A recent nationwide voting poll has delivered a striking shake-up to Australia’s political landscape, with Pauline Hanson’s right-wing insurgent party One Nation reclaiming the position of the nation’s most popular political party by primary vote share. Conducted by research firm Redbridge exclusively for *The Australian Financial Review*, the survey of 1,001 Australian voters captured shifting voter sentiment weeks after the last major national polling, tracking movement across all major Australian political parties.
Per the poll results, One Nation’s primary vote support climbed two percentage points to hit 32%, outstripping the ruling Labor Party, which saw a one-point drop to land at 29%. The center-right Coalition recorded a four-point surge to reach 22% primary support, while the left-wing Green Party shed an equal four points to settle at 10% of the projected primary vote. This result marks only the second time One Nation has outperformed Labor in primary voting polling since May 2024, with the shift falling within the poll’s stated 3.3% margin of error.
While One Nation leads in primary voting, two-party preferred preference modeling reveals conflicting outcomes across different head-to-head matchups. In a direct contest between One Nation and Labor, the incumbent government still holds a lead, though that advantage shrank three points to leave Labor with a narrow six-point lead (53% to 47%). When matched against the Coalition, however, Labor lost its lead: the opposition rose six points to claim a four-point advantage, sitting at 52% to Labor’s 48%.
On the question of preferred prime minister, incumbent Anthony Albanese retained his top position despite sliding approval ratings. Albanese polled at 32% for preferred prime minister, ahead of Pauline Hanson on 24% and new Liberal leader Angus Taylor on 15%. This standing comes despite overall negative sentiment toward the prime minister’s performance: Albanese’s net approval rating fell one point to negative 19. Hanson’s net approval held steady at minus 10, while Taylor’s approval improved three points to reach negative six.
The poll also broke down voter support by the key issues driving electoral choice. Voters ranked cost of living, healthcare, and housing affordability as their top three concerns, with Labor holding small leads on all three. Issues of immigration and crime and safety, ranked fourth and fifth in voter priority, saw One Nation capture the lead in voter support on these policy areas.