分类: business

  • Momentum in the UAE’s real estate likely to continue this year

    Momentum in the UAE’s real estate likely to continue this year

    The United Arab Emirates’ property sector concludes 2025 with remarkable resilience, positioning itself as one of the world’s most stable real estate markets despite ongoing global economic volatility and geopolitical challenges. According to Francis Alfred, Managing Director of Sobha Realty, this sustained momentum stems from fundamental strengths including robust population expansion, continuous inflow of international expertise, regulatory consistency, and strategic national development frameworks.

    Market maturity emerged as the defining characteristic of the past year, with buyers demonstrating increased discernment regarding construction quality, delivery assurance, and developer credibility. Contrary to anticipations of hesitant purchasing behavior, investors displayed decisive action when presented with well-defined propositions. This shift toward value-driven decision making has fundamentally altered investment patterns across the sector.

    Emerging destinations including Umm Al Quwain have gained unexpected traction, attracting both end-users and first-time buyers seeking long-term value and lifestyle-oriented environments. European investors, particularly from the UK and France, constituted approximately 42% of Sobha’s sales value in UAQ, followed by Indian buyers at 13%, with the 35-60 age demographic representing 72% of investments.

    The pandemic has permanently redefined housing preferences, elevating wellness-focused design, access to green spaces, natural illumination, and health-conscious environments from desirable amenities to essential criteria. The concept of location has similarly evolved, with buyers prioritizing integrated, mixed-use communities that combine residential, commercial, retail, and recreational facilities within walkable parameters.

    This transformation explains why certain developments achieve immediate success while others stagnate, even at comparable price points. Projects offering coherent master planning, execution excellence, and modern layouts consistently outperform competitors. Large-scale integrated communities are simultaneously redefining both residential living and investment parameters, shifting focus from short-term yields to planning depth and delivery certainty.

    International investors occasionally misinterpret the UAE market by applying domestic assumptions, mistakenly viewing it as purely speculative while overlooking its substantial end-user demand and regulatory stability. Price comparisons without considering location quality, planning sophistication, and construction standards often lead to inaccurate valuations.

    Sobha Realty’s strategic outlook remains guided by real-time indicators reflecting actual buyer behavior rather than sentiment alone. These metrics have demonstrated remarkable resilience despite external uncertainties, supporting continued expansion and new launch decisions. Looking forward, mega-developments are expected to shape urban evolution through integrated infrastructure, adaptive mobility solutions, and future-ready amenities that enhance quality of life while supporting balanced urban growth.

  • China’s economy grows 5% in 2025, buoyed by strong exports despite Trump’s tariffs

    China’s economy grows 5% in 2025, buoyed by strong exports despite Trump’s tariffs

    China’s economy achieved a 5% annual growth rate in 2025, meeting the government’s official target despite facing significant headwinds from a slowing property market and persistent consumer spending weaknesses. The expansion was primarily driven by robust export performance, which generated a record $1.2 trillion trade surplus and helped offset domestic economic vulnerabilities.

    The year-end figures revealed a concerning trend, however, with fourth-quarter growth decelerating to 4.5% – the slowest quarterly pace since China began easing its stringent COVID-19 restrictions in late 2022. This represents a noticeable drop from the previous quarter’s 4.8% growth rate, indicating mounting economic pressures.

    Export resilience emerged as the economy’s primary growth engine, though economists question its sustainability. Lynn Song, ING’s chief economist for Greater China, noted: “The key question is how long this engine of growth can remain the primary driver.” While Chinese exports to the U.S. declined following President Trump’s return to office and imposition of new tariffs, increased shipments to other global markets compensated for these losses.

    The government’s efforts to stimulate domestic demand through various initiatives, including trade-in programs for vehicles and home appliances, have yielded limited success. These programs have been losing momentum in recent months, failing to significantly boost consumer confidence or spending.

    Chi Lo, senior market strategist at BNP Paribas Asset Management, emphasized that “stabilization, not necessarily recovery, of the domestic property market is key to revive public confidence and household consumption.” Many small businesses and ordinary citizens continue facing economic hardships, with restaurant owner Liu Fengyun from Guizhou province reporting that customers increasingly cite financial constraints: “Money is hard to earn now” and “making breakfast at home is cheaper.”

    Looking ahead, economists project further moderation in growth, with Deutsche Bank forecasting approximately 4.5% expansion for 2026. This slowdown aligns with China’s broader economic transition as it prioritizes technological self-reliance through investments in artificial intelligence and advanced technologies while navigating complex global trade dynamics and domestic structural challenges.

  • World markets face fresh jolt as Trump vows tariffs on Europe over Greenland

    World markets face fresh jolt as Trump vows tariffs on Europe over Greenland

    Global financial markets are bracing for significant turbulence following President Donald Trump’s unexpected declaration of punitive tariffs against eight European nations. The unprecedented trade measure, linked to the United States’ pursuit of acquiring Greenland, marks a dramatic escalation in transatlantic trade tensions.

    Effective February 1st, the administration will impose an immediate 10% tariff increase on imports from Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Finland, and Britain. These levies are scheduled to escalate to 25% by June 1st should diplomatic negotiations fail to produce a resolution regarding Greenland’s status.

    The collective European response emerged swiftly, with affected nations issuing a unified statement reaffirming their support for Greenland’s territorial integrity. Irish Taoiseach Leo Varadkar indicated the European Union stands prepared to implement retaliatory measures should the U.S. proceed with its tariff implementation.

    Financial analysts express concern that this development shatters the recent period of trade stability. Berenberg Chief Economist Holger Schmieding noted, ‘Optimism that tariff tensions had subsided for the foreseeable future has been abruptly dismantled. We now confront a scenario reminiscent of last spring’s volatility.’

    Market projections suggest the euro will face immediate pressure during Asian trading sessions, potentially extending its recent decline against the dollar. Meanwhile, European defense equities are anticipated to benefit from heightened geopolitical uncertainties, having already surged approximately 15% this month amid growing international tensions.

    Denmark’s currency mechanism will face particular scrutiny as the krone maintains its peg to the euro amidst mounting pressure. Geopolitical strategist Tina Fordham observed, ‘The U.S.-EU trade conflict has dramatically reignited,’ highlighting the irony of this development coinciding with the EU’s signing of a new free trade agreement with Mercosur nations.

    Beyond immediate market impacts, this confrontation raises fundamental questions about NATO alliance cohesion and the durability of recent trade agreements. The World Economic Forum’s latest risk assessment has elevated economic confrontation between nations to its primary concern, surpassing armed conflict for the first time.

    Investors are expected to adopt a risk-averse stance, potentially boosting traditional safe-haven assets including gold, which continues trading near record highs. However, market resilience demonstrated during previous geopolitical crises suggests a tempered reaction may emerge as participants weigh the probability of implemented policies versus rhetorical threats.

  • Indian rupee nears Rs25 per UAE dirham; GCC expats could see remittance gains

    Indian rupee nears Rs25 per UAE dirham; GCC expats could see remittance gains

    The Indian rupee is approaching a psychologically significant threshold of 25 against the UAE dirham, creating favorable conditions for expatriate workers across the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region. This currency movement signals potential gains for remittance flows as overseas earners benefit from improved exchange rates.

    Current trading positions the rupee at approximately 90.87 against the US dollar, translating to a UAE dirham rate between 24.70 and 24.75 rupees. Market analysts project further depreciation potentially reaching 92 rupees per dollar, which would push the dirham beyond the unprecedented 25-rupee benchmark. This development would substantially increase the rupee value of monthly transfers sent home by millions of GCC-based workers.

    The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has indicated a flexible approach to currency management. Governor Sanjay Malhotra clarified that the central bank does not target specific exchange levels, focusing instead on curbing excessive volatility rather than defending psychological thresholds. This policy stance reflects India’s commitment to market-driven exchange rates while maintaining financial stability.

    Several factors contribute to the rupee’s downward trajectory, including global dollar strength, sustained foreign investor outflows, and widening external imbalances. The currency recorded its most significant annual decline in three years during 2025, falling 4.72 percent to close at 89.87 against the dollar—the weakest performance since 2022.

    Economists note that unlike the 2022 currency crisis driven by Federal Reserve rate hikes, the current depreciation occurs despite a 9.5 percent decline in the dollar index. This divergence suggests domestic and regional factors are increasingly influencing the rupee’s trajectory. IDFC First Bank economist Gaura Sen Gupta describes the situation as “largely a capital-flow story” with the RBI adopting a more pragmatic approach to currency management.

    Despite short-term pressures, India’s macroeconomic fundamentals remain robust. The country maintains substantial foreign exchange reserves of approximately $690 billion, coupled with high growth rates and relatively manageable inflation. The RBI governor noted that the rupee’s average annual depreciation of about 3 percent aligns with historical patterns given India’s inflation differential with advanced economies.

    For GCC expatriates, the currency movement translates to tangible financial benefits. Each incremental decline in the rupee’s value amplifies remittance purchasing power, potentially generating thousands of additional rupees annually for families managing education, housing, and healthcare costs in India.

  • Gold charges toward $5,000 as a new real-assets supercycle takes hold

    Gold charges toward $5,000 as a new real-assets supercycle takes hold

    The global gold market is experiencing a profound transformation as the precious metal accelerates toward the unprecedented $5,000 per ounce threshold. This remarkable rally, characterized by a 64% surge in 2025 followed by an additional 6% gain in early 2026, represents a fundamental revaluation of gold’s role in modern portfolios.

    Three powerful catalysts are driving this structural shift: aggressive central bank accumulation, escalating geopolitical tensions, and anticipated monetary easing cycles. Emerging market central banks, particularly China’s People’s Bank which has expanded its buying streak to 14 consecutive months, are systematically diversifying reserves away from traditional dollar holdings. This institutional demand has created an exceptionally solid foundation for continued price appreciation.

    Financial institutions are revising targets accordingly. Standard Chartered maintains gold as a core overweight position with projected targets of $4,350 within three months and $4,800 over twelve months. ANZ analysts present an even more bullish case, forecasting gold will surpass $5,000 during 2026 as safe-haven demand intensifies.

    The market dynamics reflect this paradigm shift. Spot gold recently achieved record highs approaching $4,630 per ounce, while silver simultaneously reached unprecedented levels above $86. According to World Gold Council data, gold established new record prices on 53 separate occasions during 2025, while physically-backed gold ETF inflows reached an extraordinary $89 billion.

    Market analysts emphasize this represents more than temporary speculation. Ross Norman, independent precious metals analyst, notes that gold increasingly reflects a world where geopolitical and monetary uncertainty has become structural rather than episodic. This sentiment is echoed by KCM Trade’s Tim Waterer, who observes that sustained breaks above $4,600 could open the path to significantly higher valuations.

    Despite technical indicators occasionally signaling overbought conditions, analysts universally agree that any near-term corrections will likely be shallow and temporary. FXTM’s Lukman Otunuga emphasizes that fundamentals remain overwhelmingly favorable due to persistent concerns regarding Federal Reserve policy credibility, ongoing trade tensions, and unwavering central bank demand.

    As Naeem Aslam of Zaye Capital Markets concludes, gold is evolving from traditional defensive hedge to core strategic asset precisely because global tensions across multiple flashpoints are driving investors toward bullion as the ultimate store of value in an increasingly uncertain world.

  • UAE: DXB maintains its position as busiest international airport in 2025

    UAE: DXB maintains its position as busiest international airport in 2025

    Dubai International Airport (DXB) has solidified its status as the world’s premier gateway for international travel, maintaining its top ranking for the third consecutive year according to aviation analytics firm OAG. The hub recorded 62.4 million seats in 2025, representing a remarkable 16% growth since 2019 and a 4% year-on-year increase in capacity.

    While Atlanta’s Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport (ATL) claimed the overall busiest airport title with 63.1 million seats combining both domestic and international traffic, Dubai’s exclusive focus on international passengers secured its specialized dominance. The airport even outperformed Atlanta during several months of 2025, with CEO Paul Griffiths projecting DXB will surpass 95.3 million passengers by year’s end and break the 100 million threshold by 2027.

    London Heathrow (LHR) trailed significantly in second place with 49.0 million international seats, while Seoul Incheon (ICN) captured third position at 43.0 million seats, signaling a full recovery to pre-pandemic levels. Singapore Changi (SIN) followed closely in fourth with 42.6 million seats.

    The report revealed notable growth patterns across global hubs. Hong Kong International (HKG) demonstrated the most dramatic year-on-year surge at 12%, reaching 38.7 million seats, though still 14% below 2019 capacity. Istanbul Airport emerged as the fastest-growing major hub with a 27% increase since 2019, handling 41.2 million international seats and establishing itself as a rapidly expanding global nexus.

    Regional analysis shows North American and Asian airports dominating the overall busiest rankings due to substantial domestic markets, while European and Middle Eastern hubs maintain strong international specialization. Frankfurt Airport (36.4 million seats) and Doha’s Hamad International (32.7 million seats) rounded out the top ten, with the Qatari hub showing a significant 20% capacity increase compared to 2019 levels.

  • Venezuelan banks will get $300 million of oil money to sell on exchange market

    Venezuelan banks will get $300 million of oil money to sell on exchange market

    In a significant move to address critical foreign exchange shortages, Venezuela’s interim government has authorized the distribution of $300 million in oil revenues to four private banks for sale on the exchange market. The funds, sourced from recent oil sales and held in a Qatari account, will be allocated to financial institutions to provide dollars to domestic companies requiring foreign currency for essential imports and raw materials.

    Interim President Delcy Rodríguez confirmed the strategy on Friday, stating that oil revenues would now be channeled through the central bank before reaching private banks via the foreign-exchange market mechanism. This decision follows weeks of severe dollar scarcity exacerbated by U.S. seizures of Venezuelan oil tankers and disruptions to the country’s primary revenue stream.

    The allocation forms part of a broader $2 billion agreement with the United States, which has already completed $500 million in sales of Venezuelan oil following the political transition that saw Nicolás Maduro ousted and Rodríguez sworn in as interim leader. The U.S. administration anticipates Venezuela will sell between 30 million and 50 million barrels under this arrangement.

    Economist Alejandro Grisanti, director of Caracas-based firm Ecoanalítica, revealed via social media that $500 million had been deposited in the Qatar trust account, with $300 million designated for distribution to four major private banks. Financial sources indicate each institution will receive approximately $75 million in coming days.

    The bolívar’s dramatic 83% depreciation throughout 2025 has accelerated price increases and created urgent need for dollar access. While Venezuela previously permitted dollar-linked cryptocurrencies like USDT on exchange markets following limited U.S. licensing agreements, even these crypto flows have recently diminished. Analysts suggest traditional dollar allocations may now reduce reliance on cryptocurrency mechanisms.

    Rodríguez has simultaneously proposed hydrocarbons law reforms to stimulate oil investment, indicating portions of oil revenues will also fund social projects and infrastructure development, potentially signaling broader economic restructuring under the interim administration.

  • ADNOC Distribution launches one of world’s largest superfast EV charging hubs

    ADNOC Distribution launches one of world’s largest superfast EV charging hubs

    ABU DHABI – In a landmark move for sustainable transportation, ADNOC Distribution has inaugurated the world’s sixth largest superfast electric vehicle charging facility while revealing comprehensive plans to electrify the United Arab Emirates’ entire highway network by 2027.

    The strategic unveiling precedes Abu Dhabi Sustainability Week (ADSW), where international leaders are gathering to deliberate on future energy and infrastructure solutions. This development exemplifies ADNOC Group’s expanded dedication to crafting intelligent sustainable energy systems that generate substantial positive environmental impact.

    Strategically positioned at Saih Shuaib along the critical E11 corridor connecting Abu Dhabi and Dubai, the EV Mega hub boasts 60 high-capacity charging stations capable of replenishing most electric vehicles from zero to 80% capacity in roughly 20 minutes. As the largest such facility across the Middle East, Africa, and Turkey, this hub represents the cornerstone of an ambitious national infrastructure initiative.

    According to the detailed roadmap, ADNOC Distribution will establish 20 EV charging hubs by December 2027, with 15 locations anticipated to become operational by late 2026. This infrastructure expansion will ensure comprehensive charging coverage along all major UAE national highways, effectively enabling seamless long-distance electric travel and supporting the nation’s transition toward smarter, more sustainable mobility ecosystems.

    Eng. Sharif Al Olama, Under-Secretary for Energy and Petroleum Affairs at the Ministry of Energy and Infrastructure, emphasized: “This EV Megahub inauguration marks a crucial advancement in implementing the UAE’s National Electric Vehicles Policy. Its strategic placement along the vital E11 corridor provides integrated services for intercity commuters while accelerating our transformational ‘Global EV Market’ initiative targeting 50% electric vehicle penetration by 2050.”

    Eng. Bader Saeed Al Lamki, CEO of ADNOC Distribution, noted: “Building on our legacy of powering journeys since 1973, we’re now constructing the future of mobility through the UAE’s premier superfast charging facility. As consumer adoption of electric vehicles accelerates, we’re redefining convenience standards to ensure confident nationwide travel through our expanding E2GO network.”

    The newly launched facility also introduces the first Highway-focused “The Hub by ADNOC” concept, featuring a footprint triple the size of conventional service stations. This innovative space combines traditional fuel services with EV charging, culinary offerings, lifestyle amenities, and notably incorporates a dedicated coworking space—addressing the evolving needs of commuters traveling between the nation’s two largest urban centers.

    ADNOC Distribution’s E2GO network, already comprising over 400 charging points with plans to reach 750 by 2028, positions the company as a leading charge point operator supporting the UAE’s ambitious target of 50% electric vehicle adoption by 2050. With the country’s largest service station network exceeding 560 locations, ADNOC Distribution possesses unique capabilities to scale EV infrastructure efficiently while advancing national sustainability objectives.

  • Trump’s protectionist trade policies allow China to swoop in

    Trump’s protectionist trade policies allow China to swoop in

    In a significant shift in global trade dynamics, key U.S. allies are actively diversifying their economic partnerships in response to the Trump administration’s aggressive tariff policies. Canada has taken a landmark step by dramatically reducing its 100% import tariff on Chinese electric vehicles, securing in return substantially lower Chinese tariffs on Canadian agricultural exports, particularly canola seeds.

    This strategic pivot reflects a fundamental recalibration of Canada’s economic priorities. Trade expert Edward Alden of the Council on Foreign Relations notes, ‘The economic threat from the United States is now perceived by Canadians as far bigger than the economic threat from China. This represents a substantial declaration of realignment in Canada’s economic relations.’

    The Canadian decision comes amid persistent trade tensions with the United States, including maintained tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum exports. Prime Minister Mark Carney’s government has made a calculated gamble in pursuing closer ties with Beijing, despite historical tensions including past diplomatic incidents involving detained citizens.

    This trend extends beyond North America. The European Union is finalizing a major trade agreement with Mercosur, the South American trading bloc, while simultaneously pursuing enhanced trade relations with India. China, meanwhile, has successfully diversified its export markets away from the United States, achieving a record $1.2 trillion global trade surplus in 2025 despite reduced exports to the American market.

    The Trump administration has fundamentally overhauled seven decades of U.S. trade policy, implementing double-digit tariffs on imports from nearly every nation while targeting specific industries with additional levies. While the administration claims these measures protect American industries and generate Treasury revenue—pointing to Taiwan’s agreement to invest $250 billion in the United States in exchange for tariff reductions—many allies view the approach as unpredictable and arbitrary.

    The Canadian-Chinese agreement has drawn domestic criticism, particularly from Ontario Premier Doug Ford, who warned that ‘China now has a foothold in the Canadian market and will use it to their full advantage at the expense of Canadian workers.’ However, the agreement includes limitations, capping Chinese EV exports at 49,000 vehicles initially with a reduced 6.1% tariff, gradually increasing to approximately 70,000 over five years.

    The most significant risk for Canada remains the impending renegotiation of the USMCA trade pact with the United States. Analysts suggest the Chinese agreement could complicate these talks, potentially provoking retaliatory measures from the Trump administration. Nevertheless, Canada appears to be signaling its readiness to explore alternatives rather than make ‘humiliating compromises to serve only American interests,’ according to trade economist Mary Lovely of the Peterson Institute for International Economics.

  • Dubai: Planning to buy property in 2026? Here’s what off-plan looks like

    Dubai: Planning to buy property in 2026? Here’s what off-plan looks like

    Dubai’s real estate sector continues to demonstrate unprecedented momentum as off-plan developments solidify their position as the primary growth driver heading into 2026. Industry analysis reveals that pre-construction properties not only maintained market dominance throughout 2025 but are positioned to capture an even larger share of transaction volume in the coming year.

    Market intelligence indicates that both local and international developers are preparing significant project launches that will further stimulate investor interest. According to Himanshi Trivedi, Deputy Director for Off-Plan Sales at Metropolitan Premium Properties, “Off-plan remains the driving force of Dubai’s residential real estate market, accounting for over 70% of total transactions in 2025. With major developments underway in high-growth corridors including Dubai South, Dubai Islands, and new master-planned phases by industry leaders Emaar and Damac, we anticipate off-plan unit sales to increase by 10-15% in 2026.”

    The appeal of off-plan investments stems from their superior return potential compared to completed properties. Market data shows that projects nearing completion continue to experience price appreciation, while the ready market offers rental savings advantages for residents.

    Betterhomes CEO Louis Harding notes a pronounced shift in demand dynamics: “Demand is clearly tilting toward new supply, especially in the apartment segment.” This trend is reflected in 2025 transaction data, where off-plan activity constituted 65% of total transactions and 53% of total value, with apartment sales surging 29% to AED 325 billion while villas and townhouses contributed AED 221 billion, representing a 26% increase.

    The market expansion has been extraordinary, with approximately 145,000 new off-plan units entering the market during 2024—averaging 400 units daily. Cavendish Maxwell research indicates sales volumes reached four times pre-pandemic levels, demonstrating the sector’s robust recovery and growth trajectory.

    John Lyons, Managing Director at Espace Real Estate, observed: “Dubai’s real estate market, spanning both residential and commercial sales, continued to demonstrate remarkable resilience and growth throughout the second half of 2025. Transaction volumes remained robust, buoyed by sustained demand across all asset classes.”

    Development leadership emerged clearly in H2 2025, with Binghatti launching over 13,000 units, followed by Damac Properties (6,588 units) and Emaar (6,262 units), signaling continued confidence in Dubai’s property market fundamentals.