supported by three rescue helicopters to access the high-altitude location.

    Following the recovery operation, multiple official investigations have been launched to determine the cause of the crash. The Swiss Transportation Safety Board, the agency responsible for probing aviation accidents across the country, has opened a formal investigation. Parallel inquiries are also being conducted by Valais Cantonal Police and the Swiss Office of the Attorney General.

    As of Thursday, authorities are still working to complete formal identification of all three victims. The UK’s Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office (FCDO) has confirmed it is supporting the families of the two British citizens killed in the incident. “We are providing support to the families of two British nationals who died in Switzerland, and our officials are in close contact with local authorities,” an FCDO spokesperson said. “Our thoughts remain with the families during this incredibly difficult time.”

  • Watch: Leaked photos reveal extensive damage at US bases in Gulf

    Watch: Leaked photos reveal extensive damage at US bases in Gulf

    Newly leaked photographs obtained from an active-duty U.S. military service member have pulled back the curtain on the full scale of destruction inflicted on American military installations located in the Persian Gulf region in the wake of recent Iranian strikes. The visual evidence, which has not been previously released to the general public, offers an unvarnished on-the-ground look at the aftermath of the attack that escalated tensions between the two nations dramatically.

    Among the most striking damage documented in the imagery is a military radar aircraft that has been completely severed, its structure split apart by the impact of ordnance from the strikes. The photos also show multiple mobile trailer facilities that have been completely flattened, crushed under the force of blasts that hit the base compounds. Permanently constructed buildings on the installations are also depicted with extensive structural damage, with compromised load-bearing walls, collapsed roofing, and shattered infrastructure throughout the affected areas.

    The leak comes at a moment of already heightened geopolitical friction across the Middle East, with the release of the images raising new questions about the actual extent of damage from the strikes, which had previously been the subject of conflicting official accounts. The authenticity of the photos has been confirmed by the source, who is currently deployed to the region and provided the materials on condition of anonymity to protect their identity and military standing. Military analysts note that the level of damage shown in the images indicates that the strikes were more powerful and accurately targeted than some initial assessments suggested, with potential implications for future military positioning and regional security strategy.

  • ‘Few cards to play’: Saudi Arabia faces limited options against Houthis with allies out

    ‘Few cards to play’: Saudi Arabia faces limited options against Houthis with allies out

    For months, Saudi Arabia managed to avoid direct fallout from the escalating regional conflict triggered by the war against Iran, even as smaller neighboring nations became engulfed in rising tensions. The kingdom’s state-owned oil giant, Saudi Aramco, even posted record-breaking profits over the summer, leveraging its strategic East-West Pipeline to route crude exports away from the high-risk Strait of Hormuz, where Iranian-aligned forces had targeted commercial shipping. That safe position has now collapsed entirely.

    The critical East-West Pipeline is now out of commission following a drone strike carried out by Iran-aligned militias based in Iraq. Simultaneously, Houthi forces in Yemen have unleashed a wave of missile and drone attacks targeting population centers across Saudi Arabia, including an incident where a Houthi drone was intercepted over Mecca—Islam’s holiest site, whose stewardship forms a core pillar of legitimacy for the ruling House of Saud. The Houthis have denied intentionally targeting the city. These concurrent attacks have left Saudi Arabia fighting on two separate, high-stakes fronts.

    On one front, the kingdom’s allied Yemeni forces are scrambling to repel a sweeping Houthi ground offensive across Yemen, while on the home front, Saudi Arabia defends its own territory against non-stop aerial attacks. The timing of the Houthi blitz could not be worse for Riyadh: global stockpiles of the U.S.-made interceptor missiles that form the backbone of the kingdom’s air defense network are running critically low.

    Long reliant on the U.S. security umbrella it accepted after World War II, Saudi Arabia now finds Washington unwilling to step up. U.S. President Donald Trump recently confirmed that Houthi representatives had contacted the U.S. to state they have no interest in conflict with America, and Reuters has reported that U.S. officials held secret talks with Houthi delegates mediated by Oman, a major development that sidelines Saudi interests.

    In response to shifting U.S. commitments and regional instability sparked by the U.S.-Israeli campaign against Iran, Saudi Arabia moved to expand its own security alliances, most notably through the Mecca Pact with Turkey and Pakistan. But like the U.S., these new partners have shown zero willingness to enter direct conflict with the Houthis, a movement that has already proven its ability to sustain heavy battlefield losses and continue fighting. Today, neither Turkey nor Pakistan have deployed any support to Saudi Arabia, leaving the kingdom isolated.

    “Saudi Arabia is in a huge bind right now. They are pretty alone,” explained Neil Quilliam, a Gulf research expert at London-based Chatham House, in an interview with Middle East Eye. “The U.S. isn’t there. The Mecca Pact states haven’t showed up. They have few cards to play.”

    The Houthi advance along Yemen’s Red Sea coast has already placed the strategically vital Bab el-Mandeb Strait firmly under the group’s control. This waterway is the primary chokepoint for Saudi oil shipments bound for Asian markets. Combined with the disabling of the East-West Pipeline, which fed crude to European markets through the Red Sea, the Houthi advances now threaten both major Saudi export routes. The group is currently advancing on two key Yemeni inland cities, Taiz and Marib; if these fall, the Saudi-backed, internationally recognized Yemeni government faces collapse.

    On the ground, Saudi Arabia—which refuses to deploy its own ground troops into Yemen—has no reliable local partners to back. The National Resistance Forces, a militia previously funded by the United Arab Emirates that held the Red Sea coastline, disintegrated almost immediately during the Houthi advance. The only Yemeni faction with proven combat capability is the Southern Transitional Council (STC), which is committed to restoring an independent state in southern Yemen. The UAE’s open support for the STC earlier this year sparked a major rift between Abu Dhabi and Riyadh, and the STC’s demands for major concessions in exchange for fighting the Houthis run directly counter to Saudi Arabia’s core regional interests.

    “The UAE knows how to fight in Yemen, but they want concessions to come back in. Saudi Arabia views those demands as anathema to its national interest,” a anonymous diplomat familiar with bilateral talks between the two nations told Middle East Eye.

    The economic damage of the recent attacks is already tangible: Saudi Arabia was forced to cancel multiple crude oil shipments to Europe this week, and all loading operations at Yanbu, the Red Sea terminal that serves as the endpoint of the disabled East-West Pipeline, have been suspended. More broadly, the escalating conflict threatens to derail Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s flagship Vision 2030 initiative, which aims to diversify the Saudi economy away from oil dependence. The kingdom is set to host a major global investment conference next month, where it hopes to attract billions in foreign investment for new projects including AI data centers and tourism infrastructure.

    Saudi and allied Yemeni forces have launched limited retaliatory strikes against Houthi targets, but Riyadh has not committed to the large-scale intervention it launched at the start of the Yemen civil war a decade ago. The kingdom spent years working to extricate itself from that protracted conflict, and a 2022 ceasefire between the Houthis and Saudi-aligned forces reduced open fighting. However, Saudi Arabia has maintained a strict blockade on Houthi-controlled Yemeni ports and airports throughout the de facto truce.

    “A return to full-scale ground war offers little that eight years of campaigning failed to deliver,” noted Hesham Alghannam, director general of the Strategic Studies and National Security Programmes at Riyadh’s Naif Arab University for Security Sciences. Western officials based in Riyadh confirm that Saudi leadership has no appetite to re-enter the Yemeni quagmire, mindful of the damage it caused to Saudi Arabia’s international reputation and arms supply chains.

    Analysts widely agree that Saudi Arabia’s hesitation to deploy its own powerful air force to halt the Houthi advance stemmed directly from Riyadh’s reluctance to act without explicit U.S. backing. That indecision, experts say, allowed the Houthis to seize vast swathes of territory in a matter of weeks.

    The dual attacks on Saudi energy infrastructure and regional influence do not exist in a vacuum: the Houthis are a core member of Iran’s “axis of resistance” aligned against U.S. and Gulf interests in the region. While the movement maintains it retains operational independence, Middle East Eye confirmed earlier this summer that Iran has supplied the Houthis with new military equipment and advisory support to ramp up their campaign. This offensive comes as Iran was set to hold talks with Gulf states this week to de-escalate tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, leaving Saudi Arabia as the last major Gulf oil exporter operating at full capacity—now vulnerable on two maritime fronts.

    The current frozen conflict in Yemen dates back to the 2022 UN-brokered ceasefire, which called for lifting the Saudi blockade on Houthi-held territory in exchange for political negotiations. Those talks never gained meaningful momentum, and the Houthis have grown increasingly frustrated under the ongoing economic isolation. Regional diplomats say the current offensive is driven in part by the Houthi goal of imposing shipping tolls in the Red Sea, mirroring the leverage Iran already holds in the Strait of Hormuz. The Houthis have publicly stated their blockade of Saudi shipping will only end when their own ports and airports are allowed to operate without restrictions.

    Military analysts say Saudi Arabia has a range of escalation options available, from calibrated air strikes to a full return to large-scale intervention. The most expedient short-term option would be to pay financial concessions to the Houthis in exchange for a new truce, but experts say that outcome is politically untenable for Riyadh.

    “It would look like complete capitulation. Saudi Arabia sees itself as an emerging middle power. They can’t afford to lose face and just give in to Houthi terms,” Quilliam said.

    This leaves Saudi Arabia with the path of gradually increasing military pressure, though the kingdom is determined to avoid being dragged back into a years-long ground war that would derail its economic transformation plans. Many Saudi security experts argue for a measured approach: incremental military action to raise the cost of Houthi attacks, paired with negotiations that offer the Houthi leadership a face-saving political resolution.

    Other analysts argue a return to large-scale air campaign, modeled on the 2015 Decisive Storm offensive, is the most likely outcome, particularly as no genuine Yemeni political dialogue appears possible in the near term. One key proposal being discussed is an effort to internationalize control of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, to draw greater support from the U.S., European nations, and other Arab partners for Saudi Arabia’s campaign.

    In the end, the future of the conflict and Saudi Arabia’s next move will depend largely on whether its key international and regional allies choose to step in—and for now, that support remains missing in action.

  • Gaza: One year after ceasefire, killing and displacement of Palestinians persist

    Gaza: One year after ceasefire, killing and displacement of Palestinians persist

    For Palestinians across the Gaza Strip, the ceasefire that was meant to halt large-scale violence and bring a measure of stability last October has failed to deliver on its promises. Instead, repeated Israeli violations of the US-brokered agreement have left millions trapped in a cycle of constant fear, displacement, and hunger that mirrors the worst days of active conflict. The personal toll of this ongoing crisis is vividly captured in the accounts of two Gaza residents, whose stories lay bare the human cost of unrelenting pressure on civilian communities.

    It was just an ordinary evening in early September when Om Siraj al-Muzeini, a widowed mother originally from Gaza City’s eastern Shujaiya neighbourhood, was making soup for her sick child inside her tent in western Gaza City’s al-Abbas block. Suddenly, panicked shouts cut through the quiet of the displacement camp: residents were running between shelters, asking one another frantic questions about how much time they had left to leave. The sound was all too familiar, and Muzeini quietly prayed her worst fears would not be confirmed. They were. A displaced neighbour soon brought word of a mandatory evacuation order for the entire block. With seconds to spare and no time to sort through her few belongings, she grabbed her sick son and fled the tent, with no clear destination in mind.

    “I ran with my son to nowhere. I couldn’t decide where to go. I wasn’t prepared for this, especially since the last evacuation order in my area was issued before the ceasefire,” Muzeini told Middle East Eye in an interview. “The entire neighbourhood fled, including long-term residents and people displaced in tents. Some went to relatives’ homes. I waited with my son in another neighbourhood until the threatened area was bombed.” Shortly after the evacuation order was issued on September 8, an Israeli fighter jet carried out an airstrike on a local building.

    This forced evacuation was not an isolated incident. It is one of dozens of similar expulsion orders the Israeli military has issued across the war-ravaged Gaza Strip in recent weeks, with multiple additional orders for different areas released the same day as al-Abbas block’s evacuation. Under the terms of the October 2024 ceasefire, these mass displacement orders were supposed to end, alongside daily offensive operations, while allowing critical humanitarian aid to flow freely into the enclave. Instead, Israel has breached the agreement repeatedly, conducting near-daily attacks and maintaining strict restrictions on the entry of life-saving aid. Now, nearly a year after the current phase of conflict began, Gaza residents say systematic violence against civilians continues, even as global media attention has faded.

    Evacuation orders have become a key tool of this ongoing pressure, worsening a displacement and shelter crisis created by Israel’s widespread destruction of residential infrastructure over the course of the war. These orders typically give residents no clear timeline for when, or if, they will be able to return to their homes. Civilians often have only minutes or hours to pack and flee, with no warning of how long the evacuation will last. Even areas that receive no advance warning are regularly targeted by airstrikes, leaving civilians dead and injured with no chance to escape.

    “The evacuation orders are meant simply to disrupt our lives and keep us in a constant state of insecurity, even during the ceasefire,” Muzeini said. She has already lost one family member to post-ceasefire violence: “My sister was killed in an Israeli strike near her tent in eastern Deir al-Balah during the ceasefire. So there is really no purpose to these evacuation orders other than keeping the state of war going. Honestly, I feel like we are reliving the war all over again.”

    Just five days before al-Abbas block’s evacuation, on September 3, Israeli forces carried out a sudden incursion past their self-declared “yellow line” boundary into the area around Kamal Adwan Hospital in northern Gaza, forcing a full-scale evacuation amid heavy gunfire. The attack left at least two Palestinians dead, including one child, and dozens more wounded. Official data from Gaza’s Palestinian Ministry of Health underscores the scale of ongoing bloodshed: since the ceasefire took effect, 1,381 Palestinians have been killed in Israeli attacks, an average of roughly four civilian deaths per day, with an additional 4,757 wounded.

    For Ahmed Jendiya, a 31-year-old resident of eastern Gaza City who lost his home to Israeli bombing in the first year of conflict and now lives with his family in a tent on the rubble of his former property, the bombardment is only one of three ongoing horrors facing Gaza’s population. “The other two sides are still ongoing: the constant incursions and forced displacement, and the starvation that continues to haunt us every day,” Jendiya explained.

    Two months ago, Jendiya packed an emergency evacuation bag, bracing for the day when Israeli forces would extend the “yellow line” into his neighbourhood. The unilateral military boundary, established and marked by Israeli forces inside Gaza immediately after the US-brokered ceasefire, creates a de facto no-go zone that bars Palestinian access to large swathes of northern, southern, and eastern Gaza, with civilian intruders met with lethal force. Since the ceasefire was signed, the line has steadily pushed westward into populated civilian neighbourhoods, and now covers roughly 70 percent of the entire Gaza Strip. Each new expansion is marked by the placement of yellow concrete blocks directly in residential areas. When Jendiya and other displaced residents returned to the area from the south after the ceasefire, the yellow line sat roughly one kilometer from his tent. Today, it is just 200 meters away.

    “Every night, it feels like the war has returned. The Israeli occupation forces open intense fire towards our areas, and we barely survive the bullets. The entire area turns into a battlefield, and all we can do is lie on the ground and cover our children’s heads,” he said. The creeping expansion of the yellow line has completely shifted daily life for local residents: where evening community discussions once centered on hopes of rebuilding destroyed homes after the ceasefire, conversations now revolve solely around where people will flee when the boundary reaches their blocks.

    “Every evening, the men in the neighbourhood gather to chat and discuss daily matters. In the first weeks of the ceasefire, our conversations revolved around whether our homes would be rebuilt, and whether we would rebuild them ourselves,” Jendiya said. “For the past six months, our discussions have turned to asking each other whether we have somewhere to go and when we should decide to leave. These are the same discussions we used to have during the genocide before the ceasefire, exactly the same.”

    For Jendiya, the greater fear is not displacement itself—it is the return of mass starvation that already devastated Gaza before the ceasefire. Even with the partial reopening of border crossings for aid and goods after the truce, 1.4 million Gazans—64 percent of the enclave’s total population—still face crisis-level or worse acute food insecurity, according to the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) system. Before the ceasefire, Gaza’s Ministry of Health recorded at least 453 deaths from severe malnutrition, including 150 children. Hundreds more continue to struggle with malnutrition-related chronic health conditions months after the truce took effect.

    Over the past months, Israeli authorities have repeatedly alternated between banning and permitting basic food items, leaving residents in a state of perpetual uncertainty. “Whenever we eat something today, we fear we may not find it tomorrow,” Jendiya said. “Most of the farmland has already been destroyed and there is no livestock left. We are completely dependent on aid and goods permitted by the occupation. We know that if the borders are closed again, we will fall into starvation even faster this time.”

  • Israeli officials leak details of secret US-Israel-Arab military meeting, says report

    Israeli officials leak details of secret US-Israel-Arab military meeting, says report

    A highly confidential gathering of top military commanders from the United States, Israel, and multiple Arab nations took place in Germany last week to coordinate strategy around the ongoing Israel-US military campaign against Iran, details of which have been disclosed by anonymous Israeli sources to journalists. The exclusive report, published by Axios and written by Barak Ravid — a former Israeli intelligence officer who now works as a political and security correspondent — reveals that the closed-door “private retreat” was arranged personally by Admiral Brad Cooper, the head of U.S. Central Command (Centcom).

    According to two unnamed Israeli officials interviewed by Ravid, the meeting included the highest-ranking military chiefs of staff from eight nations: Israel, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Jordan, and Egypt. This gathering marks the first formal collective meeting of these military leaders since the Israel-US war against Iran began more than six months ago.

    While none of the participating regional nations have issued any public confirmation of the meeting, Centcom has released an official, albeit vague, acknowledgment of the event. In a short public statement, the command confirmed it “hosted senior military leaders from eight nations during a scheduled conference in Germany” and added that attendees “discussed opportunities for enhancing security cooperation in the Middle East.”

    Beyond the broad public confirmation, leaked details from the closed-door sessions indicate that Admiral Cooper used the meeting to deliver a key reassurance to regional partner nations. Despite repeated large-scale Iranian strikes on U.S. military installations across the Middle East that have caused extensive damage, Cooper stated that Washington has no intention of withdrawing its military forces from the region.

    Verified open-source satellite analysis conducted by *The Washington Post* has confirmed that Iranian attacks have left their mark on at least 15 separate U.S. military sites spread across the region, including bases in Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Oman, and Jordan. Hundreds of structures and pieces of military hardware have been destroyed or damaged, with many bases rendered functionally unusable. The most severe impact has been felt at the U.S. Navy Fifth Fleet headquarters in Bahrain, where extensive damage forced Centcom to reroute all regional logistics operations to alternate sites.

    In addition to addressing force posture, Cooper also outlined U.S. plans to increase commercial and military ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global chokepoint for oil and gas trade that has become a major flashpoint in tensions with Iran.

    For his part, Israeli Chief of Staff General Eyal Zamir used the gathering to give attendees a full briefing on ongoing Israeli military operations across the Middle East, per one Israeli official quoted in the Axios report. A key structural change also followed the meeting: Israel was officially transferred from the U.S. European Command’s area of responsibility to Centcom, a shift that opens the door to far more direct military cooperation between Israel and the participating Arab states under the U.S. military command structure.

    Not all regional and security observers view the new alignment and Admiral Cooper’s leadership positively, however. Andreas Krieg, an associate professor at King’s College London who specializes in Middle East security, noted that there is widespread underlying distrust of Cooper among Gulf Arab governments. Krieg argued that regional capitals see Cooper as excessively aligned with Israel, overly hawkish toward Iran, and prone to pushing military operational options that carry high risks of strategic disaster for the region.