What has happened in a year of US foreign aid cuts?

A year after the Trump administration’s radical restructuring of American foreign assistance, the global humanitarian landscape has undergone catastrophic transformations. What originated as a 90-day suspension of international aid has evolved into a near-total dissolution of United States humanitarian operations, with USAID’s functions fully absorbed by the State Department by July 2023.

The human cost has proven both staggering and preventable. Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s early assurance that “no children are dying on my watch” has been contradicted by devastating outcomes. Medical experts including Dr. Atul Gawande, former USAID global health assistant administrator, projected that reduced immunization programs alone would cause over one million deaths annually.

Research from the Center for Global Development indicates these cuts to the world’s largest humanitarian donor may contribute to approximately 700,000 fatalities per year. The Lancet Global Health forecasts even grimmer long-term consequences: 22.6 million additional preventable deaths globally by 2030, including 5.4 million children under five, resulting from combined reductions in US and UK funding.

The administration justified these measures under its “America First” doctrine, promising increased efficiency. Despite vehement opposition from figures including former President Barack Obama—who labeled the move “a colossal mistake”—the implementation proceeded rapidly. By March 2025, 86% of foreign aid programs had been terminated alongside comparable staff reductions.

Evidence reveals inconsistent application of cuts, with strategic allies receiving preferential treatment. Kenya secured a $1.7 billion health system donation after leading UN peacekeeping efforts in Haiti, while Jordan saw reinstated water infrastructure projects. Conversely, high-need regions including Yemen, Afghanistan, Syria, and Sudan faced severe assistance reductions.

In Afghanistan, child malnutrition reached 25-year highs with 450 health centers closing. Yemen lost nutritional support for 100,000 children and food assistance for 2.4 million people. Gender-specific impacts proved particularly severe: 1.5 million Yemeni women lost obstetric services while 300,000 were denied gender-based violence prevention.

Critics emphasize that USAID constituted less than 1% of the federal budget, making financial savings minimal compared to heightened global risks. The dismantling of disease prevention programs, including the President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (Pepfar) that served 20 million people, has raised alarms about pandemic preparedness. Experts warn these reductions threaten international security and conflict prevention capabilities, potentially creating dangerous ripple effects worldwide.