分类: politics

  • Iran war costing US untold billions, with no end in sight

    Iran war costing US untold billions, with no end in sight

    WASHINGTON — U.S. lawmakers confront a constitutional dilemma as they prepare to authorize emergency funding for Operation Epic Fury without formal congressional war declaration. The Trump administration has provided no clear timeline, expenditure projections, or strategic endgame for the ongoing military engagement with Iran, leaving legislators to approve resources amid profound uncertainty about financial and human costs.

    Defense spending analysts indicate the aerial bombardment campaign alone has already consumed billions of dollars, with Pentagon officials revealing $5.6 billion was spent on munitions during the initial 48 hours of conflict. Congressional aides familiar with briefings suggest expenditures have since escalated into double-digit billions, with costs potentially multiplying exponentially should ground troops be deployed for regime change operations.

    President Trump has delivered contradictory statements regarding operational timelines, initially projecting a four-to-six week campaign before suggesting a potentially quicker resolution. The administration has neither disclosed total expenditures to date nor provided cost projections for extended military engagement.

    Michael O’Hanlon of Brookings Institution estimates current weekly military costs at approximately $2 billion, warning that a full-scale occupation involving 250,000 troops could escalate to $300 billion annually. These projections exclude secondary economic impacts including global energy price fluctuations, reduced fertilizer production affecting agricultural yields, and damage to diplomatic infrastructure throughout the region.

    Historical comparisons reveal sobering precedents: the Iraq and Afghanistan conflicts averaged $1 million per deployed troop annually, with peak annual expenditures reaching $200 billion. Stephanie Savell of Brown University’s Cost of War Project emphasizes that “wars are never quick or cheap or easy,” noting that contemporary conflicts consistently exceed initial projections in both duration and resource requirements.

    The human cost continues to mount with seven confirmed U.S. military fatalities, while experts warn of potential civilian casualties reaching thousands through both direct combat and indirect consequences including infrastructure collapse, disease outbreaks, and malnutrition particularly affecting children under five.

    Strategic analysts question the feasibility of achieving regime change without substantial ground forces, noting that previous attempts at foreign government restructuring in Iraq, Afghanistan and Libya required years of military engagement and resulted in prolonged insurgencies. Security experts additionally warn of potential conflict expansion through proxy engagements with Houthi forces in Yemen, Iraqi Shiite militias, and possible retaliatory attacks on U.S. interests worldwide.

    The Congressional appropriation process faces political complications, with Democratic support necessary to advance supplemental funding legislation through the Senate. This creates a potential legislative check on prolonged military engagement, though Republican leadership has expressed unwillingness to constrain presidential authority as commander-in-chief.

  • King expresses ‘concern’ over Alberta separatists in meeting with First Nations chiefs

    King expresses ‘concern’ over Alberta separatists in meeting with First Nations chiefs

    In a significant diplomatic engagement at Buckingham Palace, King Charles III has conveyed his apprehension regarding Alberta’s growing separatist movement during a meeting with Indigenous leaders from Canada. The delegation, led by Confederacy of Treaty 6 First Nations Grand Chief Joey Pete, presented the monarch with detailed concerns about how the potential secession of Alberta threatens century-old treaty agreements between First Nations and the Crown.

    Grand Chief Pete characterized the audience as a meeting of “Treaty partners and equals,” noting the King demonstrated genuine interest through extensive questioning and committed to further examination of the matter. This royal engagement occurs as the Alberta Prosperity Project, a grassroots separatist organization, gathers signatures to force a provincial independence referendum scheduled for October.

    The First Nations leaders specifically requested King Charles issue a Royal Proclamation affirming their treaty rights established with the Crown, which predate Canada’s formation and remain constitutionally protected. These treaties govern the relationship between Indigenous peoples and the Canadian government, making First Nations consent legally necessary for any constitutional changes affecting treaty obligations.

    Legal challenges are already underway, with the Sturgeon Lake Cree Nation suing the Alberta government for permitting signature collection that allegedly violates treaty rights. Meanwhile, at the Alberta legislature in Edmonton, Indigenous leaders demanded Premier Danielle Smith quash the proposed referendum and faced immediate rejection when attempting to initiate a no-confidence vote against her government.

    The separatist movement, rooted in decades of perceived federal underrepresentation despite Alberta’s substantial oil wealth, argues for improved financial prospects through sovereignty. Under provincial legislation, organizers must collect 177,732 valid signatures by May to proceed with the referendum, which the Alberta Prosperity Project claims it will achieve.

  • US defends Israel against South Africa’s allegation of genocide filed to top UN court

    US defends Israel against South Africa’s allegation of genocide filed to top UN court

    THE HAGUE, Netherlands — The United States has formally entered the International Court of Justice proceedings concerning South Africa’s genocide allegations against Israel, asserting the charges are baseless and warning that an adverse ruling could destabilize international legal standards.

    In legal documents acquired by The Associated Press, U.S. representatives characterized the case as part of a ‘broader campaign’ targeting Israel and Jewish communities worldwide, arguing it potentially legitimizes terrorism against them. The filing emphasizes that establishing genocide requires demonstrating ‘specific intent’—a high legal threshold that shouldn’t be diminished through expansive interpretation.

    The ICJ is currently examining whether Israel’s military operations in Gaza contravene the 1948 Genocide Convention, drafted following the atrocities of World War II. Israel, founded in the Holocaust’s aftermath, has categorically rejected the accusations.

    This intervention occurs under provisions allowing any signatory to the Genocide Convention to contribute legal perspectives. The move aligns with similar participation by over thirty nations in Ukraine’s case against Russia in 2023, though numerous countries including Spain, the Netherlands, and Ireland have filed interventions opposing the U.S. stance.

    State Department legal adviser Reed Rubenstein warned that a finding against Israel would represent a ‘radical repudiation’ of judicial precedent and reinforce perceptions of the ICJ being weaponized in ‘pro-Hamas lawfare campaigns.’

    The legal proceedings unfold against a complex backdrop: while a U.S.-brokered ceasefire has reduced intense fighting, intermittent conflict persists alongside humanitarian efforts. The ICJ has previously issued provisional measures requiring Israel to prevent potential genocidal acts and ensure humanitarian access through UNRWA.

    Separately, the International Criminal Court issued arrest warrants in 2024 for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former defense minister Yoav Gallant, alleging they used ‘starvation as a method of warfare’—charges that prompted sanctions against ICC officials during the Trump administration.

  • China charts blueprint for high-quality marine growth, says minister

    China charts blueprint for high-quality marine growth, says minister

    China has formally launched a comprehensive five-year strategic plan to propel its marine economy toward high-quality development, with Natural Resources Minister Guan Zhiou outlining the nation’s vision for oceanic advancement. The blueprint prioritizes ecological sustainability, technological innovation, and expanded international cooperation as core pillars for maritime growth.

    Minister Guan, speaking during a ministerial passage interview following the conclusion of the National People’s Congress session, emphasized that “the marine represents a strategic frontier for high-quality development.” The initiative aligns with objectives set forth in China’s 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030), positioning ocean development as crucial to national economic transformation.

    The strategy centers on major national programs to enhance deep-sea capabilities, including advanced sensing technologies, exploration systems, and resource development infrastructure. This technological push aims to catalyze industrial modernization and accelerate emerging sectors such as deep-sea equipment manufacturing and blue biomedicine.

    Spatial planning and ecological conservation form another critical component, with coordinated land-sea development approaches to optimize bay layouts, improve management efficiency, and cultivate new economic drivers. The plan emphasizes protecting vital coastlines and maintaining water quality while promoting sustainable marine tourism activities including yacht cruising and recreational fishing.

    International cooperation features prominently in China’s maritime strategy. Minister Guan committed to expanded marine cultural exchanges and contributing to “a maritime community with a shared future.” This global orientation builds on existing achievements that saw China’s gross ocean product exceed 11 trillion yuan ($1.6 trillion) in 2025, representing 7.9% of national GDP.

    Recent accomplishments underscore China’s growing maritime capabilities: the Laoshan Laboratory has become fully operational, the domestically-designed Mengxiang deep-ocean drilling vessel has been commissioned, and the revolutionary Shenhai 1 offshore oil and gas platform has commenced operations. Joint Arctic expeditions by China’s Jiaolong and Fendouzhe submersibles demonstrate advancing polar capabilities.

    Environmental protection measures include maintaining natural coastline ratios above 35%, expanding mangrove forests to 31,667 hectares, and establishing the Huangyan Island National Nature Reserve for coral reef ecosystem conservation. China has also emerged as a leader in global marine governance, becoming among the first signatories to the Marine Biodiversity of Areas Beyond National Jurisdiction Agreement while establishing blue economy partnerships with over 50 nations and international organizations.

  • Bessent will meet China’s vice premier in Paris ahead of Trump’s visit to Beijing

    Bessent will meet China’s vice premier in Paris ahead of Trump’s visit to Beijing

    Senior economic officials from the United States and China are scheduled to hold critical discussions in Paris this weekend, marking the latest diplomatic engagement between the world’s two largest economies. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng will meet Sunday and Monday to address ongoing trade matters, according to a Thursday announcement from the Treasury Department.

    The Paris negotiations represent the continuation of bilateral talks that have previously occurred across multiple global capitals including Geneva, London, Stockholm, Madrid, and Kuala Lumpur. These discussions are widely perceived as preparatory work for a potential state visit by President Donald Trump to Beijing, tentatively scheduled to begin March 31. While China has not formally confirmed either the ministerial talks or the presidential visit, the White House has publicly stated Trump’s intention to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping.

    Treasury Secretary Bessent emphasized the positive trajectory of Sino-American relations in an official statement: “Thanks to the bonds of mutual respect between President Trump and President Xi, the trade and economic dialogue between the United States and China is moving forward. Under the guidance of President Trump, our team will continue to deliver results that put America’s farmers, workers, and businesses first.”

    This potential visit would mark Trump’s first trip to China since his 2017 state visit during his initial term. The meeting would occur approximately five months after the two leaders convened in Busan, South Korea, where they agreed to a one-year truce in the trade conflict that had previously seen retaliatory tariffs escalate to triple digits before both parties de-escalated tensions.

    Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi recently characterized 2023 as potentially “a big year” for Sino-American relations, noting that “the agenda of high-level exchange is already on the table” while emphasizing the need for thorough preparations and risk management. Business analysts and market observers are closely monitoring the Bessent-He discussions for indications of potential agreements regarding Chinese purchases of American agricultural products like soybeans, commercial aircraft, and mechanisms to address the persistent trade imbalance between the nations.

  • UK government’s new counter-extremism measures called ‘Prevent on steroids’

    UK government’s new counter-extremism measures called ‘Prevent on steroids’

    The newly elected Labour government has ignited a firestorm of controversy by formally adopting an expansive definition of extremism originally proposed by former Conservative minister Michael Gove in March 2024. This move forms part of the broader ‘Protecting What Matters’ policy initiative, which also introduced a separate definition for anti-Muslim hostility earlier this week.

    The adopted definition characterizes extremism as “the promotion or advancement of an ideology based on violence, hatred or intolerance” that aims to either destroy fundamental rights of others, undermine UK parliamentary democracy, or create a permissive environment for others to achieve these objectives. This sweeping conceptualization extends beyond direct advocacy of violence to include ideologies deemed conducive to undermining democratic institutions.

    Government documents indicate the definition will be “embedded across government” to guide decisions regarding which organizations receive funding or official engagement. The policy further pledges to strengthen Charity Commission powers to shutter organizations deemed extremist and introduces enhanced monitoring of university campuses for Prevent compliance issues.

    The announcement has drawn sharp criticism from Muslim organizations and civil liberties advocates. The Muslim Council of Britain described the measures as “undemocratic, divisive, and potentially illegal,” while British Muslim think tank Equi expressed concern about disproportionate scrutiny of Muslim charities. Academic experts like Professor John Holmwood of the University of Nottingham accuse the government of embracing authoritarian measures without substantive policy innovation.

    This development occurs against the backdrop of recent counter-terrorism reviews questioning the effectiveness of existing Prevent programs. November 2024 data revealed that 90% of the 58,000 individuals referred to Prevent since 2015 were ultimately deemed non-threatening, raising questions about the potential expansion of such programs under the new definition.

  • UN Security Council condemns Iran attacks on Gulf without mentioning US and Israel

    UN Security Council condemns Iran attacks on Gulf without mentioning US and Israel

    The United Nations Security Council has approved a resolution demanding an immediate cessation of Iranian military operations against Gulf nations, sparking intense diplomatic controversy. The measure, introduced by Bahrain and co-sponsored by 135 member states, specifically calls for Iran to halt all attacks targeting Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Jordan.

    The resolution further condemns Iranian actions that threaten international navigation through the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz. The document passed with 13 votes in favor, while Russia and China abstained from voting. Notably absent from the resolution was any mention of U.S. or Israeli military actions against Iran, a deliberate omission that drew sharp criticism from Tehran’s diplomatic delegation.

    Bahrain’s UN envoy, Jamal Fares Alrowaiei, emphasized the global economic significance of regional security, stating that stability in the Gulf represents an international responsibility directly linked to worldwide energy security and economic stability.

    In response, Iranian Ambassador Amir Saeid Iravani denounced the resolution as a ‘blatant misuse’ of Security Council authority that leaves ‘a lasting stain on its record.’ He characterized the measure as a ‘manifest injustice’ against Iran, which he described as the primary victim of aggression.

    The diplomatic confrontation follows escalating hostilities that began on February 28th when U.S. and Israeli strikes targeted Iranian leadership and infrastructure. Iran subsequently launched drone and missile attacks against Israel and throughout the Gulf region.

    U.S. Ambassador Mike Waltz declared that Iran’s strategy of regional destabilization had backfired, as demonstrated by the Council’s vote. Meanwhile, China’s representative Fu Cong acknowledged the importance of Gulf security but criticized the resolution for failing to present a balanced perspective on the conflict’s root causes.

    Russia’s Vasily Nebenzya condemned the resolution as ‘biased and one-sided,’ warning that it could encourage further aggression against Iran. Moscow proposed an alternative draft calling for comprehensive de-escalation without naming specific parties, but this measure was rejected with only four votes in favor.

  • Iran ‘not in danger of collapse’, say US intelligence sources

    Iran ‘not in danger of collapse’, say US intelligence sources

    Recent US intelligence analyses conclude that Iran’s leadership continues to maintain firm control over the nation despite two weeks of concerted US-Israeli military operations. Multiple sources familiar with the assessments indicate that the regime faces no imminent threat of collapse and retains effective command over the Iranian population.

    The intelligence findings, which include a multitude of reports culminating in recent days, present a significant challenge to the Trump administration’s military campaign. This development coincides with President Trump’s announcement to CBS that operations would conclude “soon, very soon,” potentially signaling a costly strategic setback for Washington.

    Democratic senators who received confidential briefings from administration officials reported that the United States lacks a coherent plan for Iran. They revealed that earlier CIA assessments had warned that eliminating Iran’s leadership could precipitate the rise of an even more radical governing faction.

    The military intervention, designated Operation Epic Fury, has thus far resulted in at least seven American military fatalities and 140 injuries, generating substantial criticism from segments of the President’s political base. The operation was justified variously as self-defense against Iran’s nuclear program and as an effort to liberate the Iranian people.

    Compounding strategic challenges, Iran’s blockade of the Strait of Hormuz—a critical transit route for 20% of global oil shipments—has triggered significant price surges. Failure to dismantle the Islamic Republic administration would likely intensify pressure on the White House.

    Israeli officials similarly expressed skepticism regarding prospects for a public uprising or governmental collapse following the appointment of new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. While some sources indicated Israel’s ultimate objective remains the complete elimination of the Iranian government, they acknowledged this would necessitate ground forces, an option the US has not excluded.

    The administration has conveyed conflicting messages regarding future intentions. One day prior to President Trump’s declaration of an imminent withdrawal, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth told CBS that “This is only just the beginning,” creating ambiguity about US strategic objectives.

  • Former rapper’s fledgling political party sweeps Nepal’s first post-revolt election

    Former rapper’s fledgling political party sweeps Nepal’s first post-revolt election

    KATHMANDU, Nepal — Nepal’s political establishment has been dramatically upended by the stunning electoral triumph of the Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP), a four-year-old political movement led by former rapper Balendra Shah. Official results released Thursday by Nepal’s electoral commission confirm the party’s overwhelming victory in the nation’s first parliamentary elections since last year’s youth-led uprising.

    The RSP secured a commanding majority in the 275-seat House of Representatives, capturing 125 directly elected seats and an additional 57 through proportional representation. This gives the party a total of 182 seats, far exceeding the 138 needed for a simple majority. The previously dominant Nepali Congress party trailed distantly with just 38 seats.

    Nepal’s electoral system combines direct voting for 165 parliamentary seats with proportional representation allocating the remaining 110 seats based on party vote share. The electoral commission will now formally request party nominations to fill proportional representation seats before presenting the final composition to the president.

    This procedural phase, expected to require several days, will culminate in the convening of the new parliament and the election of a prime minister. With nearly two-thirds of parliamentary seats, RSP leader Balendra Shah—the party’s prime ministerial candidate and 2022 Kathmandu mayor—is positioned to assume leadership.

    The RSP’s remarkable ascent represents a direct challenge to Nepal’s traditional political powers, particularly the Nepali Congress and Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist–Leninist). The party capitalized on widespread discontent with corruption and governance failures that sparked last year’s protests, which began as opposition to social media restrictions before escalating into full-scale antigovernment demonstrations. The unrest resulted in dozens of fatalities and hundreds of injuries amid clashes between protesters and security forces.

    Shah emerged as a prominent figure during the 2025 uprising that ultimately toppled former Prime Minister Khadga Prasad Oli’s government. His transition from musical artist to political revolutionary has now culminated in an unprecedented electoral mandate that signals a profound transformation in Nepal’s political paradigm.

  • International court drops investigation into US sanctions on Venezuela

    International court drops investigation into US sanctions on Venezuela

    THE HAGUE, Netherlands — In a significant legal development, the International Criminal Court has terminated its examination of U.S. sanctions against Venezuela, determining insufficient grounds to pursue criminal charges. The decision concludes a preliminary investigation initiated in 2020 following Venezuela’s formal petition alleging American coercive measures constituted crimes against humanity.

    Prosecutors acknowledged that while economic restrictions imposed during the Obama administration and subsequently expanded may have worsened Venezuela’s humanitarian situation, they found inadequate evidence demonstrating the requisite criminal intent to classify sanctions as crimes against humanity. The ICC’s Office of the Prosecutor emphasized this closure remains unrelated to recent military actions involving Venezuelan leadership.

    Simultaneously, the court has progressed with a separate investigation into potential human rights violations by Belarusian authorities. This inquiry, prompted by Lithuania’s referral concerning Belarus’s suppression of political dissent, marks a significant escalation in international scrutiny of President Alexander Lukashenko’s government. Although Belarus remains outside the ICC’s jurisdiction, the court asserts authority based on the cross-border nature of alleged offenses.

    The divergent paths of these investigations highlight the ICC’s complex jurisdictional landscape. While Venezuela’s sanctions complaint has been dismissed, the court continues its longstanding examination of alleged crimes committed by Venezuelan security forces during the 2017 anti-government protests.

    These developments occur amid leadership challenges within the ICC, with Chief Prosecutor Karim Khan currently on temporary leave pending separate misconduct allegations. The court’s recent decisions demonstrate its ongoing navigation of geopolitical sensitivities while pursuing accountability for international crimes.