The Czech Republic is currently in the midst of a pivotal two-day general election, with the potential to reshape its foreign policy trajectory. The outcome could steer the nation away from its pro-Western stance, particularly in its support for Ukraine, and align it more closely with Hungary and Slovakia. This shift could exacerbate divisions within the European Union and NATO. Billionaire Andrej Babiš, a former prime minister and populist leader, is poised for a political comeback, according to opinion polls. His victory would mark a significant shift from the pro-Western coalition led by Petr Fiala, which defeated him in 2021. Babiš, speaking outside a polling station in Ostrava, expressed confidence in forming a one-party government if victorious. A win for Babiš would bolster the positions of Hungary’s Viktor Orbán and Slovakia’s Robert Fico, both of whom have resisted military aid to Ukraine, continued importing Russian oil, and opposed sanctions on Russia. Fiala, after voting in Brno, warned that a shift towards the East would lead to economic decline. Last year, Babiš and Orbán co-founded the ‘Patriots for Europe’ alliance in the European Parliament, signaling a departure from the liberal Renew group. This new alliance reflects Babiš’s rejection of EU policies on migration and climate change, emphasizing national sovereignty. Despite denying a pro-Russian stance, Babiš has questioned Czech initiatives to acquire artillery shells for Ukraine and has not fully endorsed NATO’s defense spending commitments. Babiš, a divisive figure since entering Czech politics in 2013, has faced fraud charges but remains popular. His ANO movement, which lost the 2021 election, is predicted to win around 30% of the vote, though not enough for a majority government. Babiš has ruled out cooperation with the current government parties, potentially aligning with pro-Russian coalitions or the right-wing Motorists group, which opposes EU environmental policies. Polls close on Saturday, with results expected later in the day.
Czechs vote in election that could return populist and weaken support for Ukraine
