分类: business

  • US-Iran deal’s economic dividend will flow mainly to Asia

    US-Iran deal’s economic dividend will flow mainly to Asia

    Global financial markets reacted swiftly and predictably to the newly announced US-Iran peace deal: crude oil prices plummeted, stock markets around the world rallied, and investors have already begun projecting the potential inflation relief that could follow if the Strait of Hormuz fully reopens to shipping and global energy supplies return to normal operations.

    However, deVere Group founder and CEO Nigel Green argues that the mainstream market consensus still underestimates the far-reaching implications of this diplomatic breakthrough. If the agreement is successfully sustained – a critical caveat that cannot be overlooked – the largest economic gains will not flow to Iran, the United States, or European economies. Instead, Asia will emerge as the primary beneficiary.

    This advantage extends far beyond the region’s obvious gains from lower global oil prices, though that benefit is substantial. Between 85% and 90% of all crude oil transported through the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most critical chokepoints for global energy trade, is ultimately delivered to Asian markets. No other region is as reliant on the unimpeded flow of energy, commerce, and capital through the Gulf region, making any resolution of tensions there disproportionately impactful for Asian economies.

    Roughly one-fifth of total global oil consumption passes through the strait, alongside a large share of the world’s liquefied natural gas (LNG) trade. When tensions disrupted shipping through the corridor earlier this year, Asian economies bore the brunt of the fallout. Data from earlier this month confirmed that increased shipments of US crude to Asia were nowhere near enough to offset the lost Gulf supplies during the peak of the crisis, while Asian LNG markets also faced major supply disruptions and price volatility as energy flows tightened.

    For this reason, the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz represents far more than just the resumption of regular oil shipments. It restores a vital economic lifeline to the world’s most energy-dependent growth region.

    India offers a clear illustration of the scale of potential gains. As the world’s third-largest crude oil importer, with roughly 85% of its total crude demand met by overseas purchases, India is uniquely positioned to see immediate benefits from falling energy costs. Any sustained drop in oil prices eases domestic inflationary pressure, strengthens the country’s current account position, provides support for the rupee, and improves the Indian government’s fiscal balance. Few major advanced or emerging economies have such a direct, clear link between lower oil prices and accelerated economic growth, meaning India could see a significant economic boost without implementing major domestic policy reforms or transformative breakthroughs.

    These positive spillover effects reach far beyond India. Japan imports more than 90% of its total oil demand, while South Korea sources the majority of its crude from Middle Eastern producers. Lower oil and LNG costs directly improve industrial competitiveness, protect corporate profit margins, and reduce cost-of-living pressure for household consumers.

    China may actually benefit more than current market pricing suggests. As the world’s largest crude importer, bringing in roughly 11 million barrels of oil per day, China has navigated years of slowing domestic growth, soft consumer demand, and pressure on industrial profitability. A lasting reduction in energy costs would provide broad, meaningful support to manufacturing supply chains across the country. Equally important, reduced geopolitical instability in the Gulf eliminates a major source of uncertainty for one of China’s most critical trade and energy routes. For Chinese policymakers, this increased predictability may be almost as valuable as the direct savings from cheaper oil.

    Southeast Asian economies also stand to gain. Vietnam, Thailand, the Philippines, and Indonesia all stand to benefit from lower import costs and reduced inflationary pressure. A more stable energy market supports governments, consumers, and businesses alike, while also boosting the region’s appeal as a destination for multinational corporations continuing to diversify their global manufacturing operations across Asia.

    Even so, focusing solely on oil price shifts risks overlooking a bigger, underreported story. The most consequential long-term impact of a lasting US-Iran agreement may lie in its effect on regional monetary policy across Asia. During the height of the Hormuz crisis, central banks across Asia and the globe were forced to adjust their policy outlooks to account for renewed inflation risks tied to spiking energy costs. A sustained drop in oil prices rewrites this policy calculus: lower inflation creates new room for policymakers to support economic growth, loosen financial conditions, and reduce cost pressure on households.

    This shift should draw particular attention from global investors. For years, Asian equities have struggled to compete with the strong gravitational pull of US markets. Persistently higher US interest rates, a stronger US dollar, and repeated global geopolitical shocks have consistently tilted investor preference toward American assets. But a combination of lower energy prices, easing inflation, and improved growth prospects could strengthen the case for increasing exposure to Asian equities at a time when global investors are already actively searching for opportunities outside of overbought US markets.

    There are also broader strategic implications to consider. For years, investors have framed analysis of Asian economies through the persistent lens of trade disputes, supply chain disruptions, tariffs, and geopolitical rivalry. While these themes are unlikely to disappear entirely, a durable US-Iran agreement would deliver something global markets have seen very little of in recent years: a meaningful reduction in geopolitical friction. For a region that depends more heavily on cross-border trade, stable shipping lanes, and imported energy than any other, this reduction in risk carries enormous value.

    That said, caution remains the prudent approach for market participants. Investors have well-founded reasons to remain wary. Some will frame the deal as a historic diplomatic breakthrough, while others dismiss it as a temporary truce that allows all sides – particularly the White House – to claim a political win while delaying difficult negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program, sanctions enforcement, and regional influence ambitions. The history of Middle Eastern diplomacy is full of agreements that sparked initial optimism before collapsing against entrenched political realities, so investors should resist the urge to treat lasting peace as a foregone conclusion.

    Even so, they should not underestimate the scale of potential economic benefits if the agreement holds, even partially. Global markets have largely focused on the immediate impact of the deal on oil prices, but Asia should be preparing for sustained, broad-based growth. If the agreement endures, the region could receive the most significant externally driven economic stimulus it has seen in years – one that simultaneously lowers energy costs, eases inflationary pressure, supports cross-border trade, and improves overall financial conditions. This confluence of positive economic shocks is a rare opportunity that does not come along often.

  • SpaceX IPO raised $10bn more than thought

    SpaceX IPO raised $10bn more than thought

    SpaceX, the aerospace and artificial intelligence firm led by Elon Musk, has closed the largest initial public offering in global history, raking in a total of $85.7 billion after underwriters fully exercised an overallotment option to add $10 billion in extra share purchases, the company announced in an official statement Friday.

    The landmark listing on the Nasdaq stock exchange in New York was initially projected to raise $75 billion from global investors. That figure was already on track to break records, but overwhelming investor demand pushed the underwriting banks—led by industry giants Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, and JPMorgan—to trigger the so-called “greenshoe” clause, a common financial tool designed to stabilize newly listed stocks and manage excess market demand.

    A greenshoe option allows underwriters to issue and sell additional shares beyond the original public offering size when investor appetite outpaces the initial share supply, preventing extreme price volatility during a company’s market debut. In this case, demand for SpaceX shares was so strong that underwriters purchased a full 83.3 million extra shares directly from the company, adding $10 billion to the total proceeds. Even this additional $10 billion alone would rank among the 10 largest IPOs in history, highlighting the unprecedented market enthusiasm for Musk’s company.

    The successful blockbuster listing has also pushed Musk’s net worth past the $1 trillion mark, according to calculations from Bloomberg. The vast majority of Musk’s personal wealth is tied directly to SpaceX equity, meaning his new trillionaire status remains dependent on the company’s stock performance: a sharp market downturn could erase the title as quickly as continued gains could grow his fortune further.

    Market momentum remained strong in the first full trading day following the listing. On Monday, SpaceX shares jumped more than 14% from its initial offering price of $135, closing at $184 per share. That price gives SpaceX a total market valuation of $1.8 trillion.

    While investor enthusiasm remains high, industry analysts have sounded notes of caution. The company’s sky-high valuation leaves little margin for missteps, they say, pointing to ongoing challenges including growing regulatory scrutiny of the commercial space industry, rising competition from rival aerospace firms, and the fact that SpaceX has yet to turn a consistent profit. Questions remain over whether the company can maintain its aggressive growth trajectory to justify its current market valuation.

  • Fox to buy Roku streaming firm in $22bn deal

    Fox to buy Roku streaming firm in $22bn deal

    Media conglomerate Fox has announced a transformative acquisition agreement that will see it take over streaming infrastructure firm Roku in a deal valued at $22 billion, a move that industry analysts say will reshape the competitive landscape of the United States television sector. When the merger is finalized, the combined entity is projected to rank as the third-largest TV provider in the U.S. by total audience viewership share, according to statements from both companies.

    Under the terms of the offer, Fox will pay Roku shareholders $160 per share, with compensation structured as a mix of cash and publicly traded Fox stock, the firms confirmed. This deal marks the latest step in Fox’s years-long strategic shift to adapt to shifting consumer behavior, as millions of viewers continue to migrate from traditional cable and broadcast television to internet-based streaming platforms.

    Lachlan Murdoch, chief executive officer of Fox, framed the acquisition as a natural progression of the company’s carefully cultivated strategy that has been in motion for nearly 10 years. “Back in 2019, we intentionally reoriented the entire company around live news and live sports content, two categories that remain the most consistent drivers of live viewership in the modern media ecosystem,” Murdoch explained in a statement announcing the deal. “Then in 2020, we completed our acquisition of ad-supported streaming service Tubi, and under our ownership and operational leadership, Tubi has grown to become one of the most successful streaming businesses in the industry. Today, we take the next logical step: bringing together the most valuable portfolio of live content in American video consumption with the leading streaming platform that millions of U.S. households already use to access their favorite content.”

    Industry observers have characterized the acquisition as a calculated bet that merging Roku’s popular streaming distribution platform with Fox’s extensive library of high-demand live news and sports content will leave the combined company well-positioned to capture growing market share in the fast-evolving streaming-first TV landscape. The merger comes as traditional media companies across the U.S. continue to consolidate and rework their business models to compete with large, deep-pocketed streaming giants that have come to dominate much of the global streaming market in recent years.

  • Why I sold my business to my staff

    Why I sold my business to my staff

    As a wave of baby boomer small business owners approaches retirement across the United States, a quiet but transformative shift is gaining traction: instead of selling their life’s work to outside corporate or private equity buyers, a growing number of owners are transferring full ownership to their employees. This growing trend not only addresses the coming “silver tsunami” of generational business transitions but also delivers tangible benefits for workers, companies and local economies, proponents argue.

    One early adopter of this model is Softstar Shoes, an Oregon-based artisan shoemaker with 30 employees. The business completed its employee ownership transition in January 2026, when former sole owner and CEO Tricia Salcido, 56, sold the firm to her workforce to prepare for retirement. Salcido, who will stay on for the next few years as chief financial officer, says the transition has already unlocked a new level of team engagement that was absent under her sole ownership. “I’m getting personal emails from employees saying, ‘well, have you thought about this idea?’” she explained. “These are business insights that weren’t forthcoming before!” For Salcido, the decision was also personal: she wanted to protect local jobs and keep her company’s craft shoemaking operations in the U.S., a outcome she was convinced would not happen under a cost-cutting outside buyer.

    Salcido is far from alone. Data from a 2025 industry study shows as many as 600 U.S. firms are now sold to their workforces each year, and available financing for these deals jumped 78% from $500 million in 2024 to $865 million in 2025 — a clear signal that the transition to employee ownership is accelerating. The scale of demand for this model is easy to understand: a 2026 report from global business consulting firm McKinsey estimates that roughly 6 million small and medium-sized U.S. companies, owned by baby boomers, will change hands between now and 2035 as this generation exits the workforce. Harvard Business School associate professor Ethan Rouen notes that demand for exit strategies is already pervasive, and most founders cannot pass their businesses to family: “I don’t think a week goes by where I don’t talk to an owner who is looking to sell their business. Their grown-up children often aren’t interested in taking on the family venture.”

    Multiple case studies and research papers confirm that employee-owned firms outperform traditional ownership structures on key metrics. When employees share both the risks and rewards of business ownership, they become far more motivated, leading to higher overall productivity. Employee-owned firms also are less likely to conduct mass layoffs during economic downturns and consistently pay higher average wages than externally owned competitors.

    Another business owner who chose employee ownership to protect his company’s legacy is William Stockwell, whose family has owned Philadelphia-based industrial component manufacturer Stockwell Elastomerics since it was founded by his great-grandfather in 1919. After observing the disruption that followed outside buyouts of similar firms, Stockwell decided to sell to his employees. “The new [outside] ownership might move the business, they might shut it down, or drastically change it in other ways, and the people remaining are stuck,” he said. Today, Stockwell works part-time at the firm he sold to staff.

    Three main employee ownership models are currently used in the U.S. The most popular structure is the Employee Stock Ownership Plan (ESOP), which held $2 trillion in combined assets across 6,609 U.S. firms employing 10.9 million Americans as of 2023, the most recent year for full data. Under an ESOP, the company is held in a trust for employees, who earn shares that they can cash out only when they leave the company. The second model, which Softstar Shoes used, is the Employee Ownership Trust (EOT). Under an EOT, a trust holds ownership on behalf of staff, eliminating the need for employees to purchase shares out of their own pockets. The trust pays the former owner in installments drawn from future annual profits, meaning the former owner carries risk and must wait for full payment, but employees receive a share of profits each year. The third model is the worker cooperative, where employees buy individual shares of the business directly.

    The trend extends beyond legacy family firms. Proponents note that employee ownership also appeals to younger workers disillusioned by the inequality and rigid hierarchy of traditional corporate structures. “The only way to truly create wealth in this country is through ownership of capital. And this is a way to democratise that,” Rouen explained.

    Despite the benefits, the model still faces significant barriers. Setting up EOT and ESOP structures is far more administratively complex than a straightforward sale to an outside buyer. Many owners are also discouraged by the requirement to wait years for full payment and accept financial risk tied to the company’s future performance. Most importantly, widespread lack of awareness about employee ownership schemes slows adoption: “No one’s heard of them,” Salcido says.

    Still, the outlook for growth is positive, insiders say. 71-year-old Paul Silvis, who is currently in the process of selling his central Pennsylvania manufacturing firm SilkoTek Corporation to his employees, says he has full confidence in the decision. “I’m getting ready to ride off into the sunset at some point,” he says. Stockwell, who has already completed his transition, advises owners considering the move to plan years in advance, saying “It’s not something you want to begin the year you want to retire.”

    In recent years, the U.S. federal government has moved to support employee ownership, with bipartisan backing in Congress and a new Employee Ownership Initiative launched by the Department of Labor to promote the model and provide guidance for interested owners. As policy support grows and the wave of generational business transitions accelerates, Rouen predicts more businesses will make the switch: “my hunch is that we will see more successful employee ownership conversions in the next few years.”

  • UK and Japan agree £18bn investment deal

    UK and Japan agree £18bn investment deal

    In a high-profile diplomatic and economic meeting held in London on Sunday, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer and his Japanese counterpart Sanae Takaichi have formalized a landmark multi-billion-pound bilateral investment pact that London officials frame as opening a new chapter of deepened cooperation between the two island nations.

    According to announcements from Downing Street, the agreement brings a total of up to £18 billion in planned Japanese investment across key UK sectors. Japanese private firms have committed more than £9 billion to UK infrastructure, real estate and financial services projects over the next five years, with an additional £9 billion earmarked for British offshore wind energy development. If fully realized, Downing Street projects the investments will generate tens of thousands of new jobs across the country.

    Alongside the core investment package, the two leaders confirmed ongoing collaboration on two major high-tech projects. The pair reaffirmed their shared commitment to the GCAP global combat air programme, a next-generation fighter jet initiative developed jointly by the UK, Japan and Italy. Additionally, a new technical partnership was announced: British engineering giant Rolls-Royce will join forces with Japan’s Atomic Energy Agency to advance cutting-edge next-generation nuclear technology, while a broader R&D agreement will connect UK software and research expertise with Japanese manufacturing capabilities to drive cross-border innovation.

    Major Japanese firms participating in the infrastructure and real estate commitments include Mitsubishi Estate, Mitsui Fudosan and Nomura Real Estate, according to Downing Street. After holding talks with Japanese business leaders alongside Takaichi, Starmer called the negotiations “very productive”, and said he was pleased to lock in the expanded bilateral partnership. For his part, Takaichi emphasized through a translator that the UK remains “an extremely important partner” for Japan in Europe and globally.

    The deal comes at a critical moment for the UK economy, which is already facing significant headwinds even before accounting for new geopolitical risks. While the UK registered 0.6% GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025, analysts broadly predict sluggish growth in the coming quarters. Last month, the International Monetary Fund warned that the ongoing conflict between the US-Israel alliance and Iran will hit the UK harder than any other advanced global economy. The Bank of England has also cautioned that the conflict could push UK inflation back up to as high as 6% in a worst-case scenario, putting renewed pressure on households and policymakers.

    A key question hanging over the investment package remains unresolved: Downing Street has not clarified what share of the announced £18 billion represents new, previously unannounced commitments versus existing investment plans that were already public. Political opposition has also weighed in on the deal. Andrew Griffith, shadow business and trade secretary for the opposition Conservative Party, said his party welcomes any agreement that brings new investment to the UK, but added that the current Labour government’s “tax hikes and employer red tape are doing huge damage, destroying jobs and putting more and more people onto welfare”.

    While Downing Street frames the agreement as a long-term boost to British jobs and sustainable economic growth, most economists continue to expect near-term economic strain for the UK regardless of the new investment, which will take years to roll out fully.

  • Why the US economy keeps defying the odds

    Why the US economy keeps defying the odds

    A striking contrast between two German automotive facilities on opposite sides of the Atlantic has laid bare the core factors behind a key economic puzzle that has divided experts in recent years: how has the United States maintained stronger growth and stability than most other advanced economies, even when facing the same global headwinds that have derailed growth elsewhere?

    Late last year, Volkswagen’s iconic “Transparent Factory” in Dresden, eastern Germany — originally built to demonstrate the cutting-edge peak of European industrial ambition — rolled its final vehicle off the assembly line. Meanwhile, 4,000 miles away in Spartanburg, South Carolina, fellow German manufacturing giant BMW operates its largest global production facility, running at full capacity amid rising U.S. demand. This juxtaposition frames a broader trend of divergent economic performance across the developed world following a cascade of global disruptions.

    Over the past half-decade, nearly all advanced economies have been buffeted by overlapping crises: sweeping trade policy shifts that upended long-standing global supply chains, seismic shifts in labor markets from changed immigration policies, and geopolitical conflict in the Middle East that sent global energy prices swinging wildly. Many leading economists predicted these combined pressures would trigger prolonged stagnation and persistent stagflation in the U.S., but those forecasts have not come to pass. Instead, the American economy has expanded at a steady clip, and while inflation has at times proven stubborn, the toxic combination of zero growth and sustained price hikes that many feared has failed to materialize.

    Joe Brusuelas, chief economist at global accounting and consulting firm RSM, argues that the U.S.-China trade war initiated by the Trump administration inadvertently became the most compelling demonstration of the American economy’s inherent resilience. “The own goals that the Trump administration imposed on the U.S. with respect to trade and immigration are probably the single best example of the underlying dynamism of the American economy,” Brusuelas explained. When faced with sudden new tariffs on imported components, major U.S. corporations did not simply accept compressed profit margins — they doubled down on capital investment to reshore and reconfigure their supply chains.

    Current data bears this out: capital expenditure now makes up 13.9% of U.S. gross domestic product, a figure that most economists would expect to decline sharply amid overlapping supply and demand shocks. Instead, investment has held steady, and the resulting gains in productivity have offset much of the pressure from global disruptions, allowing the overall economy to expand at a consistent annualized rate of roughly 2%.

    A second major factor supporting U.S. resilience comes from the transformed American energy sector. Historically, spikes in global oil prices triggered by Middle Eastern conflict have been a major drag on U.S. economic growth. But the shale revolution of the past two decades has fundamentally reshaped America’s exposure to energy shocks. The U.S. is now one of the world’s top oil and natural gas producers, and domestic businesses have systematically cut their reliance on petroleum over the past generation. “The development since the early 2000s of fracking in the United States, alongside the evolution of alternative fuels, has created the conditions where oil’s contribution to GDP per unit has fallen by half over the past 50 years,” Brusuelas noted.

    This stance contrasts sharply with the approach taken by European economies. While the U.S. has prioritized market flexibility, embraced domestic fossil fuel production, and allowed energy prices to adjust to market conditions, Europe has long relied on long-term fixed-price supply contracts and interconnected cross-border networks to ensure energy security. This model left most European countries extremely vulnerable when Russian natural gas supplies were cut following the invasion of Ukraine, and that vulnerability persists amid new Middle East tensions that are pushing global energy prices higher.

    Rebecca Christie, a senior fellow at Brussels-based economic think tank Bruegel, argues the divergence in economic performance stems not just from policy choices, but from deep cultural differences in attitudes toward risk. “Americans are very solutions-oriented and much more comfortable with taking a short-term risk in service of a long-term advantage. Europe as a culture is risk-averse,” Christie explained. She recalled attending a policy event where the European Union’s own financial services commissioner acknowledged that European leaders too rarely discuss the risk of failing to take risks at all.

    This cultural divide is reflected in the structural differences between the U.S. and European economies. In most of Europe, businesses rely heavily on bank loans for financing, and worker retirement pensions are typically tied to guaranteed insurance contracts that cap both potential losses and gains. “If you finance your business with a bank loan, you don’t have the same flexibility that you do if you sell shares or attract venture capital,” Christie said. By contrast, U.S. companies can easily access capital from public stock markets and private venture investors, a flexibility that gives American firms a competitive edge over the more bank-dependent, state-backed European corporate model.

    Despite the U.S. economy’s strong macroeconomic performance, Christie cautions that aggregate resilience hides significant pain and inequality at the micro level. “The U.S. is a land of very high inequality,” she said. “If you’re struggling, you are really going to have a hard time because the labour market is not adding piles of new jobs, things are getting more expensive, many cities have housing crises.” Her core concern is that rising inequality could eventually reach a tipping point, where even a strong dollar and stable banking system would not offset a sustained real-world jobs and livelihood crisis.

    So far, broader labor market data has not supported that worst-case scenario. In May, American employers added 172,000 new jobs, a figure that far outpaced expert projections. However, newly released inflation data has signaled that the limits of U.S. resilience may be approaching. Consumer prices rose at their fastest pace in three years in May, pushing annual inflation up to 4.2% from 3.8% in April.

    While the U.S. economy continues to outperform most other advanced economies, it is not immune to global pressures. Persistently high inflation, rising energy prices, and widening inequality all pose long-term threats that could erode the country’s current competitive advantage. Even so, the U.S. remains far more robust than most of its global peers. Its unique combination of flexible markets, sustained business investment, abundant domestic energy production, and cultural tolerance for calculated risk has allowed it to weather crises that have pushed many other developed economies to the brink of stagnation. As Brusuelas summarizes the current state of global economics: “It’s the cleanest shirt in a very filthy laundry.”

  • The world wants more high-protein products, but there’s not enough whey to go around

    The world wants more high-protein products, but there’s not enough whey to go around

    Across global consumer markets, demand for higher protein content in everyday food products has reached historic highs, but the international dairy sector is failing to keep up with the surge, triggering a crippling shortage and record-breaking price spikes that are rippling through the entire food supply chain.

  • Survey: China critical for US businesses

    Survey: China critical for US businesses

    Against a backdrop of escalating decoupling rhetoric from hardline U.S. China policy hawks, new industry data confirms that the Chinese market remains an irreplaceable strategic asset for American multinational firms, with the nation’s massive consumer base, evolving status as a global innovation center and robust, resilient supply chains continuing to strengthen U.S. companies’ competitive edge worldwide, according to business leaders and policy experts.

    The findings emerge from the latest annual member survey conducted by the U.S.-China Business Council (USCBC), which reveals that a staggering 95 percent of responding U.S. firms rate China as somewhat to very critical to maintaining their global market standing. Summarizing the report, which was published publicly on Wednesday, the USCBC stressed that “For U.S. companies, China is not optional.”

    USCBC President Sean Stein noted that the survey results leave no room for ambiguity: even amid rising geopolitical and economic tensions, gaining a foothold and competing in the Chinese market is a non-negotiable prerequisite for many American firms to succeed on the global stage. The report further underscores that U.S. businesses have no plans to withdraw from China, as the market offers value beyond its sheer size, acting as a multifaceted catalyst that drives global competitiveness for participating companies.

    Nearly half of all survey respondents reported that they adapt operational insights and competitive experience gained from their China-based activities to improve performance in other global markets. The report draws an apt analogy: China has evolved into a “boxing gym” for Western corporations, where head-to-head competition with domestic Chinese firms hones operational skills, sharpens strategic thinking and deepens industry insight.

    In recent weeks, bilateral economic relations between Washington and Beijing have shown encouraging signs of progress. Last month, the two world powers reached an agreement to launch two new intergovernmental cooperation bodies: the China-U.S. Trade Council and the China-U.S. Investment Council. These platforms are designed to resolve commercial disputes before they escalate into larger conflicts, cultivating a more stable, predictable operating environment for businesses in both countries. The Chinese Ministry of Commerce confirmed that the new trade council will discuss targeted tariff reduction initiatives for specific product categories, with the two sides already reaching a preliminary agreement to cut tariffs on reciprocal goods shipments totaling at least $30 billion on each side.

    Liu Ying, a senior researcher at the Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies at Renmin University of China, pointed out that while China and the U.S. now compete across a growing range of high-value sectors, this does not rule out productive mutually beneficial cooperation. “It just requires a far more nuanced, sophisticated approach than the straightforward complementary trade model that defined relations in past decades,” she explained.

    Former International Monetary Fund Deputy Managing Director Zhu Min echoed this view, noting that while differences between the two economic giants are unavoidable, deep-seated interdependence makes cooperation equally inevitable. “If both sides adopt a constructive approach, using expanding cooperation to manage existing differences, both nations, their people, and the entire global economy will share in the benefits,” Zhu Min said. “Our priority should be to continuously grow the list of areas where we can collaborate, while shrinking the list of outstanding disputes.”

    The commitment of U.S. firms to engaging with the Chinese market is further illustrated by upcoming industry events. The first week of this month, Beijing will host the second China International Supply Chain Expo, and U.S. companies and industry institutions are on track to be the largest group of foreign exhibitors for the fourth consecutive year, according to the China Council for the Promotion of International Trade. This continued high participation reflects U.S. firms’ ongoing interest in deepening industrial and supply chain collaboration with Chinese partners.

    Henry Ding, president of 3M China, shared the industrial conglomerate’s long-term outlook for the Chinese market. China is 3M’s largest overseas market, and the company remains confident that China’s ongoing high-quality economic development will unlock broad new growth opportunities. In recent years, 3M has accelerated full value chain localization in China, integrating local research and development, product testing, and manufacturing operations into its regional strategy. “Currently, more than 50 percent of the products 3M sells in China are manufactured locally,” Ding said. This year, 3M China will continue expanding local R&D investment, with plans to launch more than 30 percent more new products than it did in 2025, a growth rate that far outpaces the company’s targets for other global markets.

    Even with this widespread optimism and long-term commitment, the USCBC survey does acknowledge the significant headwinds facing U.S. companies operating in China. Fragile bilateral relations, ongoing uncertainty surrounding China’s economic growth trajectory, and long-standing U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports remain the top three most pressing challenges for responding firms. “U.S.-China relations continue to be the single greatest challenge for companies operating in the Chinese market, and even after the recent tariff truce, both governments continue to roll out new economic security policies that create additional uncertainty,” the council noted.

    As Beijing and Washington set working agendas for the newly established trade and investment councils, Stein said the 2026 survey results should act as a clear wake-up call for policymakers on both sides. “This is a tangible opportunity to make meaningful progress that goes far beyond just tariff reductions,” he added, emphasizing that sustained engagement aligned with the clear priorities of the business community on both sides will deliver shared, long-term benefits.

  • Hismile fined $138,600 by consumer watchdog for using staff in fake reviews

    Hismile fined $138,600 by consumer watchdog for using staff in fake reviews

    One of Australia’s most viral social media-first oral healthcare brands has been handed a substantial financial penalty by the national consumer and corporate regulator for deceptive advertising practices that tricked consumers into purchasing misrepresented products. Popular toothpaste and teeth care brand Hismile, whose products are stocked in major Australian supermarket chains Woolworths and Coles, has been ordered to pay $138,600 in total penalties following seven infringement notices issued by the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) over false and misleading claims made across its social media channels.

    The ACCC’s investigation uncovered a core deceptive practice at the heart of Hismile’s marketing campaigns: the brand had shared short-form social media videos presenting paid employees as unbiased, random shoppers offering genuine, unsolicited praise for Hismile products. These fake organic testimonials were designed to convince viewers of the brand’s quality through seemingly authentic user experiences, a tactic that has become common in influencer and social media marketing.

    A second deceptive claim was tied to the brand’s now-discontinued Glostik Tooth Gloss product. Marketing videos for the item implied that it permanently removed existing stains from tooth enamel, but the product only delivered temporary cosmetic results that concealed stains rather than eliminating them entirely. The product has been pulled from shelves and Hismile’s product lineup following the regulator’s investigation.

    Hismile has built a massive global social media following, amassing more than 5 million followers on TikTok alone, largely thanks to its viral, unconventional product collaborations — including a widely publicized KFC-flavored toothpaste that generated massive online engagement. That massive reach makes deceptive advertising all the more impactful, ACCC officials noted.

    “Misleading social media advertisements can reach millions of consumers and may impact their purchasing decisions,” ACCC Commissioner Luke Woodward said in a statement following the ruling. “All businesses must ensure they are not making misleading or deceptive claims on social media platforms.”

    Woodward emphasized that the deceptive content led consumers to purchase products that did not deliver the results Hismile advertised, a violation of Australia’s core consumer protection laws. “The ACCC has prioritised consumer and fair-trading issues relating to manipulative or deceptive advertising in the digital economy for several years,” he added.

    Hismile has admitted that its posted content was misleading and violated the Australian Consumer Law. As part of the resolution with the ACCC, the brand has committed to several binding changes to its future marketing practices: it will no longer misrepresent employees as unaffiliated members of the public when sharing product testimonials, reviews or commentary. It will also develop and roll out a formal company-wide compliance program focused on competition and consumer law, and will publish a public notice on its website and social media platforms detailing the ACCC’s enforcement action to inform past and future customers of the issue.

  • Paramount Skydance merger with Warner Bros. Discovery won’t harm competition, consumers, DOJ says

    Paramount Skydance merger with Warner Bros. Discovery won’t harm competition, consumers, DOJ says

    The U.S. Department of Justice has closed its antitrust investigation into Paramount Skydance’s proposed $81 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, announcing Friday that the blockbuster Hollywood media consolidation will not harm industry competition or harm consumer interests — a major win for the deal’s backers that still leaves the merger facing ongoing regulatory checks across the U.S. and around the globe.

    DOJ’s Antitrust Division concluded its probe with a final finding that the union will actually strengthen competition across the broader media and entertainment ecosystem, delivering tangible benefits for both U.S. consumers and industry workers. The planned combination was first announced in late February, after months of tense negotiations that saw Paramount Skydance outcompete a rival bid from streaming giant Netflix to secure the deal. The transaction follows Skydance’s acquisition of Paramount last year, bringing two of Hollywood’s biggest studio brands under single ownership.

    Executives behind the merger have long argued that combining the two companies will unlock sustainable industry growth, expand consumer access to premium content, and create a stronger market player by merging the extensive content libraries of HBO Max and Paramount+ to compete with larger streaming incumbents. But the proposal has drawn fierce pushback from across the industry and political sphere: thousands of actors, directors, writers and other entertainment professionals signed an open letter voicing unequivocal opposition, warning that further consolidation in a market already dominated by a handful of major players will trigger mass layoffs, reduce creative options for filmmakers, and limit content choices for audiences. Multiple lawmakers have also raised concerns about the deal’s anticompetitive risks.

    In its assessment, DOJ regulators closely examined the merger’s potential impact on multiple key market segments, starting with consumer video streaming. The agency found the combined entity would actually boost competition by offering a more robust, viable alternative to the sector’s largest existing streaming platforms. Regulators also addressed the role of social video platforms including YouTube and TikTok, noting that while these services compete for general consumer attention, they do not qualify as direct competitive substitutes for premium streaming services under long-standing antitrust legal precedents.

    The review also found no credible risk of reduced competition in linear television, pointing to the crowded, highly competitive market for live programming that would remain intact post-merger. For theatrical film production and distribution, regulators concluded that combining the two major studio operations would not weaken competition in development, production or theatrical distribution. Instead, the department found existing industry competition is already extensive, has driven increased output and greater diversity in film offerings, and this dynamic will remain unchanged after the merger.

    Despite the DOJ’s approval, the merger is far from cleared to close. California Attorney General Rob Bonta has publicly confirmed his state is conducting its own independent investigation into the transaction. Internationally, both European Union and U.K. regulators have launched their own probes: the European Commission has set a tentative July 7 deadline for its review, while the U.K. Competition and Markets Authority aims to issue an initial decision by early August.

    Paramount Skydance CEO David Ellison has sought to ease concerns, promising to operate Paramount and Warner Bros. as separate standalone movie studios and committing to release 30 theatrical films annually from the combined entity. Company leadership has also acknowledged that the merger will lead to significant job cuts to eliminate overlapping roles and operational duplication.

    The two companies have targeted the third quarter of this year to complete the acquisition, and the timeline is already winding down. Per the merger agreement, Paramount will be required to pay shareholders a 25-cent per share “ticking fee” every quarter if the deal fails to close by September 30. The agreement also includes a $7 billion termination fee that would be paid if regulators ultimately block the transaction.