The National Rugby League landscape has witnessed a dramatic role reversal as the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles now occupy the position of preseason underdogs, a narrative strikingly similar to the Canberra Raiders’ unexpected triumph in 2025. Last season, the Raiders spectacularly defied expert predictions that had them finishing last by instead capturing the minor premiership, making what veteran halfback Jamal Fogarty describes as “everyone look silly.”
This season, analytical attention has shifted to the Sea Eagles, with bookmakers installing Manly at $12 odds to claim the wooden spoon in the 2026 NRL campaign. The team finds itself in a comparable position to Canberra just one year prior, facing widespread skepticism about their competitive capabilities.
The Sea Eagles’ roster features significant changes, most notably Fogarty’s arrival from Canberra to fill the legendary No. 7 jersey vacated by Daly Cherry-Evans after his 15-season tenure. Despite external pessimism, Fogarty maintains that the team remains internally focused rather than motivated by media narratives.
“I’m not being disrespectful, but I don’t follow a whole lot of journos or news articles on socials,” Fogarty stated. “Everyone’s got an opinion, but they don’t see the work that we put in here or understand the type of players that we’ve got here.”
While Manly failed to qualify for the 2025 finals and showed mixed form in recent trial matches, their performance against top-tier opponents last season demonstrates considerable potential. The squad recorded impressive victories against eventual champions Brisbane Broncos, defeated Melbourne Storm on their home turf, comfortably handled Penrith, and delivered a crushing defeat to those very Raiders who defied expectations.
Veteran outside back Reuben Garrick, who is Roosters-bound next season, has emphatically rejected the wooden spoon predictions, acknowledging that external criticism provides some motivation but emphasizing that internal standards drive the team’s preparation.
“You’ve got to use it a little for external motivation,” Garrick told NewsWire. “But that can’t be your main fuel. Your main fuel is to take a lot of pride in your work, and for us that means representing your jersey to the best of your ability and winning games on the weekend.”
Garrick further emphasized the team’s historical identity: “We’re always the underdog here at Manly and we’re never tipped to win anything. We love proving people wrong, and I think we’re going to do that this year.”
The Sea Eagles now face the strategic challenge of consistently defeating teams they are expected to beat in 2026, building upon their demonstrated capability to compete with the league’s elite franchises.