分类: politics

  • Trump’s bet on Iranian regime change could be his biggest gamble yet

    Trump’s bet on Iranian regime change could be his biggest gamble yet

    In a dramatic escalation of Middle East tensions, President Donald Trump has authorized joint US-Israel military strikes against Iran, resulting in the death of the regime’s Supreme Leader. Dubbed Operation Epic Fury by Pentagon officials, this unprecedented action represents Trump’s bold attempt to achieve what previous administrations failed to accomplish: the complete dismantling of Iran’s nuclear program and potential regime change through aerial power alone.

    The operation unfolded after the White House issued ultimatums demanding Iran abandon its nuclear weapons program, cease ballistic missile production, and withdraw support for proxy groups including Hamas and Hezbollah. President Trump monitored the strikes in real-time from his Mar-a-Lago estate while advisors convened in the White House Situation Room.

    This military campaign marks a significant departure from Trump’s previous non-interventionist stance and campaign promises to end ‘forever wars.’ The administration now faces critical questions about long-term strategy and potential regional blowback. Military experts warn that eliminating Iran’s leadership without ground forces could spark a broader regional conflict, particularly given Iran’s retaliatory strikes against US allies including Bahrain, UAE, and Qatar.

    Domestically, the operation has triggered sharp political divisions. While Republican leadership largely supports the action, Democratic leaders condemn what they characterize as an unauthorized war of choice. House Democrats are preparing measures to constrain presidential war powers, setting the stage for a contentious political battle as midterm elections approach.

    The administration’s unconventional approach to foreign policy faces its ultimate test as Iran vows aggressive retaliation. With global energy markets watching nervously and the potential for prolonged conflict looming, Trump’s gamble could either redefine Middle East geopolitics or plunge the region into unprecedented instability.

  • Why did the US attack Iran? Is the US at war? Here’s what to know

    Why did the US attack Iran? Is the US at war? Here’s what to know

    In a dramatic escalation of Middle East tensions, the United States and Israel initiated joint military operations against Iranian targets early Saturday. The coordinated offensive, designated “Epic Fury” by US forces and “Lion’s Roar” by Israel, represents the most significant military confrontation between the nations in decades.

    President Donald Trump utilized social media to announce the operations, simultaneously declaring the death of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, whom he characterized as “one of the most evil people in History.” Iranian state media subsequently confirmed the passing of the 86-year-old leader and declared a 40-day mourning period. Intelligence sources indicate approximately 40 Iranian officials perished in the strikes, with satellite imagery revealing substantial damage to Khamenei’s compound in Tehran.

    The military action follows the collapse of nuclear negotiations between Washington and Tehran just two days prior. President Trump justified the offensive by citing Iran’s nuclear ambitions, historical grievances including the 1979 hostage crisis and 1983 Beirut barracks bombing, and what he described as an “unending campaign of bloodshed” targeting American interests.

    Iranian forces launched immediate retaliatory strikes throughout the Middle East, with projectiles targeting US military installations in Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, and the UAE. Iranian Foreign Minister condemned the initial attack as “unprovoked and illegal.”

    Domestic reaction in the United States fractured along partisan lines. Congressional Republicans largely endorsed the operation, with Senator Lindsey Graham declaring it “necessary and long justified.” Democrats denounced the unilateral action, with Senator Tim Kaine labeling the conflict “Trump’s illegal war” and renewing calls for war powers legislation.

    Current US military presence in the region includes two aircraft carrier groups and approximately 30,000-40,000 troops distributed across 13 bases, though officials indicate no immediate plans for ground troop deployment in Iran. Casualty reports indicate over 200 fatalities and 700 injuries within Iran, with additional casualties reported in Israel and the UAE. President Trump warned that military operations would likely continue throughout the coming week.

  • US, Israel defend strikes at UN as Iran alleges ‘war crime’

    US, Israel defend strikes at UN as Iran alleges ‘war crime’

    The United Nations Security Council convened an emergency session amidst escalating tensions following coordinated military strikes by the United States and Israel against Iranian targets. The session revealed profound divisions among global powers regarding the legality and justification of the attacks.

    United States Ambassador Mike Waltz presented Washington’s position, emphasizing that preventing nuclear weapon proliferation by Iran constituted a fundamental global security imperative rather than a political matter. He referenced longstanding UN resolutions allegedly disregarded by Tehran and criticized Iran’s human rights record, particularly its suppression of domestic protests, questioning the nation’s moral standing within the international body.

    Israeli representative Danny Danon characterized the military action as necessary rather than aggressive, asserting that Tehran’s provocations had left no reasonable alternatives. He condemned what he described as hypocrisy among Security Council members who criticized the strikes while remaining silent regarding Iran’s retaliatory measures.

    Iranian Ambassador Amir Saeid Iravani denounced the operations as war crimes, citing significant civilian casualties including more than 100 children at Minab School in southern Iran. He accused certain Council members of applying double standards by overlooking what he termed flagrant aggression against his nation while condemning Iran’s exercise of self-defense under the UN Charter.

    The diplomatic confrontation exposed clear geopolitical fractures. Russia and China exclusively condemned the US-Israeli strikes, while Gulf nations including Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Bahrain issued a joint statement through Bahrain’s ambassador characterizing Iran’s regional attacks as cowardly and holding Tehran fully responsible for escalating hostilities.

    UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres issued a grave warning regarding the potential for military actions to trigger uncontrollable consequences throughout the Middle East, emphasizing the region’s extreme volatility and the dangers of escalation.

  • ‘No to War’: Iranian opposition abroad pushes back against US-Israeli strikes

    ‘No to War’: Iranian opposition abroad pushes back against US-Israeli strikes

    The initial hours following U.S.-Israeli military strikes on Iran ignited a fierce and multifaceted debate across Farsi-language social media, revealing profound fractures within the Iranian opposition movement. The discourse, spanning the entire political spectrum, showcased a stark divergence of opinions regarding foreign intervention.

    Almost immediately, anti-war activists resurrected the Farsi hashtag #NoToWar, advocating against military escalation. This stance stood in direct opposition to calls from pro-monarchy factions, spearheaded by Reza Pahlavi—the Israel-aligned son of Iran’s last Shah—who publicly demanded an intensification of attacks on the Islamic Republic. Pahlavi’s camp, which has aggressively campaigned against rival opposition voices since Israel’s previous conflict with Iran, found itself at the center of a growing storm of criticism.

    Prominent journalist and regime critic Panah Farhadbahman issued a stark warning against foreign military action, drawing a historical parallel. He likened contemporary supporters of extensive U.S. strikes to those who backed the 1979 revolution, emphasizing that their advocacy would be permanently recorded. In a separate statement, Farhadbahman argued that the destruction of military infrastructure by Israel and the U.S. strategically weakens any future Iranian government, questioning the sincerity of motives behind the strikes.

    The criticism of Pahlavi intensified as users circulated symbolic imagery highlighting his perceived foreign allegiances. Comparative graphics placed his grandfather, Reza Shah, next to the British flag (referencing the 1921 coup), his father, Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, beside the American flag (referencing the 1953 CIA-backed coup), and Reza Pahlavi himself adjacent to the Israeli flag, identifying it as his primary foreign supporter—a connection many opposition figures find deeply troubling.

    This sentiment was echoed by political analyst Behrouz Farahani, who pointedly questioned the prospect of Israeli-backed democracy by sharing a report on Israeli soldiers shooting a Palestinian child. The Toofan opposition group abroad condemned the attacks, declaring that ‘war of aggression is not a solution to any problem. It is the problem.’

    The human cost of the conflict was brought into sharp focus by the widespread sharing of images from a struck girls’ school in Minab, where officials reported at least 85 fatalities, predominantly girls aged seven to twelve. This tragedy fueled a complex sentiment captured in one user’s post: ‘No to the Islamic regime. No to war. No to Israeli and US aggression. No to fascism and Pahlavi.’

    Conversely, U.S.-backed figures like journalist Masih Alinejad called for continued assaults, a position that also drew significant backlash. One user criticized Alinejad for celebrating a strike on a former official’s residence while allegedly ignoring the visible panic and potential civilian casualties in the footage she shared.

    The anti-war movement also resonated with persecuted religious minorities. A widely circulated video featured Pastor Mona Pahlevani directly addressing Iranians who had solicited foreign intervention, holding them responsible for the ensuing Iranian deaths and stating, ‘The blood of the people killed in the war… is on your hands.’

  • UK ‘forces are active’ and British planes involved in ‘defensive operations’ in Middle East

    UK ‘forces are active’ and British planes involved in ‘defensive operations’ in Middle East

    Prime Minister Keir Starmer has declared that British military assets are actively engaged in defensive operations across the Middle East to safeguard national interests and protect regional allies. The announcement followed an emergency Cobra committee session attended by senior ministers, defense chiefs, and intelligence officials.

    While explicitly stating that the United Kingdom “played no role” in recent US-Israeli strikes against Iranian targets, Starmer emphasized Britain’s enhanced defensive posture. “We have a range of defensive capabilities in the region,” he stated, “which we’ve recently taken steps to strengthen. Our forces are active and British planes are in the sky today as part of coordinated regional defensive operations.”

    The Prime Minister characterized Iran’s government as “utterly abhorrent” while identifying nuclear non-proliferation as Britain’s primary regional objective. “Iran must never be allowed to develop a nuclear weapon,” Starmer asserted, noting this remains a shared goal with international allies including the United States.

    British military deployments include Typhoon jet squadrons stationed at Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar through a joint British-Qatari unit established in January. These advanced aircraft possess capability to intercept Iranian Shahed-136 drones. Additional UK military presence encompasses naval facilities in Bahrain and airbases across Qatar, UAE, Oman, and Cyprus.

    Regional analysts highlight Britain’s delicate balancing act. Chris Doyle of the Council for the Advancement of Arab-British Understanding noted: “The biggest risk would have been for Britain to participate in a war that is illegal and that would have had unclear and unachievable objectives.” He suggested Starmer’s government remains concerned about potential Iranian retaliation affecting British supply routes through critical waterways like the Straits of Hormuz.

    The disclosure follows reports that Starmer previously denied US requests to utilize British bases at Diego Garcia and RAF Fairford as launch sites for offensive operations against Iran. This decision drew criticism from opposition figures including Reform UK’s Nigel Farage and Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch, while receiving support from Green Party leader Zack Polanski who characterized potential involvement as supporting “illegal, unprovoked and brutal attack[s].”

  • US-Israel attack Iran when peace was within reach

    US-Israel attack Iran when peace was within reach

    In a dramatic reversal of diplomatic progress, United States and Israeli forces launched coordinated military strikes against Iranian targets this week, effectively derailing what mediators described as the most promising nuclear negotiations in years. The escalation occurred just as negotiators in Geneva were finalizing a principles agreement that would have significantly constrained Iran’s nuclear program.

    Omani Foreign Minister Badr Albusaidi had publicly characterized the talks as demonstrating “unprecedented openness,” with both sides moving beyond entrenched positions to explore creative solutions. The proposed framework included verifiable limits on uranium enrichment, complete elimination of highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and unprecedented International Atomic Energy Agency monitoring provisions that potentially included US inspectors operating within Iran.

    Iranian negotiators had demonstrated remarkable flexibility, offering strategic compromises designed to address US political realities. These included proposals for energy sector cooperation and economic incentives that represented calculated concessions rather than unilateral surrender. The objective was clear: establish enforceable nuclear constraints through intrusive verification mechanisms that would address proliferation concerns more effectively than sanctions or military threats.

    Mediators revealed that a principles agreement could have been signed within days, with detailed verification protocols following within months. The diplomatic breakthrough appeared tangible—until military action intervened.

    The strikes, framed by US leadership as “major combat operations” necessary to eliminate nuclear and missile threats, targeted Tehran and other Iranian cities. Iran responded with immediate retaliatory measures, launching missiles and drones against US bases and allied states across the Gulf region. Reports confirmed explosions in Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, and other locations, with at least one fatality in Abu Dhabi.

    This escalation carries profound implications for regional stability and non-proliferation efforts. Iran represents a structurally resilient state with layered institutions and embedded security apparatus—distinct from the personalized dictatorships of Iraq or Libya. Its asymmetric capabilities, including missile systems positioned along the Strait of Hormuz, ensure that conflict will not remain contained.

    The timing of military action—during active diplomatic progress—undermines the premise that negotiation represents a genuine alternative to war. It signals that even successful diplomacy offers no guarantee against escalation, potentially convincing both sides that future negotiations are futile. This perception may harden deterrence postures and establish aggression as the default language of international power dynamics.

    The failure of diplomacy amid visible progress raises fundamental questions about strategic objectives and the durability of American commitments to negotiated solutions. As regional conflict expands beyond Iran’s borders, the prospect of prolonged confrontation threatens global energy markets and international security architecture.

  • Where have Nepal’s ‘nepo kids’ gone as corruption takes centre stage in election?

    Where have Nepal’s ‘nepo kids’ gone as corruption takes centre stage in election?

    Nepal’s political landscape is undergoing a profound transformation as the nation approaches pivotal elections, driven by a youth-led uprising against systemic corruption and elite privilege. The catalyst for this movement emerged from the ostentatious displays of wealth by politicians’ children on social media, which exposed glaring economic disparities in a country grappling with 20.6% youth unemployment and three million citizens working overseas.

    The movement ignited last September when proposed restrictions on social media platforms—the very spaces where young Nepalis voiced outrage over ‘nepo kids’—triggered massive protests. The demonstrations turned tragic when police violence resulted in 77 fatalities, ultimately forcing the prime minister’s resignation. This watershed moment compelled political parties to address long-standing grievances about corruption and inequality.

    In response to the uprising, major parties have proposed anti-corruption measures and governance reforms. The newly-formed Rastriya Swatantra Party promises constitutional accountability, while the Communist Party of Nepal UML commits to youth mobilization in national development. The Nepali Congress has taken the significant step of removing its five-time former prime minister as president and proposing comprehensive asset investigations dating to 1991.

    The social media landscape has shifted dramatically since the protests. Prominent figures like Shrinkhala Khatiwada (daughter of a former health minister) have deactivated their accounts, while Smita Dahal (granddaughter of a three-time prime minister) has made her profiles private. Though some, like entrepreneur Saugat Thapa, continue displaying luxury lifestyles, their posts no longer generate the same public fury.

    Transparency International data reveals 84% of Nepalis consider government corruption a major problem, exemplified by recent scandals including inflated infrastructure costs and fake document schemes involving former ministers. As young voters prepare to cast ballots, they demand concrete action rather than symbolic gestures. While acknowledging some progress, youth leaders emphasize that true change requires systemic overhaul rather than superficial adjustments—a challenging prospect given Nepal’s likely coalition government outcome.

    The legacy of September’s sacrifices remains fresh for many protesters, who view the upcoming election as both memorial to the fallen and opportunity for transformative change in a nation weary of injustice.

  • Before Trump bombing, Oman FM called US-Iran deal ‘within reach’

    Before Trump bombing, Oman FM called US-Iran deal ‘within reach’

    In a remarkable revelation just hours before President Donald Trump authorized military strikes against Iran, Omani Foreign Minister Albusaidi appeared on CBS’s “Face the Nation” to declare that a comprehensive nuclear agreement was imminent. The high-level diplomat, serving as mediator in recent U.S.-Iran negotiations, disclosed that Tehran had committed to unprecedented concessions—including zero stockpiling of nuclear material—that would have effectively prevented weaponization capabilities.

    Albusaidi emphasized the breakthrough nature of these commitments, stating, “This is something completely new. It really makes the enrichment argument less irrelevant because now we are talking about zero stockpiling. If you cannot stockpile material that is enriched, then there is no way you can actually create a bomb.” The proposed deal included full verification by the International Atomic Energy Agency, going beyond the parameters of the 2015 Obama-era agreement that Trump had previously abandoned.

    The timing of this disclosure proves particularly significant given that additional talks were scheduled for the following week. Trita Parsi of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft noted that the Omani FM’s unprecedented public revelation suggested negotiators believed Trump was preparing to choose military action despite diplomatic progress. “The American people should know that peace was within reach when Trump instead opted for war,” Parsi concluded.

    This development occurred against a backdrop of limited public support for military engagement with Iran, with only 21% of Americans supporting offensive action under current circumstances according to recent surveys. The strikes therefore represent a deliberate escalation despite viable diplomatic alternatives being actively negotiated through neutral intermediaries.

  • UN chief condemns US-Israeli attacks on Iran during emergency Security Council meeting

    UN chief condemns US-Israeli attacks on Iran during emergency Security Council meeting

    UNITED NATIONS — Secretary-General António Guterres issued a stern condemnation of recent U.S.-Israeli military operations against Iran during an emergency Security Council session convened Saturday. The UN leader characterized the situation as pushing the world toward catastrophic escalation and demanded immediate diplomatic reengagement to avert broader regional conflict.

    Guterres emphasized the critical need to prevent further deterioration of regional stability, warning that alternative outcomes could include severe humanitarian consequences and widespread instability. The Secretary-General simultaneously denounced Iran’s retaliatory measures against multiple Middle Eastern nations, including Bahrain, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates, as violations of sovereign territories.

    The emergency meeting, requested by five Security Council members (Bahrain, France, Russia, China, and Colombia), occurred during a significant transitional period—the final day of the United Kingdom’s presidency before the United States assumes rotational leadership for March.

    Israeli Ambassador Danny Danon preemptively dismissed criticism as hypocritical, asserting that Iran’s proxy operations, nuclear ambitions, and missile programs justified preventive measures against what he described as an imminent threat. Meanwhile, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi formally accused the United States and Israel of blatantly violating international law and the UN Charter, maintaining that Iran’s actions constituted legitimate self-defense.

    European powers—Britain, France, and Germany—issued a collective statement condemning Iranian regional airstrikes while urging renewed diplomatic efforts regarding Tehran’s nuclear program. These nations, original signatories to the 2015 nuclear agreement from which the U.S. withdrew in 2018, emphasized that the Iranian people should ultimately determine their nation’s future trajectory.

  • US, Israel strike Iran; Iran threatens retaliation

    US, Israel strike Iran; Iran threatens retaliation

    In a dramatic escalation of Middle East tensions, United States military forces initiated large-scale combat operations against targets inside Iran in coordination with Israeli defense forces. President Donald Trump announced the offensive in a pre-dawn video address from his Mar-a-Lago estate, characterizing the action as necessary to eliminate “imminent threats” posed by the Iranian regime.

    The unprecedented strikes, which reportedly targeted compounds associated with Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in Tehran, occurred amid ongoing diplomatic negotiations between Washington and Tehran. Social media footage showed skies above the Iranian capital filled with smoke following the initial bombardment.

    President Trump justified the military action as preventive measures against nuclear proliferation, stating: “Our objective is to defend the American people by eliminating imminent threats from the Iranian regime. This vicious group of very hard, terrible people directly endangers the United States, our troops, our bases overseas, and our allies throughout the world.”

    The operation drew immediate political division in Washington. Republican Senator Lindsey Graham praised Trump’s decisiveness, noting it represented the first time in 47 years that a U.S. president had “stood with the people of Iran.” Conversely, Democratic lawmakers condemned the unilateral action. Senator Andy Kim of New Jersey criticized Trump for repeating “the same dangerous and foolish decision President Bush did a generation ago,” while Massachusetts Senator Ed Markey declared the strikes “illegal and unconstitutional” due to the absence of Congressional authorization.

    Iran’s Foreign Ministry vowed forceful retaliation, asserting that while prepared for negotiations, the nation remained “more prepared than ever for defense.” The statement emphasized: “The armed forces of the Islamic Republic of Iran will respond to the aggressors with authority.”

    The military action raises significant constitutional questions regarding war powers and follows earlier controversial operations ordered by Trump in Venezuela, further complicating an already volatile geopolitical landscape.