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  • Rabbitohs rocked by David Fifita blow as Stephen Crichton eyes shock return from injury

    Rabbitohs rocked by David Fifita blow as Stephen Crichton eyes shock return from injury

    The 2024 NRL season has delivered another week of dramatic late team reshuffles, as injury crises, surprise comeback stories and debutant announcements have reshaped match-day lineups across all competing sides this weekend. The most high-profile shakeup has landed at South Sydney Rabbitohs, where a pair of key injury blows have cleared the way for a fairy-tale NRL return after four years on the sidelines. Fullback Matt Dufty, who spent five seasons with Saturday’s opponent St George Illawarra Dragons, has earned an unexpected call-up to the starting side after a string of standout performances in the NSW Cup that caught Rabbitohs coaching staff’s attention.

    Dufty’s promotion comes as South Sydney copes with two critical absences that will sideline key players for multiple weeks. Young gun Jye Gray, who Dufty is deputising for, suffered a grade three AC joint sprain, with the club yet to confirm a definitive timeline for his return to the field. The news is even bleaker for high-profile recruit David Fifita: the forward tore his hamstring during last week’s clash against the Canberra Raiders, and is set to miss up to six matches as he recovers. To fill the gap in the back row, Lachlan Hubner has been named to make the starting line-up against the Dragons, who have retained their core starting spine, with Mat Feagai stepping into the side to replace injured Moses Suli.

    Over at Wests Tigers, head coach Benji Marshall has wasted no time reinstating star playmaker Jarome Luai to the starting five-eighth position, after Luai made a full recovery from a recent knee injury. Jock Madden, who stepped up to deliver an impressive performance in the halves in Luai’s absence, retains his spot in the match-day 17. Patrick Herbert has also kept his starting centre position after a remarkable comeback performance last round, pushing exciting young talent Heamasi Makasini to the wing. Forward Samuela Fainu has also been named in the side, despite an injury scare that put his availability in question just days ago. The high-flying Tigers will face off against the Brisbane Broncos this weekend, who welcome captain Adam Reynolds back to the side following his own injury layoff, with Xavier Willison named at lock to replace suspended star Pat Carrigan.

    The Canterbury Bulldogs are on the cusp of a major double boost heading into their clash with the Parramatta Eels, with two key injury returnees set to take the field. Club captain Stephen Crichton, who damaged his shoulder on Good Friday, has been named on the extended bench, marking an earlier-than-expected return from injury. Key off-season signing Leo Thompson will make his club debut this weekend, after overcoming a calf injury that delayed his first appearance for the Bulldogs. Max King, who suffered a jaw injury, remains sidelined for the clash. The Eels, meanwhile, have named Charlie Guymer and Jack Williams in their starting back row, with Saxon Pryke set to make his NRL debut coming off the interchange bench.

    Melbourne Storm head coach Craig Bellamy has made targeted changes to his side, breaking a four-game losing skid. Manaia Waitere has been named on the wing, though he is widely expected to shift to centre following the dropping of Moses Leo. Shawn Blore, who has been sidelined with a foot injury, has a strong chance of featuring this weekend after being named on the extended bench alongside Hugo Peel. Over at the Canberra Raiders, winger Savelio Tamale has been dropped to the interchange bench, opening the door for Seb Kris to shift to the wing, while Matt Timoko has been recalled to starting centre after a stint in reserve grade focused on shoring up his defensive game.

    In the final match-day announcements, Penrith Panthers confirmed that Izack Tago will make his 2024 season debut in the centres, replacing suspended player Casey McLean. Luke Garner has stepped into the side to cover for Liam Martin, who remains sidelined with a knee injury, for the Panthers’ clash against the Dolphins. Meanwhile, the Newcastle Knights welcome playmaker Dylan Brown back to the side following his recovery from a knee injury, with Fletcher Sharpe shifting to fullback to accommodate his return.

  • Lebanon, Israel to meet for tough talks in Washington

    Lebanon, Israel to meet for tough talks in Washington

    A high-stakes round of diplomatic talks between Lebanese and Israeli representatives is set to convene in Washington on Tuesday, hosted under the mediation of U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio. But as the meeting gets underway, deep irreconcilable gaps between the two sides, combined with open opposition from key armed group Hezbollah, have left even veteran regional observers deeply skeptical that any meaningful breakthrough will be achieved. The talks mark the first direct, high-level diplomatic engagement between the Israeli and Lebanese governments since 1993, according to an anonymous senior State Department official. Attendees will include both nations’ ambassadors to Washington, as well as the U.S. ambassador to Beirut, the official confirmed. The core stated goals of the dialogue are to lay the groundwork for long-term security along Israel’s northern border and back the Lebanese government’s push to reassert full sovereign control over its entire territory, the official added. The conflict that brings delegates to the negotiating table erupted on March 2, when Hezbollah launched attacks against Israel, drawing Lebanon fully into the broader regional conflict centered on tensions between Israel and Iran. Hezbollah’s entry into the fighting came just days after the February 28 joint Israeli-American offensive that killed Iranian supreme leader Ali Khamenei, an attack the group has vowed to avenge. In the months since the conflict escalated, Israeli military operations have devastated large swathes of Lebanon. Intensive air strikes, including a massive bombardment of central Beirut on April 8, and a full ground invasion of southern Lebanon have killed more than 2,000 people and displaced over 1 million Lebanese civilians, despite repeated international calls for an immediate ceasefire. The biggest immediate rift between the parties centers on core demands that neither side appears willing to compromise on. For Israeli officials, any successful outcome is tied to the full disarmament of Hezbollah and the removal of the group from southern Lebanon. Israeli government spokeswoman Shosh Bedrosian told reporters on Monday that the country has no interest in discussing a ceasefire with Hezbollah, which she condemned for continuing unprovoked, indiscriminate attacks on Israeli civilian areas. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu doubled down on that position over the weekend, emphasizing that Israel’s non-negotiable goals are the full dismantling of Hezbollah’s weapons arsenal and a durable, long-term peace agreement that will stand for generations. Public opinion in Israel heavily backs that hardline approach: a new poll published Monday by the Israel Democracy Institute found that 80% of Jewish Israeli respondents support continuing military operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon regardless of diplomatic progress with Iran, even if that puts the country at odds with the Trump administration. On the Lebanese side, government leaders are framing the talks around an entirely different priority: securing an immediate ceasefire to end the ongoing devastation. Lebanese President Joseph Aoun said Monday he hopes the Washington talks will produce a ceasefire agreement that clears the way for full formal direct negotiations between the two states. Even before the talks began, Hezbollah’s leader Naim Qassem, head of the Iran-aligned movement that has led the fight against Israel, has openly called for the talks to be canceled, dismissing the entire process as “futile.” For the Trump administration, mediating the talks has proven to be a fraught diplomatic balancing act. U.S. officials have insisted that any resolution must meet two core demands that many analysts see as difficult to reconcile: the full disarmament of Hezbollah, and full respect for Lebanon’s territorial integrity and national sovereignty, all while unconditionally upholding Israel’s right to security. The broader regional context has further complicated U.S. efforts: the Washington talks come just days after a new round of U.S.-Iran talks held in Pakistan failed to produce any breakthrough, and U.S. diplomats fear a continued escalation in Lebanon could derail any future progress on the Iranian nuclear and regional security file. Most regional analysts and even former insiders are already bracing for failure. “It would take a lot of imagination and optimism to think that the deep issues dividing Israel and Lebanon can be resolved in one day of talks in Washington,” a former senior Israeli defense official told reporters on condition of anonymity, acknowledging that “expectations are extremely low” going into the meeting. The former official added that if no agreement is reached, Israel is likely to move forward with establishing a large buffer zone in southern Lebanon, mirroring the security arrangement it currently maintains in the Gaza Strip.

  • Roosters issue ominous warning as former assistant receives high praise ahead of his return to Sydney

    Roosters issue ominous warning as former assistant receives high praise ahead of his return to Sydney

    This weekend presents one of the most intriguing storylines of the NRL season, as former Sydney Roosters attack coach Justin Holbrook returns to Sydney to plot an upset against his old side, leading a vastly improved Newcastle Knights outfit that has defied early-season expectations.

    Many elite assistant coaches struggle to find their footing when they first step into a head coaching role, but Holbrook has wasted no time leaving his mark on the Knights. Just months into the job, he has transformed the club’s once-lowest-ranked attack into a dynamic, dangerous unit — a remarkable turnaround for a side that finished last in the 2023 competition, even with star players Kalyn Ponga and Dylan Brown sidelined through injury.

    Holbrook first joined the Roosters after departing the Gold Coast Titans, spending two seasons as the club’s attack architect and turning the Sydney side into one of the most prolific attacking teams in the league. His work at the Roosters earned him high praise from the club’s playing group, a respect that remains unchanged even ahead of this weekend’s clash.

    Roosters forward Angus Crichton, who has experienced Holbrook’s coaching first-hand, opened up about the impact the new Knights head coach has had across his career. “He’s a really good man manager,” Crichton explained. “He knows how to get the best out of his players, and it’s impressed me seeing him go to Newcastle and still thrive. A lot of great assistants struggle with the jump to head coaching, but he looks like he’s learnt so much from his first stint in the top job. I’m really happy for him — he’s such a great bloke. He really got our attack humming when he was here, so this weekend is going to be a really good test for us.”

    The Roosters head into Sunday’s home clash against Newcastle on the back of a hard-fought 12-point win over Cronulla Sharks in Perth. The side looked shaky in the opening 20 minutes, failing to hold onto possession, but rallied strongly in the second half to pull away for victory. Crichton was quick to note that despite the win, his side is still far from hitting their peak form. “I think we’re still so far from our best and we’re nowhere near where we want to be yet,” he said. “We’ve got so much work to do, and we were back putting in the hard yards again this week. We’re not out here thinking we’re world beaters — we know we’ve still got a long way to go. We’re still working on our timing and our attacking shapes, we’re not always in the right spots at the right time. That’ll only come with more game time and continuity, so we just keep building our combinations and making sure every player does their job.”

    The victory over the Sharks was marred by a controversial refereeing call that saw a clear try from Roosters winger Robert Toia ruled out by the NRL Bunker for an incorrect obstruction ruling. The call sparked widespread outrage across the league, with the NRL later admitting the decision was wrong. Toia missed Tuesday’s team training as he recovers from influenza, and Crichton said controversial refereeing calls are nothing new to rugby league. “How long have you been in rugby league for? You shouldn’t be surprised, this is what we do!” he laughed. “I’m not surprised. This stuff happens every year, there’s always new things that pop up. It’s just about how you adapt as a team, there’s no point sulking and crying about it. You just move forward, make sure you understand the interpretations, and get ready when things change. It’s good that the NRL admitted they got this one wrong, and hopefully we’ll see more common sense prevail in future decisions.”

    Off the field, Crichton is adjusting to life as a new father after he and his partner welcomed their first child, son Sullivan, on Easter Sunday. Crichton said the club has been incredibly supportive as he navigates the early days of parenthood. “We went into hospital on Saturday night, and he arrived Sunday morning,” Crichton said. “The club was great. The boys were meant to train on Monday, but I called the coach and he let me have the day off. I came in on Tuesday, did the bare minimum — got some field work in, skipped the meetings, did a bit of gym and headed home to be with my family. I went back to hospital, the boys travelled to Perth on Wednesday, and I got to stay an extra night to make sure my partner and Sullivan were settled at home before I flew out on Thursday. It was such a special time, and the club couldn’t have been more understanding. It’s good to be back home now so I can help out.”

  • Mother appears in court charged with neglect

    Mother appears in court charged with neglect

    A 31-year-old South Australian woman has made her first court appearance on criminal neglect charges connected to the tragic death of a nine-month-old baby earlier this year. The incident, which unfolded in Adelaide’s northern suburb of Elizabeth Downs on March 4, prompted an immediate emergency response, but first responders were unable to revive the unresponsive infant found inside a parked minivan at the family’s property.

    Crystal Manneken stood briefly in the dock at the Elizabeth Magistrates Court on Tuesday, marking her first public court attendance since charges were formally filed. No substantive details of the allegations were discussed during the short procedural hearing, with the case quickly adjourned to allow the defendant to secure legal representation.

    During the hearing, Manneken only addressed Magistrate Rodney Oates to confirm she was still awaiting a response on her application for government-funded legal aid. In response, Oates emphasized the gravity of the charges, urging her to secure legal counsel as quickly as possible ahead of the next court date.

    After the hearing concluded, Manneken declined to make any comment to assembled media waiting outside the courthouse. The matter has been scheduled to resume in the same court on December 15, when further procedural steps are expected to be outlined.

  • ‘It’s not just one player’: Harry Grant defends Joe Chan after epic Craig Bellamy bake as Storm look to snap out of horror form slump

    ‘It’s not just one player’: Harry Grant defends Joe Chan after epic Craig Bellamy bake as Storm look to snap out of horror form slump

    For nearly 20 years, the Melbourne Storm have stood as the most dominant and feared franchise in the National Rugby League. But the 2026 season has brought the club an unprecedented crisis: a four-match losing skid that has exposed long-unseen vulnerabilities and left the squad hungry to reverse their fortunes ahead of Friday’s critical clash with the Canberra Raiders.\n\nThe team’s most recent defeat delivered an extra dose of humiliation, as the New Zealand Warriors – who had not beaten Melbourne in 17 consecutive matchups – bullied the Storm on their own home turf to snap that crippling losing streak. The core issues plaguing Craig Bellamy’s side this season trace back to a brutal off-season: a crippling wave of injuries and the departure of multiple star players left the roster depleted, forcing the veteran coach to shift middle forwards to edge positions and leaving the team without the dynamic wide attacking threat it has relied on for years.\n\nIt is on the defensive end, however, that the Storm’s struggles have been most glaring. Through the opening six rounds of the season, the side has conceded a staggering 158 total points, with 116 of those coming in just their past three outings. After the Warriors defeat, high-profile rugby league figures have been quick to criticize the squad: club great Billy Slater publicly questioned the team’s overall attitude, while former NSW coach Brad Fittler labeled Melbourne’s defensive performance “terrible” during his appearance on the *Sunday Footy Show*. The poor first-half performance against the Warriors also sparked an infamous, blistering halftime spray from coach Bellamy, a moment that gained widespread attention across rugby league social media channels.\n\nSpeaking ahead of Friday’s matchup with the Raiders, Storm captain and hooker Harry Grant has acknowledged the team’s subpar performance, admitting that the club has not hit the on-field standard it has built its reputation on. “There’s a level that we need to be performing to, and we’re certainly not there at the moment with application on the field,” Grant said. “We’ve been preparing really well for games and there are answers in the team and in the coaching squad, but it’s up to us to put in practice for performances on the weekend.”\n\nGrant added that all outside criticism of the struggling side is fair, but he is focused on tuning out external noise rather than letting it derail the team’s comeback efforts. He pointed to the rapid shift in public narrative around the Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs, who were widely written off just a few weeks ago before stunning the league with an upset win over the top-ranked Penrith Panthers. “Everyone changes their tune week after week,” Grant noted. “With that, it’s eliminating all the outside noise. We’ve got all the answers in the club here with the playing group and the coaching staff, but it’s just about applying it. People can have their opinions, but it doesn’t mean too much.”\n\nAll eyes will be on young forward Joe Chan this week, who was benched early in the second half against the Warriors after committing three errors and one penalty, just hours after receiving a public rebuke from Bellamy at halftime. Grant pushed back on narratives that have singled Chan out for blame, emphasizing that the Storm’s slump is a collective issue across the entire squad. “Everyone’s been in those shoes at times as a player,” Grant said. “We just need Joey at his best. When he brings his strengths to the team and is at his best, he’s a great asset to the team. You can single one player out, but it’s not just one player. It’s a collective 30-man squad, and that’s what it is.”\n\nHistorically, the Storm have built strong early-season leads to give themselves breathing room during the State of Origin representative period, but this year the club sits with just two wins from six matches, leaving no room for further error. Still, Grant and the squad have not given up on their 2026 campaign, pointing to the Penrith Panthers’ incredible 2025 turnaround as inspiration: that side sat at the bottom of the ladder after 12 rounds last year before rallying to reach the preliminary final, one win short of a grand final berth.\n\n“You can certainly take inspiration from other teams and where they’ve been,” Grant said. “At the end of the day, it’s a different team, a different environment, and it’s us that’s in it and it’s us that can make it happen. It’s not just going to happen because it’s happened in the past. You’ve got to go out there and create it and make it happen yourself.”\n\nThe Storm now enter Friday’s clash with Canberra desperate to snap their losing streak and avoid a second consecutive heavy defeat that would deepen their early-season crisis.

  • Self-defence claim in Bunnings dog attack case

    Self-defence claim in Bunnings dog attack case

    A high-profile animal cruelty case has begun in South Australia, where a local man is facing charges over an alleged dog attack caught on camera that sparked public outrage earlier this year.

    Forty-eight-year-old Nathan Bradwell of Smithfield appeared before the Elizabeth Magistrates Court on Tuesday on one count of ill treatment of an animal. The charge stems from a March 1 incident in the carpark of the Bunnings Warehouse location in Parafield, a northern suburb of Adelaide, where prosecutors say Bradwell kicked a four-year-old Staffordshire bull terrier named Maya twice.

    Widely circulated public footage of the incident shows the dog leashed in the flatbed of her owner’s ute, with a man matching Bradwell’s description making a series of kicking motions toward the animal. Following his March arrest, Bradwell made his first brief in-person appearance before a magistrate this week, after which the case was adjourned to allow for further pre-trial preparation. The next hearing is scheduled for May 11.

    As Bradwell left the courthouse, he avoided press cameras by covering his face with a jacket, but spoke briefly to waiting reporters to lay out his planned legal defense. He claims he acted solely in self-defense when he interacted with the dog, saying, “I never hurt the dog at all. I was defending myself and I pushed the dog off.” He also questioned the authenticity of the viral footage, suggesting it could have been doctored to misrepresent what happened. To back up his claim of an aggressive encounter, Bradwell lifted his jacket and shirt to show reporters a scar on his abdomen, adding that he would present his full account of events during the trial. He also asserted that he has “defended animals all my life,” and argued he was now facing harassment from members of the public angry over the allegations.

    Maya’s owners, Hayden Palkovics and Tyler Wright, were in attendance at Tuesday’s hearing and spoke publicly about their perspective on the incident outside the courthouse. Palkovics, a Salisbury North resident, said he felt intense anger seeing Bradwell in the courtroom, noting that while Maya has recovered enough to resume normal life, she still suffers from a persistent sore eye from the alleged attack. The couple have paid between $300 and $400 in veterinary bills for Maya’s treatment, a cost Palkovics says should never have been necessary. “There is no excuse for what happened and no reason,” he said, adding that he believes Bradwell has shown little to no remorse for his alleged actions.

    Wright added that the traumatic incident has had a lasting impact on her daily behavior, saying she now feels anxious leaving Maya untended in public carparks and always waits beside the vehicle anytime the pair stop out. “There is never any excuse for harming an animal,” Palkovics said, echoing a sentiment shared by many members of the public who have commented on the viral footage of the incident.

  • AFL 2026: Carlton defenders Jacob Weitering and Harry Dean will be available for Collingwood

    AFL 2026: Carlton defenders Jacob Weitering and Harry Dean will be available for Collingwood

    Ahead of one of the most anticipated AFL matches of the early season, Carlton has received a major defensive boost, with two of its starting defenders cleared to return for Thursday night’s blockbuster against Collingwood at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.

    Jacob Weitering and Harry Dean, both of whom missed the Blues’ Gather Round clash with Adelaide after sustaining concussions, have been confirmed fit to retake their spots in the back six. Stand-in defenders Nick Haynes and Wade Derksen were forced to step up against the Crows last week, a match that pushed the understudies outside their usual comfort zone.

    Speaking to media on Tuesday, Carlton senior coach Michael Voss confirmed the pair’s return, noting that both have successfully completed all concussion protocol requirements. “They’ll both be available,” Voss said. “They trained under the protocols last week on Friday and they’ve trained fully this week. I expect them to be available, they’ll end up back in the side. I’ll fit Jacob back in somewhere I reckon, he’ll find a spot. They’ll be two important additions for us – both the old and the new.”

    Weitering suffered his concussion in a marking contest on Good Friday, leaving the backline short of its veteran leader for the Adelaide clash. Dean’s return adds critical depth to a defensive unit that was stretched thin last round, a gap the club will be relieved to fill heading into its rivalry match against the Magpies, who are currently working through their own forward line selection challenges.

    Last week’s match against Adelaide also left Voss responding to commentary over his controversial decision to bench captain Patrick Cripps for the opening stretch of the second quarter. Carlton started the match with one of its strongest opening quarters of the year, but Cripps’ absence allowed the Crows to grab the momentum and surge to an eventual lead.

    Voss has doubled down on his rotation strategy, pushing back at critics who questioned the call. “I understand there was some commentary on it,” he said. “But correct me if I’m wrong, you all had him traded last week didn’t you? Now he’s playing 100 per cent game time. We do what the team needs, it’s team-first. We’ve got a rotation that we want to make sure we execute, there’s some immediate impact that we need to have. But we also take into account that it’s the whole game we need to be able to play and bring intensity around the ball.”

    Beyond the confirmed returns of Weitering and Dean, Voss also revealed the club is weighing a recall for reigning Carlton best and fairest winner George Hewett, who was dropped from the match side ahead of the Adelaide clash.

  • ‘Blindsided’: US farmers strained as fertilizer costs surge on war

    ‘Blindsided’: US farmers strained as fertilizer costs surge on war

    As spring planting gets underway across the United States, agricultural producers in major farm belts are facing an unprecedented crisis, driven by geopolitical unrest thousands of miles away. The conflict that followed US-Israeli strikes on Iran, which prompted Tehran to block the Strait of Hormuz — a critical global chokepoint for fertilizer and energy shipments — has sent input costs soaring and left growing numbers of farmers waiting for delayed orders they urgently need for this year’s growing season.

    On Andy Corriher’s North Carolina corn and soybean operation, the timing could not be worse. Spring is the period when most American farmers apply the bulk of their fertilizer for the year, and Corriher is among the many who found themselves forced to buy supplies just as prices skyrocketed and shipments stalled. “We got hit at the worst possible time, because we’re trying to buy fertilizer when it skyrockets and when the supply also gets cut,” the 47-year-old grower told AFP. He noted he placed orders for multiple loads of liquid nitrogen weeks ago, but suppliers still cannot give him a firm delivery date. Since the blockage of the strait, Corriher estimates the price of his nitrogen fertilizer has jumped by at least 40 percent, while urea — a widely used nitrogen-based fertilizer — has seen a roughly 50 percent price spike at the Port of New Orleans. To cope, he has cut his fertilizer application by a third, a move he fears will lead to lower crop yields at harvest.

    Corriher is far from alone in facing this sudden squeeze. Russell Hedrick, a 40-year-old farmer who grows corn and soy across 1,000 acres near Hickory, North Carolina, said around three-quarters of his fertilizer purchases for this season happened after prices rocketed. Unlike large industrial agricultural operations, most small to mid-sized American farmers lack the on-farm storage capacity and upfront capital to stock up on bulk fertilizer months ahead of planting season, leaving them exposed to sudden market shocks. Even before the current conflict, Hedrick noted, steadily rising input costs had forced farmers to carefully ration every pound of fertilizer to maximize output. Now, he has cut application rates down to the “bare minimum,” holding off on additional applications in the hopes prices will cool later in the season. “This year, we just kind of got blindsided,” he said, comparing the unexpected disruption to pre-planned export restrictions that caused fertilizer shortages in 2021, shortages that farmers had time to prepare for.

    The crisis has put political pressure on the Trump administration, as farmers make up a core support base that delivered 78 percent of the vote in agricultural-dependent counties to Trump in the 2024 election. Over the weekend, Trump blamed the price hikes on “price gouging from the fertilizer monopoly,” and reassured producers that “American Farmers, we have your back!” US Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins attempted to downplay the severity of the crisis, noting that 80 percent of American farmers had already purchased their spring fertilizer before the conflict broke out. But that assessment offered little comfort to the 20 percent of producers who lacked the funds or storage to buy early. For Derrick Austin, a 55-year-old grower based in Marshville, Rollins’ comments were a “gut shot.” After hearing news of the Strait of Hormuz blockage, Austin immediately called his supplier to lock in supply before prices rose. “Thankfully, he let me buy three loads of nitrogen at the old price per ton so I could at least fertilize my wheat crop,” he said. “It was devastating.”

    For many long-time Trump supporters in farm country, the crisis has sparked new questions about the administration’s handling of the Middle East conflict, even as most remain hesitant to abandon their support. Corriher, who has backed Trump in past elections, said the crisis “didn’t seem like we had really thought out all the consequences to the American people. I feel like these things were kind of overlooked as part of collateral damage.” The surge in fertilizer costs has been paired with simultaneous spikes in gasoline and diesel prices, hitting both farmers and ordinary American households: “Everybody seems to be suffering.” Austin said the conflict has left him questioning the administration’s decision-making, though he still believes the current administration “still beats some of the alternatives.” Hedrick, who has voted for Trump three times, struck a similar balance: “He’s human like the rest of us. I think he makes good calls, I think he makes mistakes. If the conflict’s resolution brings long-term peace and a reopened Strait of Hormuz, that’s all I can hope for.”

    Agricultural economists warn that the long-term impact of the crisis will depend on how quickly the conflict is resolved. The US agricultural sector has already been locked in a prolonged recession for the past two years, noted Chad Hart, an agricultural economist at Iowa State University, with net farm income declining while overall business costs remain persistently high. For 2025, the overall impact may be muted, as many producers who bought fertilizer early will avoid the worst of the price hikes, keeping overall margin losses lower than initially feared. But if the conflict drags on and the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked, Hart warned the 2027 crop cycle could face far more severe disruptions that would send ripple effects through global food markets.

  • Australians brace for ‘cost of living shock’ as confidence plunges

    Australians brace for ‘cost of living shock’ as confidence plunges

    Australia’s economic sentiment has suffered its sharpest contraction since the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, driven by a crippling new cost of living shock that has left both households and bracing for severe economic headwinds, new industry surveys show.

    The monthly Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment Index, a key measure of Australian household economic outlook, recorded a dramatic 12.5% nosedive in April, dragging the headline reading down to 80.1. By standard survey conventions, any score above 100 signals a net optimistic outlook among consumers, while readings below 100 reflect widespread pessimism. The latest result sits near all-time historic lows, though it remains slightly above the extreme troughs recorded during peak COVID-19 lockdowns and the early 1990s Australian recession.

    “Australian consumers are being hit by another cost of living shock,” explained Matthew Hassan, Westpac’s head of Australian macro forecasting. Surging fuel prices have emerged as the single biggest drain on household budgets, dragging the corresponding survey subindex down 16.7% year-on-year to 66.8. The sharp decline follows a record jump in national average petrol prices, which hit $2.40 per litre in early April – a 77-cent increase from February that marks the largest percentage price spike in the survey’s decades-long history.

    All five of the index’s core subindicators deteriorated sharply in April, with measures of current economic conditions faring the worst. Near-term expectations for both national economic performance and personal household finances also fell steeply, a trend Hassan says signals consumers see almost no chance of near-term relief and are preparing for ongoing hardship.

    Fears of another interest rate increase from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) are also weighing heavily on consumer sentiment, Hassan added. Global energy market volatility stemming from international conflicts has stoked inflation concerns, leading many consumers to bet the RBA will implement another rate hike to cool price growth. The Westpac-Melbourne Institute Mortgage Rate Expectations Index, which tracks household forecasts for variable mortgage rates over the coming 12 months, rose 3.9% in April to 177.2, returning to the recent cycle’s multi-year highs.

    Money markets are currently pricing in a 65% probability that the RBA will raise the official cash rate when its board meets on May 4-5. If the hike goes through, it will mark the third interest rate increase in 2026 and fully undo the four rate cuts the central bank implemented in 2025, leaving households facing even higher mortgage repayment costs.

    The economic uncertainty has also spiked fears of job losses, pushing unemployment expectations to their most pessimistic level since August 2020 – one of the darkest periods of the COVID-19 pandemic, shortly before the federal government expanded the JobKeeper wage subsidy program to prevent mass layoffs. Data shows the jump in job insecurity is most acute among workers in sectors directly exposed to energy and interest rate volatility, particularly construction and hospitality.

    The bleak sentiment is not limited to households: separate monthly survey data from the National Australia Bank (NAB) shows Australian business confidence has suffered its second-largest one-month drop in 37 years. The plunge comes on the back of the recent outbreak of conflict in the Middle East and soaring domestic fuel prices, which have combined to amplify existing price pressure pressures across the economy.

    In the first full survey reading collected after the Middle East conflict began, NAB’s business confidence index plummeted 29 points to a negative reading of minus 29. Falls of this magnitude have only been recorded twice before in the survey’s history: during the 2008 Global Financial Crisis and at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020.

    Unlike consumer sentiment, however, actual business activity has so far held relatively steady. NAB’s measure of business conditions fell just one point to six index points in March, indicating that while geopolitical and inflationary shocks have hit business outlook, the real impact on day-to-day operations has yet to fully materialize. “It is still early days in terms of the flow through to activity,” noted Gareth Spence, NAB’s head of Australian economics. Confidence is now negative across every Australian state and territory, though business conditions remain positive in most regions.

    The sharp synchronized drop in both consumer and business sentiment marks one of the most significant weakening in Australian economic outlook outside of formal recession periods, reinforcing warnings from top RBA officials about ongoing economic instability and persistent inflationary risks.

  • War-weary Lebanese weigh giving talks with Israel a chance

    War-weary Lebanese weigh giving talks with Israel a chance

    Decades of repeated conflict have left many Lebanese civilians desperate for an end to bloodshed, creating deep divisions across the country over whether to proceed with unprecedented direct negotiations with Israel scheduled for this week in Washington.

    For residents like Qassem Saad, a 49-year-old shop owner who sustained minor injuries in a recent Israeli airstrike that leveled a neighboring Beirut building, exhaustion after generations of war has overridden long-held political enmity. From his damaged store overlooking the rubble, Saad told Agence France-Presse that while Israel remains an adversarial power to most Lebanese, the population can no longer bear the cost of ongoing fighting. “What matters to us is to reach a stage where we can raise our children and live in peace. If there is a comprehensive solution for peace, we are for it, on the condition that no one encroaches on the other,” Saad said. He added that he would fully support the talks if Israel agrees to withdraw from all occupied southern Lebanese territory, repatriate Lebanese prisoners, honor Lebanese sovereign rights, and end all cross-border attacks.

    The upcoming Tuesday meeting between Lebanese and Israeli ambassadors in Washington comes as the death toll from the expanding regional conflict continues to climb. Lebanese official data confirms that at least 2,089 people, including 166 children and 88 healthcare workers, have been killed in Israeli strikes since violence spilled over into Lebanon from the Gaza conflict on March 2. A recent nationwide wave of Israeli air strikes last Wednesday alone killed more than 350 people across the country, leaving neighborhoods like Beirut’s working-class Corniche al-Mazraa in ruins.

    Many ordinary residents recovering from the destruction share Saad’s hunger for peace. Kamal Ayad, another 49-year-old who was repairing strike damage in Corniche al-Mazraa, echoed calls for an end to decades of conflict. “We are in favor of (negotiations) if they serve Lebanon’s interest, if they will resolve matters, end the war, and let us live in peace,” Ayad said. “We want peace… and we hope Iran won’t obstruct it. We are extremely tired… We have lived through many wars and we want rest.”

    But not all Lebanese are convinced that negotiations can deliver a just and lasting peace, especially while bombardment continues. Hezbollah, the Iran-backed militant group that has been the main target of Israeli strikes, has already rejected the talks out of hand. Hezbollah deputy leader Naim Qassem has demanded the meeting be canceled and vowed to fight Israel “until our last breath.” Hundreds of Hezbollah supporters held a protest march in Beirut Saturday to voice their opposition, though the group and its political ally the Amal Movement later called off further demonstrations to preserve domestic civil peace.

    Skepticism also runs deep among some civilian residents who doubt Israel’s commitment to any negotiated agreement. Mohammad Al-Khatib, a 57-year-old electronics business owner whose shop sits near the site of the Corniche al-Mazraa airstrike, where soot still blackens building facades and the smell of smoke lingers, argues that talks held under ongoing attack are illegitimate. “You don’t hold negotiations under bombardment, shelling and humiliation. Where is the justice?” he asked. “They (the Israelis) have never stuck to peace in their lives. Their ambition is expansion and control over Lebanon… throughout its history Israel hasn’t been credible.”

    Other residents warn that the push for talks risks igniting new internal strife in a country still grappling with the legacy of the 1975-1990 Lebanese Civil War. For decades, negotiating with Israel — which is officially classified as an enemy state under Lebanese law — has been a deeply taboo topic in Lebanese politics. Joe Ghafari, a 61-year-old resident of Beirut’s Ashrafiyeh district, noted that the ultimate fate of any peace deal depends on outside powers: the United States, Israel’s main backer, and Iran, which provides funding and military support to Hezbollah. “There has to be a solution between the US and Iran, otherwise negotiations are useless,” Ghafari said. “The decision isn’t in our hands. If it were, I would support negotiations.” He added that deep divisions within Lebanon over talks with Israel mean any progress on the diplomatic front could spark domestic conflict that the small country can no longer withstand. “How can we make peace with Israel if part (of the population) doesn’t want it?” Ghafari asked. “If these negotiations advance while the other side does not want them, there will of course be internal conflict. And Lebanon cannot bear internal wars.”

    The path to talks is already complicated by competing positioning from both sides. Lebanese authorities have emphasized that Beirut’s top priority is securing an immediate bilateral ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah before formal talks can proceed, but Israel has ruled out that outcome for the moment. Israel insists that Hezbollah must first fully disarm, and says it would rather move straight to formal peace negotiations with the Lebanese state itself. The diplomatic push comes just days after talks between the U.S. and Iran aimed at ending the broader regional war failed to produce a permanent agreement. The two sides agreed to a temporary two-week truce, which Iran and mediator Pakistan say covers cross-border fighting in Lebanon, a claim that both Israel and the U.S. have rejected.

    This week’s meeting is not the first attempt at direct dialogue between the two longtime foes. In December 2024, Lebanese and Israeli civilian representatives held the first direct talks between the two sides in decades, as part of a monitoring mechanism for a temporary ceasefire that ended an earlier round of Israel-Hezbollah fighting. The last formal negotiations between the two countries followed Israel’s 1982 invasion of Lebanon, producing an agreement to end hostilities that was later annulled by Lebanese authorities.