Rich and voiceless: How Putin has kept Russia’s billionaires on side in the war

Under Vladimir Putin’s quarter-century reign, Russia’s billionaire class has undergone a radical transformation from politically influential oligarchs to compliant beneficiaries of the Kremlin’s war economy. Despite Western sanctions intended to pressure Russia’s elite, the number of billionaires has reached an unprecedented 140 with a collective wealth of $580 billion—just $3 billion shy of pre-invasion records.

The dramatic shift in power dynamics became starkly evident on February 24, 2022, when Putin summoned business leaders to the Kremlin hours after ordering the full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Attendees appeared “pale and sleep-deprived,” according to witnesses, yet offered no meaningful resistance despite anticipating severe financial consequences.

This compliance stems from Putin’s sophisticated carrot-and-stick approach. Those who publicly oppose the regime face devastating repercussions, as exemplified by banking magnate Oleg Tinkov. After criticizing the war as “crazy” on Instagram, Tinkov was forced to sell his Tinkoff Bank for merely 3% of its actual value to a Kremlin-linked entity, losing approximately $9 billion before exiting Russia.

The contrast with the 1990s era could not be more pronounced. Following the Soviet Union’s collapse, oligarchs like Boris Berezovsky wielded immense political influence, even claiming to have orchestrated Putin’s rise to power. Berezovsky later died under mysterious circumstances in UK exile after renouncing his support, symbolizing the extinction of independent oligarchic power.

Paradoxically, Western sanctions have strengthened Putin’s control over Russia’s wealthy elite. By freezing assets and restricting movement, the measures eliminated any possibility of defection, effectively forcing billionaires to rally around the Kremlin. According to Alexander Kolyandr of the Center for European Policy Analysis, “The West did everything possible to ensure that Russian billionaires rallied around the flag.”

The war economy has generated unprecedented opportunities for loyalists. Lavish military spending drove 4% annual growth in 2023-2024, creating 11 new billionaires in 2024 alone through the redistribution of foreign companies’ abandoned assets. Over half of Russia’s billionaires now directly supply the military or benefit from the invasion, creating what Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center’s Alexandra Prokopenko describes as “an army of influential and active loyalists” whose fortunes depend on continued confrontation with the West.

This consolidation of economic power under political loyalty represents the ultimate realization of Putin’s vision: a billionaire class that serves the state rather than influences it, with personal wealth entirely contingent on political compliance.