标签: Asia

亚洲

  • Leaders of ASEAN nations to meet with Putin at June summit in Russia

    Leaders of ASEAN nations to meet with Putin at June summit in Russia

    MANILA, Philippines – The 10-member regional bloc Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) will welcome Russian President Vladimir Putin for a high-profile commemorative summit in the Russian city of Kazan this June, the Philippines’ top foreign affairs official confirmed Friday.

    Philippine Foreign Secretary Theresa Lazaro announced via a post on X that she held a phone discussion with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov focused on logistics and agenda for the upcoming gathering, scheduled to take place from June 17 to 18. The Russian Embassy in Manila later issued a statement confirming the call, noting that the two top diplomats also explored pathways to deepen and expand Russia’s existing strategic partnership with the 10-nation bloc.

    The Philippines currently holds ASEAN’s 2025 rotating annual presidency, and a senior Philippine government official, speaking to the Associated Press on condition of anonymity due to restrictions on speaking publicly about the summit, confirmed that Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. will be among the regional leaders in attendance.

    As an established ASEAN dialogue partner, Russia has held regular annual top-level engagement with the bloc for years, even amid widespread international criticism of Moscow’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. The regional bloc’s relationship with Russia reflects its internal diversity: a majority of ASEAN member states backed a 2022 United Nations General Assembly resolution that condemned Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, but the bloc has deliberately maintained open diplomatic and economic ties with Moscow. Singapore, for example, officially condemned the invasion and imposed unilateral sanctions on Russia, leaving it unclear whether the city-state’s leader will attend the June summit. Vietnam and Laos, by contrast, abstained from the 2022 UN resolution, and maintain close economic and security cooperation with Russia.

    In recent months, multiple ASEAN members including the Philippines, Indonesia, Thailand, and Vietnam have turned to Russian crude oil imports or expressed interest in purchasing Russian fuel, a shift that followed sharp global price spikes after a U.S.-Israeli strike on Iran in February.

    One major attendance question centers on Myanmar, the country currently tasked with coordinating ASEAN-Russia relations. ASEAN moved to bar top Myanmar military leaders from all its high-level regional and international summits in 2021, after the army seized power in a coup that ousted the democratically elected government led by Aung San Suu Kyi. The coup triggered an ongoing civil conflict, and the bloc’s 2021 five-point peace plan – which demanded an immediate end to violence and a return to dialogue – has yet to be implemented by Myanmar’s ruling junta. Only low-level career diplomats from Myanmar will be permitted to attend the Kazan summit, consistent with ASEAN’s existing policy.

    The planned summit comes at a time of shifting global geopolitics, as Russia seeks to strengthen its diplomatic and economic foothold in the Indo-Pacific region amid prolonged tensions with Western powers over the war in Ukraine.

  • China’s H200 hunger drives Nvidia chip smugglers to Japan route

    China’s H200 hunger drives Nvidia chip smugglers to Japan route

    Against a backdrop of escalating trade restrictions on advanced semiconductor technology between the United States and China, Taiwanese law enforcement has successfully dismantled a major smuggling ring that exploited a new transit route through Japan to funnel restricted high-end AI servers into China. Three suspects have been taken into custody, and authorities seized 50 Supermicro servers loaded with top-tier Nvidia AI chips, valued at more than $15 million in total. This marks the first documented case of smugglers using Japan as a waypoint for this illicit trade, uncovering a new gap in global export control enforcement.

    According to official statements from Taiwan’s Keelung District Prosecutors’ Office, the three suspects—identified only by their surnames You, Wang, and Chen—allegedly orchestrated the scheme to generate massive illegal profits. Fully aware that U.S. export regulations strictly prohibit the sale of these advanced AI systems to mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macau, the trio purchased dozens of servers locally in Taiwan, with each unit carrying a price tag of more than $310,000. To avoid detection, they falsified cargo documentation, mislabeling the shipments and listing a Northeast Asian nation as their final destination. Bloomberg later confirmed that this destination was Japan.

    Taiwan’s Coast Guard carried out coordinated raids on 12 locations, including the suspects’ private residences and linked corporate offices, on May 20. In addition to the 50 servers, investigators seized mobile devices, desktop computers, financial ledgers, luxury vehicles, and roughly $280,000 in local currency. Investigators familiar with the case told Bloomberg that at least one illicit shipment successfully transited Japan and reached Hong Kong, which investigators believe was a staging point for delivery to mainland China. A second planned shipment was intercepted before it could depart Taiwan.

    Supermicro, officially the Nasdaq-listed Super Micro Computer Inc., specializes in manufacturing custom AI servers powered by Nvidia’s most advanced GPU lines, including the GB200, B200, H200, and H100. In an official statement released after the bust, the company emphasized its commitment to upholding global export regulations and protecting its intellectual property. The firm noted it had collaborated closely with Taiwanese authorities throughout the investigation, adding that the servers had been deceptively acquired after an initial sale to an authorized reseller.

    During a press visit to Taipei on May 23, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang addressed the incident, noting that the company proactively trains all of its business partners on global export control rules. He called on Supermicro to strengthen its internal compliance frameworks to prevent similar illicit diversion from occurring in the future.

    This bust is the second major smuggling case linked to Supermicro in 2026. Back in March, U.S. law enforcement charged Supermicro co-founder Yih-Shyan “Wally” Liaw and two other associates with running a separate transshipment network that moved billions of dollars worth of restricted AI servers through Taiwan, Thailand, and Hong Kong to end users in China. Liaw and one co-defendant were arrested in California, while a third suspect remains at large. A May Bloomberg report identified Bangkok-based OBON Corp as the central Southeast Asian player in that network, and named Chinese tech giant Alibaba as an alleged end customer. Alibaba has issued a full denial of any involvement, stating it has no business ties to any of the parties named in the U.S. indictment and has never utilized banned Nvidia chips in its data centers.

    When asked about the most recent smuggling case during a regular May 22 media briefing, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun dismissed the matter, stating it was not a foreign affairs issue and that he had no knowledge of the incident. Following Bloomberg’s confirmation that Japan was the transit country, most Chinese state-aligned media outlets and independent commentators chose to remain silent on the details of the case.

    Industry analysts broadly frame this enforcement action as Taiwan’s first large-scale crackdown on gray-market semiconductor smuggling, a trade that has grown rapidly as the U.S. has tightened restrictions on high-end chip exports to China. The arrest of the three suspects sends a clear signal that authorities are cracking down on illicit supply chain activity, and adds additional compliance pressure on major global technology firms including Nvidia and Supermicro.

    The smuggling bust unfolded against a shifting landscape in the U.S.-China chip trade, where Beijing has recently moved to block new Nvidia chip imports in a push to promote domestic semiconductor manufacturing. After Washington initially approved Nvidia’s H200 chip for export to China, Beijing nullified that approval and urged all domestic Chinese tech firms to source chips from local manufacturers such as Huawei Technologies. To date, zero H200 chips have been shipped to China, and Nvidia’s market share in the country has dropped sharply.

    In a May 20 interview with CNBC, Huang confirmed that Nvidia’s share of China’s AI accelerator market has plummeted from roughly 95% to effectively zero following successive rounds of U.S. export restrictions. He noted that Huawei has emerged as the primary beneficiary of this shift, with its domestic Ascend line of AI chips on track to generate $12 billion in revenue in 2026. Huang told investors not to expect any near-term progress in regaining access to the Chinese market, but added that Nvidia remains ready to re-enter the market if regulatory conditions change. Huang’s recent inclusion in U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade delegation to Beijing in mid-May had sparked market hopes for a breakthrough on H200 sales, but those expectations were quickly dashed: Beijing not only rejected H200 imports but also enacted a ban on the GeForce RTX 5090D V2, a graphics card specifically designed for the Chinese market to meet U.S. export rules.

    Many Chinese commentators have framed Huang’s public comments as proof that China has won the ongoing chip conflict with the U.S., arguing that decades of American chip dominance in the Chinese market has come to an end. One Gansu-based commentator noted that the core goal of U.S. export restrictions—slowing the development of Chinese AI by cutting off access to advanced chips—was flawed from the start. “U.S. policymakers believed China could not develop advanced AI without American chips, but what we have seen is that China has built out its own domestic computing ecosystem that can fully function without external supply,” the commentator wrote.

    However, independent observers point out that Beijing’s narrative of victory overlooks ongoing market realities: many major Chinese tech firms still retain strong unmet demand for Nvidia’s high-end chips, and demand for illicit smuggling and alternative workarounds, such as building AI data centers in overseas locations, confirms that demand has not disappeared.

  • Canadian man expected to plead guilty to selling lethal substances to people who killed themselves

    Canadian man expected to plead guilty to selling lethal substances to people who killed themselves

    NEWMARKET, Ontario — In a high-profile case that has sparked global debate around assisted suicide regulation and cross-border enforcement, a Canadian man linked to more than 100 suicides across dozens of countries is set to enter a guilty plea on 14 counts of counseling and aiding suicide, according to his defense attorney. The plea deal will see 14 pending murder charges against Kenneth Law, a 50-something resident of the Greater Toronto Area, withdrawn by provincial prosecutors.

    Law has remained in custody since his May 2023 arrest at his home in Mississauga, Ontario. A multi-national investigation launched by Canadian law enforcement uncovered what authorities describe as a far-reaching operation: Law operated a network of websites that marketed and sold sodium nitrite to customers seeking to end their lives. A chemical commonly used in small quantities for curing processed meats, sodium nitrite becomes lethal when ingested in large doses.

    Canadian investigators allege Law shipped at least 1,200 packages containing the substance to buyers in more than 40 countries, with roughly 160 of those shipments delivered to addresses across Canada. The 14 charges against Law center on deaths of 14 people aged 16 to 36 from communities across Ontario, all of whom are confirmed to have obtained sodium nitrite from Law.

    Legal authorities in multiple countries have opened linked investigations into Law’s activities, but the United Kingdom’s Crown Prosecution Service and National Crime Agency announced they would not pursue charges against Law, opting instead to let Canadian courts handle all convictions in a single sentencing process. In a formal letter sent to families of UK-based victims, the agencies called the choice to forgo domestic prosecution a “difficult decision,” acknowledging that “no outcome in any court can remove the pain victims and their families have suffered.”

    That decision has drawn outrage from bereaved families, who are now calling for a full public inquiry into how Law was able to operate his cross-border network for years without being stopped. Adele Zeynep Walton, whose 21-year-old sister Aimee died by suicide in 2022 after obtaining sodium nitrite from Law, said that if UK authorities would not put Law on trial domestically, the minimum action they could take was to launch a formal investigation into the systemic gaps that allowed the deaths to occur.

    In New Zealand, a coroner confirmed four people who died by suicide had ordered lethal materials from a business tied to Law, but found New Zealand courts have no jurisdiction over Law’s activities. Investigations are also ongoing in the United States, Italy, and Australia, though no foreign charges have been announced as of the scheduled plea hearing.

    Canada’s legal framework adds layers of complexity to the case: medically assisted suicide for consenting adults aged 18 and older living with incurable, debilitating health conditions has been legal in the country since 2016, but any non-medical counseling or aiding of suicide remains a criminal offense. Conviction on a count of aiding suicide carries a maximum penalty of 14 years in prison, far less severe than the mandatory sentence for first-degree murder in Canada — which is life imprisonment with no eligibility for parole for at least 25 years.

    Sentencing hearings for Law are expected to be scheduled at a later date following Friday’s plea entry, with families on multiple continents waiting to see what penalty Canadian courts will hand down in a case that has shone a bright light on the challenges of regulating dangerous substances sold online for suicide. AP correspondent Jill Lawless contributed reporting from London.

  • ‘Brent will shoot up’: US energy executives warn of massive oil supply crunch

    ‘Brent will shoot up’: US energy executives warn of massive oil supply crunch

    Top leaders of America’s largest energy firms issued a stark warning Thursday: global oil markets are poised for a dramatic price surge this summer, after months of drawing down emergency stockpiles to offset disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz have left the world with no remaining safety buffers.

    Speaking at an energy conference hosted by investment bank Bernstein, Neil Chapman, senior vice president at ExxonMobil, underscored just how tight stockpile levels have become. “We’re approaching unheard of inventory levels. I mean, really, really low levels. You can debate whether that’s going to hit those really low levels in two weeks or three weeks. Once you get to that point, then you’ll see [the] price shoot up,” Chapman told attendees. He projected that once inventories hit their floor, international benchmark dated Brent crude could surge to between $150 and $160 per barrel.

    Chevron CEO Mike Wirth echoed those concerns at the same event, noting that the “buffers and the shock absorbers” that have kept oil prices stable in recent months have been steadily depleted. “Over the next few weeks, we’re likely to see those pressures flow through more directly to physical prices, and there’s more upwards pressure that I would expect as we get into June and certainly into July,” Wirth said. If elevated prices persist, he added, the global economy will almost certainly tip into a recession.

    As of Thursday trading, Brent crude held at roughly $93 per barrel, marking a 16% drop for the month. That decline stems from market optimism that Washington and Tehran could reach a deal to reopen the strategic waterway. The White House confirmed Thursday it has reached a tentative agreement for a 60-day ceasefire extension to reopen the strait, but the deal still requires formal approval from former U.S. President Donald Trump and senior Iranian leadership. For weeks, U.S. and Israeli media have repeatedly reported that a deal is imminent, though no agreement has yet been finalized.

    The Strait of Hormuz, which carried roughly 20% of global oil trade before the outbreak of hostilities, has been closed to most commercial shipping for months. Industry analysts initially predicted an immediate price spike after the closure, but two key factors softened the blow: a sharp drop in Chinese crude oil demand that freed up millions of barrels for other markets, and unprecedented draws from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve. To date, the U.S. has withdrawn 172 million barrels of oil from its emergency reserve, pushing stockpiles to their lowest level in 40 years. Commercial industry inventories of crude, gasoline, diesel and jet fuel have also dropped to all-time record lows, Chapman confirmed in comments posted to social media from his conference address.

    Even with the emergency stockpile releases, U.S. retail gasoline prices have already surged 50% since the onset of the conflict. The U.S., which boasts the world’s largest domestic energy industry, has been far more insulated from price shocks than import-dependent nations. East Asian economies, which rely heavily on Gulf energy exports, are already facing a severe supply crunch, with regional spot prices for crude already hovering near $150 per barrel according to industry experts. Last month, HSBC CEO Georges Elhedery revealed that some importers in South Asia have already paid as much as $286 per barrel to secure shipments, with Sri Lanka recording the highest recorded transaction.

    Even if a ceasefire is reached and the strait reopens, the damage to regional energy infrastructure will not be quickly undone. Wirth noted that Gulf energy producers including Bahrain and Qatar have already sustained significant damage to oil and gas facilities, and full repairs will cost billions of dollars, leaving long-term supply constraints even after shipping resumes.

  • Text of potential Iran-US memorandum of understanding has not been finalized — media

    Text of potential Iran-US memorandum of understanding has not been finalized — media

    Diplomatic tensions around proposed talks between Iran and the United States have taken a new turn this week, after a senior insider close to Iran’s negotiating team refuted widespread Western reports claiming a bilateral memorandum of understanding (MoU) had already been completed. As reported by Iran’s semi-official Tasnim News Agency on Thursday, the anonymous source pushed back against assertions that the draft text was only waiting for a formal public announcement from both national governments, emphasizing that such claims do not align with the actual status of negotiations.

    The source made clear that the full text of the proposed MoU has not yet reached a finalized version, contradicting the earlier report published by U.S.-based outlet Axios. Earlier the same day, Axios broke the story claiming that negotiators from both Washington and Tehran had already agreed to a draft MoU that would extend a existing ceasefire for 60 days and open the door to formal negotiations over Iran’s controversial nuclear program.

    Beyond confirming the draft remains unfinished, the source added that Iran has not yet notified Pakistani mediators, who have been facilitating the backchannel talks between the two sides, that the work on the document has been concluded. The insider stressed that Tehran will follow a clear public protocol once negotiations on the text wrap up: Iranian officials will first formally alert Pakistani mediators of the completion, then issue a public announcement to disclose full details of the agreement.

    Until that formal process is completed, the source argued, any Western reports that claim the MoU has already been finalized carry no credibility. The development highlights the ongoing volatility of backchannel diplomacy between Iran and the U.S., two nations with decades of strained bilateral relations, as international observers continue to monitor progress on potential nuclear talks and ceasefire extensions.

  • Japan, South Korea markets hit records on hopes for a winding down of the Iran war

    Japan, South Korea markets hit records on hopes for a winding down of the Iran war

    HONG KONG – Asian equity markets closed out Friday on a robust upward trajectory, with Japan and South Korea’s benchmark indexes climbing to uncharted record highs, driven by growing investor expectations that Washington and Tehran will agree to a 60-day extension of their current ceasefire amid ongoing conflict.

    Market sentiment has lifted sharply this week following a revelation from a U.S. official Thursday that negotiators from both sides had reached a tentative agreement that covers both the ceasefire extension and the launch of a new round of negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program. The deal has not yet received public confirmation from Iranian authorities, and still requires formal approval from U.S. President Donald Trump to move forward. Under the terms of the tentative accord, Iran would commit to ending any tolls or restrictions on commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz, while the U.S. would gradually roll back its existing sea blockade of Iranian ports.

    Despite the positive geopolitical breakthrough, oil prices dipped on Friday but remain far higher than they were before the outbreak of the conflict, as the critical global shipping chokepoint of the Strait of Hormuz remains mostly closed for commercial traffic. International benchmark Brent crude fell 1.2% to $91.57 per barrel, while U.S. domestic benchmark crude dropped 1.5% to $87.56 per barrel. For context, both benchmarks traded around $70 per barrel in late February, just before the war began.

    Commodities strategists Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey from ING noted that while rising hopes of a U.S.-Iran deal have pulled oil prices lower from their recent peaks, markets should approach the tentative ceasefire plan with caution. “A reopening of the strait would offer some immediate relief to the oil market with tankers leaving the Persian Gulf. However, the recovery is still uncertain,” the pair wrote in a note published Friday. They added that shipowners may initially be hesitant to reroute vessels through the region over fears the ceasefire could collapse, and that any rebound in Iranian oil and gas output will likely be gradual rather than an immediate flood of new supply to global markets.

    Across East Asian exchanges, the gains were led by Japan’s Nikkei 225, which jumped 2.5% to close at an all-time high of 66,329.50. The index got an additional boost from new May inflation data showing Tokyo’s core consumer price growth slowed more than economists had forecast, easing pressure on the Bank of Japan to adjust its long-standing loose monetary policy. South Korea’s benchmark Kospi index surged an even stronger 3.6% to close at a record 8,476.15, with the tech sector driving most gains amid the ongoing global artificial intelligence boom. Samsung Electronics, South Korea’s largest listed company, rose 5.8% on the day.

    Other regional indexes posted mixed results: Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index gained 0.9% to 25,222.38, while mainland China’s Shanghai Composite fell 0.9% to 4,063.56. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 climbed 1.6% to 8,731.70, Taiwan’s Taiex added 2.5%, and India’s Sensex edged down 0.2% in Friday trading. U.S. stock futures ticked slightly higher ahead of the opening bell Friday, after all three major Wall Street indexes closed at fresh records Thursday: the S&P 500 rose 0.6% to 7,563.63, the Dow Jones Industrial Average inched up less than 0.1% to 50,668.97, and the tech-focused Nasdaq Composite gained 0.9% to 26,917.47. U.S. retail stocks outperformed on Thursday, with discount chain Dollar Tree surging 17.9% and department store Kohl’s jumping 20.6% after both posted better-than-expected quarterly profit results.

    In currency markets, the U.S. dollar held steady against the Japanese yen on Friday, trading flat at 159.24 yen, while the euro also remained unchanged at $1.1651.

  • Asia’s defense summit opens with China and doubts about US priorities topping concerns

    Asia’s defense summit opens with China and doubts about US priorities topping concerns

    SINGAPORE — When defense leaders, top diplomats and senior security officials from across the globe gather this week for Asia’s most influential annual defense summit, two interconnected forces will dominate closed-door discussions and public agendas alike: China’s accelerating military modernization and increasingly assertive posture across the Indo-Pacific, and growing global uncertainty over long-term U.S. strategic priorities in the region.

    Hosted by the International Institute for Strategic Studies, the 2025 Shangri-La Dialogue opens against a backdrop of spreading global instability that extends far beyond Asia’s borders. Just days ahead of the summit, new violent clashes have eroded the fragile ceasefire in the ongoing Iran war, pushing tensions in the Middle East to a new boiling point. Meanwhile, Russia has escalated its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, intensifying missile strikes and ground operations that have stretched Western military support for Kyiv to its limits.

    The summit gets underway Friday with a landmark keynote address from Vietnamese leader To Lam, who has reshaped Vietnam’s political landscape this year by consolidating power into his hands, holding both the post of Communist Party general secretary and state president — a break from the Southeast Asian nation’s long-standing tradition of split collective leadership. For Vietnam, a strategically positioned nation that lies at the geographic and economic intersection of competing U.S. and Chinese interests, the balancing act it has perfected for decades is now under unprecedented scrutiny.

    Like many Indo-Pacific coastal states, Vietnam maintains long-running overlapping maritime territorial claims with Beijing that have sparked multiple high-profile confrontations in recent years. At the same time, Hanoi remains deeply economically intertwined with China, which holds the position of Vietnam’s largest two-way trade partner. On the other side of the geopolitical divide, the United States is Vietnam’s top export market, and Washington has worked steadily over the past decade to deepen diplomatic ties and secure new defense contracts, aiming to shift Hanoi away from its decades-long traditional defense partnership with Russia.

    Even after Hanoi and Washington elevated their bilateral relations to the highest diplomatic level in recent years, newly leaked official documents reveal that Vietnam’s military leadership remains deeply skeptical of U.S. intentions in the region. The documents show Hanoi has already taken concrete defensive planning steps to prepare for a potential future American “war of aggression” against the country, laying bare the deep mistrust that persists despite warming diplomatic ties. Against this complex backdrop, observers widely expect Lam to frame his opening address around a call for regional consensus-driven dispute management and collective cooperation to advance shared stability and development, avoiding overt alignment with either global power.

    Following Lam’s opening, U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth will take the stage Saturday to outline the Trump administration’s updated Indo-Pacific strategy. This marks Hegseth’s second appearance at the summit; his 2024 address drew fierce condemnation from Beijing when he declared that “the threat China poses is real, and it could be imminent,” claiming China’s military was “rehearsing for the real deal.” At the time, Hegseth pledged that the U.S. would bolster its regional defensive posture to counter what the Pentagon frames as growing Chinese aggression, particularly against self-governing Taiwan.

    This year’s speech comes just two weeks after President Donald Trump’s high-profile meeting with Chinese leader Xi Jinping in Beijing, a summit that injected new uncertainty into U.S. policy across the Taiwan Strait. During the meeting, Xi issued a stark warning that the two superpowers could face direct military conflict if the Taiwan issue is not managed in line with Beijing’s core interests. After the talks, Trump publicly praised Xi as a “great leader” and claimed the two nations would build a “fantastic future together.” The U.S. president also sparked widespread concern by openly questioning Washington’s long-standing commitment to Taiwan’s defense, calling a proposed $14 billion U.S. arms package for Taipei — which he has yet to approve — “a very good negotiating chip for us” with Beijing.

    China claims the self-governing, democratic island of Taiwan as an integral part of its territory, and Beijing has repeatedly refused to rule out the use of military force to bring the island under its control. For decades, the U.S. has supplied Taiwan with advanced fighter jets, missiles and other defensive weaponry, while maintaining a long-standing policy of “strategic ambiguity” over whether it would intervene militarily if China launched an attack. Trump’s open ambivalence toward Taiwan’s security has far outpaced that of any of his predecessors, fueling growing global speculation that he could be willing to roll back long-standing U.S. support for Taipei in exchange for concessions from Beijing.

    A Pentagon spokesperson said Hegseth’s Saturday address will outline the military’s “common-sense approach to safeguarding U.S. vital national interests in the Indo-Pacific.” Most analysts agree that coming so soon after Trump’s Beijing summit, Hegseth is unlikely to make any dramatic remarks that would contradict the president’s recent conciliatory comments toward Xi.

    China is scheduled to present its official perspective on regional security during Sunday’s plenary sessions, but Chinese state media has confirmed that Beijing will send only a lower-level delegation to this year’s summit, and it has not yet confirmed which official will deliver China’s address. Chinese Defense Minister Dong Jun also skipped last year’s Shangri-La Dialogue, continuing a pattern of reduced high-level Chinese participation in the annual forum.

    While the Shangri-La Dialogue has always centered primarily on Indo-Pacific security, two ongoing global conflicts will be impossible to avoid on the summit’s sidelines and in public debates: Russia’s 3-year full-scale war against Ukraine and the escalating Iran war that has effectively shut down the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most critical energy chokepoints. In normal peacetime, roughly 20% of all globally traded oil passes through the strait; since its effective closure following the outbreak of hostilities, global oil prices have spiked sharply, triggering widespread economic disruption across energy import-dependent nations worldwide. Qatar’s defense minister is among the senior Middle Eastern officials scheduled to address the summit over the weekend.

    Ahead of the conference, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy sent a formal letter to President Trump and the U.S. Congress requesting additional shipments of American-made air defense ammunition to help Ukraine fend off intensifying Russian ballistic missile attacks on Ukrainian civilian and energy infrastructure. While Zelenskyy made a surprise in-person appearance at the 2023 Shangri-La Dialogue, he is not expected to attend this year’s summit. But a roster of senior European defense officials from NATO frontline states including Lithuania and Poland are scheduled to speak, ensuring the war in Ukraine remains a core topic of discussion.

  • White House says Iran and US agreed to 60-day ceasefire extension, awaiting Trump’s approval

    White House says Iran and US agreed to 60-day ceasefire extension, awaiting Trump’s approval

    Tensions spanning the Persian Gulf have taken a tentative turn toward diplomacy, after negotiators from the United States and Iran hammered out a preliminary agreement to extend an existing bilateral ceasefire for 60 days. The deal, crafted to create a window for talks on a permanent end to hostilities, still requires formal sign-off from both US President Donald Trump and Iran’s supreme leadership, the White House has confirmed.

    The breakthrough comes at a moment of rapidly escalating friction between the two nations, as the current ceasefire framework collapsed into open conflict in recent days. The US launched a series of airstrikes targeting Iran’s Bandar Abbas port, prompting Tehran to retaliate with a missile strike against a US military installation based in Kuwait.

    If finalized, the 60-day truce is expected to clear the way for negotiations on deeply divisive core issues that have strained US-Iran relations for decades, including Iran’s civilian nuclear program and the rollback of crippling US economic sanctions. According to reporting from Axios, the tentative agreement includes specific security provisions for the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most critical global energy chokepoints. Under the terms, Iran would guarantee unimpeded, toll-free passage for all commercial shipping through the strait and clear all naval mines from the waterway within 30 days of the ceasefire taking effect.

    The question of transit fees for the Strait of Hormuz has already sparked sharp pushback from US leadership. Iran had previously pushed to impose a transit charge on ships passing through the waterway, holding preliminary discussions on the proposal with Oman, which shares territorial water boundaries with Iran in the strait. During a press briefing Wednesday, Trump issued an explicit threat against Oman if it backed the Iranian proposal, insisting the strait must remain open to all global traffic as international waters. “No, the strait is going to be open to everybody,” Trump stated. “It’s international waters, and Oman will behave just like everybody else, or we’ll have to blow them up.” US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent doubled down on this threat Thursday, announcing the US would “aggressively target” Oman if it assisted Iran in implementing a toll system for the strait.

    Additional terms of the draft ceasefire include a gradual lifting of the US naval blockade on Iranian ports, with the easing of restrictions tied directly to verified increases in restored commercial shipping activity out of Iranian terminals. The memorandum of understanding also includes a preliminary Iranian commitment not to pursue the development of nuclear weapons, with the disposal of Iran’s existing stockpiles of enriched uranium set to be one of the first topics addressed during expanded negotiations.

    Tehran has long made sanctions relief and the unlocking of billions of dollars in Iranian assets frozen overseas core demands for any long-term agreement. Per Axios’ reporting, the tentative 60-day truce commits US negotiators to open formal discussions on both of these demands during the ceasefire period. The draft framework also includes provisions to negotiate a formal mechanism that would allow Iran to receive essential commercial goods and humanitarian aid from the international community.

    Aaron David Miller, a veteran former US State Department negotiator with decades of experience working on Middle East diplomacy, framed the tentative deal as a small first step rather than a breakthrough, writing on social platform X that the agreement amounts to “a ticket to a negotiation – a letter of intent – if you will – to negotiations on all core issues.” He cautioned that the coming talks would be fraught with difficulty, adding, “Get ready for painful negotiations that will feel like daily root canals and migraine headaches.”

  • New Zealand World Cup player finds social media fame after being named by soccer influencer

    New Zealand World Cup player finds social media fame after being named by soccer influencer

    In the lead-up to the 2026 FIFA World Cup co-hosted by Canada, the United States and Mexico, an unexpected viral social media movement has turned a little-known New Zealand defender into an overnight global soccer phenomenon. Thirty-two-year-old Tim Payne, a long-serving member of New Zealand’s men’s national team who just hit the milestone of 50 international caps after making his senior debut at age 18, has captured the hearts of soccer fans worldwide thanks to a coordinated campaign launched by an influential Argentine content creator.

    The mastermind behind Payne’s sudden rise to fame is Valen Scarsini, better known to his online fanbase as El Scarso, a popular soccer influencer with more than 500,000 followers of his own. Scarsini set out on a mission to find the most under-the-radar, little-known player set to feature at this year’s World Cup, combing through every participating nation’s squad list and analyzing each player’s social media following to identify his pick. After sorting through hundreds of candidates, he landed on Payne, who had only amassed roughly 4,700 Instagram followers earlier this week.

    In a post shared to his followers, Scarsini issued a unifying call to action: with just days remaining until the opening kickoff of the World Cup, why not rally behind a single underdog player that fans from every country could support, regardless of national loyalty? He urged his audience to mention Payne across every social platform, create short-form videos building up the “legend of Tim Payne,” and share photos of his sticker in World Cup collector albums, all with the goal of turning the anonymous defender into a household name before the tournament begins.

    The campaign has exceeded all expectations, triggering an astronomical surge in Payne’s social media following. In the days since Scarsini shared his call to action, Payne has been gaining new followers at a staggering rate of nearly 1,000 new fans per minute, pushing his Instagram follower count past the one million mark by Friday. To put that growth in perspective, Payne’s following is now six times larger than that of New Zealand captain and global soccer name Chris Wood, the Nottingham Forest forward who has long been the All Whites’ most recognizable player.

    The grassroots movement has grown so large that fans have even recorded an original dedicated track in support of Payne. The song’s Spanish chorus translates to: “I’ve got his back. I cheer him on. I’ve been rooting for him from the beginning. Tim Payne, from cradle to grave. You’re a crack. I cheer you on, every step,” and closes with a catchy pun: “no Payne, no gain.”

    The viral attention caught Payne entirely off guard, and he released a public statement Friday to respond to the outpouring of global support. “Was wondering why my socials were blowing up and found your post, man,” he said, addressing Scarsini directly. “Appreciate the love! Gracias, hermano. I just want to say a massive thank you first to you Valen. It’s been a pretty crazy 48 hours to say the least. I just wanted to also express that I’m very grateful to be representing my country and I appreciate all the love from all around the world.”

    New Zealand, nicknamed the All Whites, is making its third ever appearance at the men’s World Cup, having previously qualified in 1982 and 2010. The nation has yet to secure a win in World Cup competition, and will enter this year’s tournament drawn into Group G alongside Belgium, Iran, and Egypt.

  • Survival before safety for Delhi’s poor as temperatures hit 45C

    Survival before safety for Delhi’s poor as temperatures hit 45C

    In one of Delhi’s busiest commercial hubs, a stark divide plays out on a sweltering 40-plus degree Celsius afternoon. Inside air-conditioned showrooms, shoppers browse clothing racks in cool comfort, shielded from the brutal summer sun. Just steps outside, under an unforgiving blaze, street vendors, cycle-rickshaw operators, fruit sellers and ice cream cart owners keep working, their livelihoods dependent on enduring temperatures that can overwhelm even the fittest bodies. Even a short walk across the market leaves visitors drained, but for millions of India’s informal workers, stepping out of the heat is not a choice they can afford.

    Nearly 90 percent of India’s total workforce earns a living in the informal sector, where most lack formal employment contracts, job security or sick leave, and the vast majority rely on outdoor daily wage labor to put food on their families’ tables. Fifty-two-year-old cycle-rickshaw driver Harish Chandra is one of these millions, pedaling through Delhi’s congested streets until the heat becomes too crippling to continue. After splashing cold water from a public tap over his face, he sinks into a thin strip of shade edging the market, and sums up the struggle simply: “The body gives up.”

    Clad in a thin, worn cotton shirt, Chandra says Delhi’s summers have grown increasingly unendurable year after year. “My day starts around 9 a.m., when the heat is still manageable,” he explains. “But by noon, it becomes unbearable. The sun is so harsh that sometimes I can feel my body giving out mid-pedal. Still, if we stop working, we stop earning. And if we don’t earn, our families don’t eat.” To escape Delhi’s suffocating heat, Chandra recently sent his wife and three children back to their home village in Bihar. While temperatures there are just as high, he says open countryside and better ventilation make it far easier to cope than the capital’s cramped, congested residential lanes. For workers like Chandra, who spend almost all their waking hours outside, summer is no longer just a season—it is an annual battle for survival.

    India’s heat season typically runs from April through early July, when monsoon rains finally bring relief. But climate scientists warn that extreme heat events are growing longer, more intense and less predictable, as global warming supercharges heatwaves across South Asia. Former World Health Organization chief scientist Dr. Soumya Swaminathan told Indian news agency ANI this week that the temperatures now recorded across India are approaching the upper limits of human tolerability, representing a direct threat to both lives and livelihoods.

    Since mid-May, Delhi and surrounding regions have logged daily highs above 40°C, with afternoon temperatures sometimes climbing past 45°C. While a brief cool-down is forecast for the coming weekend, repeated extreme heatwaves have become a normalized part of Indian summers. Cities like Delhi are disproportionately at risk due to the urban heat island effect: concrete infrastructure, heavy traffic and limited green space trap heat, leaving city centers several degrees hotter than surrounding rural areas.

    India’s weather department and the Delhi government have issued regular heat warnings, and Prime Minister Narendra Modi recently posted on social media urging the public to stay hydrated, carry water when outdoors, and monitor for heat exhaustion, particularly among children, elderly people and outdoor workers. Delhi is one of several Indian cities with an official heat action plan, which includes color-coded heat alerts, public advisories to avoid outdoor activity during peak afternoon heat, free water kiosks and public cooling centers. But for daily wage workers, much of this guidance is impossible to follow. Rent is still due every month, and food still needs to be bought—regardless of how high the temperature climbs.

    Fifty-year-old tuk-tuk driver Mohammad Umar has been waiting for passengers near a busy traffic intersection since dawn. He rarely takes a day off, but last week the heat finally forced him to stay home. “My heart was racing, and my body had no strength left,” Umar recalls. “I must have bathed five times that day just to stay conscious.” But skipping work comes at a steep cost. “Losing a day of work means losing 500 to 700 rupees (roughly $5 to $7),” he says. “We still have to pay for food and daily essentials, so that money comes straight out of our tiny savings.”

    International projections paint a grim picture of the future. The International Labour Organization estimates that heat stress could cut India’s total available working hours by 5.8 percent by 2030, with outdoor workers in agriculture and construction hit hardest. A 2024 Lancet Countdown report found that India lost 247 billion potential labor hours to extreme heat last year alone, translating to $194 billion in economic losses.

    Medical experts explain that prolonged exposure to extreme heat puts catastrophic strain on the human body, especially for workers who spend hours outside without shade, cooling or consistent access to clean drinking water. Dr. Satish Koul, principal director and unit head of internal medicine at Fortis Hospital Gurgaon, says hospitals see a steady surge in cases of dehydration, low blood pressure, kidney strain and heat exhaustion during extended heatwaves. “There are early warning signs people often ignore: dizziness, weakness, headaches, nausea and confusion,” Dr. Koul notes. “If someone stops sweating, becomes disoriented or collapses, it becomes a life-threatening medical emergency very quickly.”

    For many informal workers, the danger does not end when they finish their shifts. Most of Delhi’s informal migrant workforce lives in densely packed unplanned settlements, with unreliable electricity, poor airflow and no access to air conditioning. Many homes are built from tin sheeting and plastic, which absorb heat all day and slowly release it overnight, keeping indoor temperatures sweltering long after the sun goes down. Doctors warn that overnight heat retention is especially dangerous, because it prevents the human body from cooling down and recovering after a day of exposure. “When the body can’t cool properly during sleep, exhaustion builds up day after day,” Dr. Koul adds.

    This cumulative exhaustion shapes every part of daily life in these neighborhoods, where nearly every family relies on physically demanding labor to get by. Men leave for outdoor jobs before dawn, while many women take low-paying domestic work in nearby neighborhoods. Alongside long working hours, women are also responsible for cooking, childcare and household chores in cramped, sweltering homes with almost no relief from the heat.

    Workers have adapted with small coping strategies: covering their heads to block direct sun, drinking salted water to replace electrolytes, and shifting work hours to avoid the harshest midday sun. But these measures offer only minimal relief. Sanjeeda, a 40-year-old widow who has worked in factories, small shops and private homes for years to support her children, says she was bedridden for days in mid-May after a severe heat exposure left her with crippling headaches and a fever. “The sun is harsh starting first thing in the morning,” she says. “By the time I get to a house and start sweeping and mopping, my clothes are completely soaked. Some days I even have to clean rooftops where the marble floors feel like they’re on fire.” While her employers sometimes offer water, lemonade or a few minutes of rest in front of a fan, she says, “No matter how hot it gets, the work has to get done.”