分类: business

  • ‘Game, set and match’: Huge number of Australians to be smashed on rate hikes

    ‘Game, set and match’: Huge number of Australians to be smashed on rate hikes

    Financial markets are overwhelmingly anticipating another interest rate increase from the Reserve Bank of Australia, potentially delivering another blow to millions of mortgage holders already facing economic pressure. With the RBA’s February 3 meeting approaching, consensus is building around a potential 25-basis-point hike that would push the official cash rate from 3.60% to 3.85%.

    According to Roy Morgan research, such a move could push an additional 41,000 Australian mortgage holders into financial distress, bringing the total to 1.23 million households classified as ‘at risk.’ Should the RBA implement two consecutive rate hikes totaling 50 basis points, that number would surge to approximately 1.32 million mortgage holders, representing 27.2% of all Australian homeowners with mortgages.

    The classification of ‘at risk’ applies when mortgage repayments exceed 25-45% of a household’s after-tax income, factoring in the standard variable rate and original borrowing amount. This financial pressure comes amid concerning inflation data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, which showed headline inflation climbing to 3.8% annually in December, up from 3.4% in November.

    Key drivers of this inflationary surge include electricity prices soaring 21.5% as government rebates were phased out, meat prices experiencing double-digit increases, and services inflation rising to 4.1% annually. Notable contributors to services inflation included domestic holiday travel costs (up 9.5%, partially attributed to the Ashes cricket series) and rising rents increasing by 3.9%.

    Economic opinions remain divided on the appropriate response. Betashares chief economist David Bassanese stated, ‘All up, it appears to be game, set and match for a rate rise at the February policy meeting.’ However, AMP chief economist Shane Oliver advocated for patience, suggesting the RBA should determine whether recent inflation figures represent a temporary fluctuation rather than a sustained trend before implementing further rate increases.

    Oliver explained the mechanism of rate hikes: ‘People have less money to spend, so it may not be the case that local government rates or electricity prices come down because of interest rates but something else will come down because a 25 basis point rise will cost someone with the average mortgage $110 a month.’

  • US Fed keeps interest rate unchanged at 3.5-3.75 pct

    US Fed keeps interest rate unchanged at 3.5-3.75 pct

    The U.S. Federal Reserve maintained its benchmark interest rate within the 3.5% to 3.75% range during its inaugural policy meeting of 2026, signaling a period of strategic pause as economists assess the nation’s economic trajectory. This decision, announced on Wednesday from the Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board building in Washington, D.C., represents a continuation of the central bank’s careful approach to monetary policy following several years of economic turbulence and recovery efforts.

    The rate stabilization comes amid mixed economic indicators, with policymakers carefully balancing concerns about inflation against signs of potential economic softening. The federal funds rate, which influences borrowing costs across the economy including mortgages, credit cards, and business loans, remains at its highest level since the pre-2020 period, reflecting the Fed’s ongoing commitment to price stability.

    Financial markets had widely anticipated this decision, with most analysts predicting the Fed would maintain current rates while gathering additional economic data. The central bank’s statement emphasized a data-dependent approach, noting that future decisions would be guided by incoming information about labor market conditions, inflation pressures, and financial developments.

    This meeting marks the first under the Fed’s 2026 calendar and sets the tone for monetary policy in the coming months. Economists will closely monitor subsequent meetings for signals about potential rate adjustments, with many expecting the Fed to maintain its current stance through at least the first quarter unless economic conditions shift substantially.

  • US Fed holds interest rates, defies Trump tantrums

    US Fed holds interest rates, defies Trump tantrums

    In a decisive move demonstrating institutional independence, the U.S. Federal Reserve maintained its benchmark interest rates unchanged during Wednesday’s policy meeting, keeping the target range for the federal funds rate at 3.50% to 3.75%. This decision comes despite mounting pressure from President Donald Trump, who has repeatedly advocated for more aggressive monetary easing.

    The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) justified its position by pointing to sustained economic stability and persistently low unemployment figures that indicate a resilient economy requiring no immediate intervention. This marks a significant departure from the central bank’s recent trend of monetary accommodation, having implemented rate reductions during each of its previous three policy meetings amid concerns about a cooling labor market.

    Analysts interpret this steady-handed approach as evidence of the Fed’s commitment to data-driven decision-making rather than political considerations. The decision reflects confidence in current economic conditions and suggests policymakers see no imminent threats to the ongoing expansion that would warrant additional stimulus measures.

    The move highlights the ongoing tension between the executive branch and the independent Federal Reserve, illustrating the institution’s willingness to maintain its traditional separation from political influence despite unprecedented public criticism from the White House.

  • Dubai gold prices gain Dh115 per gram in a month after reaching record high globally

    Dubai gold prices gain Dh115 per gram in a month after reaching record high globally

    Dubai’s gold market witnessed an unprecedented rally as prices soared to record-breaking levels, with 24K gold reaching Dh635.5 per gram on Wednesday evening. This represents a remarkable increase of Dh115.5 per gram within the first month of 2026 alone, significantly outpacing the entire year’s performance of 2025 when prices closed at Dh520 per gram on December 31.

    The precious metal’s surge extended across all variants, with 22K, 21K, 18K, and 14K gold trading at Dh588.5, Dh564.25, Dh483.5, and Dh377.25 per gram respectively. The global benchmark spot gold surpassed the psychological $5,300 milestone before settling at $5,288.26 per ounce at 8pm UAE time.

    Financial analysts attribute this historic rally to multiple converging factors. Alex Kuptsikevich, Chief Market Analyst at FxPro, noted that the collapse of the USD index enabled gold to break through the $5,300 barrier for the first time in history. “Precious metals act as politically neutral assets,” Kuptsikevich explained. “They respond to White House policy but maintain independence from the direct influences that affect stocks, bonds, and the US dollar.”

    The current market dynamics reveal a significant shift in investment patterns. According to experts, gold is benefiting from dual capital movements: flight from US assets and simultaneous outflows from the cryptocurrency market. This contradicts earlier expectations that cryptocurrency would thrive under potential pro-crypto policies, instead demonstrating gold’s enduring appeal as a politically independent store of value.

    Vijay Valecha, Chief Investment Officer at Century Financial, emphasized that sustained central bank purchasing, combined with increasing investor preference for non-dollar assets, continues to drive strong underlying demand. Despite potential short-term corrections due to overbought conditions, the fundamental outlook remains bullish amid persistent geopolitical tensions, trade conflicts between the US and NATO allies with Canada, stalled Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations, and ongoing tariff uncertainties.

    Adding to the complex economic backdrop, US consumer confidence has plummeted to multi-year lows, further enhancing gold’s traditional role as a hedge against economic volatility, bond market fluctuations, and inflationary pressures. This convergence of factors has created ideal conditions for gold’s spectacular performance, establishing it as the preferred safe-haven asset during current global uncertainties.

  • Boeing expects India, South Asia to add 3,290 jets over next 20 years

    Boeing expects India, South Asia to add 3,290 jets over next 20 years

    In a significant upward revision of its regional forecast, Boeing has projected that airlines across India and South Asia will require 3,290 new commercial aircraft over the next two decades. This substantial increase from the previous estimate of 2,835 jets reflects the extraordinary transformation of the region into one of the world’s most dynamic aviation markets.

    The aerospace giant attributes this accelerated demand to multiple converging factors: robust economic expansion, rapidly growing middle-class populations, and an unprecedented surge of first-time air travelers. This perfect storm of conditions has created an environment where carriers are aggressively modernizing fleets and expanding capacity while airports undergo comprehensive upgrades.

    According to Boeing’s detailed breakdown, the projected fleet composition reveals 2,875 single-aisle aircraft—the workhorses of regional and domestic routes—alongside 395 wide-body jets destined for international expansion. This strategic allocation underscores the dual growth pattern occurring within the market: intensive domestic network development alongside international route expansion.

    Ashwin Naidu, Boeing’s Managing Director of Commercial Marketing for India and South Asia, emphasized the unique nature of this growth cycle: “While many global aviation markets have reached maturation focused primarily on fleet replacement, India represents the opposite phenomenon—explosive organic expansion that requires both new aircraft and infrastructure development.”

    The company specifically highlighted infrastructure challenges, noting that over 30% of India’s aviation network remains concentrated around Delhi and Mumbai, creating operational bottlenecks that must be addressed to sustain growth. This assessment comes as Boeing itself regains industrial momentum, having delivered the most aircraft in 2025 since 2018 and surpassing Airbus in net orders for the first time in seven years.

    Despite this optimistic outlook, the industry continues to face significant headwinds. Supply chain disruptions persist, limiting manufacturers’ ability to capitalize on strong demand and forcing airlines to allocate substantial resources toward maintaining older aircraft until new deliveries can be completed.

  • First Abu Dhabi Bank posts record Dh21.11b profit as diversified growth powers strong performance

    First Abu Dhabi Bank posts record Dh21.11b profit as diversified growth powers strong performance

    First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB), the United Arab Emirates’ largest financial institution by assets, announced unprecedented financial results for 2025, achieving a historic net profit of Dh21.11 billion. This represents a remarkable 24 percent surge from the previous year, demonstrating the bank’s exceptional operational performance across its diversified portfolio.

    The bank’s extraordinary performance was fueled by robust client engagement, substantial non-interest income expansion, and strategic execution across all business segments. Pre-tax profits soared even higher, climbing 27 percent to reach Dh25.20 billion, while operating income increased by 16 percent year-on-year to Dh36.68 billion.

    FAB’s balance sheet experienced significant growth, with total assets expanding by 16 percent to Dh1.40 trillion. The institution’s lending portfolio grew by 17 percent to Dh616 billion, while customer deposits increased by 7 percent to Dh841 billion. Notably, the bank’s gross non-performing loans ratio decreased to a record low of 2.2 percent, reflecting stringent risk management practices.

    Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan, FAB’s Chairman, emphasized that these results represent “multiple years of consistent progress in building scale, resilience and long-term value.” He highlighted the bank’s expanding global footprint and its role in facilitating international capital flows between the UAE and key growth markets.

    The bank’s international operations demonstrated particularly strong performance, with international loans growing by 35 percent and deposits increasing by 25 percent. FAB’s overseas franchise now contributes 19 percent of group revenue, with significant advancements in Turkey, India’s GIFT City, and landmark transactions in Nigeria.

    Group CEO Hana Al Rostamani attributed the record performance to both operational excellence and the accelerated implementation of the bank’s artificial intelligence strategy. “2025 marked a transformative acceleration in our AI journey,” she stated, referencing the deployment of Microsoft Copilot to all employees and over thirty enterprise-wide agentic AI applications that enhanced productivity and client experience.

    In recognition of this exceptional performance, the Board recommended a record cash dividend of 80 fils per share, totaling Dh8.84 billion – the highest distribution in FAB’s history.

    The bank demonstrated strength across all business units: Investment Banking & Markets revenue grew 16 percent to Dh11.79 billion, Wholesale Banking revenue increased 11 percent to Dh6.40 billion, and Personal, Business, Wealth & Privileged Client Banking delivered 10 percent revenue growth to Dh12.65 billion.

    Non-interest income emerged as a particularly strong performer, surging 36 percent to Dh16.35 billion and accounting for 45 percent of group revenue. Fees and commissions jumped 28 percent, while FX and investment income climbed 40 percent driven by record trading volumes.

    FAB maintained robust liquidity and capital buffers, with a CET1 ratio of 13.3 percent and liquidity coverage ratio of 154 percent. The bank advanced its sustainable finance agenda, facilitating Dh381 billion in sustainable and transition financing – achieving 76 percent of its 2030 target.

    With this strong financial foundation and clear strategic roadmap, FAB enters 2026 positioned to sustain high-quality performance while deepening international connections and scaling AI-driven transformation across its global operations.

  • Emirates NBD Capital gets merchant banking licence in India, first in Middle East

    Emirates NBD Capital gets merchant banking licence in India, first in Middle East

    In a landmark development for cross-border financial services, Emirates NBD Capital has achieved a significant regulatory milestone by obtaining India’s Category I Merchant Banking license from the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI). This authorization establishes the investment banking division of the Middle Eastern financial giant as the inaugural institution from its region to receive such comprehensive licensure, marking a transformative expansion into one of the world’s most dynamic emerging economies.

    The newly acquired license empowers Emirates NBD Capital to deliver an extensive array of investment banking services within the Indian market. These capabilities encompass full-spectrum capital market operations, including serving as merchant banker and bookrunner for equity offerings such as Initial Public Offerings (IPOs), follow-on offerings, and Qualified Institutional Placements (QIPs). Additionally, the institution can now function as an arranger for domestic debt capital market placements, providing comprehensive financial solutions tailored to the unique requirements of the Indian market.

    This strategic advancement enables Emirates NBD Capital India Private Limited, headquartered in Mumbai, to leverage the bank’s formidable regional investor network. This ecosystem includes sovereign wealth funds, global financial institutions, family offices, and ultra-high-net-worth investors across the Middle East, North Africa, and Türkiye (MENAT) region. The license creates a formalized conduit for channeling Middle Eastern capital into India’s equity and debt markets, where regional participation has historically remained limited despite substantial underlying interest.

    Hitesh Asarpota, Chief Executive Officer of Emirates NBD Capital, characterized the development as a pivotal milestone for both the investment banking division and the broader Emirates NBD Group. He emphasized that the expanded capabilities would complement the bank’s existing offerings while delivering enhanced value to clients. Asarpota further highlighted the institution’s strategic positioning to facilitate regional liquidity into Indian capital markets, solidifying Emirates NBD’s role as a gateway for cross-border financial flows.

    The regulatory approval arrives during an exceptional period of activity within India’s capital markets. The year 2025 witnessed approximately $56 billion in equity capital market volumes, with Indian companies raising nearly $20 billion through IPOs alone. This represents the second consecutive year of record-breaking IPO fundraising, positioning India among the world’s most active equity issuance markets. Current projections indicate sustained robust market conditions extending throughout 2026, presenting substantial opportunities for Emirates NBD Capital to engage with both issuers and investors across forthcoming offerings.

    This strategic expansion significantly deepens the already substantial economic and investment relationship between India and the United Arab Emirates. The bilateral partnership has evolved into a comprehensive strategic alliance encompassing trade, investment, infrastructure development, and financial services integration, with Emirates NBD Capital’s entry representing a sophisticated new dimension in financial market connectivity between the two nations.

  • ECOVIS International President Visits UAE, reinforcing the region’s strategic role

    ECOVIS International President Visits UAE, reinforcing the region’s strategic role

    In a significant move highlighting the Middle East’s escalating importance in global professional services, ECOVIS International President Kay conducted a strategic visit to Dubai, hosted by the network’s UAE member firm ECOVIS JRB. The high-level engagement underscores the region’s transformation into a critical hub for quality-driven advisory services amid rapidly evolving regulatory landscapes.

    The visit served as a platform to reinforce ECOVIS International’s commitment to the UAE and broader Middle Eastern markets, which are undergoing profound structural shifts. President Kay emphasized the region’s deliberate transition from historically low-tax, low-regulation environments toward frameworks prioritizing robust governance, transparency, and systematic compliance. This evolution aligns perfectly with ECOVIS’s global positioning as a mid-market professional services network focused on quality and technical depth.

    During intensive meetings with ECOVIS JRB leadership, including founding partners Salman Rafique (Compliance and Assurance) and Rashmi Rajkumar (Tax and Financial Reporting), discussions centered on aligning quality standards and governance frameworks. Kay emphasized that ground-level engagement in the UAE enables deeper strategic alignment as the market matures into a regional center for cross-border advisory coordination.

    The dialogue highlighted fundamental changes in regional compliance expectations. Rafique noted that businesses can no longer treat compliance as a year-end formality, but must implement consistent systems, documentation, and governance throughout the year. Regulators now demand demonstrable substance, clear audit trails, and accountability—a shift requiring significant operational adaptation.

    Rajkumar addressed the transformative impact of the UAE’s Corporate Tax introduction and digital compliance initiatives, including upcoming e-invoicing requirements. She stressed that real-time, accurate accounting has become the foundation for effective tax compliance and audit readiness, making robust internal processes and digital preparedness critical competitive advantages.

    The visit solidifies ECOVIS International’s recognition of the Middle East as a long-term strategic pillar for growth and influence, while reinforcing ECOVIS JRB’s role in guiding businesses through regulatory complexity with clarity and confidence.

  • Amazon to cut 16,000 corporate jobs

    Amazon to cut 16,000 corporate jobs

    Amazon has unveiled plans to eliminate approximately 16,000 corporate positions, marking the technology behemoth’s second significant workforce reduction within a four-month period. The announcement signals a strategic pivot toward artificial intelligence and operational efficiency as the company restructures its organizational framework.

    In an internal communication disseminated to employees on Wednesday, Beth Galetti, Amazon’s Senior Vice President of People Experience and Technology, characterized the cuts as part of a comprehensive initiative to ‘strengthen our organization by reducing layers, increasing ownership, and removing bureaucracy.’ The executive sought to reassure staff that these reductions do not represent an emerging pattern of regular workforce trimming, explicitly stating that recurring broad-scale layoffs are not part of the company’s strategic blueprint.

    This latest workforce adjustment follows the termination of 14,000 corporate roles in October 2025, bringing the total number of positions eliminated since late last year to approximately 30,000. This figure represents roughly 10% of Amazon’s corporate and technology workforce, underscoring the substantial scale of the company’s organizational transformation.

    The restructuring aligns with Chief Executive Officer Andy Jassy’s vision for a leaner corporate architecture following extensive hiring during the COVID-19 pandemic. Jassy has established internal objectives to streamline management hierarchies and cultivate a more agile, startup-like operational culture to foster accelerated innovation.

    Concurrently, Amazon is aggressively reallocating resources toward artificial intelligence development and data center infrastructure expansion. The company projected in October that its capital expenditures would reach $125 billion in 2026, representing the most substantial spending forecast among leading technology corporations.

    Jassy previously indicated in June that technological evolution would inevitably reshape workforce requirements, noting that while certain roles would diminish in necessity, emerging positions would be created to support the company’s evolving strategic priorities, particularly those related to AI implementation and operational optimization.

  • Tesla profits tumble on lower EV sales, AI spending surge

    Tesla profits tumble on lower EV sales, AI spending surge

    Tesla Inc. disclosed a significant 61% decline in fourth-quarter profits, reporting $840 million compared to $2.1 billion a year earlier, as the electric vehicle giant confronts declining sales and substantial investments in artificial intelligence technologies. The earnings report released Wednesday revealed revenues of $24.9 billion, representing a 3.1% decrease year-over-year.

    The financial downturn follows earlier warnings of delivery reductions and reflects multiple challenges including increased restructuring costs, heightened research and development expenditures for AI initiatives, and revenue declines from emission tax credits following policy reversals during Donald Trump’s administration. Tesla’s 2025 auto sales fell by 9%, attributed to intensified market competition and consumer reactions to CEO Elon Musk’s political engagements.

    During an earnings conference call, Musk outlined an ambitious technological transformation, announcing plans to phase out production of Models S and X luxury vehicles while converting Fremont, California plant capacity for humanoid robot manufacturing. The company confirmed a massive capital expenditure budget exceeding $20 billion for 2026, more than double last year’s $8.5 billion investment.

    Musk’s technological optimism was prominently displayed at the World Economic Forum in Davos, where he declared self-driving technology ‘essentially a solved problem’ and predicted widespread robotaxi deployment across the United States by late 2026. However, analysts remain cautious about Tesla’s execution capabilities given previous unfulfilled promises regarding autonomous driving timelines.

    The earnings release included disclosure of a $2 billion investment agreement with Musk’s xAI artificial intelligence venture, signed January 16, with anticipated closure in the first quarter. Despite financial challenges, Tesla shares gained 1.7% in after-hours trading, reflecting investor confidence in the company’s long-term AI transformation strategy.