标签： Asia

A comprehensive security assessment has identified the United States as the predominant factor influencing overseas risk landscapes for Chinese interests throughout 2026. The China Overseas Security Risk Blue Book (2026), collaboratively produced by Renmin University’s National Security Institute and the China Overseas Security Research Institute, reveals that intensifying great-power competition, deteriorating global governance mechanisms, and persistent regional conflicts are generating unprecedented complexities for China’s international operations.

The report details how Washington’s strategic approach toward China has evolved into increasingly institutionalized and sophisticated forms of high-intensity competition. These geopolitical maneuvers are simultaneously eroding the foundations of the international order while creating destabilizing effects across multiple regions where China maintains substantial economic interests.

Recent financial data from China’s Ministry of Commerce underscores the scale of these exposures, with total outbound direct investment reaching $158.21 billion during the first eleven months of 2025. Chinese enterprises have established non-financial direct investments across 153 countries worldwide, accumulating $132.09 billion in committed capital.

The analysis specifically references the recent US military intervention in Venezuela, including the detention of President Nicolas Maduro and his spouse, as demonstrating the operationalization of what the report terms the ‘Donroe Doctrine’ – an evolved interpretation of the historic Monroe Doctrine emphasizing hemispheric control and resource acquisition. This doctrine has effectively obstructed regional cooperation initiatives involving China.

Now in its tenth annual edition, the Blue Book concludes that such interventions demonstrate America’s continued adherence to hegemonic power politics throughout Latin America, consequently generating volatile conditions for Chinese investment projects and cooperative ventures across the region.

Liu Qing, Vice-President and senior research fellow at the China Institute of International Studies, notes that while China’s Belt and Road Initiative continues to expand the overseas interests and requirements of Chinese corporations, corresponding security capabilities have failed to maintain pace with this growth. This emerging discrepancy represents a critical vulnerability demanding urgent attention.

The assessment further identifies additional global risk factors including deepening US security collaborations with Japan and South Korea, Japan’s political rightward shift and resurgent militarism, ongoing Middle Eastern conflicts, and the protracted Ukraine crisis. Deficits in global governance architectures are simultaneously increasing the costs and complexities associated with protecting China’s overseas assets.

The Blue Book ultimately recommends enhanced monitoring of evolving geopolitical situations to mitigate risks, alongside strengthened technological reserves to address non-traditional security challenges. It further advocates for China’s constructive participation in global governance frameworks and the provision of high-quality international public goods.

PYONGYANG – A high-ranking North Korean official has formally demanded that South Korea provide a comprehensive explanation regarding an unmanned aerial vehicle that allegedly penetrated North Korean airspace earlier this month, according to a report published Sunday by the Korean Central News Agency (KCNA).

Kim Yo Jong, who serves as vice department director of the Central Committee of the Workers’ Party of Korea, issued the statement through an official press release on Saturday. The prominent political figure and sister of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un expressed measured appreciation for South Korea’s recent commitment to avoid provocation, characterizing the Defense Ministry’s public declaration as “a wise choice.”

However, Kim maintained that this diplomatic gesture must be accompanied by transparent accountability concerning the January 4 incident where a drone reportedly crossed the military demarcation line separating the two nations. “A detailed explanation should be made about the actual case of a drone that crossed the southern border of our Republic from the ROK,” Kim stated, employing the formal acronym for the Republic of Korea.

The North Korean official specifically challenged attempts within South Korea to minimize the significance of the event by attributing it to civilian activity. Kim emphasized that the fundamental concern transcends whether the drone originated from military or civilian sources, noting that the aircraft had captured visual data of sensitive locations including a uranium mining facility, its settling pond, the former Kaesong Industrial Zone, and several border security installations.

“Regardless of who the perpetrator is or whether the act was carried out by any civilian organization or individual, the authorities responsible for national security can never evade their responsibility for it,” Kim asserted, directly implicating South Korean leadership in the alleged security breach.

In response to these allegations, South Korean President Lee Jae-myung has reportedly ordered a comprehensive investigation, directing military and police task forces to verify the circumstances surrounding the incident. The South Korean Defense Ministry has formally denied involvement, stating that no military drones were operational on the dates specified by North Korean authorities and that the drone in question does not correspond to any models currently deployed by South Korean armed forces.

KATHMANDU, Nepal — In a significant display of political sentiment, supporters of Nepal’s abolished monarchy gathered in the capital on Sunday, vocally demanding the reinstatement of the royal institution just months before scheduled parliamentary elections. This marked the first major demonstration by monarchists since September’s youth-led protests that precipitated governmental upheaval.

Chanting “We love our king. Bring back the king,” hundreds of protesters assembled around the statue of King Prithvi Narayan Shah, the 18th-century founder of the Shah dynasty. The rally coincided with the birth anniversary of the historic monarch, an occasion that has previously witnessed violent confrontations between demonstrators and security forces. Last March, two fatalities occurred during similar pro-monarchy gatherings.

The current political landscape stems from widespread September demonstrations led by disillusioned Gen Z activists protesting systemic corruption, limited opportunities, unemployment, and poor governance. These protests, initially triggered by a short-lived social media ban, ultimately led to the establishment of an interim government under Nepal’s first female prime minister, retired Supreme Court Justice Sushila Karki.

Samrat Thapa, one of the demonstrators, articulated the movement’s conviction: “The last and only alternative for this country is king and monarchy only. Given the current context and the path taken after the Gen Z movement, monarchy must be restored to manage the situation.”

Despite the historical tensions associated with such gatherings, Sunday’s event proceeded peacefully under the close surveillance of riot police. The monarchy’s abolition in 2008 forced the last Shah king, Gyanendra, to abdicate, establishing Nepal as a republic. Nevertheless, the royal family continues to command substantial support among certain segments of the population.

The interim government faces its own challenges, including criticism over perceived delays in pursuing corruption cases. As the nation prepares for March elections, the persistent royalist movement introduces another complex dimension to Nepal’s evolving political narrative.

President Donald Trump has been presented with detailed military options for potential strikes against Iranian targets, according to a New York Times report citing anonymous administration officials. The briefing occurred amid escalating tensions between Washington and Tehran, triggered by widespread anti-government demonstrations across Iran.

The military proposals include potential strikes on non-military facilities in Tehran, though officials emphasized the President has not yet authorized any action. The development follows Trump’s repeated warnings that the United States would respond if Iranian authorities used lethal force against peaceful protesters.

Trump amplified his position through social media, declaring that “Iran is looking at FREEDOM, perhaps like never before” while offering American assistance. This rhetoric aligns with the administration’s pattern of confrontational language toward the Iranian regime.

Iranian leadership has responded with defiance. Foreign Ministry officials condemned what they characterized as “interventionist and deceptive” statements from Washington, interpreting them as continued hostility toward the Iranian people. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei delivered a televised address urging national unity while directing Trump to focus on domestic American problems rather than Iranian affairs.

The civil unrest originated from economic grievances, particularly the sharp devaluation of Iran’s currency and persistent financial hardships. While acknowledging legitimate economic concerns, Iranian authorities have characterized some demonstrators as “saboteurs” and “rioters,” reporting deadly clashes between security forces and protesters. No official casualty figures have been released.

The situation presents a complex international dilemma, balancing human rights concerns against sovereignty principles, with potential military action carrying significant implications for regional stability and global security.