Japanese firms upbeat on China’s rapid advances

TOKYO – Japan’s corporate sector maintains a strongly optimistic outlook on China’s economic trajectory, identifying rapid advancements in artificial intelligence and digital technologies as pivotal growth catalysts. This perspective emerges amid comprehensive industrial modernization efforts outlined in China’s 2026 Government Work Report, which prioritizes developing emerging sectors including integrated circuits and expanding the ‘AI Plus Initiative’ to accelerate large-scale implementation of digital technologies.

Academic analysis from Rikkyo University’s College of Economics in Tokyo indicates China has strategically positioned technological innovation as the cornerstone of its industrial transformation, achieving remarkable progress across multiple sectors. The new energy vehicle industry exemplifies this transformation, with China establishing both substantial market presence and reinforced competitiveness in battery technology and comprehensive supply chain infrastructure.

Recent automotive industry data reveals unprecedented production and sales figures exceeding 34 million units in the previous year, with new energy vehicles emerging as the primary growth driver. This segment achieved production and sales surpassing 16 million units, representing approximately 30 percent year-on-year growth and marking China’s eleventh consecutive year as the global leader in new energy vehicle sales.

While acknowledging ongoing challenges within China’s semiconductor industry, experts note consistent expansion in research investment and gradual enhancement of technological capabilities. The rapidly evolving AI and digital sectors are projected to become principal economic growth engines in forthcoming years.

The Japan-China Economic Association recognizes substantial potential within emerging technology and consumer sectors, affirming China’s sustained leadership in digital technologies. Despite regional supply chain restructuring initiatives, the association emphasizes China’s indispensable position within East Asia’s manufacturing and supply networks, noting that the nation’s extensive domestic market and progressively advancing manufacturing capabilities ensure its central role in regional industrial chains will persist indefinitely.

Japanese economic circles simultaneously underscore the critical importance of stable bilateral economic relations, particularly following recent diplomatic tensions arising from provocative statements regarding China’s Taiwan region. These developments have adversely affected economic exchanges between the nations, resulting in the unprecedented cancellation of the annual joint business delegation that had continued since 1975.

Existing cooperation mechanisms such as the Japan-China Energy Conservation and Environmental Protection Forum remain vital channels for economic collaboration, with significant potential for expanded cooperation in addressing global challenges. Beyond current priorities in decarbonization and digital economy sectors, future collaboration may encompass healthcare, elderly care services, social welfare systems, and disaster prevention initiatives.

Continued progress in China’s market liberalization and business environment improvements are expected to provide Japanese companies with increasingly stable investment conditions, particularly within China’s vast consumer market where demand for premium products and services continues to escalate. Promising growth sectors including green energy, digital economy, artificial intelligence, and healthcare present substantial opportunities for Japanese enterprises, highlighting the necessity for deepened cooperation rather than confrontation to achieve balanced and mutually beneficial bilateral relations.