分类: business

  • China sets a lower economic growth target of 4.5% to 5% for this year

    China sets a lower economic growth target of 4.5% to 5% for this year

    BEIJING — In a strategic move to navigate complex domestic and global economic challenges, the Chinese government has established a flexible growth target range of 4.5% to 5% for the current fiscal year. The announcement was delivered by Premier Li Qiang on Thursday during his keynote address at the inaugural session of the National People’s Congress, the country’s top legislative body.

    This calibrated objective represents a modest downward adjustment from the consistent 5% benchmark maintained over the preceding three years. The decision reflects a pragmatic approach by policymakers confronting a protracted downturn in the real estate sector, persistent external uncertainties, and fluctuating international demand.

    Analysts interpret the introduction of a target band, as opposed to a fixed figure, as a deliberate policy mechanism. It grants authorities enhanced operational flexibility to implement responsive fiscal and monetary measures throughout the year, adapting to evolving economic conditions. The official government work report explicitly framed the goal as aiming for the upper limit of this range, “while striving for better in practice,” signaling an underlying ambition to maximize performance.

    The revised target follows an official economic expansion of precisely 5% in 2023. This new guidance is widely perceived as an effort to balance the dual objectives of sustaining stable development and managing systemic risks, particularly those emanating from the beleaguered property market and trade tensions.

  • World shares are mixed as oil prices climb higher and Iran launches new attacks

    World shares are mixed as oil prices climb higher and Iran launches new attacks

    Financial markets experienced significant turbulence on Thursday as escalating Middle East hostilities triggered a complex interplay between risk aversion and opportunistic buying. While Asian and European indices posted modest gains, U.S. futures declined following Iran’s renewed missile attacks against Israeli and American targets, marking the sixth day of intensified conflict.

    The immediate market impact manifested through energy markets, with Brent crude surging 1.8% to $82.87 per barrel and U.S. benchmark crude jumping 2.1% to $76.31. This oil price spike renewed inflation concerns and created uncertainty about corporate profitability, particularly as Iran threatened further retaliation and religious leaders issued inflammatory statements.

    Asian markets demonstrated remarkable resilience despite the geopolitical backdrop. South Korea’s Kospi staged a dramatic recovery, soaring 9.6% to 5,583.90 after Wednesday’s historic plunge, triggering multiple trading halts as investors sought bargains. The government responded with emergency measures, activating a 100 trillion won ($68.5 billion) financial stabilization package to curb volatility.

    Other regional markets followed suit with Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 advancing 1.9%, Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 rising 0.4%, and Taiwan’s main index gaining 2.6%. In China, the Hang Seng climbed 0.3% as Premier Li Qiang announced a 4.5-5% growth target at the National People’s Congress, alongside a 7% increase in military spending.

    European markets showed cautious optimism with Germany’s DAX rising 0.2%, France’s CAC 40 up 0.3%, and Britain’s FTSE 100 adding 0.4%. This contrasted with U.S. futures, where Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell 0.2% and S&P 500 futures declined 0.1%.

    The dollar strengthened to 157.16 yen, reflecting its status as a safe-haven currency during geopolitical uncertainty. Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management noted that ‘the dollar remains the market’s preferred storm shelter’ during periods of global uncertainty, as capital gravitates toward the deepest liquidity pools.

    Market analysts characterized the previous day’s U.S. rally as a ‘classic relief rally’ rather than a sustained turnaround, with investors remaining cautious about prolonged conflict implications for inflation and economic stability.

  • Trade court orders tariff refunds in setback for Trump administration

    Trade court orders tariff refunds in setback for Trump administration

    In a significant legal development, the US Court of International Trade has mandated Customs and Border Protection to process refunds for tariffs previously imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). The ruling comes weeks after the Supreme Court invalidated these levies, creating substantial financial implications for thousands of American businesses.

    Judge Richard Eaton’s decision establishes that all importers of record subjected to IEEPA duties are entitled to reimbursement. The case originated from a legal challenge by Atmus Filtration, a Tennessee-based filtration company, though the ruling applies broadly to affected importers nationwide.

    The court’s directive represents a notable setback for the Trump administration, which had implemented an estimated $130 billion in tariffs through IEEPA authorities. Major corporations including FedEx have pursued litigation seeking full refunds, while small business coalitions like ‘We Pay the Tariffs’ have welcomed the decision as a landmark victory.

    Concurrently, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent indicated the United States would likely implement a new 15% global tariff this week, replacing the invalidated IEEPA measures. This development follows conflicting statements from President Trump regarding the new rate structure, which originally ranged from 10% to 50% depending on the country of origin.

    The initial tariffs, announced last April as ‘Liberation Day’ measures, triggered extensive trade negotiations as nations sought lower rates through investment commitments and policy changes. The Supreme Court’s rejection of these tariffs last month extended to additional duties imposed on goods from Mexico, Canada, and China.

    Significant procedural questions remain regarding the refund mechanism and the administration’s future trade policy direction. The White House has not yet commented on the court’s ruling.

  • Household spending rebounds as shoppers open wallets after Christmas slump

    Household spending rebounds as shoppers open wallets after Christmas slump

    Australian households have demonstrated a cautious return to spending in January, though not in the manner many economists had anticipated. Official data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reveals a modest 0.3 percent increase in overall consumer expenditure for the month, defying expectations of a more robust post-holiday rebound.

    The composition of this spending, however, tells a more nuanced story. The growth was predominantly driven by essential services, which surged by 0.8 percent. This category was led by increased expenditure on health services and automotive repairs and maintenance—practical necessities rather than luxury items. Meanwhile, discretionary spending saw only a marginal uptick of 0.1 percent, with modest gains in air transport, personal effects, and recreational services.

    A significant divergence emerged between spending on services and goods. Service-oriented consumption rose by 1 percent, bolstered by digital streaming subscriptions and travel agency services. In contrast, goods purchases declined by 0.3 percent, with notable reductions in vehicle acquisitions and recreational goods.

    This January performance follows a volatile holiday shopping season characterized by heavy discounting in October and November 2022, which boosted sales, followed by a 0.5 percent contraction in December. The latest figures fell slightly below projections from major financial institutions including Commonwealth Bank and NAB, both of which had forecast a 0.4 percent increase.

  • Brazil’s Congress ratifies EU-Mercosur trade deal

    Brazil’s Congress ratifies EU-Mercosur trade deal

    SAO PAULO — In a landmark decision, Brazil’s Senate has given unanimous approval to the monumental free-trade agreement between the Mercosur trade bloc and the European Union, signaling a major advancement toward the pact’s implementation. This decisive move follows similar ratification by Brazil’s lower house and positions the agreement closer to realization than at any point in its quarter-century negotiation history.

    The agreement, which would create an integrated market encompassing over 700 million consumers, represents one of the most significant trade partnerships globally. With Argentina and Uruguay having previously ratified the deal, and Paraguay expected to follow shortly, the Mercosur bloc demonstrates unified progress. Bolivia, as the newest Mercosur member, retains the option to join the agreement in subsequent years despite not participating in initial negotiations.

    Brazil, as Mercosur’s dominant economy with a projected GDP exceeding $2.3 trillion by 2025, has been instrumental in advancing the agreement. President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva emerged as a pivotal advocate for the pact, which still requires validation from the European Union’s top court before full implementation.

    European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has repeatedly acknowledged President Lula’s diplomatic efforts in overcoming European opposition. The combined economic power of the participating nations amounts to approximately $22 trillion in GDP, underscoring the agreement’s global significance.

    Despite legal proceedings in Europe, Brazilian officials including Vice President Geraldo Alckmin indicate the agreement could partially take effect within months—a timeline von der Leyen supports. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre characterized the ratification as demonstrating “institutional maturity” and alignment with Brazilian societal interests.

    The trans-Atlantic trade pact, formally signed on January 17 after 25 years of stalemate, faces continued resistance from European agricultural sectors concerned about competitive imbalances. Recent months have witnessed tractor-blocking protests and firework demonstrations by European farmers in Brussels opposing the agreement.

    French President Emmanuel Macron, among the pact’s most prominent critics, has insisted on implementing robust safeguards against economic disruption, enhanced regulatory standards in Mercosur nations regarding pesticide usage, and intensified import inspections at EU ports.

  • Musk tells jury ‘people read too much’ into his posts

    Musk tells jury ‘people read too much’ into his posts

    SAN FRANCISCO – Billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk testified before a California jury on Wednesday, asserting that financial markets overanalyze his social media communications. The testimony forms part of Musk’s defense against allegations that he deliberately manipulated markets through misleading tweets preceding his 2022 acquisition of Twitter.

    Musk characterized his posts following the initial acquisition agreement as “extremely literal” statements rather than tactical maneuvers to renegotiate the purchase price. “I was simply speaking my mind,” Musk stated when questioned about his awareness of the market impact caused by his declaration that the takeover was “on hold.”

    The litigation represents the first courtroom battle stemming from Musk’s $44 billion Twitter acquisition. While Musk has previously defeated legal challenges regarding his social media communications involving Tesla investors and defamation claims, this class action lawsuit initiated by individual investors seeks unspecified monetary damages for alleged financial losses.

    Lead plaintiff Brian Belgrave testified Monday that he sold thousands of Twitter shares in July 2022 based on his interpretation that Musk was abandoning the acquisition. Belgrave liquidated his position below both his original purchase price and the eventual $54.20 per share that Musk paid after Twitter successfully sued to enforce the merger agreement. “I got screwed. I got cheated,” Belgrave told the court.

    Plaintiffs’ attorney Aaron Arnzen presented a theory that Musk employed strategic negotiation tactics comparable to boxing’s “rope-a-dope” technique – intentionally allowing Twitter to exhaust itself to gain bargaining leverage. When questioned about this approach, Musk conceded he “may have” utilized such strategies.

    Throughout Wednesday’s proceedings, Musk initially provided terse responses limited to “yes,” “no,” or “I don’t recall” before later accusing Arnzen of “trying to mislead the jury” through his questioning methodology. Presiding Judge Charles Breyer briefly paused testimony to address the witness before allowing proceedings to continue.

    The trial, expected to span three weeks, also featured testimony from Jared Birchall, head of Musk’s family office, who repeatedly responded to questions about Twitter acquisition discussions with “I don’t recall” – including questions about whether Jack Dorsey served as Twitter’s CEO prior to Musk’s takeover bid. Dorsey had led the company for seven years before stepping down just months before Musk’s acquisition attempt.

  • Higher tariffs likely this week, says US Treasury

    Higher tariffs likely this week, says US Treasury

    The United States is poised to implement a 15% global tariff this week, according to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, following a period of conflicting statements from the Trump administration regarding the precise rate. This new tariff structure is designed to replace the sweeping “Liberation Day” import taxes imposed last year, which were recently invalidated by the Supreme Court.

    The policy confusion originated when the White House, responding to the court’s ruling, initially enacted a 10% levy. This move directly contradicted President Donald Trump’s social media announcement of a 15% rate, creating significant uncertainty among global business leaders and international trading partners. White House officials have since been working to align official documentation with the President’s stated 15% target, while simultaneously downplaying the legal impact of the Supreme Court’s decision.

    To implement the temporary tariff, the administration employed Section 122, an unconventional trade authority that permits the president to declare tariffs of up to 15% without congressional approval for 150 days under specific conditions. The administration has indicated it will pursue more permanent tariff measures using established legal instruments such as Section 301 and Section 232, which target unfair trade practices and national security threats respectively.

    Secretary Bessent expressed confidence that the tariff rates would return to their previous levels within five months. The original “Liberation Day” tariffs, announced in April last year, featured rates starting at 10% and escalating to 50% for certain countries, triggering extensive trade negotiations as nations sought preferential rates through investment commitments and policy concessions.

    The transition to a uniform 10% tariff with some product exemptions eliminated the competitive advantages previously secured by countries like the United Kingdom through bilateral agreements. Business communities have indicated a preference for the structured procedures associated with Section 301 and 232 implementations, which include investigation periods and opportunities for comment, providing more predictability than the administration’s abrupt policy announcements.

    The ongoing tariff uncertainty continues to raise fundamental questions about the future of U.S. trade policy and its impact on global economic relationships.

  • West Coast ports brace for uncertainty after US tariff ruling

    West Coast ports brace for uncertainty after US tariff ruling

    The critical Southern California port complex, America’s primary gateway for trans-Pacific commerce, faces renewed supply chain instability following a landmark Supreme Court decision on tariff authority. The 6-3 ruling determined that the previous administration overstepped its legal powers by imposing extensive tariffs under emergency provisions not intended for such trade measures.

    Port executives at both Los Angeles and Long Beach—which collectively process nearly one-third of US containerized imports—report immediate operational uncertainties despite potential long-term benefits from the judicial intervention. The decision affects approximately two-thirds of tariffs collected under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, totaling roughly $130 billion in duties already paid by importers.

    Chief Executive Noel Hacegaba of the Port of Long Beach acknowledged the paradoxical situation: ‘I hope the ruling brings greater certainty to the supply chain. For now, the only certainty is more uncertainty.’ His port handled 9.9 million twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) last year and anticipates moving at least 9 million containers in 2026, though these projections now require recalibration.

    Gene Seroka, Executive Director of the Port of Los Angeles, highlighted the supply chain’s hypersensitivity to policy changes: ‘Each time there’s a policy statement or adjustment out of Washington, we see immediate stops and starts across the supply chain.’ The nation’s largest container port recorded 10.2 million TEUs last year but began 2026 with a 13 percent year-over-year import decline in January.

    The ruling creates two immediate challenges: unclear refund procedures for previously paid duties and the administration’s announcement of a new 10 percent global tariff without implementation details. Importers of Chinese-connected goods—from electronics components to furniture, toys, and apparel—must now make rapid decisions about shipment timing to potentially avoid tariffs before new measures take effect.

    This development compounds existing trade weaknesses, particularly in exports. The Port of Los Angeles moved only 104,000 export TEUs in January—an 8 percent annual decrease representing its lowest export volume in nearly three years. US containerized exports to China plummeted 26 percent last year, with soybean shipments declining 80 percent at Los Angeles and 90 percent nationwide as Chinese buyers shifted to South American suppliers.

    Despite these challenges, Seroka emphasized China’s enduring importance: ‘China still represents approximately 40 percent of our business, more than two and a half times our next largest trading partner. There is no faster way to get cargo from China to the US than through LA.’ The port executive reaffirmed commitment to longstanding trade partnerships that have defined West Coast maritime operations for decades.

  • Funding for Africa clean energy financing surges despite fewer project approvals

    Funding for Africa clean energy financing surges despite fewer project approvals

    NAIROBI, Kenya — Africa’s premier clean energy financing mechanism is poised for substantial growth, with plans to escalate its funding capacity to $2.5 billion within the next two years. This ambitious expansion signals accelerating momentum behind the continent’s transition to sustainable energy solutions.

    The African Development Bank’s Sustainable Energy Fund for Africa (SEFA) has demonstrated remarkable progress, with contributions surging to $88 million in 2025—a significant increase from $54.3 million the previous year. This upward trajectory reflects renewed investor confidence in Africa’s renewable energy sector, predominantly fueled by support from European Union member nations.

    Joao Duarte Cunha, overseeing the bank’s Renewable Energy Funds Division, revealed the fund’s strategic projections: “Based on our extensive projects pipeline, we anticipate capital mobilization reaching $2.5 billion. By 2030, we expect our portfolio to yield over $10 billion in commercial capital mobilization.”

    The fund’s operational performance has been particularly strong recently, with 27 projects approved over the past two years. In 2024 alone, SEFA sanctioned 14 renewable energy initiatives across Kenya, Nigeria, Burkina Faso, Ethiopia, and Chad. These projects will contribute approximately 840 megawatts of generating capacity and establish 1.5 million new electricity connections.

    Notably, eight of these initiatives were classified as green baseload projects—essential for meeting minimum national energy demands—while two involved green mini-grids and four focused on energy efficiency improvements.

    International support continues to strengthen SEFA’s mission. Germany committed $40.1 million during last year’s COP 30 climate summit in Brazil, while Italy announced a $5.9 million contribution. These investments will advance SEFA’s universal energy access objectives and support its green hydrogen program.

    Kevin Kariuki, Vice President for Power, Energy, Climate and Green Growth at the African Development Bank Group, emphasized SEFA’s growing impact: “SEFA is demonstrating its catalytic value through accelerated approvals, disbursements, and expanding influence across the continent.”

    The fund’s innovative approach extends beyond traditional utility-scale projects. SEFA is actively investing in decentralized energy platforms, including mini-grid developers and private equity funds specializing in distributed energy solutions. Additionally, the organization is piloting new financing mechanisms for clean cooking technologies and commercial bank partnerships.

    Cunha highlighted the fund’s evolving strategy: “Demand for catalytic financing continues to grow exponentially. We remain deeply committed to driving Africa’s energy transition and achieving universal energy access by 2030 through meaningful innovation in the clean energy space.”

  • Africa’s tourism sector records robust growth

    Africa’s tourism sector records robust growth

    Africa’s tourism sector demonstrated exceptional performance in 2025, achieving the world’s strongest growth in international tourist arrivals according to the latest UN Tourism Barometer. The continent welcomed 81 million international visitors, representing an 8% increase from 2024 and outperforming all other global regions including Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Americas, and the Middle East.

    Despite this robust expansion, industry executives are calling for substantial governmental intervention and strategic investments to fully capitalize on the sector’s untapped potential. Andy Payne, CEO of Inzalo Investment Holdings, emphasized tourism’s unique capacity to drive economic transformation and address youth unemployment across the continent. “Tourism is the ultimate solution. Resources are limited. Tourism is unlimited. It can make a massive difference,” Payne stated, highlighting the need for balanced collaboration between private enterprise and public policy.

    Infrastructure development emerged as a critical priority, with MSC Cruises South Africa’s Managing Director Ross Volk identifying transportation integration as fundamental to boosting intra-African tourism. “If we want to compete at a global level, we need to make sure that we have the best,” Volk asserted, pointing to inadequate airline connectivity, underdeveloped railway networks, and insufficient port facilities as major impediments to growth.

    South African Tourism Minister Patricia de Lille underscored the increasingly competitive global landscape, warning that passive approaches would yield limited results. “If we are going to wait for things to fall into our lap, it’s not going to happen. I travel around the world and the competition is stiff,” de Lille remarked, advocating for open skies policies, enhanced flight connectivity, and visa-free travel within Africa.

    Industry leaders unanimously stressed the necessity of long-term, conversion-focused strategies that transcend political transitions. Tshifhiwa Tshivhengwa of the Tourism Business Council of South Africa emphasized the importance of maintaining commitment to development plans despite changes in government leadership. Adriaan Fourie of the Cape Town and Western Cape Convention Bureau added that African nations must adopt sales-oriented approaches, focusing on creating tangible conversion opportunities rather than分散 efforts across less impactful priorities.