G7 finance chiefs meet to seek common stance on unstable ground

Against a backdrop of escalating geopolitical tension, global economic volatility, and ongoing conflict in the Middle East, top finance officials from the Group of Seven major industrialized nations kicked off two days of closed-door negotiations in Paris on Monday. The core goal of the summit, hosted by France in its term as rotating G7 president, is to build a coordinated collective stance amid a landscape of overlapping economic and political risks that have put global growth projections on shaky ground.

Even before the first session convened, French Finance Minister Roland Lescure publicly acknowledged the significant challenges facing negotiators, admitting candidly that reaching full consensus across all topics would not be a simple task. The gathering comes at a moment of unprecedented friction, with trade disputes triggered by U.S. President Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff policies amplifying existing geopolitical divides, alongside the economic shockwaves rippling out from the Middle East conflict.

One of the highest-priority items on the meeting agenda is a coordinated push to reduce the G7’s collective reliance on China’s dominant position in global rare earth supplies, a critical input for the artificial intelligence boom that has driven much of advanced economy growth in recent years. Lescure outlined his view that the current trajectory of the global economy, shaped over the past decade, is no longer structurally sustainable. He highlighted a series of interconnected threats: the rapidly expanding U.S. federal budget deficit, stagnant technological progress across European economies, and China’s efforts to counter falling domestic consumer demand and persistent industrial overcapacity by pushing its domestic firms to increase their market share in international export markets.

“Multilateralism can work,” Lescure told reporters ahead of the summit, “but these discussions are not easy — I’m not going to tell you that we agree on everything, including obviously with our American friends.” Trump’s combative, transactional approach to international relations with both allies and adversaries has left many G7 leaders uneasy, as they simultaneously grapple with dual threats of stagnant growth and persistent elevated inflation fueled by the Middle East war.

German Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil emphasized that the G7 serves as the ideal forum for discussions with the U.S. focused on bringing the conflict to an end, noting that the war has inflicted severe damage on global economic development. “This war is massively damaging economic development. That is why everything must be done to bring the war to a permanent end, to stabilise the region again, and to ensure free shipping lanes through the Strait of Hormuz,” Klingbeil said in a pre-summit statement. The G7 finance chiefs are scheduled to wrap up their talks with a closing press conference at midday on Tuesday.

For the French presidency, even a collective shared recognition of the core challenges on the table would be counted as a major success. Officials aim to release two joint statements following the conclusion of negotiations. To set the stage for the full G7 heads of state summit scheduled for June 15-17 in Evian, France, finance ministers from four major emerging and advanced economies — Kenya, Brazil, India, and South Korea — have been invited to join Tuesday’s discussions.

The meeting comes just days after Trump’s high-profile trip to Beijing for talks with Chinese President Xi Jinping failed to deliver a clear breakthrough on two critical issues: rolling back U.S.-China tariffs and advancing progress on ending the Middle East conflict. In recent years, China has expanded its economic influence across regions traditionally aligned with G7 powers, and as a key global supplier of both critical raw materials and low-cost finished goods, it has become increasingly willing to take hardline stances in trade negotiations.

Pierre Jaillet, a senior researcher at France’s Institute for International and Strategic Affairs (IRIS), explained that the G7’s approach to global economic imbalances has shifted dramatically in recent years. “Up to now, the problem of macroeconomic imbalances was addressed… with regards to global financial stability,” Jaillet told AFP. “But now officials are looking through the optic of economic security: trade surpluses or deficits can reflect vulnerabilities or dependencies, in particular with critical minerals or energy, and the risk of supply chain disruptions.”

While Lescure avoided publicly naming China, he made the G7’s goal clear: “The G7 goal is to ‘ensure that we don’t depend on any one country… for our rare earth supplies.” Beyond critical minerals, energy security has moved to the top of the agenda as well, driven by the ongoing conflict in the oil-rich Middle East. Lescure framed the current challenge as parallel to the global energy crisis of the 1970s, saying “We must do for critical materials what we did with energy in the 1970s,” and build a shared framework to respond to future crises.

To address these risks, the French presidency is pushing for the creation of a “common toolbox” that member states can use to counter market disruptions affecting key raw material supplies. Proposed measures include targeted strategic trade agreements, and interventionist policy tools such as price floors, import quotas, and targeted tariffs. France is also seeking to promote multilateral collaborative projects to build out domestic rare earth extraction and refining capacity across G7 nations. A key example currently underway is a joint French-Japanese factory under construction in southwest France that will produce and recycle rare earths, magnets, and other critical minerals. The French state has already committed 106 million euros ($124 million) to the project, which is on track to meet 100 percent of France’s domestic rare earth demand by 2030. Leveraging public development finance to secure agreements in developing countries that encourage private sector investment in critical mineral supply chains is another core policy path on the table, Lescure added.