France concerned about the risk of foreign interference ahead of elections

President Emmanuel Macron has issued a resolute pledge to protect the integrity of France’s 2027 presidential election from foreign manipulation. In his New Year’s address, Macron identified Russia as the primary antagonist in an ongoing information war designed to destabilize both France and the broader European landscape. This declaration amplifies concerns he voiced two months prior about underestimating Russian disinformation campaigns.

The French defense ministry’s digital vigilance unit, Viginum, has documented an alarming escalation in foreign interference, cataloging 25 distinct operations targeting recent legislative and European elections. These efforts, predominantly orchestrated by Russian and Chinese actors, have employed sophisticated tactics including social media manipulation and cyber intrusions. One notable case involved left-wing candidate Raphael Glucksmann, who was subjected to a pro-Chinese operation branding him as a CIA operative within Europe.

Socialist Senator Rachid Temal, who authored a parliamentary inquiry into foreign meddling, warns that municipal elections present particularly vulnerable targets due to minimal oversight in smaller constituencies. “With sufficient funding,” Temal notes, “incumbent candidates can be systematically undermined through fear-based social media strategies that distort their political platforms.”

Beyond the acknowledged threats from Moscow and Beijing, experts identify more covert dangers. Digital diplomacy specialist Rayna Stamboliyska highlights potential U.S. interference, particularly concerning the Trump administration’s alleged consideration of sanctions against French judiciary members overseeing Marine Le Pen’s corruption case. Such actions could compromise judicial independence and electoral integrity, potentially altering the 2027 political landscape by affecting Le Pen’s eligibility.

The interference ecosystem extends to Middle Eastern powers pursuing their geopolitical agendas. The United Arab Emirates has emerged as a significant influence operator, allegedly providing financial lifelines to the National Rally party and orchestrating campaigns against the Muslim Brotherhood. CNRS researcher Vincent Geisser observes that the UAE and Israel appear to be collaborating to promote narratives about the ‘Islamisation of France,’ leveraging Islamophobia to influence political discourse.

Israel’s involvement manifests through official endorsements of the National Rally and organized visits for French politicians. Sciences Po professor emeritus Bertrand Badie identifies Israel as one of three nations (alongside Russia and the U.S.) that most explicitly impact French sovereignty, employing multiple channels to shape public opinion and reward political alignment.

The complex web of foreign influence has prompted legislative responses, including proposed resolutions to investigate lobbying groups like Elnet, which organizes trips for French parliamentarians to Israel and hosts conferences aligned with far-right perspectives. Despite these measures, the pervasive nature of contemporary foreign interference continues to challenge France’s democratic institutions as the nation prepares for crucial electoral contests.