Fears of new US-Iran conflict fuel record-breaking surge in gold price

Gold markets witnessed a historic surge on Wednesday as the precious metal shattered previous records, briefly touching an unprecedented $5,602 per ounce before settling at $5,542. This remarkable rally represents the second consecutive day of record-breaking performance, following Tuesday’s breakthrough of the $5,000 threshold.

The dramatic price movement stems from escalating geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran. Market analysts attribute the surge to reports that former President Trump is considering renewed military action against Iran following collapsed negotiations regarding Tehran’s nuclear program and ballistic capabilities. Trump amplified these concerns through his Truth Social platform, explicitly warning of potentially devastating consequences if Iran refuses to negotiate.

Concurrently, monetary policy developments contributed to gold’s attractiveness. The US Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain current interest rates, combined with the US dollar hitting its weakest position in four years, created ideal conditions for gold’s ascent as a safe-haven asset.

Investment strategist Justin Lin of GlobalX ETFs noted striking parallels between current market conditions and the 1970s gold boom, when prices exploded from $35 to $800 per ounce over a decade. While acknowledging differences in inflation volatility—particularly the absence of 1970s-level oil price shocks—Lin identified similar underlying drivers: heightened geopolitical uncertainty and declining confidence in currency stability. He characterized the current environment as reflecting a fundamental structural shift in the global order, driving sustained demand for portfolio diversification through gold ownership.