分类: politics

  • Canada: Ties to US are ‘weaknesses we must correct’

    Canada: Ties to US are ‘weaknesses we must correct’

    For decades, Canada’s deep integrated economic and trade relationship with the United States has been widely framed as one of the country’s greatest economic assets, driving cross-border investment, job growth, and market access for Canadian manufacturers and resource exporters alike. But that long-held consensus is shifting dramatically, according to Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, who is calling for urgent course correction after sweeping changes to U.S. trade policy transformed the once-advantageous partnership into a critical vulnerability for Canada’s economic future.

    In recent remarks, Carney argued that evolving trade priorities out of Washington have eroded the stability that once made close bilateral ties a boon for Canadian economic growth. What once allowed Canadian businesses to reliably access the world’s largest single consumer market has now become a source of systemic risk, he said, leaving Canada overly exposed to sudden shifts in U.S. trade rules, tariff policy changes, and politically driven trade disputes that can disrupt domestic economic activity with little warning.

    Carney’s comments mark a notable shift in Canadian discourse around bilateral relations, opening a new conversation about the need for Canada to diversify its trade partnerships, reduce its overreliance on the U.S. market, and strengthen domestic economic resilience to insulate the country from future trade policy changes originating south of the border. The prime minister framed the push for correction as a pragmatic response to a changed global trade landscape, rather than a rupture in bilateral relations, noting that adapting to Washington’s new policy direction is a necessary step to protect Canada’s long-term economic sovereignty and prosperity.

  • Google denies involvement in $125 million Chromebook graft case in Indonesia

    Google denies involvement in $125 million Chromebook graft case in Indonesia

    JAKARTA, Indonesia – In a high-profile corruption trial unfolding at Jakarta’s Corruption Court, three former Google executives have formally rejected claims that the tech giant was complicit in a massive Chromebook procurement scheme at Indonesia’s Ministry of Education that prosecutors allege cost the state $125 million in losses.

    The case centers on Nadiem Anwar Makarim, the 41-year-old co-founder of Indonesian super app Gojek and Indonesia’s former education minister, who was taken into custody in September following a months-long investigation into alleged graft tied to the 1.2 million-laptop procurement. Prosecutors accuse Makarim, who led the education ministry from 2019 until 2024, of abusing his executive authority to skew the 2020–2021 national procurement contract entirely toward Google’s Chromebook devices, despite internal ministry research findings that the devices would be ineffective for many rural regions of the country that lack consistent broadband internet access.

    The three former Google leaders – Scott Beaumont, who served as Google Asia Pacific president between 2014 and 2019; Caesar Sengupta, a former general manager and vice president at the company from 2018 to 2021; and ex-executive William Florence – testified remotely via Zoom on Monday. All three pushed back on prosecution claims that Google structured a $787 million investment into Gojek’s parent company PT Aplikasi Karya Anak Bangsa (PT AKAB) as a quid pro quo for the lucrative procurement contract.

    “There was no connection at all between Google’s investment in GoTo and any of the conversations with the Ministry of Education,” Beaumont told the three-judge panel hearing the case. Sengupta echoed this denial, rejecting all allegations of coordinated corruption tied to the deal.

    Lead prosecutor Muhammad Fadli Paramajeng has alleged the bulk procurement of Chromebooks was intentionally designed to cement Google’s market dominance in Indonesia’s fast-growing educational technology sector, with the $787 million Google investment into PT AKAB serving as the payout for Makarim’s favor. Prosecutors further claim that Makarim received roughly $48.2 million (809 billion rupiah) in personal benefits tied directly to the contract.

    Google has pushed back on the claims in previous statements, noting that Chromebooks are specifically engineered to meet classroom needs, including in low-connectivity regions. While the devices are optimized for cloud-based functionality, the company confirms they are fully functional offline when internet access is unavailable. Google also emphasized that it only licenses software for Chromebooks and does not control the pricing of devices sold by third-party manufacturers.

    Makarim, a Harvard graduate who co-founded Gojek in 2009, stepped down from the company in 2019 when it was valued at more than $10 billion to join former Indonesian President Joko Widodo’s cabinet. Gojek merged with Indonesia’s largest e-commerce platform Tokopedia in 2021 to form the GoTo Group, the entity referenced by Beaumont during his testimony.

    Prosecutors argue that Makarim’s exit from PT AKAB and Gojek was a deliberate “strategic concealment” to hide his ongoing conflict of interest. They claim he retained indirect control over the company by appointing close personal associates to key director roles as beneficial owners, allowing him to still benefit from the Google investment.

    Makarim has consistently denied all wrongdoing, asserting he never received any personal funds from the procurement deal or associated services. His defense team argues that he fully divested his stake in PT AKAB when he took public office, that his personal net worth dropped by more than 50% during his tenure as minister, and that all procurement decisions were made by technical ministry teams and career officials, not by the minister himself.

    If convicted, Makarim faces a potential sentence of life imprisonment. A verdict is expected as early as this month. Two former Education Ministry officials and one ex-technology consultant have also been charged in connection with the scheme, while a fourth accused individual remains at large.

  • Did Pope Leo find his voice in Africa? Or did America and the world finally hear him

    Did Pope Leo find his voice in Africa? Or did America and the world finally hear him

    LUANDA, Angola — During his landmark multi-nation tour across Africa, Pope Leo XIV has emerged with a forceful rebuke of long-standing oppression holding the continent back, but his blunt words have ignited a transatlantic firestorm tied to the ongoing U.S.-Israeli war in Iran and escalating tensions with the Trump administration.

    The pontiff, a reserved Midwestern Augustinian, drew global attention for denouncing the “handful of tyrants” and “chains of corruption” that have kept African nations trapped in instability for centuries. While many observers framed this address as a direct rebuke of former President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance’s inflammatory rhetoric around the Iran conflict – particularly after Trump’s unprecedented social media attacks and Vance’s claims of American theological superiority – Vatican insiders insist the message was crafted long before the current controversy flared.

    Cardinal Michael Czerny, a senior Vatican official and close aide to Pope Leo, told the Associated Press that the pope’s homilies and public remarks during the Africa trip were developed well in advance, tailored specifically to local contexts and the lived experiences of African Catholic communities. “If they seem relevant to the current wars, controversy, this reminds us of Jesus saying, ‘Whoever has ears to hear, let them hear!’” Czerny said, adding in a colloquial addendum: “Or in popular idiom, ‘If the shoe fits, wear it!’”

    Pope Leo himself pushed back against the narrative of a public feud with Trump during his flight from Cameroon to Angola on April 18, arguing that his criticism of tyrannical rule and religiously justified war had been misinterpreted. He clarified that his remarks were intended specifically to address the long-running separatist conflict in western Cameroon, and broader systemic harms across Africa, not the U.S. president or the Iran conflict.

    Yet analysis from leading Vatican observers suggests the pontiff is walking a careful line between addressing local African issues and making clear his long-held opposition to Trump’s approach to the Iran war. Long before arriving in Africa, Pope Leo had already publicly broken with Trump over the conflict. Two weeks prior to the Africa tour, during an appearance at his Castel Gandolfo country residence, the pope called Trump’s threat to annihilate Iranian civilization “truly unacceptable,” and issued an unprecedented call for Catholic faithful across the world to pressure their elected representatives to end the war.

    Massimo Faggioli, a theology professor at Trinity College Dublin, described that public appeal to voters as “the Vatican’s nuclear option.” Never before in modern history has a pope directly urged American citizens to pressure their lawmakers over an ongoing conflict – not even during the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis, when Catholic U.S. President John F. Kennedy stood on the brink of nuclear war with the Soviet Union. At that time, Pope John XXIII issued a public plea for peace and worked behind the scenes through diplomatic channels to de-escalate tensions, but never called on American voters to take sides between their president and the church. Faggioli noted that the current unprecedented approach stems from genuine Vatican alarm that Trump is prepared to escalate the Iran war into a catastrophic conflict.

    Faggioli added that Pope Leo’s attempt to distance himself from interpretations linking his Africa remarks to Trump was a deliberate de-escalation tactic: the Vatican aims to preserve diplomatic space to push for a ceasefire, and avoid an open public clash that would undermine that goal. He also noted that the ongoing tension between the American pope and American political leaders will create lasting complications for Catholic politicians seeking national office on both sides of the aisle, from Republican JD Vance to Democratic California Governor Gavin Newsom, as long as Pope Leo leads the church.

    Kathleen Sprows Cummings, director of the Global Catholic Research Initiative at the University of Notre Dame, observed that many American Catholics are unaccustomed to seeing the Vatican frame foreign policy as a core moral issue, having grown accustomed to church leadership focusing primarily on social issues like abortion, gender and sexuality. When Vance argues the pope should “stick to morality,” Cummings points out that war and peace have been central moral questions for the faith for millennia.

    Vatican officials emphasize that Pope Leo has not shifted his stance or adopted a new, more confrontational approach – the shift is in the context, not the man. Rev. Antonio Spadaro, secretary of the Vatican’s culture department, said the pontiff is simply continuing the long-standing papal tradition of preaching the Gospel’s call to peace. The reaction, he said, originated from Washington, not the Vatican.

    “It’s very dangerous to imagine that the pope is fighting with Trump, because it means demeaning the pope to a level of contrast, one against the other, which Trump may want but that the pope has no intention of doing,” Spadaro said. From his perspective working alongside Pope Leo, the pontiff remains the same steady, direct leader he has always been – it is the chaotic global political backdrop that makes his calm, unflinching words stand out so sharply today.

    Amid the transatlantic political firestorm, the core purpose of Pope Leo’s four-nation Africa tour has not been overshadowed for the millions of African Catholics who have turned out to greet the first American pope in history. The polyglot pontiff has adapted his messaging to local communities, delivering speeches, homilies and prayers in French for Algerian audiences, English and French for Cameroonians, Portuguese for Angolans, and will switch to Spanish for his upcoming stop in Equatorial Guinea.

    Thirty-thousand pilgrims gathered at Angola’s iconic Shrine of Mama Muxima on Sunday to join Pope Leo for a rosary prayer. Lucineia Francisco, one of the pilgrims in attendance, left her children at home to make the spiritual journey alone. “My kids were crying to come, but I said no,” she explained from the crowded pilgrimage field. “This is a spiritual journey that I’m really going to face on my own.”

  • Are insider traders making millions from the Iran war?

    Are insider traders making millions from the Iran war?

    An investigation by the British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) has uncovered a striking pattern: large, unexplained spikes in trading activity occurred on financial markets in the immediate lead-up to key public announcements from the United States president related to the conflict with Iran. The findings have reignited long-simmering questions about whether individuals with access to non-public intelligence about escalating tensions and potential military action exploited their insider advantage to generate millions of dollars in illegal profits.

  • Bulgaria ex-president wins parliamentary majority

    Bulgaria ex-president wins parliamentary majority

    Nearly complete official results from Bulgaria’s snap parliamentary election confirm a historic landslide victory for former president Rumen Radev’s Progressive Bulgaria alliance, which has secured the first absolute parliamentary majority held by a single political bloc in the country since 1997. The outcome brings an end to nearly four years of chronic political instability that forced the Balkan nation to hold eight consecutive elections since 2021.

    The 62-year-old Radev, a former air force general who stepped down from the presidency earlier this year to run for a parliamentary seat, campaigned on a populist anti-corruption platform aimed at dismantling what he calls Bulgaria’s entrenched “oligarchic governance model”. His coalition captured 44.7 percent of the popular vote with 98.3 percent of ballots counted, putting it on track to control roughly 130 of the 240 seats in Bulgaria’s unicameral parliament. Turnout for Sunday’s vote hit the highest level recorded since 2021, reflecting broad cross-spectrum support for Radev’s pledge to break years of political gridlock.

    The election upends Bulgaria’s existing political order. Longtime pro-EU conservative leader Boyko Borissov’s GERB party, which dominated Bulgarian politics for nearly a decade before 2021, slumped to just 13.4 percent of the vote, barely edging out the liberal pro-EU PP-DB coalition which captured 12.7 percent. Both the far-right Vazrazhdane party and the MRF, a minority-focused party representing Bulgarian Turks and Roma communities, are projected to cross the electoral threshold to win parliamentary seats.

    In his victory address to reporters, Radev framed the win as a transformative shift for Bulgarian politics. “This is an unequivocal win for Progressive Bulgaria – a victory of hope over distrust, a victory of freedom over fear,” he stated. While Radev emphasized that Bulgaria will remain committed to its European integration path, he also pushed back against existing EU policy orthodoxy, noting: “A strong Bulgaria and a strong Europe need critical thinking and pragmatism. Europe has fallen victim to its own ambition to be a moral leader in a world with new rules.”

    Radev’s foreign policy positions have already drawn sharp attention from both Moscow and Brussels. A self-described pragmatist who has emerged as a vocal critic of EU policy, Radev has repeatedly called for the restoration of closer practical ties with Russia, based on mutual respect and equal dialogue. He has opposed Bulgaria’s existing policy of sending military arms to Ukraine, criticized the recent 10-year defense cooperation deal between Sofia and Kyiv, and has argued for a negotiated end to the ongoing conflict. Even so, he has pledged not to use Bulgaria’s EU veto power to block collective EU foreign policy decisions.

    The Kremlin quickly welcomed Radev’s election win. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters Monday that Moscow views Radev’s calls for closer ties with Moscow favorably, adding that the Kremlin also approves of his commitment to resolving international disputes through dialogue. For its part, the European Commission struck a measured tone in its initial reaction. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen reaffirmed that “Bulgaria is a proud member of the European family and plays an important role in tackling our common challenges,” adding that she looks forward to working with the new government.

    Political analysts across Bulgaria have framed the result as a watershed moment, but warn that major questions remain about Radev’s ability to deliver on his core promises. Political analyst Teodor Slavev noted that while Radev’s bloc holds an absolute majority that allows it to govern alone, passing sweeping judicial and constitutional reforms required to root out high-level corruption will need a two-thirds parliamentary majority, forcing Radev to negotiate cross-party support. Daniel Smilov, a political scientist at Sofia’s Center for Liberal Strategies, added that Radev will face persistent pressure from Eurosceptic factions within his own bloc and the far-right opposition to shift Bulgaria toward a more openly anti-EU course. “His initial signals are that he will pursue a pro-European policy and will not block the EU… The whole question is whether those signals will actually be followed through,” Smilov told AFP.

    Outgoing long-time prime minister Boyko Borissov congratulated Radev on his victory Sunday, but offered a cautious note: “Winning elections is one thing, governing is another.”

    The election was overshadowed by long-standing concerns about electoral fraud in Bulgaria. Political parties across the ideological spectrum urged voters to turn out to counter the widespread practice of vote buying. In pre-election anti-corruption raids, Bulgarian police seized more than 1 million euros in suspected vote-buying funds and detained hundreds of people, including sitting local councillors and municipal mayors.

  • Iranian woman arrested in US for allegedly trafficking arms to Sudan

    Iranian woman arrested in US for allegedly trafficking arms to Sudan

    Federal U.S. prosecutors have announced the arrest of an Iranian national and U.S. lawful permanent resident on charges that she ran an illicit arms trafficking network brokering Iranian weapons sales to Sudan’s national military, a scheme that violated sweeping American sanctions imposed on Tehran.

    Forty-four-year-old Shamim Mafi was taken into custody by law enforcement officials at Los Angeles International Airport on Saturday, as she prepared to board an outbound flight to Turkey, according to a public statement posted to X by Bill Essayli, First Assistant U.S. Attorney for the Central District of California. Court documents unsealed following the arrest detail accusations that Mafi coordinated multiple large-scale arms deals directly with Sudan’s Ministry of Defense, moving military hardware produced by Iranian manufacturers into the war-torn Northeast African nation.

    The most high-value transaction cited in filings is a $70 million (€60 million / £52 million) contract for unmanned aerial drones, a deal for which Mafi is alleged to have arranged travel for a Sudanese official delegation to Iran, collected more than €6 million in payments from the Sudanese side, issued official payment receipts, and coordinated logistics between Iranian producers and Sudanese military buyers. Court records also add that Mafi formally submitted a letter of intent to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) to broker a separate agreement for 55,000 bomb fuses, alongside additional deals for conventional bombs and millions of rounds of small-arms ammunition.

    To hide the transactions from U.S. regulators, prosecutors say Mafi deliberately structured deals to bypass oversight, repeatedly using unregulated informal currency exchange entities across multiple transactions in a calculated effort to evade American sanctions that ban any U.S.-based person or resident from engaging in unauthorised commercial activity involving Iranian goods or services. Essayli’s public announcement included accompanying images: one shows a woman believed to be Mafi detained by airport security personnel, while others show a military drone on an airfield tarmac and stacks of bundled cash linked to the alleged scheme.

    Mafi, who became a U.S. lawful permanent resident in 2016, has not yet issued any public statement responding to the charges against her. She is scheduled to make her first court appearance for the case on Monday, and if convicted on all counts, she faces a maximum possible prison sentence of 20 years behind bars.

    The allegations come against the backdrop of a devastating three-year civil war in Sudan, which has pitted the country’s formal national army against the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF). The United Nations has labeled the conflict the world’s worst ongoing humanitarian catastrophe, with tens of thousands of civilians and combatants killed, more than 7 million people internally displaced or refuged across neighboring borders, and widespread famine and collapse of basic public services across large swathes of the country.

    For months, global human rights watchdogs have documented widespread foreign arms flows to both warring parties, which international observers say have prolonged and intensified the violence. Amnesty International previously published research confirming that weapons manufactured in countries including China, Russia, Serbia, Turkey, the United Arab Emirates, and Yemen have been recovered from battlefields in Sudan. Tehran has repeatedly been accused of supplying military support including weapons to Sudan’s army, allegations that Sudanese government officials have repeatedly denied in past statements.

  • Tired of political turmoil, Bulgarians give ex-president a convincing mandate for change

    Tired of political turmoil, Bulgarians give ex-president a convincing mandate for change

    SOFIA, Bulgaria — In a result that reshapes Bulgaria’s turbulent political landscape, the nation’s central electoral commission confirmed Monday that former president Rumen Radev’s center-left Progressive Bulgaria coalition has won a decisive majority in the country’s latest parliamentary election, bringing a close to five years of fragmented governance and unstable short-lived governments.

    With 96% of all ballots processed by Monday morning, early official data put the Radev-led coalition at 44.7% of the popular vote — a lead of more than 20 percentage points over its nearest competitors. Former prime minister Boyko Borissov’s long-dominant center-right GERB party captured 13.4% of the vote, while the pro-Western We Continue the Change-led reformist bloc followed closely at 12.9%, with the two rival groups running nearly neck-and-neck for second place. Latest projections indicate only two additional political parties will cross the electoral threshold to claim seats in the 240-seat national legislature, streamlining the chamber after years of splintered representation.

    Shortly after results were published, Borissov publicly conceded defeat and extended formal congratulations to the winning coalition. Radev, for his part, framed his coalition’s victory as a defining turning point for the Balkan nation. Addressing reporters, he called the outcome “unequivocal,” describing it as “a victory of hope over distrust, a victory of freedom over fear.” He reaffirmed that Bulgaria will remain committed to its integration trajectory with the European Union, while adding a note of pragmatic critique: “But believe me, a strong Bulgaria and a strong Europe need critical thinking and pragmatism. Europe has fallen victim to its own ambition to be a moral leader in a world without rules.”

    The 62-year-old former fighter pilot, who holds a master’s degree in Strategic Studies from the U.S. Air War College and previously served as commander of the Bulgarian Air Force, resigned from his largely ceremonial presidential post in January, several months ahead of the end of his second term, to launch a bid for the far more powerful position of prime minister.

    Throughout his two terms as president, Radev gained widespread recognition for his open sympathy toward Moscow, repeatedly opposing European Union-led initiatives to supply military aid to Ukraine following Russia’s full-scale invasion. He has long argued that military support for Kyiv risks dragging Bulgaria directly into the conflict, and has repeatedly called for the resumption of diplomatic negotiations with Russia to end the war. His coalition of supporters draws two distinct camps: one faction that backs him as an anti-corruption outsider committed to rooting out entrenched graft, and another that aligns closely with his Euroskeptic, Russia-leaning policy stances.

    Bulgaria, a NATO and EU member state of 6.5 million people, has faced long-standing international criticism for its failure to tackle systemic corruption and address persistent gaps in the rule of law. Since 2021, repeated elections have produced only fragmented parliaments and weak coalition governments, none of which have lasted longer than 12 months before collapsing amid street protests or parliamentary power struggles. The previous conservative administration fell in December after mass nationwide anti-corruption protests drew hundreds of thousands of predominantly young Bulgarians to the capital’s streets. Radev capitalized on this public anger, positioning himself as a staunch opponent of the entrenched oligarchic networks that have long been accused of colluding with top political figures. During his campaign, he made a core promise to “remove the corrupt, oligarchic model of governance from political power.”

    After years of repeated election cycles and constant political upheaval, ordinary Sofia residents expressed mixed reactions to the landslide result. Nikoleta Dimitrova, a 37-year-old shop assistant working in the capital, said she welcomed the shift and hoped for lasting institutional reform. “Above all, we expect a more stable judicial system, and for trust in institutions to truly be restored. Until now, they have been heavily influenced by various figures, many of whom, as we can see from the current results, have now left the government,” she explained. Others remained more skeptical, however. Cveta Gerogieva, a 55-year-old accountant, cautioned that long-term stability remains far from guaranteed. “I hope that we will really live a better life, but I am not sure that there will be stability for a long period. Probably we will vote again,” she said.

  • Japan’s drill role stirs unease

    Japan’s drill role stirs unease

    Japan’s historic upgrade from observer to active participant in the annual US-Philippine Balikatan military exercises has ignited fresh debate across Southeast Asia, with regional analysts warning that the deployment threatens to test the ASEAN bloc’s long-standing commitment to neutrality and force leaders to confront unresolved historical tensions from World War II. Running from April 21 to May 8 on Philippine territory, this year’s exercise will see approximately 1,400 Japanese Self-Defense Forces personnel join the drills, making Japan the third-largest contributing nation behind hosts the Philippines and lead organizer the United States. Additional troops from Australia, Canada, France, and New Zealand will also take part in the multinational exercise, which experts frame as a core component of Washington’s expanding regional security outreach.

    Julia Roknifard, a senior lecturer in law and governance at Malaysia’s Taylor’s University, explains that while participation in the drill does not inherently require full political alignment with Washington for participating nations, Japan’s stepped-up involvement this year marks a distinctly provocative shift. Her criticism comes in the wake of recent inflammatory remarks and policy moves from Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, including provocative statements regarding China’s Taiwan region. For ASEAN member states that have joined the exercise, Roknifard argues, it is critical to explicitly clarify that their involvement reflects routine security partnership rather than a partisan political alignment, to uphold the bloc’s formal neutral posture.

    Hiroshi Shiratori, a professor of political science at Tokyo’s Hosei University, points to a deeper identity shift driving regional anxiety: Japan’s increasingly assertive defense policy marks a visible departure from its post-World War II commitment to prioritizing peace, diplomatic negotiation, and dialogue, a shift that many neighboring states are already viewing with suspicion. If this perception solidifies across the region, Shiratori warns, Tokyo could quickly become framed as a new source of strategic instability in Southeast Asia.

    Not all analysis points to outright opposition to expanded Japanese security cooperation. Lucio Blanco Pitlo III, president of the Philippine Association for Chinese Studies, notes that many ASEAN states are open to Japanese partnership on shared transnational security challenges, including counter-piracy operations and responses to maritime pollution. The friction emerges, he argues, when discussions turn to restructuring the broader regional security order. Pitlo highlights persistent regional skepticism of the push for a so-called “Asian NATO” — a framework that Japan has promoted alongside a small group of like-minded partners. Instead of exclusive, security-focused blocs, he says, most ASEAN members prefer broad minilateral arrangements that integrate security cooperation with investment, technology, and other development priorities.

    Unresolved historical trauma continues to shape regional attitudes toward Japan’s expanding military footprint. Roknifard emphasizes that the scars of Japanese wartime occupation across Southeast Asia have never fully healed, with public tensions flaring regularly in response to high-profile actions by Japanese leaders. She cites the widespread public backlash that emerged in Malaysia after reports that Takaichi visited a Japanese cemetery in Kuala Lumpur during an October ASEAN Summit trip as a clear example of this lingering sensitivity.

    Anna Rosario Malindog-Uy, vice president of the Asian Century Philippines Strategic Studies Institute in Manila, echoes this observation, noting that Japan’s growing military role in the region still carries heavy historical baggage that has spawned what she calls “quiet unease” across Southeast Asian capitals. For ASEAN leaders, she argues, the key challenge is navigating a careful hedging strategy that accommodates Japan’s expanding security engagement without aligning fully with Tokyo’s strategic goals, while preserving balanced diplomatic and economic ties with other major regional powers including China. “ASEAN does not erase history but manages it,” she explains of the bloc’s balancing approach.

    Malindog-Uy also warns that Japan’s upgraded participation this year could set a dangerous precedent, opening the door for more external powers to demand similar active military roles in Southeast Asian exercises, further complicating regional stability.

    Former Japanese senior Foreign Ministry official Ukeru Magosaki, now director of the East Asian Community Institute in Tokyo, contextualizes the drill within Washington’s broader regional strategy. He notes that the Biden administration has framed Beijing as its primary strategic rival in the Indo-Pacific, and the expansion of Balikatan to include active Japanese participation is part of a coordinated policy to link Japan, the Philippines, and China’s Taiwan region in a unified counterbalance to China. Despite this coordinated push, Magosaki argues that the move is unlikely to fundamentally shift the existing balance of power across the Indo-Pacific.

  • India and South Korea agree to nearly double trade to $50B by 2030

    India and South Korea agree to nearly double trade to $50B by 2030

    NEW DELHI – In a high-stakes diplomatic meeting held in the Indian capital on Monday, South Korean President Lee Jae Myung and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi have announced a bold new commitment to expand bilateral economic and strategic cooperation, setting an ambitious target to nearly double two-way trade by the end of the decade.

    Against a backdrop of growing global economic volatility and widespread supply chain disruptions stoked by ongoing conflict in Iran, the two leaders framed the expanded partnership as a mutually beneficial step to shore up economic stability for both nations. Modi outlined that the current annual trade volume between the two countries sits at roughly $27 billion, with the new goal to push that figure to $50 billion by 2030. To hit this target, the countries will focus on reinforcing interconnected supply chains, easing barriers to improve market access for businesses on both sides, and creating more favorable conditions for increased cross-border investment.

    “India and South Korea are going to transform their trusted ties into a futuristic partnership,” Modi stated during the meeting, emphasizing the long-term strategic vision guiding the new agreement.

    President Lee echoed this sentiment, confirming that the two sides had reached a consensus to substantially upgrade their economic cooperation framework, with targeted focus on high-growth, strategically important sectors including shipbuilding, national defense, and artificial intelligence. Beyond these areas, Lee added that the partnership will also broaden industrial collaboration, ramp up trade and investment flows in advanced manufacturing, and deepen cooperation in sensitive, critical sectors ranging from essential critical minerals to civilian nuclear energy.

    To directly address growing risks of supply chain disruptions from Middle East tensions, President Lee revealed that South Korea is proactively moving to increase imports of naphtha, a key crude oil derivative used in petrochemical manufacturing, from India. This strategic shift is designed to cushion South Korean markets against potential supply shocks linked to regional instability. Last year, India already supplied roughly 8% of South Korea’s total naphtha imports, a share that is set to rise in the coming months under the new agreement.

    Following the conclusion of his official visit to India, Lee is scheduled to travel next to Vietnam for the next stop of his regional diplomatic tour.

  • US and allied forces kick off combat drills with Philippines despite Washington’s focus on Iran

    US and allied forces kick off combat drills with Philippines despite Washington’s focus on Iran

    MANILA, Philippines – The United States and the Philippines officially launched one of the largest joint military exercises in their alliance’s history on Monday, rolling out an annual show of coordinated military capability designed to strengthen deterrence against regional aggression, even as Washington remains heavily engaged in ongoing conflict in the Middle East.

    This year’s drills mark a significant expansion, with the Philippine military confirming that troops from several extra nations – including Japan, France, and Canada, all of which have existing visiting forces agreements with Manila – will join the exercises for the first time. Known as Balikatan – a Tagalog term meaning “shoulder-to-shoulder” – the drills bring together more than 17,000 military personnel from the US and Philippines alone, with roughly 10,000 of those being American service members. The 18-day exercise will include simulated battle scenarios and live-fire training drills across multiple locations, including Philippine provinces adjacent to the contested South China Sea and the Taiwan Strait.

    The large American deployment comes even as the US faces heightened tensions in the Middle East, a point US military leaders emphasized to underscore Washington’s unwavering focus on the Indo-Pacific region. “Regardless of the challenges elsewhere in the world, the United States focus on the Indo-Pacific and our ironclad commitment to the Philippines remains unwavering,” Marine Lieutenant General Christian Wortman stated during the official opening ceremony of the drills.

    General Romeo Brawner, chief of staff of the Armed Forces of the Philippines, framed the multinational drills as a critical step to build collective deterrence and resilience against destabilizing actions in the region. While Brawner did not name any specific country in his opening address, he has previously issued strong public criticism of China’s increasingly assertive military and maritime operations against Philippine navy and coast guard assets in the South China Sea. Beijing claims nearly the entire strategic waterway as its sovereign territory, a claim rejected by multiple other regional governments including the Philippines, Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei, and Taiwan. The waterway is one of the world’s most critical shipping lanes, carrying roughly one-third of global maritime trade, and territorial standoffs between Chinese and Filipino forces have grown more frequent and intense in recent years.

    China has repeatedly voiced opposition to the joint US-Philippine exercises, arguing that they are part of a broader Western strategy to contain China’s growing global influence. Philippine military officials have pushed back on this framing, insisting that Balikatan is not targeted at any single nation, and that the drills also include training for rapid humanitarian response to natural disasters, a frequent need across the typhoon-prone Philippine archipelago.

    The US has repeatedly reaffirmed its long-standing mutual defense treaty with the Philippines, its oldest Asian ally, warning that it is legally obligated to come to the Philippines’ defense if Philippine forces come under armed attack in disputed regional waters. “We remain guided by a shared commitment to uphold international law, to respect sovereignty and to contribute to a free and open Indo-Pacific where nations can thrive without coercion,” Brawner added.

    In one of the most high-profile drills planned, Philippine marine colonel Dennis Hernandez confirmed to the Associated Press that Japanese forces will conduct a live missile strike from coastal areas of Ilocos Norte, a northwestern Philippine province, to sink a decommissioned ship acting as a mock enemy target approximately 40 kilometers off the coast in the outer areas of the South China Sea. US marine units will follow up the strike by using an explosive-laden drone to conduct additional bombardment of the target, Hernandez said.

    During a 2025 visit to Manila, US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth told Philippine officials that the current US administration would work closely with regional allies to ramp up deterrence against global threats, specifically highlighting Chinese aggression in the South China Sea. “Friends need to stand shoulder to shoulder to deter conflict, to ensure that there is free navigation whether you call it the South China Sea or the West Philippine Sea,” Hegseth told Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. during the meeting.

    This report was compiled with contributions from AP writers Joeal Calupitan and Aaron Favila in Manila, Philippines.