Iran warns ‘not even started’ in Hormuz

Tensions in the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz have reignited sharply in recent days, bringing the Middle East back to the brink of broader conflict just weeks after a ceasefire paused a two-month-old war sparked by U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran. The fresh wave of clashes has sent shockwaves through global energy markets and drawn urgent calls for de-escalation from world powers.

After U.S. forces engaged with Iranian vessels near the strait — a chokepoint through which roughly 20% of the world’s daily oil supplies pass — a top Iranian official issued a stark warning to Washington that Tehran has not yet unleashed its full force in the ongoing standoff. Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Iran’s parliament speaker and chief nuclear negotiator, wrote in a post on X that the current status quo is already untenable for the United States, emphasizing that “we have not even started yet.” Ghalibaf added that the U.S. and its allies have undermined shipping security in the region, and that Tehran will never cede control of the strait, predicting that Washington’s “malign presence will diminish.”

The latest clashes unfolded on Monday, when the U.S. military announced that its Apache attack and Seahawk helicopters had struck six Iranian boats that it said posed a threat to commercial shipping in the area. U.S. forces also intercepted and repelled incoming Iranian missiles and drones, the Pentagon confirmed. Separately, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) reported fresh Iranian attacks on its territory, including a strike on an energy facility in the emirate of Fujairah and a drone attack on a tanker owned by the UAE’s state oil giant ADNOC. UAE authorities said four cruise missiles were launched in the attack: three were shot down by air defenses, while the fourth fell into the Persian Gulf. The UAE condemned the strikes as “a dangerous escalation and an unacceptable transgression” of international law.

Iran has pushed back on the U.S. account of the sea clashes, denying that any of its military vessels were damaged in the U.S. airstrikes. Tehran did, however, accuse Washington of killing five civilian passengers on boats operating near the strait. For the attacks on the UAE, an Iranian military spokesperson told state media that Tehran had no pre-planned agenda to target Emirati energy infrastructure, placing full blame on the U.S. for provoking the strikes. “What happened was the product of the U.S. military’s adventurism to create a passage for ships to illegally pass through the forbidden passages of the Strait of Hormuz, and the U.S. military must be held accountable for it,” the spokesperson said.

The renewed tensions follow an announcement from U.S. President Donald Trump, who unveiled a plan to escort neutral countries’ ships through the Gulf in a bid to break Tehran’s de facto blockade of the strait. Trump’s initiative, dubbed “Project Freedom,” has already seen its first successful transit: Danish shipping giant Maersk confirmed on Tuesday that one of its commercial vessels had passed through the strait under U.S. military escort. Despite this small milestone, the latest clashes have upended a weeks-long ceasefire that paused the broader war that began more than two months ago when U.S.-Israeli forces launched strikes on Iran.

That ceasefire had already failed to stop low-level clashes along other fronts, including the Israel-Lebanon border where Israel continues exchanges of fire with the Iran-backed militant group Hezbollah. An Israeli military official confirmed on Monday that the Israel Defense Forces remains on high alert, closely monitoring developments around the strait after the U.S. downed Iranian missiles and drones. Lebanese President Joseph Aoun also reaffirmed this week that a security agreement and full halt to Israeli strikes are required before any planned meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, a meeting Washington has pushed for to de-escalate the Lebanese front. Israeli and Lebanese officials held two landmark direct talks in Washington last month, the first such negotiations in decades, after Hezbollah opened a new front in the war on March 2, triggering heavy Israeli strikes and a limited ground invasion of southern Lebanon.

The sharp escalation in the Strait of Hormuz has already delivered a major blow to the global economy, which has been reeling from the impact of months of conflict. Crude oil prices surged on Monday in response to the tensions, driven by fears that the strait could remain closed to large-scale commercial traffic, dragging global energy costs even higher. Global stock markets sank on Tuesday as investor confidence eroded, extending losses driven by months of volatility tied to the Middle East conflict. Soaring consumer energy prices triggered by the war have already caused widespread economic hardship across the world, and the fresh crisis has created significant political challenges for Trump just months ahead of U.S. midterm elections.

U.S. European allies have also sounded the alarm over the crisis, warning that prolonged closure of the strait will cause deep economic damage to their own economies. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen wrote on X that “these attacks are unacceptable,” noting that “security in the Gulf region has direct consequences for Europe.” German Chancellor Friedrich Merz joined French President Emmanuel Macron and British Prime Minister Keir Starmer in calling on Iran to return to diplomatic negotiations, saying Tehran must “stop holding the region and the world hostage.” Saudi Arabia, a key U.S. ally in the Middle East, also issued a statement on Tuesday calling for intensive diplomatic efforts “to reach a political solution” to the standoff.

Despite widespread international calls for dialogue, negotiations between Washington and Tehran remain completely deadlocked. To date, only one round of direct peace talks has been held, with no breakthroughs on core issues including the future of the Strait of Hormuz and Iran’s broader regional security demands. With both sides digging in and exchanging deadly fire, the international community is bracing for a further escalation that could drag the entire Middle East back into full-scale war, with cascading consequences for the global economy and millions of people around the world.