标签： Africa

Somalia has dramatically terminated all port management and security cooperation agreements with the United Arab Emirates, marking a critical deterioration in their longstanding partnership. The decision follows Israel’s unprecedented recognition of Somaliland as an independent state in late December—a move Somalia condemns as a violation of its territorial integrity.

President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud declared the termination after an extraordinary cabinet meeting, stating that while Somalia valued its relationship with the UAE, the Gulf nation failed to engage with Somalia as a sovereign equal. “After careful assessment, we were forced to take this decision,” Mohamud emphasized in a televised address.

The UAE, a major investor in Somali infrastructure and security, has not publicly responded to these developments. However, regional analysts identify Israel’s recognition of Somaliland as the catalyst for the diplomatic rupture. Omar Mahmoud of the International Crisis Group notes that Somalia perceives the UAE as having played a behind-the-scenes role in facilitating this outcome.

Complicating matters further, Somalia has accused the UAE of orchestrating the unauthorized transport of Yemeni separatist leader Aidarous al-Zubaidi through Somali airspace—an allegation the UAE denies. This incident, coupled with growing suspicions about Emirati support for Somaliland’s recognition, appears to have been the final straw in deteriorating relations.

The practical implications remain uncertain. While Somalia’s federal government has annulled the agreements, its authority over semi-autonomous regions like Somaliland, Puntland, and Jubaland—where UAE-operated ports are located—is limited. DP World, the Dubai-based logistics giant operating Berbera port, has indicated business will continue unchanged, citing existing agreements with Somaliland authorities.

Regional experts suggest this confrontation reflects broader geopolitical realignments, with the UAE and Israel on one side and powers like Turkey and Saudi Arabia on the other. Somalia is now leveraging diplomatic channels to rally international support for its position, though repairing relations with the UAE will require significant diplomacy amid eroded trust.

Uganda stands at a critical democratic crossroads as over 21 million registered voters participate in a presidential election pitting long-serving leader Yoweri Museveni against the formidable challenge of pop star-turned-politician Bobi Wine.

The electoral contest represents a classic power struggle between continuity and change. President Museveni, who seized power through guerrilla warfare four decades ago, positions himself as the indispensable guardian of stability and progress. His opponent, 43-year-old Robert Kyagulanyi (known professionally as Bobi Wine), campaigns on an ambitious platform of anti-corruption measures and comprehensive governmental reforms.

This election occurs against a backdrop of significant constitutional modifications that removed presidential age and term limits, enabling Museveni’s continued candidacy. The incumbent previously secured victory in the 2021 polls with 59% of votes against Wine’s 35%—results the opposition leader dismissed as fraudulent.

Pre-election conditions have drawn international concern. A government-imposed internet blackout, justified by authorities as necessary to prevent misinformation and electoral violence, has been condemned by the United Nations human rights office as “deeply worrying.” Opposition groups allege the digital shutdown aims to prevent documentation and sharing of electoral misconduct.

Security forces face accusations of systematically suppressing opposition activities through violent disruption of rallies, arbitrary detentions, and physical assaults on supporters. Amnesty International characterizes these tactics as “a brutal campaign of repression” involving tear gas, pepper spray, and beatings.

Electoral Commission Chair Simon Byabakama reported receiving direct threats warning against declaring certain results, though he maintains the commission will uphold electoral integrity. “I am not in the business of donating votes,” Byabakama stated, emphasizing that voters alone will determine the outcome.

The electoral process recalls the violent 2012 elections where dozens perished during protests, with security forces implicated in numerous casualties according to BBC investigations.

Beyond the presidential race, voters will determine the composition of parliament with 353 legislative seats contested. Economic concerns dominate voter priorities, particularly among Uganda’s youth-majority population where unemployment persists despite gradual income growth. Additional voter concerns include infrastructure deficiencies and unequal access to quality education and healthcare.

Security presence has intensified throughout the capital Kampala, with armored vehicles deployed and enhanced police patrols. Many residents have relocated to rural areas anticipating election-related violence, with one anonymous voter explaining his decision to re-register in his home village due to the “heavy and intimidating security presence in the city.

Polls are scheduled to close at 16:00 local time (13:00 GMT) on Thursday, with results anticipated by Saturday. The election’s outcome will significantly influence Uganda’s democratic trajectory and its relationship with the international community.

United Arab Emirates Foreign Trade Minister Thani Al Zeyoudi expressed uncertainty regarding the implementation specifics of former US President Donald Trump’s recently announced trade tariffs targeting nations conducting business with Iran. The declaration came during a public address where the minister acknowledged ongoing assessments of the potential ramifications.

This development follows Trump’s proclamation on his Truth Social platform imposing an immediate 25% tariff on all countries engaging in commercial relations with Iran. The measure represents an escalation of pressure tactics against Tehran concerning its handling of widespread domestic protests.

Minister Al Zeyoudi emphasized the current lack of clarity surrounding the tariff structure and its potential application to UAE food imports. The UAE maintains significant trade relations with both the United States and Iran, creating a complex economic balancing act. The Emirates exports substantial quantities of aluminum and gold to American markets, with aluminum already subject to existing 50% duties. Additional tariffs could further inflate prices for this essential industrial metal.

As Iran’s second-largest trading partner after China, the UAE maintains substantial commercial ties with its neighbor. Food and agricultural products constitute major import commodities from Iran, making supply chain security a primary governmental concern. Al Zeyoudi indicated that once formal details emerge, authorities will prioritize evaluating impacts on food product availability, pricing structures, and overall market stability.

The minister further noted the interconnected nature of trade and diplomatic relations with neighboring Iran, suggesting that soft power considerations would factor into comprehensive impact assessments. While private enterprises would conduct independent risk analyses, the government’s focus remains on ensuring commodity availability and affordability for domestic markets regardless of corporate decisions regarding continued Iranian trade.

Al Zeyoudi confirmed the administration’s commitment to developing alternative supply solutions to maintain market stability amid the evolving trade policy landscape.