标签: South America

南美洲

  • US intervention in Venezuela could test Trump’s ability to hold GOP together in an election year

    US intervention in Venezuela could test Trump’s ability to hold GOP together in an election year

    WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump’s military operation in Venezuela has emerged as a critical test of his capacity to maintain cohesion within an increasingly restive Republican coalition during a challenging election cycle. Although most party members initially rallied behind the administration following the audacious capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, discernible fractures have begun to surface across the GOP spectrum.

    The president’s remarks regarding potential U.S. management of Venezuela have triggered particular concern among lawmakers, appearing to contradict the “America First” doctrine that has fundamentally defined Trump’s political identity. Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.), a former Trump ally, expressed sharp criticism on NBC’s “Meet the Press,” characterizing the intervention as part of a “Washington playbook that serves big corporations, banks, and oil executives rather than American citizens.”

    These reservations extend beyond the party’s far-right faction. Moderate Representative Brian Fitzpatrick (R-Pa.), facing a competitive reelection battle, emphasized that “the only country the United States of America should be ‘running’ is the United States of America.”

    The Venezuela operation highlights delicate political dynamics as Republicans confront the possibility of losing congressional control in November. While Trump remains the dominant force within the GOP, his previously unassailable influence has encountered unusual resistance in recent months regarding various issues including the Jeffrey Epstein files and affordability concerns.

    This intervention strikes at the core of Trump’s political brand, which has consistently emphasized avoiding foreign entanglements that divert attention from domestic priorities. The president’s recent declaration that he is “not afraid of boots on the ground” and his framing of the Venezuela mission as essential for American security mark a significant evolution from his previous critiques of the Iraq War as a “big, fat mistake.”

    Secretary of State Marco Rubio attempted to moderate expectations by suggesting a more limited U.S. role, specifically denying Washington would handle day-to-day governance while enforcing existing oil sanctions.

    Despite these concerns, no organized opposition to Trump’s Venezuela policy has materialized within Republican ranks. Lawmakers including Senators Susan Collins (R-Maine), Rand Paul (R-Ky.), and Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) have offered measured support while advocating for congressional oversight and expressing cautious optimism regarding the operation’s eventual outcome.

  • How the Monroe Doctrine factors into US arrest of Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro

    How the Monroe Doctrine factors into US arrest of Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro

    In a significant foreign policy address, President Donald Trump has invoked the 200-year-old Monroe Doctrine to rationalize recent U.S. military operations targeting Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro. The historical principle, originally articulated by President James Monroe in 1823 to deter European interference in the Western Hemisphere, has been reinterpreted by multiple administrations throughout American history to justify regional interventions.

    During recent remarks, Trump not only referenced the doctrine but humorously suggested some now call it ‘the Don-roe Doctrine,’ signaling his administration’s distinctive approach to hemispheric policy. This revival of Monroe-era principles coincides with the Trump administration’s assertion that Washington would ‘run’ Venezuela until a suitable replacement for Maduro is established.

    Historical experts note profound connections between current policy and historical applications. Jay Sexton, University of Missouri history professor and author of ‘The Monroe Doctrine: Empire and Nation in Nineteenth-Century America,’ emphasizes that ‘Venezuela has been the pretext or trigger for a lot of corollaries to the Monroe Doctrine,’ citing instances dating back to the late 1800s.

    The administration’s newly articulated approach—dubbed the ‘Trump Corollary’ in official national security documents—represents the latest evolution of this enduring foreign policy framework. ‘Under our new national security strategy,’ Trump declared, ‘American dominance in the Western Hemisphere will never be questioned again.’

    This modern interpretation follows historical precedents including Theodore Roosevelt’s ‘Big Stick’ diplomacy and Cold War-era applications against Soviet influence. Professor Gretchen Murphy of the University of Texas observes that Trump’s usage aligns with historical patterns where the doctrine ‘legitimate[s] interventions that undermine real democracy, and ones where various kinds of interests are served, including commercial interests.’

    However, experts warn that prolonged engagement in Venezuela may create political complications within Trump’s base. Sexton notes that unlike ‘hit-and-run’ operations such as strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, Venezuela engagement ‘is going to be potentially quite a mess and contradict the administration’s policies on withdrawing from forever wars.’

    The White House’s December national security strategy explicitly frames military operations against drug trafficking and migration flows as implementing this renewed hemispheric dominance, marking a significant reimagining of America’s regional military presence despite isolationist tendencies within the administration’s coalition.

  • Trump wants Venezuela’s oil. Will his plan work?

    Trump wants Venezuela’s oil. Will his plan work?

    In a bold geopolitical maneuver, former President Donald Trump has declared intentions to harness Venezuela’s vast oil reserves following the capture of President Nicolás Maduro, proposing to fundamentally “run” the nation’s energy sector. His strategy envisions injecting billions of American corporate investments to revitalize the country’s crippled oil infrastructure, which he describes as “badly broken,” and ultimately generate revenue for Venezuela.

    Venezuela possesses the world’s largest proven crude oil reserves, estimated at 303 billion barrels. However, current production tells a different story. Output has plummeted to a mere 860,000 barrels per day as of November, a stark decline from historical levels and representing less than 1% of global oil consumption. This collapse is largely attributed to decades of state mismanagement, underinvestment, and sweeping U.S. sanctions initially imposed in 2015 over human rights allegations.

    Energy analysts and economists are casting significant doubt on the feasibility of Trump’s plan. Callum Macpherson, Head of Commodities at Investec, identifies infrastructure decay as the primary obstacle. Homayoun Falakshahi, a senior commodity analyst at Kpler, emphasizes that legal and political stability are paramount; no drilling agreements can be secured until a new, stable government succeeds Maduro. This would leave companies gambling billions on the future political climate.

    The financial and temporal scale of the challenge is monumental. Experts at Capital Economics, including Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing, warn that restoring Venezuela’s former output would require tens of billions of dollars and potentially up to a decade of work. Consequently, any impact on global oil supply and prices in the near future would be negligible. Shearing further notes that even a return to production levels of 3 million barrels per day would not place Venezuela among the world’s top ten oil producers.

    Currently, Chevron stands as the sole U.S. oil producer operating in Venezuela, doing so under a special license granted during the Biden administration. The company, responsible for approximately 20% of the country’s extraction, has stated its focus remains on employee safety and regulatory compliance. While other major firms have remained publicly silent, analysts suggest internal discussions are undoubtedly underway, weighing the enormous resource potential against the profound political and investment risks.

  • Bowen: Trump’s action could set precedent for authoritarian powers across globe

    Bowen: Trump’s action could set precedent for authoritarian powers across globe

    In an unprecedented demonstration of military force, former President Donald Trump has orchestrated the capture and imprisonment of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, declaring American authority over the South American nation until a “safe, proper and judicious transition” can be implemented. The operation, executed without American casualties, represents the most assertive application of the Trump doctrine of hemispheric dominance.

    Speaking from his Mar-a-Lago estate, Trump revealed that U.S. forces had successfully detained Maduro and established operational control over Venezuela. Secretary of State Marco Rubio reportedly secured cooperation from Venezuelan Vice-President Delcy Rodríguez, who allegedly stated her willingness to comply with American demands. While Trump acknowledged potential “boots on the ground” deployments, specifics regarding governance mechanisms remained undefined.

    This intervention revives concerns about America’s troubled history with forced regime change. Analysts from the International Crisis Group had previously warned that Maduro’s removal could trigger violent power struggles among armed factions. Historical parallels with Iraq, Afghanistan, and Haiti suggest nation-building efforts frequently yield instability rather than democracy.

    Trump explicitly reframed American foreign policy through his “Donroe Doctrine”—an enhanced version of the Monroe Doctrine asserting permanent U.S. dominance throughout the Western Hemisphere. He issued blunt warnings to regional leaders, including Colombia’s President Gustavo Petro and implied future actions regarding Mexico and Cuba.

    The operation’s economic motivations emerged clearly as Trump detailed plans to extract Venezuela’s mineral wealth, promising reimbursement for the United States alongside benefits for Venezuelans. This resource-focused approach echoes previous attempts to leverage Ukrainian natural resources for American gain.

    Internationally, the action constitutes a flagrant violation of the United Nations Charter, drawing condemnation from China and raising concerns among European allies struggling to balance support for international law with diplomatic relations. The precedent established—that powerful nations may militarily intervene against leaders they deem criminal—potentially empowers authoritarian regimes worldwide.

    Senator Mark Warner warned that China might cite similar justification for actions against Taiwan, while Russia could employ parallel logic regarding Ukraine. The erosion of international norms threatens global stability, suggesting continued turbulence as nations recalibrate their strategies in response to Trump’s assertion of unilateral power.

  • After capture and removal, Venezuela’s Maduro is being held at notorious Brooklyn jail

    After capture and removal, Venezuela’s Maduro is being held at notorious Brooklyn jail

    NEW YORK — The Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn, a federally operated correctional facility with a troubled history, has become the unexpected temporary residence for deposed world leaders alongside high-profile criminals. Most recently, the facility received Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro following his dramatic ouster, marking the second former head of state to be incarcerated within its walls in recent years.

    Established in the early 1990s, the MDC Brooklyn currently houses approximately 1,300 inmates and serves as the primary detention facility for individuals awaiting trial in federal courts across Manhattan and Brooklyn. The institution’s population represents a diverse cross-section of alleged criminals, ranging from accused gang members and drug traffickers to white-collar offenders and international figures.

    The facility gained international attention when former Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernández was imprisoned there during his trial on drug trafficking charges, ultimately receiving a 45-year sentence before being controversially pardoned by former President Donald Trump in December.

    Current high-profile detainees include Ismael ‘El Mayo’ Zambada Garcia, co-founder of Mexico’s Sinaloa drug cartel, and Luigi Mangione, accused of murdering UnitedHealthcare’s CEO. The institution’s roster of former inmates includes notorious figures such as convicted music artist R. Kelly, business mogul Sean ‘Diddy’ Combs, cryptocurrency entrepreneur Sam Bankman-Fried, and Ghislaine Maxwell, longtime associate of Jeffrey Epstein.

    Despite its waterfront location near shopping amenities and views of the Statue of Liberty, the facility has been described in court documents and inmate accounts as ‘hell on earth’ and an ‘ongoing tragedy.’ Documented issues include rampant violence, with two inmate fatalities occurring in 2024 alone, and corruption among staff members charged with accepting bribes and providing contraband.

    The winter of 2019 brought particular notoriety when a week-long power outage plunged the facility into darkness and cold conditions. However, the Federal Bureau of Prisons has recently implemented significant improvements, including additional correctional and medical staff, resolution of over 700 maintenance backlogs, and upgrades to electrical, plumbing, and climate control systems.

    Security enhancements have included a crackdown on internal criminal activity, resulting in charges against 23 inmates in March for offenses ranging from weapon smuggling to assaults. Bureau officials stated in September that these measures, combined with a reduced population from 1,580 to current levels, have produced a ‘substantial decrease’ in institutional crime and contraband.

    Maduro’s arrival sparked celebrations among Venezuelan expatriate communities, with flag-draped supporters gathering outside the facility to cheer his detention. Within the facility, Maduro may encounter familiar faces including co-defendant Hugo Carvajal, Venezuela’s former intelligence chief who has indicated willingness to cooperate with U.S. authorities, and alleged Tren de Aragua gang member Anderson Zambrano-Pacheco.

    The MDC has faced increased scrutiny since 2021 when the Bureau of Prisons closed its other New York facility, the Metropolitan Correctional Center, following Jeffrey Epstein’s suicide which exposed critical security and infrastructure failures.

  • A tense calm holds on Venezuela a day after Maduro was deposed by US

    A tense calm holds on Venezuela a day after Maduro was deposed by US

    CARACAS, Venezuela — An atmosphere of apprehensive stillness enveloped Venezuela on Sunday, marking the aftermath of a dramatic U.S.-led military intervention that resulted in the capture and removal of President Nicolás Maduro from power. The capital city, typically a hub of activity, presented an eerie tableau of deserted streets and shuttered businesses, as the nation collectively held its breath regarding its political future.

    In a stark contrast to the previous day’s frantic scenes of citizens stockpiling essentials, the urban landscape of Caracas remained largely motionless. Major thoroughfares, usually vibrant with runners and cyclists, stood empty. The presidential palace, now a symbol of the seismic power shift, was secured by a combination of military personnel and armed civilian supporters.

    Beyond the capital, in La Guira state, residents navigated the physical wreckage of the operation, clearing debris from homes damaged during the explosions that accompanied Maduro’s apprehension. The structural damage to some buildings revealed gaping holes in walls, serving as tangible evidence of the preceding day’s violent events.

    The political vacuum created by Maduro’s unexpected ousting has generated widespread uncertainty across the nation. President Donald Trump’s declaration that the United States would collaborate with Maduro’s former Vice President Delcy Rodríguez to ‘run’ Venezuela has done little to clarify the country’s immediate trajectory.

    This pervasive uncertainty manifested in the subdued behavior of citizens. In eastern Caracas’ low-income neighborhoods, such as where construction worker Daniel Medalla gathered with fellow parishioners, even religious services were canceled. Medalla, 66, suggested that the deserted streets reflected not concern about additional military action, but rather fear of potential government retaliation against any public displays of celebration, a apprehension rooted in memories of last year’s election crackdowns. ‘We were longing for it,’ Medalla confessed regarding Maduro’s removal, capturing the conflicted sentiments of many Venezuelans who desire change but fear its costs.

  • Trump’s plan to seize and revitalize Venezuela’s oil industry faces major hurdles

    Trump’s plan to seize and revitalize Venezuela’s oil industry faces major hurdles

    The prospect of US-led revitalization of Venezuela’s crippled oil industry following military actions against Nicolás Maduro’s regime presents a complex scenario with limited immediate market impact. While possessing the world’s largest proven crude reserves at approximately 303 billion barrels, Venezuela’s current production languishes at just 1.1 million barrels daily – a dramatic decline from its 1999 peak of 3.5 million barrels due to years of systemic corruption, mismanagement, and international sanctions.

    Energy analysts emphasize that infrastructure decay represents merely one challenge in resurrecting Venezuela’s oil sector. Patrick De Haan, lead petroleum analyst at GasBuddy, notes that while physical infrastructure escaped recent military actions unscathed, it has been deteriorating for decades and requires substantial reconstruction time.

    The political landscape remains equally problematic. American energy corporations demand regime stability before committing significant investment, yet Venezuela’s leadership situation remains volatile. Current Vice President’s claim to power, the high court’s intervention, and competing narratives about legitimate governance create precisely the uncertainty that deters foreign capital.

    Phil Flynn, senior market analyst at Price Futures Group, suggests that demonstrated US control over the next 24-48 hours could generate optimism about rapid industry revitalization. Such development could potentially enable Venezuela to double or triple production, ultimately applying downward pressure on global oil prices and reducing reliance on Russian energy.

    However, Francisco Monaldi, director of Rice University’s Latin American energy program, projects a more realistic timeline: approximately a decade and $100 billion in investment would be required to boost production to four million barrels daily. Legal complications surrounding resource ownership and contract enforcement under occupation add further uncertainty, with Columbia University law professor Matthew Waxman highlighting potential violations of international law regarding resource appropriation.

    Despite these challenges, Venezuela’s heavy crude remains particularly valuable for diesel production and heavy equipment fuels – commodities currently in global short supply due to sanctions. Gulf Coast refineries, specifically optimized for processing such crude, would benefit significantly from renewed Venezuelan production.

  • Maduro arrives in US after stunning capture in operation that Trump says will let US ‘run’ Venezuela

    Maduro arrives in US after stunning capture in operation that Trump says will let US ‘run’ Venezuela

    In an unprecedented military operation conducted under darkness, former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro has been apprehended by U.S. forces and transported to New York to confront narco-terrorism conspiracy charges. The dramatic extraction from his Caracas military compound residence occurred early Saturday, marking the most assertive American action toward regime change since the 2003 Iraq invasion.

    President Donald Trump characterized the mission as “extremely successful” during a Mar-a-Lago press conference, outlining intentions for the U.S. to temporarily administer Venezuela while facilitating a “safe, proper and judicious transition.” Trump revealed plans to revitalize Venezuela’s crippled oil infrastructure and export substantial petroleum volumes to international markets.

    The operation triggered immediate political upheaval within Venezuela. The nation’s high court designated Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as interim leader, though she emphatically refused to acknowledge this transition, asserting “There is only one president in Venezuela, and his name is Nicolás Maduro Moros.” Venezuelan state media condemned the extraction as an “imperialist attack,” prompting both pro-Maduro demonstrations and celebratory gatherings among opposing factions.

    Legal authorities internationally have raised profound concerns regarding the operation’s legitimacy. Questions emerged about potential violations of international law, particularly since Congress never authorized military force against Venezuela. The UN Security Council scheduled an emergency session to address the escalating situation following Colombia’s formal request.

    Casualties were reported on both sides during the operation, with Venezuelan officials confirming civilian and military fatalities, while U.S. forces sustained injuries without fatalities. The operation culminated years of escalating tension between the nations, including recent CIA drone strikes targeting alleged Venezuelan drug trafficking operations.

    The capture represents a critical juncture in Venezuela’s political trajectory, which has been dominated by Maduro’s party since Hugo Chávez’s 1999 election. Maduro’s controversial 2018 reelection was widely disputed by international observers and opposition groups who documented substantial evidence of electoral manipulation.

  • ‘Deeply shocked’: World leaders react to US attack on Venezuela

    ‘Deeply shocked’: World leaders react to US attack on Venezuela

    International reactions have sharply diverged following the unprecedented U.S. military operation that resulted in the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on Saturday. The detained leader, now facing drug trafficking charges in New York, has become the focal point of a geopolitical storm that pits Western powers against traditional allies of Venezuela.

    President Donald Trump’s administration has asserted its intention to temporarily govern the South American nation, stating the U.S. will “run Venezuela until we can do a safe, proper and judicious transition.” This declaration has ignited fierce debate about sovereignty and international law.

    Traditional Western allies exhibited measured support for the operation. UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer notably declined to condemn the military action, stating his government would “shed no tears” for Maduro’s regime while emphasizing the need to establish all facts. The European Union, through top diplomat Kaja Kallas, reiterated its position that Maduro lacks legitimacy while calling for peaceful transition and respect for international law.

    Conversely, a coalition of nations including Russia, China, Iran, and numerous Latin American countries issued strong condemnations. Chinese officials expressed being “deeply shocked” by the use of force against a sovereign nation, while Russia characterized the operation as “an act of armed aggression.” Regional leaders including Brazil’s President Lula da Silva, Colombian President Gustavo Petro, and Chilean President Gabriel Boric uniformly denounced the intervention as a violation of international law that threatens regional stability.

    The United Nations expressed profound concern, with Secretary-General Antonio Guterres warning through a spokesperson that the operation sets a “dangerous precedent” by disregarding established international rules. Domestically, Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer criticized the action as reckless despite acknowledging Maduro’s illegitimate status.

    Amid the diplomatic turmoil, Venezuela’s Interior Minister Diosdado Cabello has urged citizens to remain calm and trust the country’s leadership and military, while opposition figures and some international leaders have begun discussing transition possibilities.

  • How cocaine and corruption led to the indictment of Maduro

    How cocaine and corruption led to the indictment of Maduro

    In a dramatic escalation of international legal pressure, Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores were apprehended during a surprise military operation in Venezuela early Saturday. The capture sets the stage for a landmark judicial proceeding in Manhattan federal court against the leader of the oil-rich South American nation.

    The U.S. Justice Department has unsealed a comprehensive indictment portraying Maduro’s government as a “corrupt, illegitimate regime” sustained by an elaborate drug-trafficking network that allegedly flooded American cities with thousands of tons of cocaine. The document charges Maduro with four serious offenses: narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, possession of machine guns and destructive devices, and conspiracy to possess such weapons.

    According to the indictment, Maduro systematically collaborated with “some of the most violent and prolific drug traffickers and narco-terrorists in the world,” including Mexico’s Sinaloa Cartel and the Tren de Aragua criminal organization. The Venezuelan government allegedly provided law enforcement protection and logistical support to cartels moving drugs throughout the region, resulting in approximately 250 tons of cocaine trafficked through Venezuela annually by 2020.

    The court documents further accuse Maduro and his wife of ordering kidnappings, beatings, and murders against those who interfered with their drug operations or owed them money. Flores faces additional allegations of accepting hundreds of thousands of dollars in bribes to facilitate meetings between drug traffickers and Venezuelan anti-drug officials.

    The operation to capture Maduro was characterized by U.S. officials as a “law enforcement function” conducted at the request of the Justice Department. Attorney General Pam Bondi declared that Maduro and his wife “will soon face the full wrath of American justice on American soil in American courts.” Maduro is currently being held at a federal detention facility in Brooklyn awaiting trial, with video evidence showing him smiling while escorted by DEA agents in New York.

    This prosecution builds upon earlier charges brought against Maduro in 2020 during the Trump administration, with the new indictment adding charges against his wife. The case represents one of the most significant attempts to prosecute a sitting head of state on U.S. soil for international drug trafficking offenses.