Trump’s Venezuela war threat a gift to China

Former US President Donald Trump, who once vowed to end America’s ‘endless wars,’ is now contemplating military intervention in Venezuela. Proposed justifications include combating ‘narco-terrorism,’ promoting democracy, and countering China’s growing influence in Latin America. However, such actions could inadvertently strengthen China’s foothold in the region. A 2024 Economist survey highlighted the dramatic expansion of China-Latin America trade, which surged from $18 billion in 2002 to $450 billion in 2022. Chinese diplomats have also deepened ties, with ambassadors proficient in Spanish and Portuguese and expanded diplomatic missions. Marco Rubio, now serving as both secretary of state and national security adviser, has expressed concerns about China’s influence, yet regional leaders have largely remained indifferent. Recent developments, such as Latin American leaders gathering in Beijing and the inauguration of a Chinese-built ‘smart port’ in Peru, underscore China’s growing economic and diplomatic clout. Chinese officials have openly supported Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, condemning US pressure as ‘bullying.’ Meanwhile, Chinese analysts argue that US military action in Venezuela could backfire, fueling anti-American sentiment and benefiting Chinese enterprises. Some even speculate about China adopting a security role in Latin America, though this remains unlikely. The US must carefully weigh the risks of another prolonged conflict and the potential for China to further capitalize on regional discontent.