While global headlines have focused heavily on U.S. military activity in the Strait of Hormuz, a quieter but strategically significant development is unfolding at Turkish shipyards: the accelerated construction of MUGEM, Turkey’s first fully domestically built aircraft carrier. The project, which only formally launched in August 2025 with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in attendance, is already outpacing initial timelines, surprising regional and international defense observers.
Last week, Turkish Naval Forces Commander Admiral Ercüment Tatlıoğlu confirmed that the vessel’s hull will be completed nearly a year ahead of the original schedule, with the entire carrier projected to be finished by the end of 2026 and fully operational by 2030. When complete, MUGEM will be the largest warship ever constructed in Turkey, boasting a 60,000-ton displacement and a total length of 285 meters. These specifications put it ahead of France’s Charles de Gaulle, the Mediterranean’s current largest flagship, which measures 261 meters and displaces 42,500 tons. Designed with a short take-off system, the carrier will be capable of hosting up to 60 aircraft, a mix of domestically produced platforms following Turkey’s 2019 expulsion from the U.S.-led F-35 stealth fighter program.
The push to speed up MUGEM’s construction comes against a backdrop of rising geopolitical friction in the Eastern Mediterranean, with Ankara facing increasing alignment among regional rivals Israel, Greece, and Greek-administered Cyprus. Tensions between Turkey and Israel have escalated sharply in recent months, with senior Israeli political figures, including popular opposition leader Naftali Bennett – a likely candidate for future prime minister – publicly framing Turkey as “the next Iran” in recent international appearances. Following two rounds of direct conflict between Israel, Iran, and the U.S., Ankara has already accelerated a slate of domestic defense projects, including air defense systems, unmanned military platforms, and the domestic KAAN fifth-generation fighter jet program.
Defense analysts widely frame the carrier’s accelerated development as a direct response to shifting regional security dynamics. “The warming relations between Greek Cyprus and Israel have turned their alignment into an increasingly effective and aggressive posture,” explained Meysune Yasar, an academic specializing in Turkish naval power, in an interview with Middle East Eye. “Turkey is becoming increasingly isolated in the Eastern Mediterranean, making this aircraft carrier both an additional military capability and a core strategic necessity.” Unlike previous Turkish naval projects focused on coastal defense, Yasar notes that Ankara views MUGEM as a strategic deterrent against potential hostile state actors in the region, even as the vessel is designed for open-sea operations.
Plans for a Turkish domestic aircraft carrier are not a new development, with early conceptual work stretching back to the 1990s. Former Turkish navy admiral Yankı Bağcıoğlu told MEE that the Turkish navy first developed a blue-water deployment concept in 1993, which included plans for light aircraft carriers, amphibious assault ships, and transatlantic power projection capabilities. The project only moved from concept to formal development around 2017, following a comprehensive strategic study on the future of Turkey’s naval forces, when the need for a full-sized carrier moved to the top of Ankara’s defense priorities.
The expulsion from the F-35 program forced Turkey to restructure its air wing plans for MUGEM, turning entirely to domestic alternatives. Today, the Turkish military plans to deploy a mixed air group consisting of the domestically built stealth-capable Kızılelma unmanned fighter, the Hürjet light combat aircraft, a future naval variant of the KAAN fifth-generation fighter, and the Bayraktar TB3 drone – which already has proven AI-assisted short take-off capability operational on Turkey’s existing drone carrier TCG Anadolu.
The rapid progress on MUGEM also carries broader implications for Turkey’s role within NATO and European security architecture, according to former Turkish ambassador Alper Coşkun, now a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Washington. As the U.S. pressures NATO allies to increase defense spending and signals a potential reduction of its security commitment to Europe, Coşkun argues that the carrier will strengthen Turkey’s geopolitical standing and bargaining power within the alliance. “But these capabilities come at a cost,” he noted. “It could also fuel existing regional tensions and trigger new threat perceptions among neighboring states.” Following the 2020 Eastern Mediterranean tensions between Turkey and Greece, France signed a mutual defense pact with Athens, a shift Coşkun says Ankara must manage to avoid unintended escalation with regional and European powers.
While Israel’s current naval capabilities are largely limited to enforcing the blockade on Gaza and conducting small-scale special operations, defense experts have also raised questions about the survivability of large surface vessels like MUGEM amid modern asymmetric warfare. The 2022 war in Ukraine and recent conflicts involving Iran have exposed critical vulnerabilities of large aircraft carriers to small attack drones and ballistic missiles, most notably demonstrated when an F/A-18E Super Hornet was swept overboard from the USS Harry S. Truman after the carrier executed a high-speed evasive maneuver to avoid Houthi missile fire in the Red Sea last April. American carriers have largely stayed outside the range of Iranian missiles during recent conflicts, a precaution that underscores the risks facing large capital ships in contested waters. To counter these threats, Turkey has designed MUGEM with a layered defense suite including a vertical launching system, close-in weapons systems, and remote weapons systems tailored to asymmetric threats.
Construction progress has been driven by Turkey’s ability to leverage multiple domestic shipyards to simultaneously manufacture large modular mega-blocks of the vessel, cutting months off the original timeline. In March, Istanbul Shipyard Commander Rear Admiral Recep Erdinç Yetkin told Turkish state television that the prefabricated flight ramp for the carrier has already been completed, and will undergo testing at a domestic airport later this year.
Beyond the Eastern Mediterranean, Ankara also views MUGEM as a tool to protect Turkey’s expanding overseas interests. Turkey has built a growing military and economic footprint across North Africa – most notably in Libya – and has expanded investments in the Horn of Africa, including energy drilling off Somalia’s coast and plans for a new space launch facility in the country. A fully operational aircraft carrier would provide a flexible power projection capability to safeguard these expanding overseas commercial and strategic interests.
Despite the broad strategic consensus behind the project, not all Turkish defense experts support prioritizing MUGEM at this stage, even those who support the long-term goal of a domestic carrier. Bağcıoğlu, now deputy chair of Turkey’s main opposition Republican People’s Party (CHP), argues that the timing is ill-advised given Turkey’s current constrained economic resources. He notes that Turkey already operates an airbase in Northern Cyprus that functions as an “unsinkable aircraft carrier” in the heart of the Eastern Mediterranean, and that pressing defense needs should take priority.
“We should prioritize urgent needs such as the KAAN fighter jet project, since we currently lack sufficient advanced combat jets, as well as expanding air defense systems to protect critical infrastructure and building modern destroyers,” Bağcıoğlu explained. He added that MUGEM will require a full carrier strike group to operate effectively – including accompanying submarines, early warning aircraft, logistics ships, and escort helicopters – capabilities that Turkey does not currently possess. Instead, Bağcıoğlu argues Ankara should first complete construction of eight planned Istanbul-class frigates (only one of which is currently in service) and eight planned Tepe-class anti-air warfare destroyers (only one of which is under construction), while modernizing Turkey’s existing four Barbaros-class frigates. “Once those priorities are addressed, we wouldn’t even need an aircraft carrier,” he said.
Yasar pushes back on this criticism, arguing that Turkey can phase in funding for all required defense capabilities over time, and that MUGEM will deliver long-term strategic benefits. “I absolutely believe an aircraft carrier will create significant strategic impact in our neighborhood, and it will act as a critical force multiplier for Turkey’s overseas interests in the long run,” she said.