分类： politics

WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump’s military operation in Venezuela has emerged as a critical test of his capacity to maintain cohesion within an increasingly restive Republican coalition during a challenging election cycle. Although most party members initially rallied behind the administration following the audacious capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, discernible fractures have begun to surface across the GOP spectrum.

The president’s remarks regarding potential U.S. management of Venezuela have triggered particular concern among lawmakers, appearing to contradict the “America First” doctrine that has fundamentally defined Trump’s political identity. Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.), a former Trump ally, expressed sharp criticism on NBC’s “Meet the Press,” characterizing the intervention as part of a “Washington playbook that serves big corporations, banks, and oil executives rather than American citizens.”

These reservations extend beyond the party’s far-right faction. Moderate Representative Brian Fitzpatrick (R-Pa.), facing a competitive reelection battle, emphasized that “the only country the United States of America should be ‘running’ is the United States of America.”

The Venezuela operation highlights delicate political dynamics as Republicans confront the possibility of losing congressional control in November. While Trump remains the dominant force within the GOP, his previously unassailable influence has encountered unusual resistance in recent months regarding various issues including the Jeffrey Epstein files and affordability concerns.

This intervention strikes at the core of Trump’s political brand, which has consistently emphasized avoiding foreign entanglements that divert attention from domestic priorities. The president’s recent declaration that he is “not afraid of boots on the ground” and his framing of the Venezuela mission as essential for American security mark a significant evolution from his previous critiques of the Iraq War as a “big, fat mistake.”

Secretary of State Marco Rubio attempted to moderate expectations by suggesting a more limited U.S. role, specifically denying Washington would handle day-to-day governance while enforcing existing oil sanctions.

Despite these concerns, no organized opposition to Trump’s Venezuela policy has materialized within Republican ranks. Lawmakers including Senators Susan Collins (R-Maine), Rand Paul (R-Ky.), and Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) have offered measured support while advocating for congressional oversight and expressing cautious optimism regarding the operation’s eventual outcome.

In a significant foreign policy address, President Donald Trump has invoked the 200-year-old Monroe Doctrine to rationalize recent U.S. military operations targeting Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro. The historical principle, originally articulated by President James Monroe in 1823 to deter European interference in the Western Hemisphere, has been reinterpreted by multiple administrations throughout American history to justify regional interventions.

During recent remarks, Trump not only referenced the doctrine but humorously suggested some now call it ‘the Don-roe Doctrine,’ signaling his administration’s distinctive approach to hemispheric policy. This revival of Monroe-era principles coincides with the Trump administration’s assertion that Washington would ‘run’ Venezuela until a suitable replacement for Maduro is established.

Historical experts note profound connections between current policy and historical applications. Jay Sexton, University of Missouri history professor and author of ‘The Monroe Doctrine: Empire and Nation in Nineteenth-Century America,’ emphasizes that ‘Venezuela has been the pretext or trigger for a lot of corollaries to the Monroe Doctrine,’ citing instances dating back to the late 1800s.

The administration’s newly articulated approach—dubbed the ‘Trump Corollary’ in official national security documents—represents the latest evolution of this enduring foreign policy framework. ‘Under our new national security strategy,’ Trump declared, ‘American dominance in the Western Hemisphere will never be questioned again.’

This modern interpretation follows historical precedents including Theodore Roosevelt’s ‘Big Stick’ diplomacy and Cold War-era applications against Soviet influence. Professor Gretchen Murphy of the University of Texas observes that Trump’s usage aligns with historical patterns where the doctrine ‘legitimate[s] interventions that undermine real democracy, and ones where various kinds of interests are served, including commercial interests.’

However, experts warn that prolonged engagement in Venezuela may create political complications within Trump’s base. Sexton notes that unlike ‘hit-and-run’ operations such as strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, Venezuela engagement ‘is going to be potentially quite a mess and contradict the administration’s policies on withdrawing from forever wars.’

The White House’s December national security strategy explicitly frames military operations against drug trafficking and migration flows as implementing this renewed hemispheric dominance, marking a significant reimagining of America’s regional military presence despite isolationist tendencies within the administration’s coalition.

In a bold geopolitical maneuver, former President Donald Trump has declared intentions to harness Venezuela’s vast oil reserves following the capture of President Nicolás Maduro, proposing to fundamentally “run” the nation’s energy sector. His strategy envisions injecting billions of American corporate investments to revitalize the country’s crippled oil infrastructure, which he describes as “badly broken,” and ultimately generate revenue for Venezuela.

Venezuela possesses the world’s largest proven crude oil reserves, estimated at 303 billion barrels. However, current production tells a different story. Output has plummeted to a mere 860,000 barrels per day as of November, a stark decline from historical levels and representing less than 1% of global oil consumption. This collapse is largely attributed to decades of state mismanagement, underinvestment, and sweeping U.S. sanctions initially imposed in 2015 over human rights allegations.

Energy analysts and economists are casting significant doubt on the feasibility of Trump’s plan. Callum Macpherson, Head of Commodities at Investec, identifies infrastructure decay as the primary obstacle. Homayoun Falakshahi, a senior commodity analyst at Kpler, emphasizes that legal and political stability are paramount; no drilling agreements can be secured until a new, stable government succeeds Maduro. This would leave companies gambling billions on the future political climate.

The financial and temporal scale of the challenge is monumental. Experts at Capital Economics, including Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing, warn that restoring Venezuela’s former output would require tens of billions of dollars and potentially up to a decade of work. Consequently, any impact on global oil supply and prices in the near future would be negligible. Shearing further notes that even a return to production levels of 3 million barrels per day would not place Venezuela among the world’s top ten oil producers.

Currently, Chevron stands as the sole U.S. oil producer operating in Venezuela, doing so under a special license granted during the Biden administration. The company, responsible for approximately 20% of the country’s extraction, has stated its focus remains on employee safety and regulatory compliance. While other major firms have remained publicly silent, analysts suggest internal discussions are undoubtedly underway, weighing the enormous resource potential against the profound political and investment risks.

In an unprecedented demonstration of military force, former President Donald Trump has orchestrated the capture and imprisonment of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, declaring American authority over the South American nation until a “safe, proper and judicious transition” can be implemented. The operation, executed without American casualties, represents the most assertive application of the Trump doctrine of hemispheric dominance.

Speaking from his Mar-a-Lago estate, Trump revealed that U.S. forces had successfully detained Maduro and established operational control over Venezuela. Secretary of State Marco Rubio reportedly secured cooperation from Venezuelan Vice-President Delcy Rodríguez, who allegedly stated her willingness to comply with American demands. While Trump acknowledged potential “boots on the ground” deployments, specifics regarding governance mechanisms remained undefined.

This intervention revives concerns about America’s troubled history with forced regime change. Analysts from the International Crisis Group had previously warned that Maduro’s removal could trigger violent power struggles among armed factions. Historical parallels with Iraq, Afghanistan, and Haiti suggest nation-building efforts frequently yield instability rather than democracy.

Trump explicitly reframed American foreign policy through his “Donroe Doctrine”—an enhanced version of the Monroe Doctrine asserting permanent U.S. dominance throughout the Western Hemisphere. He issued blunt warnings to regional leaders, including Colombia’s President Gustavo Petro and implied future actions regarding Mexico and Cuba.

The operation’s economic motivations emerged clearly as Trump detailed plans to extract Venezuela’s mineral wealth, promising reimbursement for the United States alongside benefits for Venezuelans. This resource-focused approach echoes previous attempts to leverage Ukrainian natural resources for American gain.

Internationally, the action constitutes a flagrant violation of the United Nations Charter, drawing condemnation from China and raising concerns among European allies struggling to balance support for international law with diplomatic relations. The precedent established—that powerful nations may militarily intervene against leaders they deem criminal—potentially empowers authoritarian regimes worldwide.

Senator Mark Warner warned that China might cite similar justification for actions against Taiwan, while Russia could employ parallel logic regarding Ukraine. The erosion of international norms threatens global stability, suggesting continued turbulence as nations recalibrate their strategies in response to Trump’s assertion of unilateral power.