博客

  • Will Israeli opposition parties join forces to eject Netanyahu?

    Will Israeli opposition parties join forces to eject Netanyahu?

    Preliminary vote tallies from Israel’s Tuesday national elections, with 86% of ballots processed by Wednesday morning, have set the stage for a seismic political shakeup that could unseat long-serving Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu after a four-year tenure defined by devastating military campaigns in Gaza and accelerating dispossession and displacement of Palestinian communities across the occupied West Bank. Netanyahu’s far-right religious governing bloc is projected to lose 11 Knesset seats, landing at just 53 seats — eight short of the 61-seat threshold required to form a governing majority. The centrist Jewish opposition faction, led by former Yashar party chief Gadi Eisenkot, is on track to secure 48 seats, putting it in prime position to claim control of the 120-seat parliament, but only if it can lock in support from the newly empowered Arab minority parties, which won a historic 19 seats on the back of record voter participation. Arab voters defied a sustained campaign of racist incitement from Netanyahu’s electoral camp and widespread ballot access suppression efforts to turn out in unprecedented numbers, a milestone analysts are framing as a transformative moment for Israeli politics. Ameer Fakhoury, a researcher at Jerusalem’s Van Leer Jerusalem Institute think tank, called the mobilization of Palestinian citizens of Israel a “truly historic development,” noting that voters turned out en masse to reject a government they hold responsible for widespread devastation in Gaza, de facto ethnic cleansing operations in the West Bank, and decades of systemic persecution and intimidation targeting their communities. “History has placed Palestinian citizens of Israel in an extraordinary position,” Fakhoury told Middle East Eye. “Having mobilized first and foremost to protect their own people, they may now also help rescue Jewish Israelis from their country’s destructive trajectory.” The newfound leverage held by Arab parties has sparked fierce negotiations and deep rifts across the Israeli political spectrum, with a tight legal deadline to form a new government before a fresh round of elections is automatically triggered. The leader of the smaller Arab faction Ra’am, Mansour Abbas, signaled his willingness to compromise shortly after preliminary results were released, stating his core priority was to oust Netanyahu, far-right Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, and extremist National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir in this electoral cycle. Ra’am previously backed a narrow right-wing coalition led by former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett in 2021, but its 7 projected seats alone are insufficient to push the opposition bloc across the 61-seat majority line. The larger left-wing Arab alliance, the Joint List, has also offered to back an Eisenkot-led government, but its parliamentary leader Ahmad Tibi has laid out a clear set of non-negotiable demands: targeted action to curb soaring violent crime in Arab-majority communities, an immediate end to state-ordered home demolitions disproportionately targeting Arab families (most of whom are denied construction permits under systemic discriminatory policies), a crackdown on state-sanctioned racist incitement against Arab citizens, and a formal policy roadmap to advance Palestinian self-determination. Tibi summed up the historic choice facing Israeli voters with the widely circulated catchphrase “either Bibi or Tibi.” Eisenkot, who has framed forcing Netanyahu’s full retirement from political life as a core campaign goal, has attempted to court skeptical right-leaning Jewish voters who hold hostile views of Arab political participation by imposing preconditions for formal cooperation with Arab parties: that they formally recognize Israel as an explicitly Jewish state, support mandatory military conscription for Palestinian citizens of Israel, and publicly designate Hamas as a terrorist organization. The socialist Hadash party, the largest faction within the Joint List, has rejected these terms outright. “Laying down conditions won’t work with the Joint List,” said Amjad Shbita, Hadash’s general secretary. “We will negotiate as equals because we need each other.” Deep internal fractures are also roiling Eisenkot’s own opposition bloc. Former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett and ex-Defense Minister Avigdor Liberman have both rejected any government that relies on explicit support or even abstention from Arab parties to secure a majority. Liberman has gone so far as to urge disaffected hardline members of Netanyahu’s Likud party to defect to the opposition to form a “true right-wing government,” with the most promising opening centered on peeling away Likud lawmakers who oppose Netanyahu’s longstanding concessions to ultra-Orthodox parties, most notably the controversial draft exemptions for seminary (yeshiva) students. On the opposite end of the opposition spectrum, Yair Golan, leader of the left-wing Democrats party, has pushed Eisenkot to embrace a full partnership with Arab parties to permanently oust Netanyahu. In a widely shared social media post Wednesday, Golan wrote, “Netanyahu lost. I know how to count to 120. Sixty-five is more than 55. That’s how Israeli democracy works. Period. The reality must teach us one resounding lesson: We have no future here if we don’t stop being afraid. And if we don’t stop with the racism. We must no longer accept Netanyahu’s racist division between Jewish votes and Arab votes. Anyone who tries to erase the voices of Arab citizens is surrendering to Netanyahu and giving up on Israel.” Another possible outcome being floated by insiders is a so-called “national unity government” that would see the Eisenkot and Netanyahu factions strike a power-sharing deal that completely excludes Arab parties from any governing role. Eitan Tzelgov, a leading expert on Israeli populism and democratic backsliding at the United Kingdom’s University of East Anglia, framed the choice facing Eisenkot’s change bloc as a stark binary: “govern with the Arab parties, or with Netanyahu.” “Israel is a tribal society, with cohesive right-wing tribes and a shrinking liberal tribe that will need to make a decision,” Tzelgov explained in a note to Common Dreams. “Over the years, Netanyahu and the far right have built an ideological firewall around the Arab parties by presenting any Jewish-Arab collaboration as support for terrorism. The leaders of the change bloc, representing Israel’s liberal camp, now must decide if they are willing to break it. That is the only way to bring about a U-turn from the current government’s policies in Gaza and the West Bank.” Tzelgov cautioned that he was not optimistic the liberal bloc would have the political will to take that step, noting that “a more likely outcome at the moment is a split within the change bloc and collaboration of some of its components with Netanyahu, a result US President Donald Trump reportedly supports.” Joint List chair Yousef Jabareen emphasized the existential stakes of the negotiations, stating, “Anyone who wants to offer a substantive and genuine alternative to Netanyahu’s blood-soaked government will have to talk to us. It’s either the continuation of racism, the continuation of exclusion, and the continuation of supremacy, or a genuine Jewish-Arab partnership.”

  • Israel’s election deadlock: What could happen next?

    Israel’s election deadlock: What could happen next?

    Israel’s Tuesday parliamentary election drew the highest voter turnout the nation has recorded since 2001, defying predictions of widespread apathy after years of repeated political deadlock. Yet as vote counting crossed the 85% threshold by Wednesday afternoon, neither incumbent Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu nor his centrist and right-leaning challengers held a clear, unobstructed path to securing the 61 Knesset seats required for a governing majority in the 120-seat legislative body. The most disruptive variable in the post-election calculus comes from two political slates representing Palestinian citizens of Israel: the Joint List and Ra’am, whose unexpected, surging gains delivered them a combined 19 seats. Nearly every established Israeli Jewish political faction has publicly committed to excluding both Arab parties from formal governing coalitions, a red line that complicates every possible path to a 61-seat majority. Early exit polls broadcast at 10pm on election night initially showed former military chief Gadi Eisenkot’s opposition bloc edging ahead of Netanyahu’s longstanding allied faction, leading many political commentators to prematurely declare the end of Netanyahu’s decades-long political career. But as ballots were tallied through the night, it emerged that Netanyahu’s Likud party had emerged as the single largest faction in the Knesset with a projected 26 seats, putting his full allied bloc at 53 total seats, while Eisenkot’s centrist-right opposition coalition stood at just 48. Under Israeli constitutional procedure, Netanyahu will remain in caretaker prime minister until a new governing coalition is formally sworn in, and President Isaac Herzog is widely expected to first task Netanyahu with the 28-day window to assemble a majority, extended by a maximum of 14 additional days if requested, due to Likud’s status as the largest single party. Netanyahu has two plausible, though high-risk, routes to hit the 61-seat threshold. The first relies on luring defectors from far-right factions currently aligned with the opposition, many of whose sitting members are current or former West Bank settlers who have historically aligned with hardline policy priorities Netanyahu has supported. But this path would require a substantial number of opposition MPs to abandon their election promises, a move that carries severe backlash risks for their personal political brands. The second option is forming a national unity government with key opposition figures including Eisenkot’s Yashar faction and Naftali Bennett’s MPs from the Together slate, an outcome that both US President Donald Trump — who formally endorsed Netanyahu ahead of the election — and President Herzog have publicly signaled they prefer. But this unity government scenario would force Netanyahu to oust his most controversial far-right allies: Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich and National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir, whose radical factions have been core partners in his previous governments, as well as his longstanding ultra-Orthodox allies in the Shas and United Torah Judaism parties. The opposition has campaigned aggressively on enforcing mandatory military conscription for Haredi youth, a policy the ultra-Orthodox parties have spent decades opposing, making their inclusion in any unity government functionally impossible. The unity path faces massive public and political barriers, as Netanyahu’s personal legal scandals and polarizing public image are deeply toxic to most opposition voters; former military chief Benny Gantz infamously destroyed his own political credibility after joining a short-lived unity government with Netanyahu in 2020, a mistake no current opposition leader is eager to repeat. As Assaf David, a leading political analyst at Israel’s Vanleer Institute think tank, explained to Middle East Eye: “If final results confirm Netanyahu’s bloc is in the lead, some opposition factions may calculate that a Netanyahu-led government stripped of Smotrich and Ben Gvir is a better outcome than heading to a new round of elections, where the right-wing bloc will be far more organized and the opposition far less coordinated.” For Eisenkot’s anti-Netanyahu camp, the raw math is even more fraught. While his natural Jewish allies fall well short of a majority, the combined total of all anti-Netanyahu MPs — including the 19 seats held by the two Palestinian slates — adds up to nearly 70 seats. This opens a narrow, high-stakes path for Eisenkot to form a minority government that relies on outside, informal support from the Joint List and Ra’am, without requiring the Arab parties to take formal cabinet positions. But nearly all leading Jewish opposition figures, from Naftali Bennett to Avigdor Lieberman, have publicly ruled out any formal or informal cooperation with the Arab parties, and David warns the scenario carries catastrophic security risks. “Netanyahu will immediately frame this as a hostile takeover of the Israeli government by Arab voters and a tiny minority of Jewish MPs,” David cautioned. “He will incite his most radical supporters to acts of political violence, and I cannot rule out the real risk of an assassination attempt against Eisenkot.” The current deadlock echoes the 2019 political crisis, when two consecutive elections failed to produce a viable 61-seat majority for any faction, forcing repeated trips to the polls. A new round of elections would play heavily to Netanyahu’s advantage, as he would retain his caretaker prime minister status for months of campaigning. Analysts note the opposition’s historic high turnout advantage this cycle is unlikely to be replicated in a re-run: an estimated 67,000 Israeli expats returned home specifically to vote against Netanyahu, and few are expected to make that costly, time-consuming journey a second time. Most notably, Palestinian citizen voter turnout surged to 80% this election, up from just 54% in 2022, with many first-time voters casting ballots to push back against rising state discrimination, the ongoing war in Gaza, and escalating settler violence in the occupied West Bank. David emphasizes this unprecedented mobilization of Arab voters, paired with the expat turnout, is a one-off window for the anti-Netanyahu camp: “Everyone in the opposition bloc knows this is their only shot. Those two turnout boosts will not materialize again in a new election, where the right-wing base will be fully energized to suppress Arab voter turnout. They have no choice but to seize this moment and work with the Arab parties’ outside support to oust Netanyahu.”

  • Who are the Palestinian citizens of Israel?

    Who are the Palestinian citizens of Israel?

    Often overlooked in mainstream narratives of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, the roughly 2 million Palestinian citizens of Israel represent a distinct, historically rooted community that makes up one-fifth of Israel’s total population. These are the descendants of the 150,000 Palestinian people who avoided expulsion during the 1948 Nakba – the deliberate, campaign of ethnic cleansing carried out by Zionist militias and later Israeli state forces that displaced 80% of historic Palestine’s majority Arab population, destroyed hundreds of villages, and cleared the way for the formal establishment of the Israeli state. Many of those who remained were internally displaced, barred from returning to their homes even as their abandoned land and property was seized by state authorities, turning a once-majority indigenous population into a marginalized minority on their own ancestral land overnight.
    For nearly two decades after 1948, this community lived under a harsh, exclusive military regime that imposed movement restrictions, arbitrary curfews, and sweeping bans on political organizing, while Jewish Israeli citizens operated under civilian legal frameworks. One of the most devastating atrocities of this era was the 1956 Kafr Qasim massacre, where Israeli troops acting on secret orders to shoot curfew violators killed 49 unsuspecting Palestinian villagers, including women and children, who were returning home from work unaware the curfew had been moved several hours earlier. Even after military rule was lifted in 1966, state repression persisted: 1976’s Land Day protests against mass state land confiscations in the Galilee saw six Palestinian citizens shot dead by police, a moment that remains a core annual commemoration of the community’s fight for land rights. During the 2000 Second Intifada, 13 Palestinian citizen demonstrators were killed by Israeli security forces during rallies in solidarity with besieged populations in the occupied West Bank and Gaza Strip.
    Systemic discrimination has been codified into law over decades of successive Israeli governments, with Haifa-based Palestinian rights legal center Adalah documenting more than 65 statutes that explicitly or implicitly target Palestinian citizens for unequal treatment. These range from the 1950 Absentees’ Property Law, which seized the assets of displaced Palestinians even for some who held Israeli citizenship, to the 2003 family reunification ban that blocks Palestinian citizens from gaining residency for spouses from the occupied territories, the 2011 community town admissions law that allows majority-Jewish localities to reject Palestinian applicants on grounds of “compatibility with Zionist-Jewish character”, and the 2018 Nation-State Basic Law that enshrines exclusive Jewish national self-determination in Israel, downgrades Arabic from its longstanding official language status, and prioritizes state support for Jewish settlement.
    Compounding state and legal discrimination, Palestinian communities are in the grip of a spiraling violent crime crisis that local civil society group the Abraham Initiatives attributes to decades of deliberate under-policing. Though Palestinian citizens make up only 20% of Israel’s population, 50% of the country’s total violent crime impacts their communities, with Israeli police failing to crack down on widespread illegal arms trafficking that community leaders say authorities have long allowed to operate with impunity. The homicide clearance rate for Palestinian victim cases sits at less than 15%, compared to a 65% clearance rate for Jewish Israeli homicide victims, and the death toll has surged from 116 in 2022 to a record 252 in 2025, with most of the victims having no ties to criminal networks.
    Across generations, Palestinian citizens have built robust political and grassroots movements to push for full equal rights. Early organizing was severely constrained by military rule, but by the 1970s, parties including Hadash, Balad, Ta’al, and Ra’am had emerged as leading political voices, alongside the cross-partisan High Follow-Up Committee that serves as the community’s extra-parliamentary representative body. For decades, Palestinian-led parties were treated as untouchable political partners by mainstream Jewish Israeli factions, but that longstanding taboo was broken in 2021 when Ra’am joined a national governing coalition, using its four Knesset seats to end Benjamin Netanyahu’s 12-year run as prime minister. Ahead of the 2026 general elections, the reunited Joint List alliance and the separate Ra’am party are projected to win a combined 18 to 20 Knesset seats, a haul that could give the Palestinian citizen community unprecedented kingmaker leverage over coalition formation, and the potential to translate decades of grassroots struggle into tangible policy changes to address historic inequalities. For first-time Palestinian voter Asia Egbaria, that possibility carries profound personal weight: “I want change. I don’t want to be treated like a second- or third-class citizen anymore. That’s all.”

  • US warns Gulf of intense strikes on Iran after midterms: Report

    US warns Gulf of intense strikes on Iran after midterms: Report

    A Wednesday report from The Wall Street Journal reveals that United States authorities have transmitted formal warnings through both diplomatic and military communication channels to multiple Gulf Arab nations, advising them to make contingency preparations for a brief, high-intensity military offensive targeting Iran in the immediate aftermath of the US 3 November midterm elections. This advisory marks the most recent tangible sign that Washington and Tel Aviv are advancing coordinated plans for a fresh wave of strikes on Iranian territory, framed by insiders as a strategy to degrade Tehran’s military and nuclear capabilities and compel the Iranian government to return to formal negotiation tables.
    Multiple anonymous officials with direct knowledge of the deployments confirmed to WSJ that US military assets stationed across the Middle East have been actively replenishing ammunition stockpiles, while long-range bomber fleets and tactical fighter jets are completing final operational readiness checks calibrated for imminent strike missions. Additional flight tracking data and two senior defense officials corroborate that a full Patriot missile defense system, equipped with state-of-the-art surveillance radar, ground-based missile launch platforms, and high-velocity interceptor munitions, is being relocated from its home base in Texas to Israel to reinforce the country’s air defense networks. The coming weeks will also see a US Navy aircraft carrier strike group paired with a Marine Corps expeditionary unit join the more than 20 warships already conducting operations across Middle Eastern waters, according to the Journal’s reporting.
    These military movements follow a wave of regional drawdown announcements made public last week, when multiple US media outlets confirmed the State Department had ordered an additional round of personnel cuts at American diplomatic outposts across the Middle East, alongside a phased evacuation of some US military personnel from low-priority posts. The Pentagon formally submitted a cost update to US Congress last week, disclosing that the ongoing US-Israeli campaign against Iran, now in its eighth month, had accumulated $47.1 billion in total expenditures as of 16 October – a sharp jump from the $37.5 billion figure previously cited by US Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, with ordnance including bombs, cruise missiles and other munitions accounting for more than 60 percent of the total spending.
    While US President Donald Trump has not yet signed off on a final strike authorization, multiple separate intelligence and administration sources indicate he is leaning toward approving a large-scale offensive that would target key Iranian infrastructure and known nuclear development sites. A negotiated diplomatic settlement to replace expanded military action appeared all but unattainable over the weekend, when Iranian officials formally rejected a draft agreement presented by Qatari mediators. A senior Iranian official speaking to Reuters on Wednesday pushed back on Qatari accounts of the mediation process, stating that Doha had never submitted a formal, actionable proposal, and had instead circulated a series of “unacceptable” terms, adding that Tehran would refuse to make any concessions on its nuclear program. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi issued a public warning the same day that any new military incursion would trigger catastrophic ripple effects for the global economy. In a post published to his official X account, Araghchi emphasized that a military misadventure orchestrated by Israel in the Persian Gulf would deliver devastating shocks to international energy markets, a risk that remains a top concern for both natural gas exporting nations and major consumer economies worldwide.
    The push for expanded strikes also intersects with domestic political calculations in Israel, where Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has leaned heavily on rhetoric about countering Iranian threats as part of his re-election campaign for the country’s parliamentary polls. With 85 percent of all ballots counted, Netanyahu’s right-wing electoral bloc currently holds only 53 of the 120 total seats in the Knesset, short of a clear governing majority. On Wednesday, as formal coalition negotiations to form a new Israeli government were set to kick off, Netanyahu publicly pledged that he would partner closely with Trump to eliminate what he frames as the “existential threat” posed by Iran. Even Netanyahu’s leading electoral rival, former military chief Gadi Eisenkot, has publicly voiced support for coordinated targeted strikes on Iran paired with tightened economic sanctions. Trump himself has repeatedly stated he would not authorize any new military action against Iran prior to the November midterms, referencing the ongoing campaign’s official codename during a recent Florida rally, where he noted the US could launch “another little Epic Fury” operation in the near future.

  • The Mecca pact goes to Tehran. Can it keep the region out of another war?

    The Mecca pact goes to Tehran. Can it keep the region out of another war?

    In a departure from the standard mandate of collective defense pacts, high-ranking representatives of the Mecca Joint Defense Agreement traveled to Tehran on Monday for landmark negotiations aimed at de-escalating volatile regional security dynamics. The delegation included Saudi Arabia’s Defense Minister Prince Khalid bin Salman, Pakistan’s Chief of Army Staff Field Marshal Asim Munir, and Turkey’s intelligence chief Ibrahim Kalın, who held closed-door talks with Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian and Secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council Mohsen Rezaei. The four parties formally committed to ongoing structured dialogue to advance shared goals of regional peace and stability, with Iranian state broadcasters framing the gathering as the first joint multi-party meeting of the bloc’s representatives with Iranian leadership since Yemen’s Houthi movement escalated targeted attacks on Saudi territory. Notably, the diplomatic overture did not pause active hostilities: on the very same day as the Tehran talks, Houthi forces publicly claimed responsibility for drone assaults on critical Saudi pipeline pumping infrastructure and Riyadh’s King Khalid International Airport, laying bare the sharp, ongoing friction of a scenario where three nations bound by a mutual defense pledge (stipulating that an attack on one member constitutes an attack on all) are actively engaged in diplomatic outreach to Tehran even as Iranian-aligned militias launch strikes against one of their core partners.
    The timing of the high-stakes meeting carries deliberate geopolitical weight, falling exactly one day before Israeli national elections and eight days ahead of the U.S. midterm elections. Preliminary exit polls from Israel’s vote confirmed a deadlocked electoral outcome, with neither former Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu nor rival candidate Gadi Eisenkot positioned to secure a governing parliamentary majority. Parallel developments in Washington further amplify the high-stakes context: on October 23, former U.S. President Donald Trump publicly referenced the possibility of launching “another little Epic Fury”, the official Pentagon designation for the military campaign first launched in February of that year. Having previously ruled out any pre-midterm military strike, a Wall Street Journal investigation later revealed that the U.S. administration has formally advised Gulf partner states to prepare for a short, intense post-November 3 military operation targeting Iran. While Trump has not issued a final executive order, multiple insiders report he is leaning toward authorizing a large-scale military campaign, with a negotiated diplomatic settlement positioned as the sole alternative. Gulf Cooperation Council states stand to bear the brunt of any direct conflict, as Iranian officials have repeatedly warned they will retaliate against regional civilian and economic targets, mirroring patterns of strikes seen earlier in the year’s hostilities.
    Critics have pointed to an apparent contradiction in a mutual defense bloc pursuing diplomatic outreach to Iran, but analysts note no inherent inconsistency: defense alliances routinely leverage their demonstrated military readiness to signal a preference for de-escalation over armed conflict. The sequence of recent moves aligns with this logic: on October 5, the Mecca pact’s governing committee convened in Riyadh in the wake of repeated Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia, and formally advanced plans to fully implement the bloc’s collective defense provisions. Just three weeks later, the delegation traveled to Tehran, following closely on the heels of a separate visit to the Iranian capital by Qatari mediators. Riyadh has explicitly framed the diplomatic trip as complementary to the ongoing mediation efforts led by Qatar and Pakistan. The pact also includes built-in guardrails to avoid unintended escalation: the chair of Turkey’s parliamentary foreign affairs committee has confirmed that the collective defense clause does not trigger automatic military intervention, and any deployment of Turkish forces under the agreement will require separate, explicit approval from the Turkish national assembly. Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan has also repeatedly emphasized that the Mecca pact is not structured to target Iran, a key reassurance that cleared the path for Tehran to agree to the high-level talks.
    The diplomatic initiative faces multiple tangible failure risks, however. First, the sustained Houthi campaign of attacks on Saudi Arabia will test Riyadh’s strategic patience and the credibility of the entire bloc’s collective defense commitments, threatening to reduce the outreach to little more than a diplomatic facade if strikes continue. Second, competing interpretations of shared statements could derail progress: following the Tehran meeting, Iranian official Mohsen Rezaei stated that regional security must be entirely homegrown, with all forms of foreign intervention barred from the region. Tehran is pushing to frame this as a unified shared position, but Washington and NATO-member Turkey, bound by longstanding transatlantic alliance obligations, are likely to interpret the clause very differently. Third, incomplete domestic ratification undermines the bloc’s negotiating leverage: while Saudi Arabia and Pakistan have completed all internal legislative processes to formalize their membership in the Mecca pact, Turkey’s national assembly has not yet held a full ratification vote, with opposition parties in Ankara warning the agreement could drag Turkey into unwanted foreign conflicts. A fourth critical vulnerability stems from the strategic Strait of Hormuz: according to Reuters, the number of ship attacks in the chokepoint hit an all-time monthly record in October, and any new round of regional hostilities will worsen disruption to global energy supply chains, inflicting steep economic costs on energy-importing nations across Asia, including Pakistan.
    Analysts have laid out four clear actionable steps the Mecca pact can take to turn the recent Tehran meeting into tangible progress. First, the bloc should make a time-bound, verifiable halt to Houthi attacks on Saudi civilian and energy infrastructure the core opening demand of all future negotiations, paired with a reciprocal confidence-building measure that Riyadh has already signaled it is willing to implement. Second, the three member states should coordinate fully with Qatari and Pakistani mediation efforts to present a unified, single diplomatic channel to Tehran, rather than operating as a separate competing track. Third, the bloc should publish a clear, public, detailed framework defining the practical scope of its collective defense commitments, including explicit thresholds that will trigger mutual support. Turkey’s existing assurance that military intervention is not automatic should be formalized as a public, binding commitment, rather than a closed-door committee remark, to eliminate miscalculation risks for stakeholders in Tehran, Tel Aviv and Washington. Fourth, the bloc should propose a formal incident-prevention arrangement for the Strait of Hormuz that both the U.S. and Iran can join, supported by independent, third-party verification mechanisms. The Monday meeting in Tehran was not a transformative breakthrough: deep, unresolved gaps remain between Washington and Tehran over sanctions rollbacks, Iran’s nuclear program, and security arrangements for the Strait of Hormuz. But the diplomatic outreach has already signaled to both U.S. and Iranian leadership that the Mecca pact intends to act as a constructive stabilizing force before it is forced to test its mutual defense provisions. The ultimate success of the alliance will not be measured by the number of ballistic missiles its member states can intercept, but by the ability of Riyadh, Ankara and Islamabad to demonstrate to all parties that a negotiated, peaceful settlement delivers far greater long-term value than another devastating round of regional war.

  • UK sanctions Sudanese officials implicated in mass sexual violence in el-Fasher

    UK sanctions Sudanese officials implicated in mass sexual violence in el-Fasher

    On a Monday announcement from the UK Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office, 15 senior military commanders affiliated with both Sudan’s rival warring factions — the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) — have been formally designated for stringent punitive measures, including full cross-border travel bans and immediate global asset freezes. The targeted measures are explicitly tied to documented atrocities perpetrated during the brutal 2025 RSF takeover of el-Fasher, a major urban hub in Sudan’s Darfur region, where widespread, systematic mass sexual violence and civilian slaughter was carried out on an unprecedented scale.
    UK Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband emphasized in an official public statement that the new sanctions regime deliberately targets suspected war criminals on both sides of the two-year-long Sudanese civil conflict, which first erupted in April 2023 and has since escalated into the single largest active humanitarian crisis on the global stage. Miliband underscored that independent UK-funded investigative work, conducted one full year after the el-Fasher atrocities first came to light, has confirmed that rival armed groups continue to weaponize both sexual violence (including mass rape of women and minor girls) and deliberate starvation as tools of war against civilian populations across Sudan. He framed these acts as transgressions against shared global humanity, stressing that all perpetrators of such crimes must face formal accountability, and all external state backers that provide military, financial, or logistical support to Sudan’s warring parties must immediately cease all such assistance.
    Official timelines confirm that on 26 October 2025, after more than 500 consecutive days of encirclement, the RSF launched a full-scale final offensive to seize control of el-Fasher. The subsequent violence produced the deadliest single massacre recorded across the entire Sudanese conflict to date. Researchers from Yale University’s Humanitarian Research Lab noted that the unprecedented speed and industrial, mass-scale nature of the killings in el-Fasher are comparable only to the full scope of the 1994 Rwandan genocide. Multiple eyewitness accounts from survivors detail that RSF fighters, who have received substantial external backing from the United Arab Emirates (a claim the UAE has consistently and publicly denied), filmed themselves carrying out mass extrajudicial killings of unarmed civilians. Survivors also documented a litany of additional abuses: systematic gang rape of young women and adolescent girls, arbitrary execution of civilian bystanders, forced relocation of surviving civilians to makeshift medical sites to extract their blood, and widespread predatory extortion targeting ordinary residents and their family members.
    The UK Foreign Office noted that the new sanctions package is also designed to amplify global awareness of the full scope of the atrocities committed in el-Fasher, ensuring these crimes are not erased from international public record. Notably, the announcement comes amid longstanding public criticism of successive UK governments for failing to hold the UAE — a longstanding close British strategic ally — accountable for its alleged support to the RSF. The United Nations’ official independent fact-finding mission on Sudan has already established reasonable, verified grounds to conclude that private companies and recruitment actors operating out of UAE territory have routed critical supplies to the RSF via transit points in Chad, southeastern Libya, and Bosaso, Somalia. Extensive prior investigative reporting from Middle East Eye has further mapped this shadowy supply network, as well as the use of military bases in Ethiopia to provide covert operational support to RSF forces.

  • Netanyahu is going nowhere until Israel’s Palestinians are taken seriously

    Netanyahu is going nowhere until Israel’s Palestinians are taken seriously

    The latest outcome of Israel’s parliamentary elections paints a nuanced portrait of former prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s political standing: while he did not secure a clear path to a ruling majority, he is far from being fully ousted from power. Netanyahu framed his campaign narrative around two core pillars for Jewish voters: sustaining ongoing military operations and retaining the national state of emergency that took root after the devastating 7 October 2023 Hamas-led attacks. He actively shifted blame for the unprecedented security failure that day away from his own administration, laying full responsibility on Israeli military leadership, while positioning himself as the decisive leader who stepped in to restore safety and elevate national security to levels higher than pre-October 7, a messaging strategy that resonated widely with his base.

    Compared to the 2022 Israeli election, Netanyahu and his far-right allies lost significant ground, with their projected bloc falling 8 to 10 seats short of the 61-seat majority required to form a stable government. Critically, however, the so-called “change campaign” opposition bloc also failed to lock in a majority, leaving both major Jewish political camps deadlocked and no side able to form a ruling coalition on its own.

    The most transformative, positive development of this election cycle lies in the historic breakthrough of Israel’s Palestinian political factions. The Joint List alliance of Palestinian parties, alongside Mansour Abbas’ more moderate Raam party, are on track to win a combined 19 seats in the 120-seat Knesset, a record high for Palestinian political representation in Israel’s parliament. Palestinian citizens, who make up 20% of Israel’s total population but have long been systematically sidelined and excluded from formal governing coalitions, turned out to vote in unprecedented numbers, deliberately mobilizing to block the inclusion of notoriously racist far-right figures Itamar Ben Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich from any future ruling coalition. Even if Netanyahu manages to strike a unity government deal with opposition centrist leader Gadi Eisenkot, the resulting coalition will almost certainly have to exclude the two ultra-nationalist hardliners, marking a clear win for Palestinian voter mobilization.

    This election outcome has delivered a stark reality check to Israel’s secular liberal Zionist camp, which previously operated under the false assumption that it could secure a parliamentary majority by leaning into nationalist rhetoric, targeting the ultra-Orthodox community, and aligning closely with military leadership. The results have proven that this camp cannot form a government without the support of Palestinian political parties, forcing it to confront a long-avoided choice: remain trapped in perpetual cycles of Netanyahu-aligned right-wing rule, or abandon long-held anti-Arab hostility to build pragmatic partnerships with Palestinian voters and factions. Analysts note that this shift is unlikely to stem from sudden ideological reckoning over Zionism’s settler-colonial foundations, but rather from cold political necessity, as pragmatic interest-driven realignments have historically triggered major political shifts in Israeli politics.

    The election has also laid bare a clear ideological split within Israel’s Palestinian political community. Mansour Abbas and his Raam party have long advocated for a strategy of incremental, pragmatic engagement with Israeli state institutions and Zionist parties to secure tangible material gains for Palestinian citizens, including expanded housing access, improved public services, reduced systemic discrimination, and reduced rampant organized crime that has plagued Palestinian communities for decades. This approach, critics note, requires a degree of deliberate decoupling from the struggles of Palestinians living under occupation in Gaza and the West Bank. By a two-to-one margin, however, Palestinian voters in this election rejected this framework to back the Joint List’s platform, which refuses to abandon its moral and political commitment to the rights of Palestinians in occupied territories and the diaspora. Joint List leader Yousef Jabareen has publicly outlined four non-negotiable conditions for any potential support of a non-Netanyahu government: targeted action to end rampant crime in Palestinian communities, expanded development and legal recognition of underserved Palestinian residential areas, full equal civil rights for Arab citizens of Israel, and a formal, binding process to advance the establishment of an independent Palestinian state.

    For the first time in Israeli political history, Palestinian parties hold the decisive kingmaker power that will determine who forms the next government, forcing them to navigate the delicate challenge of advancing their core demands for equality and Palestinian statehood without compromising their national identity or alienating potential centrist Zionist partners. The path ahead remains deeply uncertain: far-right factions aligned with Netanyahu could move aggressively to implement new legal and procedural barriers to suppress Palestinian voting power and prevent this level of Arab political influence from ever being repeated. Alternatively, the secular centrist camp could choose to embrace pragmatic cooperation with Palestinian parties to break the decades-long cycle of right-wing political dominance in Israel.

  • Death of US actress Hayden Panettiere ruled accidental, ending local police probe

    Death of US actress Hayden Panettiere ruled accidental, ending local police probe

    Local law enforcement in Greenville, South Carolina, has formally closed its months-long probe into the August passing of beloved US actress Hayden Panettiere, confirming her death has been classified as accidental following a full review of forensic and on-scene evidence. The 36-year-old performer, widely recognized for her breakout roles in hit series *Heroes* and *Nashville* as well as the *Scream* horror franchise, was discovered unresponsive at a private residential property on August 16, with first responders arriving to find her in full cardiac arrest. No signs of physical trauma were documented during the subsequent autopsy conducted by the Greenville County Coroner’s Office. Official forensic findings released last month confirmed Panettiere’s death stemmed from the combined toxic effects of multiple substances in her system: the powerful synthetic opioid fentanyl, anti-anxiety medication Xanax, prescription muscle relaxant methocarbamol, and antipsychotic drug quetiapine, which is commonly prescribed to manage certain mental health conditions. The Greenville Police Department stated in an official public statement that its investigative team had cross-referenced all collected on-scene evidence, witness accounts, and the coroner’s final determination to reach the accidental death ruling, bringing its local inquiry to a full close. Initial reports from CBS News, the BBC’s US media partner, confirmed that federal agents from the US Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) had joined local authorities in the early stages of the investigation, as fentanyl-related fatalities fall under the agency’s jurisdiction due to the opioid’s role in hundreds of thousands of overdose deaths across the US in the past half-decade. When contacted by BBC reporters, a spokesperson for the Greenville Police Department declined to share details on the scope of the DEA’s parallel inquiry, and it remains unconfirmed whether the federal agency has also wrapped its own review; the BBC has submitted a formal request for comment to DEA representatives for further clarity. Public records from the day of the emergency response show Panettiere’s former boyfriend Brian Hickerson, who has previously pled guilty to domestic abuse charges against the actress, and his brother Zack were present at the residence when first responders arrived. Long known for her candid, public discussions of her long-running battles with substance abuse and the unique mental health pressures facing former child performers who grew up in the relentless Hollywood spotlight, Panettiere’s passing has reignited broader public conversations about the systemic vulnerabilities that lead many young entertainment industry stars to struggle with addiction.

  • Israel holds recruitment drive for British doctors amid physician brain drain

    Israel holds recruitment drive for British doctors amid physician brain drain

    A recent London-based medical recruitment event hosted by Israeli state-affiliated immigration bodies has drawn scrutiny, as officials seek to recruit British physicians to relocate to Israel amid a sustained exodus of local medical professionals. Titled MedEx UK, the Sunday job fair was held at a London Jewish community centre, organized collaboratively by Nefesh B’Nefesh, a group focused on facilitating Jewish immigration to Israel, the Jewish Agency for Israel, and Israel’s Ministry of Aliyah and Integration.
    The event falls under the broader umbrella of the 2020-launched International Medical Aliyah Program (IMAP), a government initiative with a stated target of bringing 2,000 foreign doctors to Israel by 2029. The program is designed to reduce critical medical staffing shortages by simplifying Israel’s medical licensing process for new arrivals. Pre-event emails shared with attendees, reviewed by Middle East Eye, advertised direct access to representatives from Israeli hospitals and national health funds, as well as on-site YAEL Hebrew proficiency testing, a mandatory step for securing an Israeli medical license.
    However, on-the-ground observers from Jewish Anti-Zionist Action (Jaza), an activist group whose member gained entry to the closed event, revealed that participating medical providers distributed promotional materials highlighting healthcare facilities operating in illegal Israeli settlements across the occupied West Bank. Flyers from urgent care provider Terem, for example, listed operational centres in the settlements of Modiin, Beit Shemesh, Ma’ale Adumim, and Beitar Illit. A verified attendee list included representatives from Leumit Health Services, an organization that advertises medical centres and pharmacies across 30 West Bank settlement communities, alongside the head of obstetrics and gynaecology for the Israeli military. The Jaza activist noted that dozens of leading Israeli medical professors travelled to London specifically for the one-day event before returning to Israel the following day, and that Shivat Zion, an organization previously exposed by Declassified UK for supporting British citizens seeking to move to West Bank settlements, was also in attendance. Multiple attendees reported that representatives from major health fund Clalit repeatedly emphasized flexible placement options across all regions of Israel, with guaranteed accommodation support for relocating medical staff. Middle East Eye reached out to all event organizers and participating health providers for official comment, but received no response prior to publication.
    This London recruitment drive is the latest step in a multi-year Israeli government campaign to offset a deepening physician brain drain: data from a recent Israeli Medical Association survey shows 1,369 doctors left the country for postings lasting more than one year between 2023 and 2025. To attract foreign medical talent, policymakers have rolled out a series of financial incentives and regulatory adjustments to lower barriers to Israeli licensing. In 2025, the Israeli Ministry of Health updated rules to reduce the required professional experience threshold for exemption from the national medical licensing exam from 14 years to 10 years. The following year, the government earmarked up to 240 million NIS ($76.7 million) in dedicated funding for international medical recruitment efforts.
    These aggressive international hiring measures run parallel to policy changes that have systematically restricted pathways for Palestinian doctors to join Israel’s healthcare system. The 2019 Yatziv Reform revoked official recognition of medical degrees issued by non-OECD nations, including multiple Eastern European countries such as Moldova, Armenia, and Romania, where large numbers of Palestinian students pursue lower-cost medical education, as well as degrees from Palestinian universities operating in the occupied West Bank. Structural barriers and discriminatory admission policies already limit access for Palestinian citizens of Israel to Israeli medical schools, while Palestinians residing in the occupied territories are barred from enrolling entirely in these domestic programs.
    Despite these restrictions, the share of Palestinian doctors working in Israel grew steadily over the past 15 years, rising from 8% of all physicians in 2010 to 25% in 2023. That same year, government data showed Arab and Druze new licensees made up nearly 45% of all newly certified medical professionals in Israel, a sharp jump from 18% in 2010. However, this trend is set to reverse dramatically in 2026, as the cohort of Palestinian students who began medical studies in 2019 at now-disqualified non-OECD institutions graduate, and their degrees will no longer be recognized by Israeli regulators. Shani Bar Tuvia, director of the health policy department at Physicians for Human Rights Israel, emphasized that the share of Palestinian students enrolled in Israeli domestic medical schools has fallen to just 9%, a figure far too low to sustain the previous 45% share of new licensees. Bar Tuvia noted that health officials are fully aware the Yatziv Reform will create a major domestic staffing shortfall, and that international recruitment efforts are explicitly designed to fill that gap. The government has also attempted to expand domestic medical training capacity by opening two new university medical programs: one at Ariel University, the only higher education institution located in a West Bank settlement, and another at Reichman University, Israel’s only private university, both of which are largely inaccessible to Palestinian students.

  • US central bank holds interest rates steady ahead of midterm elections – here’s what that means

    US central bank holds interest rates steady ahead of midterm elections – here’s what that means

    Just days after the conclusion of the U.S. midterm elections, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the United States Federal Reserve announced on Wednesday that it would maintain the federal funds target range at 3.75% to 4%, marking a strategic pause following the first interest rate increase the central bank had implemented in three years during its September policy gathering.
    Fed Chair Kevin Warsh emphasized during the post-meeting press briefing that the cumulative impact of recent monetary policy adjustments is already starting to ripple through the broader economy. “The overwhelming consensus, the overwhelming judgement, is that what we’ve done in this monetary medicine is starting to work some,” Warsh noted, referencing the September rate hike that kicked off the current tightening cycle after years of near-zero borrowing costs.
    The federal funds rate, the benchmark interbank overnight lending rate the Fed directly controls, acts as the foundational reference point for nearly all consumer and commercial borrowing and saving products across the U.S. financial system. Its movements directly shape the cost of mortgages, auto loans, credit card balances, small business financing, as well as the annual percentage yields consumers earn on high-yield savings accounts and certificates of deposit.
    In its official policy statement accompanying the rate hold decision, the FOMC acknowledged that headline inflation remains stubbornly elevated, well above the Fed’s longstanding 2% annual target, but argued that a temporary pause would give policymakers critical additional time to parse incoming economic data to avoid over-tightening that could trigger unnecessary economic contraction. The committee also highlighted that despite lingering cross-currents and global economic uncertainties, underlying fundamentals of the U.S. economy remain surprisingly robust, with labor market strength and consumer spending holding up better than many analysts had projected earlier in the year.
    While Warsh reiterated that current inflation levels are still unacceptably high, he pointed to emerging signs of cooling demand across credit-constrained sectors as evidence that policy is moving in the desired direction. He noted that a full slate of new employment, inflation, and consumer spending reports will be released in the six weeks leading up to the FOMC’s next scheduled two-day policy meeting on December 8-9, 2024, which will give the committee a far more complete, data-driven picture of economic conditions to guide future rate adjustments. When pressed by reporters to confirm whether the final 25 basis point rate hike the committee had signaled last month would move forward at the December gathering, Warsh declined to commit to a pre-set path, stating “A lot of things can happen, so I’m not going to be able to share with you my musings.”
    The decision to hold rates steady was not a fully unanimous vote among the 12 sitting FOMC members: 10 policymakers supported the pause, while Fed Governor Lisa Cook and Cleveland Federal Reserve President Beth Hammack dissented, arguing for an immediate 25 basis point increase to push the target range to 4% to 4.25% to more aggressively combat lingering inflation pressures.
    The Fed’s dual legislative mandate tasks it with balancing price stability (targeting 2% annual inflation) and maximum sustainable employment. Historically, the central bank raises benchmark rates when inflation runs too hot, a move that ripples through the financial system to raise borrowing costs, incentivize higher household savings, dampen excessive consumer and corporate spending, cool overheated labor markets, and gradually reduce aggregate demand to bring price growth back under control. Conversely, the Fed cuts rates to stimulate borrowing, spending and business investment when inflation is running below target or the economy faces a downturn, as it did to near-zero levels during the 2008 global financial crisis and again during the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic to support job creation and prevent a deeper recession.
    Prior to this year’s policy cycle, the Fed had pushed rates as high as 5.25% to 5.5% between mid-2023 and August 2024 in response to a post-pandemic inflation surge that had pushed consumer price growth to multi-decade highs. Rates had been on a steady downward trajectory for several months leading up to the September 2024 surprise hike, marking the first upward adjustment in three years. By keeping rates unchanged in this latest decision, consumers and businesses will see little movement in the near term on new mortgage rates, small business loan costs, and savings account yields, extending the current status quo for household and corporate financial planning.