Le Pen’s political fate rests on appeal trial opening in France

French far-right leader Marine Le Pen commenced a high-stakes legal battle on Tuesday as her appeal against a five-year ban from public office began in Paris. The 57-year-old politician, who has contested the French presidency on three previous occasions, faces potential exclusion from the 2027 presidential election if the appellate court upholds last year’s conviction for EU funds embezzlement.

The case centers on allegations that Le Pen and more than 20 other National Rally (RN) party officials employed parliamentary assistants who primarily worked on party matters rather than European Parliament duties, despite being compensated by EU funds. Trial judge Bénédicte de Perthuis previously characterized Le Pen as the central figure in a system that misappropriated €2.9 million in European funds.

Le Pen maintains her complete innocence, asserting she committed ‘not the slightest irregularity.’ Her political ally, RN president Jordan Bardella, characterized the potential ban as ‘deeply worrying for democracy,’ arguing that preventing a twice-qualified second-round presidential candidate from running would undermine democratic principles. Bardella confirmed he would not seek the presidency himself but would instead pursue the prime ministerial position.

The appellate proceedings, scheduled to continue through February 12th, will not deliver a verdict before summer 2026, creating a tense timeline ahead of the anticipated April 2027 presidential election. Legal experts outline four potential outcomes: complete acquittal, maintained conviction without immediate effect allowing her candidacy, reduced ban duration permitting 2027 registration, or upheld original judgment effectively blocking her presidential ambitions.

Le Pen previously received a four-year prison sentence (two years suspended, two with electronic monitoring), a €100,000 fine, and the immediate public office ban. Should her appeal fail, she could face an extended prison term. Eleven RN colleagues join her appeal, while twelve others—including her sister Yann Le Pen—have accepted their sentences.

The final determination rests with the Paris Court of Appeal, though further recourse to France’s highest judicial authority, the Court of Cassation, remains possible regardless of outcome. The timing and substance of these judicial decisions will significantly impact France’s political landscape as the 2027 election approaches.