标签: Asia

亚洲

  • Could Kim’s teen daughter become North Korea’s next leader?

    Could Kim’s teen daughter become North Korea’s next leader?

    The recent Workers’ Party Congress in North Korea has ignited intense speculation about the nation’s future leadership, shifting attention from Kim Jong Un’s routine nuclear threats toward his mysterious daughter’s political emergence. While the dictator used the platform to reaffirm his commitment to expanding sanctioned weapons programs, the absence of clear succession announcements has fueled analytical debates about 13-year-old Kim Ju Ae’s potential role.

    Intelligence assessments from Seoul suggest Kim has designated his daughter as political heir, though concrete evidence remains elusive. Her increasing visibility in state media—appearing alongside her father during military inspections and strategic meetings—marks a significant departure from North Korea’s traditionally secretive leadership transitions. Analysts note her central positioning in official photographs and the regime’s use of honorific language typically reserved for supreme leaders.

    Cheong Seong-chang, a prominent North Korea watcher at Sejong Institute, interprets these developments as deliberate preparation for hereditary succession. “The state media is cultivating her personality cult using terminology previously exclusive to sitting leaders,” he observes. Her military engagements appear particularly significant, with top generals shown kneeling to communicate with her during parades—a visual narrative designed to establish military credibility.

    However, former North Korean diplomat Ryu Hyun-woo challenges this interpretation, citing the country’s deeply entrenched patriarchy. Despite her Paektu bloodline connection to founding leader Kim Il Sung, Ryu argues that traditional gender norms would prevent female leadership. He describes widespread gender discrimination, including superstitious practices among taxi drivers who consider female passengers bad luck.

    The debate coincides with evolving social dynamics in North Korea. Researcher Song Hyun-jin documents how women gained economic influence during the 1990s famine, eventually rising to management positions and party roles. State television now occasionally shows men performing domestic chores, reflecting gradual social shifts.

    Kim Jong Un’s sister, Kim Yo Jong, recently ascended to propaganda minister, potentially positioning her as a regent figure should juvenile succession occur. This maneuvering suggests the regime is preparing for leadership continuity rather than reform, with analysts expecting any transition to maintain the country’s authoritarian trajectory.

    The attention surrounding Ju Ae may itself serve regime objectives, according to Ryu: “Kim thrives on international speculation about his dynasty—it reinforces his perceived importance on the global stage.”

  • Iran’s regime was built for survival and a long war is now likely

    Iran’s regime was built for survival and a long war is now likely

    The Middle East has descended into open warfare following the targeted assassination of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint US-Israeli military operation. Tehran responded with immediate retaliatory strikes against Israeli and US military installations across the region, marking a significant escalation in longstanding tensions.

    US President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu publicly acknowledged their objective of facilitating regime change in Iran, though the immediate consequences have been widespread conflict rather than political transformation. The assassination represents the most significant blow to Iran’s Islamic regime since the 2020 killing of Qassem Soleimani, though historical precedent suggests the regime possesses considerable resilience.

    Khamenei’s dual role as both political and spiritual leader complicates the succession process. The Assembly of Experts must now convene to appoint an interim or permanent successor, with three primary candidates emerging: Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje’i (head of judiciary), Ali Asghar Hejazi (Khamenei’s chief-of-staff), and Hassan Khomeini (grandson of the republic’s founder).

    The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and paramilitary Basij forces remain firmly committed to regime preservation, having previously demonstrated willingness to suppress domestic dissent through lethal force during the 2025-2026 protests. The regime’s survival apparatus appears intact despite the leadership decapitation.

    Iran’s retaliatory measures have extended beyond direct military strikes to economic warfare tactics. The IRGC has initiated operations to choke the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20% of global oil and 25% of liquefied gas transit daily. This strategic maneuver threatens severe disruptions to worldwide energy markets and economic stability.

    International responses have highlighted the conflict’s global implications. China, Russia, and United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres have condemned the US-Israeli actions and called for de-escalation, though diplomatic solutions appear increasingly remote. The attacks occurred amid ongoing nuclear negotiations that Omani mediators described as nearing successful resolution.

    Analysts suggest the conflict may extend for weeks rather than days, with both sides demonstrating willingness to cross previously established red lines. The Trump administration appears to be using the confrontation to assert continued US global dominance, while Netanyahu seeks to cement Israel’s regional hegemony.

    The humanitarian consequences are expected to be severe, with Iranian civilians, regional stability, and global economic interests all facing significant collateral damage from what observers characterize as a war of choice for geopolitical advantage.

  • Which senior Iranian figures have been killed by US-Israeli attacks?

    Which senior Iranian figures have been killed by US-Israeli attacks?

    A coordinated military offensive by the United States and Israel has resulted in a catastrophic decapitation of Iran’s political and military hierarchy, with casualties estimated in the hundreds. The most significant loss confirmed by Iranian state media is the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who had governed the Islamic Republic since 1989. A state television broadcaster, visibly emotional, announced that the 86-year-old cleric “achieved his long-cherished wish of martyrdom in the holy month of Ramadan.” Several members of his immediate family, including his daughter, son-in-law, daughter-in-law, and granddaughter, were also reported killed.

    The assault extended far beyond the supreme leader, systematically eliminating the upper echelons of Iran’s security apparatus. Among the high-profile casualties is Mohammad Pakpour, Commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC); Ali Shamkhani, Secretary of the Defence Council and a key nuclear negotiator; and Amir Nasirzadeh, the nation’s Defence Minister. Abdolrahim Mousavi, Chief of Staff of the Armed Forces, was also killed, continuing a pattern of targeting military successors.

    Israeli military spokespersons claimed responsibility for eliminating a wider circle of senior officials, though these reports await independent verification. According to intelligence sources cited by major news outlets, the operation was based on meticulously gathered intelligence. The New York Times reported that the CIA had been monitoring Khamenei’s movements for months and recently identified a high-level meeting at a leadership compound in Tehran. This intelligence was subsequently shared with Israeli forces, who launched a simultaneous multi-target strike. CBS News, citing intelligence sources, placed the death toll among officials at approximately 40.

    The list of presumed deceased includes Mojtaba Khamenei (a son and potential successor to the supreme leader), Esmail Qaani (head of the IRGC’s Quds Force), and several heads of military intelligence and research agencies. In the wake of this power vacuum, Iranian state media announced that interim governance would be transferred to a three-member council consisting of President Masoud Pezeshkian, Judiciary Chief Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Ejei, and jurist Alireza Arafi. The scale and precision of the strikes mark an unprecedented escalation in the ongoing shadow conflict between the powers, potentially reshaping the geopolitical landscape of the Middle East.

  • 6 killed in Iranian missile attack in Israel’s Beit Shemesh: rescue service

    6 killed in Iranian missile attack in Israel’s Beit Shemesh: rescue service

    A residential neighborhood in Beit Shemesh, located west of Jerusalem, became the target of a devastating Iranian missile attack on Sunday, resulting in significant casualties. According to Zaki Heller, spokesperson for Israel’s Magen David Adom rescue service, the assault claimed six lives and left at least 23 individuals injured.

    The attack represents a significant escalation in ongoing regional tensions, with Iranian forces launching missile barrages in response to prior military actions by the United States and Israel. Emergency personnel were immediately dispatched to the impact site, working tirelessly to extract victims from the debris and provide critical medical assistance to the wounded.

    Beit Shemesh, typically a quiet residential community, has now become the latest flashpoint in the intensifying conflict between the two nations. The strike on civilian infrastructure marks a concerning development in the military exchanges that have recently escalated between Iran and Israel.

    The international community continues to monitor the situation closely as tensions in the region reach new heights, with concerns growing about potential further retaliation and the broader implications for Middle Eastern stability.

  • Israelis unite across political divides in support of ‘justified’ war against Iran

    Israelis unite across political divides in support of ‘justified’ war against Iran

    Tel Aviv’s streets transformed into scenes of urgent preparation Saturday morning as air raid sirens sent residents scrambling—some toward bomb shelters, others loading children and belongings into vehicles to evacuate. This latest escalation with Iran has created what locals describe as a ‘new war routine’ in Israeli life, simultaneously familiar and unprecedented.

    Despite underlying fears, the conflict has generated remarkable national cohesion, temporarily bridging Israel’s deep political divisions. Orly Hareuveny, a physiotherapist and self-described leftist, sheltered from missile explosions while explaining to Middle East Eye that war has become an intrinsic part of Israeli existence—’the same as the weather is for people in England.’ Though traditionally supporting Palestinian coexistence, she views the current conflict as ‘very justified,’ characterizing Iranian leadership as ‘enemies of the world’ whose threat parallels historical persecution.

    The national consensus appears overwhelming. Central Israeli couple Osnat and Haiem (using pseudonyms) asserted that ‘everyone in Israel agrees that this war should happen,’ citing October 7th as demonstrating existential threats to Zionism. Media commentary reflects this unity, with prominent writer Ben-Dror Yemini declaring the conflict a ‘war of commandment’ representing both moral duty and national necessity.

    Even typically oppositional figures have rallied behind military action. Yair Golan of the left-wing Democrats party emphasized giving ‘full backing’ to military forces, while centrist leader Yair Lapid declared ‘no coalition and no opposition, only one people.’ Only Ayman Odeh, representing Palestinian citizens, offered dissent, noting Israel contained ‘fifty shades of militarism.’

    Political commentator Meron Rapoport confirmed widespread support, referencing polls showing half of Israelis favored striking Iran regardless of diplomatic outcomes. The conflict is widely rationalized as a ‘pre-emptive attack’ against an ‘existential threat,’ though Rapoport acknowledged underlying public fear and trauma from recent conflicts. Reports suggest military leadership has privately warned of potentially devastating consequences while publicly maintaining silence about risks.

    As Haaretz documented via Instagram, Israelis have adapted to what they term ‘coffee and arak in the parking lot’—maintaining casual routines amid emergency protocols. Yet beneath this surface normalcy, hundreds remain displaced from previous conflicts, with many suffering lasting psychological trauma, indicating the profound human cost of Israel’s perpetual war footing.

  • Israel’s military confirms Khamenei killed in operation by Israeli Air Force

    Israel’s military confirms Khamenei killed in operation by Israeli Air Force

    In an unprecedented military escalation, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have officially confirmed the successful execution of a high-profile operation resulting in the death of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. The targeted airstrike, conducted on Sunday, directly hit Khamenei’s central leadership compound in Tehran, according to an official military statement.

    The operation, characterized by Israeli authorities as one of the most complex intelligence-driven missions in recent history, eliminated the long-serving Iranian leader who had governed the Islamic Republic since 1989. The precision strike was carried out by the Israeli Air Force utilizing advanced capabilities and was guided by what the IDF described as ‘exceptionally accurate intelligence assets.’

    Initial reports indicate that the targeted facility served as Khamenei’s primary office and command center, where he was reportedly meeting with several senior Iranian officials at the time of the attack. The confirmation marks a significant escalation in the ongoing regional tensions between the two Middle Eastern powers and represents the most dramatic development in the conflict to date.

    The operation’s success demonstrates Israel’s capability to penetrate deep into Iranian territory and execute precision strikes against highly secured locations. Military analysts anticipate substantial geopolitical repercussions across the region, with potential implications for global security dynamics and Middle Eastern power structures.

  • Israel closes Rafah crossing and all other checkpoints in the West Bank and Gaza Strip

    Israel closes Rafah crossing and all other checkpoints in the West Bank and Gaza Strip

    In a significant escalation of movement restrictions, Israeli authorities implemented a comprehensive closure of all crossings and barriers throughout the occupied West Bank and Gaza Strip on Saturday. This security measure coincided with the commencement of joint military operations by Israel and the United States targeting Iranian assets.

    The Israeli Coordinator of Government Activities in the Territories (COGAT), the military body governing Palestinian civilian matters, announced the indefinite shutdown of all transit points including the critical Rafah crossing. The directive permits exceptions solely for Palestinians holding pre-approved ‘essential worker permits,’ which would be processed through designated terminals.

    Despite COGAT’s assertion that the Gaza closure wouldn’t exacerbate humanitarian conditions, immediate consequences emerged across the territories. In the West Bank, approximately 1,000 barriers and iron gates separating Palestinian communities were sealed, stranding hundreds of travelers. Many were compelled to sleep in vehicles or seek temporary shelter with relatives, while others faced arduous detours that transformed routine 45-minute commutes into multi-hour ordeals.

    The Palestinian Education Ministry responded to the mobility crisis by transitioning all academic institutions to remote learning, acknowledging the impossibility of students and educators reaching campuses. Medical services faced severe disruption as ambulance crews experienced significant delays in patient transfers, particularly affecting those requiring dialysis and other critical treatments.

    The Karameh border crossing connecting the West Bank with Jordan was similarly shut down, trapping numerous Palestinians including returning Umrah pilgrims. Anas Hreibat from Hebron described his family’s grueling 24-hour wait under difficult conditions with elderly relatives before being granted limited re-entry.

    Concurrently, Israeli forces implemented closures at major religious sites including Jerusalem’s Al-Aqsa Mosque and Hebron’s Ibrahimi Mosque, forcibly evacuating worshippers and installing metal barriers—a security protocol previously enacted during June’s conflict with Iran.

    According to activist Bashar al-Qaryouti, these measures represent an established Israeli policy of imposing collective punishment through movement restrictions during security emergencies. He warned that prolonged closure could precipitate humanitarian disaster by severing aid and food supplies to vulnerable populations.

    In Gaza, the Rafah crossing’s closure—just one month after reopening following a two-year shutdown—further tightened the siege on over two million residents. Ismail al-Thawabta, director of the Gaza Government Media Office, condemned the action as illegal collective punishment under the Fourth Geneva Convention that directly endangers civilian lives by blocking medical access for thousands of wounded and ill Palestinians.

  • UK says Iran nearly hit British troops, won’t rule out participation in strikes

    UK says Iran nearly hit British troops, won’t rule out participation in strikes

    British military personnel faced imminent danger as Iranian missiles landed merely 200 meters from their position in Bahrain, Defense Secretary John Healey revealed in a Sunday BBC interview. The close call occurred amid escalating regional hostilities, with approximately 300 UK personnel exposed to Iranian drone and missile attacks.

    Healey characterized Iran as an increasingly indiscriminate threat, stating that Iranian missile commanders appear to possess expanded autonomy in target selection. While confirming UK non-involvement in recent US-Israeli operations against Iran, the Defense Secretary deliberately avoided ruling out future British participation in offensive strikes.

    The conflict spectrum widened with two missiles directed toward Cyprus, where RAF Akrotiri serves as a critical surveillance hub for regional operations. Although not specifically targeted, the Cyprus incident demonstrates Iran’s expanding reach across the Middle East. RAF Typhoons are currently engaged in defensive operations countering Iranian attacks.

    Prime Minister Keir Starmer emphasized Britain’s commitment to protecting national interests and allies in accordance with international law. However, political divisions emerged as Green Party leader Zack Polanski expressed grave concerns about potential UK involvement in what he termed an ‘illegal war,’ urging immediate de-escalation.

    Strategic military assets including joint UK-US facilities on Diego Garcia place bomber aircraft within 5,300km of Iran, though Britain reportedly restricted American use of this base for offensive operations. Additional UK airbases in Qatar, UAE, Oman, and Cyprus remain potential Iranian targets, with Shahed-136 kamikaze drones possessing sufficient range to threaten these installations.

    The Labour government faces mounting political pressure should Iran directly attack British bases, potentially forcing involvement in retaliatory strikes despite current diplomatic reservations.

  • How Iran erupted with screams and cheers as news of Khamenei’s killing hit the streets

    How Iran erupted with screams and cheers as news of Khamenei’s killing hit the streets

    The reported death of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on Saturday has triggered a profound and visible schism across Iranian society, revealing a nation caught between starkly opposing emotional poles. The event, attributed to US and Israeli airstrikes, instantly fractured the public sphere into scenes of spontaneous celebration and deep mourning, underscoring the decades of polarization under his 37-year rule.

    In western Tehran’s Ekbatan district, a historic epicenter of anti-regime dissent, residents erupted in cheers moments after news broke. Described by local resident Maryam as a spontaneous reaction to a dictator’s demise, the celebrations mirrored long-suppressed anger from the 2022 ‘Woman, Life, Freedom’ protests. Simultaneously, in the religious stronghold of Mashhad—Khamenei’s birthplace—unprecedented scenes unfolded as citizens distributed sweets and danced in traffic, with young women disregarding mandatory hijab laws in a powerful symbolic defiance.

    Conversely, organized pro-establishment rallies mobilized by Sunday morning, with state-backed groups chanting for ‘severe revenge’ against the US and Israel. Supporters like Ali expressed grave concerns about a fractured future, viewing Khamenei as a unifying force whose absence threatens national stability. This institutional response highlighted the regime’s preparedness to channel grief into renewed nationalist fervor.

    Amid the polarization, a third voice emerged—that of pragmatic caution. Citizens like Mohammad and Bahareh articulated fears of state collapse, drawing parallels to protracted conflicts in Syria and Libya. They warned against optimistic assumptions of democratic transition, predicting instead a descent into civil strife or an even more authoritarian successor regime determined to maintain power through intensified violence. This perspective reflects deep anxiety about foreign intervention and its capacity to dismantle complex governmental structures without ground forces.

    The underlying narrative reveals a nation at a historic inflection point, where decades of internal repression, international isolation, and generational dissent collide with geopolitical ambitions. The contrasting public reactions not only illustrate Khamenei’s divisive legacy but also foreshadow the immense challenges in navigating Iran’s subsequent political transformation, where the aspirations of a liberated populace confront the grim realities of revolutionary aftermath.

  • Obituary: Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s Supreme Leader and dominant political figure for decades

    Obituary: Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s Supreme Leader and dominant political figure for decades

    In a seismic development for Middle Eastern geopolitics, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed Saturday in a coordinated US-Israeli aerial assault, abruptly concluding his four-decade dominance over Iranian political and religious life. The 86-year-old cleric had governed as Iran’s ultimate authority since 1989, steering the nation through profound internal transformations and confrontational foreign policies.

    Khamenei’s ideological journey began within a clerical family in April 1939. He pursued religious education in Mashhad and Najaf seminaries before returning to Qom for advanced studies under prominent theologians including Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini. During the 1960s-70s, Khamenei engaged in underground resistance against Shah Pahlavi’s regime, enduring repeated imprisonment and torture by the SAVAK secret police.

    The 1979 Islamic Revolution catapulted him into leadership roles, including positions on the Revolutionary Council, parliamentary membership, and deputy defense ministership. His political ascent nearly ended in 1981 when an assassination attempt by the Forqan Group left his right arm permanently paralyzed. Following the simultaneous assassinations of President Raja’i and Prime Minister Bahonar that same year, Khamenei won the presidency with 95% support in an uncontested election.

    Khamenei’s presidency coincided with Iran’s devastating eight-year war against Saddam Hussein’s Iraq, during which he cultivated anti-American rhetoric at international forums including the UN General Assembly. The 1989 demise of Ayatollah Khomeini created a leadership vacuum that Khamenei filled despite his self-professed inadequacy as a “minor seminarian.” Constitutional revisions subsequently emphasized political acumen over religious credentials for the leadership position.

    His tenure witnessed constant tension between conservative and reformist factions. Initially collaborating with President Rafsanjani, Khamenei later countered President Khatami’s liberalization attempts and openly supported Ahmadinejad’s controversial 2009 re-election, triggering the Green Movement protests. The Supreme Leader consistently attributed domestic unrest to foreign interference, particularly following the 2022 Mahsa Amini protests and 2025 economic demonstrations.

    Khamenei’s foreign policy legacy includes the nuclear negotiations that produced the 2015 JCPOA, which he later denounced as proof of American untrustworthiness after Trump’s 2018 withdrawal. His most significant regional project—the “Axis of Resistance” uniting Hezbollah, Hamas, Houthis, and Syrian allies—began disintegrating following Israel’s 2023 Gaza offensive, the 2024 assassination of Hassan Nasrallah, and Syria’s regime collapse. This deterioration enabled Israel’s direct strikes culminating in the June 2025 homeland conflict and ultimately Khamenei’s assassination.