分类： politics

As Israel prepares for its pivotal national election on October 27, a striking political shift is reshaping the country’s opposition landscape, with almost all anti-Netanyahu leaders moving to rule out power-sharing coalitions with Palestinian Arab parties – a reversal of the historic 2021 power-sharing arrangement that ended Benjamin Netanyahu’s 12-year tenure in office.

Gadi Eisenkot, a retired Israeli general and leader of the Yashar party who has emerged as a key contender for prime minister, was the latest opposition figure to formalize this stance during a recent security conference hosted by Israeli outlet Yedioth Ahronoth and the Institute for National Security Studies. He announced his goal of forming a self-described “Zionist majority” government holding 63 to 64 parliamentary seats. If he cannot secure this threshold, he said he would pressure ultra-Orthodox parties to join his bloc, and would call for fresh elections rather than turn to Palestinian Arab parties for support.

Eisenkot’s position reflects a broader trend across the anti-Netanyahu camp. Former prime minister Yair Lapid and former alternate prime minister Naftali Bennett, who jointly partnered with the United Arab List (Ra’am) – a Palestinian Arab party – to oust Netanyahu in 2021 and defended that partnership as a necessary political experiment at the time, now echo Eisenkot’s refusal to collaborate with Palestinian Arab factions. This shift comes despite repeated public statements from Ra’am leader Mansour Abbas affirming his willingness to negotiate with any Jewish-majority bloc seeking to replace Netanyahu.

Political analysts trace this sharp reversal directly to the post-7 October 2023 security and political context that has transformed Israeli public opinion. Following the Hamas-led attacks, cooperation with Palestinian Arab parties has been framed by right-wing factions as a compromise on both national security and the Jewish identity of the Israeli state. This framing has made any outreach politically toxic for opposition parties, even centrist blocs that previously supported inclusion. Data from the December 2025 Israel Democracy Institute Democracy Index underscores this shift: 71.5% of Jewish Israelis now oppose including Palestinian Arab parties in any governing coalition, and a separate 2025 Institute for National Security Studies survey found 57% of all Israelis reject the creation of a Palestinian state under any circumstances, reflecting a broad hardening of public sentiment.

Palestinian political analyst Ehab Jabareen argues that Netanyahu and his right-wing bloc spent years weaponizing the question of collaboration with Palestinian Arab parties, successfully framing any cooperation as politically illegitimate. “Today, the political cost of being seen as close to Palestinian Arab parties has become very high,” Jabareen explained to Middle East Eye. While he notes that some opposition blocs may still quietly leave open the option of partnering with Palestinian Arab parties if parliamentary math leaves no other path to power, few are willing to state this publicly during the campaign: “They keep the back door open, but the front door is locked.”

This new political landscape has forced Palestinian Arab parties – which represent the roughly 2 million Palestinian citizens of Israel, who make up 21% of the country’s total population – to rethink their electoral strategies. The community are descendants of Palestinians who remained on their land after the 1948 Nakba, when Zionist militias displaced an estimated 750,000 Palestinians to establish the state of Israel. After decades of systemic discrimination, Palestinian citizens formed political parties to advocate for civil equality, an end to the Israeli occupation of Palestinian territories, and recognition of Palestinian national rights. For decades, these parties remained on the margins of Israeli politics, as collaboration with governing coalitions was viewed as toxic by both most Jewish voters and many Palestinian citizens. That taboo was only broken in 2021, when Ra’am’s four seats provided the critical margin for Bennett and Lapid to form their narrow majority.

Now that the taboo has reasserted itself, Ra’am’s Abbas has adopted a bold new approach to expand the party’s influence: Israeli media has confirmed that the party has reached a preliminary agreement to add former Yesh Atid lawmaker Yoav Segalovich, a Jewish politician, to its electoral list. A recent Channel 13 poll projects this move could boost Ra’am’s seat count from the currently projected five to an unprecedented seven seats.

Jabareen argues that Abbas’ strategy is targeted at three distinct audiences. For Palestinian Arab voters, he positions himself as the only leader pursuing pragmatic, achievable political progress. For the fragmented anti-Netanyahu camp, he leaves open a pathway to secure his party’s support if they cannot form a majority without it. And for the Israeli political establishment, he signals that Ra’am remains a reliable, institutional negotiating partner. But the strategy carries clear risks: “He is signalling a willingness to negotiate with a side that publicly says it has no interest in negotiating with him,” Jabareen notes. “That creates an image of weakness because the balance of power is not in his favour.”

Other Palestinian party leaders reject the framing that Palestinian Arab factions should prioritize joining governing coalitions. Aida Touma-Sliman, a Knesset member from the Palestinian-led party Hadash, argues that the refusal of Jewish opposition parties to collaborate with Palestinian factions is not just about electoral calculations – it reflects deep-rooted ideological bias. “The leaders of these parties know the Israeli public does not want any partnership with Palestinian Arab parties after years of incitement,” she said. “They lack the courage to present a genuine alternative to the current government’s policies. In reality, they also hold Zionist and discriminatory positions.”

Touma-Sliman emphasized that Palestinian Arab representation in the Knesset has never been solely focused on joining ruling coalitions. Instead, it serves as a platform for political struggle: to represent Palestinian citizens, expose discriminatory government policies, and defend the community’s collective rights. Even as parliament becomes an increasingly hostile space, she argues that abandoning it would only erase Palestinian political influence at a critical moment: “our political weight is needed to confront fascism, even if that only means preventing the formation of another far-right government.”

For Jabareen, the core challenge facing Palestinian Arab parties extends far beyond the current election cycle or coalition negotiations. After years of centering campaigns around the question of which bloc they might support to form a government, he argues it is time for a fundamental reset, amid a dramatically shifted Israeli political landscape. “The important question is no longer who will invite us into a coalition,” he said. “The real question is how we rebuild Palestinian political power inside Israel over the next decade in a way that makes ignoring us politically costly.”

Current polling puts the Eisenkot-led anti-Netanyahu bloc and Netanyahu’s right-wing bloc in a dead heat. Some surveys suggest Eisenkot could secure a majority without support from Palestinian Arab parties, while others indicate neither bloc will be able to reach the required threshold without backing from Palestinian factions, leaving the final outcome of the October 27 election still deeply uncertain.

A high-stakes upcoming hearing in the UK legal system will determine whether five Palestine Action activists, already convicted of felony criminal damage, will be subjected to exceptional terrorist sentencing, a move that has sparked fierce criticism over judicial process and overreach.

The five defendants – Brendon O’Hagan, 28, Amanda Kelly, 31, Hmeera Atiqnisar, 31, Mohammed Malik, 28, and 70-year-old Alma Yaniv – were found guilty by a jury in June 2026 of causing more than £212,000 (equivalent to $283,000) in intentional damage to a Barclays bank location in Burnley back in August 2024. Notably, their direct action protest at the branch took place months before the UK government officially proscribed Palestine Action as a terrorist organization, and this specific incident is not included among the three group-related events the government has formally designated as terrorist activity – all of which are alleged to have caused more than £1 million in damage each.

What has made this case unprecedented in legal procedure is that the question of terrorist sentencing was never raised to the jury during the entire trial process. After the guilty verdict was returned, the trial’s presiding judge, Phillip Parry, notified defense counsel that he would consider attaching a formal “terrorist connection” to the conviction, a designation that carries far harsher legal penalties. He then referred the sentencing decision to senior judge Robert Altham, who will hold a dedicated hearing on August 21 to rule on the terror designation, two weeks ahead of the formal sentencing scheduled for September 4.

Judge Altham’s involvement in the case has already drawn significant scrutiny from activist and legal circles. A 2018 review by the UK Court of Appeal found that Altham had handed down “manifestly excessive” prison sentences to a group of anti-fracking activists convicted of public nuisance during a protest near Blackpool. The appellate court ruled the sentences were wholly inappropriate and ordered the immediate release of all activists. One of those activists, Simon Roscoe Blevins, who received a 16-month custodial sentence from Altham in 2018, has publicly criticized Altham’s role in the current case.

“It is surely another gross overreach to add a terror connection to sentencing after failing to mention the possibility at any point before or during trial,” Blevins said. “And given his history, Judge Altham in particular cannot be trusted to make a fair ruling on this.”

Criticism has also come directly from Palestine Action leadership. Huda Ammori, co-founder of the group, called Altham’s appointment to decide the terror designation “shocking.” Ammori noted that in both the current Barclays case and a separate high-profile Palestine Action case tried recently near Bristol, juries were given no indication that a criminal damage conviction could open the door to terrorist sentencing.

“In both the Filton and the Barclays cases, the jury operated under the clear impression they were only deciding whether criminal damage occurred,” Ammori explained. “They had no idea that a conviction for this straightforward offense would effectively amount to convicting the defendants of terrorism.”

The move to pursue terrorist designation follows a precedent set in the recent Filton case, where four activists convicted of criminal damage at an Elbit Systems facility were sentenced as terrorists despite only being convicted of non-terrorism criminal charges. Judge Parry circulated that ruling by Justice Johnson, the presiding judge in that case, to legal teams in the current Barclays trial after the conclusion of proceedings. The Crown Prosecution Service (CPS) has since formally backed applying the terror sentencing, even though it never raised the possibility during the trial itself.

A cross-party coalition of more than 85 Members of Parliament in the United Kingdom has sounded the alarm over allegations that the UK government is halting the evacuation of dozens of vulnerable Palestinian women and children from conflict-ravaged Gaza, penning an official letter to Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood to demand urgent action. The correspondence, organized by Labour MP Kim Johnson and sent Thursday, draws attention to a months-long administrative freeze that has left eligible families trapped in a war zone, separated from loved ones already residing in the UK.

The crisis traces back to September 2024, when the Home Office paused all new refugee family reunion applications to draft stricter replacement regulations. Five months on, those new rules have yet to be published, leaving pre-suspension applicants – many of whom are Gaza-based families waiting to join immediate family members already settled in Britain – in legal limbo, with their journeys to safety completely blocked.

Johnson, in comments to independent outlet Middle East Eye, emphasized that family reunification is far more than a bureaucratic procedure for families surviving the catastrophic violence in Gaza. “Family reunification should never be treated as a political bargaining chip,” she said. “For families enduring the horrors of Gaza, it is a lifeline – often the only hope of safety and the chance to hold their loved ones again.” She went on to argue that unnecessary administrative delay is indefensible in the face of mass trauma, adding, “At a time of unimaginable loss and trauma, the very least we should be doing is ensuring those with a legal right to be together are not torn apart by needless Home Office obstruction. We cannot allow bureaucracy to stand in the way of humanity.”

Signatories to the letter stretch across the UK political spectrum, including high-profile Labour MPs such as Diane Abbott, John McDonnell, Richard Burgon, Abtisam Mohamed and Diane Abbott, all three Green Party Westminster MPs, multiple members of the Parliamentary Independent Alliance, and several MPs from the Liberal Democrats and Scottish National Party.

The letter outlines serious allegations of discriminatory treatment against Palestinian applicants. It notes that the Foreign Office has already given approval for many UK-based Palestinians to evacuate their family members from Gaza, but the Home Office has repeatedly refused to issue the required travel documentation needed to complete the journey. In some cases, the Home Office has even launched legal challenges to block entry – a harsher approach than that applied to refugee families from other global conflict zones seeking reunion, the letter claims.

MPs also highlighted that the government’s pledged medical evacuation scheme, which promised to bring 300 seriously ill Palestinian children in need of life-saving treatment from Gaza to the UK, has still not delivered on its commitments. They highlighted the specific case of two teenage evacuees, 12-year-old Mahmoud Mansi and 15-year-old Obaida Atwan, who met former Prime Minister Keir Starmer in December 2024. At that meeting, Starmer publicly promised to use all his power to help the boys reunite with their remaining family still trapped in Gaza. As of this week, the families have received no update on their applications, more than four months after the meeting.

The letter lays out two clear demands for Mahmood: first, to urgently restart the family reunification process for eligible Palestinian applicants and coordinate with Foreign Office counterparts to facilitate the immediate evacuation of all people already approved for entry to the UK; second, to revise Home Office policy to ensure Palestinian applicants from Gaza receive equal treatment to refugees from other regions applying for family reunion visas. Middle East Eye confirmed it has reached out to the Home Office requesting a formal response to the allegations and demands.

This intervention comes amid growing internal pressure on the Starmer administration over its approach to the Gaza conflict. Earlier this month, leading Labour figure Andy Burnham publicly apologized for his party’s early response to Israel’s military campaign in Gaza, shortly before he took office as prime minister. “I know many people feel that at the start of Israel’s military action in Gaza, my party didn’t get it right, and I am sorry about that. The response has too often not been good enough. We need to do better,” Burnham said. He described the “unbearable suffering” in Gaza as a “scar on our collective conscience” and called for greater diplomatic pressure on the Israeli government to end its expanding occupation of Gaza territory.

This pressure also comes amid revelations of UK military involvement in the region: declassified records confirm the UK carried out hundreds of surveillance flights over Gaza during the military campaign, sharing intelligence with Israeli forces, a move the government has insisted was solely for hostage rescue operations. The Starmer administration has taken some limited steps toward accountability, imposing a partial arms embargo on Israel in 2024 and formally recognizing Palestinian statehood last September.