分类: politics

  • New alliances shakes up Nigerian political landscape

    New alliances shakes up Nigerian political landscape

    Nigeria’s political landscape is bracing for a major shift nine months ahead of the 2026 presidential election, as two of the country’s highest-profile opposition figures have announced a surprise party switch that could upend the race against incumbent President Bola Tinubu.

    Former governors Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso, who placed third and fourth respectively in the 2023 presidential contest, formally joined the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC) during a ceremony at the party’s Abuja national headquarters on Sunday, where they were welcomed by NDC national leader Senator Seriake Dickson. The move opens the door for a united opposition joint ticket to challenge Tinubu’s ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) in the January 2026 vote.

    Prior to this switch, Obi and Kwankwaso were members of the African Democratic Congress (ADC), alongside 2023’s second-place finisher, former Vice-President Atiku Abubakar. Their exit from the ADC comes less than a year after all three opposition heavyweights merged into the party, an alliance that quickly collapsed amid messy public legal disputes over party leadership.

    Obi, who ran as the Labour Party’s 2023 presidential candidate before leaving the party, blamed the infighting on interference from the ruling government. “The same Nigerian state and its agents that created unnecessary crises and hostility within the Labour Party that forced me to leave now appear to be finding their way into the ADC,” he stated in his remarks on Sunday. Allies of President Tinubu have rejected these claims, denying any coordinated effort to sabotage opposition political groups.

    While some political observers frame the split as further fragmentation of Nigeria’s already fractured opposition, supporters of the new NDC alliance argue the move will eliminate internal chaos and create a more cohesive, focused challenge to the APC. Both Obi and Kwankwaso bring distinct, complementary electoral strengths to the new party: Obi commands massive, enthusiastic support from young voters across Nigeria’s southern regions, while Kwankwaso holds substantial political influence in the country’s populous north. Both have built robust grassroots followings from their tenures as state governors.

    Following their formal induction into the NDC, Obi and Kwankwaso issued calls for national unity, expanded economic and social opportunities for Nigeria’s large youth population, and an end to the persistent internal infighting that has weakened the country’s opposition movements in past elections.

    Political analyst Bala Yusuf told the BBC that the party switch has the potential to completely redraw Nigeria’s electoral map ahead of next year’s vote. “If the NDC fields Obi as its presidential candidate and Kwankwaso as vice-president, they will definitely give the ruling APC a run for their money at the polls,” Yusuf noted.

    One key unresolved question remains: the alliance has not yet announced who will take the top spot on the presidential ticket, a contentious issue that has sunk previous opposition power-sharing deals in Nigeria. President Tinubu, who assumed office in May 2023, has not yet issued any public response to the opposition’s latest restructuring.

    Next January’s election will mark Nigeria’s eighth democratic presidential contest since the end of military rule in 1999.

  • Modi’s party is set to take control of West Bengal in key election, dealing a blow to opposition

    Modi’s party is set to take control of West Bengal in key election, dealing a blow to opposition

    NEW DELHI – A series of staggered state elections across India are on track to reshape the country’s national political balance, with Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) positioned to secure a historic breakthrough in West Bengal, one of the opposition’s longest-held strongholds.

    Partial results released by India’s Election Commission show the Hindu nationalist BJP leading in at least 190 of the 294 seats in West Bengal’s state legislative assembly, with final official counts scheduled to be confirmed by Monday evening. If the projected results hold, this will mark the first time the BJP has claimed governing power in West Bengal, a politically critical state where the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC), led by Modi’s most vocal national critic Mamata Banerjee, has held office since 2011. Banerjee’s party spent more than a decade building a regional political fortress in the state, and the BJP’s efforts to unseat her administration have stretched across multiple election cycles.

    The projected outcome already carries major national ramifications for Modi midway through his third term as prime minister. Following the 2024 general election, the BJP was forced to rely on a coalition of smaller regional allies to form a majority government. A historic win in West Bengal is expected to bolster Modi’s domestic political standing, cement his authority within the ruling alliance, and clear a path for his planned 2029 campaign for a fourth consecutive term – a record in modern Indian politics.

    For India’s fragmented national opposition, the projected loss in West Bengal represents a severe setback. Banerjee had positioned herself as the de facto leader of a loose coalition of regional anti-BJP parties, working to unify disparate opposition groups against the ruling party’s nationwide dominance. Her defeat is expected to weaken her bargaining power within the already divided opposition bloc, which has long struggled to put forward a unified, sustained challenge to Modi’s popularity.

    The West Bengal poll has already been mired in controversy, with opposition leaders issuing sharp criticism after the Election Commission removed millions of names from the state’s electoral rolls ahead of voting. The election commission’s decision to purge the voter rolls sparked widespread accusations of bias favoring the ruling BJP, claims that have added tension to the already high-stakes contest.

    West Bengal is not the only state facing a political shift in this round of India’s regularly scheduled state elections, which are held on staggered cycles across the country’s 28 states and 8 federal territories. Three other states also held elections alongside West Bengal, each delivering surprising results that upend local political orders.

    In the southern developed state of Tamil Nadu, a relatively new political party led by massively popular Tamil film star Joseph Vijay is on track to oust the incumbent DMK government. Vijay launched his Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam party just two years ago, marking one of the fastest political rises in modern Indian politics – a path that mirrors a longstanding tradition in Tamil Nadu, where film stars have repeatedly won election to the state’s highest office.

    In Kerala, another southern Indian state, the opposition bloc led by the Indian National Congress is projected to defeat the incumbent Communist Party of India (Marxist) government, ending decades of continuous leftist rule in one of the last remaining strongholds of communist governance in India.

    In the northeastern state of Assam, meanwhile, Modi’s BJP is set to return to power for a third consecutive term, extending its hold on the region and solidifying its status as the dominant political force across most of India.

  • Iran warns will attack US forces in Hormuz after Trump announces escort plan

    Iran warns will attack US forces in Hormuz after Trump announces escort plan

    Tensions between the United States and Iran have spiked dramatically in the strategic Strait of Hormuz, after former U.S. President Donald Trump announced a new U.S. military escort mission for commercial shipping through the waterway, prompting Tehran to issue an explicit threat to attack any American forces that enter the strait.

    The current standoff stems from a months-long conflict that has deadlocked diplomatic negotiations since a ceasefire between the U.S.-Israeli coalition and Iran went into effect on April 8. At the heart of the dispute is Iran’s decision to block access to the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global chokepoint that carries a third of the world’s seaborne oil and natural gas exports, along with key supplies of agricultural fertilizer. Iran’s blockade has choked off global energy and commodity flows, while the U.S. has retaliated with its own counter-blockade of Iranian ports.

    On Sunday, Trump took to his social platform Truth Social to unveil the new maritime escort operation, which he branded “Project Freedom”. He framed the mission as a humanitarian intervention, designed to assist hundreds of commercial ships and crews trapped in the Gulf region, many of which are facing dwindling supplies of food and essential provisions. “We will use best efforts to get their Ships and Crews safely out of the Strait. In all cases, they said they will not be returning until the area becomes safe for navigation,” Trump wrote, confirming the operation would get underway on Monday.

    The U.S. leader also noted that his diplomatic representatives were holding constructive talks with Iranian officials, adding that ongoing discussions could yield a mutually beneficial agreement for both sides. Notably, however, he made no public reference to the 14-point peace proposal that Tehran says it submitted last week to end the conflict, which includes a one-month deadline for negotiations to reopen the strait, lift the U.S. blockade, and formally end hostilities, according to U.S. news outlet Axios, which cited two anonymous sources briefed on the Iranian plan.

    Within hours of Trump’s announcement, Iran’s military central command issued a firm rebuke. In a statement carried by Iranian state broadcaster IRIB, Major General Ali Abdollahi emphasized that all safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz must be coordinated with Iranian forces under any circumstances. “We warn that any foreign armed force — especially the aggressive US military — if they intend to approach or enter the Strait of Hormuz, will be targeted and attacked,” Abdollahi said. The Iranian Revolutionary Guards doubled down on the warning Sunday, framing Trump’s choice as a binary one: “an impossible operation or a bad deal with the Islamic Republic of Iran.”

    U.S. Central Command has assembled a large-scale force for the Hormuz mission, including guided-missile destroyers, more than 100 land and sea-based aircraft, advanced multi-domain unmanned surveillance and strike platforms, and 15,000 active-duty service members. As of April 29, maritime intelligence firm AXSMarine recorded more than 900 commercial vessels stuck in the Gulf region amid the ongoing blockade.

    The escalating standoff has sparked deep concern among U.S. European allies, who face major economic damage from prolonged closure of the strait. German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul publicly called for the immediate reopening of the waterway, and in a call with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, Wadephul stressed that Germany supported a negotiated settlement, but insisted “Iran must completely and verifiably renounce nuclear weapons and immediately open the Strait of Hormuz.”

    French President Emmanuel Macron, who has led efforts to organize an international coalition to secure the strait alongside Britain and other partners, said the only viable path forward is “a coordinated reopening by the United States and Iran.”

    Global energy markets have already been roiled by the blockade: current oil prices sit roughly 50 percent higher than pre-conflict levels, driven almost entirely by supply chain disruptions through the strait.

    Trump, who spent the weekend at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida, declined to specify what actions would prompt new U.S. military strikes against Iran, but warned that any interference with the humanitarian escort mission would be met with force. “If in any way, this Humanitarian (ship-guiding) process is interfered with, that interference will, unfortunately, have to be dealt with forcefully,” he wrote.

    U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent doubled down on Washington’s pressure campaign, telling Fox News that the U.S. naval blockade is part of a sweeping economic embargo designed to cripple the Iranian government. “We are suffocating the regime, and they are not able to pay their soldiers,” Bessent said. “This is a real economic blockade, and it is in all parts of government.”

  • In Wales, UK Labour Party loses grip on storied heartland

    In Wales, UK Labour Party loses grip on storied heartland

    For more than 100 years, Wales – the birthplace of the UK’s beloved National Health Service and a once-thriving industrial powerhouse – has stood as an unshakable stronghold of the UK Labour Party. Woven into the very identity of the nation’s working-class communities, Labour’s roots here run deep: the party’s first leader, Keir Hardie, held a seat in the industrial South Valleys, and Welsh statesman Aneurin Bevan founded the NHS in 1948. Since the creation of Wales’ devolved parliament, the Senedd, in 1999, Labour has held uninterrupted control of the regional government, overseeing key portfolios from healthcare to education. But that decades-long hold is on the brink of collapse ahead of the May 7 Senedd elections, as persistent cost-of-living crises push long-loyal voters to abandon historic political loyalties for anti-establishment alternatives.

    Polling data widely projects Labour’s 27-year run of devolved government will end this election cycle. The new proportional voting system leaves the final outcome unclear, but surveys show Labour trails both the hard-right Reform UK and progressive Welsh nationalist party Plaid Cymru, mirroring a national trend where the ruling Labour Party faces unprecedented pressure from both the far left and far right of the political spectrum. A defeat in Wales would deliver a devastating blow to UK Labour leader Keir Starmer, who has led the party for two years, and is expected to fuel growing calls for his resignation from within party ranks.

    Many long-time Labour voters say the party has abandoned its working-class roots, pushing them to seek options elsewhere. Ross Mumford, a 59-year-old delivery driver in Cardiff who has voted Labour his entire life, following the same loyalty as his father and grandfather, called the break from Labour a generational end to a family tradition. Critical of Starmer’s handling of the Peter Mandelson scandal, which he accuses the leader of lying about, Mumford will now cast his vote for Reform UK, drawn to party leader Nigel Farage’s reputation as a straight-talking outsider. “Let’s give them a try. What have we got to lose?” he said, echoing a common sentiment among voters frustrated by Labour’s governance since the party took power from the Conservatives in 2024 after 14 years of Conservative rule.

    Hope Porter, a 35-year-old artist and former Labour voter in Cardiff, plans to vote for the left-wing Green Party, angered by Starmer’s stance on the Israel-Gaza conflict. “They’re Tories in red at this point. I don’t think they are actually for working class people anymore,” she said. Not all long-time supporters have abandoned the party, however. Sitting near a statue of Aneurin Bevan in central Cardiff, 83-year-old retiree Sue Jenkins says she remains loyal to Labour. While she acknowledges Starmer could improve his performance, she praises his stance against former U.S. President Donald Trump over the U.S.-Israel conflict. “If Labour don’t get in, I’ll be very upset,” she said.

    Labour candidate Huw Thomas argues that the complex new voting system makes an overall majority for any party unlikely, leaving the race wide open. “The narrative that this is the end of the Labour Party in Wales, I don’t think that’s a given,” he told reporters. On the campaign trail in traditional Labour territories, anti-establishment parties are seeing unprecedented momentum. In Merthyr Tydfil, 23 miles north of Cardiff where Keir Hardie once served as MP, Reform UK volunteers distribute campaign fliers to passing voters, drawing honks of support from drivers and occasional criticism from opponents. The town, once a global hub of coal mining and iron production, still struggles with high unemployment and systemic deprivation, says Reform candidate David Hughes. “People are losing hope,” he noted.

    Robert Clarke, a 69-year-old Reform volunteer, cites the party’s pledges to scrap net-zero climate targets – he opposes large-scale wind farm development across Wales’ scenic countryside – and crack down on irregular migration as key reasons for his support. “Unless we change the direction this country is taking, I feel my grandchildren will not have a country,” he said. Further south in the market town of Pontypridd, Plaid Cymru campaigners are also capitalizing on voter discontent, knocking on doors in what has long been safe Labour territory. Candidate Heledd Fychan says the party is drawing thousands of disaffected Labour voters, who feel betrayed by Starmer’s decision to cut heating subsidies for elderly residents. “We’re definitely picking up disaffected voters,” Fychan said. Retired teacher Ceri James, 65, of Cardiff, says he will vote Plaid Cymru for their positive, community-focused policy agenda.

    Political analysts say a Labour loss in Wales would trigger immediate turmoil at the national level, with widespread speculation that disgruntled Labour MPs in Westminster would move to oust Starmer from his leadership position. Laura McAllister, a politics professor at Cardiff University, told AFP that a defeat “will pose enormous problems for the party.” As voters prepare to head to the polls, the election is set to be one of the most significant political shifts in modern Welsh history, ending an era of unbroken Labour rule and reshaping the future of UK politics.

  • European leaders see Trump’s troop drawdown from Germany as new proof they must go it alone

    European leaders see Trump’s troop drawdown from Germany as new proof they must go it alone

    YEREVAN, ARMENIA – During a gathering of European leadership in the Armenian capital this week, top European officials have reacted with surprise to U.S. President Donald Trump’s unexpected announcement that he plans to withdraw far more American troops from Germany than initially disclosed, with many framing the move as a long-delayed wake-up call for Europe to take full ownership of its own regional security.

    The Pentagon first made public last week that it would withdraw approximately 5,000 U.S. service members from German military bases. But during a press briefing Saturday, Trump upended that plan by confirming the final drawdown would be far deeper than the 5,000-troop figure, offering no public explanation for the sudden scaling back of the U.S. military presence on European soil. The unanticipated decision caught NATO alliance leadership completely off guard, and comes amid a rapidly escalating public dispute between Trump and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz over the ongoing U.S.-led Israeli war on Iran. A core source of Trump’s frustration has been the widespread reluctance among European NATO allies to commit military support or operational access to the Middle East conflict.

    Speaking to reporters on the sidelines of the European summit Monday, Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre downplayed the immediate stakes of the drawdown, while acknowledging the shifting security dynamic across the transatlantic alliance. “I wouldn’t exaggerate that because I think we are expecting that Europe is taking more charge of its own security,” Støre said. “I do not see those figures as dramatic, but I think they should be handled in a harmonious way inside the framework of NATO.”

    European Union foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas noted that discussions about a potential U.S. troop drawdown from Europe have circulated for years, but admitted the sudden timing of Trump’s announcement took the bloc by surprise. “There has been a talk about withdrawal of U.S. troops for a long time from Europe. But of course, the timing of this announcement comes as a surprise,” Kallas said. When asked if the move is intended as a direct rebuke of Merz, who recently stated the U.S. had been humiliated by Iran during ceasefire negotiations, Kallas declined to speculate. “I don’t see into the head of President Trump, so he has to explain it himself,” she added.

    NATO leadership has moved quickly to clarify the alliance’s position, with a spokesperson noting over the weekend that officials from the 32-nation bloc are currently working with U.S. counterparts to work out the full details of the revised force posture in Germany. NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte, who has long positioned himself as a key liaison between Trump and European allies, also sought to soften the impact of the announcement, acknowledging that the White House has been clear about its disappointment over limited European backing for the Iran war.

    Multiple major European powers have already rejected U.S. requests for unrestricted access to their national military bases and airspace for operations targeting Iran. Spain has gone the furthest, formally barring U.S. forces from using its Spanish-based infrastructure and airspace for any activities related to the Iran conflict. Even the United Kingdom and France, traditional U.S. security partners, have declined to grant the unrestricted access the White House has requested. Europe has also refused to commit forces to patrol the critical Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint for nearly 20% of the world’s daily oil trade, until a ceasefire is reached in the war.

    Notably, European allies and Canada have been aware since Trump’s return to the White House last year that he intended to draw down U.S. troop levels in Europe; a small contingent of U.S. forces already withdrew from Romania last October. U.S. officials had previously pledged to coordinate all troop movement adjustments with NATO allies to avoid creating a destabilizing security gap across the continent. Rutte, who has openly praised Trump’s leadership within NATO despite the U.S. president’s repeated criticism of most alliance members, said the message from Washington has been received. “I would say the Europeans have heard a message. They are now making sure that all the bilateral basing agreements are being implemented,” Rutte said.

    Rutte added that European nations have already moved to pre-position key military assets closer to potential conflict zones in preparation for the next phase of transatlantic security alignment, though he offered no specific details on what assets would be moved or where they would be stationed. Additional reporting for this story was filed from Brussels by AP correspondent Dustin Cook.

  • Japan and Australia agree to deepen cooperation on energy, defense and critical minerals

    Japan and Australia agree to deepen cooperation on energy, defense and critical minerals

    CANBERRA, Australia – In a landmark first visit to Australia by Japan’s sitting Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, the top leaders of the two Indo-Pacific nations have pledged to expand comprehensive strategic cooperation across energy security, defense collaboration, and critical minerals development, as escalating conflict in Iran raises fresh fears of disruption to global supply chains.

    Takaichi held official strategic talks with Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese at Australia’s Parliament House in Canberra on Monday, covering a broad swath of regional and global issues ranging from China’s regional influence, developments in Southeast Asia and Pacific Island nations, to nuclear non-proliferation and the ongoing issue of North Korean abductions of Japanese citizens.

    Addressing reporters after the closed-door discussions, Takaichi emphasized that any prolonged disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz — a critical chokepoint for 20% of the world’s daily oil trade — would send severe shockwaves through the Indo-Pacific region. “We affirmed that Japan and Australia will maintain close communication and respond to this developing situation with a strong sense of urgency,” she said via an interpreter.

    Bilateral energy ties already form a backbone of the two nations’ relationship: Australia currently supplies nearly half of Japan’s total liquefied natural gas imports, while Japan ranks among Australia’s top five suppliers of refined gasoline and diesel. This existing partnership has taken on new urgency in recent months, after Israeli and U.S. strikes on Iranian targets starting in February triggered supply chain disruptions that forced Albanese to embark on a regional tour of Singapore, Brunei and Malaysia in recent weeks to shore up Australian fuel supplies.

    Albanese noted that the new set of bilateral agreements reached Monday would protect both nations from growing global volatility. “For Australians, it will mean we are less vulnerable to global shocks like we are seeing right now because of conflict in the Middle East,” he said. “Our joint statement on energy security reaffirms our commitment to navigate the current energy crisis together and maintain open trade flows of essential energy goods including liquid fuels and gas.”

    A core new commitment in the agreements elevates critical minerals cooperation to a central pillar of the bilateral economic security relationship, directly targeting China’s dominant grip on global heavy rare earth processing — a sector critical to manufacturing heat-resistant high-strength magnets used in defense systems and electric vehicle batteries. The joint statement issued by both leaders explicitly raised “strong concerns over all forms of economic coercion, and the use of non-market policies and practices that are leading to harmful overcapacity and market distortions, as well as export restrictions, particularly on critical minerals.” To advance this partnership, the Australian government will commit up to 1.3 billion Australian dollars (US$930 million) to support joint critical minerals development projects involving Japanese partners.

    The talks also produced new advances in defense cooperation, coming just two weeks after Japanese and Australian defense ministers signed contracts to launch construction of a AU$10 billion (US$6.5 billion) fleet of Japanese-designed frigates for the Royal Australian Navy. Under the deal, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries will build the first three Mogami-class frigates in Japanese shipyards, with an additional eight vessels to be constructed locally at a Western Australian shipyard.

    In a light-hearted moment following the formal talks, Albanese — an amateur disc jockey who performs at charity events under the stage name DJ Albo — joked about Takaichi’s well-documented passion for heavy metal music. “Sanae and I will spend more time together later today and we will continue our discussions including on issues like heavy metal music and other important matters of state,” he said.

    Albanese added that the expanded partnership will deliver tangible benefits to residents of both nations, as the world grapples with growing geopolitical uncertainty that threatens global trade and economic stability.

  • Western Australia moves to ban no grounds evictions, but industry warns there would be ‘no winners’

    Western Australia moves to ban no grounds evictions, but industry warns there would be ‘no winners’

    Western Australia has become the latest Australian state to advance sweeping rental market reforms centered on a full ban on no-grounds evictions, a policy shift that has ignited sharp disagreement between state government leaders, housing industry representatives and tenant advocacy groups amid an ongoing national housing affordability crisis. The proposal comes as Western Australia grapples with one of the country’s tightest rental markets, with plummeting available supply and soaring rental costs that have put unprecedented strain on low- and middle-income renters across the state.

    Under the planned changes to Western Australia’s Residential Tenancies Act, private landlords will only be permitted to end a tenancy if they can demonstrate a legally valid reason for eviction. Acceptable reasons outlined in the reform package include the property owner or an immediate family member planning to move into the home, the need for major structural renovations or full demolition of the property, repeated breaches of tenancy terms by the renter, sale of the property, consistent non-payment of rent, and documented illegal activity occurring on the premises. Beyond the ban on no-fault evictions, the reforms also introduce new limits on what personal background information landlords and real estate agents can request from prospective tenants, along with a mandate that requires property owners to offer at least one rent payment option that does not charge extra processing fees to renters.

    State officials confirmed that the Department of Local Government, Industry Regulation and Safety will launch a public consultation period to gather feedback on the fine details of the legislation as the drafting process moves forward. In a formal announcement of the reforms, Western Australian Premier Roger Cook emphasized that the changes are designed to reinforce rental security and build a more equitable housing market for all residents. “Ending no-grounds terminations and replacing them with commonsense, clearly defined reasons for eviction makes Western Australia’s rental market far fairer,” Cook said. “This next wave of residential tenancies reforms builds on our previous changes, which included a ban on competitive rent bidding and limiting rent increases to no more than once every 12 months.”

    Commerce Minister Tony Buti added that the reform package responds directly to growing cost-of-living pressures that have left many private renters at constant risk of unexpected displacement. “The government is committed to reform that ensures fairness across the board, and that includes making sure no Western Australian loses their private tenancy amid rising cost-of-living pressures,” Buti said. “This has flow-on benefits for the entire community. At the same time, the next phase of tenancy reforms demonstrates our commitment to providing stronger protections for renters and a fairer, more secure housing system for all.”

    Not all stakeholders have backed the plan, however. The Real Estate Institute of Western Australia (REIWA) has emerged as the policy’s most prominent critic, with president Suzanne Brown warning that the change will backfire for both landlords and renters, leaving “no winners” in the already strained rental market. Brown stressed that the organization’s opposition is not rooted in anti-tenant bias, but in concern for the long-term stability of Western Australia’s rental supply. “Across the state, the rental market has not fully recovered from the mass exodus of investors that followed the COVID-19 pandemic,” Brown said. “Western Australia cannot afford to lose any more rental properties. Another drop in supply will see the vacancy rate fall even further, competition for available properties increase, and put even more upward pressure on rent prices that are already out of reach for many families.”

    Tenant advocacy groups have pushed back strongly against these warnings, arguing that data from other Australian states that have already implemented no-grounds eviction bans shows no measurable negative impact on overall rental supply. Jesse Noakes, a campaigner with the End Unfair Evictions coalition, noted that even if some property investors choose to exit the market following the reform, existing properties do not disappear from the housing system entirely. “Even if a property investor sells a house, it is not as if it disappears into a puff of smoke. Either it houses someone who was previously renting, or it returns to the rental market shortly after,” Noakes said. Citing data from Anglicare, he added that available rental supply in Western Australia has already collapsed from more than 14,000 available properties in 2018 to just 3,000 in 2024, meaning the market cannot get any tighter than it already is. “The rental market can’t get any worse – this can only make things better for renters across the state,” he said.

    While some progressive political leaders have welcomed the announcement as a long-overdue win for tenant rights, the Western Australian Greens have argued that the proposed reforms do not go far enough to address the state’s housing crisis. Tim Clifford, the Greens’ WA housing spokesperson, called the ban a historic step forward, but warned that similar legislation in other Australian states contains significant loopholes that still allow landlords to carry out de facto no-fault evictions, such as through extreme rent hikes that force renters to leave voluntarily. “We’re still going to introduce our rent cap bill this week, because we do know the government will walk back from any reforms if we do not maintain pressure on them to deliver stronger protections,” Clifford said.

  • Antisemitism ‘allowed to come into the open’ says Bondi victim’s daughter

    Antisemitism ‘allowed to come into the open’ says Bondi victim’s daughter

    Sydney, Australia – As public hearings kick off for Australia’s national royal commission investigating rising antisemitism, witnesses are delivering harrowing firsthand accounts of grief, fear, and a dramatic shift in social acceptance of anti-Jewish hatred tied to the December 2024 Bondi Beach Hanukkah shooting that left 15 people dead. The commission was convened in direct response to the deadly attack, the first major public inquiry of its kind focused on addressing a documented surge in antisemitic violence and harassment across the nation.

    Sheina Gutnick, the daughter of victim Reuven Morrison, was the first witness to take the stand at the Sydney public hearing on Monday. Morrison, a Jewish Australian who fled the Soviet Union at age 14 and built his life in Australia, meeting his wife on iconic Bondi Beach, was killed while rushing to stop the attackers by hurling objects at the gunmen to disrupt their shooting rampage. In raw, emotional testimony, Gutnick detailed the abuse she has endured in the attack’s aftermath, including direct messages calling for her own death. She also described a stark, alarming shift in the visibility of antisemitism dating back to October 2023, saying anti-Jewish rhetoric has rapidly moved from the margins to mainstream public discourse.

    “I felt as though antisemitism was allowed to come into the open,” Gutnick told the commission. “All of a sudden it was socially, morally acceptable for antisemitic comments to be made in public discourse.” Even the place her parents fell in love now carries heavy, conflicting emotions for Gutnick: “Bondi held ‘complicated’ feelings for me, despite having beautiful childhood memories at the famous beach,” she added.

    The attack, carried out by 50-year-old gunman Sajid Akram who was shot dead by responding police at the scene, also involved his son Naveed Akram, the alleged second attacker. Naveed Akram was critically wounded during the police response, has since been moved from hospital to custody, and faces 59 criminal charges including 15 counts of murder and one count of committing a terrorist act.

    A second witness, identified only as AAL for safety reasons, also broke down during his testimony, describing decades of love for his adopted country after moving from South Africa in the 1980s, but now questioning whether it is a safe home for his grandchildren. “I treated Australia as home from the day I stepped off the plane,” AAL said. “I have to admit things have changed – I have to think very seriously whether this is the country for my grandchildren.”

    Commission officials confirmed that as of Monday morning, nearly 7,500 public submissions have been received from community members and stakeholders across the country. This first phase of public hearings, scheduled to run through May 15, centers on collecting firsthand lived experiences of antisemitism from victims and community members.

    Last week, Virginia Bell, a former High Court justice leading the inquiry, released an interim report containing 14 urgent policy recommendations. Key proposals include strengthening national gun reform regulations and expanding dedicated police protection currently reserved for major Jewish high holy days to all Jewish community events. Bell has already noted that the sharp spike in antisemitism recorded in Australia mirrors surges seen across other Western nations, and is directly linked to ongoing conflict in the Middle East.

    “It’s important that people understand how quickly those events can prompt ugly displays of hostility towards Jewish Australians simply because they’re Jews,” Bell said ahead of this week’s hearings. The commission is on track to deliver its final full report to the government on the one-year anniversary of the December shooting.

  • What to know about the US military presence in Europe as Trump seeks drawdown of thousands of troops

    What to know about the US military presence in Europe as Trump seeks drawdown of thousands of troops

    For nearly 80 years, a persistent U.S. military presence across Europe has stood as a cornerstone of transatlantic security, a legacy forged in the aftermath of World War II and hardened during the Cold War’s standoff against Soviet expansion. Today, that long-standing posture faces unprecedented upheaval, after former President Donald Trump’s pledge to slash American troop deployments in Germany has thrust Washington’s commitment to European security into the global spotlight.

    Currently, the U.S. maintains between 80,000 and 100,000 active-duty troops across the European continent, with more than 36,000 stationed in Germany alone. On a Friday announcement, the Pentagon confirmed it would withdraw 5,000 troops from the country, but Trump upped the ante a day later, telling reporters he intends to go “a lot further” than that initial drawdown.

    Beyond its historical role as a deterrent to adversarial powers, the U.S. military footprint in Europe serves critical global strategic functions. Troops based in the region support operational deployments spanning the Arctic, Africa, and the Middle East, including ongoing tensions with Iran. Germany, in particular, hosts strategically vital infrastructure: it is home to the headquarters of both U.S. European Command (EUCOM) and U.S. Africa Command, Ramstein Air Base — a key logistical hub for the continent — and the Landstuhl Regional Medical Center, which treated thousands of casualties from the Afghanistan and Iraq wars. Germany also hosts a portion of the roughly 100 American nuclear bombs deployed across European NATO bases, according to a March estimate from the Federation of American Scientists.

    Per December Pentagon data, other major U.S. troop deployments in Europe include more than 12,000 troops in Italy and 10,000 in the United Kingdom. EUCOM, established in 1947, is one of the Defense Department’s 11 unified combatant commands, with oversight of security operations across roughly 50 countries and territories. Following Russia’s 2022 full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the U.S. increased its overall troop presence in Europe to reinforce deterrence along NATO’s eastern flank, and NATO allies including Germany have anticipated for more than a year that these additional troops would be the first withdrawn under any drawdown plan. To date, the Pentagon has released few details about which units or missions will be affected by the newly announced cuts.

    The drawdown plan marks a sharp break from decades of bipartisan U.S. consensus on transatlantic security. Trump has long criticized European NATO allies for failing to carry enough of the defense burden, and the announcement comes amid escalating tensions with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, who claimed last week that the U.S. had been “humiliated” by Iran and accused the White House of lacking a clear strategy for the Middle East.

    Top Republican leaders of both congressional armed services committees have already pushed back against the plan, warning that a premature withdrawal would send the wrong signal to Russian President Vladimir Putin amid his ongoing war in Ukraine. Sen. Roger Wicker of Mississippi and Rep. Mike Rogers of Alabama argued instead that troops should be repositioned to bases in Eastern Europe, rather than removed entirely from the continent. The pair also noted that NATO allies have made major infrastructure investments to host U.S. forces, and confirmed that following Friday’s announcement, the Pentagon had canceled the planned deployment of a U.S. Army long-range missile fires battalion to Germany.

    The Trump administration’s January National Defense Strategy lays out the administration’s broader vision for transatlantic security, asserting that European nations must take greater ownership of their own defense. “While we are and will remain engaged in Europe, we must — and will — prioritize defending the U.S. Homeland and deterring China,” the document states. It adds that Europe’s collective economic power remains globally significant, noting that Germany’s economy alone “dwarfs that of Russia,” and that “our NATO allies are substantially more powerful than Russia — it is not even close.” The strategy highlights Trump’s leadership in pushing NATO allies to commit to raising total defense spending to 5% of GDP, a target embraced by the alliance in recent years.

    For its part, Germany has taken significant steps in recent years to modernize its long-underfunded military, the Bundeswehr, in the wake of Russia’s 2022 Ukraine invasion. That year, Berlin established a €100 billion ($117 billion) special fund to upgrade the military, most of which has already been allocated to new weapons and equipment procurement. Late last year, Merz’s government unveiled plans to expand active-duty military personnel from roughly 180,000 to 260,000, a level not seen since Germany ended conscription in 2001, when the force numbered 300,000 including conscripts. Berlin also plans to grow its reserve force to roughly 200,000, more than double its current size.

    Following the Pentagon’s announcement, German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius told German news agency dpa that he acknowledged Europe must take greater responsibility for its own security, adding that the Bundeswehr is already growing, accelerating equipment procurement, and upgrading military infrastructure to meet new security demands.

    As discussions over the drawdown move forward, the decision will have far-reaching implications for transatlantic alliance cohesion, deterrence against Russian aggression, and U.S. global power projection capabilities for years to come.

  • Europe, Canada leaders hold Yerevan talks in Trump’s shadow

    Europe, Canada leaders hold Yerevan talks in Trump’s shadow

    Against a backdrop of shifting global alliances and rising geopolitical uncertainty driven by U.S. policy shifts under Donald Trump, dozens of European leaders and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney convened in Armenia’s capital Yerevan on Monday for the latest summit of the European Political Community (EPC), a biannual forum designed to strengthen cross-continental security cooperation.

    The geopolitical shadow of U.S. President Donald Trump hangs heavily over the two-day gathering, held at a strategic crossroads between Russia and the Middle East — the two core topics dominating the summit agenda. Ahead of the official opening of talks, European Council President Antonio Costa posted to social media Sunday after arriving in Yerevan, noting that leaders from across Europe, joined by Canada as an invited guest, would collaborate on strategies to boost collective security and regional resilience.

    Two ongoing conflicts have sent shockwaves through transatlantic relations in recent months: the escalating Iran war, which has sent global energy prices soaring and disrupted international markets, and Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, now grinding into its fifth year. Recent tensions between Trump and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz — who publicly criticized Washington’s handling of the Iran conflict — prompted the U.S. to announce plans to withdraw 5,000 American troops from Germany, deepening existing doubts about Washington’s long-term commitment to defending its NATO allies in Europe.

    Key attendees at the summit include Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte; Merz will be represented by French President Emmanuel Macron for the proceedings. Notably, Carney’s participation marks the first time a non-European leader has joined EPC talks, a shift widely interpreted as a response to closer alignment between Ottawa and Europe amid shared pushback against Trump’s policies. Like many European economies, Canada has taken major damage from Trump’s sweeping tariffs, and Carney has emerged as a leading voice for middle powers pushing back against the U.S. president’s unilateral agenda. Earlier this year, he delivered a widely cited address calling on mid-sized nations to unite in the face of a new global order defined by great power competition and the erosion of long-standing international rules-based systems.

    Sebastien Maillard, a special adviser at the Paris-based Jacques Delors Institute think tank, noted that the EPC was originally framed as a cooperative body focused on countering Russian aggression after the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. “With the invitation to Canada, this initiative — which was initially driven by geography — is now taking on an anti-Trump slant,” Maillard explained. In a tangible step to deepen its ties with Europe, Canada has already become the first non-European country to join the EU’s defense financing scheme, as Ottawa actively seeks to diversify its economic and security partnerships away from its traditional southern neighbor the U.S., while expanding bilateral trade cooperation with the bloc. A senior anonymous EU official noted that “Canada has a way of looking at the world and looking at ways to solve the challenges we have currently that Europe shares to a great extent.”

    Launched in 2022 on the initiative of Emmanuel Macron, the EPC was created in direct response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, bringing together all EU member states alongside 21 additional non-EU countries for informal dialogue. Unlike formal EU summits, the EPC does not typically produce binding policy decisions, instead prioritizing open multilateral and one-on-one discussions between leaders. Most delegates arrived in Yerevan on Sunday for an informal opening dinner, with Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez expected to join Monday after a technical issue with his aircraft forced an emergency landing in Turkey, requiring him to stay overnight in Ankara.

    Monday’s gathering marks the first time the EPC has held a summit in the Caucasus region, a milestone that comes as Armenia actively pursues closer ties with the European Union while carefully reducing its long-standing reliance on traditional ally Russia. The EPC summit will be followed Tuesday by a formal EU-Armenia summit featuring European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and Antonio Costa, who has described the meeting as a “major milestone” in Armenia’s rapprochement with the bloc.

    Relations between Yerevan and Moscow have deteriorated sharply in recent years, fueled by widespread anger in Armenia over the failure of Russian peacekeepers to intervene during recurring military conflicts between Armenia and neighboring Azerbaijan. Under Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, Armenia has adopted an official strategy of “diversification”, maintaining limited ties with Russia while expanding political and economic links with Western institutions. The country of 3.5 million signed a comprehensive partnership agreement with the EU in 2017, and formally announced its intention to apply for EU membership last year. In April, the EU deployed a special mission to Armenia to help the country counter foreign interference, amid widespread intelligence suggesting Russia is running a large-scale disinformation campaign to disrupt Armenia’s June general elections.

    While Russian President Vladimir Putin has stated he is “completely calm” about Armenia’s outreach to the EU, he has issued a clear warning that simultaneous membership in both the EU and the Russian-led Eurasian Economic Union is “simply impossible.”