US overdose deaths fell through most of 2025, federal data reveals

In a significant reversal of a decades-long public health crisis, the United States has recorded its most substantial annual decline in drug overdose fatalities. Federal health data reveals overdose deaths plummeted approximately 27% in 2024, marking the largest single-year reduction ever documented and continuing a trend that began in 2023.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s latest provisional data, covering through August 2025, indicates an estimated 73,000 overdose deaths occurred in the preceding 12-month period. This represents a notable 21% decrease from the 92,000 fatalities recorded in the previous year and a dramatic drop from the peak of nearly 110,000 deaths in 2022.

This encouraging development appears nationwide, with 45 states reporting declining overdose rates. Only Arizona, Hawaii, Kansas, New Mexico and North Dakota showed potential increases, though officials caution that incomplete reporting might affect these state-level figures.

Researchers point to multiple contributing factors behind this positive trend. Expanded access to naloxone (the overdose-reversing medication), broader addiction treatment services, shifting patterns of drug consumption, and the strategic deployment of opioid lawsuit settlement funds have collectively created a more effective response system.

Two recent scientific studies offer additional explanations. University of Maryland researchers published evidence in Science journal suggesting China’s regulatory crackdown on precursor chemicals for fentanyl production has impacted drug purity and availability. Concurrently, University of Pittsburgh researchers identified a correlation between the conclusion of COVID-19 stimulus payments and the stabilization of overdose rates beginning in 2022.

Despite this progress, experts emphasize that the monthly death toll remains elevated compared to pre-pandemic levels and far exceeds numbers from before the current overdose epidemic began in the 1990s. The recent deceleration in the decline rate further underscores the fragility of these gains and the ongoing challenges in sustaining this positive trajectory.