分类: business

  • Stable grain output, lower soybean imports forecast for nation in 2026

    Stable grain output, lower soybean imports forecast for nation in 2026

    Against a backdrop of rising global food security uncertainties fueled by geopolitical turbulence, a landmark long-term agricultural outlook report released Monday projects that China will record a modest but steady uptick in domestic grain output in 2026, while seeing the first decline in imports of major agricultural commodities – most notably soybeans – in recent years.

    The *China Agricultural Outlook (2026-2035)*, compiled by the agricultural market analysis and early-warning team under China’s Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, forecasts total national grain production will hit 716 million metric tons this year, a 0.2% year-on-year increase. Oilseed output is also set for stronger growth, projected to rise 2.6% to 42.04 million tons. The expansion is driven by consistent improvements in crop productivity, with average national grain yields expected to cross the 6,000 kilograms per hectare threshold in 2026.

    “Large-scale improvements in crop productivity will continue to support a stable grain supply,” noted Xu Shiwei, head of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs’ key laboratory of agricultural monitoring and early warning technology. Alongside rising domestic output, the report forecasts a pullback in imports of several major agricultural goods, paired with ongoing growth in exports of China’s competitive agricultural products. Xu confirmed that soybean imports will fall 6.1% year-on-year in 2026, marking the first drop for that metric in recent years. Pork imports are projected to decline 8.2%, while dairy imports will see a 4.1% decrease, per the report.

    At the same time, exports of high-demand Chinese agricultural products are on track to expand: vegetable exports are forecast to grow 6.4% in 2026, and fruit exports are set to rise 5%. Even with the projected decline in some import volumes, the report stresses that global agricultural markets will remain a critical supplement to China’s domestic supply, noting that imports of goods including poultry are still expected to increase this year.

    The report comes as global agricultural markets face mounting headwinds from global geopolitical instability. Li Ganqiong, head of the agricultural monitoring and early-warning research center at the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, pointed out that rising geopolitical risks – including ongoing conflict in the Middle East – have driven up global oil prices, fertilizer costs and shipping expenses, creating greater uncertainty for global agricultural production and trade. “These factors could heighten risks to global food security,” Li said, adding that shoring up domestic agricultural production remains the most critical strategy for buffering against external volatility.

    Beyond 2026, the report outlines a decades-long trajectory of steady growth for China’s agricultural sector. Total national grain output is projected to climb gradually to 733 million tons by 2030 and 753 million tons by 2035, with average grain yields per hectare expected to rise 6.3% over the next 10 years. On the demand side, national grain consumption is forecast to grow slowly before peaking at 842 million tons around 2032, after which it will stabilize and enter a gradual decline.

    As domestic productivity improves and China’s agricultural goods gain stronger global competitiveness, the country’s reliance on imports for major agricultural commodities will continue to decrease over the long term, Xu explained. By 2035, total grain imports are projected to drop to 115 million tons, a 25.5% reduction from the 2023-2025 average. Soybean imports are set to fall to 82.55 million tons by 2035, a 21.5% drop from current average levels.

    Other agricultural sectors are also set for structural adjustment and steady growth. The Chinese dairy industry will continue expanding, with domestic milk production projected to reach 45.07 million tons by 2030 and 51.17 million tons by 2035, for an average annual growth rate of 2%. This growth aligns with shifting domestic consumer demand: the report notes rising demand for fresh milk, alongside growing use of cheese and butter in beverages and baked goods across China.

    For the pork sector, the report forecasts a gradual output decline over the next decade, as the industry transitions from a period of rapid expansion to a focus on higher-quality, more efficient production. By 2035, pork output is projected to reach 55.11 million tons, with an average annual decline of roughly 0.5%.

    First launched in 2014, the annual China Agricultural Outlook report has become a core authoritative platform for evaluating China’s agricultural trends, supporting more accurate market forecasting and guiding evidence-based policy planning, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs said.

  • Australian shares stall as investors await outcome of US-Iran ceasefire talks

    Australian shares stall as investors await outcome of US-Iran ceasefire talks

    On Tuesday, Australian equity markets settled into a cautious holding pattern, with benchmark indices closing nearly unchanged as investors paused major moves ahead of a key Middle East ceasefire expiration set for Wednesday’s trading open. The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 slid a marginal 3.9 points, a 0.04% dip, to close at 8949.4, while the wider All Ordinaries index gained a matching fractional 0.03%, adding 3.1 points to finish the session.

    The day began with an early upward push for stocks, but those initial gains evaporated as market participants braced for potential volatility linked to the pending expiration of the ceasefire between the United States and Iran. Industry analyst Tony Sycamore of trading firm IG flagged the Wednesday opening bell as a critical juncture for the local market, noting that the timing of the deadline could spark sharp price swings in early trading when markets reopen.

    Sycamore explained that Tuesday’s muted session followed modest overnight declines on major U.S. equity markets, where resurfaced geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran interrupted a multi-day winning streak for major American indices. He added that the relatively muted declines seen in both U.S. and Australian markets stem from a balancing act among traders: they are pricing in the new geopolitical risk while holding out hope that diplomatic negotiations will result in an extended or even permanent ceasefire agreement.

    Six of the 11 tracked sectors on the ASX 200 closed in positive territory on Tuesday. Consumer staples led all gainers with a 0.67% uplift, while the energy sector was the session’s weakest performer, dropping 1.03% overall. The decline in energy stocks aligned with a recent pullback in global crude prices: Brent Crude has fallen more than 5% over the past month and dipped below the $95 per barrel threshold.

    Among individual energy names, Viva Energy recovered 0.87% to close at $2.32, rebounding slightly from a steep drop in the prior session that came after a fire broke out at the company’s Geelong refinery during its first day of trading post-incident. By contrast, major oil and gas producer Woodside Energy fell 1.76% to $31.21, and competitor Santos lost 1.46% to close at $7.44.

    Australia’s big four national banks delivered a mixed performance, matching the market’s overall flat tone. National Australia Bank gained 0.46% to close at $41.21, and Westpac Banking Corporation rose 0.57% to finish at $40.25, putting both in positive territory. On the losing side, Commonwealth Bank of Australia slipped 0.32% to $179.58, and Australia and New Zealand Banking Group dropped 1.71% to close at $37.28.

    Some individual stocks posted strong gains on the back of positive corporate news. Vulcan Energy climbed 6.5% to $3.76 after announcing a €40 million engineering services agreement with Siemens for its planned lithium and renewable energy project. Counter-drone technology firm Droneshield rose 5.54% to close at $3.81.

    On the downside, investment platform HUB24 slid 8.33% to $87.50 following the release of its third-quarter operational update. Medical technology firm 4DMedical pulled back 6.15% to $5.34 in its first session as an official constituent of the ASX 200 index. Even with the pullback, long-term shareholders in 4DMedical have little cause for concern: the stock has posted a gain of more than 1800% over the past 12 months.

  • Jetstar axes number of New Zealand flights by 12 per cent as soaring fuel costs continue to bite

    Jetstar axes number of New Zealand flights by 12 per cent as soaring fuel costs continue to bite

    Skyrocketing jet fuel costs, triggered by the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz seven weeks ago, have forced Australian budget carrier Jetstar and its parent company Qantas to slash thousands of flights across Australia and New Zealand through the end of June, with New Zealand domestic routes bearing the brunt of the cuts. New data compiled by aviation industry publication AeroRoutes details the scale of the capacity cuts between May 18 and June 30, revealing stark disparities in how the reductions impact different regions. Jetstar is trimming just 2.7% of its domestic Australian flight capacity over the period, bringing total scheduled services to 10,237, while cutting 12% of its domestic New Zealand operations, dropping total flights to just 1,564 – a relative cut more than four times larger than the cuts to Australian domestic routes. The deep cuts to New Zealand domestic capacity mean local travelers will face far greater disruption than their Australian counterparts. For trans-Tasman routes connecting Australia and New Zealand, the largest reductions are concentrated on services running to and from Auckland and Christchurch, both operating out of Australia’s Gold Coast. On Australian domestic routes, two planned services have been pushed back or cancelled entirely: the scheduled June 17 resumption of Gold Coast to Darwin flights has been delayed until October, and all Sydney to Busselton (Western Australia) services are scrapped between June 1 and September 21. Across the entire seven-week cut period in Australia, most Jetstar routes see fewer than five cancelled trips per route, but domestic New Zealand sees far larger cuts to key intercity routes: 55 Auckland to Christchurch flights are axed, dropping total scheduled services to 310, and 53 Auckland to Wellington trips are removed from the schedule, leaving 142 remaining flights. Qantas, Jetstar’s parent company, has also implemented its own capacity cuts, trimming 3.6% of its total scheduled flights in the same May 18 to June 30 window. Qantas’s cuts fall most heavily on busy domestic trunk routes: 43 Brisbane to Melbourne flights, 31 Melbourne to Brisbane flights, 23 Melbourne to Adelaide flights, 27 Perth to Sydney flights, 50 Sydney to Brisbane flights, and 76 Sydney to Melbourne flights have all been cancelled. The root cause of the capacity pullback is a historic surge in jet fuel prices, that has seen costs for buyers in Asia and Oceania jump as much as 150% since the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global energy chokepoint, was closed seven weeks ago. Last week, Qantas issued a formal update to the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) warning that its total fuel bill for the second half of the 2024 financial year would be between $600 million and $800 million higher than initial projections. The steep rise in fuel costs comes even as the airline group’s core profitability metric, revenue per passenger kilometre, continues to climb as carriers push through higher ticket prices to offset growing costs. Neither Jetstar nor Qantas has issued a public statement responding to questions about the new capacity cut details from AeroRoutes. The widespread cuts highlight how global energy market disruptions are directly impacting regional aviation capacity across Oceania, putting additional pressure on travelers already facing rising airfares.

  • Inside the world of ultra-luxury wedding cakes

    Inside the world of ultra-luxury wedding cakes

    When A-list celebrity Jennifer Lopez took the stage at a star-studded Indian wedding last November, few expected the highlight of the evening to be anything but her performance. But in a lavish celebration for 500 guests in Udaipur, it was a towering, meters-tall multi-tiered cake, inspired by traditional Rajasthani architecture, that captured the attention of attendees and dominated subsequent media coverage. The architect of this edible masterpiece? 34-year-old French celebrity pastry chef Bastien Blanc-Tailleur, whose custom creations occupy the same rarefied space in confectionery that haute couture holds in global fashion — one-of-a-kind, handcrafted, and accessible only to clients willing to make extraordinary investments of time and money.

    Speaking to AFP from his studio just outside Paris, where five of his latest edible sculptures sat on display, Blanc-Tailleur notes that his studio rarely takes on weddings with a total cake budget under one million euros. The November wedding, which united billionaire heiress Netra Mantena and tech entrepreneur Vamsi Gadiraju, carried a total reported price tag of $6.7 million, with Lopez reportedly earning $2 million for her 30-minute set. While the chef declines to disclose exact pricing for individual projects, he confirms that his most modest custom creations start at €20,000 ($23,500), and his most elaborate signature pieces cost multiple times that entry point.

    For the Udaipur event, the order included five separate cakes: the showstopping centerpiece decorated with cascading sugar orchids, hand-sculpted sugar elephants and domed pavilion structures crafted from white sugar paste, two additional cakes for the couple’s families, and two more designed to be lowered from the venue’s ceiling for display. In total, the project required an estimated 3,500 hours of labor from the team. “We probably hit the top limit of what we’re capable of,” Blanc-Tailleur says, adding that the Indian commission remains one of the projects he is most proud of.

    Blanc-Tailleur’s craft draws on centuries-old French pastry traditions that date back to the 1700s, before spreading to Britain and the Americas. But his exclusive art form relies entirely on patronage from the global ultra-wealthy, including Middle Eastern royals, wealthy American heirs and European aristocrats, who all compete for his limited availability. With a full-time staff of only 10 people, his studio can produce just 20 to 25 custom cakes per year, leading to waitlists that stretch for months.

    In recent months, regional geopolitical unrest has upended the carefully laid plans of many of his clients. The US-Israeli attack on Iran on February 28, which sparked widespread conflict across the Middle East, has forced dozens of couples to reschedule their events. “Lots of weddings have been pushed back to next year or the year after,” he explains. “Several clients who were going to get married in Israel or in Lebanon or in Saudi Arabia have changed and are going to get married in France instead.”

    Geopolitical uncertainty is far from the only challenge Blanc-Tailleur has faced in the eight years since he launched his independent business. The 2020-2021 Covid-19 pandemic shut down large-scale events globally, forcing him to pivot to smaller projects to keep his team employed. Even in stable times, transporting his fragile, intricate creations to ultra-luxury venues across the globe carries constant risk. For the Udaipur wedding, last-minute logistical complications left the team scrambling to source fresh local eggs and butter for the cake’s base just days before the event. “Right up until the last minute we were not sure we were able to deliver the project in the best way,” he says. On another occasion, an overzealous customs official in Saudi Arabia opened the custom shock-absorbent packaging designed to protect the cake in transit, but failed to reseal the boxes properly, leaving the delicate icing damaged and requiring on-site repairs just hours before the reception.

    Blanc-Tailleur’s path to becoming one of the world’s most exclusive wedding cake designers began as a teenage baking apprentice. By his late twenties, he had worked his way up to kitchen management roles at Paris’ iconic Four Seasons George V hotel, before joining the team of legendary French chef Yannick Alleno, who holds 18 Michelin stars across his global restaurant portfolio. It was from Alleno that Blanc-Tailleur says he retained his core creative philosophy: “He used to say that when you’re thinking about a project, you shouldn’t think about how you’re going to do it. Otherwise, you limit yourself in the creative process.”

    True to that ethos, Blanc-Tailleur still hand-draws every design by hand on plain white card, rejecting artificial intelligence-generated designs and hyper-realistic digital renderings that he says rob clients of the joy of discovering the finished cake in person. A lifelong collector of natural curiosities and vintage trinkets — including butterflies, seashells, rough stones, and hand-carved wooden figurines sourced from flea markets across Europe — he has amassed a collection of between 2,000 and 3,000 custom molds to craft prototypes and the intricate icing decorations that define his work. Every detail is tailored to the couple’s vision: “The flowers are the bit that take the most time,” he says, with roses, orchids, and hydrangeas all built from hand-sculpted layers of icing to match the mood board provided by the wedding planner.

    The demands of running his exclusive business leave Blanc-Tailleur with almost no personal time. He attends nearly every one of his clients’ weddings to oversee setup and delivery, requiring constant international travel that keeps him on the road for weeks at a time. In a rare personal aside, he confides that he has been engaged for four years, but has yet to set a date for his own wedding — fitting proof that for the world’s most in-demand luxury cake designer, serving his elite clients always comes first.

  • Exploring global goods at Linyi RCEP expo

    Exploring global goods at Linyi RCEP expo

    On April 20, 2026, one of East Asia’s most anticipated regional trade events kicked off at the Linyi International Expo Center: the fifth iteration of the RCEP (Shandong) Import Expo. This year’s gathering has drawn participation from more than 400 international product suppliers and over 5,300 domestic and overseas buyers, marking one of the largest and most high-profile editions of the expo since its launch.

    Running for three days, the exhibition space is organized into 18 dedicated national pavilions spanning a total of 1,200 individual booths, showcasing a vast, diverse assortment of goods sourced from markets across the globe. China Daily Website’s foreign expert Douglas Dueno is on-site to guide audiences through the wide range of international products on display, highlighting the expo’s role in bringing global merchandise directly to Chinese and regional buyers.

    Conceived as a strategic platform to advance trade cooperation under the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership agreement, the expo fills a key niche in strengthening cross-border connectivity between RCEP member economies and global trading partners. By bringing international suppliers face-to-face with bulk and retail buyers from China and beyond, the event fosters new commercial partnerships, expands market access for imported goods, and reinforces Linyi’s growing reputation as a vital hub for regional trade in northern China.

  • Lanzhou lily takes nine years to grow, expands into global markets

    Lanzhou lily takes nine years to grow, expands into global markets

    In a sunbaked, freshly harvested field on the outskirts of Lanzhou, the capital of northwestern China’s Gansu province, 54-year-old veteran lily farmer Jin Yougang kneels in dark loamy soil, gently prying apart a plump, ivory-hued bulb he has just unearthed. “This isn’t the bitter ornamental lily most people know,” Jin explains, brushing flecks of dirt from the layered scales. “Lanzhou lily is naturally sweet — crisp enough to eat fresh, just like a piece of fruit.”

    Jin makes his home in Agan Town, Qilihe District, a region celebrated as the most ecologically ideal growing area for this unique crop, which thrives in the district’s cool, well-drained loess soil and dramatic diurnal temperature shifts. In 2025 alone, Qilihe District’s total Lanzhou lily output hit 33,000 metric tons, with a total output value reaching 1 billion yuan, equal to roughly $140 million.

    Widely acclaimed as the only naturally sweet edible lily in China — and potentially the entire world — the Lanzhou lily’s one-of-a-kind flavor and delicate texture come at a remarkable cost of time. Unlike common agricultural crops that reach maturity in a single growing season, the journey from a tiny bulblet to a harvest-ready, full-sized Lanzhou lily takes up to nine full years. Local growers summarize this patient process in a simple proverb: “Three years to sprout, three years to grow, three years to mature.”

    With more than four centuries of documented cultivation history rooted in local agricultural tradition, the Lanzhou lily has evolved far beyond a small regional specialty. Today, it has grown into a robust, multi-billion-yuan industry that sustains the livelihoods of tens of thousands of rural farming households across Gansu. A wide range of value-added products — from dried lily slices for traditional Chinese cuisine to lily-infused health supplements and snacks — have pushed the total national market value of the Lanzhou lily industry over 6.1 billion yuan, according to new data from the Qilihe District Agricultural Industrialization Office. What is more, the premium crop has expanded beyond China’s borders, finding loyal consumers in export markets including Japan, South Korea, the United States, and multiple countries across Southeast Asia, as international demand for unique, high-quality Chinese agricultural goods continues to climb.

    Yet alongside growing global demand and rising market opportunities, the industry faces pressing structural challenges. Decades of reliance on traditional propagation methods have led to gradual variety degradation, with bulbs accumulating pathogens over generations that drag down both product quality and overall crop yield. To address these bottlenecks and support the industry’s long-term growth, local agricultural experts have turned to cutting-edge propagation technology to revitalize the iconic crop.

    “Through lab-based propagation techniques such as virus-free seedling cultivation, we remove harmful pathogens from Lanzhou lily germplasm, then purify and rejuvenate the stock to restore the crop’s natural vitality,” explained Li Bin, a senior agronomist at the Qilihe District Agricultural Technology Extension Station. “This process improves overall bulb quality and lays a solid foundation for the industry’s shift toward high-end, value-focused development.”

    Li added that researchers are combining both sexual and asexual breeding strategies, paired with rapid propagation protocols, to systematically upgrade the Lanzhou lily variety. “By integrating these different methods, our goal is to build a far more stable and efficient cultivation system that meets the needs of large-scale commercial production,” he said.

    Most notably, optimized propagation systems could cut the crop’s notoriously long growing cycle from nine years down to approximately six — without sacrificing the signature sweetness and dense nutritional profile that makes Lanzhou lily so sought-after. “Our ultimate goal is to leverage agricultural technology to boost both quality and productivity,” Li noted. “That means higher incomes for local farmers, and a consistent, premium product for consumers around the world.”

  • China forecasts higher grain output, lower soybean imports in 2026

    China forecasts higher grain output, lower soybean imports in 2026

    Released on April 20, 2026, the latest China Agricultural Outlook (2026–35) report has laid out a clear trajectory for the country’s agricultural sector over the coming decade, projecting modest growth in domestic grain output this year alongside a rare drop in imports of key bulk agricultural commodities such as soybeans.

    According to the report, which is compiled annually by the agricultural market analysis and early-warning team of China’s Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, China’s total grain output is set to reach 716 million metric tons in 2026, marking a 0.2 percent year-on-year increase. Driven by ongoing gains in crop productivity, national average grain yield is expected to cross the 6,000 kilograms per hectare threshold this year, while output of oil-bearing crops will climb 2.6 percent to hit 42.04 million tons.

    “Large-scale improvements in crop productivity will continue to support stable grain supply,” noted Xu Shiwei, director of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs’ key laboratory for agricultural monitoring and early warning technology. This domestic production growth is translating to a shifting trade landscape: the report forecasts a 6.1 percent year-on-year decline in soybean imports for 2026, the first such drop recorded in recent years. Other major agricultural imports are also set to shrink, with pork imports projected to fall 8.2 percent and dairy imports down 4.1 percent. At the same time, exports of China’s competitive high-value agricultural products are expanding, with 2026 vegetable exports forecast to rise 6.4 percent and fruit exports up 5 percent.

    Even with these projected import declines, the report emphasizes that global agricultural markets will remain an important complementary source of supply for China. Imports of products such as poultry, for example, are still expected to climb this year.

    The report also frames the strengthening of domestic production as a strategic response to growing global uncertainty. Li Ganqiong, head of the agricultural monitoring and early-warning research center at the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, pointed to rising geopolitical risks, including ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, that have driven up global energy prices, fertilizer costs and international shipping expenses. These disruptions have increased volatility in global agricultural production and trade, creating heightened risks to global food security, Li explained. Strengthening domestic output, he added, remains a critical buffer against these external shocks.

    Looking ahead to 2035, the report projects steady long-term growth in China’s grain output, which is forecast to reach 733 million tons by 2030 and 753 million tons by 2035. Over the coming decade, average grain yield per hectare is expected to increase by 6.3 percent. National grain consumption is projected to grow slowly before peaking at 842 million tons around 2032, after which it will stabilize and see a gradual decline.

    As domestic productivity and international competitiveness of China’s agricultural sector continue to improve, the country’s reliance on imports for major agricultural commodities will gradually decrease, Xu said. By 2035, total grain imports are projected to fall to 115 million tons, a 25.5 percent drop from the 2023–2025 average. Soybean imports will decline to 82.55 million tons over the same period, a 21.5 percent reduction from recent averages.

    The report also lays out long-term projections for other key agricultural sectors. China’s dairy industry will see steady expansion, with domestic milk production forecast to reach 45.07 million tons by 2030 and 51.17 million tons by 2035, an average annual growth rate of 2 percent, driven by rising consumer demand for fresh milk and growing use of cheese and butter in processed foods. The pork sector, by contrast, will see a gradual production decline over the next decade as it transitions from rapid expansion to a focus on higher-quality, more efficient production, with output reaching 55.11 million tons by 2035, an average annual decline of roughly 0.5 percent.

    First launched in 2014, the annual China Agricultural Outlook report has become a foundational reference for tracking Chinese agricultural trends, supporting market forecasting and informing national agricultural policy planning, the ministry noted.

  • Live stream for good, prosperity for Xinjiang

    Live stream for good, prosperity for Xinjiang

    Launched in 2022, the Taste Xinjiang brand has emerged as a transformative force in connecting the northwestern Chinese region’s rich agricultural resources to domestic and global consumers, built on a core commitment to product quality and sustainable development. Far more than a commercial label for local farm goods, the initiative has evolved into a key driving force behind rural revitalization and inclusive economic growth across Xinjiang, opening new income streams for smallholder farmers and rural communities that previously faced limited access to outside markets.

    At the heart of Taste Xinjiang’s success is its innovative integration of e-commerce livestreaming, a digital sales model that has revolutionized rural retail across China in recent years. By showcasing regional specialties directly from farmlands and production sites to online audiences, the brand has cut out intermediary layers, boosted profit margins for local producers, and helped build a reputation for Xinjiang’s premium agricultural products, from cotton and fragrant grapes to handcrafted snacks and organic nuts.

    As of 2025, official data highlights the remarkable scale of the brand’s achievements through livestream e-commerce, marking three years of steady growth since its founding. The initiative has not only strengthened Xinjiang’s agricultural sector competitiveness but also aligned with national development goals to lift rural communities out of poverty and achieve shared prosperity, demonstrating how digital innovation can create tangible, long-term benefits for underdeveloped regional economies.

  • Oil price jump fails to lift Australian sharemarket as Middle East conflict hits banks

    Oil price jump fails to lift Australian sharemarket as Middle East conflict hits banks

    Escalating geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran, sparked by the seizure of an Iranian vessel near the strategically critical Strait of Hormuz, sent global oil prices jumping by as much as 8% on Monday — but the move failed to lift Australian equities, which closed barely changed in a choppy session of mixed sector performance.

    The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 eked out a marginal 6.4-point gain, or 0.07%, to settle at 8,953.30, while the broader All Ordinaries index added an even smaller 5.4 points, equivalent to 0.06%, to end the day at 9,174.10. The Australian dollar also posted a minor uptick, rising 0.24% to buy 71.51 U.S. cents by market close.

    Across the benchmark’s 11 sectors, the day split evenly: six finished in positive territory while five closed lower. The most counterintuitive movement came from the energy sector, which led the declines despite Monday’s dramatic surge in Brent Crude prices. The global oil benchmark climbed as high as 8% intraday before settling at $95.50 U.S. ($133.30 Australian) as investors priced in growing supply risk from the disrupted Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly 20% of global oil supplies transit daily.

    Major Australian energy stocks posted steep losses: Woodside Energy fell 2.93% to $31.77, Santos dropped 1.31% to $7.55, and fuel retailer Ampol slid 3.19% to $31.88. Viva Energy was an even bigger laggard, plummeting 9.09% to $2.30 after resuming trading following a major fire at its Geelong refinery the previous week.

    Losses across energy were largely offset by strong gains in consumer-facing stocks and most of the financial sector. Retail giant Wesfarmers, which owns brands including Bunnings and Kmart, led consumer discretionary gains with a 2.44% jump to $74.63. Electronics retailer JB Hi-Fi added 0.55% to $76.49, and furniture chain Harvey Norman gained 0.88% to $4.61.

    Among the big four banks, three closed higher: Commonwealth Bank of Australia rose 1.08% to $180.15, Westpac added 0.73% to $40.02, and ANZ nudged up 0.03% to $37.93. The outlier was National Australia Bank, which tumbled 3.60% to $41.02 after the lender disclosed it was boosting provisions for bad debt ahead of its first-half results, citing rising risk from the ongoing Middle East conflict involving the U.S., Israel and Iran. The bank now forecasts total impairment costs of up to $706 million, up from a previous projection of $485 million before the escalation of regional tensions.

    Another company caught in the crossfire of Middle East uncertainty was engineering firm Worley, which dropped 5.84% to $11.13 after warning that ongoing conflict would delay operational activities and contract awards, dragging down its full-year 2026 financial outlook.

    The only major standout on the day was buy now, pay later provider Zip Co, which extended a Friday rally with a 7.73% gain to $2.51 on Monday. The surge followed a bullish quarterly update released Friday that showed third-quarter cash earnings before interest and tax jumped 41.5% year-over-year, driven primarily by robust revenue growth in the U.S. market. The stock had already rallied 13.66% on Friday.

    Market analysts noted that overall trading sentiment remained muted as investors adopt a wait-and-see approach to evolving geopolitical developments. “Markets are in a holding position as they await more news out of the US and Iran conflict,” said Tony Sycamore, market analyst at IG. “Either the data will break or the blockade will break. When you talk about the data breaking, we aren’t at that point although Japan, New Zealand and the UK inflation will give an indication. We also have a ceasefire coming up and I don’t think anyone thinks the ceasefire won’t be extended.”

    Additional uncertainty filtered through markets following conflicting reports around planned regional peace talks: U.S. officials confirmed Vice President JD Vance would join a diplomatic delegation traveling to Pakistan for talks, but Iranian state media has already indicated Tehran will not attend the negotiations, dashing early hopes of a near-term de-escalation of tensions.

  • Fair Work Commission orders retailers, supermarkets compensate truck drivers for fuel shocks

    Fair Work Commission orders retailers, supermarkets compensate truck drivers for fuel shocks

    A landmark ruling from Australia’s Fair Work Commission (FWC) has mandated the nation’s largest retailers, supermarket chains, and other major businesses across manufacturing and mining to adjust road transport payment rates starting Tuesday, forcing big business to absorb soaring fuel costs that have disproportionately hit independent truck drivers and small fleet operators amid ongoing Middle East conflict-driven market volatility.

    This binding order marks the first official intervention under the Albanese government’s fuel pricing amendments, which were fast-tracked through federal parliament earlier this year to address sudden global energy market shocks. Australian Workplace Relations Minister Amanda Rishworth framed the decision as a critical step toward advancing workplace fairness, noting that truck drivers should never be forced to absorb the cost of global fuel disruptions that are entirely outside of their control.

    “By requiring fuel price changes to be reflected in transport rates, this order helps protect hard working truckies and small businesses from being pushed to the brink,” Rishworth said. She added that the mandate complements the government’s existing National Fuel Security Plan, which aims to mitigate fuel supply disruptions and keep essential goods moving across the country’s domestic supply chains.

    The FWC built in targeted flexibility and safeguards to avoid unnecessary market disruption: the compensation requirements will automatically lapse when diesel prices drop below AU$2 per litre, and the commission will conduct a full review after the first month of implementation, with follow-up reviews every three months to confirm the order remains appropriate for current market conditions. The commission also acknowledged that existing industry-specific payment arrangements can be accommodated where they meet the core requirement of passing through fuel price adjustments.

    In its published ruling, the FWC detailed the severe financial pressure that skyrocketing diesel costs, amplified by Middle East tensions between the U.S. and Iran despite a soon-to-expire ceasefire, have inflicted on owner-drivers, small fleet operators, and non-employee road transport workers. Historically, fuel costs made up 20% to 30% of total operational costs for road transport businesses; that share has now surged to between 40% and 50%, according to the commission’s findings.

    “For those who have been unable to recover the increased cost of fuel (either for a period or at all), the effect has been significantly detrimental to them,” the FWC’s ruling stated. “Generally, it has seriously reduced the incomes and living standards of owner-drivers and road transport employee-like workers, with consequential effects on their families, and has affected the capacity of small fleet operators to generate any returns on their businesses. For many, it has been or will be necessary for them to ‘park their trucks’ and cease operating their businesses since otherwise they will be operating at a loss.”

    The commission also warned that widespread business collapse among small road transport operators would trigger broader national supply chain disruption, reducing the industry’s overall capacity to meet the transportation needs of the entire Australian economy.

    Notably, the ruling does not explicitly exclude rideshare and on-demand delivery workers for platforms such as Uber, Uber Eats and DoorDash, even though they are not named directly in the published order. The three platforms submitted formal arguments to the FWC requesting that their workers be excluded from the mandate, or that their existing temporary fuel adjustment policies be recognized as compliant. Earlier this month, Uber rolled out a temporary 5% fuel surcharge for customers to offset higher fuel costs for its drivers. The FWC also rejected procedural fairness claims from industry groups including the Australian Industry Group and NatRoad, which argued they had not been given adequate opportunity to contribute to the ruling process.