分类: world

  • UK vows to tackle antisemitism ‘emergency’ as police probe double stabbing attack

    UK vows to tackle antisemitism ‘emergency’ as police probe double stabbing attack

    LONDON – In the wake of a fatal terror stabbing last year and a double stabbing that left two Jewish men seriously injured this week, the British government formally declared antisemitism a national emergency on Thursday, committing £25 million ($34 million) to boost security at Jewish community sites across the country.

    The latest violent incident unfolded Wednesday in Golders Green, a northwest London neighborhood widely recognized as one of the hubs of British Jewish life, home to dozens of synagogues, Jewish schools, and kosher businesses alongside diverse Asian and Middle Eastern communities. Two men, aged 34 and 76, were stabbed in the attack; both remain in stable condition as of Thursday.

    Counterterrorism police took a 45-year-old suspect into custody on suspicion of attempted murder, and have officially classified the stabbing as a terrorist act. Law enforcement officials confirmed the suspect, who has not been publicly identified, has a documented history of severe violence and mental health conditions. Detectives executed a search warrant at a property in southeast London Thursday, following reports the suspect was involved in a local altercation in the area hours before the Golders Green attack. Investigators are still working to confirm a definitive motive, and are assessing unverified claims of responsibility and potential links to Iranian-backed proxies.

    The stabbing is also being examined for possible connections to a recent string of arson attacks targeting synagogues and other Jewish sites across London, which began after the outbreak of the Iran war on February 28. No injuries have been reported in the arson incidents, and multiple suspects ranging from teenagers to people in their 40s have been arrested and charged in connection with the attacks. A little-known group calling itself Harakat Ashab al-Yamin al-Islamia (Islamic Movement of the Companions of the Right) has claimed responsibility for the arsons online, and also claimed the Golders Green stabbing. Israeli officials describe the group as a newly formed militant organization with ties to an Iranian proxy, which has also carried out synagogue attacks in Belgium and the Netherlands. Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood noted Thursday that authorities are still working to determine whether the group’s claim is legitimate or an opportunistic false claim of responsibility.

    For the British Jewish community, which numbers roughly 300,000 people – less than 0.5% of the UK’s total population – this recent violence marks the latest escalation in a surge of antisemitic activity that began nearly two years ago. Data from the Community Security Trust (CST), a charity that monitors antisemitism and protects Jewish communities, shows reported antisemitic incidents jumped from 1,662 in 2022 to 3,700 in 2025, a surge that followed the October 7, 2023, Hamas attack on southern Israel and the subsequent Gaza war. The violence reached a deadly peak in October 2025, when an attacker drove a vehicle into a crowd gathered outside a Manchester synagogue on Yom Kippur, fatally stabbing one person; a second person died during the response after being inadvertently shot by police.

    The sharp rise in antisemitic hostility has ignited fierce political debate over the role of widespread pro-Palestinian protests held across the UK since the Gaza war began. While the vast majority of these demonstrations have remained peaceful, many Jewish community members and political leaders argue that some rhetoric and chants used at the protests – most notably the slogan “From the river to the sea, Palestine will be free” – cross the line from criticism of Israeli policy to open incitement of antisemitic hatred. A small number of protesters have been arrested for openly expressing support for Hamas, which is classified as a banned terrorist organization in the UK.

    Jonathan Hall, the UK’s former independent reviewer of terrorism legislation, has publicly called for a temporary ban on large pro-Palestinian marches, arguing that the demonstrations have created an environment that “incubates” antisemitic violence. Kemi Badenoch, leader of the opposition Conservative Party, has backed the call for a ban, claiming the protests are routinely used as cover for violence and intimidation targeting Jewish communities.

    Speaking Thursday, Mahmood emphasized that the government is treating the current antisemitism crisis as a top national security priority. “I am treating antisemitism as an emergency – it is the top pressing issue in relation to security that I face,” she said. The new £25 million security funding will be used to expand visible police patrols and upgrade physical protection at synagogues, Jewish schools, and Jewish community centers across the UK. In addition to the new security investment, the government announced Thursday it will introduce new legislation to allow prosecution of individuals and groups that operate on behalf of state-sponsored terrorist organizations, a move widely seen as targeted at Iranian-linked groups operating in the UK.

  • Iran defies Trump’s blockade as oil prices soar

    Iran defies Trump’s blockade as oil prices soar

    A escalating maritime confrontation between the United States and Iran has sent shockwaves through global energy markets, pushing oil prices to their highest levels in four years and raising urgent fears of wider regional destabilization. The standoff, which began after the US imposed a naval blockade on Iranian ports in mid-April, has been amplified by Iran’s continued control over the strategic Strait of Hormuz — a chokepoint through which roughly one-fifth of the world’s daily oil supplies pass — a leverage Tehran has held since the outbreak of regional war in February.

    In an official statement released Thursday, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian issued a blunt rebuke of the US blockade, calling the action a violation of international law and warning it would fail to achieve Washington’s goals. “Any attempt to impose a maritime blockade or restrictions is contrary to international law… and is doomed to fail,” Pezeshkian said, adding that the measure would only undermine long-term security across the Persian Gulf.

    The tough rhetoric comes as former President Donald Trump, who has overseen the tightening of the blockade, signaled this week that the pressure campaign will remain in place for months to force Tehran to abandon its nuclear program. Speaking to news outlet Axios, Trump claimed Iranian officials were “choking like a stuffed pig” and that conditions would worsen for the country under the blockade. Two unnamed sources familiar with US planning also confirmed to Axios that Trump was set to receive a briefing Thursday from Admiral Brad Cooper, head of US Central Command (CENTCOM), on potential new military actions targeting Iran.

    CENTCOM reinforced the blockade’s progress in a social media post Wednesday, announcing it had diverted the 42nd commercial vessel attempting to bypass the restrictions. The command estimates that 41 oil tankers carrying a total of 69 million barrels of Iranian crude — worth more than $6 billion — have been stranded and cannot be sold on global markets.

    The standoff has already delivered a sharp shock to energy markets: Brent crude for June delivery jumped 7.1 percent this week to top $126 per barrel, reaching a four-year high that has raised costs for consumers worldwide.

    Both sides face mounting domestic and international pressure to de-escalate. Trump is grappling with growing domestic discontent over the ongoing regional conflict, which has driven up energy costs for American households, is unpopular with large swathes of his own political base, and has strained relationships with key US allies. For Iran, the prolonged pressure has hammered the national economy, pushing the Iranian rial to record lows against the US dollar. Ordinary Iranians expressed widespread despair over the ongoing standoff and repeated cycles of confrontation in comments to AFP. “Every time in recent years that negotiations have taken place, the economic situation of the people has only gotten worse. Sanctions have either started or intensified,” a 52-year-old anonymous architect told AFP. “The issue is always nuclear. There’s no talk about people, the economy or freedom. People have the right to not even want to hear the word ‘negotiation,’” he added.

    Diplomatic efforts to ease tensions have hit repeated snags in recent weeks. Top US officials including Vice President JD Vance have twice had planned trips to Pakistan for talks with Iranian representatives called off over the past week. US officials acknowledge they are struggling to identify a clear authoritative voice for Iran after Israeli strikes killed a series of top Iranian leaders, leaving power split between the increasingly powerful hardline Revolutionary Guards and civilian diplomatic bodies.

    Tehran has offered to ease its chokehold on the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for the US lifting its blockade and opening broad negotiations, but the Trump administration has refused to compromise, demanding that any talks center on rolling back Iran’s nuclear program. Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, a key political figure since the war began, framed the US blockade as an intentional attempt to fracture Iranian society and trigger domestic collapse.

    The confrontation has spilled over into neighboring Lebanon, where a shaky ceasefire between Israel and Iran-backed Hezbollah has been fraying in recent days. The Lebanese army confirmed that an Israeli strike wounded two of its soldiers on Tuesday, marking the first attack on Lebanese military personnel since the ceasefire extension, followed by a second strike Wednesday that killed one Lebanese soldier. Lebanese President Joseph Aoun called for full implementation of the ceasefire to open the door for diplomatic talks, noting that “Israel must finally realise that the only path to security is through negotiations.”

    A new UN-backed report released Wednesday warned that the ongoing conflict has pushed more than 1.2 million people in Lebanon into acute food insecurity, highlighting the growing humanitarian toll of the regional crisis.

  • Activists say Israel has intercepted their Gaza aid flotilla near Crete, detaining crews

    Activists say Israel has intercepted their Gaza aid flotilla near Crete, detaining crews

    In an operation that has reignited global debate over Israel’s 18-year blockade of the Gaza Strip, Israeli security forces intercepted dozens of activist vessels from the Global Sumud Flotilla, a humanitarian mission aiming to deliver aid to the blockaded Palestinian enclave, overnight between Wednesday and Thursday. The interception took place roughly 1,000 kilometers (over 600 miles) from Gaza, in international waters near the southern Greek island of Crete, with all crew members on the stopped vessels detained.

    The Global Sumud Flotilla first launched earlier this month from Barcelona, Spain. Organizers originally announced that more than 70 vessels and 1,000 participants from dozens of countries would join the mission, with additional ships joining the convoy as it traveled east across the Mediterranean Sea. By mid-morning Thursday, ship tracking data published on the activist group’s website confirmed that 22 vessels had been intercepted, while 36 other craft remained en route. Israel’s Foreign Ministry announced in a post on the social platform X that it would transfer the roughly 175 detained activists from more than 20 intercepted boats to Israeli territory.

    This interception comes less than 12 months after Israeli authorities foiled a previous attempt by the same activist coalition to reach Gaza. In an official statement responding to the operation, the group called Israel’s action a dangerous and unprecedented escalation, labeling the detainment of civilian activists hundreds of kilometers off Gaza’s coast as an abduction carried out in full view of the international community.

    The background to this confrontation stretches back to 2007, when Israel and Egypt imposed a graduated blockade on Gaza after Hamas seized control of the territory from rival Palestinian factions. Israeli officials justify the blockade as a critical security measure to prevent Hamas from smuggling weapons into the enclave, but human rights critics argue that the restriction amounts to collective punishment of Gaza’s 2 million civilian residents.

    International pushback against the interception was swift. Turkey’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs condemned the seizure of the flotilla as an act of piracy in an official statement Thursday, noting that Israel had violated core humanitarian principles and international law by targeting a mission focused on drawing global attention to the humanitarian catastrophe facing Gaza’s civilian population. The ministry added that Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan had held a phone call about the raid with his Spanish counterpart, Jose Manuel Albares Bueno, to coordinate diplomatic responses.

    Local activists in Greece have also called out Athens for its lack of response to the interception, noting that the operation unfolded within the maritime search and rescue responsibility zone assigned to Greece, yet the Greek coast guard took no action. Demonstrators planned a protest rally for Thursday afternoon outside the Greek Ministry of Foreign Affairs in central Athens to voice their anger.

    The interception comes amid a fragile six-month ceasefire that has paused the most intense phase of the Israel-Hamas war that began in October 2023. The conflict erupted when Hamas-led militants launched a cross-border incursion into southern Israel that killed roughly 1,200 people, most of them civilians. Retaliatory Israeli military operations in Gaza have killed more than 72,300 Palestinians since the war began, according to Gaza’s Hamas-run Health Ministry, whose casualty tracking is widely regarded as reliable by United Nations agencies and independent analysts. Even with the ceasefire in place, the ministry reports that more than 790 Palestinians have been killed by Israeli attacks across the enclave.

    Even after months of paused active fighting, most of Gaza remains in ruins, with 2 million residents facing acute shortages of food, clean water, and essential medicine. Only a limited volume of humanitarian aid is allowed to enter Gaza through a single border crossing controlled by Israeli authorities. Flotilla organizers emphasized that their mission aims to refocus global public attention on the ongoing humanitarian crisis in Gaza, particularly as international media and diplomatic focus has recently shifted to escalating tensions between Israel and Iran.

    The 2024 interception mirrors a similar confrontation last year, when the Global Sumud Flotilla attempted to breach the blockade. Last year’s mission included high-profile participants such as Swedish climate activist Greta Thunberg, and all participating vessels were ultimately intercepted, seized, or turned away even after one craft crossed the 12-nautical-mile boundary marking Gaza’s territorial waters. After the 2023 operation, detained activists claimed that Israeli authorities physically abused them during detention, claims that Israeli officials have repeatedly denied. All participants were eventually arrested, detained, and deported after last year’s attempt.

  • ‘Piracy’: Israel raids Gaza-bound aid flotilla off Greek coast

    ‘Piracy’: Israel raids Gaza-bound aid flotilla off Greek coast

    In an operation that has ignited international condemnation over its scope and location, Israeli naval commandos carried out a raid late Wednesday on a fleet of Gaza-bound humanitarian aid vessels, intercepting the craft hundreds of nautical miles from the blockaded Palestinian enclave in international waters off the Greek island of Crete.

    The mission, organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla — a coalition of humanitarian and activist groups that describes this year’s expedition as the largest coordinated civilian maritime effort to break Israel’s 16-year siege of Gaza — confirms that at least 15 small vessels were boarded and seized during the operation. The organization says all people on board are currently held by Israeli forces, with communication cut off to multiple boats, and has described the detainees as “abducted.”

    Israeli officials have pushed back on this framing, confirming via the Foreign Ministry that approximately 175 activists from more than 20 intercepted vessels are now in Israeli custody. According to the Global Sumud Flotilla’s official account, after Israeli forces boarded the vessels, they systematically disabled critical on-board systems before withdrawing, leaving dozens of activists stranded on dead-in-the-water craft directly in the path of an oncoming major storm. The group detailed that raiding forces destroyed vessel engines and navigation equipment, jammed all communications to prevent coordinated distress calls or requests for emergency assistance, and abandoned the civilians in dangerous open ocean conditions.

    Witness accounts from activists on the flotilla note that the confrontation began shortly before the raid, when unmarked military speedboats approached the civilian vessels, identified themselves as Israeli units, and trained laser targeting devices and semi-automatic firearms on the people on board, ordering all activists to get on their hands and knees while communications equipment was disabled.

    In a formal statement released after the raid, Global Sumud Flotilla organizers denounced the operation as an act of open piracy committed far beyond any recognized Israeli territorial boundary. “This is the unlawful seizure of human beings on the open sea near Crete, an assertion that Israel can operate with total impunity, far beyond its own borders, with no consequences,” the statement read. “No state has the right to claim, police, or occupy international waters. Yet, that is exactly what Israel has done, extending its regime of control outward, occupying the Mediterranean Sea off the coast of Europe.”

    The expedition set sail from southern Europe earlier this month, with an estimated 58 vessels carrying roughly 1,000 international activists and hundreds of tons of desperately needed humanitarian aid bound for Gaza. The goal of the mission is to challenge the Israeli blockade that has turned the 365-square-kilometer enclave into what the United Nations has called the world’s largest open-air prison, and deliver life-saving aid that has been blocked from entering via land crossings.

    Israeli officials have celebrated the raid as a successful enforcement of its blockade policy. Danny Danon, Israel’s ambassador to the United Nations, posted on social media platform X praising the operation: “Another provocative flotilla was stopped before reaching our area. Our brave IDF soldiers are acting with professionalism and determination dealing with a group of delusional attention-seeking agitators.” In an audio communication to the flotilla documented by activists, an Israeli soldier claimed the blockade of Gaza qualifies as a “lawful maritime security blockade” and that any attempt to breach it constitutes a violation of international law.

    This raid marks the farthest distance from Gaza’s shore that Israeli forces have ever intercepted a Gaza-bound aid flotilla, with the operation taking place roughly 600 nautical miles from the enclave’s coast. Previous interceptions of similar activist missions have been carried out much closer to Gaza’s territorial waters. The operation comes amid a catastrophic ongoing humanitarian crisis in Gaza that has followed Israel’s 2023 military campaign, which has killed at least 72,500 Palestinians, left an additional 8,000 people missing and presumed dead under rubble, and has destroyed most of the enclave’s housing, hospitals, and educational infrastructure. Famine has already been declared in multiple northern Gaza governorates by global food security agencies, and even after a temporary ceasefire agreement, Israel has maintained sweeping restrictions on aid entry that have left the crisis largely unresolved.

  • Royal recruits boost volunteers as the Netherlands builds up its military reservists

    Royal recruits boost volunteers as the Netherlands builds up its military reservists

    Deep in a forested training ground in eastern Netherlands, a company of Dutch reserve infantrymen slip silently between tree trunks, their faces streaked with camouflage paint and Colt C7 rifles held ready. Sweeping their surroundings for simulated hostile threats, the weekend exercise is far more than routine training: it is part of a sweeping national push to expand the Netherlands’ armed forces, one that mirrors a continent-wide military build-up reshaping European defense policy amid growing geopolitical tension.

    The Dutch government and military leadership have set an ambitious target to grow active and reserve personnel from 80,000 today to 120,000 by 2035, a plan that has earned cross-party political backing across the political spectrum. The expansion of reserve forces is a core pillar of this strategy, and the initiative has gotten an unexpected boost from the country’s royal household: Queen Máxima and her eldest daughter, Princess Amalia, the heir to the Dutch throne, have enlisted as volunteer reservists. Images of Máxima training at a shooting range have circulated globally, creating what Dutch defense officials have dubbed the “Amalia effect,” a surge in public interest that has left recruiters grappling with a welcome but unprecedented challenge.

    Dutch Defense State Secretary Derk Boswijk confirmed the phenomenon in an interview with the Associated Press. “It’s really a thing, yes. It’s very inspiring to see how members of our royal family inspired people to join our armed forces,” he said. Currently, the Netherlands counts roughly 9,000 active reservists, with a target of at least 20,000 by 2030. Today, “We have more applications than we can handle,” Boswijk noted, adding that the military is now working overtime to address bottlenecks: limited training capacity, insufficient housing for new recruits, and backlogs in issuing essential gear from uniforms to firearms. Even so, Boswijk calls it a “luxury problem” for a force that long struggled with low public engagement.

    The Dutch recruitment push is not an isolated effort. Across Europe, nations are expanding and modernizing their militaries in response to two defining shifts in global security: the ongoing grinding war in Ukraine launched by Russia, and growing uncertainty over the long-term commitment of the United States to the NATO alliance, the foundation of European collective defense since the end of World War II. European Union and NATO officials have warned that Russian President Vladimir Putin could be prepared to launch an attack on another European nation within three to five years if he secures victory in Ukraine, prompting NATO to update its defense plans to require allies to prepare for large-scale conventional conflict, with a focus on agile, rapidly deployable forces.

    Many European nations are adjusting their recruitment models to meet new force requirements. Germany is considering a proposal to improve pay, training, and service flexibility for short-term recruits, avoiding a full revival of conscription suspended in 2011 but leaving the door open to limited compulsory service if voluntary enlistment falls short. France, like the Netherlands, is leaning into voluntary expansion: a new program launching in September will recruit 3,000 18 to 25-year-olds for 10-month uniformed service across metropolitan and overseas France, with a target of 50,000 new volunteers annually by 2035.

    In northern and eastern Europe, where the threat of Russian aggression is felt most acutely, many nations have retained or reintroduced conscription. Finland requires all male citizens to complete military service while allowing voluntary service for women. Sweden reinstated gender-neutral partial military service in 2017, holding a lottery to fill remaining slots if voluntary enlistment is insufficient. Denmark uses a similar system, and Latvia revived its draft in 2023 in direct response to Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

    The Netherlands has never formally abolished conscription, but call-ups have been suspended since 1997, and the government has no plans to revive the policy. Instead, defense officials are working to make military service attractive to a far broader cross-section of Dutch society, recognizing that modern threats extend far beyond traditional battlefields into cyberspace and digital infrastructure. “We need all kind of skills, to keep our society, our country, our allies safe,” Boswijk said. “So, yes, we need also people wearing hoodies, having blue hair, who can game perfectly.”

    For many new Dutch recruits, shifting global insecurity and lessons from national history are key motivations. Lisette den Heijer, a prospective reservist, recalled the lessons she learned in primary school about the 1940 Nazi invasion of the Netherlands, which saw the country conquered in just five days. “I don’t want history to repeat itself,” she said at a recent information session for new volunteers. A private first class in the 10th Infantry Battalion, who spoke anonymously due to his civilian work in the defense sector, noted a clear shift in training priorities over the last half-decade. “So where we were just focused on peaceful operations in 2018, we’re now more focusing on protecting vital infrastructure,” he said, pointing to his recent deployment as part of the massive security operation for the 2024 NATO summit in The Hague.

    A female corporal in the reserve battalion, who also spoke on condition of anonymity, echoed that observation. “When I first joined, there was almost no risk or almost no threat … and now it’s changing so we are more aware of it,” she said. That shift has pushed a change in mindset toward “more what we call ‘green things,’ infantry things,” she added, “We are here to defend our country and to make sure to keep the threat down.”

    Under current Dutch rules, reserve personnel commit just 300 hours of service annually, mostly through regular weekend training exercises. Traditionally, reservists are tasked with securing domestic critical infrastructure, supporting national emergency responses such as flood control sandbag operations, and are not deployed to overseas combat missions. On the recent weekend exercise in the eastern Netherlands, the reserve unit’s mission wrapped up successfully after the team rooted out a hidden simulated enemy combatant from a camouflaged foxhole. Exchanging high-fives after the exercise, the reservists broke down their camp and prepared to return to their civilian lives, ready to answer the call if their country needs them.

  • Christchurch mass killer loses bid to overturn conviction

    Christchurch mass killer loses bid to overturn conviction

    Nearly seven years after the deadliest terror attack in New Zealand’s modern history, the country’s Court of Appeal has dealt a final blow to the white supremacist perpetrator’s attempt to overturn his convictions and life-without-parole sentence.

    Brenton Tarrant, a 35-year-old Australian-born extremist, is currently serving the remainder of his life behind bars with no possibility of release for the 2019 Christchurch mosque shootings that left 51 Muslim worshippers dead and another 40 injured. The attack, carried out at two separate mosques — Al Noor Mosque and Linwood Islamic Centre — was partially live-streamed by Tarrant to his followers on fringe online platforms, marking a shocking moment of white supremacist violence that rippled across the globe.

    Tarrant originally pleaded guilty to all counts of murder and attempted murder in 2020, avoiding a prolonged public trial that would have forced survivors and victim families to relive the trauma of the attack. In his appeal, heard over a week-long session in February this year, Tarrant argued that his prison conditions at the time of his guilty plea amounted to “torturous and inhumane” treatment, which left him unable to make rational, legally sound decisions. He further claimed that he entered his guilty plea while in an irrational, compromised mental state, and asked the court to throw out both his convictions and his sentence.

    On Thursday, a three-judge panel of the Court of Appeal released a unanimous ruling rejecting Tarrant’s appeal in its entirety. The court wrote that the core facts of Tarrant’s crimes are “beyond dispute”, and that his legal arguments were “utterly devoid of merit”. Judges found that Tarrant’s claims of compromised mental capacity and coercive prison conditions were inconsistent on their face and unsupported by witness testimony, concluding that he had never been coerced or pressured to enter a guilty plea. “He has not identified any arguable defence, or indeed any defence known to the law. We have also rejected his claim that his guilty pleas were the product of him having an irrational state of mind induced by his prison conditions,” the ruling read.

    For family members of the attack’s victims, Thursday’s ruling brings a long-awaited sense of closure after months of renewed trauma triggered by the appeal process. Aya al-Umari, who lost her older brother Hussein in the shootings, told the BBC she felt “pleased and relieved” by the court’s decision, and welcomed the confirmation that justice had been upheld. “I was confident that there were no solid grounds for the appeal, and the decision today confirms that,” al-Umari said. She added that while she had hoped the original sentencing would bring an end to the legal process and allow her and other families to begin healing, the appeal forced survivors to revisit the darkest moments of their trauma. “Hearing the outcome today really gives that reassurance and comfort around the right processes being followed,” she said.

    Beyond the legal proceedings, the 2019 Christchurch attack sparked sweeping policy change across New Zealand. Within one month of the shootings, the country’s parliament passed legislation by an overwhelming majority to ban military-style semi-automatic weapons and key components used to modify prohibited firearms. The government also launched a large-scale gun buy-back scheme, offering financial compensation to owners who turned in newly outlawed weapons in a bid to reduce the country’s overall firearm stock.

    Records of the case show Tarrant, who was born in New South Wales, Australia, relocated to New Zealand in 2017. Prosecutors have confirmed he began planning his attack on the country’s Muslim community shortly after moving. In the hours before he carried out the shootings, Tarrant posted a 74-page manifesto online that laid out his violent white supremacist and anti-Muslim ideology, and he had long engaged with far-right extremist communities on fringe online platforms.

  • Once on the back foot, Myanmar’s military now looks set to resume offensive in bloody civil war

    Once on the back foot, Myanmar’s military now looks set to resume offensive in bloody civil war

    Just 14 months ago, Myanmar’s military junta found itself on the brink of strategic collapse in the country’s brutal ongoing civil war. An alliance of veteran ethnic militias had pushed junta forces out of vast territories in northern Myanmar, while pro-democracy guerrilla groups and long-standing opposition factions forced the military into defensive positions across nearly every other region of the country. Today, that dynamic has flipped dramatically, reshaping the trajectory of a conflict that has displaced millions and killed tens of thousands since the 2021 military coup.

    Fueled by a massive expansion of its ranks from tens of thousands of newly conscripted troops, the Tatmadaw – Myanmar’s official military – has clawed back significant swathes of territory it lost in 2023, and is now positioning to launch a broad new national offensive. In contrast, the anti-junta resistance movement has been crippled by key defections, internal factional infighting, and crippling supply shortages that have weakened its operational capacity across multiple front lines.

    “I think we’re nearing a crescendo here where the Tatmadaw is going to reassert itself and the large-scale organized resistance movement is going to peter out,” explained Morgan Michaels, a Singapore-based analyst with the International Institute of Strategic Studies who leads the organization’s Myanmar Conflict Map project. “That doesn’t mean scattered armed resistance will disappear entirely – armed resistance will always continue in Myanmar until there’s a comprehensive, negotiated political solution. But the Tatmadaw has retaken the strategic initiative, and every major development now plays to its advantage.”

    Five years of continuous conflict – a timeline that stretches back to the immediate aftermath of the 2021 coup that ousted the elected civilian government of Aung San Suu Kyi – has left both anti-junta fighters and the general public deeply war-weary. The conflict has claimed more than 8,000 civilian lives and forced more than 3 million people to flee their homes, according to UN estimates. “There are many saying that the local population doesn’t care much who will win the war, but just want the fighting to stop,” noted Aung Thu Nyein, a Myanmar-based political analyst who currently works in neighboring Thailand, in an interview with the Associated Press.

    Beyond internal fatigue, the resistance has also been undermined by shifting geopolitical pressure from China, which holds massive economic and strategic stakes in Myanmar. Myanmar is a critical supplier of rare earth elements and other key natural resources to Beijing, which has invested billions of dollars in cross-border infrastructure including oil and gas pipelines, mines, and connectivity projects. China is also one of the Tatmadaw’s two largest arms suppliers, alongside Russia, and maintains significant influence over ethnic paramilitary groups that operate along the Sino-Myanmar border.

    Initially, Beijing supported the major October 2023 anti-junta offensive launched by the Three Brotherhood Alliance, a coalition of three ethnic armed organizations (EAOs), because it was angered that the military government had allowed rampant transnational organized crime to spread in border regions. But that support quickly evaporated: China cut off all arms and ammunition supplies to the alliance and pressured its members to halt offensive operations. Today, two of the alliance’s three core members – the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army and the Ta’ang National Liberation Army – have signed Chinese-brokered ceasefires with the Tatmadaw, leaving only the Arakan Army still active in combat in western Rakhine State.

    The anti-junta resistance is split between two broad blocs: the long-standing ethnic minority EAOs that predate the 2021 coup, and newer pro-democracy People’s Defense Forces (PDFs) that formed after the coup, most of which are affiliated with the National Unity Government (NUG), a shadow administration formed by ousted members of Suu Kyi’s National League for Democracy. Resistance leaders warn that persistent divides between these groups have left them vulnerable to the Tatmadaw’s renewed momentum.

    “Although there is a shared understanding of the need to overthrow the military dictatorship and move toward a future federal union, there are still gaps and differences in overall grand strategy and tactics,” said the Burma Liberation Democratic Front, a pro-democracy resistance group active in Sagaing and Mandalay regions, in a written statement to AP. “There are still differences in positions, perspectives, and approaches. Many continue to hold onto ethnic, regional, and organizational interests and attachments.” The group added that the Tatmadaw is actively exploiting these rifts, pursuing a classic divide-and-conquer strategy to fuel divisions between the public and revolutionary forces, across ethnic lines, and between separate resistance factions.

    On the political front, the Tatmadaw has recently consolidated its international standing, most notably after holding a contested general election earlier this year. The election was widely dismissed by UN experts and Western governments as neither free nor fair, with all major opposition candidates barred from running, but it allowed junta leader Min Aung Hlaing – the senior general who led the 2021 coup – to be sworn in as president earlier this month, adding a veneer of democratic legitimacy to his authoritarian rule. China, which publicly supported the election, was quick to congratulate Min Aung Hlaing and dispatched its foreign minister for an in-person meeting just days after his inauguration. The election also freed up thousands of troops who had been deployed to provide poll security, allowing the Tatmadaw to reallocate those forces to front-line combat operations, Michaels noted.

    One of Min Aung Hlaing’s first acts as president was to announce a new offer of peace talks to all armed resistance groups, including both EAOs and PDFs, though the NUG was deliberately excluded from the invitation. The NUG immediately rejected the offer, denouncing it as a tactic to prolong military rule. The junta’s offer, published in the state-run *Global New Light of Myanmar*, set a July 31 deadline for groups to join talks, and included a caveat that resistance groups may not bring “unrealistic demands” to the negotiating table. No details were provided on consequences for groups that refuse the invitation, and the junta did not respond to requests for comment from AP.

    Even as it extends the offer of talks, the Tatmadaw has continued to press offensive operations across multiple fronts. It is currently conducting a large-scale assault in Sagaing Region aimed at retaking the northern city of Indaw, which fell to PDF forces backed by the Kachin Independence Army last year. At the same time, the military remains on the defensive in eastern Myanmar, where the Karen National Liberation Army is advancing on a key junta stronghold near the Thai border.

    Analysts say Min Aung Hlaing’s peace offer is likely an attempt to revive the decade-old Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement, which brought relative calm to parts of Myanmar by signing on roughly half of the country’s EAOs. For now, however, incremental, localized ceasefires appear to be the junta’s immediate goal. “In the short term if you can agree to ceasefires with some groups, then you can redirect your resources toward other groups that are either unwilling to agree to a ceasefire or that the Tatmadaw is unwilling to agree to a ceasefire with,” Michaels explained. “The Tatmadaw can always accept some degree of opposition and, in fact needs some level of active armed resistance to justify its rule and justify its behavior. But the current level of widespread armed resistance across the country is not tenable for the junta.”

  • US charges Mexican governor and other leaders with aiding drug cartel

    US charges Mexican governor and other leaders with aiding drug cartel

    In an unprecedented move that has rattled U.S.-Mexico relations, federal prosecutors in New York unveiled a sweeping indictment Wednesday charging Rubén Rocha Moya, the sitting governor of Mexico’s Sinaloa state, with conspiring with the notorious Sinaloa Cartel to smuggle massive volumes of narcotics into the United States. Rocha Moya, a member of Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum’s ruling political party, is one of 10 current and former Mexican government officials named in the case, which also includes a sitting senator, a high-ranking police commander, a mayor, and other former public servants.

    The indictment, issued by the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Southern District of New York, alleges that the group abused their positions of public trust to protect Los Chapitos, one of the dominant warring factions of the Sinaloa Cartel, in exchange for millions in bribes and political backing for their careers. Sinaloa state, where Rocha Moya serves as governor, is the historic birthplace and base of operations for the Sinaloa Cartel, which the U.S. government has formally designated as a terrorist organization.

    “The Sinaloa Cartel is not just trafficking deadly drugs, it is a designated terrorist organization that relies on corruption and bribery to drive violence and profit,” DEA Administrator Terrance Cole said in a statement announcing the charges. “These public officials used positions of trust to protect cartel operations, enabling a pipeline of deadly drugs into our country.”

    U.S. Attorney Jay Clayton echoed that sentiment, emphasizing that transnational drug trafficking networks depend on institutional corruption to operate unimpeded. “As the indictment lays bare, the Sinaloa cartel, and other drug trafficking organisations like it, would not operate as freely or successfully without corrupt politicians and law enforcement officials on their payroll,” Clayton said.

    Rocha Moya has forcefully and categorically rejected all allegations against him, framing the indictment as a political attack not just on his person, but on the ruling party’s signature domestic policy project, known as the Fourth Transformation. “This attack isn’t only against me, it’s against the Fourth Transformation,” Rocha Moya wrote in a post on the social media platform X.

    The charges have already triggered a sharp pushback from the Mexican government. In an official statement released shortly after the indictment was made public, Mexico’s foreign ministry said the arrest and extradition requests submitted by the U.S. Embassy lack sufficient evidentiary basis, noting that the documents “do not include the elements of proof” required to proceed with the requests. Mexican authorities have launched an independent internal review to assess whether the U.S. allegations hold legal merit, a process that will be overseen by the country’s Attorney General’s office, which will make the final determination on extradition if formal requests move forward.

    Attorney general spokesperson Ulises Lara confirmed the domestic probe in a video posted to social media, stating that the review would determine “if the accusation made by U.S. authorities has legal grounds.”

    Legal and foreign policy experts note that the indictment of a sitting sitting governor from Mexico’s ruling party is an extremely rare development in bilateral relations, and it creates a major diplomatic challenge for President Sheinbaum, who took office recently. The charges also mark the latest escalation in an aggressive anti-cartel strategy launched by the Trump administration targeting both drug trafficking networks and the official corruption that enables their operations. Sinaloa Cartel has been locked in a violent internal power struggle between competing factions for years, a conflict that has sent shockwaves through northern Mexico and contributed to record drug overdose deaths in the U.S. tied to fentanyl trafficking.

  • Countries end Colombia fossil fuel summit with focus on next steps and financing

    Countries end Colombia fossil fuel summit with focus on next steps and financing

    On Wednesday, a groundbreaking international conference focused on phasing out fossil fuels drew to a close in the Caribbean coastal city of Santa Marta, Colombia, marking a historic shift in global climate policy conversations. For the first time in three decades of formal climate negotiations, delegates from 56 countries gathered to directly address the question of how to wind down oil, gas, and coal production — the primary driver of anthropogenic global warming — rather than debating whether such a transition is necessary. What began as an exploratory dialogue has laid the foundation for ongoing global cooperation, with financing for developing nations emerging as the most pressing obstacle to a just, widespread transition.

    The gathering brought together a diverse cross-section of stakeholders beyond national government negotiators, including climate advocates, financial experts, Indigenous community leaders, youth representatives, and subnational authorities. Unlike formal United Nations climate conferences (known as COPs), which are often rigid and marked by pre-negotiated positional stances, participants described the Santa Marta meeting as having an unusually open, collaborative atmosphere. Former Irish President Mary Robinson, a leading voice for climate justice, noted that the tone of dialogue set this gathering apart from traditional UN talks, with participants engaging in more human, cooperative problem-solving rather than sticking to inflexible official lines.

    Prior global climate negotiations have long centered on cutting end-use emissions rather than targeting the root of the climate crisis: fossil fuel extraction and production itself. This landmark meeting reoriented the conversation to tackle the full scope of the transition, including coordination between fossil fuel producing and consuming nations, support for workers shifting out of fossil fuel sectors, and managing the broader economic impacts of winding down production. While the conference did not produce legally binding commitments, it delivered tangible initial outcomes: agreements for ongoing cross-country collaboration, the establishment of dedicated working groups focused on financing and just labor transitions, and renewed momentum for future global negotiations to coordinate a coordinated fossil fuel phaseout.

    Discussions repeatedly centered on financing as the single most urgent barrier to progress. Many low- and middle-income nations in the Global South face unsustainable debt burdens, high global borrowing costs, and limited access to affordable capital for renewable energy development, even as renewables have become cheaper than fossil fuels in most parts of the world. Tzeporah Berman, founder and chair of the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative, explained that many developing countries are pushed to expand new fossil fuel projects solely to service their existing debt, trapping them in a cycle of dependency that is incompatible with climate action. Participants also highlighted how restrictive domestic fiscal policies and structural inequities in the global financial system slow transition progress, noting that traditional macroeconomic responses to inflation can inadvertently hamper investment in the clean energy transition. Ana Toni, CEO of the upcoming COP30 hosted by Brazil, called for greater engagement from finance ministers to develop targeted solutions to the fiscal challenges of the transition.

    The conference also forged a new, inclusive alliance that brings together major economies and the world’s most climate-vulnerable nations, a dynamic that participants said has been missing from many prior climate efforts. While the U.S. federal government was not invited — organizers framed the gathering as a space for nations already aligned on the goal of phasing out fossil fuels — a senior official from California attended as an independent observer, noting that clear policy and regulatory certainty is critical to unlocking private sector investment for the transition.

    Indigenous participants raised important questions about inclusive decision-making, noting that Indigenous communities have long been frontline stewards of forest ecosystems that absorb carbon, but their knowledge and voices are often sidelined in global climate processes. Patricia Suárez, an adviser to the National Organization of Indigenous Peoples of the Colombian Amazon, emphasized that any just transition must center Indigenous territorial rights and acknowledge the critical role these communities play in addressing the climate crisis, while calling for meaningful representation in all upcoming transition initiatives.

    In a moment that drew resounding applause from delegates, attendees announced that the next fossil fuel transition conference will be co-hosted by Tuvalu, a low-lying Pacific island nation extremely vulnerable to sea-level rise, and Ireland. The pairing of a climate-vulnerable developing state and a wealthy developed European nation reflects a deliberate effort to bridge global divides in perspective and responsibility for the transition. Tuvalu’s Minister of Home Affairs, Climate Change and Environment Maina Vakafua Talia noted that hosting the conference will highlight the lived, on-the-ground impacts of fossil fuel emissions, and that future talks will prioritize delivering concrete, actionable outcomes rather than non-binding statements. “If we are to address the climate change issue, we have to address the root cause, and the root cause is the fossil fuel industry,” Talia said, adding that delegates are eager to put concrete solutions and actionable steps on the table at the next gathering.

    Senior policy observers noted that the conference signals a growing global appetite for moving beyond broad climate pledges to targeted, practical action on the core driver of climate change. “Santa Marta has delivered something valuable: a genuine demonstration that climate action remains a priority, and real appetite for specific solutions,” said Vance Culbert, senior policy adviser at the International Institute for Sustainable Development, adding that the initiative will help give the global fossil fuel transition a more coherent, powerful foundation.

  • New Zealand court rejects appeal by mosque gunman to abandon his guilty pleas

    New Zealand court rejects appeal by mosque gunman to abandon his guilty pleas

    WELLINGTON, New Zealand – In a ruling that brings renewed closure to survivors and grieving families of the 2019 Christchurch mosque attacks, New Zealand’s Court of Appeal has dismissed white supremacist Brenton Tarrant’s bid to reverse his guilty pleas on charges of terrorism, murder, and attempted murder.

    Tarrant, a 35-year-old Australian national, carried out one of the worst mass shootings in New Zealand’s modern history in March 2019. Targeting two Christchurch mosques during Friday prayers, he opened fire with semiautomatic weapons, killing 51 Muslim worshippers and wounding dozens more. He streamed the attack live online and published a lengthy manifesto detailing his violent white supremacist ideology under his real name.

    In March 2020, Tarrant entered guilty pleas to all charges against him, a decision that spared the nation the trauma of a prolonged high-profile trial that many feared would give the extremist a platform to amplify his hateful rhetoric. On Thursday, a three-judge panel rejected Tarrant’s latest claim that harsh prison conditions had forced him to enter the guilty pleas against his will, noting first that the appeal was filed a staggering 505 days after the statutory deadline.

    During a five-day hearing held in February, Tarrant, who has since dismissed his original legal team, also argued that his guilty pleas were the product of “irrationality” caused by poor mental health, claiming he had temporarily abandoned his racist views at the time of the plea deal. The three judges on the panel uniformly rejected this argument, finding Tarrant’s accounts of mental illness to be inconsistent and unsupported by evidence from prison staff, independent mental health professionals, and his former legal representatives.

    In their written ruling, the judges emphasized: “He was not suffering from a mental impairment or any other form of mental incapacity which rendered him unable to voluntarily change his pleas to guilty. He endeavoured to mislead us about his state of mind in a weak attempt to advance an appeal in circumstances where all other evidence demonstrated that he made an informed and totally rational decision to plead guilty.”

    The ruling also revealed an unusual procedural twist: shortly after Tarrant presented his case at the February hearing, he attempted to abandon the appeal himself. Judges rejected that request, noting that the case carried profound public importance and required a final, formal resolution. Court documents suggest Tarrant made the move to drop the appeal after recognizing his argument was unlikely to succeed, but New Zealand law does not require courts to allow appellants to withdraw a pending appeal once proceedings are underway.

    Tarrant is currently serving a life sentence without the possibility of parole at Auckland Prison, a sentence handed down in August 2020. The Court of Appeal did grant Tarrant’s request to abandon a separate planned appeal of his life sentence, which had been scheduled for hearing in 2026.

    Court records confirm that Tarrant relocated to New Zealand from Australia in 2017, already planning the mass attack. He spent nearly two years accumulating weapons and conducting surveillance on the target mosques before carrying out the shooting. At the time of his guilty plea, he acknowledged the overwhelming weight of evidence against him, including the self-filmed livestream of his attack and his own publicly released manifesto laying out his racist motivations. Thursday’s ruling closes another chapter in the aftermath of the attack, preventing a retrial that would have re-traumatized victims and their families.