标签: South America

南美洲

  • Trump administration proposes 25% tariffs on Brazil, citing “unreasonable’’ trade practices

    Trump administration proposes 25% tariffs on Brazil, citing “unreasonable’’ trade practices

    In a late announcement issued Monday, the second Trump administration unveiled a proposal to levy 25% tariffs on a portion of Brazilian imports to the United States, opening a new flashpoint in bilateral trade tensions between the two Western Hemisphere powers. The proposal follows a months-long investigation conducted by the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR), which accuses Brazil, the world’s 10th-largest economy, of maintaining trade practices that Washington labels unreasonable and harmful to American commercial interests. Among the specific allegations cited are insufficient anti-corruption enforcement by Brazilian authorities and existing unfair Brazilian tariff barriers that disadvantage U.S. exporters.

    USTR chief Jamieson Greer acknowledged that the Trump administration had held what he described as constructive discussions with Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and other senior Brazilian economic and trade officials in recent weeks. Despite those talks, however, Greer confirmed that the two sides remain far apart on addressing the core concerns raised during the Section 301 investigation. “We continue to have substantial differences in resolving the issues identified in this investigation,” Greer stated in formal comments accompanying the proposal. To allow for public and industry input, the USTR has scheduled a public hearing on the planned tariffs for July 6, giving interested stakeholders an opportunity to comment on the potential economic impacts of the new duties.

    The current proposal marks a strategic shift for the Trump administration, coming after the U.S. Supreme Court dealt a major legal blow to the administration’s earlier trade actions in February. In a landmark ruling, the high court found that Trump had overstepped his executive authority when he imposed a 25%? No correction: Last year, Trump imposed a 50% tariff on Brazilian goods using the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), a move widely interpreted as a protest against the Brazilian judiciary’s prosecution of former Brazilian president Jair Bolsonaro, Trump’s political ally. Bolsonaro, a right-wing populist who preceded Lula in office, is currently facing trial for his role in attempted coup efforts to overturn his narrow 2022 electoral defeat, a case that has drawn harsh criticism from Trump and his allies.

    The Supreme Court’s February ruling invalidated all sweeping tariffs imposed by Trump under IEEPA, eliminating a key tool the administration had used to pressure trading partners and wiping out billions in projected tariff revenue. Unlike IEEPA, however, tariffs authorized under Section 301 of the 1974 Trade Act — the legal authority the administration is relying on for the new Brazilian tariffs — have withstood repeated legal challenges in U.S. courts. Trade analysts note the administration’s new move is part of a broader strategy to shift its aggressive trade agenda to a more legally solid foundation, while also working to recover lost tariff revenue from the scrapped IEEPA duties.

    Ryan Majerus, a trade attorney and partner at the international law firm King & Spalding, pointed out that the proposed tariff package carves out exceptions for more than half of all U.S. imports from Brazil. Key excluded products include Brazilian civilian aircraft and critical industrial minerals, which are heavily relied on by U.S. manufacturing and aerospace sectors. The exemption of these strategically important goods suggests the administration has sought to limit potential economic backlash from U.S. industries that depend on Brazilian imports, while still maintaining pressure on the Brazilian government to make trade and policy concessions.

  • Peruvian shamans perform a blessing ritual ahead of a presidential runoff

    Peruvian shamans perform a blessing ritual ahead of a presidential runoff

    LIMA, Peru – As Peru braces for a high-stakes presidential runoff that will shape the future of a South American nation roiled by years of political upheaval and corruption, Indigenous shamans from across the country gathered Monday on the sunbaked shores of Lima’s Herradura Beach for a traditional blessing ritual focused on the two remaining candidates. Held in the coastal Chorrillos district, the centuries-old ceremony comes ahead of Sunday’s decisive vote, a contest that arrives amid a decade-long cycle of presidential ousters tied to widespread corruption scandals that have gutted public trust in the country’s political institutions.

    This pre-election ritual is a longstanding cultural tradition, held at the turn of every new year and ahead of major electoral contests to invoke spiritual guidance for the country’s political future. The gathered shamans arranged public portraits of the two runoff contenders at their seaside altar, where they led chants and blessings using traditional ceremonial items: vivid flower petals, fresh fruit, sacred coca leaves, aromatic palo santo (known locally as “holy wood”), cured black tobacco, ceremonial swords, and symbolic ritual dolls. To close the public portion of the ceremony, participants lit brightly colored flares and beat traditional drums, filling the coastal air with rhythm and smoke.

    The two candidates facing off Sunday are Keiko Fujimori, a conservative political figure and daughter of disgraced former Peruvian President Alberto Fujimori, and Roberto Sánchez, a nationalist former cabinet minister and sitting congressman. Polling ahead of the runoff shows the pair locked in a dead heat, with neither candidate holding a statistically significant lead over the other. The path to the runoff has already been rocky: in April’s crowded first-round election, Fujimori captured just over 17% of the vote, while Sánchez earned roughly 12% to claim the second spot. That initial round was marred by widespread logistical failures that left thousands of voters both in Peru and living overseas unable to cast their ballots, forcing the country’s national electoral body to spend weeks sorting through disputes and finalizing the two candidates who would advance to the runoff.

    Andrés de los Santos, a shaman who traveled to the capital from northern Peru to participate in the ritual, emphasized the core purpose of the gathering: “The ritual we perform is primarily intended to ensure that the best candidate is the one who represents our Peru.” Unlike in past years, the assembled shamans chose not to issue a public prediction of the election’s outcome this cycle. That choice marks a departure from earlier ceremonies, when the group has publicly forecast political shifts: at the end of 2025, they predicted that Venezuela’s sitting President Nicolás Maduro, who currently faces U.S. drug trafficking charges, will leave office before the end of 2026.

    Whoever claims victory on Sunday will step into the office of president as Peru’s ninth sitting head of state in just 10 years, a staggering pace of turnover driven by repeated corruption scandals. The winner will replace interim President José María Balcázar, who took office in February after his predecessor, interim leader José Jerí, was removed from office just four months into his term over widespread corruption allegations. The new president will be sworn in on July 28 to serve a full five-year term, tasked with stabilizing the country’s fractured political landscape and restoring public faith in government.

  • Two possible Ebola cases in Brazil ruled out as patients test negative

    Two possible Ebola cases in Brazil ruled out as patients test negative

    Brazilian local health authorities have officially announced that two people who were once under monitoring as suspected Ebola cases have now cleared their tests, with both returning negative results for the deadly virus.

    The two suspected patients, who developed Ebola-compatible symptoms after returning from trip to African nations, were placed under observation and testing in Brazil’s two largest urban centers, São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro, immediately after they showed symptoms. According to an official announcement from São Paulo’s health department, the 37-year-old male patient, who had traveled to the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) – the epicenter of the ongoing Ebola outbreak – did not contract Ebola. Subsequent tests revealed he was actually infected with meningitis, and had only presented fever, a common overlapping symptom for both diseases.

    In the separate case in Rio de Janeiro, the patient – a Belgian national who recently returned from Uganda – also tested negative for Ebola. He had been flagged for suspicion after showing viral symptoms including cough, body chills and diarrhea, but test results confirmed he was suffering from malaria instead.

    Health officials noted that if either of these two cases had returned positive Ebola results, they would have marked the first confirmed Ebola infections detected outside of Africa since the current outbreak took hold in the DRC.

    As of current reports, the outbreak situation in Africa remains serious. The DRC has recorded more than 1,000 suspected Ebola cases, with at least 246 confirmed deaths linked to the virus. Most infections are concentrated in three eastern provinces of the country: Ituri, North Kivu and South Kivu. Neighboring Uganda has also confirmed nine Ebola cases and one fatality from the disease.

    The ongoing outbreak is driven by the Bundibugyo strain, a rare Ebola variant for which no licensed, proven effective vaccine currently exists. This strain has an average mortality rate of roughly 30 percent among those who contract it. At present, three new candidate vaccines targeting the Bundibugyo strain are under active development, led by research teams including the International AIDS Vaccine Initiative (IAVI), the University of Oxford, and biopharmaceutical company Moderna.

    For background, Ebola viruses are primarily zoonotic pathogens that naturally circulate in wild animal populations, most commonly fruit bats. Human outbreaks typically originate when an individual comes into contact with or consumes an infected animal. Once an initial human infection occurs, the virus spreads rapidly through direct contact with an infected person’s bodily fluids – which includes sweat, saliva, blood, semen, feces, urine and vomit.

  • Experts say US targeting of Brazilian gangs is an attempt to sway election there

    Experts say US targeting of Brazilian gangs is an attempt to sway election there

    RIO DE JANEIRO – A controversial decision by the Trump administration to label two major Brazilian criminal gangs as foreign terrorist organizations is being framed as a politically motivated move to boost the electoral prospects of a pro-Trump Brazilian candidate ahead of the country’s tightly contested October presidential election, according to regional politicians and policy analysts.

    The two groups in question — First Capital Command, better known by its Brazilian acronym PCC, and Red Command, or CV — are now among 10 Latin American criminal groups that hold the U.S. foreign terrorist organization designation. What sets this designation apart, however, is that unlike the eight other groups that earned this label, neither PCC nor CV operate within U.S. territory. The vast majority of cocaine trafficking activity linked to the two gangs is destined for European markets, with drug supply routes to the U.S. overwhelmingly running through Colombia, Mexico and Central America instead of Brazil, experts note.

    The designation came just one week after Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro, the son of former Brazilian president Jair Bolsonaro and a leading opposition candidate challenging incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, traveled to Washington to meet with Trump administration officials. Flávio Bolsonaro confirmed he personally requested the U.S. extend terrorist designation status to the two Rio-based gangs.

    For Flávio Bolsonaro, the U.S. decision works to shore up his widely marketed hardline reputation on crime and public security, a key policy area where he has repeatedly hammered Lula’s administration for perceived weak governance. Analysts across the political spectrum agree the timing and framing of the designation is no coincidence.

    “The main driver of this decision was politics: it is intended to pressure Lula and lift Flávio’s standing ahead of the October vote,” explained Brian Winter, a leading Latin America expert and editor of *Americas Quarterly*, published by the New York-based Council of the Americas. That assessment is echoed by Carolina Grillo, a sociology professor at Rio de Janeiro’s Fluminense Federal University and a leading scholar on Brazilian organized crime, who says the move is a clear attempt to sway the outcome of Brazil’s national election.

    Grillo added that beyond the political calculations, the designation lacks policy logic: “The supply routes for cocaine entering the United States pass through Colombia, Mexico and Central American countries — not through Brazil. More than 90% of the cocaine seized in Brazil is destined for European countries.”

    Lula has forcefully pushed back against the U.S. decision, framing it as unacceptable external interference in Brazil’s sovereign affairs. He pointed to ongoing law enforcement actions, including recent high-profile arrests and a sweeping ongoing investigation into PCC, as proof Brazil is capable of addressing its own domestic security challenges.

    “I am very sad today, after the news that (U.S. officials) said that our criminals here are terrorists and that the Americans can intervene,” Lula told reporters on Friday. “We will not accept being treated like children. We will not accept being treated as if we were a banana republic.”

    This is not the first time a Trump administration policy toward Brazil has boosted Lula’s political standing: Lula’s national popularity surged after Trump implemented a 50% tariff hike on Brazilian exports, which the incumbent framed as an attack on Brazilian national sovereignty. But political analysts say the current situation is far more complicated.

    Creomar de Souza, an analyst with Brasilia-based political risk consultancy Dharma, notes that it will not be as straightforward for Lula to frame this decision as a clear attack on Brazilian sovereignty, in large part because Flávio Bolsonaro has already embraced the designation as a political win. “First of all, there’s Flávio’s propaganda. He will be able to hit hard against Lula’s Achilles heel, public security,” de Souza explained. “And this also depends on how the administration explains this to the public. It is not as simple as antagonizing Trump on tariffs.”

    The move aligns with a broader pattern of open support from Trump for right-wing, pro-Trump candidates across Latin America, including José Antonio Kast in Chile, Javier Milei in Argentina and Daniel Noboa in Ecuador. Like his father, Flávio Bolsonaro has campaigned on a promise to shift Brazil’s trade alignment away from China and toward the U.S. under a second Trump administration.

    Carlos Melo, a political science professor at Sao Paulo’s Insper university, noted that the designation advances long-held U.S. economic goals in the region. “The Trump administration dreamed of having a candidate here to give them leverage in the economy front,” Melo said.

    AP correspondent Mauricio Savarese contributed reporting from Sao Paulo.

  • De la Espriella takes spotlight in Colombia’s presidential race with promise of crime crackdown

    De la Espriella takes spotlight in Colombia’s presidential race with promise of crime crackdown

    Over the weekend, Colombia’s first round of presidential elections delivered a stunning political upset: bombastic pro-Trump outsider lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella secured the top spot, riding a regional wave of voter demand for harsh crackdowns on organized criminal activity. De la Espriella, who captured nearly 44% of the vote, outpaced long-time polling leader progressive Senator Iván Cepeda, who finished with less than 41% of ballots cast. The two candidates will advance to a decisive runoff election scheduled for June 21, where political analysts widely expect de la Espriella to pick up support from voters who backed other conservative candidates in the opening round.

    Almost immediately after Sunday’s results were tabulated, Cepeda and his political ally, sitting Colombian President Gustavo Petro, raised unsubstantiated questions about the integrity of the election process. Political analyst Sergio Guzmán noted that Cepeda faces a steep uphill battle in the runoff, framing de la Espriella’s first-round win as a reflection of a profound shift in Colombian public opinion that will be extremely difficult for the progressive candidate to reverse. “Abelardo de la Espriella won the first round. In other words, that’s a shift in public opinion that is very difficult to overcome. So now Abelardo is emerging as the likely favorite to win,” Guzmán explained.

    Nicknamed “El Tigre” (The Tiger), the 47-year-old candidate has never held public office in Colombia. Before launching his presidential campaign, he built a high-profile legal career representing controversial clients including former conservative President Álvaro Uribe and Venezuelan ally of Nicolás Maduro Alex Saab, who faces U.S. criminal charges (de la Espriella stopped representing Saab roughly seven years ago). De la Espriella spent years living a luxury lifestyle in Italy, and has campaigned as an anti-establishment outsider who would align closely with former U.S. President Donald Trump and replicate El Salvador President Nayib Bukele’s controversial hardline war on gangs. The Bukele model has cut homicide rates in El Salvador but sparked widespread global allegations of systematic human rights abuses.

    In a final-campaign interview with the Associated Press, de la Espriella laid out his uncompromising approach to Colombia’s long-standing narcotic and gang violence crisis: “I will wipe out narcoterrorism and those who I’ve declared a military target like cockroaches, like rats. I will unleash upon them the wrath of God never seen before.” He also pledged to construct 10 new mega-prisons to hold convicted gang members and criminal actors. De la Espriella’s rise fits into a broader political realignment across Latin America, where a growing number of candidates from Chile to Honduras have adopted the “Bukele model” as voters increasingly abandon progressive administrations that focused on addressing the root causes of violence, such as systemic youth poverty and institutional corruption.

    De la Espriella has drawn support from a broad cross-section of Colombian voters. The day before the election, 64-year-old Bogotá coffee vendor Yolanda Peréz hinted she would cast her ballot for “El Tigre.” For 20-year-old first-time voter Miguel Maheca, who publicly displayed his pro-de la Espriella ballot after voting, security concerns trumped all other policy priorities: “Love isn’t what’s going to make us safe in Colombia,” he said.

    Despite the candidate’s popular appeal, security experts warn that the El Salvador security model is nearly impossible to replicate in Colombia, a country more than 50 times larger than the Central American nation, with a far more fragmented landscape of competing armed groups fighting to control territory and illicit trade routes. De la Espriella’s first-round win comes amid a more aggressive U.S. diplomatic push across Latin America under the Trump administration, which has ramped up pressure on Colombia, Mexico, and Ecuador to adopt harsher anti-crime policies.

    For Cepeda, the result is a major blow to his campaign and the future of the progressive movement that brought President Petro to power in 2022. Cepeda has run on a platform to continue Petro’s controversial “total peace” initiative, which seeks to end decades of conflict by negotiating formal peace agreements with remaining guerrilla factions and criminal gangs. The progressive movement emerged from widespread rejection of the hardline militarized anti-guerrilla campaign waged by former President Uribe, which was marred by the “false positives” scandal that saw Colombian security forces kill thousands of civilians and disguise them as guerrilla combatants to inflate victory counts.

    Cepeda has framed his opponent as a return to Colombia’s problematic past: De la Espriella “represents a return to the paramilitary politics and drug-trafficking — a mafia-run, plutocratic and corrupt past that the country experienced during Álvaro Uribe’s two administrations,” he said Sunday.

    Petro, a former rebel who made history in 2022 as Colombia’s first left-wing head of state, breaking decades of right-wing rule tied to Uribe’s political movement, saw his movement put on the defensive after Sunday’s results. Petro built his winning 2022 coalition on support from rural, Indigenous, and low-income Colombians who had long been ignored by traditional political establishments.

    Renata Segura, director of the International Crisis Group’s Latin America and the Caribbean Program, wrote that the election is now de la Espriella’s to lose. She argued that Cepeda’s strategy of running exclusively on a left-wing platform was a critical error, and his ability to pivot toward broader appeal in the next five weeks will determine whether he has any chance of pulling off an upset in the runoff.

  • De la Espriella takes spotlight in Colombia’s presidential race with promise of crime crackdown

    De la Espriella takes spotlight in Colombia’s presidential race with promise of crime crackdown

    Colombia’s 2026 presidential first-round election has upended pre-vote polling expectations, as bombastic pro-Trump political outsider Abelardo de la Espriella has claimed an unexpected lead over progressive frontrunner Iván Cepeda, riding a regional wave of voter demand for hardline crackdowns on organized crime.

    When final ballots were counted Sunday, de la Espriella secured nearly 44% of the vote, edging out Cepeda — the senator from incumbent president Gustavo Petro’s ruling Historic Pact coalition — who finished with less than 41%, according to official results. Cepeda had held a steady lead in public opinion surveys for months throughout the campaign, but de la Espriella surged in popularity in the final weeks of the race. The two top finishers will advance to a decisive runoff election scheduled for June 21.

    Political analysts widely view de la Espriella as the early favorite heading into the runoff, noting he is positioned to pick up the bulk of support from voters who backed other conservative candidates in the first round. Sergio Guzmán, a prominent independent political analyst, called the first-round result a major public opinion shift that will be extremely hard for Cepeda to reverse. “Abelardo de la Espriella won the first round. In other words, that’s a shift in public opinion that is very difficult to overcome. So now Abelardo is emerging as the likely favorite to win,” Guzmán explained.

    De la Espriella, a 47-year-old lawyer nicknamed “El Tigre” (The Tiger), has never held public office in Colombia. Before launching his presidential bid, he built a high-profile career representing controversial clients including former conservative President Álvaro Uribe and Venezuelan oligarch Alex Saab, an ally of ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro who faces U.S. criminal charges. De la Espriella cut ties with Saab roughly seven years ago. Long based in Italy where he lived a luxury lifestyle, he has positioned himself as an anti-establishment outsider aligned with U.S. President Donald Trump, and has openly modeled his security agenda on El Salvador President Nayib Bukele’s controversial gang war.

    In a final-week interview with the Associated Press, de la Espriella doubled down on his hardline rhetoric, promising to eliminate what he calls narcoterrorism, comparing targeted criminal leaders to pests, and vowing to build 10 new mega-prisons to house incarcerated gang members. “I will wipe out narcoterrorism and those who I’ve declared a military target like cockroaches, like rats. I will unleash upon them the wrath of God never seen before,” he said.

    His rise aligns with a growing conservative shift across Latin America, where a rising number of candidates are embracing the “Bukele model” of aggressive security policy. Voters across the region have increasingly turned away from progressive leaders who focused on addressing the root causes of violence, such as youth economic exclusion and systemic corruption, amid widespread frustration with persistent criminal activity. De la Espriella’s support cuts across a wide swath of Colombian society: from long-time voters like 64-year-old Bogotá coffee server Yolanda Peréz, who said she planned to vote for “El Tigre” ahead of the election, to first-time 20-year-old voter Miguel Maheca, who said after casting his ballot that soft policy would not make Colombians safe. “Love isn’t what’s going to make us safe in Colombia,” Maheca told reporters.

    While Bukele’s crackdown has reduced homicide rates in El Salvador, it has also sparked widespread international accusations of systematic human rights abuses. Experts warn the model is almost impossible to replicate in Colombia, a country more than 50 times larger than El Salvador with dozens of competing armed groups fighting for control of drug trafficking territories and local power.

    The first-round result delivers a significant blow to Colombia’s sitting progressive government. Petro, a former rebel who won the 2022 presidential election to end decades of right-wing rule led by Uribe’s political faction, has made negotiating a “total peace” agreement with guerrilla groups and criminal gangs the centerpiece of his administration. Cepeda has run on a platform to continue Petro’s peace initiative, which has faced persistent headwinds and ongoing political opposition.

    Late Sunday night, Cepeda and Petro both publicly questioned the integrity of the election results without presenting any evidence of widespread irregularities. Cepeda has framed his opponent as a throwback to the darker era of Uribe’s presidency, accusing de la Espriella of representing “a return to the paramilitary politics and drug-trafficking — a mafia-run, plutocratic and corrupt past that the country experienced during Álvaro Uribe’s two administrations.” On Monday, Cepeda issued a formal call for de la Espriella to participate in a series of public debates ahead of the June runoff.

    Renata Segura, Latin America and Caribbean Program Director for the International Crisis Group, wrote Monday that the election is currently de la Espriella’s to lose. She argued Cepeda made a critical strategic error by focusing his campaign exclusively on mobilizing left-wing base voters, and that his ability to pivot to win over moderate and undecided voters in the next four weeks will determine whether he can still claim victory. The runoff comes as the Trump administration has ramped up U.S. pressure on Latin American governments including Colombia to escalate anti-crime and anti-drug operations, a shift that has reshaped political incentives across the region.

  • Venezuela’s ruling party unity cracks as Delcy Rodríguez shifts Chávez-era policies

    Venezuela’s ruling party unity cracks as Delcy Rodríguez shifts Chávez-era policies

    For nearly three decades, the rallying cry “United, we will win!” defined the unbreakable facade of Venezuela’s Chavista movement, a fiercely nationalist socialist project that weathered decades of U.S. hostility, economic collapse, and mass unrest to hold onto power. From street protests to state television broadcasts, generations of Venezuelans—young and old, party leaders and grassroots loyalists—pumped their fists to the slogan, reinforcing the coalition’s lockstep loyalty to the project and its longstanding antagonism toward Washington. But that long-touted unity has fractured dramatically, following the January U.S. military operation that resulted in the capture of longtime president Nicolás Maduro, opening deep rifts within the once-cohesive ruling bloc.

  • Colombia presidential runoff pits leftist senator against pro-Trump rival

    Colombia presidential runoff pits leftist senator against pro-Trump rival

    After a tightly contested first round of voting Sunday that left no candidate crossing the 50% threshold for an outright win, Colombia is set for a high-stakes June 21 presidential runoff that pitches a far-left ideological ally of the current administration against a hard-right, Trump-aligned outsider. When nearly all ballots were counted, right-wing contender Abelardo de la Espriella – a lawyer and businessman who styles himself “El Tigre” – secured first place with 43.7% of the vote, edging out left-wing senator Iván Cepeda Castro, who earned 41% of support. The result upended pre-election polling that had widely predicted Cepeda would finish ahead of his conservative challenger.

    At its core, the runoff election will offer Colombian voters two starkly opposing visions for addressing the country’s decades-long internal armed conflict, which has reemerged with rising violence in recent years. Cepeda, a key ally of incumbent President Gustavo Petro, Colombia’s first left-wing head of state, brings deep firsthand experience in peace negotiations: he was a central figure in the 2016 historic peace deal between the Colombian government and the FARC guerrilla movement that led to the disarmament of thousands of rebel fighters. Today, he is widely recognized as the architect of Petro’s flagship “total peace” strategy, which prioritizes ceasefire talks and negotiated settlements with armed groups over large-scale military intervention.

    The Petro administration’s approach to peace and security has become a central flashpoint of the campaign. During Petro’s term, cocaine production has reached an all-time record high, armed group membership has expanded, and border violence has spiked to its worst level in decades, displacing tens of thousands of Colombians. Critics and security analysts widely dismiss “total peace” as a failed policy, though Petro has pushed back, noting his government has seized more illegal narcotics than any prior administration. On the economic front, Colombia has seen modest growth under Petro, and the president delivered a significant increase to the national minimum wage, yet roughly one in three Colombians still lives below the poverty line. If elected, Cepeda has pledged to advance progressive economic reforms, including expanding social welfare programs and advancing land redistribution for victims of the country’s long-running internal conflict.

    De la Espriella, by contrast, has built his campaign on a full-throated rejection of Petro’s peace strategy, calling instead for a harsh military crackdown on organized crime and armed groups. A self-described admirer of former U.S. President Donald Trump, he has proposed deepening security cooperation with the United States, including carrying out targeted bombings of cartel strongholds with U.S. backing, expanding the military’s domestic policing powers, and holding mass trials for alleged organized crime members. Echoing the hardline approach of El Salvador’s President Nayib Bukele – whom de la Espriella has cited as a policy and even personal influence, with commentators noting the similarity of their facial hair – he has pledged to construct 10 new maximum-security mega-prisons in remote jungle regions. He has also promised to drastically cut the size of the Colombian national government.

    The right-wing candidate has faced significant controversy over his professional background as a defense attorney. He previously represented high-profile clients including Alex Saab, a close associate of ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro who currently faces U.S. money laundering charges, and David Murcia Guzmán, the mastermind of a multibillion-dollar pyramid scheme that defrauded thousands of Colombians. De la Espriella has framed his representation of these figures as a standard part of legal practice for defense counsel, but critics have accused him of profiting from his work for powerful criminals.

    With moderate conservative senator Paloma Valencia finishing third in the first round, de la Espriella is widely seen as well-positioned to pick up the bulk of her right-leaning supporters in the runoff, putting him in a strong starting position for the second round of voting.

    The election outcome will carry far-reaching implications for regional geopolitics, particularly for Colombia’s relationships with the United States and neighboring countries. In recent years, a wave of right-wing victories has swept across Latin America, with conservative candidates winning presidential elections in Ecuador, Chile, Argentina, Bolivia, Honduras and El Salvador. The Trump administration, which returned to power in 2025, has pursued an aggressive muscular foreign policy in the region: it has carried out a military raid that captured Nicolás Maduro, launched strikes on alleged drug trafficking vessels in the Caribbean and Eastern Pacific, imposed a full oil blockade on Cuba, and earlier this year established the “Shield of the Americas”, a security alliance of right-leaning regional leaders focused on combating cartel activity.

    While Petro and Trump have a history of public clashes and verbal insults over drug policy and U.S. intervention in the region, relations between the two leaders warmed following a February meeting at the White House, and anti-narcotics cooperation between the two countries has continued largely uninterrupted. Cepeda shares Petro’s anti-interventionist stance, repeatedly arguing that Colombia should not act as a “vassal state” to the U.S., while de la Espriella has made clear he seeks to strengthen security alliances with Washington and aligns ideologically with Trump. To date, Trump has not issued a formal endorsement of either candidate, a departure from his public involvement in other recent regional elections.

    The runoff will also shape relations between Colombia and neighboring Ecuador, which has faced a dramatic surge in violence driven by drug trafficking that largely transits through Ecuadorian territory after leaving Colombia, the world’s largest cocaine producer. Ecuador’s conservative President Daniel Noboa has already imposed tariffs on Colombian imports, accusing Petro’s government of failing to secure their shared border. Last month, Noboa confirmed he had reached an agreement with de la Espriella to drop the tariffs if the right-wing candidate wins, in exchange for cooperation on extraditing Ecuadorean criminals hiding in Colombia and a joint crackdown on narcoterrorism. Colombia’s foreign ministry quickly condemned Noboa’s move as “deliberate interference” in its sovereign election, and Noboa’s office has not yet issued a public response to the accusation.

    The entire campaign season has been marred by pervasive political violence, including drone attacks on candidates, widespread kidnappings, multiple political homicides, and the assassination of a presidential candidate at a public rally last year. Security forces deployed heavily across the country on election Sunday, with armed guards posted at polling stations to protect voters and election officials.

  • Caribbean hot sauce producers warn of shortages and higher prices

    Caribbean hot sauce producers warn of shortages and higher prices

    For Caribbean communities, hot pepper sauce is as ubiquitous as ketchup is in American households. This bold, fiery condiment sits on nearly every dining table across the region, paired with everything from iconic rice and peas to rich curries and slow-simmered stews. In recent years, global demand for the unique, pungent flavor of Caribbean hot sauce has skyrocketed, with dozens of regional brands now stocked on the shelves of major supermarket chains across North America, Europe, and Australia, from Walmart to Tesco and Woolworths. But today, the entire industry faces an unprecedented crisis: a crippling shortage of the iconic Scotch bonnet pepper, the core ingredient that gives Caribbean hot sauce its signature taste, is squeezing supply and sending production costs soaring for local producers.

    Manufacturers who spoke with the BBC point to a perfect storm of overlapping challenges that have gutted Scotch bonnet harvests across the Caribbean, particularly in Jamaica, the world’s leading producer of the variety. These small, temperamental yellow peppers are inherently vulnerable to heavy rainfall, fungal disease, and viral infections, making them notoriously difficult to cultivate consistently. The situation has been made far worse by back-to-back devastating hurricanes that have swept through Jamaica in recent years, wiping out thousands of acres of agricultural land.

    In October 2024, Hurricane Melissa, the strongest storm ever recorded to hit Jamaica, delivered a catastrophic blow to the island’s agricultural sector, which was still struggling to recover from Hurricane Beryl just 12 months earlier. For major producers like Associated Manufacturers, the company behind Jamaica’s world-famous Walkerswood line of sauces and seasonings, the shortage has forced difficult business decisions.

    “We were hugely limited, and we did have to cancel orders,” said Sean Garbutt, a senior executive at Walkerswood. The brand exports more than 95% of its output, with two-thirds of all products shipped to the United States. Last year alone, the company exported the equivalent of 500 standard 20-foot cargo containers of hot sauce and seasonings. Garbutt notes that access to consistent, high-quality Scotch bonnet produce has always been the biggest barrier to the company’s growth.

    After Hurricane Beryl, many Jamaican smallholder farmers abandoned growing Scotch bonnets entirely, switching to hardier, more profitable crops like sweet potato that generate more consistent revenue and are far less vulnerable to extreme weather. For Walkerswood’s top-selling product, authentic Jamaican yellow Scotch bonnet pepper sauce, the shortage is particularly acute.

    “It requires fresh peppers as we don’t add artificial colouring. We crush them and within a week we need to cook them to get that vibrant yellow colour that people love. The weather is always a challenge,” Garbutt explained. Extreme rainfall does not just reduce harvest volumes – it also alters the unique flavor profile that Walkerswood is known for. “We might get a call from someone who says they really enjoyed our pepper sauce, but it wasn’t as hot as it normally is. We have to explain it’s due to too much rain,” he added.

    For Jamaicans, Scotch bonnet peppers are far more than just an ingredient – they are a cornerstone of national culinary culture, a source of fierce regional pride that sets Jamaican cuisine apart from the rest of the world. “We joke that other countries don’t know how to season their food,” said Drew Gray, whose family has owned and operated the popular local brand Gray’s Pepper for more than 50 years. “Hot sauce is on the table of every cook shop and every restaurant. It’s almost an affront if it’s not there. We definitely have a high heat tolerance, which I think makes our cuisine unique. We have a heavy hand when it comes to seasonings, especially Scotch bonnets, which we add to everything.”

    As one of Jamaica’s largest bulk buyers of Scotch bonnet peppers, Gray’s Pepper has borne the full brunt of the ongoing shortage. “Climate change is affecting the Caribbean the hardest,” Gray said. “Back-to-back hurricanes wiped off most of the crop so product has been scarce, and farmers are increasingly hesitant to replant. Needless to say, prices rose. Right after Melissa, Scotch bonnets went up maybe 10-fold, which was crazy. Over the last two years, there’s been an overall increase of about 40-50%.”

    To buffer against the volatility of pepper supplies, Gray has implemented a strategy of maintaining large year-round inventory stocks, a move that eases supply disruptions but puts significant strain on the company’s cash flow. “Going into Beryl we had around six months of inventory, and about the same for Melissa. It’s a strain on cashflow, but it allows us to weather the storms. If it’s not hurricanes, it’s adverse weather patterns. Scotch bonnets are very sensitive to overly wet weather as they get funguses,” he explained.

    Two-thirds of Gray’s Pepper’s business comes from export, and the company’s own production facility sustained direct damage when Hurricane Melissa made landfall directly over its premises. Still, Gray says the team prioritized restoring operations as quickly as possible to meet export commitments. “But we were able to get back up and running with orders going out within two weeks. My motto is, we need to produce no matter what. Because we are able to carry inventory, our exports haven’t been affected. At the end of the day, the big chain stores don’t care if you have a hurricane, they just want the product,” he said.

    The Jamaican government has stepped in to support struggling farmers and stabilize the supply chain, launching initiatives that include distributing free Scotch bonnet seeds to more than 650 local growers. “Peppers, particularly Scotch bonnets, are facing myriad challenges right across the Caribbean,” said Dwight Forrester of Jamaica’s Rural Agricultural Development Authority. “They’re highly susceptible to viruses and pests like gall midges. But they are one of our flagship products and are a household name in Caribbean stores and Caribbean restaurants worldwide. We export 40% of what we produce.”

    The shortage is not limited to Jamaica. Producers across the Caribbean, from neighboring Antigua and Barbuda, are also grappling with limited supplies. For Homebrew Hot Sauce, a small Antiguan producer founded six years ago, the shortage has forced the company to adjust order volumes. “Sometimes we have to defer or reduce orders,” explained company owner Ensly Smith. “We might tell a supplier we can only give them two of the four cases they ordered, for example. When peppers are in abundance we stock up. When Hurricane Melissa hit, we had close to 600lbs [272kg] in storage so we were able to stay afloat.”

    Smith’s small business started as a pandemic experiment that quickly grew into a profitable venture, with tourists often buying bulk cases of the sauce to take home. “People are definitely warming up to it. Caribbean sauce tends to be a little thicker and I think has more flavour than those from North America. We take a lot of pride in our spices and local seasoning,” he added. Another Antiguan producer, Novella Payne, who sells a range of sauces, syrups and jams under her Granma Aki brand, has adapted by blending Scotch bonnets with locally grown Moruga scorpion peppers, a heat-tolerant variety native to Trinidad, to offset high prices and supply gaps.

    As the region enters the warmer months, which bring both peak Scotch bonnet growing season and the highest risk of Atlantic hurricanes, producers are monitoring weather forecasts closely while working to protect already thin profit margins. Some producers have found partial success switching to high-yield, disease-resistant hybrid red chili varieties that withstand extreme weather better than traditional Scotch bonnets. Walkerswood, which has partnered with the Jamaican government to launch its own dedicated farm to grow ingredients for its sauces, is also funding genetic research to develop a weather- and disease-resistant strain of the iconic yellow Scotch bonnet, to preserve the condiment’s authentic flavor for future generations.

    “Lots of countries grow red chillis, but our yellow peppers are special,” Garbutt said. “I’m a purist at heart and I think our Scotch bonnets need to be properly protected.”

  • Nicaraguan indigenous leader dies after three years in prison

    Nicaraguan indigenous leader dies after three years in prison

    The death of Brooklyn Rivera, a prominent Nicaraguan indigenous rights leader and founder of the nation’s key indigenous movement Yatama, while in the custody of President Daniel Ortega’s authoritarian government has triggered widespread international condemnation over ongoing human rights abuses in the Central American nation. The 73-year-old activist, who spent nearly three years arbitrarily detained by the regime, died following progressive physical and neurological decline tied to a previous COVID-19 infection, Nicaragua’s Ministry of Health confirmed Sunday.

    Opposition media reports have highlighted disturbing irregularities surrounding Rivera’s death: the Ortega administration waited 15 hours to announce the passing and has refused to hand Rivera’s remains over to his grieving family. Rivera first fell into detention in September 2023 when he returned to his Nicaraguan home, but the regime only acknowledged holding the activist more than a year later, after sustained diplomatic pressure from the international community. No updates on his health were provided until earlier this week, when officials confirmed he had been hospitalized in Managua, the nation’s capital, since March.

    According to government statements, Rivera suffered from multiple severe, life-threatening conditions including cerebral edema linked to serious neurological damage, respiratory infection, and renal failure. The Ministry of Health also released an image of the emaciated activist, lying semi-conscious in a hospital bed with a tracheal ventilation tube. News of his declining health triggered a last-minute wave of global calls for his immediate and unconditional release, all of which went unanswered by the Ortega administration.

    A veteran of Nicaraguan politics, Rivera first rose to prominence in the 1980s when he led an indigenous militia that aligned with the Contras to oppose Ortega’s Sandinista revolutionary government, a lifelong mission advocating for indigenous territorial autonomy across the country. He went on to serve four terms in Nicaragua’s National Assembly and held the post of autonomous development minister during the 1990s. After Ortega returned to national power in 2007, Rivera’s Yatama party briefly aligned with the ruling regime, but the party was banned from participating in national elections just one month after Rivera’s 2023 detention.

    International and regional actors have rapidly condemned Rivera’s death and placed direct blame on the Ortega government for his passing. The U.S. Department of State called Rivera’s detention “unjust imprisonment” and argued the health ministry’s statement amounted to a deliberate attempt to cover up the regime’s role in the activist’s cruel treatment and eventual death. “This repression, violence and lack of humanity is abominable,” the State Department noted in its official statement.

    Prior to Rivera’s death, Amnesty International’s regional spokesperson César Marín had warned that the activist’s rapidly declining health in state custody proved he faced extreme and avoidable risk, repeating longstanding demands for his immediate release. Nicaraguan human rights activist Bianca Jagger, speaking to BBC World Service’s *Newshour*, held the Ortega regime directly responsible for Rivera’s death, noting he was far from the first political dissident to die in state custody under the authoritarian government.

    Local indigenous organizations from Rivera’s ancestral homeland of Moskitia also issued a scathing rebuke of the regime. The Indigenous Youth Association of Moskitia expressed “profound indignation at the inhuman, cruel and unjust treatment he endured in his final years.” The organization emphasized that holding an elderly person in detention for years without due process or adequate medical care violates every core principle of human rights, adding that Rivera’s passing in these circumstances will leave a lasting legacy of pain and sustained demands for truth, justice, and reparations.

    The Inter-American Legal Assistance Center for Human Rights, an Argentina-based NGO supporting victims of Ortega’s repression, joined the condemnation, calling for all officials responsible for Rivera’s detention and death to face full criminal accountability. Since Ortega and his wife Vice President Rosario Murillo consolidated absolute control over Nicaragua following his 2007 return to power, their administration has faced persistent global criticism for widespread authoritarian tactics, violent crackdowns on political dissent, and systematic censorship of independent media. Rivera is now one of a growing number of political dissidents to die while in state custody under the Ortega regime.