Three key races, California’s map and the Trump factor – what to watch in US elections

As the United States heads to the polls on Election Day, several critical races and decisions are set to shape the nation’s political future. While this year’s elections lack presidential or congressional contests, they are no less significant, with key mayoral, gubernatorial, and redistricting battles taking center stage.

In New York City, the mayoral race has captured national attention as Zohran Mamdani, a 34-year-old democratic socialist and state assemblyman, challenges the political establishment. Mamdani, who defeated former Governor Andrew Cuomo in the Democratic primary, aims to become the city’s youngest mayor in over a century and its first Muslim leader. Cuomo, running as an independent, has criticized Mamdani’s lack of experience and focused on crime and public safety. Meanwhile, Republican Curtis Sliwa remains in the race, refusing to step aside for Cuomo. A Mamdani victory could signal a shift in Democratic messaging, emphasizing cost-of-living issues like rent, groceries, and wages.

California voters are deciding on Proposition 50, a measure that would allow mid-decade redistricting of the state’s congressional districts. This unusual move, spearheaded by Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom, aims to counter Republican-led redistricting efforts in states like Texas and Missouri. With $158 million raised in campaign donations, the proposition has garnered strong partisan support, with 93% of Democrats favoring it and 91% of Republicans opposing it. If passed, the new maps would remain in effect through 2030.

In New Jersey, the gubernatorial race between Democrat Mikie Sherrill and Republican Jack Ciattarelli is shaping up to be a tight contest. New Jersey, traditionally a blue state, has seen heated rhetoric and high-profile endorsements from both parties. Sherrill, a current congresswoman, has been supported by Democratic heavyweights like Barack Obama and Pete Buttigieg, while Ciattarelli has received backing from former President Donald Trump and conservative activists. The outcome could provide insights into the national political climate ahead of the 2026 midterms.

Virginia’s gubernatorial election is another bellwether race, with voters set to elect the state’s first female governor. Democrat Abigail Spanberger, a U.S. congresswoman, faces Republican Winsome Earle-Sears, the current lieutenant governor. Earle-Sears, if elected, would make history as the first Black woman to lead a U.S. state. The race has highlighted economic and cultural issues, with Spanberger focusing on the impact of federal budget cuts and Earle-Sears emphasizing Virginia’s economy under Republican leadership.

Former President Donald Trump’s influence looms large over these elections. His comments on the New York City mayoral race, where he criticized Mamdani and threatened to withhold federal funding, have added tension to the contest. Trump’s role in the redistricting battle and his endorsement of Ciattarelli in New Jersey further underscore his continued impact on U.S. politics.

These elections, though local in nature, carry national implications, offering a glimpse into the evolving political landscape and the strategies both parties may employ in future races.