分类: politics

  • Millions removed from India’s draft voter rolls viewed as targeting of Muslims

    Millions removed from India’s draft voter rolls viewed as targeting of Muslims

    For years, 44-year-old Old Delhi businessman Sameen Ud Din has cast his ballot at his longstanding Nizam Ud Din residence, including in the 2025 Delhi state elections. But when the Election Commission of India (ECI) released the draft voter list for the ongoing Special Intensive Revision (SIR) process, he discovered his name had been erased from the rolls entirely, with no prior official notification explaining the removal. “It is a bitter irony that I, a regular voter, was never contacted by the ECI before my name was struck off,” Din shared with Middle East Eye. “Now I am being pressured to submit Form 6 to re-register as a new voter, which requires me to make a false declaration that I have never been enrolled before – a move that carries serious legal penalties.” Din is far from an isolated case. Thousands of Muslim and Dalit voters across India have reported identical, unprompted removals from the draft SIR lists, as official data shows roughly 133 million names have been flagged for elimination from national electoral rolls.

    Critics argue the deletions are not neutral administrative housekeeping, but a targeted campaign that disproportionately impacts marginalized communities. A 2025 investigation by Indian news outlet The Wire found that in West Bengal, 1.8 million of the 2.75 million names marked for removal – nearly 70% of the total – belonged to Muslim residents, even though Muslims make up only 25% of the state’s total electorate. In some local districts, Muslim names accounted for more than 90% of all proposed deletions, a staggering statistical gap that has sparked widespread public anger and mass street demonstrations across the country.

    Leading the charge against the SIR process is the Cockroach Janta Party (CJP), a grassroots movement that originated as a satirical online campaign in May 2026, initially formed to demand the resignation of BJP Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan following a massive leak of India’s national medical entrance exam, the NEET. What began as a digital protest has rapidly evolved into a formidable street mobilization force, organizing nationwide demonstrations under the slogan “Lehra Do Tiranga” (Wave the Tricolour). At a mid-October rally in central Delhi, the Congress Party estimated turnout reached 250,000 people, with tens of thousands more participating in parallel protests in cities across India. Demonstrators waving Indian national flags marched from Connaught Place through central Delhi, chanting slogans demanding the resignation of Chief Election Commissioner Gyanesh Kumar, condemning heavy-handed police tactics, and accusing the ruling Modi administration of attempting to rig electoral demographics.

    Authorities led by the BJP-controlled Delhi government attempted to quash the unrest by imposing prohibitory orders banning gatherings of four or more people in large swathes of the capital, just days after Delhi Police removed the iconic, decades-old protest site at Jantar Mantar from its list of approved demonstration locations, re-routing permitted events to far-flung, underused grounds on the city’s outskirts. Despite these restrictions, thousands of demonstrators defied the bans, leading to widespread detentions. “We are out on the streets to defend Indian democracy, and we are not engaging in any violence – yet the police are still arbitrarily arresting people,” protester Vishnu told Middle East Eye from a police transport vehicle holding detained demonstrators. “These illegal detentions are the hallmark of a fascist state. Our demand is non-negotiable: scrap the SIR entirely, because it is nothing more than a state tool to reengineer this country’s voting demographics. They have already successfully pulled this trick in dozens of locations, and we are calling on every citizen to join us to fight this oppressive government.”

    Among those detained during the marches were CJP founder and digital strategist Abhijeet Dipke, and All India Students Association president Neha Bora. Bora was released without charges on Saturday morning, while Dipke was released after appearing before a Special Executive Magistrate and signing a personal bond. Delhi Police has filed at least two formal cases against the movement for violating public assembly restrictions.

    The ECI and ruling BJP have defended the SIR process, framing the roughly 130 million proposed deletions as a routine, good-faith administrative effort to purge dead, duplicate, and otherwise ineligible voters from the rolls to clean up electoral integrity. But a September 23 investigation by *The Indian Express* uncovered deep internal rifts within the Election Commission, revealing that two sitting Election Commissioners, Sukhbir Singh Sandhu and Vivek Joshi, had filed formal written objections at least 14 times over a 10-month period to major decisions that were enacted without their knowledge, consultation, or approval. Their documented concerns included unvetted mass additions and deletions of voters, unauthorized changes to Form 6 protocols, unrestricted access to the central national voter database, and unregulated modifications to the commission’s core electoral technology systems. The ECI has publicly dismissed the reports of internal dissent, claiming the documents cited were merely informal suggestions, and that every decision related to the SIR process was reached with full, unanimous agreement among all commissioners.

    Political analysts argue the stakes of the SIR process extend far beyond administrative procedure, posing a fundamental threat to the fairness of India’s upcoming 2029 general national elections. Ajay Gudavarthy, an associate professor of political studies at Jawaharlal Nehru University, explains that the disproportionate removal of Muslim and Dalit voters appears to be a deliberate, calculated political strategy by the BJP to consolidate electoral support among upper-caste and Other Backward Class (OBC) communities. “The overwhelming majority of deleted names belong to Muslim voters, and that deliberate targeting is why there has been no broader cross-caste mass outrage against the SIR,” Gudavarthy noted. “The BJP’s larger design is not just to erase Muslim votes, but to socially polarize the entire electorate along religious lines through these deletions. Removing large numbers of Dalit voters alongside Muslim voters serves to trigger reverse consolidation of upper-caste and OBC voters behind the BJP, entrenching their hold on power.”

    In Odisha’s Cuttack district, the experience of Sayed Rashad Ikmal’s family illustrates how the flawed SIR system operates at the grassroots level. The names of Ikmal’s aunt and uncle – a retired Indian Railways finance department employee – were both struck from the draft voter list, even though they had been registered voters for decades. The family later discovered an unauthorized Form 7 petition (the official document used to request a name’s removal from voter rolls) had been filed against their names, with no knowledge or consent from the couple. Only after they appealed directly to their local Block Development Officer (BDO) was the fraudulent deletion request cancelled, and their names restored to the rolls. Ikmal notes that local communities across his district are increasingly reporting that Muslim residents are being disproportionately targeted for deletion, a trend that has coincided with the spread of the Hindu right-wing “Go to Bangladesh” narrative that frames Indian Muslim citizens as illegal foreign infiltrators. “This repeated threat of being labelled an illegal Bangladeshi migrant is one of the most terrifying narratives being weaponized against Muslim communities,” Ikmal said. “It has been used repeatedly to divide voters along religious lines ahead of state elections, and to galvanize support for the BJP.”

    Gudavarthy warns that the ongoing SIR controversy exposes a dangerous erosion of institutional autonomy in the world’s largest democracy. “The only way to restore accountability to our electoral system is through sustained mass public protest and greater decentralization of electoral governance away from unaccountable central authorities,” he said. “This crisis is a critical lesson for Indian democracy: even longstanding, supposedly independent institutions can be easily subverted when the executive branch is allowed to overreach its authority without pushback.”

  • Argentina drops investigation into President Milei over crypto fraud

    Argentina drops investigation into President Milei over crypto fraud

    A high-profile criminal probe targeting Argentine President Javier Milei and his sister, Karina Milei, over their alleged ties to a controversial cryptocurrency collapse has been formally terminated, per official court filings. Federal judge Marcelo Martinez de Giorgi issued the dismissal order following a formal request from federal prosecutors to drop all charges linked to the $Libra crypto scandal that roiled local markets in February 2025.

    The controversy erupted after Milei published a post on X (formerly Twitter) endorsing the newly launched $Libra token, claiming the asset would channel funding to underresourced small businesses and early-stage startups across Argentina. Moments after the president shared a direct purchase link for the cryptocurrency, its market value surged dramatically, drawing thousands of retail investors. However, Milei deleted the post within hours, triggering a catastrophic price crash that left the vast majority of token holders facing crippling financial losses. The rapid, unannounced collapse prompted widespread public accusations of a “rug pull” — a common crypto scam where project operators lure investors before abandoning the asset and siphoning off raised funds — while opposition legislators in Argentina’s Congress immediately drafted formal impeachment proceedings against Milei.

    From the earliest stages of the investigation, Milei repeatedly rejected all fraud allegations, emphasizing he had acted entirely in good faith throughout the incident. In multiple local media appearances, including an interview with major outlet Todo Noticias, the president clarified, “I didn’t promote it, I merely shared it,” adding that he had deleted the post as soon as he uncovered undisclosed operational details of the $Libra project that led him to distance himself from the asset. He further noted that all investors had participated voluntarily with full awareness of the inherent risks of unregulated digital assets. The presidential administration also previously confirmed that the national Anti-Corruption Office would conduct a separate administrative review to assess whether any improper official conduct had occurred, and stressed that neither Milei nor his inner circle had any involvement in developing or launching the $Libra token.

    In his formal ruling dismissing the entire case, Judge Martinez de Giorgi stated that the sequence of events described in the original fraud complaint did not meet the statutory definition of a criminal offense under Argentine law, and that no admissible evidence had been presented to prove the existence of criminally relevant deception targeting investors. As of press time, President Milei has not issued a public statement responding to the news that all criminal charges against him and his sister have been dropped.

  • Big Tech has become the ‘ubiquitous villain’ of US 2026 midterms

    Big Tech has become the ‘ubiquitous villain’ of US 2026 midterms

    A Thursday analysis published by The Guardian confirms that widespread public resentment toward large technology corporations has solidified as a core campaign talking point across the 2026 U.S. midterm election landscape, cutting across traditional partisan lines. Over the past 60 days, hundreds of campaign broadcast ads targeting AI data center expansion have aired nationwide, with both Republican and Democratic candidates regularly accusing their opponents of acting as loyal proxies for the fast-growing artificial intelligence industry. The Guardian’s reporting further notes that public frustration extends far beyond data infrastructure alone: widespread grassroots anxiety about unregulated AI development, widespread public disdain for the ultra-wealthy tech billionaires leading the sector, and growing backlash against pervasive surveillance tools deployed by tech firms have collectively transformed the entire tech industry into a universal electoral villain this cycle. This dynamic has turned Silicon Valley into a frequent political punching bag for candidates on both sides of the aisle, even as leading Big Tech executives pour record-breaking sums of money into efforts to elect political leaders who will prioritize their regulatory and business interests. Super PACs funded directly by tech billionaires rank among the top spending groups of the 2026 election cycle. One of the most prominent, Leading the Future, was co-founded by OpenAI president Greg Brockman and high-profile venture capitalist Marc Andreessen, and has raised more than $75 million to support candidates who favor light-touch tech regulation. Separately, SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has directed a staggering $366 million toward Republican-aligned causes this cycle, a sum far larger than the total he spent supporting candidates during the 2024 presidential election. Notably, a large share of this record tech industry spending is flowing to Republican candidates, marking a sharp shift from the sector’s longstanding history of close collaborative ties with Democratic elected officials. In Texas, Democratic U.S. Senate hopeful James Talarico has worked to turn the flood of Big Tech money supporting his rival into a core campaign advantage, specifically highlighting the outsized influence Musk has had on funding the re-election bid of his Republican opponent, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton. When Musk used his X platform on Wednesday to post that “there is something deeply wrong with Talarico,” the Democratic candidate fired back immediately, writing that “There is something deeply wrong with a political system that allows one trillionaire to buy his own personal US senator.” A Monday investigative report from The Atlantic traces how the tech industry’s close alignment with former President Donald Trump during his second term in office has given Democratic operatives clear incentive to ramp up their criticism of Big Tech, a strategy that polling data confirms resonates with voters across party lines. Democratic strategists told The Atlantic that data center regulation has emerged as an unusually powerful wedge issue, one that can push even reliably loyal Republican voters to reconsider their support for GOP candidates. “Trump and his hands-off, anti-AI regulation stance is dragging the Republican Party toward a politically suicidal position,” veteran Democratic strategist Rob Flaherty noted. “They have picked the losing side of an 80-20 voter issue at exactly the worst possible moment.” The report adds that party strategists began pushing for a more populist, critical stance toward the tech sector after internal polling revealed unexpectedly high levels of voter concern about unregulated AI, even in deeply conservative rural districts that have historically voted overwhelmingly for Republican candidates. Rishi Bharwani, U.S. director of tech regulation advocacy group Reset Tech, emphasized how dramatically the political landscape has shifted since the Barack Obama administration, when Democratic leaders largely framed the tech sector as an unalloyed positive force driving widespread social and economic progress. “We have seen explosive growth in the tech sector since then, the rise of dozens of new billionaires, and even the world’s first trillionaire,” Bharwani explained. “But millions of working families have realized they are not seeing any of those benefits. These large tech companies are actively eroding their economic stability and public safety, and voters are fed up.”

  • White House says the US is lifting tariffs on some Canadian goods

    White House says the US is lifting tariffs on some Canadian goods

    The White House confirmed on Friday that it will roll back a subset of the sweeping 50% tariffs imposed on Canadian imports, framing the move as a measure to safeguard the economic well-being and national security of the American public. The announcement, which is set to take effect on 30 October, will remove a targeted list of Canadian products from the tariff roster, including plywood panels, specialty paper goods, specific industrial machinery, refrigeration components, and custom packing crates, while a separate set of Canadian imports – such as industrial valves, carpets, and assorted waste materials – will be added to the tariff schedule to offset the duty reductions. The partial tariff reprieve was first unveiled by moderate Republican Senator Susan Collins, who is locked in a fiercely competitive re-election battle in Maine as she vies for her sixth Senate term. Collins emphasized that the carve-outs were the result of months of advocacy with senior White House trade officials, and are specifically tailored to support Maine’s signature agricultural sectors, including wild blueberry, potato, apple, and seaweed producers. She noted that many of these operations depend on specialized equipment and packaging supplies that are either not manufactured domestically in the US, or would carry prohibitive cost markups if sourced from alternative domestic suppliers. The tariff adjustment comes in the immediate run-up to the 3 November US midterm elections, where surveys show that cost-of-living pressures and household affordability rank as the top priority for a large share of American voters. Multiple outlets including the Wall Street Journal have reported that the narrow set of exemptions, heavily focused on Canadian agricultural and forestry imports, is structured to provide targeted electoral support to vulnerable Republican candidates in border states whose local economies have been upended by the cross-border trade dispute. The tit-for-tat tariff escalation between the US and Canada ignited after high-level trade negotiations collapsed earlier this summer, sending ripple effects through tightly integrated cross-border supply chains that have sustained communities on both sides of the shared border for decades. Michigan Republican Representative Mike Rogers, who previously defended the tariff policy in campaign advertisements, has also recently called for a full resolution to the trade impasse, as his state’s trade-reliant manufacturing and agricultural sectors have absorbed steep financial losses from the standoff. During public remarks on the same Friday the exemptions were announced, former US President Donald Trump stated that Canadian negotiators were “working very hard” to finalize a broader bilateral trade deal with the US. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney responded by noting that Ottawa remains open to a mutually advantageous agreement, but would not rush to sign a subpar deal. He added that Canada would be willing to extend negotiations for months, or even wait for a future US administration, if the terms of a fair, balanced agreement cannot be reached immediately. As of press time, the BBC has not received additional on-the-record comment from the White House, US Department of Commerce, or Office of the US Trade Representative regarding the timeline for full trade deal negotiations.

  • Hundreds to risk arrest at ‘mass actions’ targeting US embassies over Palestine Action ban

    A coalition of civil liberties campaigners is preparing a coordinated act of mass civil disobedience across two UK cities, with participants voluntarily risking arrest under counter-terrorism legislation in a direct challenge to the official proscription of activist group Palestine Action. Organised by the campaign collective Defend Our Juries (DOJ), the dual-site protest is scheduled for 31 October, just days before the UK Supreme Court is set to hear a landmark appeal examining the legality of the government’s ban on the pro-Palestinian direct action network.
    DOJ will formally unveil the plans outside the London US Embassy this coming Friday, with more than 400 pre-registered volunteers committed to publicly displaying signs emblazoned with the message “I oppose genocide- I support Palestine Action” at the London demonstration. A parallel solidarity action will unfold simultaneously outside the US Consulate in Edinburgh, extending the act of defiance beyond the UK’s capital. Every participant taking part in the public display of support is knowingly exposing themselves to potential prosecution under Section 13 of the Terrorism Act, a provision that criminalises explicit expressions of backing for organisations formally listed as proscribed terrorist groups, carrying maximum sentences of up to 14 years’ imprisonment.
    The high-profile protest is timed to precede a two-day Supreme Court hearing scheduled for 4 and 5 November, where senior justices will review a lower Court of Appeal ruling from earlier in 2025 that upheld the government’s decision to classify Palestine Action as a banned organisation. A DOJ spokesperson stated the coordinated action is designed to “lay bare the fundamental rights to free expression” at the core of the ongoing legal battle, drawing a parallel to the recent widely publicised removal of author Sally Rooney’s works from UK retail outlets, a move linked to commercial backlash over her public stance on the Israel-Hamas conflict.
    The proscription of Palestine Action was formally enacted in July 2025 under the administration of then-Prime Minister Keir Starmer, marking a highly contested expansion of the UK’s counter-terrorism powers to target a grassroots protest group. DOJ’s latest available data estimates that in the months since the ban came into force, approximately 3,850 people have been arrested across the country on suspicion of showing support for the organisation, resulting in no fewer than 2,250 formal charges being filed.
    Campaign organisers explained the decision to stage the demonstrations at US diplomatic sites stems from growing concerns over the influence of former US President Donald Trump on the UK government’s decision to proscribe the group. The controversy traces back to a 2024 incident in which Palestine Action activists carried out a spray-paint vandalism action at Trump’s luxury Turnberry golf resort in Scotland. Documents uncovered during a November 2024 judicial review of the proscription process confirmed that Starmer held two separate phone calls with Trump on 10 March and 30 March 2025, in the immediate aftermath of the golf course incident. Shortly after those conversations, Trump posted a statement on his Truth Social platform branding the Palestine Action activists “terrorists” who had caused “serious damage”, language that directly mirrored wording embedded in the UK’s 2000 Terrorism Act, and added that he hoped the individuals responsible would “hopefully be treated harshly” under British law.
    Public backlash against the controversial ban has intensified steadily in recent weeks, with mounting cross-society pressure on current UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham to formally reverse the proscription order. Dissent has even emerged from within Burnham’s own Labour Party ranks, with prominent senior peer and human rights advocate Shami Chakrabarti publicly condemning the policy. Speaking during an interview on LBC’s Andrew Marr Show, Chakrabarti argued the move was “making a mockery” of the UK’s carefully calibrated counter-terrorism legal framework, noting that evolving public and political circumstances now compel the Home Secretary to conduct an urgent formal review of the classification. She emphasised that the statutory power to proscribe civil society organisations “should be an exceptional power, used with great care, and should be constantly under review” to avoid eroding core civil liberties.

  • Trump administration sues to block certification of upcoming Alaska election

    Trump administration sues to block certification of upcoming Alaska election

    The US Department of Justice under the Trump administration has launched a federal legal challenge that could halt official certification of Alaska’s 2026 US Senate race if incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan falls short of victory, citing voter confusion risks stemming from a second candidate sharing the exact same full name on the ballot. The suit, formally filed in federal court last Thursday, argues that the presence of a retired local teacher also named Dan Sullivan on the general election ballot creates a high probability that a significant share of Alaska voters will accidentally cast their ballots for the non-partisan, lesser-known candidate when intending to vote for the sitting GOP senator. Multiple pre-election public opinion surveys have painted a picture of an extraordinarily competitive contest between the incumbent Sullivan and his leading Democratic rival Mary Peltola, with Peltola currently holding a slim but consistent edge among likely voters. The legal petition submitted by the administration requests that the presiding federal judge issue a formal order prohibiting Alaska state election officials from finalizing and certifying the race’s results in the event that Senator Dan Sullivan loses by a vote margin smaller than the total number of ballots cast for the retired teacher sharing his name. This latest legal maneuver follows two earlier attempts by the incumbent’s campaign and state Republican operatives to force the second Dan Sullivan off the general election ballot, petitions that were unanimously rejected by the Alaska Supreme Court in prior rulings. Under Alaska’s longstanding ranked-choice voting framework, voters who are uncertain about the two identically named candidates even have the option to rank both of them on their ballots, a quirk that state courts previously noted as a mitigating factor against widespread disenfranchisement during the earlier ballot access hearings. The high-stakes legal fight unfolds as part of the broader 2026 US midterm election cycle, with control of the evenly divided US Senate hanging on the outcome of a small handful of competitive races across the country.

  • US justice department investigating Corey Lewandowski over DHS role

    US justice department investigating Corey Lewandowski over DHS role

    A federal law enforcement investigation is underway into Corey Lewandowski, a long-time ally of former President Donald Trump who served as a senior informal advisor to ex-U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Secretary Kristi Noem, multiple credible U.S. media outlets confirmed this week. Citing internal sources, CBS News, the BBC’s U.S. journalistic partner, first broke the news that the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) is reviewing claims that Lewandowski improperly extracted personal financial benefits while holding his temporary federal post. Lewandowski, who previously led Trump’s 2016 presidential campaign and acted as a key strategist for his 2024 re-election bid, was hired as a Special Government Employee (SGE) at DHS, a temporary advisory role that imposes strict statutory caps on working hours, decision-making authority, and private sector side activities. He operated as Noem’s de facto chief of staff during his tenure, until both he and Noem were removed from their posts in March of this year amid a cascading series of public controversies, including high-profile fatal shootings of U.S. residents by immigration enforcement personnel. The DOJ formally launched the probe after receiving an official referral from the DHS Office of the Inspector General, the independent oversight body tasked with auditing the agency’s operations and flagging potential misconduct. Investigators are zeroing in on a portfolio of contracts awarded during Noem’s leadership at DHS, with multiple current and former DHS officials telling Reuters that Lewandowski repeatedly signed off on contract approvals despite lacking the legal authority to do so under the terms of his SGE appointment. He is also accused of unilaterally freezing a slate of grants and pending contracts, including several time-sensitive agreements managed by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), the nation’s primary disaster response unit. Additional reporting from the Wall Street Journal has further alleged that Lewandowski leveraged his DHS position to solicit paid private consulting gigs from Middle Eastern nations, offering to intervene on visa applications and other DHS-regulated processes in exchange for personal compensation. The allegations extend to former Secretary Noem as well: shortly before her ouster, congressional lawmakers launched their own inquiry into a $220 million national advertising contract that Noem awarded to two firms with documented personal and professional ties to her closest inner circle. When pressed about the ongoing DOJ probe by reporters on Thursday, former President Trump acknowledged he had heard preliminary reports of the investigation but did not claim knowledge of specific details, stating publicly, “I want my people to be honest. And if they’re not going to be honest, they have to be prosecuted.” Lewandowski’s legal counsel, Adam Trigg, has issued a formal denial of all wrongdoing on his client’s behalf, noting that as of the latest update, federal investigators have not directly contacted Lewandowski to notify him he is the subject of a formal investigation.

  • Xi’s peace principles offer little cover for China in Africa

    Xi’s peace principles offer little cover for China in Africa

    ### Introduction
    In early October 2025, a deadly clash between two of the Sahel region’s most powerful jihadist groups underscored the intractable instability plaguing West Africa’s borderlands – just days after China laid out a new framework for international engagement on African conflict resolution during a high-profile diplomatic meeting in Beijing. The convergence of these two events has drawn fresh attention to how Beijing’s stated principles align with the messy, fragmented security dynamics across the Sahel, where non-state armed groups control vast swathes of territory and China has growing economic and strategic interests.

    —

    #### The Deadly Clash in Northern Burkina Faso
    On October 9, heavy fighting broke out near the village of Gonadaouri in Burkina Faso’s Oudalan province, just kilometers from the Malian border. The combatants were longstanding rivals: Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM), al-Qaeda’s official affiliate in the Sahel, and Islamic State Sahel Province (ISSP), the group formerly known as the Islamic State in the Greater Sahara. The two extremist factions have engaged in intermittent territorial clashes along this frontier since August 2025.

    Three days after the confrontation, ISSP issued a statement claiming it had killed more than 400 JNIM fighters, including multiple senior commanders. To date, international news outlets including Agence France-Presse have not been able to independently verify this casualty count. Specialist sources cited by Radio France Internationale have reported heavy losses on both sides, noting that JNIM also killed several ISSP commanders in the fighting. JNIM itself has not released any public statement on the battle.

    This clash is only the latest chapter in a years-long inter-jihadist rivalry that has already claimed thousands of lives. Data from the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data (ACLED) project records more than 2,100 deaths from fighting between JNIM and ISSP since 2019, with the conflict spreading to Niger’s Tillaberi region for the first time this past April. Unlike conventional interstate conflicts, this violence is waged by two non-state groups that both oppose the Sahel’s military governments, compete for control of smuggling routes and local resources, and govern the territories they hold under their own harsh extremist doctrines.

    Weaken by decades of political instability, many Sahel states already exercise limited control over their territory. Roughly half of Burkina Faso is reportedly beyond effective central government rule, and the country hosts 2.1 million of the Sahel region’s 2.8 million internally displaced people. Just days before the Gonadaouri clash, on October 6, Malian government forces alongside fighters from Russia’s Africa Corps retook the strategic northern town of Kidal without resistance, five months after it fell to a joint offensive by Tuareg separatists and JNIM. Separatist leaders have described their withdrawal as temporary, with regional power Algeria – which has long had tense relations with Mali’s junta – reported to have brokered the handover agreement.

    —

    #### China’s Four Principles for African Conflict Resolution
    Four days after the Gonadaouri clash, on October 13, Chinese President Xi Jinping welcomed Togolese President Faure Gnassingbé for a bilateral meeting in Beijing. The talks covered a range of economic cooperation issues, from expanded zero-tariff access for Togolese goods to greater adoption of the renminbi in bilateral trade. A major focal point of the meeting, however, was Xi Jinping’s announcement of four core principles for external engagement to resolve African “hotspot issues”, a framework that Gnassingbé fully endorsed. While Xi did not name any specific conflict, and the principles are not intended as a direct comment on Sahel instability, the region presents a critical test of their applicability.

    The four principles laid out by Xi are clear and principle-driven: first, that African people are the “true masters of Africa” and must play the central role in resolving regional affairs; second, that all external actors must respect the UN Charter and the sovereignty and territorial integrity of African states; third, that consultation and dialogue should replace armed conflict, as neither war nor unilateral sanctions can deliver a lasting resolution to disputes; and fourth, that conflict resolution efforts must address both the immediate symptoms and the underlying root causes of violence.

    The emphasis on resolving disputes between states carries particular weight in the context of the Sahel, where most active violence involves non-state armed groups that do not recognize existing state borders or answer to sovereign governments. Unlike the interstate conflicts Xi referenced, JNIM and ISSP have no government to mandate negotiations, making a call for dialogue far harder to implement than it would be in conventional conflicts.

    —

    #### China’s Growing Footprint and Interests in the Sahel
    China has long had a presence in the Sahel, but its role has evolved significantly in recent years. From 2013 to the end of 2023, Chinese troops deployed as part of the UN peacekeeping mission in Mali, based in the northern city of Gao, where one Chinese peacekeeper was killed in an attack in 2016. After the UN mission closed at the request of Mali’s military junta, China’s presence in the region has shifted to bilateral engagement.

    Over the past two years, Beijing has expanded its diplomatic and security ties across the Sahel: it posted its first ever defense attaché to Niger in 2024, and Mali has received deliveries of Chinese-built short-range air defense systems. Economically, Chinese investment is deeply embedded: China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) constructed Niger’s major oil export pipeline to the coast of Benin, while Chinese firms operate mining and infrastructure projects across western Mali.

    This growing engagement has not come without risk. Data shows that of the 89 foreign nationals abducted across Africa in 2025, 38 were Chinese citizens, most of them working in Mali’s gold-rich southwestern region. Kidnapping for ransom makes up an estimated 40% of JNIM’s annual revenue, according to the Institute for Economics and Peace, and Chinese nationals working at unregulated artisanal gold mines are among the most vulnerable targets. The Chinese embassy in Mali explicitly warned its citizens of the poor security at these sites in a public advisory last December.

    China’s approach to Sahel sovereignty has also drawn scrutiny. Mali’s military government expelled the UN peacekeeping mission in 2023 and scrapped the 2015 Algiers Peace Agreement with northern armed groups in January 2024, a decision widely cited as a key factor driving the renewed outbreak of conflict in northern Mali. Despite this, Beijing has continued to supply military equipment to the Malian junta and maintain economic relations, without public criticism of the government’s decision to abandon the peace deal.

    That said, China has not been a passive actor in the region, and has already used diplomatic mediation to resolve cross-border disputes. In 2024, when Benin closed its border to block Niger’s crude oil exports during a bilateral dispute, it was China’s ambassador in Cotonou that negotiated an agreement to resume loading operations. Just this year, when Niger’s junta ordered Chinese oil executives to leave the country amid a dispute over local hiring requirements, Beijing negotiated a deal that gave Niger a 45% stake in CNPC’s pipeline subsidiary on more favorable terms for Niamey – a pragmatic negotiation that aligns far more closely with Xi’s stated principles than conventional arms transfers.

    —

    #### Testing the Principles on the Ground
    Xi’s principle of African-led conflict resolution also raises key questions about which African actors should be centered in the process. Beyond the military governments that make up the Alliance of Sahel States, the African Union maintains a dedicated mediation mission for Mali and the Sahel, Algeria retains longstanding diplomatic channels in northern Mali, and coastal West African states increasingly face spillover violence as extremist groups push south. China already maintains productive working relations with all of these actors, and could channel support for humanitarian access and hostage negotiation through these existing African institutions.

    For China, the most immediate priority is reducing the risk to its citizens working across the Sahel. Policy experts note that working with Malian authorities to formalize Chinese mining operations, improve local hiring practices and negotiate more equitable revenue-sharing arrangements in the gold-rich regions of Kayes and Sikasso would reduce vulnerability to kidnapping without requiring the deployment of Chinese troops. These measures would not end the broader conflict over control of rural Sahel, but they would advance China’s core interests while aligning with its stated commitment to respecting African sovereignty.

    Ultimately, JNIM and ISSP are unlikely to be swayed by principles announced in Beijing. For the people of Oudalan and Kidal, who have born the brunt of years of overlapping conflict, the real test will be whether China’s actions in the Sahel moving forward live up to the principles it has laid out.

  • Malawi opposition demands answers over president’s prolonged stay abroad

    Malawi opposition demands answers over president’s prolonged stay abroad

    Malawi’s main opposition bloc is escalating calls for official clarity on President Peter Mutharika’s extended unannounced stay in South Africa, as the southern African nation grapples with cascading crises including crippling fuel shortages, rolling nationwide power outages, dwindling essential medical supplies, and a severe foreign currency crunch that has paralyzed key import operations.
    The 86-year-old head of state departed Malawi on October 6 for what government officials have only labeled a private personal visit, marking his fifth documented trip to South Africa in the current calendar year. No detailed public disclosures have been released regarding the purpose, itinerary, or exact timeline of any of these repeated cross-border visits, drawing mounting public scrutiny from citizens and political observers alike.
    In a press briefing held Thursday in the Malawian capital Lilongwe, Malawi Congress Party (MCP) campaign director Moses Kunkuyu emphasized that the opposition does not dispute the president’s legal right to travel for private matters, but stressed that the nation cannot afford a leadership gap at a moment of unprecedented hardship. “Malawi is at a critical juncture where decisive, visible governance is non-negotiable,” the MCP stated in an official communiqué. Kunkuyu called on Vice-President Jane Ansah to address the nation directly to outline who is overseeing day-to-day state operations, and to present a concrete roadmap to resolve the overlapping crises hitting ordinary households hardest: months-long fuel queues at service stations, erratic power grids that have disrupted small business operations, empty pharmacy shelves in public health facilities, and restricted access to hard currency that has pushed up prices for all imported essential goods.
    Kunkuyu noted that Malawian citizens are not demanding the president’s immediate return from personal travel, but basic reassurance that a clear, accountable authority is steering the country through its economic turmoil, rather than a de facto leadership vacuum.
    Government officials have pushed back firmly against the opposition’s demands. Information Minister Shadric Namalomba dismissed claims of a governance gap in remarks to local media, asserting that “a serving head of state retains full authority over all national affairs at all times, regardless of his physical location.” When pressed to share details of Mutharika’s ongoing South Africa visit, Namalomba refused further elaboration, noting that the trip was explicitly categorized as private. He went on to accuse the MCP of attempting to weaponize national hardships that he claimed were created during the opposition’s previous term in office, when Mutharika’s predecessor Lazarus Chakwera held the presidency. “Malawians voted our administration into power precisely because the MCP failed miserably to resolve these very challenges,” Namalomba said, urging opposition leaders to refrain from public criticism while the current government works to address inherited structural issues.
    Earlier this month, senior state officials moved to quash unsubstantiated social media rumors claiming Mutharika had secretly traveled onward from South Africa to India for undisclosed medical treatment. Chief Secretary to the Government Justin Saidi confirmed the president remained in South Africa, and urged the public to disregard unvetted online speculation. Mutharika has previously dismissed all past public questions about his health as “silly and laughable,” repeatedly stating he remains in full good health and fully capable of executing his presidential duties.
    The president’s extended absence has already forced a last-minute adjustment to Malawi’s diplomatic representation at a regional summit: Mutharika formally delegated the country’s trade minister to lead the national delegation at the ongoing Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA) summit taking place in Zimbabwe.
    Mutharika first assumed the Malawian presidency in 2014, serving a single term through 2020, before winning a landmark 2024 presidential election that saw him unseat incumbent Lazarus Chakwera to return to the highest office exactly one year prior to this latest overseas trip.
    For more in-depth coverage of stories across the African continent, audiences can visit BBCAfrica.com, follow the outlet’s official accounts on X (Twitter) @BBCAfrica, Facebook at BBC Africa, and Instagram at bbcafrica, or access the full library of BBC Africa news podcasts.

  • Hispanic voters helped bring Trump to power – in Texas, the tide may be turning

    Hispanic voters helped bring Trump to power – in Texas, the tide may be turning

    Dawn breaks softly over the scrub-dusted terrain of Texas’ Rio Grande Valley, where the 160-year-old La Lomita Catholic Chapel, a weathered whitewashed landmark dating back to the American Civil War, sits a mere 200 yards from the banks of the Rio Grande. For nearly 50 years, the parish’s spiritual leader has been Father Roy Snipes, a beloved local figure known far and wide across the borderlands as the “Cowboy Priest” for his signature Stetson hat, penchant for classic Roy Rogers country tracks, and unyielding advocacy for his predominantly Hispanic congregation.

    Snipes first rose to regional prominence during Donald Trump’s first presidential term, when he led a fierce, high-profile campaign to block federal authorities from seizing the chapel’s historic land to make way for the administration’s proposed U.S.-Mexico border wall. Eight years later, amid Trump’s second term, the priest opened a recent early-morning Friday service for his 30-person congregation with a searing rebuke of current Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) enforcement practices. “There is no moral or legal justification to detain, lock up, and deport hardworking, upstanding people who are our neighbors,” he told worshippers. He went on to note that while the public was initially told ICE operations would target only violent cartel members and high-level criminal offenders, the reality on the ground was far different: ordinary local workers were being routinely stopped, detained, and removed while commuting to their jobs, tearing families apart.

    Two local educators who attended the service shared firsthand accounts of the human cost of the policy, noting that dozens of their students had been forced to leave school to relocate after their parents were targeted for deportation. “The unnecessary cruelty we are witnessing every day is shifting public sentiment – I truly hope that translates to real change at the polls,” one of the parishioners remarked.

    New data from the independent Deportation Data Project shows Texas accounted for roughly one-third of all ICE arrests across the United States in July 2026, a larger share than any other state in the country. While Trump delivered on his 2024 campaign promise to slash illegal border crossings to the lowest level recorded in decades, that enforcement success has eroded much of the historic inroads the Republican Party made with Hispanic voters in Texas during the last presidential cycle, when Trump won a record 55% of the state’s Hispanic vote – a landmark haul that led GOP strategists to forecast a permanent partisan realignment along the border.

    Javier Villalobos, the Republican mayor of McAllen, one of the Rio Grande Valley’s largest population centers, praised the Trump administration for curbing rampant border crossings that overwhelmed local communities during the Biden presidency, but acknowledged that the administration’s expanded deportation scope had become a major source of local backlash. “Most residents support removing violent criminals and people who contribute nothing to our communities, but when you start targeting law-abiding, productive members of our workforce, that’s where the policy breaks down,” he explained.

    The shifting mood is embodied by Mario Guerrero, a Mexican-American small business leader and head of the South Texas Builders Association, who voted for Trump three consecutive times but now plans to cast his ballot for Democratic candidates in the November 3 midterms. Guerrero said he supported Trump’s 2024 pledge to fix the border crisis that had led to more than 2.5 million migrant apprehensions in a single year under the prior Democratic administration, but was horrified by the extreme, unforeseen levels of enforcement – including high-profile incidents involving ICE shootings in U.S. cities – that have gutted local labor pools. “A local contractor I know who used to have 35 full-time workers can now barely get 4 to 6 people to show up for shifts, because so many of our undocumented neighbors are too terrified to leave their homes,” he said.

    Recent late-summer polling confirms that Trump’s once-strong Hispanic support across Texas has largely collapsed, with a majority of Hispanic voters now saying they disapprove of his presidential performance, and leaning toward Democratic candidates by a decisive margin. Prominent Republican Hispanic voter strategist Mike Madrid notes that this volatile electorate is far more likely to identify as independent than voters from any other demographic group, making them particularly receptive to candidates who avoid rigid partisan orthodoxy.

    That shift has thrown a wrench into a 2021 Republican redistricting strategy that drew heavily on projections of permanent GOP Hispanic gains to redraw Texas congressional maps, including the 15th Congressional District, which was reconfigured twice – most recently in 2025 – to give Republican candidates a notional 18-point partisan advantage for the 2026 midterms. Despite that gerrymandered edge, current polling shows Democratic candidate Bobby Pulido, a two-time Latin Grammy-winning Tejano music star and local household name, leading by 5 to 6 percentage points. Pulido has deliberately distanced himself from national Democratic messaging focused on social justice and climate policy, prioritizing local economic issues that resonate with border voters. “This is not New York or Los Angeles,” he said. “What people here care about most are their pocketbooks, the cost of living, and supporting their families.”

    Even at a local avocado festival, a beloved community gathering staple for the Rio Grande Valley’s Hispanic population, voters Dave Baldwin and Veronica Salazar cited skyrocketing cost of living as their top election priority, placing full blame for the price spikes on the Trump administration.

    Republican campaign operatives across the region admit they are facing unexpected headwinds just weeks before Election Day, with volunteer organizers focused almost entirely on turning out their existing base rather than persuading undecided voters. Tano Tijerina, the GOP candidate running in the neighboring 28th Congressional District, acknowledged that the party faces significant national political headwinds, even as he praised Trump for breaking historic partisan barriers with Hispanic voters in 2024.

    Political analysts note that even a modest swing back toward Democratic candidates in Texas could upend long-held political expectations, potentially putting a U.S. Senate seat in play for Democrats – a party that has not won a statewide Senate race in Texas in more than 30 years, with ripple effects that could shift the balance of power across the entire U.S. Congress.