分类: politics

  • Plaza Accord 2.0 talk won’t fix anybody’s China problem

    Plaza Accord 2.0 talk won’t fix anybody’s China problem

    In a recent call for coordinated global action on trade imbalances, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has emerged as the most high-profile advocate for a second Plaza Accord, a scheme designed to deliberately push up the value of China’s yuan to erode what he frames as the country’s unfair export advantage. Merz claims the Chinese currency is undervalued by roughly 30%, alleging Beijing deliberately keeps it cheap to flood global markets with artificially low-priced goods. He warns that state-subsidized overcapacity in key Chinese manufacturing sectors is destabilizing a global economy still recovering from years of successive shocks. Merz’s grievances are far from isolated in European leadership: European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde has previously estimated the yuan’s undervaluation at around 16%, while European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has publicly described China’s current export competitive edge as fundamentally unsustainable for the global trading system.

    Despite this broad European criticism of China’s currency and trade practices, economic analysts broadly agree that a 1985-style currency pact modeled after the original Plaza Accord – which forced a sharp appreciation of Japan’s yen to correct US trade imbalances – is deeply unlikely to resolve the grievances European leaders have raised, and carries major risks of unintended consequences. There are two core structural flaws in the proposal from the outset: first, China is not a member of the Group of Seven, the bloc that orchestrated the original 1985 agreement among major advanced economies. Second, the 2026 global financial system is unrecognizable from the mid-1980s landscape, making a four-decade-old framework a poor fit for modern challenges.

    Attempting to force a sharp, rapid appreciation of the yuan would carry significant downside risks for the global economy, experts warn. A sudden revaluation would exacerbate China’s already persistent deflationary pressures, deepen long-running structural imbalances in the country’s economy, and worsen the ongoing crisis in its struggling property sector. Many analysts argue that the economic damage from a forced yuan revaluation would ultimately outweigh any perceived benefits from reducing China’s export competitiveness, for both China and its global trading partners.

    History also directly undermines the case for Merz’s proposal, as the original Plaza Accord failed to deliver long-term benefits and triggered severe economic harm for Japan. Bill Mitchell, a leading currency expert at Australia’s University of Newcastle, points out that the United States is highly unlikely to succeed in bullying China into accepting a currency deal on the terms it forced on Japan in the 1980s. Mitchell notes the original accord was extremely economically disruptive, directly contributing to Japan’s massive 1980s asset bubble and the decades of stagnation that followed, with little to no lasting economic gain for the United States.

    Another major complication is that Merz’s proposal puts it on a potential collision course with US President Donald Trump’s own competing trade plan, the self-named “Mar-a-Lago Accord”, which attempts to revive a global trade framework that no longer exists in modern markets. Neither leader’s political track record suggests a coordinated US-Eurozone effort to pressure China on currency would proceed smoothly. Trump has long favored unilateral transactional pressure over multilateral coordinated diplomacy, making joint action unlikely.

    For its part, Beijing has closely studied the economic fallout of the 1985 Plaza Accord, which it views as the starting point of Japan’s decades-long stagnation. Chinese leaders have repeatedly made clear they have no interest in repeating Japan’s experience, a position that shapes the country’s ongoing tight management of the yuan via daily central bank fixings and strict capital controls. Chinese officials have also stressed that meaningful, externally forced revaluation is completely off the table until the yuan becomes fully convertible under Beijing’s policy timeline.

    Merz and Trump also underestimate the significant political and economic leverage Chinese President Xi Jinping holds to resist external pressure, a stark contrast to the position of Japanese Prime Minister Yasuhiro Nakasone in the 1980s. Xi also has a factually defensible argument: Chinese authorities have actively intervened to prop up the yuan’s value in recent months, even as domestic deflationary pressures would normally drive the currency lower.

    Today’s global power dynamics also make the original Plaza Accord playbook unworkable. The 1985 agreement succeeded because the US held overwhelming dominance over the then-Group of Five, and Japan relied heavily on access to American consumers to fuel its export-led growth. Today, US global economic influence has eroded significantly: years of Trump-era tariffs and ongoing geopolitical tensions over Iran have left the US more isolated internationally and its domestic economy more exposed to global shocks. By contrast, China is now the world’s largest trading nation, while the European Union’s 27 member states remain deeply divided on China policy and are still grappling with post-pandemic economic fragility. Germany alone runs a roughly 90 billion euro ($102 billion) annual trade deficit with China, leaving Berlin with very little bargaining leverage to force concessions from Beijing.

    Beyond currency dynamics, Merz faces far more pressing structural challenges to European industrial competitiveness. The real “China Shock 2.0” is not driven by exchange rates, but by the rapid rise of Chinese technology leaders in cutting-edge strategic sectors, from electric vehicle giant BYD to artificial intelligence innovator DeepSeek. These companies’ growing global market share is already reshaping Europe’s industrial landscape: German automaker Volkswagen is reportedly considering closing four domestic factories and cutting 100,000 jobs as Chinese brands expand their global footprint.

    Analysts stress that European industrial weakness cannot be blamed solely on Chinese competitiveness. Europe’s own weak domestic demand and longstanding industrial complacency are major contributing factors. As Volkswagen shareholder Ingo Speich noted in comments to Reuters, “The high costs are merely a symptom, not the cause… the root cause is weak sales.” His point underscores a core reality: unless European manufacturers develop products that global consumers actually want, debates about currency valuation and cost-cutting will do little to reverse declining market share. Volkswagen’s predicament is a microcosm of Europe’s broader challenge in an era of rising Chinese industrial power. While a stronger yuan might have boosted European manufacturers decades ago, China’s rapid ascent up the global value chain has completely altered this calculation. Today, China’s competitive advantage in electric vehicles, batteries, solar energy and advanced manufacturing stems from industrial policy, economies of scale and technological innovation, not cheap labor or undervalued exchange rates. Even a 10 to 20% yuan appreciation would not erase these competitive advantages, though targeted higher trade barriers might alter market dynamics at the margin.

    China is now accelerating structural shifts that are reshaping the entire global economy. When China joined the World Trade Organization in 2001, it unleashed a wave of low-cost, subsidized exports of basic goods like textiles, furniture and entry-level electronics. Today’s phase of Chinese export growth is far more consequential: China is now targeting high-value growth sectors including electric vehicles, clean energy and advanced manufacturing, reshaping competitive dynamics in the industries that will define the 21st century global economy.

    Addressing this new wave of Chinese industrial competition requires far more than symbolic currency diplomacy, analysts argue. Chris Bradley, an analyst at the McKinsey Global Institute, notes that advanced economies need to pursue a deep transformation of domestic productivity, invest in innovation, specialize in less cost-sensitive high-value sectors, and implement policies that create a more level global playing field. Bradley’s analysis finds that a 30% boost to domestic productivity, combined with cost convergence in equipment, energy and raw materials, and faster execution of industrial projects modeled on China’s “speed to market” could close between 30 and 80% of the current cost gap between Western and Chinese manufacturers. Bradley adds that achieving a sustainable new global trade equilibrium requires advanced economies to specialize in future-defining industries, revive domestic innovation, and overhaul outdated industrial policy frameworks to address modern competitive distortions. In short, Europe’s core challenge is not just China’s economic rise – it is Europe’s own need to adapt to a new global economic order.

    For the euro area, China’s current deflationary pressures and manufacturing glut create unique spillover risks. Valentina Aprigliano, an economist at the Bank of Italy, explains that “For the euro area, the most immediate transmission channel operates through import prices.” Weak domestic price growth in China, combined with robust manufacturing output, is exported abroad via lower-priced imported goods. This channel is particularly impactful for the euro area, which imported more than 430 billion euros in manufactured goods from China in 2025. Import volumes from China grew across most product categories in 2024 and 2025, while per-unit import values declined sharply, especially in 2025.

    This dynamic has led many analysts to warn that Europe is at risk of misdiagnosing its trade problems with China. Focusing on currency valuation only addresses surface-level symptoms, not the underlying competitiveness gap between European and Chinese manufacturers. Given China’s ongoing industrial policy momentum, it is no longer credible to argue that yuan appreciation would halt China’s ascent up the global value chain, nor would exchange rate shifts suddenly restore Western Europe’s industrial dominance. A currency agreement alone cannot rebalance EU-China trade, or US-China trade for that matter.

    Scott Kennedy, an economist at the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies, notes that China’s high-tech industrial drive has made enormous, uneven progress across key sectors over the past few decades. “These advances have directly translated into enhanced international power and influence for China. The United States and like-minded countries need to respond pragmatically to maximize the opportunities and minimize the risks resulting from these developments,” Kennedy said.

    Exchange rate shifts will not slow the momentum behind China’s Made in China 2025 industrial strategy. Chinese firms like BYD, which now outsells Tesla globally, and AI firm DeepSeek, which has upended competitive dynamics among Silicon Valley’s leading technology giants, demonstrate that Beijing’s top-down industrial strategy is delivering tangible results. These successes stem not from an undervalued currency, but from coordinated long-term investment to dominate strategic growth sectors.

    Beijing’s latest Five-Year Plan pledges to accelerate China’s technological development and its ongoing structural pivot toward a consumption-led growth model. Keyu Jin, an economist at the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, explains that this shift is “not only about rebalancing growth, but also about anchoring it more firmly at home. Domestic demand offers insulation from external shocks, and along with developed capital markets, it can go a long way toward strengthening autonomy.”

    Jin notes that China currently faces a striking paradox: it is among the world’s most dynamic technological powers, delivering accelerating breakthroughs in artificial intelligence, electric vehicles and advanced manufacturing, yet overall economic growth continues to slow. The reason is no mystery: as China’s latest Five-Year Plan recognizes, the country is undergoing a broad structural transition, not a temporary cyclical slowdown. The old investment and export-led growth model is giving way to a new consumption and innovation-led model that has not yet fully taken hold, and the transition is proceeding more slowly than many global investors would like. Economists broadly agree that Xi must accelerate the transition to convince global markets that technological self-sufficiency and ambitious industrial policy are not just core priorities, but achievable long-term goals.

    The yuan’s value plays a complex role in Xi’s current strategic priorities. A stable or gradually appreciating yuan serves three key Beijing policy goals: it reduces the risk of offshore defaults among heavily indebted Chinese property developers, supports the long-term goal of yuan internationalization to establish it as a major global reserve currency, and helps manage trade tensions with Washington, where the Trump administration remains highly sensitive to any hint of competitive devaluation. A firm yuan also helps China avoid importing additional inflation from global commodity markets: in May, Chinese producer prices rose 3.9% year-on-year, a “bad inflation” dynamic also being felt in Japan as Middle East geopolitical conflict drives up global commodity prices.

    Still, Beijing is increasingly sensitive to global perceptions that it is boosting American living standards at the expense of Chinese domestic growth. Premier Li Qiang’s recent “China Opportunity 2.0” branding at the Summer Davos forum reflects this sensitivity, a narrative that would be far harder to sell if Beijing allowed the yuan to weaken significantly while pursuing its 4.5 to 5% annual economic growth target.

    The yen’s recent dramatic slide to a 40-year low against the dollar adds another layer of complexity to the situation. With the Trump administration taking a largely hands-off approach to the yen’s decline, Beijing may feel it has greater political cover to allow the yuan to drift lower gradually. The yen’s 3.1% drop against the dollar has created broader regional currency ripples, and could tempt Chinese policymakers to test the limits of their currency management just as Merz and other European leaders push for a new Plaza Accord.

  • Top EU official visits Armenia and offers economic support to help counter Russian pressure

    Top EU official visits Armenia and offers economic support to help counter Russian pressure

    During a high-profile visit to Yerevan, Armenia on Thursday, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen unveiled a new package of EU support for the South Caucasus nation, as Armenia accelerates its geopolitical reorientation away from long-time ally Russia and toward deeper integration with the European bloc.

    The announcement comes on the heels of a pivotal parliamentary election last month that solidified the grip on power of Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s ruling party, a vote widely interpreted as a public mandate for the country’s ongoing Western pivot. Just weeks before Armenians headed to the polls, Russia imposed sweeping trade restrictions on Yerevan, banning imports of key Armenian goods including flowers, brandy, wine, and a range of fresh fruits.

    Von der Leyen did not mince words in characterizing Moscow’s actions during her visit, noting that “Armenia is still facing significant economic pressure from Russia,” and calling the measures “nothing short of economic coercion.” She reaffirmed the EU’s commitment to standing by partners facing external pressure, stating clearly: “But rest assured: when pressure mounts on our partners, the EU steps up.”

    Under the terms of the new support, Armenia will receive an additional €18 million ($20.5 million) in aid, earmarked for strengthening and diversifying the country’s trade partnerships. This tranche marks the final payment of a broader €52 million ($59.4 million) support package the EU pledged to Armenia back in early June. Beyond direct financial aid, von der Leyen announced that the EU will grant full tariff-free access to the European single market for nearly 80 percent of all Armenian exports bound for the bloc. The EU chief explained that the tariff elimination is specifically designed to help Armenia “re-route products that currently still rely heavily on the Russian market.”

    Pashinyan welcomed the EU’s new assistance, emphasizing the urgent need to resolve remaining technical barriers to get Armenian agricultural products onto EU store shelves ahead of the country’s ongoing harvesting season.

    Russia, which maintains a permanent military base on Armenian territory, has repeatedly issued warnings that Yerevan’s Western shift could carry severe political and economic repercussions. Russian President Vladimir Putin has drawn explicit parallels between Armenia’s current course and Ukraine’s pre-2022 push for closer EU ties, a comparison widely interpreted by international observers as a thinly veiled threat. Putin has repeatedly framed Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine as a response to Kyiv’s bid to sign an association agreement with the EU.

    The breakdown in relations between Moscow and Yerevan traces back to the 2023 Azerbaijani offensive that retook full control of the Karabakh region, a mountainous territory that had been held by ethnic Armenian forces backed by Yerevan for nearly three decades, as part of a decades-long conflict between the two neighboring South Caucasus states. Armenia has accused Russian peacekeeping forces deployed to Karabakh of failing to intervene to stop Azerbaijan’s military advance, a charge Moscow has rejected, with Russian officials pointing to their overstretched resources amid the ongoing war in Ukraine.

    Most recently, in August 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump hosted both Pashinyan and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev to broker a landmark peace deal aimed at ending the decades-long Karabakh conflict. The agreement includes provisions for establishing a new strategic transit corridor connecting mainland Azerbaijan to its southwestern exclave of Nakhchivan.

    Von der Leyen’s stop in Yerevan followed a one-day visit to neighboring Azerbaijan, where she announced a new €200 million ($228.6 million) EU Global Gateway infrastructure package for Baku. She noted that working alongside European financial partners, the bloc aims to mobilize up to €2 billion ($2.3 billion) for strategic transport, energy, and digital connectivity projects across the entire South Caucasus region.

  • Gaza genocide and arms company profits underpin anti-Nato protests in Turkey

    Gaza genocide and arms company profits underpin anti-Nato protests in Turkey

    When U.S. President Donald Trump touched down in Ankara for the 2026 NATO Summit this week, long-simmering domestic anger over Turkey’s 74-year membership in the transatlantic military alliance reached a fever pitch, fueled by the ongoing humanitarian crisis in Gaza and sweeping government restrictions on dissent ahead of the high-stakes gathering.

    While left-wing groups in Turkey have opposed NATO membership for decades, the alliance’s failure to condemn Israel’s military campaign in Gaza – paired with the Turkish government’s decision to ban all protests across Ankara for the full duration of the summit – has galvanized unprecedented cross-ideological opposition to the conference. In a challenge to NATO’s official narrative of collective European defense, the Workers’ Party of Turkey (TIP), a left-wing opposition party holding three seats in the Turkish parliament, organized a parallel Anti-Imperialist Peace Summit in Istanbul this past weekend, bringing together hundreds of anti-war activists and international socialist figures from across the globe.

    The counter-summit’s founding manifesto, titled *No to NATO*, directly pushes back against the landmark commitment all NATO member states agreed to in 2025: a mandate to raise annual defense spending to 5% of national GDP by 2035. “The 2026 Ankara Summit opens a new era where working people across all NATO member states face greater vulnerability to exploitation and war, even as they are forced to bear the burden of rising defense budgets,” the pamphlet reads. “This policy diverts hard-earned working-class wealth to fund U.S. and Israeli-led wars around the world, and line the pockets of giant arms industry monopolies that profit from global conflict.”

    Despite the counter-summit being a legally registered political event, Turkish authorities blocked dozens of international delegates from entering the country. A TIP spokesperson, speaking to Middle East Eye on condition of anonymity, confirmed that multiple scheduled attendees were turned away at border crossings, while delegates from organizations including the International Peace Bureau and the youth wing of Germany’s left-wing Die Linke party were detained overnight at Istanbul’s airport, had their personal devices confiscated, and deported shortly after. “These are peaceful activists and political representatives who came to participate in a public, legal meeting,” the spokesperson said. “Their treatment proves exactly what we have long argued: the security framework built around NATO summits is not directed at external threats – it is aimed at silencing people who oppose war.”

    In the weeks leading up to the main summit, Turkish security forces have carried out a widespread crackdown on opposition voices, arresting at least 225 people. While authorities claim most detainees are supporters of the armed leftist DHKP/C group or the Islamic State, the detainee list also includes prominent non-violent dissidents: academic Emel Memis, LGBTQ rights activist and journalist Yildiz Tar, Nevzat Ozer of the environmental NGO Tema Foundation, Burcu Arikan, spokesperson for the independent labor union Umut-Sen, and Semra Demir and Kursat Bafra, lawyers from the Progressive Lawyers Association. The TIP spokesperson added that 17 additional party members have been detained since the summit opened.

    Turkey’s complicated history with NATO stretches back to 1952, when the country joined the alliance in exchange for Western support, after committing troops to the Korean War. At the height of the Cold War, Turkey’s geographic location along the Soviet Union’s southern border made it one of NATO’s most strategically valuable members, a role that nearly triggered global nuclear catastrophe during the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis. The deployment of U.S. nuclear weapons in Turkey targeting the Soviet Union was a core driver of the crisis, and their secret removal was the key concession that prevented open nuclear war. Today, Turkey hosts the critical Incirlik and Konya air bases that have been central to Western military operations across the Middle East for decades, and boasts the second-largest standing military in the alliance, outranked only by the United States.

    For successive Turkish governments, NATO membership has long been seen as a critical security guarantee, protecting the country from threats ranging from the Soviet Union to armed separatist groups and hostile neighboring states in the Middle East. But for Turkish leftists and pro-democracy campaigners, NATO has played a far more insidious role at home: it has backed the training of far-right death squads, supported the creation of clandestine anti-communist Counter-Guerrilla groups, and propped up a Turkish military establishment that has repeatedly intervened to curtail democratic governance.

    Outside analysts echo many of these criticisms. Khem Rogaly, a senior research fellow at the Common Wealth think tank, argues that NATO’s new 5% GDP defense spending mandate functions first and foremost as a mechanism of economic extraction, funneling public funds from European governments straight into the U.S.-dominated military industrial complex. “Mandatory military spending targets reshape entire economies around the arms industry,” Rogaly explained to Middle East Eye. “This leaves deep, long-lasting economic damage: military spending generates far less economic growth and far fewer jobs than equivalent investments in other public priorities. By forcing members to massively ramp up military spending, the new target means underfunding social programs that would deliver far broader shared economic benefits.”

    The alliance’s response to the ongoing Gaza crisis has done more than any other recent issue to inflame anti-NATO sentiment in Turkey, even uniting normally opposed leftist and Islamist factions in opposition. TIP’s spokesperson points out that no NATO mechanism has ever been activated to restrain Israel’s military campaign, and that the most consequential item on the 2026 summit agenda is a plan to fully integrate Israel’s security apparatus into NATO’s regional strategy. The spokesperson added that the Turkish government’s high-profile public criticism of Israel amounts to little more than “crocodile tears,” as bilateral trade between the two countries continues uninterrupted. Recent high-profile disputes between Turkey and other NATO allies are also largely political theater, the spokesperson argued: “Politically, NATO membership gives the government bargaining power with Washington and a seat at the imperialist table. Economically, Turkey’s growing domestic arms industry is fully integrated into the alliance’s supply chains, so rising military budgets mean rising profits for the corporations closest to the ruling regime. Occasional anti-Western rhetoric is just for domestic consumption – the core institutions of imperialism operate without disruption on Turkish soil.”

    Controversy has also extended to press access for the summit: multiple Turkish reporters from prominent independent outlets including *Cumhuriyet*, *Sozcu*, *Anka*, *T24*, and *Medyascope* were denied press accreditation. When Middle East Eye reached out to NATO for comment, a spokesperson referred the outlet to a social media post stating that the alliance relies on the host nation to manage all accreditation decisions.

    This year’s summit has been marked by unusual behind-the-scenes tensions, with two core sources of anxiety for alliance organizers: first, ongoing uncertainty over Donald Trump’s commitment to the alliance, even with less than three years remaining in his current term. Trump’s repeated public criticisms of NATO have pressured member states to make concessions to keep the U.S. engaged. Second, many NATO members and key allies including Israel have repeatedly questioned Turkey’s alignment in recent years, due to Ankara’s continued diplomatic and economic engagement with NATO rivals Iran and Russia.

    These anxieties have driven the Turkish government’s harsh crackdown on dissent, according to Selim Koru, founder of the *Kulturkampf* Substack. Koru argues that the protest ban and mass arrests are a deliberate move by an intensely geopolitically focused government to prevent domestic unrest from embarrassing Turkey on the global stage. “Turkey is the only NATO member whose value to the alliance is constantly being questioned by fellow members, and that is in large part due to the ruling government’s own bombastic rhetoric,” Koru explained. “Over the past decade, Turkish policy has swung wildly between strident opposition to NATO orthodoxy from 2013 to 2023 and staunchly pro-U.S., pro-NATO diplomacy today. It also seems alliance leaders have figured out that Turkey’s ruling class responds well to public praise, so they have been very generous with compliments.”

    So far, that approach appears to have paid off for both sides. Ahead of the summit, Trump announced he was considering lifting the F-35 fighter jet sale ban he imposed on Turkey during his first presidential term, and plans to roll back additional sanctions imposed on Ankara. Trump called Turkey an “extraordinary” NATO ally, offering far warmer praise for the country than he extended to many other alliance members – including Spain, which Trump threatened to cut off from all U.S. trade.

    For TIP and the anti-NATO movement, the 2026 Ankara summit exposes the lie at the heart of NATO’s branding as a defender of Western liberal values. “Today, the 5% GDP spending target agreed last year means every dollar cut from healthcare, education, and housing across Europe is redirected to the arms industry,” the TIP spokesperson said. “Militarization does not make European people safer. It fuels escalation, strengthens far-right movements, deepens economic inequality, and pulls the continent closer to war. Genuine security for Europe comes from disarmament, diplomacy, and robust social welfare – not an arms race that only weapons monopolies win.”

  • Albanian police use tear gas and pepper spray as Tirana protest turns violent

    Albanian police use tear gas and pepper spray as Tirana protest turns violent

    TIRANA, Albania — What began as a peaceful environmental movement has escalated into violent confrontation on the streets of Albania’s capital, as weeks of sustained protest against a luxury Adriatic coastal development tied to former U.S. President Donald Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner spilled over into clashes between demonstrators and police Thursday.

    The ongoing daily demonstrations, branded the “Flamingo Revolution” by organizers, launched more than a month ago in opposition to the proposed high-end resort project planned for Albania’s Narta Lagoon, a critical habitat for protected migratory flamingos. What started as a movement centered on conservation concerns quickly expanded into a broader uprising against the government of Socialist Prime Minister Edi Rama, drawing thousands of participants to the streets in recent weeks.

    On Thursday, several hundred demonstrators assembled outside Albania’s national parliament building in central Tirana, chanting calls for Rama’s resignation and carrying signs reading “Rama must go to jail.” The situation deteriorated rapidly when a segment of the crowd began pelting law enforcement officers with rocks, eggs, and plastic bottles. Protesters also used sections of broken metal barriers to smash the windows of a parked police vehicle. In response, police deployed tear gas, pepper spray, and water cannons to disperse the agitated crowd.

    One protester, Agustela Thoma, framed the escalation as a reaction to months of unheard demands. “The protesters want their voice to be heard inside parliament, as the prime minister for so many days has not heard them and has ignored them. But enough is enough,” Thoma told reporters.

    Albania’s Interior Minister Besfort Lamallari released a sharp condemnation of the unrest, labeling the clashes as “acts of vandalism and criminal violence” targeting police. “Police officers are public servants, citizens of the Republic, and family members just like everyone else. They serve the law, public order, and the safety of every citizen, without distinction. An attack against them is an attack against the state,” Lamallari said. Official government updates confirm 12 police officers suffered injuries during the confrontation, while 18 demonstrators have been taken into custody.

    The proposed development, which spans an abandoned island and adjacent coastal stretch, has been framed as a transformative economic opportunity by Rama’s administration. For the post-communist Balkan nation, which has long sought accession to the European Union, the luxury resort is pitched as a key step to break into the lucrative high-end global tourism market. But the project has drawn fierce pushback from both environmental advocates, who warn it will destroy protected wetland habitats, and political opponents of Rama, who have criticized the government’s close ties to the Kushner-linked venture.

  • Why the expected fight over the North American trade deal never kicked off

    Why the expected fight over the North American trade deal never kicked off

    For months, stakeholders across Washington’s policy, business and trade analysis communities prepared for a period of high-stakes conflict over the future of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), the landmark trade pact that underpins economic integration across North America. Predictions of a fraught spring and summer filled with open confrontation, however, have been upended by an unexpected geopolitical shift: the ongoing conflict with Iran has consumed the Biden administration’s bandwidth, draining the political urgency that was widely projected to define the pact’s renewal process.

    Rather than unfolding as a high-profile public battle over the agreement’s future, USMCA discussions have quietly receded to the background of Washington’s policy agenda. As former British Prime Minister Harold Macmillan famously observed when asked about the greatest challenge to political leadership, “Events, dear boy, events” – and the Iran conflict has proven to be exactly that unplanned event, inadvertently taking the steam out of what was expected to be a heated trade debate.

    Earlier in 2026, widespread concerns circulated that the U.S. would leverage the mandatory renewal review window to force a showdown with Ottawa and Mexico City, even going so far as to threaten a full withdrawal from the pact. President Trump, who originally signed the agreement into law, had already signaled growing ambivalence toward the deal, leaving trade observers guessing just how aggressive the U.S. negotiating position would be in the next phase of review.

    With foreign policy priorities now dominating the White House’s agenda, however, the U.S. has adopted a far more restrained approach. Officials have formally confirmed that the administration will not exercise its option to extend the current agreement for another 16 years, but has stopped short of pursuing any of the more dramatic actions that analysts once warned could roil regional trade.

    Part of this deliberate restraint stems from a core conviction within the administration: that the U.S.’s existing tariff strategy has already fundamentally reshaped North America’s economic landscape, shifting the balance of trade benefits in Washington’s favor and eliminating the need for a confrontational standoff now. U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer has argued that the White House’s approach to trade policy over the last term has already rewired economic ties between the three nations, making aggressive renegotiation unnecessary at this juncture. Still, political observers warn that if future negotiations become overly politicized, the U.S. auto industry – which relies heavily on integrated cross-border supply chains – could face the most severe damage.

    The muted approach to USMCA also aligns with Washington’s broader global strategy. The administration’s ongoing efforts to recalibrate U.S. economic and diplomatic relations with China depend significantly on close, stable cooperation with Canada and Mexico, the U.S.’s two largest trading partners. Injecting unnecessary uncertainty into the foundational North American trade framework would directly undermine that larger geopolitical goal. As Arturo Sarukhan, Mexico’s former ambassador to the United States, framed it: pursuing a confrontational approach on USMCA right now would be “a huge own goal” – equivalent to scoring against one’s own team in the World Cup.

    This low-tension dynamic played out publicly during the 1 July virtual meeting of trade officials from all three nations. Once billed by analysts as a potential flashpoint for open disagreement, the meeting proceeded with little fanfare and no public acrimony. The U.S. has launched formal bilateral talks with Mexico, while maintaining constant working-level communication with Canadian officials, a sign that negotiations are moving forward without the political fireworks that many experts predicted just a few months ago. With U.S. midterm elections on the horizon, most political analysts expect this calmer, more low-key approach to USMCA discussions to remain in place through the end of the year.

    The administration’s decision to forgo an immediate 16-year extension triggers a mandatory 10-year countdown clock for the pact. If no new extension agreement is reached by the end of that decade-long window, the USMCA will automatically expire. For the time being, however, the high-stakes brinkmanship that many trade watchers once forecast has been replaced by routine annual reviews and steady, quiet diplomacy between the three North American neighbors.

  • South Korea disputes US congressional report claiming discrimination against Seattle-based Coupang

    South Korea disputes US congressional report claiming discrimination against Seattle-based Coupang

    A diplomatic and regulatory dispute has emerged between South Korea and the United States after a U.S. congressional committee published a report accusing Seoul of unfair, discriminatory treatment of U.S.-listed e-commerce giant Coupang, prompting a sharp pushback from South Korean government officials.

    The controversy traces back to June 2024, when South Korea’s Personal Information Protection Commission (PIPC) imposed a record-breaking 625 billion won ($403 million) fine against Coupang following a massive 2023 data breach that exposed personal information belonging to more than 37 million individuals, 33 million of whom are active Coupang customers. According to PIPC findings, the breach was not the result of advanced, sophisticated hacking; rather, it stemmed from severe gaps in Coupang’s internal security protocols. A former Coupang employee retained unauthorized access to customer databases using a stolen security key after leaving the company, and lax internal controls allowed an unidentified Chinese developer to access all stored user data without detection for an extended period. Regulators also noted that Coupang violated South Korean data protection law by failing to report the breach within the mandatory 72-hour window, a failure that compounded risks to consumers.

    On Wednesday, the U.S. House Judiciary Committee released a 35-page report that framed the fine and preceding investigation as part of a pattern of growing discrimination against U.S.-owned businesses operating abroad. The report went as far as to accuse South Korean antitrust and privacy regulators of using coercive investigation tactics and running a deliberate harassment campaign against the company.

    The South Korean government issued a formal, firm rejection of these claims just one day later. Foreign Ministry spokesperson Park Il stated that the U.S. congressional report relies exclusively on one-sided claims from Coupang and completely omits Seoul’s official position on the case. Park emphasized that all investigative steps and regulatory penalties against Coupang were conducted in full compliance with South Korea’s domestic laws, and rejected assertions that the company faced unfair treatment or discriminatory regulation.

    “Our handling of the Coupang case has focused on addressing the personal data breach and protecting South Korean consumers,” Park said, adding that all investigative actions and penalties were implemented lawfully and without bias. “Claims that our government carried out discriminatory investigations and imposed unfair regulations on the company simply do not align with the facts.”

    For its part, Coupang has apologized to affected customers for the security failure, but has moved to challenge the fine through South Korea’s administrative court system. The company argues that the privacy regulator failed to adequately recognize steps it has taken to strengthen security protocols and mitigate harm to users after the breach was discovered. In an emailed statement, Coupang said it regrets the circumstances that led to the congressional investigation, and affirmed its commitment to reaching a constructive resolution that allows the company to continue acting as a connector for U.S.-South Korea trade and investment.

    Headquartered in Seattle, Coupang brands itself as a U.S. technology and Fortune 150 company that links thousands of American businesses and brands to global markets. Despite its U.S. corporate registration, the vast majority of the company’s revenue comes from its operations in South Korea, where it is a leading e-commerce platform famous for its same-day and next-day delivery of groceries, prepared food, and general consumer goods.

    According to reporting from South Korea’s Yonhap News Agency, which cites U.S. Senate lobbying disclosure documents, Coupang has spent more than $1 million on lobbying activities in the U.S. since the data breach scandal became public in November of last year. Those lobbying efforts have targeted both the White House and Congress, as the company works to build support for its position in the dispute with South Korean regulators.

  • India’s Modi and Japan’s Takaichi expand defense and economic security ties

    India’s Modi and Japan’s Takaichi expand defense and economic security ties

    In high-stakes diplomatic talks held in New Delhi on Thursday, Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi have concluded their summit with a sweeping package of bilateral agreements designed to deepen ties across defense, economic coordination, and maritime security.

    Following the closed-door negotiations, Modi outlined the key outcomes of the meeting to reporters, noting that the two nations will move forward with joint development of naval radio antenna infrastructure and have formally adopted a shared roadmap guiding long-term economic security collaboration. Beyond these core initiatives, Modi added that the leaders had reached consensus on ramping up joint work across a portfolio of high-priority strategic sectors, including artificial intelligence, commercial and military shipbuilding, renewable biogas energy, semiconductor supply chain development, and other cutting-edge critical technologies.

    “For both India and Japan, economic security is not a separate policy concern — it is a shared core security interest,” Modi emphasized in his post-summit remarks.

    The deepening partnership builds on decades of growing economic ties between the two Asian powers. Japan currently ranks among India’s top sources of foreign direct investment, and has anchored signature infrastructure projects across India, most prominently the Mumbai-Ahmedabad high-speed rail line, one of India’s most ambitious modern transit upgrades. Today, more than 1,400 Japanese firms maintain active operations in India, with nearly half of those businesses focused on manufacturing activity.

    Fresh official data from the Indian government puts bilateral trade between the two nations at $27.5 billion for India’s 2025-26 fiscal year. Japanese investment inflows into India between April and December 2025 alone totaled $3.2 billion, a figure that aligns with Tokyo’s 2024 pledge — made during Modi’s official visit to Tokyo last year — to more than double its cumulative investment in India to over $61 billion over the coming decade. Takaichi’s three-day visit to New Delhi was held to mark the 16th iteration of the annual India-Japan summit, a recurring dialogue that has grown in strategic importance in recent years.

    Both India and Japan have made boosting bilateral collaboration in the Indo-Pacific a top foreign policy priority, and both are core members of the Quad, a regional security grouping that also includes the United States and Australia. The Quad was established to coordinate on maritime security, defense cooperation, and infrastructure development to counter the growing influence of China across the Indo-Pacific region.

    Takaichi reaffirmed that New Delhi and Tokyo share unwavering commitment to Japan’s Free and Open Indo-Pacific (FOIP) initiative, which is rooted in principles of unimpeded freedom of navigation and universal respect for established international law. “Expanding our partnership on maritime security is particularly critical to upholding peace and stability across the entire region,” Takaichi stated.

    Notably, the summit came as regional tensions over Indo-Pacific strategy remain high, and Chinese officials pushed back against the initiative Thursday. During a regular Beijing press briefing, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun argued that some outside powers frame their initiatives as promoting “freedom and openness” while actually pursuing policies of confrontation and division within the region. Guo stressed that this kind of approach directly contradicts the widespread desire among Indo-Pacific nations for peace, shared development, and cross-border cooperation.

    “The Asia-Pacific needs stability, not turmoil; it needs a laser focus on cooperation, not bloc-based division,” Guo said. Associated Press correspondent Ken Moritsugu contributed reporting from Beijing for this article.

  • Trump presidency reignites its founding debate – how much power is too much?

    Trump presidency reignites its founding debate – how much power is too much?

    As the United States marks the 250th anniversary of its Declaration of Independence from British monarchical rule, a fierce national debate has erupted over the expansion of executive power under President Donald Trump, halfway through his second term in office. The confrontation cuts to the very core of the constitutional system the nation’s founding fathers crafted to avoid the concentration of unchecked authority that Americans rejected in 1776.

    Trump has made unapologetic displays of personal authority a defining feature of his presidency: he surrounds himself with loyal officials who offer public praise, openly criticizes and attacks global leaders who have fallen out of his favor, and pressures major U.S. corporations to align with his policy agenda. Most recently, he told an interviewer that he faces “no limits” to his power as president — a statement that critics argue stands in direct opposition to the checks and balances that form the backbone of American democracy.

    Critics say the founding revolutionaries who threw off British rule would reject Trump’s approach to executive power entirely, pointing to a string of actions that have pushed the boundaries of presidential authority further than any of his predecessors dared. Among the most controversial moves: launching military strikes against Iran without securing congressional authorization, withholding key details about a military operation in Venezuela targeting President Nicolás Maduro from most lawmakers, and invoking emergency powers to impose global trade tariffs without congressional legislation — a policy the Supreme Court later ruled unconstitutional. Critics also accuse Trump of weaponizing the Department of Justice to target political opponents, including former FBI Director James Comey, breaking with the longstanding norm of separation between the White House and federal prosecutors that was put in place after Richard Nixon’s Watergate scandal.

    Mass demonstrations have been held across the U.S. and around the world under slogans including “No Kings,” “Democracy Not Monarchy” and “We have a Constitution, Not a King” to protest Trump’s expansion of power. When asked about the protests, Trump pushed back, saying “I don’t feel like a king. I have to go through hell to get things approved.”

    The debate over Trump’s power comes as he continues to deliver on the radical policy overhaul he promised voters when he defeated former President Joe Biden in the 2024 election. Polling from YouGov shows 80% of Republican voters approve of Trump’s job performance, but his overall approval rating among all U.S. voters has fallen below 40%, a significant drop from the start of his second term.

    Scholars and conservative analysts disagree over whether Trump’s power grab is unprecedented in American history. Julian Zelizer, a professor of history and public affairs at Princeton University, acknowledged that every modern president has sought to expand executive authority, but said “I can’t think of another president who has gone quite so far, who is as enamoured with power” as Trump.

    However, Joshua Treviño, senior director at the conservative America First Policy Institute, argues that critics are confusing Trump’s carefully cultivated public image with actual substantive expansion of presidential power. “It’s easy to confuse the aesthetic with the substance with President Trump,” Treviño explained, noting that past presidents including Franklin D. Roosevelt and Richard Nixon also pushed to grow executive authority, and that Trump has not done anything qualitatively unique in U.S. history.

    The debate over executive power is not a new one in American politics: when the founding fathers drafted the Constitution in the 1780s, they were deeply divided over how much authority to grant a single head of state. Some feared a strong presidency would devolve into monarchy and pushed for a collective executive committee to run the nation instead. Others, including founding fathers John Adams and Thomas Jefferson, debated the balance of power: Adams argued for a stronger presidency to counter the risk of aristocratic control by the Senate, writing to Jefferson in 1787, “You are afraid of the one – I, of the few. We agree perfectly that the many should have a full, fair and perfect Representation. You are Apprehensive of Monarchy; I, of Aristocracy. I would therefore have given more Power to the President and less to the Senate.” Intriguingly, the founding fathers even considered regal-sounding titles for the new office, debating options including “His Highness,” “His Excellency,” “His Elective Majesty” and “His Mightiness” before settling on the simple title of “President.”

    At Middleton Tavern, a centuries-old seaside pub in Annapolis, Maryland — where the founding fathers are said to have gathered to debate the future of the new nation in the 1770s — ordinary Americans are split over Trump’s approach to power. Lorraine Ross, who was celebrating her 60th birthday at the tavern alongside the nation’s 250th birthday, said she is deeply anxious about the trajectory of the country. “I’m not going to be running around saying, yay, USA, we’re free,” she said, expressing particular concern over cuts to social assistance for low-income families and children with disabilities, and anger at Congress for allowing Trump to “run amok and ignore all the laws” that have constrained past presidents.

    Other patrons took a different view. Atlanta visitor John Knox said that people who oppose Trump should save their activism for the upcoming November midterm elections, rather than politicizing the Fourth of July national celebration, which the Trump administration has promised will be the largest and most ambitious in recent history.

    Thousands of miles away in Keystone, South Dakota, preparations are underway for Trump’s Fourth of July eve visit to Mount Rushmore, the iconic national monument where the likenesses of four of America’s most revered presidents are carved into granite. Trump has leaned into viral online memes that add his face to the monument alongside George Washington, Thomas Jefferson, Abraham Lincoln and Theodore Roosevelt, and a congressional bill has even been introduced to formally add his carving to the site — an idea that draws enthusiastic support from his base.

    Among those supporters are Terry Davis and Tim Burke, two retirees traveling through the American heartland on a motorbike trip between national parks, who were disappointed to miss out on tickets for Trump’s Fourth of July fireworks display at the monument. When asked about the idea of adding Trump’s face to Mount Rushmore, 72-year-old Terry said Trump deserves a prominent spot: “I have not been this passionate about any other president in the past until he took the reins of this country.” The pair, like many of Trump’s supporters, celebrate his status as a political outsider who has bucked Washington norms, and back his use of executive power to confront congressional Democrats and what they see as an overreaching federal government. Tim added, “Long after he’s left office, 20, 30 years from now, I believe the historians will say that he’s been one of the greatest presidents in the history of our nation for the things that he has done for it.”

    Historians warn that whatever the current debate holds, Trump’s expansion of presidential power will have long-lasting consequences for the American political system, affecting how future presidents approach the office. “Every chapter in the expansion of presidential power has had long-lasting consequences,” Zelizer said. “It creates actual precedents that future presidents can use that they didn’t have before. And it also fuels a process of normalisation where this just becomes part of what we expect presidents to do.”

    That long-term legacy stands in stark contrast to the example set by George Washington, the nation’s first president, who set the original mold for the office in 1789. In his inaugural address, Washington spoke with humility about the weight of presidential power, noting that a leader “ought to be peculiarly conscious of his own deficiencies” — a sentiment few would expect from Trump, who has repeatedly declared himself “the greatest president in history.”

  • Merz unveils sweeping reform push for Germany: Tax cuts, pension overhaul and new sick leave rules

    Merz unveils sweeping reform push for Germany: Tax cuts, pension overhaul and new sick leave rules

    BERLIN — One year after taking office, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and his cross-party center-right to center-left coalition government have unveiled an ambitious 34-measure reform package designed to pull Europe’s largest economy out of its extended period of stagnation, while attempting to reverse the administration’s plummeting public approval.

    Germany’s economy has faced mounting headwinds in recent years: after two consecutive years of contraction, it recorded only modest growth in 2024, with the government projecting just 0.5% growth for the coming year. Multiple structural and geopolitical pressures have dragged on activity, including persistently high energy costs stemming from Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, intensifying global competition from Chinese manufacturing firms, trade tariffs and threats from former U.S. President Donald Trump, and long-term demographic strain that has ballooned costs for the country’s public health and pension systems. More recently, fallout from the ongoing conflict in Iran has further downgraded growth projections.

    Against this backdrop, the coalition’s new reform plan targets four core areas of policy change: income tax relief for working households, a comprehensive overhaul of the underpressure pension system, stricter sick leave regulations to boost productivity, and widespread cuts to Germany’s notoriously burdensome bureaucracy.

    For low- and middle-income families, the tax reforms will deliver annual relief of 10 billion euros ($11.4 billion) once fully phased in by 2028. A typical household with two working parents, two children and a combined taxable income of 60,000 euros ($64,416) will receive an annual tax break of roughly 600 euros ($644) under the plan.

    The pension system overhaul, the most consequential structural change on the agenda, will gradually adjust the retirement age — currently ranging between 65 and 67 years based on working history — to align with ongoing increases in national life expectancy. The framework follows recommendations released last month by a government-appointed expert and political panel, with two key goals: preventing a decline in overall pension benefits and avoiding drastic long-term hikes to the mandatory payroll contribution that employees pay into the national pension system.

    To address what Merz has repeatedly called unacceptably high sick leave rates that erode national productivity, the coalition is tightening rules around medical certification. Under the new regulations, employers will be permitted to require a doctor’s note for any sick leave, regardless of duration. Previously, workers could take up to three sick days off without a medical certificate, and could obtain a one-week leave certificate via a telephoned request without an in-person doctor visit.

    For bureaucracy reduction, the plan eliminates hundreds of unnecessary reporting and documentation requirements, cuts data protection rules to the minimum standard required by EU regulation, and streamlines the process for filing income tax returns to reduce administrative burdens for households and businesses.

    In public remarks during the package’s launch at the Berlin chancellery garden, Merz framed the reforms as a decisive step toward securing Germany’s long-term prosperity. “These reforms all have one goal: We’re setting out into the future,” he said Thursday. “We’re strengthening ourselves so that we can live well in these new times.”

    The chancellor also pushed back against widespread criticism that his coalition has been bogged down by internal infighting and delivered little tangible progress in its first year in office, leaving the administration deeply unpopular with voters. “From the very beginning, we set an agenda with a single goal in mind: We want to get Germany back on track. It is now clear that this is possible,” Merz said, appealing directly to German citizens to back the plan. “We know that you, ladies and gentlemen — the citizens of our country — want decisions, and you don’t want conflict. And that is exactly what we have delivered. Join us; support us in carrying out the reforms that are now necessary.”

    Not everyone has welcomed the proposal. Alice Weidel, co-leader of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party — which secured second place in last year’s national elections — dismissed the package as inadequate. In a post on social platform X, Weidel called the measures “even more left-wing redistribution, and minimal compromises that don’t deserve to be called ‘reforms’.” She added, “The fact that this is being sold as a ‘breakthrough’ shows only one thing: this government’s complete inability to reform.”

  • UK government to apologize for the state’s role in decades of forced adoptions

    UK government to apologize for the state’s role in decades of forced adoptions

    LONDON — Eight decades after Britain’s state-sanctioned system of separating unmarried mothers from their newborn children began, and nearly 50 years after the practice ended, the UK government will issue a long-awaited formal apology to survivors this Thursday. The historic statement, scheduled for delivery in the House of Commons by Prime Minister Keir Starmer, comes in the final weeks of his current premiership and marks the first national acknowledgment of the British state’s direct role in widespread forced adoption schemes.

    For much of the 20th century, rigid social mores, influential religious doctrine, and official government policy combined to stigmatize unwed pregnancy across the United Kingdom. Unmarried pregnant women were frequently hidden away in segregated institutions, pressured, deceived, or coerced into surrendering their infants for adoption by married couples, with the state endorsing and overseeing the practice until it was phased out in the 1970s. Official estimates place the number of babies separated from their unmarried mothers at 185,000 between 1949 and 1976 across England and Wales alone.

    Survivor advocates have waged a decades-long campaign to secure official recognition that these women did not voluntarily give up their children, but were systematically stripped of parental choice. For many survivors, the apology represents a long-fought opportunity to overturn decades of stigma and blame. Ann Keen, a former UK health minister who was 17 when her child was taken for adoption in 1966, told the BBC she anticipates the apology will bring long-delayed release from the shame wrongfully imposed on her and other survivors. “We need this apology, because we have always been accused of giving up our babies, and we didn’t give them up,” Keen said. “We’ve now got the opportunity to really put this wrong right.”

    Calls for a national state apology date back at least to 2022, when Parliament’s Joint Committee on Human Rights explicitly recommended the UK government acknowledge the “pain and suffering caused by public institutions and state employees that railroaded mothers into unwanted adoptions.” The devolved governments of Scotland and Wales issued their own formal apologies in 2023, but the incumbent Conservative UK government at the time refused to issue a national apology. The move by Starmer’s Labour government also comes two weeks after the Church of England, which ran many of the maternity homes where unwed women were detained, issued its own formal apology for its role in the practice. Archbishop of Canterbury Sarah Mullally recently expressed profound regret for the “pain, trauma and stigma experienced — and still carried — by many people because of historical adoption practices in homes affiliated to the Church of England.”

    The UK’s reckoning with this dark chapter of social policy places it alongside a growing number of high-income countries confronting similar historical injustices. Australia became one of the first nations to issue a national apology in 2013, when then-Prime Minister Julia Gillard delivered a landmark address acknowledging the “lifelong legacy of pain and suffering” caused by decades of state-mandated forced adoption. In Ireland, a years-long reckoning with Catholic Church-run mother-and-baby homes — where tens of thousands of unmarried women were confined in dehumanizing conditions — culminated in a 2021 public inquiry that found 9,000 children died in just 18 monitored institutions across the 20th century. Irish Prime Minister Micheál Martin subsequently issued a formal apology for the “profound and generational wrong” inflicted on affected mothers and children.