标签: Asia

亚洲

  • Thai authorities hunt for suspects after an attack in troubled south kills 5 soldiers

    Thai authorities hunt for suspects after an attack in troubled south kills 5 soldiers

    BANGKOK – Thai law enforcement and security agencies launched a large-scale manhunt Thursday following a coordinated pre-planned attack that claimed the lives of five Thai soldiers and wounded six civilians in the country’s conflict-plagued deep southern region, officials confirmed.

    The assault unfolded Wednesday evening at a military security checkpoint positioned adjacent to a residential neighborhood in Narathiwat Province, one of three southernmost provinces that have faced a decades-long separatist insurgency. According to regional Internal Security Operations Command spokespeople, approximately 10 assailants carried out the strike: they opened sustained gunfire on stationed troops and hurled improvised pipe bombs before escaping the scene.

    Six local civilians were caught in the crossfire and suffered injuries. Among those hurt was a 10-year-old child, who remains hospitalized for treatment but is in currently stable condition, officials said. Local property damage was extensive, footage from Thai public broadcaster Thai PBS confirmed: nearby residential homes suffered shattered windows, damaged roofs and bullet-riddled entry gates, and a civilian motorcycle parked outside one residence was completely destroyed in the blast.

    Officials have released surveillance and identification photos showing the group of attackers, who were clad entirely in black clothing and head coverings while riding in the bed of a stolen black pickup truck. The vehicle was later found abandoned 13 miles from the attack site, set alight by the perpetrators to destroy potential evidence. Following the assault, the attackers stole three standard-issue AK-47 rifles, three military bulletproof vests and three personal mobile phones from the slain soldiers, security officials confirmed.

    Narathiwat, along with neighboring Yala and Pattani provinces, make up Thailand’s only Muslim-majority region, in an otherwise overwhelmingly Buddhist country. Since 2004, the area has been the center of an active Muslim separatist insurgency that has killed more than 7,000 people to date. Local Muslim residents have long documented systemic grievances, reporting systemic discrimination that has left them treated as second-class citizens. Periodic separatist activity has stretched across seven decades, and heavy-handed government crackdowns on suspected insurgent cells have only amplified popular discontent in the region. While large-scale violence has declined in recent years, low-intensity attacks and clashes remain a regular occurrence.

    Internal Security Operations Command Region 4, the governing body responsible for all security operations in southern Thailand, released an official statement via Facebook promising to spare no resources in tracking down those responsible. The agency vowed to “expedite the investigation and search for the perpetrators with the best efforts.”

    Thailand’s Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul publicly condemned the assault, labeling it a deliberate act of terrorism. Government spokesperson Rachada Dhnadirek confirmed the prime minister’s statement, saying the attack “clearly aimed at killing government officials, and [is] a serious threat to national security.”

  • What a reporter learned covering the impact of USAID cuts on aid workers-turned-sex workers in Nepal

    What a reporter learned covering the impact of USAID cuts on aid workers-turned-sex workers in Nepal

    When former U.S. President Donald Trump framed the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) as a wasteful bureaucracy and dissolved the agency in 2023, the policy change sent shockwaves through global development networks, eliminating 280,000 jobs worldwide. While mainstream coverage has centered on how the cuts disrupted services for millions of vulnerable people relying on U.S. foreign aid, one on-the-ground investigation from Nepal has uncovered a hidden, devastating consequence: dozens of out-of-work local aid workers, many from marginalized LGBTQ+ communities, have been forced to turn to sex work to avoid starvation.

    In an interview with AP editor Mary Rajkumar, investigative reporter Kristen Gelineau — who spent months documenting the crisis on the ground in Nepal — explained why she chose to center this underreported story. Global headlines have been dominated by coverage of the cuts’ direct harm to aid recipients: children losing access to nutrition programs, communities facing shortages of life-saving medications, and public health initiatives collapsing. Most of the rare coverage of displaced workers has focused on the small share of U.S. citizens employed by USAID, who make up less than 10% of all workers put out of a job by the dissolution. The vast majority of displaced workers are local hires living in low-income, conflict-impacted nations where alternative employment opportunities are effectively non-existent. Gelineau set out to uncover what happened to these forgotten workers.

    Her reporting took an unexpected turn while examining the impact of cuts across South Asia. When an HIV researcher in Nepal offhandedly mentioned that former employees of HIV prevention NGOs were now entering sex work to pay their bills, Gelineau launched a deeper inquiry that revealed the trend was far from an isolated case. Across Nepal, many LGBTQ+ former aid workers who once supported marginalized communities including sex workers now faced the same desperate choice: find work in an economy that refuses to hire them, or turn to survival sex work to feed themselves. Local health officials already warned that the shift could drive a new increase in HIV prevalence, undoing years of progress made by the very programs USAID once funded.

    Gaining access to and the trust of these traumatized workers took months of careful, ethical reporting. Working with visual journalist Bram Janssen and local translator Tulsi Rauniyar, Gelineau built connections through existing networks in Nepal’s LGBTQ+ community, shared her track record of ethical coverage of marginalized groups, and initiated contact through text before moving to in-person conversations. Reporting focused on Kathmandu and Hetauda, where a large cohort of displaced aid workers had turned to sex work and agreed to share their stories. Every interview opened with detailed conversations about informed consent, with workers guaranteed the right to pause, end the conversation, or skip any questions that could cause re-traumatization. The reporting team even shadowed workers on night shifts along major highways to understand the full scope of the risks they face daily.

    What struck Gelineau most during the reporting process was the extreme vulnerability of the workers, a danger that only became tangible after observing their working conditions first-hand. The remote, dark highway corridors where most solicit clients offer no protection, and workers are regularly surrounded by intoxicated groups of men who bargain aggressively before taking them to isolated locations in nearby jungles, industrial areas, or private residences. Nearly every worker interviewed reported experiencing sexual or physical assault on the job. Even encounters with police do not improve their safety: multiple workers reported assault at the hands of officers, leaving them more afraid of law enforcement than of their clients.

    For all the extreme risk they take on, workers typically earn just $2 to $3 per client. But for openly transgender workers in particular, legal formal employment is effectively banned by social stigma and discrimination in Nepal. As workers repeatedly told Gelineau, the choice is non-negotiable: it is sex work, or starve.

    In a statement following the dissolution of USAID, the U.S. State Department defended the Trump administration’s restructuring, claiming the changes had reinvigorated foreign assistance programs to prioritize efficiency, effectiveness, and global partnership. The department also noted that the U.S. spends more on global health and humanitarian assistance than any other nation. For the dozens of Nepali workers now pushed into dangerous survival sex work, and the 280,000 displaced workers globally, that restructuring has come at a devastating human cost that has yet to be fully counted.

  • Sex work or starve: Aid workers in Nepal left jobless by USAID cuts turn to sex work to survive

    Sex work or starve: Aid workers in Nepal left jobless by USAID cuts turn to sex work to survive

    In the shadow of a dimly lit central Nepalese highway, where passing trucks cast faint streaks of light across the roadside jungle and discarded condom wrappers litter the dirt, 28-year-old Rubi Lama paces the shoulder waiting for clients. Just a few years ago, she stood on this same stretch of road not as a sex worker, but as a trained HIV outreach worker dedicated to protecting the vulnerable transgender communities who gathered here after dark. Today, she is one of them — a casualty of sweeping cuts to United States foreign aid that have upended hundreds of thousands of livelihoods across the globe, with catastrophic consequences for public health.

    Lama’s story is not unique. When the Trump administration froze and ultimately dissolved the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) in 2025 after labeling the agency a waste of taxpayer dollars (despite foreign aid accounting for just 1% of the total U.S. federal budget), the ripple effects shattered already fragile public health infrastructure in low-income nations like Nepal. Overall, the dismantling of USAID eliminated more than 281,000 jobs worldwide, according to tracking by global health consultant Sadie Healy. Only 23,000 of those positions were held by U.S. citizens; the vast majority were local workers in impoverished, economically depressed regions where alternative employment is nearly impossible to find. In Nepal alone, an estimated 35,000 former aid workers lost their livelihoods overnight.

    For Lama and hundreds of other transgender former aid workers in Nepal, the collapse of USAID funding left no escape. In Nepal’s deeply conservative society, legal formal employment for openly transgender people is already extremely rare. For decades, USAID funding supported local NGOs like the Blue Diamond Society, an umbrella organization for LGBTQ+ health services that employed hundreds of gender and sexual minorities as outreach workers, counselors, clinic staff, and data collectors. The organization ran 20 clinics across the country, providing free HIV testing, condoms, lubricant, PrEP (HIV prevention medication for at-risk individuals), and antiretroviral treatment for people living with HIV. Eighty-five percent of the Blue Diamond Society’s total budget came from USAID — when the funding dried up, all core services collapsed immediately. Of the group’s 350 total staff, 262 lost their jobs, and more than 1,200 clients lost access to life-saving PrEP.

    Manisha Dhakal, executive director of the Blue Diamond Society, estimates that between 35% and 45% of the organization’s laid-off transgender staff have turned to sex work to put food on the table. “One decision from one powerful country — all these services are cut,” Dhakal said, standing in the group’s now-quiet Kathmandu headquarters, where framed USAID certificates line the bookshelf, commemorating decades of work saving lives. “The Trump administration’s executive order will cause people to die.”

    Lama’s journey to this point was marked by struggle long before the aid cuts. Raised in poverty by a conservative family that rejected her transgender identity, she worked selling eggs as a child to pay for school, survived sexual assault by a teacher, and dropped out of university after relentless harassment from peers and instructors. In 2016, she found her purpose when she was hired by Friends Hetauda, a central Nepalese NGO funded by USAID that provided HIV services to marginalized communities. For nine years, she walked this same highway to test sex workers for HIV, distribute prevention supplies, and offer counseling. Her father kicked her out of the family home for her work and gender identity, but the job paid roughly $200 a month — enough to rent a small apartment and build a life doing work she believed saved lives. That all ended in February 2025, when staff were called into the office and told all funding was gone; 14 of the organization’s 17 employees, including Lama, were laid off immediately.

    Lama searched for months for other work. She was rejected for a local government job after she arrived for her in-person interview and her transgender identity was discovered. A hotel offered her a cleaning job, but the manager demanded she have sex with him and his friends in exchange for the position, which she refused. As savings ran out, she could no longer afford rent, food, or medication. Her landlord threatened eviction. For Lama, the choice was brutal: turn to sex work, or starve. “I know that every stranger who pays for my body could end my life,” she said. “But I also know their money is the only thing preventing my death right now.”

    Today, the former offices of Friends Hetauda stand abandoned: unused laptops still bear USAID stickers, and empty condom distribution bins collect dust on barren desks. Out on the highway, the risks for the former aid workers turned sex workers are staggering. Nearly all have faced brutal violence: gang rape, assault at knifepoint and gunpoint, police brutality, and non-consensual unprotected sex. All 15 former aid workers interviewed by The Associated Press acknowledged the risk of HIV transmission, but say they have no other option to survive.

    Barsha Magar, who spent 16 years as a peer educator and outreach worker with Friends Hetauda, was raped at gunpoint by two soldiers just two months after entering sex work. “For two weeks I was too traumatized to go back,” she said, wiping away tears as she recalled the attack. Bharati Thapa, a former field supervisor for the organization, was gang-raped by a group of drunk Indian tourists on her very first night working the highway. “My life is at risk now,” Thapa said. “I fear that I may contract HIV and sexually transmitted infections. I fear being beaten up and harassed by customers. I fear the police taking me away at night. How can I not be afraid? There is risk from all sides.”

    Even when workers draw on their decades of public health training to convince clients to use condoms or avoid violence, they cannot protect themselves from every threat. Sujata Chaudhary, an 11-year veteran of HIV outreach work, still contracted syphilis after being forced into unprotected sex by clients, and survived a mass gang assault that left her traumatized. Lama herself escaped a knife attack only by using her HIV outreach training to talk down her attacker before fleeing.

    The public health consequences of the aid cuts stretch far beyond the workers themselves. With free condom and lubricant distribution halted, and PrEP no longer available to most at-risk people, many transgender sex workers are forced to have unprotected sex. Many people living with HIV have stopped accessing antiretroviral treatment, too fearful of discrimination to seek care at public hospitals, increasing their risk of transmission and death. Data from the United Nations HIV agency shows that since the USAID cuts, HIV testing has dropped 22% in high-prevalence countries, and condom funding has been cut by more than 90% in some regions.

    Dr. Sarbesh Sharma, director of Nepal’s National Centre for AIDS and STD Control, warned that the crisis is not just a Nepalese problem — it is a global one. Nepal shares an open border with India, and has massive flows of migrant workers and international students moving across its borders every year. “Viruses like HIV do not respect borders,” Sharma said. “Borders are for humans. So those make it not only a Nepal concern, it can become a global concern.”

    In a statement to AP, the U.S. State Department defended the Trump administration’s changes, saying the administration had refocused assistance programs on efficiency, effectiveness, and partnership, and noted that the U.S. spends more on health and humanitarian assistance than any other nation. “The rest of the world needs to contribute more and share the burden,” the department said.

    For the workers on Nepal’s highways, that offers little comfort. On a recent Friday night — the busiest night of the week — Lama earned $10.50 from five clients, a relatively good night’s income. She needs $80 to cover rent and food for the month, so she will return the next night, and the night after that, with no end in sight. She longs to return to her old job, helping the vulnerable, but there is no funding to bring the program back. There is no other work available to her as an openly transgender woman in Nepal.

    “I wish it was fair,” Lama said, as she prepared to leave the highway after a police sweep scattered the sex workers. “I wish I could live with my identity. I wish I could walk in the way that makes me happy. I know what is right and wrong. I am aware of the road I am taking.” Without new funding to revive the programs that once supported these workers and the communities they served, there is no way off this road. Night after night, Lama and her former colleagues return to the dark highway, standing alongside the people they once worked to save, in a desperate bid to save themselves.

  • New Wallabies coach Les Kiss announces his first squad for rugby test series against Japan

    New Wallabies coach Les Kiss announces his first squad for rugby test series against Japan

    Australia’s newly appointed men’s national rugby union head coach Les Kiss has revealed his first 34-player squad ahead of the Wallabies’ upcoming two-test home-and-away series against Japan, making only minimal changes to the team’s recent roster after the side finished the inaugural Nations Championship with one win and two losses. The announcement, made publicly on Thursday, only includes one uncapped rookie — center Isaac Henry — and notably omits veteran prop James Slipper, Australia’s most-capped men’s international rugby player, who just made his return to top-tier international play in the Nations Championship just weeks ago. Taking Slipper’s place as an option at the loosehead prop position is newcomer Isaac Kailea, one of just two fresh faces to earn a call-up alongside lock/back row Lukhan Salakaia-Loto. In a statement following the squad announcement, Kiss framed selection as a consistently difficult process, noting that the coaching group built this roster around three core pillars: current on-field form, team cohesion, and alignment with the new coaching staff’s strategic playing style. The two tests against Japan will kick off in Osaka on August 8, with the second fixture scheduled one week later in Townsville, Queensland. Two regular squad members — center Len Ikitau and back row Tom Hooper — were ruled out of selection due to lingering ankle and shoulder injuries respectively. No. 8 Harry Wilson has been tapped to lead the squad as captain for the series. The roster is split between 19 forward players and 15 backs, who are set to gather for a pre-series training camp in Sydney next week before departing for Japan on August 1. The Japan series comes just after the Wallabies wrapped up their Nations Championship campaign over the past three weekends. Australia opened the tournament with back-to-back home losses: falling to Ireland in Sydney, then dropping a match to France in Brisbane, before closing out with a victory over Italy in Perth, Western Australia. That Perth test marked the final match in charge for former head coach Joe Schmidt, who had originally planned to step down from his role last October. Schmidt agreed to extend his tenure to allow Kiss to finish out his contract as head coach of the Brisbane-based Queensland Reds in the Super Rugby competition before taking over the Wallabies post. Kiss’s contract will run through the 2027 Rugby World Cup, which Australia is set to host. The full 34-player squad called up for the Japan series is as follows: Forwards: Allan Ala’alatoa, Miles Amatosero, Angus Bell, Charlie Cale, Josh Canham, Isaac Kailea, Fraser McReight, Josh Nasser, Zane Nonggorr, Brandon Paenga-Amosa, Billy Pollard, Aidan Ross, Lukhan Salakaia-Loto, Lachlan Shaw, Carlo Tizzano, Taniela Tupou, Rob Valetini, Jeremy Williams, Harry Wilson (captain). Backs: Jock Campbell, Filipo Daugunu, Ben Donaldson, Carter Gordon, Isaac Henry, Max Jorgensen, Ryan Lonergan, Tate McDermott, Declan Meredith, Hunter Paisami, Dylan Pietsch, Harry Potter, Joseph-Aukuso Suaalii, Kalani Thomas, Tom Wright.

  • Rebel Wilson cleared of defaming an actor who starred in her directorial debut

    Rebel Wilson cleared of defaming an actor who starred in her directorial debut

    A high-stakes defamation dispute centered on Hollywood star Rebel Wilson has come to a decisive close, with an Australian federal judge throwing out the lawsuit brought against Wilson by Charlotte MacInnes, the lead actor in Wilson’s first directorial project, the musical comedy *The Deb*.

    The legal conflict traces its origins back to September 2023, when an off-set incident unfolded between MacInnes and one of the film’s producers during production in Sydney. According to Wilson’s prior accounts, MacInnes told her the morning after a group outing to Bondi Beach that the producer had pressured her into joining a bath at their shared production accommodation, an interaction that left MacInnes feeling uncomfortable. Wilson later claimed on social media that MacInnes ultimately withdrew the sexual harassment complaint she had filed over the encounter in order to progress her acting career on the project.

    MacInnes, however, has repeatedly denied ever making any sexual harassment complaint at all, arguing that Wilson’s four social media posts published between September 2024 and July 2025 were false and damaging to her professional reputation. She also claimed Wilson had breached a confidentiality agreement around the private on-set incident, bringing both defamation and breach of confidence claims before the Federal Court of Australia.

    On Wednesday, Justice Elizabeth Raper delivered a final ruling that fully exonerated Wilson. In her written judgment, Raper found that none of Wilson’s social media posts met the legal definition of defamation. She further ruled that MacInnes had failed to meet the legal burden of proving that the posts caused serious harm to her reputation, nor could she establish that Wilson had violated any confidentiality agreement. Raper dismissed the entire case and ordered MacInnes to cover all of Wilson’s legal costs stemming from the lawsuit.

    Shortly after the ruling was issued, Wilson—who gained global fame for her leading roles in hit comedies *Pitch Perfect* and *Bridesmaids*—shared a public statement on her Instagram page reacting to the decision. She thanked Justice Raper and Australia’s independent legal system, describing the outcome as a “substantial win” and noting that she was eager to put the dispute behind her and move forward with her career.

    As of Thursday, legal representatives for MacInnes had not issued any public statement or responded to media requests for comment on the ruling. The legal drama comes just weeks ahead of the upcoming release of *The Deb*, a musical comedy following two teenage girls navigating the lead-up to a debutante ball in a small rural Australian town. The film is scheduled to make its debut on digital streaming platforms across the United States on August 25.

  • China’s Moonshot AI stole from Anthropic, Trump tech adviser says

    China’s Moonshot AI stole from Anthropic, Trump tech adviser says

    Tensions between the United States and China over artificial intelligence innovation and intellectual property have escalated sharply this week, after senior Trump administration officials publicly accused Beijing-based Moonshot AI of carrying out a large-scale campaign to steal core capabilities from leading U.S. AI models.

    Michael Kratsios, Trump’s top science and technology advisor, made the allegations in a public post on the social platform X on Wednesday. He claimed that Moonshot AI used a technical technique called model distillation — a process where a smaller, less advanced model extracts specialized knowledge and response capabilities from a more powerful, established model — to copy cutting-edge AI performance for its recently launched Kimi K3 large language model. Specifically, Kratsios stated that U.S. government intelligence indicates Moonshot distilled capabilities from Anthropic’s Fable AI model to develop Kimi K3.

    Beyond the distillation allegations, Kratsios also claimed that Moonshot AI illegally obtained access to restricted, cutting-edge AI computing infrastructure built on Nvidia’s latest GB300 Grace Blackwell platform, which powers high-performance AI model training. Washington first implemented sweeping export restrictions on Nvidia’s most advanced AI chips back in 2022, citing national security concerns over potential military use by China, and governments around the world have since ramped up enforcement efforts to crack down on illegal smuggling of the restricted hardware.

    These latest accusations come one day after U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned on Tuesday that the Biden — correction, Trump administration — would launch formal investigations into whether Chinese AI developers have stolen proprietary capabilities from U.S. competitors. Speaking again on Wednesday, Bessent confirmed that economic sanctions would remain a key policy option if Chinese firms “cross the line” and engage in large-scale industrial IP theft through what he labeled “industrial-scale distillation attacks.”

    “ We support open-source AI and the innovation it unlocks. But open source is not open season on American IP,” Bessent stated in his social media remarks.

    The heightened scrutiny of Chinese AI firms from U.S. officials arrives just months ahead of a planned meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping scheduled for September, adding a new point of friction to already tense bilateral relations focused heavily on technology and trade competition.

    Kimi K3, which was publicly unveiled just last week, quickly drew global attention from AI researchers and industry observers, with many independent analysts noting that the model appears to have significantly narrowed the performance gap between top Western AI models and leading Chinese-developed alternatives. Moonshot AI itself has publicly claimed that Kimi K3 matches or exceeds the performance of the most advanced U.S.-built large language models currently on the market. The company is set to release Kimi K3 as an open-source model on July 27, marking the first large-scale AI model of its size to be made available for free public download and custom modification by developers around the world.

    This is not the first time U.S. AI firms have levied such distillation theft allegations against Chinese technology companies. Just last month, leading U.S. AI developer Anthropic accused Chinese e-commerce and technology giant Alibaba of illegally extracting capabilities from its popular Claude AI model via the same distillation technique. At the time, Anthropic called on U.S. Congress to impose penalties on the firms behind the alleged attacks and strengthen regulatory and enforcement measures to block theft of U.S. AI technology.

    Back in April, the White House already announced it would deepen collaboration with domestic AI companies to counter what it called “industrial-scale campaigns” by foreign competitors to steal proprietary U.S. technology. In a policy memo released that month, Kratsios argued these campaigns are designed to “systematically undermine American research and development and access proprietary information.”

    As of Wednesday, the BBC has reached out to all relevant parties — Moonshot AI, Anthropic, the White House, and Nvidia — for official comment on the latest allegations, but no formal responses have been published yet.

  • From Syria to UAE, the race to bypass Strait of Hormuz is on

    From Syria to UAE, the race to bypass Strait of Hormuz is on

    Against a backdrop of escalating geopolitical rivalry over control of the Strait of Hormuz, the world’s most critical energy chokepoint, the Middle East is embarking on an unprecedented wave of pipeline construction stretching from the Mediterranean coast to the Red Sea and Gulf of Oman. Arab oil-producing nations are racing to build alternative export routes to avoid reliance on the waterway, where Iran has been pushing to assert dominance over global energy supplies.

    Industry analysts project that tens of billions of dollars will be invested in these bypass infrastructure projects over the coming years. While the region has a history of ambitious large-scale energy projects that failed to move forward, energy experts emphasize that the political and economic commitments to reconfigure regional oil flows are genuine this time. “When we speak to our customers in the region, they say they never want to deal with this [Hormuz-related risk] again,” Artem Abramov, deputy head of analysis at Rystad Energy, told Middle East Eye. “These bypass projects will move forward.”

    The United Arab Emirates (UAE) is leading the expansion, currently constructing a second pipeline to the Gulf of Oman port of Fujairah—located outside the Strait of Hormuz— that will double the country’s bypass export capacity by 2027, reaching 3.6 million barrels per day (bpd). Last month, a senior executive from the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company revealed that the state energy producer is also considering a third pipeline to carry refined petroleum products including jet fuel, gasoline and diesel to Fujairah. The country’s crude oil output hit an all-time record high of 4.1 million bpd in June, with existing capacity already allowing it to maintain steady exports through both Hormuz transits and the existing Fujairah pipeline.

    Meanwhile, Iraq, OPEC’s second-largest producer, signed a landmark agreement with Syria in July to rehabilitate an aged pipeline linking its northern oil fields to Syria’s Mediterranean port of Baniyas. A consortium led by U.S. energy major Chevron, Los Angeles-based TI Capital, and the Syrian-Qatari al-Khayyat billionaire brothers is spearheading the rehabilitation project. If completed, most of the Iraqi crude moving through this new route will likely be sold to European markets, as very large crude carriers (VLCCs) too large to transit the Suez Canal make long-haul shipments to Asia economically unviable, according to analysts.

    Saudi Arabia’s decades-old East-West Pipeline, which runs from the Gulf coast’s Abqaiq oil field to the Red Sea port of Yanbu, has become the regional model for Hormuz bypass infrastructure. Originally built in the 1980s and expanded multiple times since, the pipeline currently carries around 4 million bpd of crude for export, with an additional 2 million bpd supplied to domestic refineries on Saudi Arabia’s west coast. Riyadh is now actively pursuing capacity expansion, with reports indicating it aims to add 2 million bpd of export capacity, a project that will likely require constructing a parallel pipeline and upgrading port facilities at Yanbu to accommodate more VLCCs simultaneously. Despite lower export volumes in early 2024, Saudi oil revenue hit a three-year high in March on the back of elevated global prices.

    This large-scale reconfiguration of regional oil flows is already creating clear winners and losers, reshaping the geopolitical and economic balance of power across the Gulf. Geopolitical and energy analysts note that Saudi Arabia and the UAE have emerged as the primary beneficiaries, cementing their positions as the region’s most influential power brokers and most reliable energy suppliers. In contrast, the geographic vulnerabilities of smaller Gulf states including Kuwait and Bahrain have been laid bare by the ongoing tensions.

    “UAE and Saudi will realise the biggest windfalls from this. Kuwait and Bahrain are the biggest losers,” explained Gregory Brew, senior Iran and energy analyst at Eurasia Group. Kuwait, which depends on the Strait of Hormuz for nearly 100 percent of its oil exports due to its location at the northern tip of the Persian Gulf, has already opened discussions with Saudi Arabia and the UAE to access their bypass pipeline networks. Bahrain, an island kingdom connected to the outside world only by a causeway to Saudi Arabia, faces similar constraints. “Kuwait and Bahrain will require transit agreements and potentially revenue-sharing deals with Saudi Arabia and the UAE,” Brew noted, adding that this arrangement will significantly increase Riyadh and Abu Dhabi’s regional leverage.

    Qatar, the world’s leading liquefied natural gas exporter, is expected to remain almost entirely dependent on the Strait of Hormuz for its exports, analysts predict. The geographic reality of each country’s position dictates the economic benefits and drawbacks of the new pipeline network: while Saudi Arabia and the UAE can maintain access to key Asian markets via their Red Sea and Gulf of Oman ports, Iraq’s new Mediterranean route locks it into primarily serving European markets at the cost of easier access to high-demand Asian economies. “Iraq wants to tap the Asian market. But with this pipeline they would be sending crude to Europe. The ability to generate considerable revenues from that market is constrained,” Brew added.

    Despite the momentum behind the pipeline boom, experts warn that the alternative routes do not eliminate strategic risk. Greg Priddy, energy expert at the Center for the National Interest, points out that all new bypass infrastructure remains within range of Iranian missiles and drones, mirroring how Ukraine has been able to disrupt Russian energy infrastructure with long-range attacks. “The caveat to all these bypasses is that they are still vulnerable to Iranian missiles and drones. The balance in warfare has swung decidedly to offence, away from defence, making it hard to protect these assets,” Priddy said. “Fujairah is a great example. It is close enough to Iran that they can hit anything there with accuracy.”

    The vulnerability of bypass routes was recently underscored by Houthi forces in Yemen, which are backed by Iran. The group recently declared an embargo on Saudi shipping in the Red Sea, forcing at least eight commercial tankers to reverse course to avoid potential attacks on transits through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

    Escalating tensions around the Strait of Hormuz have intensified after Iran attacked commercial vessels belonging to Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain and Jordan transiting the waterway earlier this month, breaking a recent ceasefire with the U.S. that included a critical sanctions waiver. Some Western diplomats and analysts now argue Iran may have overextended its efforts to assert control over the chokepoint, requiring further escalation to maintain its influence. “Iran might have overplayed its hand in the Strait of Hormuz. It will need to escalate in new ways to impose itself,” one anonymous Western diplomat familiar with Yemen affairs told Middle East Eye.

    Energy analysts agree that the push for bypass infrastructure is a durable long-term trend, with funding secured from regional sovereign wealth funds and global infrastructure investors. “These pipelines are expensive and geopolitically complicated, but the Gulf states will spend serious money for back-up options,” said Ben Cahill, senior fellow at Washington-based think tank the Atlantic Council. “This is a durable trend. There will be backing from sovereign wealth funds and probably infrastructure investors.” As Priddy put it: “What used to look like a $5 or $10bn extraneous bet now looks necessary.”

  • Rubio to revive prospect of US helping end war in Ukraine in meeting with Russian counterpart

    Rubio to revive prospect of US helping end war in Ukraine in meeting with Russian counterpart

    Diplomatic activity is taking center stage in Manila this week as top global foreign policy leaders gather for the annual Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) foreign ministers’ summit, with two high-stakes bilateral meetings set to shape international conversations around conflict resolution and great power tensions.

    The most anticipated encounter is the Thursday meeting between U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, scheduled to take place on the sidelines of the ASEAN gathering. This discussion marks a rare high-profile engagement between the world’s two largest nuclear-armed powers at a time of deep divides over the ongoing war in Ukraine.

    Speaking to reporters ahead of the meeting Wednesday, Rubio confirmed that Ukraine would be a core topic of conversation, confirming that the U.S. remains willing to facilitate negotiations to end the two-year conflict if a viable opening emerges. He acknowledged that American brokering efforts had stalled in recent months, sidelined by the escalating confrontation between Washington and Tehran following the collapse of an interim ceasefire deal that led to renewed cross strikes between the two sides. Even amid long-standing disagreements between Washington and Moscow, Rubio emphasized that maintaining open channels of communication remains a critical priority for U.S. foreign policy.

    For his part, Lavrov confirmed he plans to question Rubio about recent comments from U.S. President Donald Trump indicating that a diplomatic settlement to the Ukraine war is increasingly within reach. The revival of peace talk discussions comes amid a period of internal upheaval in Kyiv: while Ukraine has notched meaningful territorial gains this year, a public rift between top defense and political leaders has forced President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to carry out a major government reshuffle that includes replacing the country’s most senior military commanders, creating uncertainty about the trajectory of Kyiv’s war effort. Beyond Ukraine, Rubio noted the meeting will also explore other potential areas of practical cooperation between the U.S. and Russia, reflecting a broader commitment to keeping channels open across multiple policy areas.

    The Ukraine discussion is not the only major diplomatic event on Rubio’s Manila itinerary. On Wednesday, he held a lengthy bilateral meeting with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, where the two top diplomats addressed a fresh maritime confrontation in the disputed South China Sea. The incident, a direct altercation this week between Chinese and Filipino forces at a contested shoal, drew sharp criticism from Rubio, who labeled China’s actions as “escalatory”. Beijing claims sovereignty over nearly the entire South China Sea, a position challenged by multiple regional claimants including the Philippines — Washington’s oldest treaty ally in Asia — as well as Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei, and Taiwan.

    Rubio emphasized that miscalculations in the South China Sea carry severe global consequences, noting that any conflict, whether economic or military, between the U.S. and China would send shockwaves across the global economy. Wang, for his part, raised objections to what the Chinese Foreign Ministry described as “recent negative words and actions by the U.S. side”, a reference that comes as Trump has openly accused Beijing of interfering in the 2020 U.S. presidential election, and the Trump administration has shortened visa durations for Chinese journalists working in the United States. Despite the tensions, both sides confirmed they are continuing preparations for upcoming high-level exchanges, including Chinese President Xi Jinping’s planned state visit to the U.S. scheduled for September.

    On Tuesday, ASEAN foreign ministers used their plenary session to address ongoing regional efforts to de-escalate South China Sea tensions. Delegations welcomed progress on years of negotiations with China on a proposed non-aggression code of conduct, with both sides targeting a final agreement by the end of the year. The proposed framework is designed to prevent armed confrontation in the strategically vital waterway, one of the world’s busiest global trade routes, where great power competition has long raised the risk of a conflict that could draw in the United States. In addition to his talks with Lavrov and Wang, Rubio also held separate bilateral discussions with Indian External Affairs Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar on Wednesday, covering a range of bilateral and regional issues.

  • Chinese FM urges US to properly manage differences, address China’s legitimate concerns

    Chinese FM urges US to properly manage differences, address China’s legitimate concerns

    In a high-stakes bilateral meeting held Wednesday in Manila, Philippines, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi has pushed back against a recent string of antagonistic statements and actions from the United States, issuing a clear call for Washington to respect Beijing’s core interests, uphold the long-standing one-China principle, effectively manage bilateral disagreements, and address China’s fully legitimate concerns. The meeting, which brought together Wang – who also serves as a member of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China Central Committee – and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, comes at a critical turning point for China-US relations. Wang opened the discussion by noting that 2026 marks a pivotal juncture after the landmark Beijing summit between the two nations’ heads of state, during which top leaders laid out a clear roadmap for building a constructive, strategically stable bilateral relationship. This agreed-upon direction, Wang emphasized, represents meaningful progress for the two global powers as they work to navigate peaceful coexistence. It aligns with the core interests of both the Chinese and American people, and matches the widespread hopes of the broader international community for stable great power relations. Today, the shared task for both sides is to remain firmly on the path charted by their leaders, Wang argued, urging the US to work with China to push past distractions and unnecessary barriers. Turning the consensus reached at the highest level into actionable policy and mutual understanding across all levels of government and societal sectors, he said, remains the urgent priority going forward. Wang further noted that productive, well-managed relations between China and the US can deliver global public goods: through bilateral strategic stability, the two countries can advance broader world peace and security, and constructive engagement can open new doors for global collective action on pressing shared challenges. Beyond bilateral topics, the two top diplomats also exchanged detailed views on a range of pressing international and regional hotspot issues. Following the closed-door discussions, both sides characterized the meeting as pragmatic, positive, and constructive. They reached a shared agreement to maintain open and functional political and diplomatic communication channels, put in place thorough preparations for the next round of high-level China-US exchanges, and continue working toward substantive progress in building the agreed-upon constructive and strategically stable bilateral relationship.

  • Indian police cracked down on ‘cockroach’ protesters. They went home and made memes about it

    Indian police cracked down on ‘cockroach’ protesters. They went home and made memes about it

    When tens of thousands of demonstrators with the Cockroach Janta Party (CJP), a youth-led Indian grassroots movement, marched toward India’s parliament in New Delhi on Monday to demand government accountability over a series of high-profile exam paper leaks and recruitment scandals, few could have predicted the defining image of the day would not be tear gas canisters or baton charges—but viral Instagram memes and deadpan jokes.

    The CJP movement first emerged from widespread student anger over persistent exam irregularities, and has since expanded into a broader call for transparency, targeting Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan with demands for his resignation. Pradhan has rejected these calls, instead accusing opposition parties of exploiting young people’s frustrations for political gain. The Monday demonstration, one of the largest anti-government gatherings in New Delhi in recent years, quickly escalated when police moved to disperse the crowd, firing tear gas and charging protesters with batons. Authorities also shut down mobile internet access across the protest zone to limit information sharing. By the end of the day, both sides reported injuries: protesters said dozens of demonstrators had been beaten by police, while law enforcement confirmed multiple officers were also hurt.

    Once internet access was restored, a flood of first-person content—short video reels, personal dispatches, and sardonic memes—poured onto social media platforms, capturing the day’s chaos through a uniquely young, internet-native lens. Among the most viral content was a pre-protest “fit check” (a popular social media trend where creators show off their outfits) filmed by 20-year-old Chhavi, who smiled at her camera and joked, “Going to get beaten by cops, guys.” Hours later, after enduring the police crackdown, Chhavi still posted her content smiling—posing beside riot officers, flashing victory signs, and documenting the chaos unfolding around her.

    Chhavi’s video was far from an anomaly. Other young protesters shared equally striking, dryly humorous content: one young woman calmly reapplied lipstick in front of a line of fully geared riot police; another quipped she was “serving face at the protest because the government couldn’t serve justice”; one reel cut abruptly from a casual outfit reveal to footage of protesters fleeing tear gas; another offered a deadpan “product review” of tear gas, rating its scent and stinging power like a new street food vendor.

    To outside observers, this mix of humor and violence can seem contradictory. But for the young creators behind the content, the jokes are not a dismissal of danger—they are a way to live alongside it. Most of the self-deprecating humor centers on the absurdity of their own experiences: joking about the kilometers logged running from baton charges, or the strangeness of filming an outfit reveal moments before tear gas fills the street. The fear never disappears; it simply coexists with laughter.

    Digital culture and political science experts argue this trend signals a fundamental shift in how a generation raised entirely online engages in political protest. “Older generations separated political life from everyday life,” explained Joyojeet Pal, a University of Michigan professor specializing in technology and society. “Younger generations grow up with politics alongside their memes, their family pictures and their daily commutes.”

    Critics have accused some protesters of treating state violence as social media content, chasing viral engagement instead of taking the movement seriously. But Chhavi pushed back on that claim, saying the choice to laugh was a coping mechanism in the face of terror. “I was adrenaline-soaked, scared, petrified,” she said. “It was either laugh in the face of fear or cry.”

    Payal Arora, a digital anthropologist at Utrecht University, notes that the instinct to document political upheaval with smartphones has grown increasingly common across global protest movements. What was once the exclusive work of professional journalists is now done by ordinary participants, preserving moments that would otherwise be lost to official erasure. “The act of capturing a protest is often an end in itself,” Arora said. “Their message is more like: ‘This happened. We were there. We will remember.’”

    Nishant Shah, director of the Digital Narratives Center at the Chinese University of Hong Kong’s School of Journalism and Communication, says misinterpreting the protesters’ humor as detachment misses its core purpose. Humor has long been a unifying tool in protest movements worldwide, helping ease tension, build collective solidarity, and sustain participants through moments of intense fear. “Even when the cause is brutal and the fight fierce,” Shah said, “there is joy, laughter, songs and hope. Without those things, protests don’t sustain themselves.”

    For 21-year-old first-time protester Ishaan, that purpose was clear when he posted his own viral reel after a tear gas canister landed near his position. Instead of fleeing immediately, he pulled out his phone to film, and captioned the clip of drifting white smoke: “Delhi Police doesn’t realise I’m from Jamuna Paar.” The joke is familiar to most Delhi residents: Jamuna Paar, the low-income eastern neighborhoods across the Yamuna River, has long been mocked for its chronically neglected civic infrastructure. “The smell there is worse than the tear gas,” Ishaan explained with a laugh. He emphasized the joke was never meant to trivialize what happened. “It was about refusing to let fear dictate the memory of the day,” he said.

    Every generation of protest movement develops its own shared cultural language to bind participants together: India’s independence movement relied on rousing songs and speeches; trade unions carried iconic banners; 20th century student movements embraced hand-painted posters and street theater; more recent movements, from anti-citizenship law protests to the year-long farmers’ protest, used murals, constitutional readings, and border livestreams to build their community. The CJP movement’s language is that of a generation raised online, and experts say dismissing it as frivolous is a failure to understand how modern protest works.

    The dynamic nature of memes sets them apart from older forms of protest communication, Shah explained: a meme gathers meaning as other protesters remake it, parody it, and share it across their own networks. Sharing the meme becomes an act of protest in itself. That was the case for 18-year-old engineering student Manit, who attended his first protest Monday and almost chose not to film anything. “I was scared,” he said. “Then I looked around. Everyone was recording, talking to the camera, just being themselves. So I asked my friend to record me.”

    His viral reel looked identical to the casual workout content he posts regularly—until the final frame, which revealed the running distance logged on his fitness app had been accumulated while fleeing a police baton charge. “I escaped the lathi charge,” he laughed. “I ran and ran and ended up completing my workout too.” For Manit, the approach makes perfect sense. “Not all young people read the news,” he said. “If humour can make important conversations accessible, why wouldn’t we use it?”

    *Names of some protesters have been changed to protect their identities.*