分类: business

  • China’s huge trade surplus brings limited boost to forex reserves

    China’s huge trade surplus brings limited boost to forex reserves

    Despite a new round of tariff impositions initiated by former US President Donald Trump in April 2025, China’s trade surplus soared to an unprecedented $1.19 trillion, according to data released by the General Administration of Customs. This remarkable figure represents a significant increase from the $992 billion surplus recorded in 2024. The surge was primarily driven by a 5.5% year-on-year increase in exports, which reached $3.77 trillion, while imports remained stagnant at $2.58 trillion.

    However, this record trade performance presents a puzzling discrepancy when examined alongside China’s foreign exchange reserves. Data from the People’s Bank of China revealed that forex reserves grew by only $160 billion throughout 2025, reaching $3.36 trillion by December. This minimal increase means that merely 13% of the massive trade surplus actually flowed into the country’s reserves, continuing a pattern of stability within the $3.01-3.33 trillion range maintained over the past decade.

    Financial columnist Dao Ge, based in Beijing, explains several factors contributing to this phenomenon. ‘The $992 billion trade surplus in 2024 wasn’t entirely earned in US dollars,’ Dao notes. ‘A substantial portion was settled in yuan and other currencies, meaning the actual dollar accumulation might have been approximately $200 billion.’ Additional pressures on reserve balances include outbound spending by Chinese tourists and students, profit remittances by foreign companies operating in China, and overseas investments by Chinese state-owned enterprises (SOEs).

    Chinese SOEs have increasingly utilized renminbi for purchasing crude oil from heavily sanctioned nations including Venezuela, Iran, and Russia, as well as minerals from various African countries. These nations can then use the currency to acquire Chinese goods or convert it into global currencies through markets like Hong Kong.

    The record surplus appears contradictory to the widespread narrative of manufacturing relocation to Southeast Asian countries such as Vietnam, Thailand, and Indonesia, which has reportedly left numerous factory workers unemployed. Some international commentators have raised concerns about potentially inflated export data, alleging that certain companies might be fabricating export records to claim tax rebates illegally.

    Notable cases include a Liaoning company that illegally obtained tax rebates worth 212 million yuan ($30 million) through fabricated export transactions, and a Wuhan-based supply-chain firm that created fictitious export records involving over 200 million yuan in offshore cargo value. According to Shanghai Metals Market, approximately 30% of China’s steel exports in 2023 and 2024 involved fake invoice-based exports.

    The central government implemented new regulations effective October 1, 2025, to combat these practices, though comprehensive national estimates of their impact on trade statistics remain unavailable.

    Wang Jun, Vice Head of the General Administration of Customs, attributes China’s strong trade performance to strategic policy support, robust domestic market demand, and industrial strength. Key drivers include targeted government measures to help exporters secure orders, China’s large consumer base sustaining import demand, and the country’s complete industrial system supporting export growth.

    Despite these strengths, Wang acknowledges significant challenges ahead: ‘Global trade momentum is weakening as economic growth slows, geopolitical tensions persist, policy uncertainty remains high, and trade costs continue to rise.’ International organizations have subsequently downgraded their forecasts for global trade growth in 2026.

    Nevertheless, China’s exports of high-tech products rose 13.2% year-on-year, contributing 2.4 percentage points to overall export growth. Notably, China became a net exporter of industrial robots for the first time. The country’s growing dominance in robotics was evident at CES 2026 in Las Vegas, where Chinese companies represented 21 of the 38 exhibitors showcasing humanoid robots, demonstrating rapid commercialization of robotics innovation.

  • US imposes tariff of 25 pct on certain advanced computing chips

    US imposes tariff of 25 pct on certain advanced computing chips

    The United States has implemented a substantial 25 percent tariff on select advanced computing chips, marking a significant escalation in its trade policy approach toward the technology sector. This decisive measure, which took effect in early 2026, represents one of the most aggressive tariff impositions on high-tech components in recent years.

    The tariff specifically targets cutting-edge computing processors essential for artificial intelligence systems, data centers, and high-performance computing applications. Industry analysts indicate this move will directly impact the cost structure of numerous technology companies relying on these specialized semiconductors for their operations and product development.

    This protectionist measure emerges amid ongoing global competition for technological supremacy, particularly in the semiconductor sector where the United States has been seeking to strengthen domestic manufacturing capabilities. The tariff is expected to reshape supply chain dynamics and potentially accelerate the reshoring of advanced chip production to American soil.

    Market reactions have been immediate, with several major tech corporations announcing price adjustments for their computing products and services. The financial implications are projected to extend beyond the technology sector, potentially affecting industries ranging from automotive to healthcare that increasingly depend on advanced computing capabilities.

    Trade experts suggest this policy could trigger retaliatory measures from trading partners and potentially disrupt the global semiconductor ecosystem that has become increasingly interconnected over the past decade. The long-term impact on innovation cycles and technological advancement remains a subject of intense debate among economists and industry leaders.

  • BHP and mining giants power ASX 200 gains as tech stocks falter

    BHP and mining giants power ASX 200 gains as tech stocks falter

    Defying a weak overnight session on Wall Street, the Australian sharemarket has notched its fourth consecutive day of gains, propelled primarily by a resurgent mining sector. The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 advanced decisively, adding 41.10 points, or 0.47 per cent, to close at 8,861.70. The broader All Ordinaries index also climbed, rising 32.40 points, or 0.35 per cent, to settle at 9,184.20. In currency markets, the Australian dollar experienced a slight retreat, trading at 66.76 US cents. The trading session presented a mixed picture overall, with six of the eleven sectors finishing in positive territory. The materials sector emerged as the unequivocal leader, posting a robust gain of 1.09 per cent. The healthcare sector also contributed significantly to the market’s upward momentum. Mining behemoth BHP Group Ltd. was a standout performer, its shares surging 2.60 per cent to $49.37, edging it closer to overtaking Commonwealth Bank as the nation’s largest listed entity. Rio Tinto and Fortescue Metals Group also closed higher, gaining 0.37 per cent and 0.44 per cent, respectively. BlueScope Steel witnessed a spectacular leap of 4.17 per cent to $31.00, fueled by ongoing takeover speculation. Simultaneously, South32 shares hit a two-year peak of $4.14, buoyed by skyrocketing copper prices. Market analyst Tony Sycamore from IG noted that the resilience of commodity stocks successfully insulated the local bourse from international weakness. ‘The resilience is largely thanks to the resurgent ASX200 Materials sector, which delivered its third successive fresh record high this week,’ Sycamore stated, highlighting an impressive 8.45 per cent month-to-date gain for the sector. Healthcare heavyweight CSL Ltd. jumped 1.03 per cent, while ResMed climbed 2.42 per cent. The energy sector managed to trade in the green despite a 5 per cent slump in oil prices due to eased geopolitical tensions concerning Iran. All four major banks reversed early losses to finish higher, with ANZ leading the charge with a 2.58 per cent gain. However, the information technology sector faced substantial headwinds, mirroring a sell-off on the tech-heavy Nasdaq. Life360, Xero, and Megaport all fell sharply, dropping between 3.95 and 5.12 per cent. In individual company news, Treasury Wine Estates shares slumped 4.85 per cent following a broker downgrade from Citi. Conversely, respiratory imaging firm 4DMedical soared 5.59 per cent after securing a $150 million institutional placement.

  • Labubu toy manufacturer exploited workers, labour group claims

    Labubu toy manufacturer exploited workers, labour group claims

    A U.S.-based labor rights organization has raised serious allegations regarding working conditions at a Chinese manufacturing facility responsible for producing the globally popular Labubu dolls. China Labor Watch (CLW), a non-governmental organization, claims its investigation revealed concerning labor practices at Shunjia Toys Co Ltd, a Guangdong-based supplier for toy retailer Pop Mart.

    According to CLW’s report, researchers conducted 51 in-person interviews with factory employees, uncovering multiple labor violations. The investigation allegedly found evidence of excessive overtime shifts, problematic contract practices including blank or incomplete agreements, and denial of paid leave entitlements. While no child labor was identified, the report notes the factory employed 16-year-old workers without providing the special protections required under Chinese law for minor employees.

    The factory in Xinfeng County, described as a core manufacturing facility employing over 4,500 workers, also allegedly lacked adequate safety training and protections for workers. CLW emphasized that as an original equipment manufacturer (OEM), the factory operates under pricing and production schedules set by client companies, making brands directly responsible for conditions in their supply chains.

    Pop Mart, the Beijing-based toy company behind the wildly successful Labubu blind box toys, responded to the allegations by stating it is investigating the claims. The company acknowledged receiving the report details and committed to ‘firmly’ requiring corrective actions from suppliers if violations are confirmed. Pop Mart highlighted its existing audit processes, including annual independent third-party reviews conducted by internationally recognized inspectors.

    The Labubu phenomenon has generated global excitement with celebrity endorsements from Kim Kardashian and Blackpink’s Lisa contributing to its massive popularity. The current allegations present a significant challenge to the company’s ethical manufacturing claims as it continues its international expansion.

  • More Australians are ‘job hugging’ as confidence in the job market collapses

    More Australians are ‘job hugging’ as confidence in the job market collapses

    A significant shift is underway in Australia’s employment landscape as economic apprehensions and technological advancements reshape career mobility. According to recent LinkedIn research surveying 2,000 individuals, 59% of Australian professionals intend to remain in their current positions throughout 2026, signaling the emergence of a phenomenon termed ‘job hugging’.

    The comprehensive study reveals that economic instability represents the primary factor driving this employment conservatism, with approximately 70% of respondents acknowledging intensified competition within the job market. Notably, four out of five Australian workers feel inadequately prepared to pursue new employment opportunities, while one-third express specific concerns regarding artificial intelligence’s evolving role in recruitment processes.

    LinkedIn career specialist Brendan Wong observes that Australia’s workforce has transitioned from the ‘great resignation’ era to a period of professional retention. ‘The employment landscape has become increasingly competitive with fewer available positions,’ Wong explained. ‘Concurrently, artificial intelligence is fundamentally reshaping hiring practices and skill requirements.’

    This trend presents unique challenges for employers, as professionals may maintain positions despite dissatisfaction. Wong emphasizes that organizations must address underlying retention factors through upskilling initiatives and internal mobility programs to maintain workforce engagement and productivity.

    The research further indicates AI’s growing influence on employment criteria, with organizations increasingly prioritizing technical proficiency over traditional experience. ‘Artificial intelligence has transitioned from specialized advantage to mainstream necessity,’ Wong noted. ‘Professionals seeking career advancement should develop AI competencies while simultaneously enhancing human-exclusive skills including creative problem-solving, interpersonal communication, and adaptive thinking.’

    Despite prevailing anxieties, the report identifies several expanding professional sectors including AI engineering, artificial intelligence management, and chief risk oversight. Positions supporting infrastructure development and energy transition maintain strong demand, alongside human-centered roles in mental health services and organizational development.

  • S&P Global warns Australian states’ credit ratings are at a 25-year low

    S&P Global warns Australian states’ credit ratings are at a 25-year low

    A stark financial warning has been issued for Australian state governments as they continue COVID-level expenditure patterns, accumulating unprecedented public debt levels. According to a recent analysis by credit rating agency S&P Global, state governments have amassed approximately $660 billion in collective debt, representing 24% of state GDP.

    Martin Foo, a leading analyst at S&P Global, characterized the situation as governments “spending like they’re still in pandemic lockdown,” despite the end of COVID restrictions. The agency reports that combined state cash deficits have ballooned to approximately 16% of revenue in 2025, matching the pandemic lows of 2021.

    The debt trajectory shows alarming growth, with projections indicating state government debt will have roughly tripled between 2019 and 2027. Credit ratings have deteriorated to their lowest point in 25 years, with both New South Wales and Queensland receiving negative outlooks for 2026. The Australian Capital Territory and Tasmania have already been downgraded to AA’ in 2025.

    Foo identified several structural challenges contributing to the fiscal crisis, including contentious public-sector wage negotiations, increasing community demands for entitlement spending, and political resistance to tax increases or economic reforms. While the average state government rating remains at AA+, S&P Global warns of continuing decline without significant fiscal policy adjustments.

    The Northern Territory was notably excluded from these calculations, suggesting the overall Australian state debt situation might be even more substantial than reported. This developing fiscal crisis poses significant challenges for economic stability and future governance across Australia’s states and territories.

  • Lionsoul Global announces strategic partnership with ALTNovel

    Lionsoul Global announces strategic partnership with ALTNovel

    In a significant development for the Middle Eastern financial sector, investment firm Lionsoul Global has entered into a strategic partnership with Abu Dhabi-based ALTNovel Capital Ltd. The collaboration, announced on January 14, 2026, establishes a new framework for sophisticated wealth management that integrates digital assets with traditional investment vehicles.

    The alliance brings together Lionsoul’s digital asset expertise with ALTNovel’s specialized platform focusing on private capital opportunities, data-driven research, and ethical impact investing. This synergy creates a comprehensive ecosystem designed for high-net-worth investors seeking diversified strategies that combine technological innovation with responsible capital deployment.

    George Mouawad, Middle East General Manager at Lionsoul, emphasized Abu Dhabi’s growing prominence as a hub for financial innovation. “This partnership completes our geographic footprint in the UAE and advances our mission to redefine how high-value investors access and manage digital wealth,” Mouawad stated. He highlighted the alignment between both organizations’ commitment to transparency, research excellence, and global impact.

    ALTNovel Founder & CEO Stergios Voskopoulos described the collaboration as a milestone in creating “one of the most advanced platforms for alternative wealth.” The partnership will expand ALTNovel’s digital-asset architecture while reinforcing its institutional-grade infrastructure that connects private markets with digital assets within a globally connected ecosystem.

    The combined offering will provide investors in Abu Dhabi with tailored digital asset strategies, exclusive access to private capital flows, and technology-enabled portfolio tools designed to enhance long-term performance. Notably, the partnership leverages ALTNovel’s global impact network that aligns financial ambition with sustainability and social responsibility principles.

    This strategic move responds to increasing demand among sophisticated investors for integrated approaches that bridge conventional finance with emerging digital asset classes while maintaining ethical investment standards. The collaboration represents the evolving landscape of wealth management in the UAE, where traditional financial structures increasingly incorporate blockchain-based assets and impact-focused investment methodologies.

  • What’s driving marketing capability across the GCC

    What’s driving marketing capability across the GCC

    The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region is undergoing unprecedented economic metamorphosis, with marketing capability emerging as the critical differentiator between ambitious national visions and their practical realization. As nations pursue aggressive diversification strategies beyond hydrocarbon dependence, organizations face mounting pressure to develop marketing functions capable of delivering measurable commercial impact on the global stage.

    Marketing has evolved from its traditional communications role to become the central nervous system of business strategy, directly influencing revenue generation, competitive positioning, and international brand recognition. This paradigm shift demands marketing teams equipped with globally relevant skills, ethical frameworks, and data-driven execution capabilities. The consequence of inadequate marketing investment is clear: ambitious growth strategies falter at implementation.

    Three fundamental drivers underscore the GCC’s marketing capability imperative. First, organizations require demonstrable commercial outcomes aligned with broader business objectives. Second, they must anticipate evolving consumer expectations in increasingly crowded markets. Third, they need to bridge the widening chasm between strategic vision and practical execution through outcomes-focused learning methodologies.

    Tailored development approaches have proven most effective across the region’s diverse organizational landscape. Customized training programs, cross-functional capability initiatives, and long-term learning partnerships enable government entities, SMEs, and multinational corporations to address specific competency gaps while building sustainable marketing excellence roadmaps.

    Strategic partnerships between professional bodies, academic institutions, and government entities are accelerating regional capability development. Programs like the CIM Impact Development Programme, delivered through local partners such as Meirc Training & Consulting, combine global best practices with regional market nuances. These collaborations provide professionals with practical frameworks and continuous development pathways essential in fast-evolving markets.

    The adoption of globally recognized professional standards ensures marketing teams operate with consistent ethical and competency benchmarks while maintaining local market relevance. This balanced approach enables organizations to build confidence in their marketing functions across international operations while navigating the unique challenges of rapidly growing economies.

    Collective capability development represents the most effective approach, with team-based learning fostering collaboration, strengthening strategic alignment, and embedding knowledge organization-wide. This methodology delivers improved efficiency, stronger results, and positive cultural transformation alongside performance enhancements.

    As GCC nations continue their economic transformation journeys, marketing capability investment emerges as the crucial enabler for unlocking growth, strengthening global competitiveness, and delivering lasting value in alignment with both national visions and commercial objectives.

  • Australian Open to inject $600m into Melbourne economy amid record crowds

    Australian Open to inject $600m into Melbourne economy amid record crowds

    Melbourne’s economy is poised for a monumental boost as the Australian Open tennis tournament is projected to deliver an unprecedented $600 million windfall to local businesses. According to newly released data from the National Australia Bank (NAB), this year’s event is expected to surpass last year’s economic impact by a significant 7 to 10 percent margin, establishing new benchmarks for sporting event revenue generation.

    The comprehensive analysis reveals particularly dramatic gains in Richmond’s hospitality sector, where accommodation providers experienced a remarkable 90 percent surge in turnover while restaurant revenues climbed by 18 percent. Similarly, South Yarra witnessed a 50 percent increase in accommodation business and a 17 percent rise in dining establishments’ revenue during the tournament period.

    NAB Executive for Metro Specialized Business Julie Rynski emphasized the event’s evolution beyond tennis, noting that ‘The Australian Open has truly become the ‘Happy Slam’ and is no longer just purely a tennis tournament – it’s a full-blown summer festival.’ The tournament now features world-class matches alongside children’s zones, immersive activations, an extensive live music program, and pop-up restaurants from Melbourne’s premier dining establishments.

    The 2025 tournament already demonstrated massive growth with 1,218,831 attendees throughout the three-week event, substantially exceeding the 2024 attendance of 1,110,657. Preliminary data for the current season shows even more promising numbers, with opening day attendance reaching 29,261 spectators—nearly quadruple last year’s figures—followed by 34,209 and 36,973 attendees on subsequent days.

    Despite the overwhelming positive economic indicators, NAB officials issued warnings about ticket scams targeting enthusiastic fans. ‘Unfortunately, criminals will target tennis fans desperate for tickets. If you see tickets for sale on social media, that’s a major red flag – only buy from authorized resellers,’ Rynski cautioned.

    The Australian Open has now achieved parity with other major Australian sporting events including the Australian Grand Prix and AFL Grand Final in terms of economic impact and cultural significance, cementing its status as a cornerstone of Melbourne’s summer economy.

  • Young Australians costing themselves in retirement with one superannuation mistake

    Young Australians costing themselves in retirement with one superannuation mistake

    A concerning trend of financial disengagement among young Australians threatens to diminish retirement savings by hundreds of thousands of dollars, according to new research from AMP. The study reveals that approximately 25% of Australians have never actively managed their superannuation, while nearly half only review their retirement funds once or twice annually.

    AMP’s Super Director of Growth and Customer Solutions, Julie Slapp, emphasizes that this passive approach represents a significant missed opportunity. “Simple actions like verifying fund details or consulting with providers can substantially enhance financial confidence and maximize the powerful effects of compound returns,” Slapp noted. Research demonstrates that contributing an additional $20 weekly could accumulate to approximately $98,000 over three decades through compounding—a concept that remains misunderstood by more than half of Australians under 40.

    Financial experts warn that this hands-off mentality often results in individuals being placed into default superannuation funds that may not align with their long-term financial objectives. Terry Vogiatzis, Director of Omura Wealth Advisers, explains that default funds typically maintain conservative investment strategies that might inadequately leverage the advantage of extended investment horizons. “While counterintuitive to some, appropriate risk exposure becomes advantageous when investors have decades until retirement. Extended timeframes reduce the probability of negative returns while enhancing predictability of long-term gains,” Vogiatzis elaborated.

    Default superannuation options typically balance growth assets (including shares and property) with defensive instruments (such as cash and bonds). However, younger investors with higher risk tolerance could potentially achieve superior returns through more aggressive growth strategies. Vogiatzis illustrated this using a scenario where a 35-year-old with $75,000 in superannuation contributing $12,000 annually would accumulate $2.4 million at a 7% annual return, but $4.1 million at a 9% return—a difference of $1.7 million.

    The Association of Superannuation Funds of Australia recommends retirement savings targets of $690,000 for couples and $595,000 for singles to maintain comfortable living standards, assuming home ownership. These figures highlight the critical importance of early and engaged superannuation management for long-term financial security.