分类: business

  • Asian stocks fall on US-Iran impasse, AI setbacks

    Asian stocks fall on US-Iran impasse, AI setbacks

    On Wednesday, most major equity markets across Asia closed in negative territory, as investors reacted to two interconnected sources of market uncertainty: a stalled diplomatic breakthrough between the United States and Iran that threatens regional peace, and fresh disruptions that have cooled the red-hot global artificial intelligence boom.

    Tensions between Washington and Tehran have reached a new impasse in recent days, with both sides refusing to budge on negotiating positions and issuing repeated threats to end their current ceasefire. On Tuesday, Iran’s top negotiator stated that the US must accept Tehran’s latest peace proposal, or talks will collapse entirely. This comment came hours after former US President Donald Trump warned that the existing truce in the Middle East was on the verge of breaking down. While neither side has signaled a willingness to return to full-scale open conflict, the deadlock has spooked global investors already jittery about the impact of regional tension on energy supplies.

    All eyes are now turning to Beijing, where Trump is scheduled to land Wednesday for his first visit to China in almost a decade. The former president has already indicated that Iran will top the agenda for his expected extended talks with Chinese President Xi Jinping, leaving markets waiting for any potential diplomatic breakthrough that could ease regional tension.

    Across Asian trading hubs, the bearish sentiment was widespread on Wednesday. Benchmark indices in Hong Kong, Shanghai, Taipei, Sydney, Bangkok, Manila and Kuala Lumpur all closed lower. Indonesia’s benchmark index tumbled nearly two percent, as the national currency rupiah plunged to an all-time low against the US dollar.

    The US-Iran standoff had already sent global energy costs soaring, after commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz — a critical chokepoint that carries roughly one-fifth of the world’s total global oil supplies — came to a near-complete halt. Oddly, oil prices actually edged lower in early Asian trading on Wednesday: international benchmark Brent crude fell 0.6 percent to trade at $107.13 per barrel, while US benchmark West Texas Intermediate dropped 0.5 percent to settle at $101.63 a barrel.

    Beyond Middle East tensions, a fresh wave of headwinds hit the global AI sector, adding further pressure to Asian markets. In South Korea, Seoul’s Kospi index — which is heavily weighted toward technology and AI firms — plunged five percent on Tuesday after a senior government official proposed a new social tax on AI profits, paired with a national dividend program to redistribute excess corporate gains from the technology. The index showed mild recovery on Wednesday after the presidential Blue House distanced itself from the proposal, but fresh trouble soon emerged for the country’s AI ambitions.

    Samsung Electronics, the world’s leading producer of advanced semiconductors that power everything from AI systems to consumer electronics, saw its shares drop as much as 6.1 percent after negotiations between the firm and its largest labor union collapsed, Bloomberg reported. The union has threatened to launch a full strike, a move that industry analysts warn could cause severe supply chain disruptions and major financial losses across the global tech sector. South Korea has made becoming one of the world’s top three AI powers — alongside the US and China — a core national goal, and is set to triple its public AI investment this year, making current setbacks all the more damaging for market confidence.

    Adding to global economic uncertainty, new US consumer price index data released on Tuesday confirmed that soaring energy costs are continuing to stoke inflation, with the index hitting a three-year high in April. The data reinforces investor concerns that sticky inflation could force central banks to keep interest rates higher for longer, a move that would further pressure equity valuations.

    Investors are also turning their attention to earnings results from China’s two largest technology giants, Alibaba and Tencent, which are set to release their latest financial reports this week. Both firms have poured billions of dollars into AI development in recent years: e-commerce giant Alibaba is the developer of the widely used open-source Qwen large language model, popular among independent programmers, while gaming and social media conglomerate Tencent launched its own foundational AI model in 2023 and a public-facing chatbot in 2024. Despite their heavy investment, both firms have seen weak share performance in recent months, as they struggle to keep pace with breakthroughs from leading US AI competitors.

    Across major global markets, the mixed picture continued through the early GMT trading window. On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 0.1 percent at 49,760.56, while the S&P 500 fell 0.2 percent to 7,400.96, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.7 percent to 26,088.2. In Europe, London’s FTSE 100 closed flat at 10,265.32, while Paris’ CAC 40 lost 1 percent to close at 7,979.92, and Frankfurt’s DAX 30 fell 1.6 percent to 23,954.92. In East Asia, Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 bucked the regional downturn to close up 0.3 percent at 62,911.46. In currency markets, the euro fell slightly to $1.1738 from Tuesday’s close of $1.1745, the pound edged up to $1.3538 from $1.3542, the dollar gained slightly against the yen to trade at 157.71 from 157.57, and the euro held steady against the pound at 86.70 pence.

  • Air India crisis deepens ahead of final Ahmedabad crash report

    Air India crisis deepens ahead of final Ahmedabad crash report

    Almost a year after the tragic crash of Air India flight AI-171, which crashed seconds after departing Ahmedabad for London in June 2025 and claimed 260 lives, India’s official accident investigation body is preparing to release its long-awaited final report within the next four weeks. As the aviation industry and global public wait for the crash’s official findings, the flag carrier is already grappling with a cascading series of crises that have thrown its years-long ambitious turnaround plan into serious doubt.

    The most immediate blow came last month, when chief executive Campbell Wilson stepped down mid-term, just as the carrier announced annual losses reaching $2.4 billion for the fiscal year ending March 2026. Wilson’s exit has left a critical leadership gap at a moment when the airline desperately needs steady direction to navigate its mounting challenges. Wilson was brought in after the Tata Group, one of India’s largest conglomerates, acquired the loss-making state-owned carrier in 2022, with a 5-year roadmap to overhaul operations and restore profitability. Today, Air India stands as the largest money-losing business in the Tata Group portfolio, and the Tata board has openly expressed growing concern over its performance. Last week, the board held a closed-door meeting to review aggressive cost-cutting strategies and warned employees that difficult adjustments lie ahead. Compounding this uncertainty, the April visit of senior Singapore Airlines leadership to Tata’s Mumbai headquarters has fueled widespread speculation that Singapore Airlines, which holds a 25.1% stake in Air India, is preparing to deepen its involvement in the struggling carrier. Air India declined to respond to detailed questions from the BBC regarding the ongoing crisis.

    Aviation industry insiders warn that the carrier’s problems run far deeper than just the sudden CEO departure. Jitendra Bhargava, a former Air India executive director, told reporters that the Tata Group fundamentally underestimated the scale of structural and cultural issues it inherited when it took over the legacy carrier. Bhargava added that Wilson faced major delays building a cohesive leadership team to execute the privatization overhaul, leaving a growing gap between the carrier’s 5-year recovery plan and on-the-ground implementation. Over the past year, a string of high-profile operational and safety missteps have further eroded public trust in the airline. In March 2026, a Delhi-to-Vancouver flight was forced to turn back after eight hours of flying, after the carrier failed to secure required regulatory approval to enter Canadian airspace. Alok Anand, a aviation consultant at Acumen Aviation and former maintenance head of India’s first low-cost carrier Air Deccan, called the incident deeply alarming, noting that such a major error points to a systemic breakdown in internal processes. A 2025 annual audit by India’s civil aviation regulator also uncovered 51 separate safety violations across Air India’s operations, seven of which were classified as the highest-severity level.

    Beyond internal structural and safety issues, a series of external headwinds have further pummeled the carrier’s financial performance. Global supply chain bottlenecks have delayed deliveries of dozens of new aircraft that Air India counted on to replace its aging fleet, throwing its fleet renewal schedule completely off track. Since 2024, the airline has cut a number of high-priority long-haul routes, including Delhi-Washington and Mumbai-San Francisco, shrinking its global network and further eroding revenue. A more than 10% depreciation of the Indian rupee against the U.S. dollar has also drastically increased operating costs, aviation analyst Mahantesh Sabarad explained, noting that most of Indian airlines’ core costs, including jet fuel, are pegged to the dollar. The ongoing Middle East conflict, which weakened the market position of major Gulf carriers, actually created a rare opening for Air India to capture more international market share—but the airline was unable to capitalize due to its ongoing aircraft availability shortfall.

    Looking ahead, industry analysts disagree on how the crisis will unfold. Sabarad argues that the carrier’s majority and minority shareholders, the Tata Group and Singapore Airlines respectively, will need to inject substantial new capital to cover the carrier’s growing losses. He compared the current $2.4 billion shortfall to the major financial challenge Tata Steel faced after acquiring the UK’s Corus Steel nearly 20 years ago, noting that the Tata Group has a proven track record of turning around large struggling assets, but will need to pursue creative new financing strategies to stabilize Air India. Anand, however, warned that the worst financial pain may still be ahead, noting that this year’s losses include one-time charges for fleet refurbishment and penalties for returning older leased aircraft, and that the ongoing impact of high fuel prices, currency depreciation and network cuts will hit the carrier’s bottom line even harder in coming quarters. As the carrier waits for the AAIB’s final crash report, experts also warn that the investigation’s findings could have lasting reputational damage. While Sabarad noted that most liability from the crash is covered by insurance, eliminating the risk of unexpected new financial hits, any negative findings linking the crash to Air India’s operational or safety practices would deal a major blow to the carrier’s already battered brand, one that will take years of sustained effort to repair.

  • Federal budget gets mixed reaction from business leaders, analysts

    Federal budget gets mixed reaction from business leaders, analysts

    Australia’s freshly unveiled federal budget, delivered on Tuesday, has emerged as a polarizing policy package, with industry leaders across technology, renewable energy, and finance clashing over its long-term economic impact. While Commonwealth Bank analysts have concluded the budget fails to meaningfully curb persistent nationwide inflation, segments of Australia’s tech and clean energy sectors argue the policy changes will unlock fresh capital and drive strategic growth across key innovative industries.

    Global market volatility has already rippled through Australian financial forecasts following the budget announcement. Overnight, the Australian dollar posted minor gains against the U.S. dollar, supported in part by rising global oil prices even as higher-than-anticpected U.S. inflation readings rattled American investor confidence. Futures markets now point to a slight 0.1% dip for the ASX 200 at Wednesday’s opening bell, mirroring marginal losses recorded on Wall Street overnight.

    Stakeholders in Australia’s startup and tech ecosystem have delivered sharply divergent assessments of the budget’s key business and tax adjustments. Shaun Broughton, Regional Director for Shopify across Asia Pacific and Japan, framed the policy package as a net step forward for domestic entrepreneurs. “Yesterday’s budget moves in the right direction for Australian entrepreneurs – from a permanent instant asset write-off to venture capital reform and measures that support productivity and growth,” he noted. However, Broughton cautioned that proposed adjustments to the capital gains tax discount send mixed signals to founding teams, early startup employees, and growth-focused investors. For founders who spend years building businesses from scratch, he explained, long-term incentive structures are critical, rewarding not just the risk of launching a venture but the work of scaling and sustaining long-term success.

    That caution was echoed as a full-throated critique from accounting industry body CPA Australia, which argues the tax changes directly undermine the federal government’s stated goals of boosting productivity and supporting sustainable economic growth. Jenny Wong, Lead Tax Advisor at CPA Australia, emphasized that productivity growth relies on investment, particularly in high-potential areas like startups, innovation, and business expansion. “These changes make that equation harder,” Wong said. “If you’re taking a risk, building something, investing in growth, you’re handing over a significant portion of that return. That is a clear disincentive. It reduces the incentive to invest in the kinds of businesses that drive long-term productivity and job creation. For anyone looking to invest, grow a business or take on risk, the message is clear – the government will take at least 30 per cent, regardless of the outcome.”

    Despite the criticism over tax adjustments, some tech leaders see meaningful progress in the budget’s commitments to advancing Australia’s artificial intelligence strategy. Charlie Farah, Field Chief Technology Officer at global analytics firm Qlik, pointed to the budget’s alignment with the National AI Plan the government unveiled last December. “The $3.5bn-plus business tax package to support risk taking and the R&D tax incentives announced in the budget will boost AI investment and are a welcomed step in the right direction for Australia becoming a global leader in AI,” Farah said. He added that growing interest in building domestic AI enterprises currently outpaces the nation’s existing skilled workforce and capabilities, calling the government’s new focus on AI a welcome move even amid the budget’s broader goal of stabilizing the national economy. Still, Farah noted, significant gaps remain: “There is still work to be done in making Australia truly AI ready and championing AI skills. As a next step, we would like to see updates to the National Skills Agreement or Digital Economy Strategy with frameworks for AI and data literacy. This way, the government is facilitating future workforce training and reskilling, making AI a national skills priority for Australian workers.”

    For leaders in Australia’s renewable energy sector, the budget’s ambition to accelerate the national energy transition has drawn praise, even as questions remain over whether the policy matches ambition with sufficient investment. Jack Curtis, co-founder of Australian unicorn startup Neara – which achieved a $1 billion valuation earlier this year – said the government’s energy transition targets outlined in the budget are directionally correct. “The question is whether we’re investing equally in the solutions required to deliver it,” Curtis said. He noted that the budget includes the most sweeping reform to the National Electricity Market’s wholesale trading framework since the 1990s, paired with an expansion of the national Capacity Investment Scheme, changes that will trigger a new wave of investment in transmission and distribution infrastructure. “But the scale and pace of change raise the stakes on decision quality,” Curtis warned. “Utilities will need to make significant infrastructure calls at speed, with the margin for error narrowing as the cost of getting it wrong widens.”

    On the macroeconomic side, Commonwealth Bank currency analyst Kristina Clifton said the budget delivers only a minor improvement to Australia’s fiscal position. The document outlines stable budget deficits holding around 1% of GDP over the next three years, before gradual fiscal improvement begins. “Our Aussie economics team note that the budget is unlikely to shift the RBA’s near‑term view on interest rates, but it does little to help in the fight against inflation,” Clifton said. She added that more aggressive spending restraint scheduled for 2026-27 would have reduced aggregate demand across the economy and created additional policy headroom for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) if inflation remains sticky. “As it stands the risk sits with further tightening by the RBA,” Clifton said. Currently, financial markets are pricing in roughly a 20% probability that the RBA will implement another cash rate hike at its upcoming June policy meeting.

    The budget announcement comes against a backdrop of persistent global economic headwinds, with rising inflation and slowing growth driven in large part by the ongoing global energy crisis. Energy supply shocks have pushed up headline inflation across all major advanced economies, with the steepest increases recorded to date in the European Union and the United States.

  • eBay rejects $55.5bn offer from GameStop

    eBay rejects $55.5bn offer from GameStop

    In a move widely anticipated by market analysts, online marketplace giant eBay has formally turned down a staggering $55.5 billion unsolicited takeover proposal from meme stock-famous video game retailer GameStop, dismissing the offer as neither credible nor attractive.

    The size gap between the two firms alone set the stage for a quick rejection: GameStop’s total market valuation amounts to only roughly a quarter of eBay’s. Beyond the lopsided scale, eBay’s Board of Directors highlighted deep uncertainty surrounding the financing of the proposed deal, even after GameStop announced it had secured a $20 billion debt commitment from TD Securities to back the acquisition.

    In an official letter addressed to GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen, the eBay board emphasized that it is currently a strong, resilient business with a working turnaround strategy, even amid years of mounting competitive pressure from larger e-commerce players including Amazon, Etsy and the fast-growing Chinese platform Temu. The board outlined multiple core concerns that drove its decision, including risks to eBay’s long-term growth trajectory and profit margins, significant operational uncertainties, unclear leadership arrangements for the combined company, and questions around GameStop’s own corporate governance structure.

    GameStop first rose to global notoriety during the 2021 meme stock craze, when a coordinated movement of retail investors bought up massive volumes of shares in the heavily shorted brick-and-mortar retailer, sending its share price swinging wildly and upending traditional Wall Street betting dynamics. Today, the company operates roughly 1,600 physical stores across the world, with the vast majority located in the United States.

    Cohen has previously hinted that if eBay’s board rejected the offer, he would take the proposal directly to eBay’s individual shareholders, leaving the door open for a potential proxy fight to push the deal forward. The BBC has reached out to GameStop for additional comment following eBay’s official rejection, and has not yet received a response.

    Market observers have echoed eBay’s skepticism of the deal. Forrester retail analyst Sucharita Kodali told the BBC that the bid was never a strong proposition, noting that it would burden eBay with significant new debt from the financing. Even so, recent financial results show eBay has been making gradual progress on its turnaround: the firm reported a 2025 net profit of $418.4 million, more than tripling the $131.3 million profit it posted in 2024, even as total annual sales declined year-over-year. For his part, Cohen has claimed he can unlock far greater value at eBay, positioning the platform to compete directly with industry leader Amazon under his leadership.

  • US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war

    US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war

    US inflation accelerated to its fastest pace in 13 months during April, as geopolitical tensions in Iran triggered cascading cost increases that hit household budgets across the country, new federal data shows.

    The Consumer Price Index (CPI), a key benchmark for tracking annual price changes, climbed to 3.8% year-over-year in April, up from 3.3% in March. This marks the highest annual inflation rate recorded since May 2023.

    According to analysis from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), nearly half of the monthly inflation increase can be traced directly to skyrocketing energy costs. The ongoing US-Israel military operations in Iran have disrupted global oil supply chains by effectively closing the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global shipping chokepoint through which roughly 20% of the world’s oil supplies pass. This disruption has sent fuel prices soaring across the United States.

    Data from the American Automobile Association (AAA) confirms that the national average price for a gallon of regular unleaded gasoline now stands at $4.50, the highest level recorded since July 2022. Alongside energy, persistent increases in housing and grocery costs also made notable contributions to the overall inflation uptick. Additional price gains were recorded in airfares and clothing over the 12-month period, while new vehicle prices saw a small decline.

    The unexpected jump in inflation has major implications for both monetary policy and domestic politics. The Federal Reserve, which has been weighing potential interest rate cuts this year to support economic growth, now faces growing pressure to keep borrowing costs elevated to tame rising prices. Most analysts now agree that a 2024 rate cut is increasingly unlikely.

    For President Donald Trump and the Republican Party, the new inflation data creates significant political headwinds ahead of November’s midterm congressional elections. Trump centered his 2024 re-election campaign heavily on promises to bring inflation down, and the acceleration of price gains will likely become a key talking point for opposition candidates in the upcoming campaign cycle.

  • Amazon looks to redefine a need for speed with 30-minute deliveries

    Amazon looks to redefine a need for speed with 30-minute deliveries

    Two decades after Amazon upended e-commerce by redefining fast shipping with Prime’s two-day delivery, the global retail giant is once again raising the bar for consumer expectations—launching a premium 30-minute or faster delivery service tailored to shoppers’ most urgent needs. Named Amazon Now, the ultrafast offering first rolled out in India in June of last year, and has already expanded to major urban centers across Brazil, Mexico, Japan, the United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom and the United States, with aggressive expansion plans underway.

    To support the new service, Amazon is rapidly rolling out a network of compact, neighborhood-focused micro-fulfillment hubs roughly the size of a CVS pharmacy, ranging from 5,000 to 10,000 square feet. Unlike Amazon’s sprawling, robot-aided main fulfillment centers that store millions of products, these small hubs are staffed by just a handful of workers and stock only around 3,500 of the most commonly requested urgent items, including over-the-counter medications, fresh produce, beer, diapers, pet food, cellphone accessories, and basic household goods. Amazon leverages artificial intelligence to tailor each hub’s inventory to local consumer shopping patterns, with top-selling U.S. items so far including soap, toothpaste, citrus fruit, toilet plungers and wireless earbuds.

    Pricing for the service starts at $3.99 for existing Prime members, who already pay a $139 annual subscription fee, and jumps to $13.99 for non-Prime customers. A $1.99 small-order fee is added to purchases under $15, a surcharge designed to offset logistics costs for low-basket transactions.

    In the U.S., Amazon first tested the service in its home base of Seattle and Philadelphia, before rolling it out to Atlanta and the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex. By the end of the current year, the company plans to launch Amazon Now in dozens more major U.S. cities, including Houston, Denver, Minneapolis, New York City, Phoenix, Oklahoma City, and Orlando.

    Amazon’s transportation head Beryl Tomay explained the logic behind the push in an interview with the Associated Press, noting that faster delivery consistently drives higher spending and keeps the e-commerce giant top-of-mind for consumers. “We know that customers love speed and always have,” Tomay said. “What we see customers doing, when we offer faster speeds, are they purchase more from Amazon. And Amazon becomes more top of mind for that or other types of items as well.”

    Yet the push into 30-minute delivery comes alongside growing consumer pushback against hyper-fast shipping, with increasing public concern over both the environmental impact of rushed, fragmented deliveries and the intense workplace pressure placed on order fulfillment and delivery workers.

    For Amazon, the new service marks the next incremental step in a decades-long strategy of cutting delivery times to dominate the global e-commerce market. After normalizing two-day delivery in 2005, the company gradually moved to one-day and same-day delivery for Prime members, and launched one-hour and three-hour expedited delivery for hundreds of thousands of products earlier this spring. The 30-minute microhub model is the latest evolution of that vision.

    The expansion puts Amazon in direct competition with two sets of established players: on-demand delivery platforms including Instacart, Uber Eats, DoorDash and Grubhub, and rival big-box retail giant Walmart. Independent retail analyst Bruce Winder notes that Amazon’s unmatched global supply chain expertise gives it a unique advantage over smaller on-demand platforms, which lack the e-commerce titan’s massive operational scale.

    Smaller competitors, however, reject the idea that Amazon poses an existential threat, pointing to their far broader product selection built on partnerships with local merchants and restaurants. “DoorDash has a mission to empower grocers and retailers and augment their existing footprint, not to replace them,” DoorDash spokesperson Ali Musa said in an emailed statement. “We win only when they win, which is how we can offer over half a million grocery and retail items in under an hour across the country.”

    Against Walmart, Amazon is fighting head-to-head for the title of the most reliable ultra-fast retail delivery provider. Walmart already offers its Walmart Express Delivery service, which guarantees delivery of more than 100,000 products within one hour for a $10 extra fee; Walmart CEO John Furner told analysts in February that most customers actually receive their orders in under 30 minutes already.

    Industry analysts point to a long history of failed 30-minute delivery ventures that Amazon would do well to heed. The most famous cautionary example is Domino’s Pizza, which launched a “30 minutes or it’s free” delivery guarantee in 1984. While the promotion helped the chain grab market share, it led to reckless speeding by delivery drivers, a string of fatal traffic crashes, and costly public lawsuits that forced the company to scrap the guarantee in 1993 after damaging its public reputation. During the COVID-19 pandemic, a wave of startups promising 10- to 15-minute grocery delivery from urban microhubs also collapsed, done in by sky-high operating costs, low customer loyalty, and a drying up of venture capital funding before the pandemic ended.

    Brad Jashinsky, a retail analyst at IT research firm Gartner, said Domino’s legacy should serve as a warning to Amazon. “You get in trouble when you start overpromising something like that,” he said.

    For its part, Amazon says it has learned from past missteps: the company will not offer a hard 30-minute delivery guarantee, instead providing customers with real-time order updates, and says it will not pressure in-hub workers or gig delivery drivers to rush orders. Tomay emphasized, “There’s no rushing either in our building workers or the gig workers.”

    Even with those safeguards, analysts question whether the 30-minute model can reach cost-effectiveness. Forrester Research analyst Sucharita Kodali notes that the service only works financially if multiple customers in the same or adjacent apartment complexes place orders around the same time to cut down on delivery routes. What’s more, a growing segment of consumers, particularly Gen Z shoppers, are prioritizing sustainability over speed, and actively choose slower delivery options to reduce carbon emissions and packaging waste. For years, Amazon itself has offered incentives for customers to opt for slower, consolidated shipping, which cuts down on excess packaging and fuel use; supply chain experts note that Gen Z shoppers, unlike millennials who grew up expecting instant delivery, are far more willing to wait for non-urgent purchases.

    Still, Amazon reports promising early results from the service: in India, Prime members tripled their use of 30-minute delivery after trying the service, and the offering is attracting growing numbers of repeat American customers. Tomay acknowledges the service is still in its early stages, saying, “It’s in early days and time will tell. I think that it will be interesting to see how it evolves.”

  • Banks and technology stocks drag ASX 200 down on Tuesday

    Banks and technology stocks drag ASX 200 down on Tuesday

    Australia’s benchmark stock index, the ASX 200, has extended its recent downward trend, closing lower on Tuesday to mark its 15th decline in 19 trading sessions. The slump was fueled by two key pressures: investor jitters ahead of a highly anticipated federal budget packed with potentially transformative tax and housing policy changes, and fresh geopolitical volatility stemming from shifting U.S. rhetoric on a Iran ceasefire. By the closing bell, the ASX 200 shed 26.6 points, or 0.3%, to settle at 8675.2, hitting a five-week low in the session. The broader All Ordinaries index followed suit, dropping an identical 0.3% to close at 8912.9, with 7 of the 11 tracked market sectors ending the day in negative territory.

    In a detailed market analysis published Tuesday afternoon, IG market analyst Tony Sycamore outlined the dual drivers of the market’s cautious sentiment. Ahead of Tuesday night’s federal budget, policymakers are widely expected to introduce major adjustments to Australia’s negative gearing rules and capital gains tax regime — changes that market participants have already begun pricing in amid fears of unforeseen ripple effects across the property and financial sectors. Sycamore emphasized that this budget stands out as the most impactful in recent memory, with structural policy shifts already roiling investor confidence. Compounding these domestic jitters, comments from former U.S. President Donald Trump labeling the U.S.-Iran ceasefire as “on life support” reignited geopolitical risk, stoking anxieties around global fuel security and energy supply chains.

    The banking sector led the market downturn, as investors assessed the potential impact of housing-linked policy changes on the country’s largest lenders. All four major Australian banks closed in negative territory: ANZ fell 2.12%, National Australia Bank dropped 2.09%, Commonwealth Bank eased 1.4%, and Westpac slipped 1.37%. Sycamore warned that banks’ heavy exposure to residential housing lending means any disruption to property markets would directly flow through to the broader financial system, a particularly worrying outcome against Australia’s already muted economic outlook. “You don’t really want to weaken your banking system given the outlook here in Australia isn’t particularly flush,” he noted.

    The technology sector, which has struggled through a weak start to the year, continued its downward trajectory on Tuesday. Supply chain software firm WiseTech Global plunged 5.39%, cloud accounting platform Xero dropped 3.85%, and connected safety firm Life360 tumbled 10.89% after the company downgraded its user growth guidance due to an unanticipated technical issue. DroneShield, a defense technology firm, dropped 9.92% after Australia’s corporate watchdog announced it had launched an investigation into corporate disclosures and trading activity surrounding a period of heavy insider selling at the company. The healthcare sector also posted broad losses, with biotech giant CSL falling 2.18% and medical device maker ResMed dropping 3.35%.

    Against the broad market downturn, the materials and mining sectors emerged as a rare bright spot, boosted by strong commodity fundamentals and a capital rotation out of the underperforming financial sector. Mining giant BHP climbed 2.49% to overtake Commonwealth Bank as the largest company on the ASX by market capitalization, a milestone that underscores the sector’s recent strength. Rival miners Rio Tinto gained 3.13% and South32 added 3.57% for the session. Sycamore explained that capital leaving the banking sector has increasingly flowed into resources, with rising copper and iron ore prices providing a strong tailwind for mining stocks. “It’s got to go somewhere,” he said of the capital shifting out of financials.

    The energy sector also posted modest gains, lifted by edging higher crude oil prices that responded to new geopolitical uncertainty around the Middle East. Brent crude rose 0.9% to settle at $US105.15 a barrel following Trump’s comments casting doubt on the Iran ceasefire. Australian energy producers Woodside Energy added 0.75% and Santos gained 0.53% in line with the crude price increase. Sycamore noted that the oil market is currently defined by conflicting pressures: geopolitical uncertainty is adding volatility to crude pricing, but tight supply dynamics have acted as a check on extreme price spikes, leaving what he called “an uneasy calm” over the market.

    Looking ahead, all market focus remains fixed on the incoming federal budget, with Sycamore warning that the major policy changes to be unveiled could have long-lasting ramifications for both Australian markets and the broader domestic economy. He added that the full impact of structural policy shifts can take months or even quarters to fully filter through the financial system, meaning market volatility tied to the budget could persist long after the announcement is made.

  • Wall Street’s record-setting run halts as AI stocks slump and oil prices rise

    Wall Street’s record-setting run halts as AI stocks slump and oil prices rise

    After a weeks-long stretch of record-setting gains that pushed major U.S. benchmarks to all-time highs, Wall Street’s rally came to an abrupt halt on Tuesday, dragged down by a sudden pullback in red-hot artificial intelligence stocks and growing market jitters over spiking oil prices fueled by the ongoing conflict with Iran.

    The day’s trading ended with a mixed picture across major indexes. The benchmark S&P 500 pulled back 0.2% from the record high it notched a day earlier, dropping 11.88 points to close at 7,400.96. The blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average bucked the downward trend, adding 56.09 points, or 0.1%, to finish at 49,760.56. It was the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite that bore the brunt of the selling, sinking 0.7% or 185.92 points to close at 26,088.20, retreating from its own recent all-time peak.

    The steepest losses were concentrated among the semiconductor manufacturers and AI-linked equities that have posted explosive gains through 2026, riding the global AI boom to triple-digit year-to-date returns. Intel led the downturn, slumping 6.8% after its share price had already surged more than 200% so far this year. Micron Technology, which entered Tuesday with a nearly 180% gain for 2026, dropped 3.6%, while AI-focused firm CoreWeave fell 6.1%, trimming its year-to-date gain to 60%.

    This pullback in AI stocks actually originated in Asian markets earlier in the trading day. South Korea’s Kospi index tumbled 2.3% down from its own all-time high, as investors reacted to fears that the South Korean government could redistribute excess windfall profits earned by domestic AI companies directly to citizens.

    A second major headwind weighed on U.S. markets on Tuesday: a sharp new jump in global crude oil prices, driven by growing fears that the ongoing conflict with Iran will become protracted and disrupt global energy supplies. Brent crude, the global benchmark, climbed 3.4% to settle at $107.77 per barrel, up from roughly $70 per barrel before the conflict began. The rally came as a fragile U.S.-Iran ceasefire grows increasingly tenuous, and the ongoing war has effectively blocked all oil tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global energy trade, leaving millions of barrels of crude stuck in the Persian Gulf unable to reach customers worldwide.

    The rapid run-up in oil prices pushed U.S. inflation higher last month by a larger margin than most economists had projected, according to government data released Tuesday. Even when stripping out volatile gasoline and food costs, core price acceleration outpaced expert forecasts in April, extending a streak of discouraging inflation data. Brian Jacobsen, chief economic strategist at Annex Wealth Management, noted that higher tariffs and unseasonable bad weather have also contributed to upward pressure on consumer prices.

    In response to the hotter-than-expected inflation report, Treasury yields moved higher in the bond market after an early period of volatile whipsaw trading. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note rose to 4.45%, up from 4.42% late Monday, and remains well above the 3.97% level it traded at before the Iran conflict began. Rising yields signal that investors now expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates higher for longer to bring inflation back under control.

    The U.S. central bank has already delayed any planned interest rate cuts in recent months, as it waits to assess how the Iran war and the Trump administration’s new tariffs will impact inflation trends. Lower interest rates can stimulate economic growth, but they also tend to worsen inflationary pressures. Following Tuesday’s inflation data, traders still overwhelmingly expect the Fed to hold interest rates steady through the end of the year, but CME Group data now shows investors see a better than one-in-three chance that the central bank will actually raise rates by December. Higher interest rates typically put downward pressure on stock valuations while also slowing overall economic growth.

    Even with rising yields, spiking oil prices, and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty tied to the Iran conflict, the U.S. stock market has remained surprisingly resilient in recent weeks, driven largely by better-than-expected corporate earnings across most sectors. Zebra Technologies was the latest S&P 500 firm to top analyst profit forecasts on Tuesday; the company, which helps businesses digitize and automate workflows through barcode scanners and other technology, saw its stock jump 11.4%, and it also released a full-year profit forecast that beat analyst expectations.

    Not all earnings reports were positive, however. Athletic apparel brand Under Armour sank 17% after reporting a larger quarterly loss than analysts had projected. CEO Kevin Plank said the company is moving forward with a plan to “reset the business and restore the discipline required to operate as a best-in-class brand.”

    Outside of earnings, dealmaking news also moved individual stocks. Video game retailer GameStop fell 3.5% after e-commerce platform eBay rejected GameStop’s unsolicited buyout offer, calling the bid “neither credible nor attractive.” eBay noted that GameStop had failed to explain how it would finance the acquisition of the much larger firm, and eBay’s own stock rose 2.1% following the announcement. Homebuilder Beazer Homes USA also fell 7.3% after rejecting an unsolicited takeover bid from Dream Finders Homes, saying that the firm repeatedly undervalued Beazer in its offers, with the latest bid coming in lower than previous proposals. Dream Finders’ stock dropped 13.4% following the news.

    Global markets broadly followed the downward trend on Tuesday, with most major indexes across Europe and Asia closing lower. Along with South Korea’s 2.3% drop, Germany’s DAX fell 1.6% and France’s CAC 40 lost 0.9%, two of the steepest declines outside of Asia. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was a rare outlier, closing 0.5% higher. AP Business Writers Yuri Kageyama and Matt Ott contributed reporting to this article.

  • World losing 100 million barrels a week of oil with Hormuz closed, Saudi Aramco chief says

    World losing 100 million barrels a week of oil with Hormuz closed, Saudi Aramco chief says

    The ongoing conflict between the US, Israel and Iran has triggered an unprecedented crisis in global energy markets, with 100 million barrels of oil disappearing from weekly supplies for every week the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, the chief executive of Saudi Arabia’s state-owned oil giant Saudi Aramco revealed Monday.

    Addressing analysts during an earnings call, Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser described the supply disruption that emerged in the first quarter of the year as the most severe energy shock the global economy has ever encountered. With shipments through the strategic chokepoint blocked, Nasser explained that global markets have been forced to rely on demand rationing to manage the limited available supply.

    “Demand rationing will remain in place for as long as supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz continue,” Nasser stated. “If regular trade and shipping through the waterway resume, we expect to see a very strong rebound in global oil demand growth.”

    The burden of this rationing is not being shared equally across the globe, energy analysts note. Major Asian economies, which rely almost entirely on Gulf oil exports to meet their energy needs, have already implemented formal consumption restrictions. By contrast, while Western nations led by the United States have seen energy prices rise sharply, they have not introduced similar demand-cutting measures.

    Oil markets swung sharply upward on Monday, with prices jumping more than 3% after former US President Donald Trump warned that a fragile ceasefire with Iran was “on life support”, as traders priced in a high probability of a resumption of open conflict that would extend the Hormuz blockage.

    Nasser joined a growing chorus of energy industry leaders and analysts in pointing out a growing disconnect between oil prices quoted in futures markets and the actual cost of physical crude in the real economy. As of May 11, Brent crude futures for July delivery were trading around $105 per barrel, but end buyers are paying far higher rates for immediate delivery. Last month, HSBC CEO Georges Elhedery reported that spot oil prices in Sri Lanka had surged as high as $286 per barrel, while other industry analysts peg average spot prices for Asian buyers at roughly $150 per barrel.

    To cushion the supply shortfall, Nasser said markets have drawn heavily on stored inventories both on land and in floating storage at sea — the only available buffer to offset the blockage. However, he warned that these global stockpiles have already been “materially depleted”, leaving little room for further draws.

    Early in the conflict, the International Energy Agency coordinated a coordinated release of 400 million barrels of strategic reserves from its member nations, while China — the world’s second-largest oil consumer after the US — quietly cut its crude imports by 25% from pre-war levels. These two moves helped prevent an even more dramatic price spike in the short term, but Nasser warned against overconfidence in the current market stability, arguing that aggregate global inventory figures do not accurately reflect the extreme tightness in the physical spot market.

    Market watchers, including major oil traders, independent analysts and leading US banks, have issued a stark warning that the global energy market will reach a critical tipping point in June if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. JPMorgan’s latest analysis last week projected that if the chokepoint does not reopen by mid-to-late summer, global operational oil inventories will hit a minimum functional floor, triggering even more severe demand rationing that will fall disproportionately on countries outside the United States.

    Against this backdrop of global market chaos, Saudi Aramco delivered stronger-than-expected first-quarter financial results, reporting a 26% jump in adjusted net income that beat consensus analyst forecasts. While the kingdom is only exporting 60 to 70 percent of its pre-war crude volume, far higher per-barrel prices have offset the volume drop and lifted profitability.

    Unlike neighboring Gulf producers including Kuwait, Bahrain and Iraq — all of which are almost completely dependent on the Strait of Hormuz for their oil exports — Saudi Arabia has a workaround: its 5 million barrels per day East-West Pipeline, which moves crude from Gulf fields to the Red Sea port of Yanbu for export. Nasser described the pipeline as a “critical lifeline” for the kingdom, confirming it is currently operating at full capacity, and that the company is working to expand its throughput in the coming months. Saudi Arabia also ships 900,000 barrels per day of refined petroleum products out via Red Sea ports.

  • China should stop hoarding food and fertiliser, says former World Bank chief

    China should stop hoarding food and fertiliser, says former World Bank chief

    In an exclusive interview with the BBC’s World Business Report, held just one day before the scheduled Trump-Xi summit in Beijing, former World Bank President David Malpass has laid out a series of bold demands for China, arguing that easing the spiraling global food and fertilizer supply crisis sparked by the ongoing Iran conflict requires Beijing to halt its accumulation of emergency stockpiles.

    Malpass, who previously held the post of U.S. Treasury Under Secretary for International Affairs during the Trump administration between 2017 and 2019, and led the World Bank from 2019 to 2023, pointed out that China currently holds the world’s largest reserves of both food staples and key fertilizer inputs. “They can stop building their stockpiles,” Malpass stated, pushing for China to release excess supplies to the tight global market.

    The call for action comes at a critical juncture for global agricultural production, as countries across the world rush to lock in fertilizer supplies ahead of the upcoming spring planting season. The ongoing conflict has disrupted critical shipping routes, with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz — a major chokepoint for global fertilizer and energy trade — causing severe shipping delays and skyrocketing prices. China, for its part, implemented a full ban on fertilizer exports back in March, framing the policy as a necessary measure to safeguard its own domestic supply security.

    Beyond the supply crisis, Malpass also challenged China’s long-standing self-identification as a developing country in multilateral forums such as the World Trade Organization and the World Bank. He argued that this designation is no longer credible given China’s status as the world’s second-largest national economy. “They present themselves as a developing country when they’re the second biggest economy in the world and in many ways rich,” Malpass said. “And yet they still have the pretence of being a developing country in the WTO and in the World Bank, and they could suspend that,” he added. The BBC has reached out to the Chinese Embassy in Washington D.C. to request a response to Malpass’s comments, and no statement has been released as of the report.

    Turning to the fragile Iran ceasefire, which former U.S. President Trump recently described as being on “massive life support,” Malpass urged the global community to align with the United States to push for a permanent diplomatic resolution to the conflict. He emphasized that the international community cannot tolerate a scenario where a rogue state gains access to plutonium or maintains control over critical global shipping chokepoints. “You can’t have a rogue state with plutonium, and you can’t block the Strait of Hormuz,” he said.

    Malpass also expressed hope that Beijing would use its diplomatic influence to help break the deadlock over the Strait of Hormuz, noting that unimpeded maritime trade aligns directly with China’s own economic interests. “China benefits from open waterways worldwide,” he explained. “They run the shipping lines, own the containers, and make huge profit from trade with the rest of the world. So, they would be a big loser if Iran in some way had control of the Strait of Hormuz.”

    Ahead of the release of U.S. April inflation data, Malpass also shared his outlook for American consumers, predicting that broad price increases will continue across most product categories. “I expect some up, yes, prices will go up on many products,” he said. Even so, he noted that recently released robust U.S. employment data signals that the overall American economy remains far more resilient than many analysts have predicted.