Drop in Dubai crime rates boosts local economy by up to Dh102.3 billion, study finds

A groundbreaking economic impact study conducted by global consultancy EY in collaboration with Dubai Police has revealed the profound economic benefits generated by the emirate’s exceptional security environment. The research demonstrates that Dubai’s declining crime rates have contributed between Dh63.9 billion and Dh102.3 billion to the local economy, representing a substantial 14-23% of Dubai’s 2024 economic output.

The comprehensive analysis, which utilized econometric modeling drawing from 50 countries’ data spanning 1995-2021, establishes security as a fundamental economic catalyst rather than merely a social benefit. Dubai Police’s institutional effectiveness was directly linked to an economic contribution ranging from Dh31.8 billion to Dh50.9 billion annually, equivalent to 7-11% of Dubai’s GDP.

Beyond the impressive financial metrics, the study highlights how security excellence has become a powerful driver of tourism and foreign investment. Dubai’s safe environment attracts between 7-12 million tourists annually, with Dubai Police credited with contributing 4-6 million of these visitors. The enhanced security reputation also generated additional foreign direct investment ranging from Dh3.6 billion to Dh5.8 billion in 2024.

The research positions Dubai Police, established in 1956 nearly 15 years before the UAE’s formation, as a pioneering regional law enforcement institution that has implemented advanced techniques to build community trust and quality of life. The study concludes that security represents both a social pillar and a key economic lever that strengthens Dubai’s global position as a premier destination for living, working, and investment within its sustainable growth ecosystem.